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Economic Value of Seasonal and Pandemic Influenza Vaccination During Pregnancy

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The cost-effectiveness of maternal influenza immunization against laboratory-confirmed influenza has never been studied. The current 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic provides a timely opportunity to perform such analyses. The study objective was to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of maternal influenza vaccination using both single- and 2-dose strategies against laboratory-confirmed influenza secondary to both seasonal epidemics and pandemic influenza outbreaks. A cost-effectiveness decision analytic model construct using epidemic and pandemic influenza characteristics from both the societal and third-party payor perspectives. A comparison was made between vaccinating all pregnant women in the United States versus not vaccinating pregnant women. Probabilistic (Monte Carlo) sensitivity analyses were also performed. The main outcome measures were incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs). Maternal influenza vaccination using either the single- or 2-dose strategy is a cost-effective approach when influenza prevalence > or =7.5% and influenza-attributable mortality is > or =1.05% (consistent with epidemic strains). As the prevalence of influenza and/or the severity of the outbreak increases the incremental value of vaccination also increases. At a higher prevalence of influenza (> or =30%) the single-dose strategy demonstrates cost-savings while the 2-dose strategy remains highly cost-effective (ICER, < or =$6787.77 per quality-adjusted life year). Maternal influenza immunization is a highly cost-effective intervention at disease rates and severity that correspond to both seasonal influenza epidemics and occasional pandemics. These findings justify ongoing efforts to optimize influenza vaccination during pregnancy from an economic perspective.
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Economic Value of Seasonal and Pandemic Influenza Vaccination
During Pregnancy
Richard H. Beigi, MD, MSc1, Ann E. Wiringa, BS2,3, Rachel Bailey, MPH2,3, Tina-Marie Assi,
MPH2,3, and Bruce Y. Lee, MD, MBA2,3
1 Division of Reproductive Infectious Diseases, Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology and
Reproductive Sciences, University of Pittsburgh Medical Center, Pittsburgh, PA
2 Section of Decision Sciences and Clinical Systems Modeling, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh,
PA
3 Department of Epidemiology, Graduate School of Public Health and Department of Biomedical
Informatics, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA
Abstract
Background—The cost-effectiveness of maternal influenza immunization against laboratory-
confirmed influenza has never been studied. The current 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic provides
a timely opportunity to perform such analyses. The study objective was to evaluate the cost-
effectiveness of maternal influenza vaccination using both single and two-dosing strategies against
laboratory-confirmed influenza secondary to both seasonal epidemics and pandemic influenza
outbreaks.
Methods—A cost-effectiveness decision analytic model construct using epidemic and pandemic
influenza characteristics from both the societal and third-party payor perspectives. A comparison
was made between vaccinating all pregnant women in the United States versus not vaccinating
pregnant women. Probabilistic (Monte Carlo) sensitivity analyses were also performed. The main
outcome measures were incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs).
Results—Maternal influenza vaccination using either the single or two-dose strategy is a cost-
effective approach when influenza prevalence greater than or equal to 7.5% and influenza-attributable
mortality is greater than or equal to 1.05% (consistent with epidemic strains). As the prevalence of
influenza and/or the severity of the outbreak increases the incremental value of vaccination also
increases. At a higher prevalence of influenza (30%) the single-dose strategy demonstrates cost-
savings while the two-dose strategy remains highly cost-effective (ICER $6,787.77 per quality
adjusted life year).
Conclusions—Maternal influenza immunization is a highly cost-effective intervention at disease
rates and severity that correspond to both seasonal influenza epidemics and occasional pandemics.
These findings justify ongoing efforts to optimize influenza vaccination during pregnancy from an
economic perspective.
Corresponding author: Richard H. Beigi, MD, MSc., Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology & Reproductive Sciences, Magee-Womens
Hospital of the University of Pittsburgh, Medical Center, 300 Halket Street, Pittsburgh, PA 15213, P: (412) 641-5403, F: (412) 641-1133,
rbeigi@mail.magee.edu.
Disclosure: Richard Beigi has received honoraria for a CME lecture on maternal vaccination that was partially supported by Sanofi
Pasteur.
No other authors have any conflicts of interest to report.
NIH Public Access
Author Manuscript
Clin Infect Dis. Author manuscript; available in PMC 2010 June 18.
Published in final edited form as:
Clin Infect Dis. 2009 December 15; 49(12): 1784–1792. doi:10.1086/649013.
NIH-PA Author Manuscript NIH-PA Author Manuscript NIH-PA Author Manuscript
Keywords
Influenza; maternal vaccination; epidemic; pandemic; cost-effectiveness
Introduction
The ongoing 2009 pandemic of H1N1 swine-origin influenza A has heightened the world’s
attention to the inevitability of influenza pandemics [1]. Wide-scale efforts to improve the
understanding of the epidemiology of the current outbreak have been undertaken to temper the
extent of the current outbreak and mitigate future pandemics. Nonetheless, human cases with
this novel pandemic influenza strain have been confirmed in all areas of the world. The critical
role in global disease prevention of a strain-specific vaccine is recognized and a vaccine against
the current 2009 H1N1 influenza strain is now available and scheduled for use [2]. Uncertainty
remains for different patient populations over whether the anticipated vaccine program against
2009 H1N1 will consist of single or multiple successive doses. It is clear, however, that the
greatest benefits will be realized through implementation of wide-scale vaccination programs
that successfully immunize a critical mass of the population.
Pregnant women and neonates less than 6 months of age represent two unique yet interrelated
patient populations that historically have been disproportionately affected by both seasonal
and pandemic outbreaks of influenza. Significantly higher morbidity and mortality (compared
to the general population) were recorded among both neonates and pregnant women during
the twentieth century influenza pandemics [3–7]. These disproportionate rates of morbidity are
also repeatedly noted for neonates and pregnant women during seasonal influenza epidemics
[4,8–11]. In addition, emerging data also suggests that the current 2009 H1N1 influenza
pandemic strain is generating higher morbidity and mortality among pregnant women
consistent with previous pandemics [12].
The Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP) and the American College of
Obstetricians and Gynecologists (ACOG) recommend yearly influenza vaccination for all
pregnant women during influenza season [4,13]. Despite these recommendations data from the
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) highlight poor national rates (13%) of
maternal vaccination despite demonstrated safety of the trivalent inactivated influenza vaccine
[4,14,15]. In addition, recent data suggest that reluctance exists among pregnant women to
accept vaccination using a rapidly developed pandemic avian influenza vaccine [16]. A further
barrier to influenza prevention for neonates is their exclusion from vaccination
recommendations [4].
The cost-effectiveness of maternal seasonal single-dose influenza vaccination for the
prevention of influenza-like illness (ILI) during pregnancy has been previously demonstrated
[17]. Although well-performed, this analysis quantified prevention of ILI and did not
investigate the direct value of vaccination to prevent laboratory-confirmed influenza. Neither
protection conferred to neonates by maternal vaccination nor costs associated with likely
increases in preterm birth during influenza pandemics were included. Recent data have
confirmed the previously theoretical benefit of neonatal influenza prevention following
maternal vaccination, adding greatly to the cumulative benefits of maternal influenza
immunization [18].
The goal of the current study was to assess the cost-effectiveness of universal maternal
influenza vaccination using both a single and two-dose approach during seasonal and pandemic
influenza outbreaks. It is hypothesized that immunization of pregnant women against both
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seasonal and novel pandemic influenza strains will be cost-effective regardless of number of
doses administered.
Methods
Model Structure
Using TreeAge Pro Suite 2008 (TreeAge Software, Williamstown, MA), a stochastic decision
analytic computer simulation model was constructed to simulate the decision of maternal
immunization for an influenza epidemic and/or pandemic. The model evaluated outcomes for
both mothers and neonates. Figures 1a and 1b show the overall structure of the model. The
model was run from both the third-party payor and societal perspectives, as well as with single
and two-dose approaches. The two-dose approach was included to simulate potential pandemic
vaccination scenarios.
Each pregnant woman entering the model has the option of being vaccinated against influenza
(against either seasonal or pandemic strains) during an already scheduled prenatal visit. She
then has a probability of experiencing acute side effects from the vaccine, including but not
limited to injection site irritation, fever, and myalgias. Based on the predicted efficacy of the
vaccine and the predicted prevalence of influenza, each woman has a probability of developing
influenza. Women that develop influenza have a probability of home self-treatment, a clinic
visit for evaluation and management, and/or being hospitalized for more severe illness. Only
hospitalized women have a probability of death. Gestational age at time of maternal influenza
infection determines the probability of survival for the fetus if the mother dies after
hospitalization. Twenty-four weeks of gestation was chosen as the cut-point for neonatal
survival with increasing rates of survival at later gestations consistent with national data on
preterm birth [19].
Neonatal probability of influenza was modified by maternal influenza vaccination status.
Neonates whose mothers had been vaccinated while pregnant had a decreased probability of
influenza [18]. In the baseline seasonal scenario, neonatal risk of influenza was set equal to
the estimated background risk of confirmed seasonal influenza of 0.125 (range: 0.05–0.20)
[4,20]. Development of influenza infection in the neonate was independent of maternal
influenza. Neonates who developed influenza had a chance of hospitalization for severe disease
and only hospitalized neonates were at risk for death.
Data Inputs
All cost and probability variables and their respective distributions that were included are
shown in Table 1. Triangular distributions were used for all variables except the costs of
maternal and neonatal hospitalization, and cost of lost wages, which assumed gamma
distributions. For the two-dose strategy against pandemic strains, vaccine cost and probability
of side effects were doubled, while all other parameters remained consistent with the single-
dose model. All costs were in 2009 U.S. dollars. A discount rate of 3% converted past and
future costs into 2009 dollars.
Quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), an accepted measure of disease burden, were used to
quantify the effectiveness of maternal vaccination and clinical outcomes associated with
vaccination and influenza in both mother and neonate. A QALY value of 1 was used to represent
the best possible health and was attributed to healthy newborns. A QALY value of 0 was
ascribed for death, and intermediate decrements were applied for both the natural aging process
and disease states. This model assumed that pregnant women in the model had a median age
of 27.1 years, consistent with data at the National Vital Statistics System at the Centers for
Disease Control and Prevention [28]. The QALY expectancies used for effectiveness
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calculations were 43.96 years and 72.64 years for pregnant mothers and neonates, respectively,
based on age and clinical condition-specific QALY decrements applied to projected life
expectancy estimates from the Human Mortality Database [29]. The baseline utility in QALYs
used for a 27.1 year old pregnant woman was 0.92 and 1.0 for a neonate [27,30,31].
Model assumptions were made based on previous published literature and convention for
economic analyses of influenza (4,21,32,33). Length of influenza infection (as well as side
effects from vaccination) for both mothers and neonates was 7 days (range 3–10 days). The
length of hospitalization for those admitted was 4 days. An outpatient visit for influenza
resulted in four hours of lost productivity and wages from the societal perspective. No lost
productivity and/or wages were attributed to already scheduled visits for prenatal care where
the influenza vaccine was administered. The corresponding QALYs attributed for the 7 days
of infection were: 0.5 (range: 0.38–0.63) for hospitalization, indicating that that women
hospitalized for influenza function at 50% (range: 38–63%) of their maximum expected quality
of life compared to healthy non-hospitalized women without influenza. Additional condition-
specific QALY values included 0.65 (range: 0.49–0.81) for influenza without hospitalization,
and 0.95 (range: 0.71–1.00) for the vaccine side [21,34,35].
Sensitivity Analyses
To examine the impact of altering the values of key variables probabilistic sensitivity analyses
were performed for all input parameters over the ranges noted in Table 1. Prevalence of
influenza was systematically varied from 0.001 to 0.35 to simulate a wide range of theoretical
influenza outbreaks. Maternal mortality from influenza was varied from the seasonal influenza
mortality of 0.0105 to four times this value, 0.0420, to simulate more virulent circulating strains
of influenza consistent with influenza pandemics [3–7]. Estimates of vaccine efficacy (and
ranges) were derived from values in the literature and were triangular distributions. The base
case scenario for maternal vaccine efficacy was 73% (range: 50–80%) and for neonatal efficacy
an efficacy of 63% (range: 5–85) was employed [4,18]. Vaccine efficacy also varied in both
the pregnant woman and neonate together from 25% to 50%. This variation accounted for
potential lower vaccine efficacy against novel pandemic strains given potential for less robust
immune responses.
Results
Simulation runs were conducted of 1,000 trials of 1,000 pregnant women (or 1,000,000 total
pregnant women traveling through the model) from both the societal and third-party payor
perspectives for single and two-dose strategies. All simulations used the incremental cost-
effectiveness ratio (ICER) of maternal influenza vaccination, calculated as follows:
Table 2 shows how the optimal choice of whether to vaccinate a pregnant woman for influenza
varies depending on prevalence of influenza, probability of death from influenza (severity),
and the number of doses administered. When vaccination yields cost savings as well as better
effectiveness, it “dominates” the no-vaccination option. In addition, when the ICER is
$50,000/QALY (a previously established threshold) an intervention is considered cost-
effective.
Simulations run from the societal perspective with a single-dose strategy were performed first.
Table 2 lists the respective ICERs using the base-case efficacy of 73% in pregnant women and
63% in neonates and compares single to two-dose strategies. These simulations demonstrate
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that when influenza prevalence is 30% and the probability of death from influenza is set equal
to the expected seasonal influenza mortality, or the prevalence of influenza is 25%, and
mortality is 2, 3 and 4 times the seasonal rate, vaccination is the dominant strategy. Single-
dose maternal immunization was also found to be cost-effective when influenza prevalence
was as low as 5% and the probability of death from influenza is set equal to the expected
seasonal influenza mortality (or higher), or the prevalence of influenza is 2.5% and mortality
is 2, 3 and 4 times the seasonal mortality rate. Simulations run from the third-party payor
perspective (data not shown) likewise demonstrate that single-dose vaccination is the dominant
strategy when influenza prevalence is 30% and the probability of death from influenza is set
equal to the expected seasonal influenza mortality, or higher. Single-dose vaccination remains
cost-effective when the prevalence of influenza is 2.5% and the probability of influenza-
attributable mortality is greater than or equal to the expected seasonal rate.
Simulations using the two-dose strategy from societal perspective were subsequently
performed using the same efficacy above (Table 2). A two-dose strategy also demonstrated
cost-effectiveness when influenza prevalence is 7.5% and the probability of death from
influenza is set equal to the expected seasonal influenza mortality and 2 times this rate, and
when the prevalence of influenza is 5% and influenza-attributable mortality is 3 or 4 times
the expected seasonal rate. Compared to the single-dose approach, cost-effectiveness at
baseline vaccine efficacy is realized for the two-dose approach at a slightly higher prevalence
of influenza (5% for 2-dose vs. 2.5% for 1-dose). This is noted for all levels of vaccine
efficacy and mortality. A two-dose strategy, however, never dominates the no-vaccination
approach.
Sensitivity analyses testing lower vaccine efficacies (25% and 50% for both maternal and
neonatal efficacy) were performed from the societal perspective using both the single and two-
dose strategies At the lowest presumed vaccine efficacy of 25%, vaccination remained cost-
effective at influenza prevalence levels 7.5% for single-dose immunization at all levels of
influenza-attributable mortality. Cost-effectiveness was realized for a two-dose immunization
strategy when the prevalence of influenza is 12.5% (expected seasonal value) and the
probability of mortality due to influenza is equal to expected seasonal influenza mortality, or
when influenza prevalence is 10% and the probability of influenza-attributable mortality is
2, 3, or 4 times the expected seasonal mortality rate.
Increasing the vaccine efficacy to 50% demonstrates that a single-dose vaccination strategy is
cost-effective when influenza prevalence is 5% and the probability of death from influenza
is set equal to the expected seasonal influenza mortality, or higher. Cost-effectiveness is also
realized for a two-dose approach when the prevalence of influenza is 10% and the influenza-
attributable mortality rate is equal to the expected seasonal rate or twice that, or when
prevalence of influenza is 7.5% and the probability of death from influenza is 3 or 4 times
the expected seasonal mortality rate.
Figure 2(a–c) highlights the findings of a single-dose approach, comparing different vaccine
efficacies and influenza prevalence, in addition to increasing levels of mortality (severity of
infection). The two key factors noted to impact cost-effectiveness of both dosing strategies to
the greatest extent are influenza prevalence and severity of illness.
Figure 3 shows the acceptability curves for different influenza prevalence levels when vaccine
efficacy is 73% in the mother and 63% in the neonate and the probability of death from
influenza is 1.05%. These curves demonstrate that when influenza prevalence is 12.5% and
the maximum willingness-to-pay is $50,000, vaccinating pregnant women for influenza is cost-
effective approximately 90% of the time. As the prevalence of influenza increases, the same
probability of maternal vaccination yielding cost-effectiveness is achieved at lower
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willingness-to-pay thresholds (approximately $30,000 at 15% prevalence, $20,000 at 20%, and
$15,000 at 25%).
Discussion
These results demonstrate the clear cost-effectiveness of maternal influenza vaccination at
disease prevalence rates consistent with both seasonal influenza epidemics and the occasional
influenza pandemic. This comes during an active influenza pandemic when novel vaccine and
mass-vaccination protocols are under development and implementation. Importantly, the
results of this study remain robust regardless of whether a single or two-dose strategy is
adopted. The cost-effectiveness of maternal vaccination also becomes increasingly more
pronounced as the clinical severity and prevalence of influenza increase in the population,
which is characteristic of influenza pandemics such as 2009 H1N1. It is also important to
highlight that even with more mild outbreaks typical of a seasonal influenza (lower prevalence
and/or severity of infection), cost-effectiveness of maternal vaccination remains.
While this investigation is timely for 2009 H1N1, it is acknowledged that vaccine acceptance
is a key component related to the effectiveness of large immunization programs and maternal
seasonal influenza immunization efforts suffer from poor acceptance [14]. Moreover, the
recently reported reticence among the obstetric community to accept a rapidly developed
pandemic influenza vaccine may pose challenges among this vulnerable population [16].
Strong support for maternal immunization exists when one considers the combination of
demonstrated safety in pregnancy, ethical obligations for protecting vulnerable populations,
and the favorable economics delineated herein. Although vaccine acceptance has many
influential factors, it is hoped that these data strengthen ongoing efforts and improve acceptance
overall, particularly against 2009 H1N1.
Previous investigators have demonstrated the cost-effectiveness of seasonal maternal influenza
vaccine for the prevention of ILI [17]. The most important difference is that the model presented
herein directly assesses the cost-effectiveness of maternal influenza vaccination against rates
of laboratory-confirmed cases, not self-reported influenza-like illness. This is a noteworthy
difference because the point estimates and prevalence ranges used for ILI represent much
higher estimations of influenza-attributable outcomes than those used in the current
investigation. Thus, an overestimation of the true level of potential influenza-specific disease
prevention is possible when considering ILI. The current model includes conferral of protection
from vaccinated mother to fetus, and also acknowledges increased rates of preterm birth and
the associated economic burden that have been demonstrated in previous influenza pandemics
[5,7,8,18,19}. Another important distinction is that the current model simulates both single-
dose and two-dose mass vaccination approaches. The current model thus strives to provide
wider-ranging influenza scenarios and produce economic projections that approximate the
fluctuating characteristics of influenza disease more directly.
Analysis of the cost-effectiveness of influenza immunization for seasonal outbreaks among
healthy adult populations has yielded mixed results. Nichol et al. demonstrated many
significant clinical benefits of vaccination that translated into an approximate cost-savings of
$46.85 per person vaccinated [36]. A subsequent investigation failed to show robust yearly
cost savings [37]. These authors attributed their non-robust yearly findings to fluctuations
between vaccine and seasonal strain compatibility. The higher rates of untoward influenza-
associated outcomes noted among pregnant women and neonates plus the additional
measurable neonatal protection from maternal vaccination provides a basis for the robust nature
of our findings [3–7,9–11,18].
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Vaccine safety is always an important consideration when contemplating widespread use. The
safety profile used for the current investigation was modeled with the same high level of safety
noted in pregnancy using the seasonal trivalent inactivated influenza vaccine given identical
manufacturing technology (4,15). It is acknowledged that safety of future vaccines are never
known until widespread use. Thus, any arising safety concerns noted with a pandemic influenza
vaccine could impact these results in an economically disadvantageous manner. Likewise, the
decision not to include Guillain-Barré Syndrome (GBS) as a side-effect of influenza
vaccination may have underestimated the overall costs associated with vaccination. The
decision to omit GBS as a clinical outcome was made given the paucity of data clearly linking
GBS and current influenza vaccination and the fact that most cases of Guillain-Barré appear
to come from natural infections, including influenza. Thus, GBS could also occur in increased
frequency (thus generating costs) if the vaccine was not administered [38,39].
It is also important to consider that all computer simulation models are simplifications of real
life and cannot represent every possible event that may result from influenza infection or
vaccination. For example, mass vaccination “clinics” (and any associated costs) were not
factored into this model given regional variability in immunization methods. The data inputs
for this model also come from studies of varying quality, and computer models are subject to
their respective assumptions. However, frequently referenced sources were used and thus
represent the current best approximations of these values.
Nonetheless, clear cost-effectiveness against influenza prevalence rates noted during yearly
epidemics and during pandemic outbreaks is demonstrated. Maternal immunization becomes
increasingly cost-effective (generating actual cost-savings) as the prevalence and/or severity
of influenza increases. These findings economically justify ongoing efforts to maximize
maternal influenza immunization under all disease scenarios.
Acknowledgments
Work partially supported by the National Institutes of Health (NIH) National Institute of General Medical Sciences
(NIGMS) Models of Infectious Disease Agent Study (MIDAS) research network.
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vaccination of healthy working adults: A randomized controlled trial. JAMA 2000;284:1655–63.
[PubMed: 11015795]
38. Lasky T, Terracciano GJ, Magder L, et al. The Guillain-Barré syndrome and the 1992–1993 and
1993–1994 influenza vaccines. N Engl J Med 1998;339:1797–1802. [PubMed: 9854114]
39. Haber P, DeStefano F, Angulo FJ, et al. Guillain-Barré syndrome following influenza vaccination.
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Beigi et al. Page 9
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Figure 1.
A General model structure B Maternal and neonatal influenza subtrees.
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Figure 2.
Incremental cost - effectiveness ratio (ICERs) for vaccinating pregnant women for influenza
at different vaccine efficacies and influenza prevalence (single vaccine dose). Probabilities of
mortality were 1.05%, 2.10%, and 4.20% for panels A–C, respectively. *12.5% is the most
likely value from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention annual influenza prevalence
estimate. QALY, quality - adjusted life year.
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Figure 3.
Acceptability curves at different influenza prevalence levels for base case vaccine efficacy and
influenza - attributable mortality from a societal perspective (single vaccine dose). *12.5% is
the most likely value from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention annual influenza
prevalence estimate. Base case vaccine efficacy, 73% for mothers and 63% for neonates; base
case influenza - attributable mortality, 1.05%.
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Table 1
Cost and Probability Inputs
Description Value Reference(s)
Cost, US$
Death
  Mother 5000.00 [21]
  Neonate 5000.00 [21]
Home treatment of influenza
  Mother 15.61 (11.70–19.51) [22]
  Neonate 15.61 (11.70–19.51) [22]
Home treatment of vaccine - related adverse effects 0.76 (0.68–3.82) [22]
Hospitalization for influenza
  Mother 3526 ± 302.10 [23]
  Neonate 2323.84 ± 262.38 [23]
Influenza vaccine, per dose 15.00 (10.00–20.00) [22]
Preterm birth
  Third - party payor perspective 37,366.89 [19]
  Societal perspective 58,076.25 [19]
Productivity loss for outpatient visit for illnessa64.08 ± 5.04 [24]
Probabilities
Death due to influenza
  Hospitalized mother 0.0105 [20]
  Neonate 0.0000088 (0.0000052–0.0000139) [4,25]
  Preterm neonate 0.02 (0.0088–0.151) [4]
Hospitalization
  Mother 0.004 (0.001–0.007) [20]
  Neonate 0.0048 (0.0024–0.0072) [20]
Influenza
  Mother 0.125 (0.05–0.20) [20]
  Neonate 0.125 (0.05–0.20) [20]
Preterm birth 0.12 ± 0.1 [19,26]
Adverse effects of vaccination, per dose 0.05 [27]
Vaccine efficacy
  Mother 0.73 (0.50–0.80) [20]
  Neonate 0.63 (0.05–0.85) [18]
NOTE. Data are mean ± standard deviation or mean (95% confidence interval).
aOnly applied for societal perspective simulations; assumes 4 h of lost wages.
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Table 2
Incremental Cost - Effectiveness Ratios (ICERs) for Single - and 2 - Dose Maternal Influenza Vaccination using 73% and 63% Efficacy for Mothers and
Neonates, Respectively (Societal Perspective)
Prevalence of influenza
Probability of death (severity of influenza strain)a
Single - dose option Two - dose option
0.0105 0.021 (2×) 0.0315 (3×) 0.042 (4×) 0.0105 0.021 (2×) 0.0315 (3×) 0.042 (4×)
0.025 76,835.47 35,049.72 31,080.77 30,929.89 138,012.76 101,747.98 236,745.07 122,145.75
0.05 26,307.67 30,903.57 30,591.51 14,708.87 71,032.61 77,562.47 47,330.25 43,318.68
0.1 9165.78 11,506.89 7061.17 9933.36 27,079.08 31,931.70 22,240.58 21,130.45
0.125b7718.32 6543.38 6090.59 4350.15 19,527.97 26,221.96 17,400.19 10,148.43
0.15 5019.41 4059.41 3721.89 3634.95 18,068.06 15,808.83 14,158.94 8899.62
0.25 603.42 Vaccinate Vaccinate Vaccinate 9284.22 6490.86 5394.14 4581.31
0.3 Vaccinate Vaccinate Vaccinate Vaccinate 6787.77 4223.76 3057.21 2597.23
0.35 Vaccinate Vaccinate Vaccinate Vaccinate 4499.38 2387.32 2516.00 1657.27
NOTE. Data are ICERs in US$ per quality - adjusted life year. Boldface font indicates scenarios that were cost - effective (ICER, $50,000 per quality - adjusted life year). Underlined entries in boldface font
are scenarios in which vaccination was the dominant strategy (ie, maternal vaccination was less costly and more effective than no maternal vaccination).
aRepresents base case probability of maternal death from influenza strain among hospitalized women.
bRepresents base case influenza prevalence
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... The majority of the evaluated studies reported their outcomes using CUA [27][28][29][30][31][32][33][34][35][36][37][38][39][40][41][42][43][44][45][46]. Other types of economic evaluation considered were CEAs (N = 11) [47][48][49][50][51][52][53][54][55][56][57], CBA (11 studies) [58][59][60][61][62][63][64][65][66][67][68], or combining more than one type (10 studies) [69][70][71][72][73][74][75][76][77][78]. ...
... Most studies reflected the societal perspective (N = 18) [30,[34][35][36][41][42][43][45][46][47]55,57,63,64,67,73,78,79]. Fifteen studies evaluated the issue in question from more than one perspective, combining the societal perspective with another perspective [27,32,33,[37][38][39][40]44,49,52,56,59,66,68,77]. The rest of the studies considered either a healthcare provider perspective [29,31,50,58,72,75], employer perspective [60,65], patient perspective [51], family perspective [69], school perspective [70], net monetary benefit perspective [71], or medical insurance perspective [61]. ...
... The reviewed articles were mostly considering comparison of either IIV (N = 44) or LAIV (N = 8) with no vaccination, or another vaccine alternative. More details on the compared alternatives per article are presented in Table 3. AEFI-adverse event following immunization; Population characteristics showed that analyses focusing on children were most frequent (N = 18) [27,28,30,33,37,42,[47][48][49]52,55,56,67,69,70,[76][77][78], followed by analyses of the elderly (N = 12) [35,[38][39][40]46,50,53,57,58,62,72,75], pregnant/postpartum women and infants (N = 7) [29,31,32,34,41,59,74] and other groups of adults (workforce, risk groups) [36,[43][44][45]51,54,60,61,[63][64][65][66]68,71,73]. ...
Article
Full-text available
(1) Background: Vaccines for seasonal influenza are a good preventive and cost-effective strategy. However, it is unknown if and how these economic evaluations include the adverse events following immunization (AEFI), and what the impact of such inclusion is on the health economic outcomes. (2) Methods: We searched the literature, up to January 2020, to identify economic evaluations of seasonal influenza vaccines that considered AEFIs. The review protocol was published in PROSPERO (CDR42017058523). (3) Results: A total of 52 economic evaluations considered AEFI-related parameters in their analyses, reflecting 16% of the economic evaluations on seasonal influenza vaccines in the initial study selection. Most studies used the societal perspective (64%) and evaluated vaccination of children (37%). Where considered, studies included direct medical costs of AEFIs (90%), indirect costs (27%), and disutilities/quality-adjusted life years loss due to AEFIs (37%). The majority of these studies accounted for the effects of the costs of AEFI on cost-effectiveness for Guillain–Barré syndrome. In those papers allowing cost share estimation, direct medical cost of AFEIs was less than 2% of total direct costs. (4) Conclusions: Although the overall impact of AEFIs on the cost-effectiveness outcomes was found to be low, we urge their inclusion in economic evaluations of seasonal influenza vaccines to reflect comprehensive reports for the decision makers and end-users of the vaccination strategies.
... As such, many studies have performed cost-effectiveness analyses on influenza vaccination. Beigi et al. found that influenza vaccination in the pregnant population was cost saving in the context of the H1N1 influenza pandemic [12]. Another cost-effectiveness analysis of the influenza vaccine in pregnant individuals evaluated if greater vaccine uptake would have been cost-effective for three specific influenza seasons using vaccine efficacy and incidence data for these seasons. ...
... We used a cost of $1779 for H1N1 influenza infection and $167 for A or B type influenza. Based on methods from previous cost-effectiveness analyses looking at influenza, we derived these costs from combined costs of care in the intensive care unit, hospital, and home [12,14,[33][34][35][36]. We multiplied the cost of H1N1 to the 0.57% of vaccinated individuals predicted to be infected with influenza and 7.4% of unvaccinated individuals. ...
... Our results are consistent with previous studies, both within the pregnant and general population, investigating the costs and outcomes associated with universal influenza vaccination [12][13][14]. A limitation of our findings is that the robustness of the theoretical models is constrained by the accuracy of the model inputs. ...
Article
Objective To assess the cost-effectiveness of influenza vaccination for all pregnant patients in the United States. Methods We designed a cost-effectiveness model to compare outcomes and costs in pregnant patients who received the inactivated, trivalent influenza vaccine to those who did not. We used a theoretical cohort of 4 million patients, the number of individuals giving birth in the United States per year. We assumed that H1N1 and A or B type influenza were of equal incidence based on seasonal variation from the past ten years. Our outcomes include acquiring H1N1, acquiring A or B type influenza, maternal death, stillbirth, infant death, preterm birth, and cerebral palsy in addition to cost and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs). Probabilities were derived from the literature and QALYs generated at a discount rate of 3%. Sensitivity analyses were performed to assess the robustness of our model. Results In our theoretical cohort of 4 million pregnant patients, the influenza vaccination strategy was associated with 1632 fewer stillbirths (24,332 in the vaccine strategy vs. 25,964 in the no vaccine strategy), 120 fewer maternal deaths (284 vs. 404), 340 fewer infant deaths (5608 vs. 5948), 32,856 fewer preterm births (403,896 vs. 436,752), and 641 fewer cases of moderate cerebral palsy (12,388 vs. 13,029). Additionally, the vaccination strategy corresponded to savings of $3.7 billion ($63.3 billion vs. $67.0 billion) and increased QALYs of 81,696 (226,852,076 vs 226,770,380). Therefore, it was considered a dominant strategy. Univariate sensitivity analysis demonstrated that the vaccine is cost saving until vaccine cost passes $900, far above the current cost of $12.16. In addition, we used sensitivity analysis to vary seasonal proportions of H1N1 to A or B type influenza. The vaccine was cost saving and increased QALYs for any proportion of H1N1 to A or B type influenza including when H1N1 was absent. Conclusion We demonstrate that in a cohort of 4 million patients, the influenza vaccine may save $3.7 billion per year, improve maternal and infant outcomes, and reduce morbidity and mortality. Our study provides further evidence that providers should strongly recommend that pregnant patients receive their annual influenza vaccine.
... The World Health Organization (WHO) published the Pandemic Influenza Risk Management Interim Guidance [2] including some socio-economic considerations excluding cost-effectiveness evaluations, very probably because of the challenges in measuring the impact of public health interventions and the small number of comparative studies of public health responses [4]. Pérez Velasco et al. [10] published a systematic review identifying 44 economic evaluations in pandemic preparedness strategies studies of which 34 (77%) only focused on therapeutic interventions [11][12][13][14][15][16][17][18][19][20]. Only four studies (9%) focused solely on non-therapeutic interventions (school closures, air travel restrictions, sick leave authorizations, use of face masks) [21][22][23]. ...
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Full-text available
Background The FLURESP project is a public health research funded by the European Commission, with the objective to design a methodological framework to assess the cost-effectiveness of existing public health measures against human influenza pandemics. A dataset has been specifically collected in the frame of the Italian health system. As most of interventions against human influenza are relavant against other respiratory diseases pandemics, potential interests in COVID-19 are discussed. Methods Ten public health measures against human influenza pandemics pandemic were selected to be also relevant to other respiratory virus pandemics such as COVID 19: individual (hand washing, using masks), border control (quarantine, fever screening, border closure), community infection (school closure, class dismissal, social distancing, limitation of public transport), reduction of secondary infections (implementation of antibiotic therapy guidelines), pneumococcal vaccination for at-risk people, development of Intensive Care Unit (ICU) capacity, implementation of life support equipments in ICU, screening interventions, vaccination programs targeting health professional and targeting general population. Results Using mortality reduction as effectiveness criteria, the most cost-effective strategies are “reduction of secondary infections” and “implementation of life support equipment in ICU”. The least cost-effective option whatever the level of pandemic events are screening interventions and mass vaccination. Conclusions A number of intervention strategies against human influenza pandemics appears relevant against every respiratory virus, including the COVID-19 event. Measures against pandemics should be considered according to their expected effectiveness but also their costs for the society because they impose substantial burden to the population, confirming the interest of considering cost-effectiveness of public health measures to enlighten decision making.
... This study showed a low (13%) overall uptake rate of influenza vaccination by pregnant women over the study period 2015-2018 and also a low proportion of pregnant women who reported to have received a recommendation for the vaccination (20%). Considering the efficacy and safety of the vaccine, as well as the possible reduction of societal cost by preventing influenza infection in pregnant women [38,39], an increase of this uptake rate should be urgently sought. ...
Article
Full-text available
Abstract Background Seasonal influenza vaccination has been recommended for pregnant women in Germany since 2010. The aim of this study was to examine prevalence and determinants of receipt of provider recommendation for influenza vaccination as well as influenza vaccination uptake during pregnancy. Methods We analysed data from the “KUNO Kids Health Study”, a prospective birth cohort. During the study period (5th July 2015 to 27th June 2018) data were collected from participating mothers by interview and questionnaire. According to Andersen’s behavioural model of health services use potential influencing factors describing the circumstances and characteristics of the mothers and their pregnancies which are potentially affecting whether women receive a recommendation for a vaccination or whether they utilize influenza vaccination were classified into three domains: ‘predisposing characteristics’, ‘enabling resources’ and ‘need’. Using multivariable logistic regression models odds ratios (OR) and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) were calculated. Results As a combined result across three flu seasons, 368 of 1814 (20.3%) women received an influenza vaccination recommendation during pregnancy. Having had a high-risk pregnancy increased the odds of receiving a vaccination recommendation (OR = 1.3; 95% CI = 1.0–1.6; p = 0.045). In contrast, pregnancy onset in summer (OR = 0.7; 95% CI = 0.5–1.0; p = 0.027), autumn (OR = 0.4; 95% CI = 0.3–0.5; p
... Studies from high-income settings suggest that seasonal influenza vaccination is likely to be cost-effective [17,18], particularly in high-risk groups -pregnant women [19][20][21], the elderly [22][23][24], as well as individuals with UMCs [25][26][27][28][29][30]. However, there remains a dearth of evidence on the cost-effectiveness of influenza vaccination in LMICs. ...
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Background Seasonal influenza imposes a significant health and economic burden in South Africa, particularly in populations vulnerable to severe consequences of influenza. This study assesses the cost-effectiveness of South Africa’s seasonal influenza vaccination strategy, which involves vaccinating vulnerable populations with trivalent inactivated influenza vaccine (TIV) during routine facility visits. Vulnerable populations included in our analysis are persons aged ≥ 65 years; pregnant women; persons living with HIV/AIDS (PLWHA), persons of any age with underlying medical conditions (UMC) and children aged 6–59 months. Method We employed the World Health Organisation’s (WHO) Cost Effectiveness Tool for Seasonal Influenza Vaccination (CETSIV), a decision tree model, to evaluate the 2018 seasonal influenza vaccination campaign from a public healthcare provider and societal perspective. CETSIV was populated with existing country-specific demographic, epidemiologic and coverage data to estimate incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) by comparing costs and benefits of the influenza vaccination programme to no vaccination. Results The highest number of clinical events (influenza cases, outpatient visits, hospitalisation and deaths) were averted in PLWHA and persons with other UMCs. Using a cost-effectiveness threshold of US$ 3 400 per quality-adjusted life year (QALY), our findings suggest that the vaccination programme is cost-effective for all vulnerable populations except for children aged 6–59 months. ICERs ranged from ~US$ 1 750 /QALY in PLWHA to ~US$ 7 500/QALY in children. In probabilistic sensitivity analyses, the vaccination programme was cost-effective in pregnant women, PLWHA, persons with UMCs and persons aged ≥65 years in >80% of simulations. These findings were robust to changes in many model inputs but were most sensitive to uncertainty in estimates of influenza-associated illness burden. Conclusion South Africa's seasonal influenza vaccination strategy of opportunistically targeting vulnerable populations during routine visits is cost-effective. A budget impact analysis will be useful for supporting future expansions of the programme.
Article
Background: Seasonal influenza vaccination is clinically important and reduces hospitalization costs for pregnant women. However, is it also a cost-effective intervention? Method: We conducted a systematic search of Medline (via PUBMED), EMBASE, SCOPUS, and Web of Science databases. We included any economic evaluation studies that reported Incremental Cost-Effectiveness Ratios for vaccinating pregnant women against influenza. Result: Out of 927 potentially eligible articles, only 14 full texts met our inclusion criteria. In almost all studies, vaccinating pregnant women was a cost-effective and cost-saving strategy. In one study, it was not cost-effective when the researchers used costs and probabilities related to other groups (healthy adults) due to the lack of data for pregnant women. The main factors influencing the cost-effectiveness of the studies were vaccine efficacy and vaccination cost. Conclusion: Influenza vaccination of pregnant women is a cost-effective intervention. More studies on the cost-effectiveness of this intervention in underdeveloped countries are needed.
Preprint
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Background: The FLURESP project is a public health research funded by the European Commission, with the objective to design a methodological framework to assess and compare the cost-effectiveness of existing public health measures against human influenza pandemics in four target countries: France, Italy, Poland and Romania. This article presents the results relevant to the Italian health system using a dataset specifically collected for this purpose. As most of interventions against human influenza are relavant against other respiratory diseases pandemics, potential interests in COVID-19 are discussed. Methods: Eight public health measures against human influenza pandemics pandemic were selected to be also relevant to other respiratory virus pandemics such as COVID 19: 1) individual (hand washing, using masks), 2) border control (quarantine, fever screening, border closure), 3) community infection (school closure, class dismissal, social distancing, limitation of public transport), 4) reduction of secondary infections (implementation of antibiotic therapy guidelines), 5) pneumococcal vaccination for at-risk people, 6) development of Intensive Care Unit (ICU) capacity, 7) implementation of life support equipments in ICU and 8) screening interventions (virus testing). The outcome "achieving a mortality reduction of higher or equal to 40%” has been selected as a meaningful effectiveness criteria from the public health perspective. Cost distributions have been taken into account according to the Italian health system using a uniform distribution. Results: In the frame of the major pandemic event observed in Italy in 2020, the most cost-effective strategies are “reduction of secondary infections” and “implementation of life support equipment in ICU”. The least cost-effective option during a major pandemic event is screening interventions. Conclusions: A number of intervention strategies against human influenza pandemics appears relevant against respiratory virus pandemics in general such as the COVID-19 pandemic. These pandemics are imposing a substantial economic burden in Italy, confirming the interest of considering the cost-effectiveness of public health measures to enlighten decision making.
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Background Pregnant women are particularly vulnerable to severe infection from influenza resulting in poor neonatal outcomes. The majority of evidence relates to pandemic 2009 A/H1N1 influenza. The objective of this study was to describe the characteristics and outcomes of pregnant women hospitalised with seasonal influenza. Methods This national, prospective, observational cohort study used the UK Obstetric Surveillance System (UKOSS) to identify all pregnant women admitted to hospital between 01/11/2016 and 31/10/2018 with laboratory confirmed influenza at any gestation and up to two days after giving birth. These were compared to women admitted to give birth that did not have influenza. Baseline characteristics, immunization status, maternal and perinatal outcomes were compared. Results There were 405 women admitted to hospital with laboratory confirmed influenza in pregnancy: 2.7 per 10,000 maternities. Compared to 694 comparison women, women with influenza were less likely to be professionally employed (aOR 0.59, 95%CI 0.39–0.89) or immunised in the relevant season (aOR 0·59, 0·39–0·89) and more likely to have asthma (aOR 2.42, 1.30–4.49) or have had a previous pregnancy complication (aOR 2·47, 1·33–4·61). They were more likely to be admitted to intensive care (aOR 21.3, 2.78–163.1) and to have a cesarean birth (aOR 1·42, 1·02–1.98). Their babies were more likely to be admitted to neonatal intensive care (aOR 1.86, 1·01–3·42). Conclusions Immunization reduces the risk of hospitalisation with influenza in pregnancy which is associated with increased risk of morbidity for both the mother and baby. There is a continued need to increase awareness of safety and effectiveness of immunization in pregnancy and provision within antenatal care settings, especially for high-risk groups.
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Influenza in pregnancy is a common condition that is associated with an increased risk of hospital admission. Women with comorbidities are at a greater risk of severe outcomes. There are substantial gaps in our knowledge of the impact of severe influenza on perinatal outcomes, particularly in low- and middle-income countries, but preterm birth, fetal death, infant respiratory infection and hospital admission may be increased. Thus, influenza is a major burden on health services. Immunisation is cost-effective, safe and effective in preventing influenza in pregnant women and their infants but policies and uptake vary worldwide. Operational challenges and concern over the safety, efficacy and necessity of immunisation are common, and there is a lack of evidence on how to overcome these barriers. This review identifies learning points that are relevant to the current coronavirus disease-2019 pandemic through describing the epidemiology and impact of seasonal and A(H1N1)pdm09 influenza in pregnancy, alongside the effectiveness and use of immunisation.
Article
Background: Pregnant women and infants are known as high risk groups for influenza. WHO recommend pregnant women be vaccinated with inactivated influenza vaccine. In Japan, some municipalities started to give subsidy to encourage pregnant women to receive a shot on their own accord, which has made the introduction of seasonal antepartum maternal vaccination program (AMVP) into the routine vaccination list a current topic in health policy and has raised the need to evaluate the value for money of such possibility. Methods: We conducted a cost-effectiveness analysis to evaluate the efficiency of conducting AMVP in Japan. A decision tree model was adopted taking into consideration the duration of single-year vaccine effectiveness for infants and for mothers. The program targeted pregnant women aged 20-49 years old at or over 12 weeks gestation during October 1 through March 30. Estimated probabilities of treatments received due to influenza for pregnant/postpartum women or their infants varied by calendar time, vaccination status, and/or gestational age. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) compared with current no-AMVP from societal perspective was calculated. Transition probabilities, utility weights to estimate quality-adjusted life year (QALY), and disease treatment costs were either calculated or extracted from literature. Costs per vaccination was assumed at ¥3,529/US$32.1. Results: AMVP reduces disease treatment costs, while the reduction cannot offset the vaccination cost. Incremental QALYs were at 0.00009, among them 84.2% were from infants. ICER was ¥7,779,356/US$70,721 per QALY gained. One-way sensitivity analyses revealed that vaccine effectiveness for infant and costs per shot were the two main key variables affecting the ICER. Conclusion: We found that vaccinating pregnant women with influenza vaccine to prevent unvaccinated infants and pregnant/postpartum women from influenza-associated disease in Japan can be cost-effective from societal perspective, under the WHO-suggested "cost-effective" criteria (1-3 times of GDP).
Article
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Background: On April 15 and April 17, 2009, novel swine-origin influenza A (H1N1) virus (S-OIV) was identified in specimens obtained from two epidemiologically unlinked patients in the United States. The same strain of the virus was identified in Mexico, Canada, and elsewhere. We describe 642 confirmed cases of human S-OIV infection identified from the rapidly evolving U.S. outbreak. Methods: Enhanced surveillance was implemented in the United States for human infection with influenza A viruses that could not be subtyped. Specimens were sent to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention for real-time reverse-transcriptase-polymerase-chain-reaction confirmatory testing for S-OIV. Results: From April 15 through May 5, a total of 642 confirmed cases of S-OIV infection were identified in 41 states. The ages of patients ranged from 3 months to 81 years; 60% of patients were 18 years of age or younger. Of patients with available data, 18% had recently traveled to Mexico, and 16% were identified from school outbreaks of S-OIV infection. The most common presenting symptoms were fever (94% of patients), cough (92%), and sore throat (66%); 25% of patients had diarrhea, and 25% had vomiting. Of the 399 patients for whom hospitalization status was known, 36 (9%) required hospitalization. Of 22 hospitalized patients with available data, 12 had characteristics that conferred an increased risk of severe seasonal influenza, 11 had pneumonia, 8 required admission to an intensive care unit, 4 had respiratory failure, and 2 died. The S-OIV was determined to have a unique genome composition that had not been identified previously. Conclusions: A novel swine-origin influenza A virus was identified as the cause of outbreaks of febrile respiratory infection ranging from self-limited to severe illness. It is likely that the number of confirmed cases underestimates the number of cases that have occurred.
Article
Context Previous studies have shown oseltamivir, a neuraminidase inhibitor, to be effective in preventing influenza and treating experimental influenza.Objective To evaluate the efficacy and safety of oseltamivir in the treatment of naturally acquired influenza infection.Design Randomized, placebo-controlled, double-blind study conducted January through March 1998.Setting Sixty primary care and university health centers throughout the United States.Participants A total of 629 healthy nonimmunized adults aged 18 to 65 years with febrile respiratory illness of no more than 36 hours' duration with temperature of 38°C or more plus at least 1 respiratory symptom and 1 constitutional symptom.Interventions Individuals were randomized to 1 of 3 treatment groups with identical appearing pills: oral oseltamivir phosphate, 75 mg twice daily (n = 211) or 150 mg (n = 209) twice daily, or placebo (n = 209).Main Outcome Measures Duration and severity of illness in individuals infected with influenza.Results Two individuals withdrew before receiving medication and were excluded from further analyses. A total of 374 individuals (59.6%) were infected with influenza. Their duration of illness was reduced by more than 30% with both oseltamivir, 75 mg twice daily (median, 71.5 hours; P<.001), and oseltamivir, 150 mg twice daily (median, 69.9 hours; P = .006), compared with placebo (median, 103.3 hours). Severity of illness was reduced by 38% (median score, 597 score-hours; P<.001) with oseltamivir, 75 mg twice daily, and by 35% (median score, 626 score-hours; P<.001) with oseltamivir, 150 mg twice daily, vs placebo (median score, 963 score-hours). Oseltamivir treatment reduced the duration of fever and oseltamivir recipients returned to usual activities 2 to 3 days earlier than placebo recipients (P≤.05). Secondary complications such as bronchitis and sinusitis occurred in 15% of placebo recipients compared with 7% of combined oseltamivir recipients (P = .03). Among all 629 subjects, oseltamivir reduced illness duration (76.3 hours and 74.3 hours for 75 mg and 150 mg, respectively, vs 97.0 hours for placebo; P = .004 for both comparisons) and illness severity (686 score-hours and 629 score-hours for 75 mg and 150 mg, respectively, vs 887 score-hours for placebo; P<.001 for both comparisons). Nausea and vomiting occurred more frequently in both oseltamivir groups (combined, 18.0% and 14.1%, respectively; P = .002) than in the placebo group (7.4% and 3.4%; P<.001).Conclusions Our data suggest that oral oseltamivir treatment reduces the duration and severity of acute influenza in healthy adults and may decrease the incidence of secondary complications.
Article
During the recent epidemic of pneumonia, or so-called Spanish influenza, 2,154 patients were admitted to Cook County Hospital between Sept. 18 and Nov. 5, 1918. Of this number, 101 were pregnant women.Of these 101 cases of pneumonia, complicated by pregnancy, fifty-two died, giving a mortality of 51.4 per cent., as compared with a mortality of 719, or 33.3 per cent., of the 2,154 patients admitted to the general hospital. This shows a relatively higher death rate by 18.1 per cent. in the pregnant women. These apparently high percentages of mortality may be explained in part by the condition of the average patient on entrance to this hospital.The Cook County Hospital received by far the largest majority of the patients during this epidemic, all of whom were from the poorer classes of the population. The patients were all extremely ill on entrance, many dying in ambulances on the way
Article
Objective To determine whether maternal influenza virus infection in the second and third trimesters of pregnancy results in transplacental transmission of infection, maternal auto-antibody production or an increase in complications of pregnancy. Design Case-control cohort study. Population Study and control cohorts were derived from 3975 women who were consecutively delivered at two Nottingham teaching hospitals between May 1993 and July 1994. A complete set of three sera was available for 1659 women. Methods Paired maternal ante- and postnatal sera were screened for a rise in anti-influenza virus antibody titre by single radial haemolysis and haemagglutination inhibition. Routine obstetric data collected during and after pregnancy were retrieved from the Nottingham obstetric database. Cord samples were tested for the presence of IgM anti-influenza antibodies, and postnatal infant sera were tested for the persistence of influenza-virus specific IgG. Paired antenatal and postnatal sera were tested against a standard range of auto-antigens by immunofluorescence. Main outcome measures Classification of women as having definite serological evidence of an influenza virus infection in pregnancy (cases) or as controls. Results Intercurrent influenza virus infections were identified in 182/1659 (11.0%) pregnancies. None of 138 cord sera from maternal influenza cases was positive for influenza A virus specific IgM. IgG anti-influenza antibodies did not persist in any of 12 infant sera taken at age 6–12 months. Six of 172 postnatal maternal sera from cases of influenza were positive for auto-antibodies. In all cases the corresponding antenatal serum was also positive for the same auto-antibody. There were no significant differences in pregnancy outcome measures between cases and controls. Overall, there were significantly more complications of pregnancy in the cases versus the controls, but no single type of complication achieved statistical significance. Influenza infection in the second and third trimesters of pregnancy is a relatively common event. We found no evidence for transplacental transmission of influenza virus or auto-antibody production in pregnancies complicated by influenza infections. There was an increase in the complications of pregnancy in our influenza cohort.
Chapter
8.1 SUMMARY We conducted a microstudy to elicit health state descriptions and utility values, using the EuroQol Instrument, from a sample of acutely ill inpatients on 5 wards at Univer- sity College London Medical School. Most current work to date has elicited such descriptive and valuation data from random surveys of the general population. One problem with this is that most responders from the general population have not actu- ally experienced the states being valued. Our goal was to ascertain whether there were any differences between the values given by inpatients and those of the general population. However, the small sample size of patients included in our feasibility study means our conclusions must remain tentative. Nevertheless the results suggest that patients give higher values than the general population. We suggest that more research needs to be done eliciting values from patients. The measurement of patients' health-related quality of life is acknowledged to be important for a number of reasons, including the assessment of outcome of healthcare interventions. In a climate of economic scarcity, decisions about the allocation of healthcare resources need to be made explicit. The EuroQol Instrument has been devised to collect both qualitative quality-of-life (QoL) data and explicit valuations of health states. The EuroQol Instrument aims to fulfil a specific and important role in HRQoL evalu- ation, and one that had not previously been attempted. It was conceived at a time when there was an exponential increase in the number of HRQoL measures being developed for various uses. With HRQoL data being elicited by such diverse methods for different goals, systematic evaluation and comparison of the data and of the meth- odologies used was difficult and often impossible. This issue was the main focus of a group of QoL researchers from centres in 5 north- ern European countries who first met in 1987 to pool their multidisciplinary expertise and experience. The Group agreed that some mechanism was required to assist com- parison of data between studies and between nations; that is, a linkage tool using a basic common core of HRQoL criteria. Consequently, the EuroQol Instrument was designed to describe the basic minimum elements of HRQoL. It was envisaged that it would be used alongside other instruments that were considered appropriate to the