ArticlePDF Available

Clinical outcomes of seasonal influenza and pandemic influenza A (H1N1) in pediatric inpatients

Authors:

Abstract and Figures

In April 2009, a novel influenza A H1N1 (nH1N1) virus emerged and spread rapidly worldwide. News of the pandemic led to a heightened awareness of the consequences of influenza and generally resulted in enhanced infection control practices and strengthened vaccination efforts for both healthcare workers and the general population. Seasonal influenza (SI) illness in the pediatric population has been previously shown to result in significant morbidity, mortality, and substantial hospital resource utilization. Although influenza pandemics have the possibility of resulting in considerable illness, we must not ignore the impact that we can experience annually with SI. We compared the outcomes of pediatric patients ≤18 years of age at a large urban hospital with laboratory confirmed influenza and an influenza-like illness (ILI) during the 2009 pandemic and two prior influenza seasons. The primary outcome measure was hospital length of stay (LOS). All variables potentially associated with LOS based on univariable analysis, previous studies, or hypothesized relationships were included in the regression models to ensure adjustment for their effects. There were 133 pediatric cases of nH1N1 admitted during 2009 and 133 cases of SI admitted during the prior 2 influenza seasons (2007-8 and 2008-9). Thirty-six percent of children with SI and 18% of children with nH1N1 had no preexisting medical conditions (p = 0.14). Children admitted with SI had 1.73 times longer adjusted LOS than children admitted for nH1N1 (95% CI 1.35 - 2.13). There was a trend towards more children with SI requiring mechanical ventilation compared with nH1N1 (16 vs.7, p = 0.08). This study strengthens the growing body of evidence demonstrating that SI results in significant morbidity in the pediatric population. Pandemic H1N1 received considerable attention with strong media messages urging people to undergo vaccination and encouraging improved infection control efforts. We believe that this attention should become an annual effort for SI. Strong unified messages from health care providers and the media encouraging influenza vaccination will likely prove very useful in averting some of the morbidity related to influenza for future epidemics.
Content may be subject to copyright.
RESEARC H ARTIC LE Open Access
Clinical outcomes of seasonal influenza and
pandemic influenza A (H1N1) in pediatric
inpatients
Pranita D Tamma
1*
, Alison E Turnbull
2
, Aaron M Milstone
1
, Sara E Cosgrove
3
, Alexandra Valsamakis
4
, Alicia Budd
5
,
Trish M Perl
6
Abstract
Background: In April 2009, a novel influenza A H1N1 (nH1N1) virus emerged and spread rapidly worldwide. News
of the pandemic led to a heightened awareness of the consequences of influenza and generally resulted in
enhanced infection control practices and strengthened vaccination efforts for both healthcare workers and the
general population. Seasonal influenza (SI) illness in the pediatric population has been previously shown to result in
significant morbidity, mortality, and substantial hospital resource utilization. Although influenza pandemics have the
possibility of resulting in considerable illness, we must not ignore the impact that we can experience annually
with SI.
Methods: We compared the outcomes of pediatric patients 18 years of age at a large urban hospital with
laboratory confirmed influenza and an influenza-like illness (ILI) during the 2009 pandemic and two prior influenza
seasons. The primary outcome measure was hospital length of stay (LOS). All variables potentially associated with
LOS based on univariable analysis, previous studies, or hypothesized relationships were included in the regression
models to ensure adjustment for their effects.
Results: There were 133 pediatric cases of nH1N1 admitted during 2009 and 133 cases of SI admitted during the
prior 2 influenza seasons (2007-8 and 2008-9). Thirty-six percent of children with SI and 18% of children with
nH1N1 had no preexisting medical conditions (p = 0.14). Children admitted with SI had 1.73 times longer adjusted
LOS than children admitted for nH1N1 (95% CI 1.35 - 2.13). There was a trend towards more children with SI
requiring mechanical ventilation compared with nH1N1 (16 vs.7, p = 0.08).
Conclusions: This study strengthens the growing body of evidence demonstrating that SI results in significant
morbidity in the pediatric population. Pandemic H1N1 received considerable attention with strong media
messages urging people to undergo vaccination and encouraging improved infection control efforts. We believe
that this attention should become an annual effort for SI. Strong unified messages from health care providers and
the media encouraging influenza vaccination will likely prove very useful in averting some of the morbidity related
to influenza for future epidemics.
Background
In April 2009, a novel influenza A H1N1 (nH1N1) virus
emerged and spread rapidly worldwide. News of the
pandemic led to a heightened awareness of the conse-
quences of influenza, as well as some apprehension, in
both the general population, the public health sector,
and among healthcare providers. Concerns regarding
the potential impact of this novel influenza strain led to
enhanced infection control practices and strengthened
vaccination efforts for both healthcare workers and the
general population.[1-5] The media was actively
involved in informing the public of the potential conse-
quences of influenza infection and encouraging vigorous
vaccination efforts [6].
* Correspondence: ptamma1@jhmi.edu
1
Department of Pediatric Infectious Diseases, The Johns Hopkins Medical
Institution, 200 North Wolfe Street, Suite 3150 Baltimore, Maryland, 21287,
USA
Full list of author information is available at the end of the article
Tamma et al.BMC Pediatrics 2010, 10:72
http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2431/10/72
© 2010 Tamma et al ; licensee BioMed Centra l Ltd. This is an Open Access article distri buted under the terms of the Creative Commons
Attribution L icense (http://creati vecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0), which perm its unrestricted use, di stribution, and reproduction in
any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Importantly, seasonal influenza (SI) illness in the
pediatric population has been previously shown to result
in significant morbidity, mortality, as well as substantial
hospital resource utilization [7-10]. Although influenza
pandemics have the possibility of resulting in consider-
able illness, we cannot ignore the impact we experience
annually with SI. Perhaps the aggressive campaigning
and resource allocation reserved for pandemic influenza
should be emphasized on an annual basis for SI. We
compared the outcomes of a large cohort of pediatric
patients admitted for nH1N1 infection to children
admitted with SI in the 2007-8 and 2008-9 influenza
seasons to determine if there was a significant difference
in morbidity. We hypothesized that children admitted
with SI would have outcomes including admission to
the pediatric intensive care unit, presence of bacterial
superinfections, and hospital length of stay (LOS) similar
to those admitted with nH1N1.
Methods
Setting
This is a retrospective, cohort study conducted at The
Johns Hopkins Childrens Medical and Surgical Center
(JHCMSC), a part of the Johns Hopkins Hospital (JHH).
The JHCMSC is 175-bed pediatric teaching hospital
located in Baltimore, Maryland that provides medical
care to the Baltimore community and also serves as a
tertiary care pediatric hospital for the surrounding
region. The hospital admits >8500 children annually, of
which >1600 are cared for in the 26-bed pediatric inten-
sive care unit (PICU).
Study Period and Population
We included all children and adolescents 18 years of age
and younger admitted to the JHCMSC with a labora-
tory-confirmed diagnosis of influenza within 24 hours of
admission and an influenza-like illness (ILI). An ILI was
defined as a fever and upper respiratory tract symptoms
(cough, sore throat, rhinorrhea,congestion),lower
respiratory symptoms (wheezing, chest pain, shortness
of breath), or gastrointestinal symptoms (abdominal
pain, vomiting, diarrhea). There were no exclusion cri-
teria. Influenza cases during the 2007-9 seasons that
met the inclusion criteria were evaluated. The nH1N1
cases were compared to SI cases.
The Hospital Epidemiology and Infection Control
(HEIC) Department has an active surveillance program
for respiratory infections among all patients presenting
to JHH. http://www.hopkinsmedicine.org/heic/ID/h1n1/
index.html. All children with ILI admitted to the
JHCMSC are sampled for respiratory viruses. Results are
prospectively recorded into the electronic patient medi-
cal record and simultaneously supplied to the HEIC
computer surveillance system (TheraDoc, Inc, Salt Lake
City, UT). One Infection Control Practitioner (AB)
queries the system prospectively to identify all patients
with positive influenza testing and additional data are
abstracted and included in a database. Pediatric cases
were identified from the master HEIC database. Medical
records were reviewed and demographic, laboratory,
radiographic, and clinical data were collected onto stan-
dardized case report forms. Patients were identified as
having bacterial pneumonia based on previously
described criteria including radiographic evidence of a
new infiltrate [11].
Laboratory Methods
All respiratory virus samples were collected via naso-
pharyngeal aspirate (NPA) by trained nursing staff.
Respiratory virus testing from May-December 2009 con-
sisted of direct fluorescent antibody (DFA) assay (D
3
,
Diagnostic Hybrids Inc.[DHI], Athens, OH). Shell vial
(R-Mix Too, DHI) and conventional tube cultures (rhe-
sus monkey kidney and A549 cells, Diagnostic Hybrids,
Inc.) were inoculated in parallel with DFA for all sam-
ples. Rapid immuno-card tests (BINAX NOW Influenza
A and B, Inverness Medical, Princeton, NJ) were per-
formed initially on all NPA samples from December -
April of 2007-8 and 2008-9. No further testing was per-
formed on positive samples; DFA, shell vial, and tube
culture were performed on all samples with a negative
immuno-card result.
From May through December 2009, all influenza A
positive samples from admitted children were sent to
The Maryland Department of Health and Mental
Hygiene and confirmed by real-time reverse transcrip-
tase-PCR as novel influenza A (H1N1) as described by
the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)
[12].
Statistical Analysis
Statistical analyses were performed using Stata version
10.0 (STATA Corp., College Station, TX) and the R sta-
tistical package (version 2.10.1). Comparisons between
patients with seasonal influenza and nH1N1 influenza
were performed using Fishers exact test for non-para-
metric data and Students t-test with unequal variances
for continuous variables. Hospital LOS was log trans-
formed to achieve a normal distribution and analyzed
using linear regression and Poisson regression models.
Models including interaction terms and excluding high
leverage observations were fitted and residual analysis
including residuals plots, Q-Q plots, and added variable
plots were examined for violations of regression model
assumptions. All variables potentially associated with
LOS based on univariable analysis, previous studies, or
hypothesized relationships were included in the final lin-
ear model to ensure adjustment for their effects. Two-
Tamma et al.BMC Pediatrics 2010, 10:72
http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2431/10/72
Page 2 of 7
sided p-values of < 0.05were treated as statistically sig-
nificant for all tests. The Johns Hopkins University Insti-
tutional Review Board approved the study with a waiver
of informed consent.
Results
We identified 133 pediatric patients with a laboratory-
confirmed diagnosis of seasonal influenza during the
2007-9 seasons. Coincidentally, we identified 133 chil-
dren with laboratory-confirmed nH1N1 who met our
inclusion criteria. The first confirmed nH1N1 virus
infection at JHCMSC occurred on May 1
st
, 2009 and
the last case included in this study was diagnosed on
November 25
th
, 2009. Figure 1 depicts the epidemic
curve of nH1N1 and seasonal influenza during the prior
two epidemic periods at JHCMSC. Similar proportions
of children with positive laboratory testing for influenza
in the emergency room were admitted to JHCMSC dur-
ing the nH1N1 pandemic and prior influenza seasons
(38% vs. 47%, p = 0.12 ). There was no difference in the
percentage of hospitalized patients admitted directly to
the PICU (19% vs. 18%, p = .99).
We aggregated SI data from the two prior seasons
because patients in the 2007-8 and 2008-9 seasons were
not significantly different in terms of demographic fea-
tures, underlying medical conditions, clinical course, and
outcomes (data not shown). All patients had valid rea-
sons for admission including hypoxia, respiratory dis-
tress, shock requiring pressors, immunocompromised
and febrile, neonates with fever, or sickle cell disease
with fever. These patient types were equally distributed
between the seasons (p 0.17).
Demographics and presenting symptoms
Children admitted with SI and nH1N1 influenza were
similar with regards to age, race, and gender (Table 1).
Presenting symptoms were also similar among patients
with SI and nH1N1 influenza infection (Table 1); except
seizures were reported in 19 (14%) of the children with
SI and 5 (4%) of the children with nH1N1 (p = 0.004).
Eleven of the children admitted for SI and 4 of the chil-
dren admitted for nH1N1 who presented with seizures
had no known underlying seizure disorder.
Preexisting Medical Conditions
Thirty-five (26%) children admitted with seasonal influ-
enza and 24 (18%) patients with nH1N1 had no preex-
isting medical conditions (p = 0.14). Twenty (15%) SI
and 40 (30%) nH1N1 admissions had an underlying
diagnosis of asthma (p < 0.01). Neuromuscular disorders
were more prevalent in children admitted with SI com-
pared with nH1N1 (18% vs.7%, p < 0.01). There were
otherwise no significant differences with regards to
underlying medical conditions between the two groups.
(Table 2)
Antimicrobial use
Based on CDC guidelines, and in contrast to SI epi-
demics, antiviral therapy was recommended for all
admitted patients with nH1N1 [5]. Thirty-seven (28%)
Figure 1 Epidemic curve of pandemic influenza A H1N1 and seasonal influenza (2007-2008 and 2008-2009) for children admitted to
The Johns Hopkins Childrens Medical and Surgical Center.
Tamma et al.BMC Pediatrics 2010, 10:72
http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2431/10/72
Page 3 of 7
children with SI and 106 (80%) children admitted with
nH1N1 received antiviral therapy with activity against
influenza (p < 0.001). When stratifying LOS based on
influenza type and antiviral therapy, LOS was not
modified. (Table 3) Chest imaging was performed on a
significantly higher proportion of children with nH1N1
compared with SI (92% vs. 83%, p = 0.03). However,
similar percentages of children in both groups met
diagnostic criteria for bacterial pneumonia (23% vs.
23%). Interestingly, 61 (72%) of nH1N1 and 37 (36%)
SI children, received treatment courses of antibiotics
for a diagnosis of bacterial pneumonia(p < 0.01).
Ten children admitted for SI had bacteremia. Blood
cultures grew methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus
in 3 children, methicillin-susceptible Staphylococcus
aureus in another 3 children, and Streptococcus pneumo-
niae in 3 children. One child grew Streptococcus pyo-
genes in a blood culture. No bacteremia was identified
in any of the children with nH1N1.
Outcomes
The median LOS for SI was 2 days longer than nH1N1; 5
days [IQR 3-7] vs. 3 days [IQR 2-4]. (Table 4) One patient
in the SI cohort had a LOS of 254 days due to complica-
tions unrelated to influenza; however, mean LOS
remained significant after this outlier was removed (p <
0.001). After adjusting for age, race, gender, number of co-
morbid illnesses, presence of a neuromuscular disorder,
asthma, obesity, presence of an infiltrate concerning for
bacterial pneumonia, antiviral therapy, and >48 hours of
antibiotic use, children with SI had 1.73 times longer LOS
(95% CI 1.35 - 2.13) than children with nH1N1.
Thirty-seven (28%) SI cases and 27 (20%) nH1N1
cases (p = 0.20) were admitted to the PICU. Sixteen
(12%) of the SI children required noninvasive positive
pressure ventilation compared with 11(8%) of the
nH1N1 children (p = 0.31). There was a trend towards
more children with SI requiring mechanical ventilation
compared with nH1N1 (16 vs.7, respectively p = 0.08).
One patient, with no underlying medical conditions,
diagnosed with SI required extracorporeal membrane
oxygenation. This patient subsequently died. There were
no deaths in children admitted with nH1N1.
Table 1 Demographic characteristics, presenting
symptoms, and diagnostic testing of children admitted
with seasonal influenza (2007-2009) and 2009 novel
influenza A (nH1N1) infection
Seasonal
influenza
nH1N1
influenza
p-
value
Demographic
characteristics
133 133
Age
Mean (SD) 7.0 (5.7) 7.3 (5.4) .64
Median 5.0 6.0
Race .43
African American 76 (57%) 83 (62%)
Asian 2 (2%) 5 (4%)
Caucasian 47 (35%) 37 (28%)
Hispanic 8 (6%) 8 (6%)
Gender .81
Male 67 (50%) 70 (53%)
Female 66 (50%) 63 (47%)
Presenting Symptoms
Upper respiratory tract 110 (83%) 116 (87%) .39
Lower respiratory tract 55 (41%) 61 (46%) .50
Gastrointestinal 35 (26%) 43 (32%) .35
Mylagias 14 (11%) 8 (6%) 27
Headaches 11 (8%) 18 (14%) .24
Seizures 19 (14%) 5 (4%) < .01
Lethargy 33 (25%) 40 (30%) .41
Diagnostic Testing
††
Rapid immuno-card
†††
55 (41.4%) N/A
Direct fluorescent
antibody
78(33%) 39 (29%) .39
Shell vial culture 36 (46%) 90 (68%) .02
Tube culture 16 (21%) 4(3%) .40
Fever was part of inclusion criteria,
††
By 1
st
positive test,
†††
If positive for
seasonal influenza no further testing performed
Table 2 Preexisting medical conditions among children
admitted with seasonal influenza (2007-2009) and novel
influenza A H1N1 (nH1N1) infection
Seasonal
influenza
nH1N1
influenza
p-
value
None 35 (26%) 24(18%) .14
Obesity
49 (46%) 51(45%) 1.00
Asthma 20 (15%) 40 (30%) < .01
Sickle Cell Disease 17 (12.8%) 26 (20%) .18
Neuromuscular
Disorder
24 (18%) 9 (7%) < .01
Diabetes Mellitus
(type 1)
2 (2%) 2 (2%) 1.00
Chronic Lung Disease 15 (11%) 15 (11%) 1.00
Malignancy 13 (10%) 11(8%) .83
Immunodeficiency
††
10 (8%) 4 (3%) .17
Prematurity (24-37 w) 5 (4%) 10 (8%) .29
Cardiac disorder 8 (6%) 5 (4%) .57
Metabolic disorder 7 (5%) 7 (5%) 1.00
Renal Failure 3 (2%) 1 (1%) .62
Cystic Fibrosis 4 (3%) 3 (2%) 1.00
Body mass index 90%,
††
HIV, solid organ transplant, immunodeficiency,
corticosteroids 2 mg/kg/day for >14 days
Tamma et al.BMC Pediatrics 2010, 10:72
http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2431/10/72
Page 4 of 7
Discussion
It is critical to understand outcomes for infections to
ensure appropriate planning and utilization of healthcare
resources. We compared the clinical outcomes of
nH1N1 to those of SI in a large cohort of hospitalized
children. We found that children admitted with epi-
demic influenza over the past two influenza seasons
(2007-9) appeared to have a longer adjusted LOS, with a
median of almost 2 more days of hospitalization than
children admitted for nH1N1. Median LOS in our popu-
lation of children was somewhat higher than reported in
other retrospective cohort studies and may be related to
the higher percentage of children with high-risk medical
conditions in our cohort compared with other studies
[10,13].
Despite initial concerns about severity of disease
expected for pandemic nH1N1, our data demonstrates
that outcomes among patients with SI are at least as
concerning. This is particularly relevant as there was a
concerted effort to improve infection prevention and
control practices, immunization use, and bed allotment
for the anticipated large numbers of critically ill children
with nH1N1[1-6]. Based on results from our study,
some of these practices may need to be sustained on an
annual basis for SI.
The significance of SI appears to be underappreciated
by the general population and the health care commu-
nity. Although the majority of epidemic influenza virus
infection is usually mild, influenza has the potential to
cause severe disease, particularly in young children and
children with underlying medical conditions [14,15].
Children are disproportionately affected by hospitaliza-
tion rates during SI epidemics. A review of a national
database found that the relative risk (RR) for an influ-
enza-associated hospitalization relative to death was esti-
mated to be 270 for children 5 years of age and under,
compared to 11 amongst adults aged 50-64 [8]. While
mortality is often used to estimate the effect of influenza
among adults, it may be an insensitive indicator of the
effect of influenza in children as the primarily burden is
related to its morbidity [16,17].
Among healthy-children, oseltamivir has been shown
to reduce median duration of influenza illness by 36
hours [18]. Although the decreased LOS with nH1N1
could be attributed to wider antiviral use in this popula-
tion, our data does not support this interpretation. After
Table 3 The timing of antiviral therapy and length of stay among children admitted with seasonal influenza (2007-
2009) and novel H1N1 influenza (nH1N1)
Seasonal influenza
LOS
nH1N1 influenza
LOS
p-value
No antiviral therapy 7.2 days (n = 92) 3.6 days (n = 27) < .01
Antiviral therapy 6.7 days (n = 37) 4.4 days (n = 106) .03
Antiviral therapy 48 hours after symptom onset or no antiviral therapy 7.2 days (n = 120) 4.5 days (n = 82) < .01
Antiviral therapy 48 hours of symptom onset 5.6 days (n = 12) 3.7 days (n = 51) .11
Median length of stay, (n = number in each sample)
Table 4 Non-pharmacologic treatments and outcomes of children admitted with seasonal influenza (2007-2009) and
novel influenza A H1N1 (nH1N1)
Seasonal influenza nH1N1 influenza p-value
Length of Stay 0.02
Mean (SD) 8.9 (23.0) days 4.2 (4.8) days
Median (Range) 5 (1 - 254) 3 (1 -32)
PICU admission 37 (28%) 27 (20%) 0.20
Need for noninvasive positive pressure ventilation 16 (12%) 11 (8%) 0.31
Need for mechanical ventilation 16 (12%) 7 (5%) 0.08
Days of oxygen 0.14
Mean (SD) 8.7 (19.3) 4.2 (5.3)
Median (Range) 4 (1 -140) 2.5 (1-30)
Days of positive pressure ventilation or mechanical ventilation 0.74
Mean (SD) 7.04 (1.71) 6.14(1.87)
Median (Range) 5(1-38) 2.5 (1-24)
PICU length of stay 0.20
Mean (SD) 10.9 (29.3) days 4.5 (5.7) days
Median (Range) 4 (1- 179) 2 (1 - 26)
Tamma et al.BMC Pediatrics 2010, 10:72
http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2431/10/72
Page 5 of 7
stratifying by antiviral therapy and influenza type, the
difference in LOS between SI and nH1N1 pediatric
admissions persisted and antiviral therapy did not
appear to significantly influence LOS in our study. Pro-
spective data are needed to define the relative benefits
of early antiviral therapy in hospitalized pediatric
patients.
In both SI and nH1N1 patients in our cohort, antibio-
tics were prescribed for bacterial pneumonia when cri-
teria for this diagnosis were not fulfilled. Almost 50% of
patients with nH1N1 who received antibiotics for a
diagnosis of bacterial pneumoniadid not meet clinical
criteria. Unnecessary prescription of antibiotics may
have been related to the general apprehension in the
health care community with regards to pandemic
nH1N1. Antibiotics have the potential for associated
toxicities, costs, and the development of multi-drug
resistant organisms. Future studies are needed to better
determine the criteria for antibiotics for influenza-
related bacterial complications.
During the nH1N1 pandemic, there were widespread
media efforts to educate the public about potential conse-
quences of influenza and need for vaccination, especially
for the most high-risk groups. Given that annual influenza
vaccination is the most effective method for preventing
influenza virus infection and its complications, additional
efforts need to be made to ensure annual SI vaccination of
all children, particularly children at higher risk for influ-
enza complications [8,9,14,15,19-22]. Our results empha-
size the need for vaccination against seasonal influenza in
order to reduce its associated morbidity.
There are several limitations of our study. First,
because of the heightened awareness associated with
nH1N1, there is the possibility that the influence of pan-
demic influenza publicity may have lowered the thresh-
old for admission of nH1N1 cases when compared with
SI cases. In our review, all children admitted to the hos-
pital had valid reasons for hospital admission and these
reasons were distributed equally between patients with
nH1N1 and SI. As other measures to determine if the
threshold for hospitalization differed during the pan-
demicperiodascomparedtothepriortwoinfluenza
seasons, we assessed the proportion of hospitalized
patients directly admitted to the PICU and the propor-
tion of children with laboratory-confirmed influenza-like
illness observed in the emergency room admitted to the
hospital. There was no difference in these proportions
further suggesting that these admissions were likely jus-
tified. The proportion of children evaluated in the emer-
gency room and subsequently admitted to the hospital
in our cohort is comparable to what has been previously
reported in the literature for SI [10].
Second, no conclusions can be made regarding the
differences in the virulenceofthestrainsofinfluenza
virus from this paper as we were unable to compare
strain types. Children admitted with SI in the 2007-8
and 2008-9 seasons were not significantly different in
terms of demographic features, underlying medical con-
ditions, clinical course, and outcomes; however, we
recognize that influenza types and subtypes, which vary
from season to season, have differential effects on mor-
bidity and mortality [23-25]. Our results demonstrate
that SI 2007-9 was at least as significant a cause of
pediatric morbidity as nH1N1.
Conclusions
Pandemic nH1N1 received considerable attention with
strong media messages urging people to be vaccinated
and encouraging improved infection control efforts. As
our study strengthens the growing body of evidence
demonstrating that SI results in significant morbidity in
the pediatric population, we believe that the emphasis on
influenza vaccination should be continued on an annual
basis and not solely reserved for influenza pandemics.
List of Abbreviations
All abbreviations are defined in the text where first used.
Acknowledgements
The authors would like to acknowledge the contributions of the nurses and
pediatricians caring for these children, medical microbiology laboratory
technologists, Maria Paz Carlos, PhD, Robert Myers PhD and the staff at
Maryland Department of Health, and the Infection Control Practitioners who
contributed in numerous ways. The authors would also like to acknowledge
Abigail L. Carlson for her contributions to the study.
Author details
1
Department of Pediatric Infectious Diseases, The Johns Hopkins Medical
Institution, 200 North Wolfe Street, Suite 3150 Baltimore, Maryland, 21287,
USA.
2
Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg
School of Public Health, 615 N. Wolfe Street Baltimore, Maryland, 21287, USA.
3
Department of Infectious Diseases, The Johns Hopkins Medical Institution,
600 North Wolfe Street, Osler 424 Baltimore, Maryland, 21287, USA.
4
Department of Pathology, The Johns Hopkins Medical Institution, Meyer B1-
193, 600 North Wolfe Street Baltimore, Maryland, 21287, USA.
5
Department
of Infection Control, The Johns Hopkins Medical Institution, 600 North Wolfe
Street, Osler 424 Baltimore, Maryland, 21287, USA.
6
Department of Infectious
Diseases, The Johns Hopkins Medical Institution, 600 North Wolfe Street,
Osler 424, Baltimore, Maryland, 21287, USA.
Authorscontributions
PDT performed data collection, analysis, and manuscript preparation. AT
assisted with regression models. AMM and SEC critically reviewed the
manuscript. AV was involved with the laboratory methods and ensured all
nH1N1 strains were confirmed by PCR. AB provided a detailed database of
all influenza positive patients including proportions of those children in the
emergency department subsequently admitted to the hospital. TMP
conceived the idea of the study and was involved in design and manuscript
preparation. All authors read and approved the final draft.
Competing interests
The authors declare that they have no competing interests.
Tamma et al.BMC Pediatrics 2010, 10:72
http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2431/10/72
Page 6 of 7
Received: 16 May 2010 Accepted: 6 October 2010
Published: 6 October 2010
References
1. Dawood FS, Jain S, Finelli L, Shaw MW, Lindstrom S, Garten RJ,
Gubareva LV, Xu X, Bridges CB, Uyeki TM: Emergence of a novel swine-
origin influenza A (H1N1) virus in humans. N Engl J Med 2009,
360(25):2605-2615.
2. Gojovic MZ, Sander B, Fisman D, Krahn MD, Bauch CT: Modelling
mitigation strategies for pandemic (H1N1) 2009. CMAJ 2009,
181(10):673-80.
3. Towers S, Feng Z: Pandemic H1N1 influenza: predicting the course of a
pandemic and assessing the efficacy of the planned vaccination
programme in the United States. Euro Surveill 2009, 14(4119358).
4. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention: Interim results: Influenza A
(H1N1) 2009 monovalent vaccination coverage - United States, October-
December 2009. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2010, 59(2):44-48.
5. Apisarnthanarak A, Apisarnthanarak P, Cheevakumjorn B, Mundy LM:
Implementation of an infection control bundle in a school to reduce
transmission of influenza-like illness during the novel influenza A 2009
H1N1 pandemic. Infect Cont Hosp Epidemiol 2010, 31(3):310-311.
6. HHS Announces Nationwide Effort to Encourage H1N1 Vaccination
During National Influenza Vaccination Week January 10 - 16, 2010. ,
Accessed September 18th 2010..
7. Bhat N, Wright JG, Broder KR, Murray EL, Greenberg ME, Glover MJ,
Likos AM, Posey DL, Klimov A, Lindstrom SE, Balish A, Medina MJ, Wallis TR,
Guarner J, Paddock CD, Shieh WJ, Zaki SR, Sejvar JJ, Shay DK, Harper SA,
Cox NJ, Fukuda K, Uyeki TM: Influenza Associated Deaths among Children
in the United States, 2003-2004. N Engl J Med 2005, 353(24):2559-2667.
8. Thompson WW, Shay DK, Weintraub E, Brammer L, Bridges CB, Cox NJ,
Fukuda K: Influenza-Associated Hospitalizations in the United States.
JAMA 2004, 292(11):1333-1340.
9. Izurieta HS, Thompson WW, Kramarz P, Shay DK, Davis RL, DeStefano F,
et al:Influenza and the rates of hospitalization for respiratory disease
among infants and young children. N Engl J Med 2000, 342(4):232-9.
10. Ampofo K, Gesteland PH, Bender J, Mills M, Daly J, Samore M, Byrington C,
Pavia AT, Srivastava R: Epidemiology, complications, and cost of
hospitalization in children with laboratory-confirmed influenza infection.
Pediatrics 2006, 118(6):2409-17.
11. Langley JM, Bradlley JS: Defining pneumonia in critically ill infants and
children. Pediatr Crit Care Med 2005, 6(3 Suppl):S9-S13.
12. CDC protocol of realtime RTPCR for influenza A H1N1. [http://www.who.
int/csr/resources/publications/swineflu/realtimeptpcr], Updated April 30,
2009. Accessed September 1st, 2010.
13. Coffin SE, Zaoutis TE, Rosenquist AB, Heydon K, Herrera G, Bridges CB,
Watson B, Localio R, Hodinka RL, Keren R: Incidence, complications, and
risk factors for prolonged stay in children hospitalized with community
acquired influenza. Pediatrics 2007, 119(4):740-8.
14. Neuzil KM, Zhu Y, Griffin MR, Edwards KM, Thompson JM, Tollefson SJ,
Wright PF: Burden of interpandemic influenza in children younger than
5 years: a 25-year prospective study. J Infect Dis 2002, 185(2):147-152.
15. Neuzil KM, Mellen BG, Wright PF, Mitchel EF, Griffin MR: The effect of
influenza on hospitalizations, outpatient visits, and courses of antibiotics
in children. N Engl J Med 2000, 342:225-31.
16. Simonsen L, Clarke MJ, Williamson GD, Stroup DF, Arden NH,
Schonberger LB: The impact of influenza epidemics on mortality:
introducing a severity index. Am J Public Health 1997, 87(12):1944-50.
17. Glezen WP, Payne AA, Snyder DN, Downs TD: Mortality and influenza. J
Infect Dis 1982, 146(3):313-21.
18. Matheson NJ, Harnden AR, Perera R, Sheikh A, Symmonds-Abrahams M:
Neuraminidase inhibitors for preventing and treating influenza in
children. Cochrane Database Syst Rev 2007, 24(1):CD002744.
19. Influenza vaccination coverage among children aged 6 months-18 years
- eight immunization information system sentinel sites, United States,
2008-09 influenza season. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2009,
58(38):1059-1062.
20. Fiore AE, Shay DK, Broder K, Iskander JK, Uyeki TM, Mootrey G, Bresee JS,
Cox NJ: Prevention and control of seasonal influenza with vaccines:
recommendations of the Advisory Committee on Immunization
Practices (ACIP), 2009. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2009, 58(RR08):1-52.
21. Monto AS, Kioumehr F: The Tecumseh study of respiratory illness. IX.
Occurence of influenza in the community, 19661971. Am J Epidemiol
1975, 102(6):553-563.
22. Glezen WP, Decker M, Perrotta DM: Survey of underlying conditions of
persons hospitalized with acute respiratory disease during influenza
epidemics in Houston, 1978-1981. Am Rev Respir Dis 1987, 136(3):550-555.
23. Glezen WP, Couch RB, Taber LH, Paredes A, Allison JE, Frank AL, Aldridge C:
Epidemiologic observations of influenza B virus infections in Houston,
Texas, 1976-1977. Am J Epidemiol 1980, 111(1):13-22.
24. Frank AL, Taber LH, Glezen WP, Geyer EA, McIlwain S, Paredes A: Influenza
B virus infections in the community and the family. The epidemics of
1976-1977 and 1979-1980 in Houston, Texas. Am J Epidemiol 1983,
118(3):313-25.
25. Glezen WP: Serious morbidity and mortality associated with influenza
epidemics. Epidemiol Rev 1982, 4:25-44.
Pre-publication history
The pre-publication history for this paper can be accessed here:
http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2431/10/72/prepub
doi:10.1186/1471-2431-10-72
Cite this article as: Tamma et al.: Clinical outcomes of seasonal
influenza and pandemic influenza A (H1N1) in pediatric inpatients. BMC
Pediatrics 2010 10:72.
Submit your next manuscript to BioMed Central
and take full advantage of:
Convenient online submission
Thorough peer review
No space constraints or color figure charges
Immediate publication on acceptance
Inclusion in PubMed, CAS, Scopus and Google Scholar
Research which is freely available for redistribution
Submit your manuscript at
www.biomedcentral.com/submit
Tamma et al.BMC Pediatrics 2010, 10:72
http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2431/10/72
Page 7 of 7
... Among 20,000 hospitalized children with influenza from 2006-2009, international classification of diseases, ninth revision (ICD-9) coded bacterial pneumonia was reported more frequently in children with pH1N1 compared to seasonal influenza (8.4% versus 5.6% respectively, P < 0.001) [37]. In another study conducted during the same time period, radiographic pneumonia was reported in 23% of hospitalized children with seasonal influenza or pH1N1 [49]. ...
Article
Seasonal influenza is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide annually while pandemic influenza, a unique entity, poses distinct challenges. The pediatric population is the primary vector for epidemics and the main focus of this article. While primary prevention with universal influenza vaccination is the best protection against significant illness, the antigenic shift and drift unique to influenza viruses leave a large population at risk even with universal vaccination. Early in an epidemic various diagnostic tests are available and discussed here. However, once an epidemic is established, testing is no longer necessary for diagnosis. Groups with particular vulnerability to serious illness include those <6 mo of age, children with underlying neuromuscular disease, pulmonary disorders, or other comorbid conditions. Early treatment with neuraminidase inhibitors is recommended for those with influenza infection requiring hospitalization. Respiratory failure and need for mechanical ventilation are the leading indications for intensive care unit admission among children. Complications of influenza such as pneumonia, empyema, myocarditis and neurologic involvement increase risk for intensive care unit admission and will be discussed as will the use of extracorporeal membrane support. An overview of the epidemiology of influenza with an emphasis on risk factors for critical illness and poor patient outcomes in the pediatric population as well as treatment strategies for critically ill children will be presented. Additionally, we will address some of the unique challenges posed by pandemic influenza and mitigation strategies.
... As other authors have underscored, our data also showed that clinical and epidemiological characteristics of children infected with pandemic H1N1 2009 influenza A versus those infected with post-pandemic/seasonal influenza AH1N1pmd09 [27,28] bear no significant differences. For both seasons, significant differences were shown for cases having presented with pneumonia in the previous two years, asthma, inhaled corticosteroid treatment and presenting with more than 1 co-morbidity. ...
Article
Full-text available
Background Hygiene behavior plays a relevant role in infectious disease transmission. The aim of this study was to evaluate non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPI) in preventing pediatric influenza infections. Methods Laboratory confirmed influenza cases occurred during 2009–10 and 2010–11 seasons matched by age and date of consultation. NPI (frequency of hand washing, alcohol-based hand sanitizer use and hand washing after touching contaminated surfaces) during seven days prior to onset of symptoms were obtained from parents of cases and controls. Results Cases presented higher prevalence of underlying conditions such as pneumonia [OR = 3.23; 95 % CI: 1.38 – 7.58 p = 0.007], asthma [OR = 2.45; 95 % CI: 1.17 – 5.14 p = 0.02] and having more than 1 risk factor [OR = 1.67; 95 % CI: 0.99 – 2.82 p = 0.05]. Hand washing more than 5 times per day [aOR = 0.62; 95 % CI: 0.39 – 0.99 p = 0.04] was the only statistically significant protective factor. When considering two age groups (pre-school age 0–4 yrs and school age 5–17) yrs , only the school age group showed a negative association for influenza infection for both washing more than 5 times per day [aOR = 0.47; 95 % CI: 0.22 – 0.99 p = 0.04] and hand washing after touching contaminated surfaces [aOR = 0.19; 95 % CI: 0.04 – 0.86 p = 0.03]. Conclusion Frequent hand washing should be recommended to prevent influenza infection in the community setting and in special in the school age group.
... Si bien no todos los autores que describen la evolución y pronóstico de los pacientes pediátricos incluyen la obesidad como factor de riesgo, 11,13 otros la encuentran en frecuencias similares a las informadas en las series de pacientes adultos 19 o incluso más elevadas (45 %), tanto en casos de infl uenza estacional como en los de virus de infl uenza A H1N1 2009. 20 Aun cuando la letalidad fue mayor en los pacientes con infección confi rmada, estos no presentaron datos clínicos signifi cativamente diferentes a los que manifestó del grupo de pacientes en los que se descartó la infección por el virus de la infl uenza, sin embargo, 90 % de los pacientes que fallecieron tuvo una radiografía anormal, con diferencia estadísticamente significativa cuando se compararon con los que no fallecieron. Estos datos contrastan con lo reportado en un estudio de 410 pacientes en Corea, 21 donde se encontró que la radiografía fue normal en 94 % de ellos. ...
Article
Full-text available
Background: Pandemic influenza A (H1N1) virus was first reported in April 2009. The aim of this study is to describe the clinical course of patients with influenza-like illness treated in a tertiary care pediatric hospital. Methods: Cross-sectional analytical study, encompassing the period from April 2009 to March 2010. Clinical and demographic information was obtained from clinical records. Data analysis was carried out using descriptive statistics, using a univariate analysis with the chi-square test, the exact Fisher test, and the Mann-Whitney U test for quantitative variables. Results: 240 patients were included, out of which 53.9 % were female; median age was 5 years. Sixty four cases (26.6 %) were confirmed, 38 % had and underlying condition, and 10 % had received the influenza vaccine. One hundred and sixteen patients (48 %) were hospitalized. With regard to mortality, 10 out of 64 confirmed cases died, 3 of the 86 of the disregarded cases, and 2 of 90 without a confirmatory test died (p < 0.05). The patients who died started antiviral treatment on day 7; conversely, those who survived started the treatment on day 4 (p < 0.05). Conclusions: Lethality was higher in patients with confirmed infection. Antiviral treatment within the first 48 hours was observed to be essential for patients with risk for the development of complications.
Article
Full-text available
Background The aim of this study was to estimate the prevalence of pneumonia and secondary bacterial infections during the pandemic of influenza A(H1N1)pdm09. Methods A systematic review was conducted to identify relevant literature in which clinical outcomes of pandemic influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 infection were described. Published studies (between 01/01/2009 and 05/07/2012) describing cases of fatal or hospitalised A(H1N1)pdm09 and including data on bacterial testing or co-infection. Results Seventy five studies met the inclusion criteria. Fatal cases with autopsy specimen testing were reported in 11 studies, in which any co-infection was identified in 23% of cases (Streptococcus pneumoniae 29%). Eleven studies reported bacterial co-infection among hospitalised cases of A(H1N1)2009pdm with confirmed pneumonia, with a mean of 19% positive for bacteria (Streptococcus pneumoniae 54%). Of 16 studies of intensive care unit (ICU) patients, bacterial co-infection identified in a mean of 19% of cases (Streptococcus pneumoniae 26%). The mean prevalence of bacterial co-infection was 12% in studies of hospitalised patients not requiring ICU (Streptococcus pneumoniae 33%) and 16% in studies of paediatric patients hospitalised in general or pediatric intensive care unit (PICU) wards (Streptococcus pneumoniae 16%). Conclusion We found that few studies of the 2009 influenza pandemic reported on bacterial complications and testing. Of studies which did report on this, secondary bacterial infection was identified in almost one in four patients, with Streptococcus pneumoniae the most common bacteria identified. Bacterial complications were associated with serious outcomes such as death and admission to intensive care. Prevention and treatment of bacterial secondary infection should be an integral part of pandemic planning, and improved uptake of routine pneumococcal vaccination in adults with an indication may reduce the impact of a pandemic.
Article
Although the main clinical features of influenza in children are not significantly different from those in adults, it is necessary to emphasize that influenza in children, however, has some specific characteristics. Children are the most important source of influenza transmission in the community. Clinical manifestations of influenza in premature children, newborns, infants and young children can be significantly different from those in older age groups. This particularly applies to complications of influenza. Despite high morbidity, the mortality rate of influenza in children is fortunately low. In this short overview we shall discuss some epidemiological and clinical characteristics of influenza, along with treatment and prevention options in children.
Article
Full-text available
Pandemic influenza viruses have caused significant morbidity and mortality. Pandemic influenza A (H1N1) was detected in April 2009 and caused worldwide outbreak. We investigated the differences in clinical characteristics and courses between pandemic and seasonal influenzas.
Article
Full-text available
Background & objectives: Most studies on the clinical presentation with influenza viruses have been conducted in outpatient or inpatient medical facilities with only a few studies in community settings. Clinical differences between influenza A (H1N1) pdm 09 and influenza B virus infections have importance for community-based public health surveillance. An active community surveillance at the time of emergence of pandemic influenza provided us with an opportunity to compare the clinical features among patients infected with influenza A (H1N1) pdm09 virus and those with influenza B virus co-circulating in an active community-based weekly surveillance in three villages in Faridabad, Haryana, north India. Methods: Active surveillance for febrile acute respiratory infection (FARI) was carried out in a rural community (n=16,182) in the context of an inactivated trivalent influenza vaccine trial (among children <11 yr). Individuals with FARI were assessed clinically by nurses and respiratory samples collected and tested for influenza viruses by real time RT-PCR from November 2009 to August 2010. Clinical symptoms of patients with influenza A (H1N1) pdm 09 and influenza B infection were compared. Results: Of the 4796 samples tested, 822 (17%) were positive for influenza virus. Of these, 443 (54%) were influenza A (H1N1) pdm09, 373 (45%) were influenza B and six were other subtypes/mixed infections. The mean age was lower for patients with influenza B (16.4 yr) than influenza A (H1N1) pdm09 infection (18.7 yr; P=0.04). Among children aged 5-18 yr, chills/rigours (OR 4.0; CI 2.2, 7.4), sore throat (OR 6.8; CI 2.3, 27.3) and headache (OR2.0; CI 1.3, 3.3) were more common in influenza A (H1N1) pdm09 infection than in influenza B cases. Chills/rigours (OR 2.4; CI 1.4, 4.0) and headache (OR 1.7; CI 1.0, 2.7) were associated with influenza A (H1N1) pdm09 infection in those >18 yr. No significant differences were seen in children <5 yr. Conclusion: Our findings show that the differences in the clinical presentation of influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 and influenza B infections are not likely to be of clinical or public health significance.
Article
Full-text available
Background: On April 15 and April 17, 2009, novel swine-origin influenza A (H1N1) virus (S-OIV) was identified in specimens obtained from two epidemiologically unlinked patients in the United States. The same strain of the virus was identified in Mexico, Canada, and elsewhere. We describe 642 confirmed cases of human S-OIV infection identified from the rapidly evolving U.S. outbreak. Methods: Enhanced surveillance was implemented in the United States for human infection with influenza A viruses that could not be subtyped. Specimens were sent to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention for real-time reverse-transcriptase-polymerase-chain-reaction confirmatory testing for S-OIV. Results: From April 15 through May 5, a total of 642 confirmed cases of S-OIV infection were identified in 41 states. The ages of patients ranged from 3 months to 81 years; 60% of patients were 18 years of age or younger. Of patients with available data, 18% had recently traveled to Mexico, and 16% were identified from school outbreaks of S-OIV infection. The most common presenting symptoms were fever (94% of patients), cough (92%), and sore throat (66%); 25% of patients had diarrhea, and 25% had vomiting. Of the 399 patients for whom hospitalization status was known, 36 (9%) required hospitalization. Of 22 hospitalized patients with available data, 12 had characteristics that conferred an increased risk of severe seasonal influenza, 11 had pneumonia, 8 required admission to an intensive care unit, 4 had respiratory failure, and 2 died. The S-OIV was determined to have a unique genome composition that had not been identified previously. Conclusions: A novel swine-origin influenza A virus was identified as the cause of outbreaks of febrile respiratory infection ranging from self-limited to severe illness. It is likely that the number of confirmed cases underestimates the number of cases that have occurred.
Article
Full-text available
BACKGROUNDOn April 15 and April 17, 2009, novel swine-origin influenza A (H1N1) virus (S-OIV) was identified in specimens obtained from two epidemiologically unlinked patients in the United States. The same strain of the virus was identified in Mexico, Canada, and elsewhere. We describe 642 confirmed cases of human S-OIV infection identified from the rapidly evolving U. S. outbreak.METHODSEnhanced surveillance was implemented in the United States for human infection with influenza A viruses that could not be subtyped. Specimens were sent to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention for real-time reverse-transcriptase-polymerasechain-reaction confirmatory testing for S-OIV.RESULTSFrom April 15 through May 5, a total of 642 confirmed cases of S-OIV infection were identified in 41 states. The ages of patients ranged from 3 months to 81 years; 60% of patients were 18 years of age or younger. Of patients with available data, 18% had recently traveled to Mexico, and 16% were identified from school outbreaks of S-OIV infection. The most common presenting symptoms were fever (94% of patients), cough (92%), and sore throat (66%); 25% of patients had diarrhea, and 25% had vomiting. Of the 399 patients for whom hospitalization status was known, 36 (9%) required hospitalization. Of 22 hospitalized patients with available data, 12 had characteristics that conferred an increased risk of severe seasonal influenza, 11 had pneumonia, 8 required admission to an intensive care unit, 4 had respiratory failure, and 2 died. The S-OIV was determined to have a unique genome composition that had not been identified previously.CONCLUSIONSA novel swine-origin influenza A virus was identified as the cause of outbreaks of febrile respiratory infection ranging from self-limited to severe illness. It is likely that the number of confirmed cases underestimates the number of cases that have occurred.
Article
The purpose of this review is to examine current methods of estimation of influenza-related morbidity and mortality from the perspective of surveillance of seven seasons (1974-1981) of influenza virus activity and related disease by the Influenza Research Center in Houston Texas. Virologic surveillance was designed to monitor influenza virus activity in all socioeconomic strata of the population of Harris County Texas which increased from about 2.0 to 2.4 million persons during the study period. The surveillance program has provided some measure of the contribution of influenza virus infections to medically attended acute respiratory illnesses while defining the period of influenza virus prevalence for each season. Nonvirological indexes of epidemic influenza that have been used for regional and national surveillance are evaluated. "Preliminary observations suggest that the number of hospitalizations for acute respiratory illnesses observed in this framework provides a better estimate of impact than data derived from death certificates." (EXCERPT)
Article
During epidemics, influenza attack rates in children may exceed 40%. Options for prevention and treatment currently include the neuraminidase inhibitors zanamivir and oseltamivir. Laninamivir octanoate, the prodrug of laninamivir, is currently being developed. To assess the efficacy, safety and tolerability of neuraminidase inhibitors in the treatment and prevention of influenza in children. For this update we searched the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL) (The Cochrane Library 2011, Issue 1) which includes the Acute Respiratory Infections Group's Specialised Register, MEDLINE (1966 to January week 2, 2011) and EMBASE (January 2010 to January 2011). Double-blind, randomised controlled trials (RCTs) comparing neuraminidase inhibitors with placebo or other antiviral drugs in children aged up to and including 12 years. We also included safety and tolerability data from other types of studies. Four review authors selected studies, assessed study quality and extracted data for the current and previous versions of this review. We analysed data separately for oseltamivir versus placebo, zanamivir versus placebo and laninamivir octanoate versus oseltamivir. Six treatment trials involving 1906 children with clinical influenza and 450 children with influenza diagnosed on rapid near-patient influenza testing were included. Of these 2356 children, 1255 had laboratory-confirmed influenza. Three prophylaxis trials involving 863 children exposed to influenza were also included. In children with laboratory-confirmed influenza oseltamivir reduced median duration of illness by 36 hours (26%, P < 0.001). One trial of oseltamivir in children with asthma who had laboratory-confirmed influenza showed only a small reduction in illness duration (10.4 hours, 8%), which was not statistically significant (P = 0.542). Laninamivir octanoate 20 mg reduced symptom duration by 2.8 days (60%, P < 0.001) in children with oseltamivir-resistant influenza A/H1N1. Zanamivir reduced median duration of illness by 1.3 days (24%, P < 0.001). Oseltamivir significantly reduced acute otitis media in children aged one to five years with laboratory-confirmed influenza (risk difference (RD) -0.14, 95% confidence interval (CI) -0.24 to -0.04). Prophylaxis with either zanamivir or oseltamivir was associated with an 8% absolute reduction in developing influenza after the introduction of a case into a household (RD -0.08, 95% CI -0.12 to -0.05, P < 0.001). The adverse event profile of zanamivir was no worse than placebo but vomiting was more commonly associated with oseltamivir (number needed to harm = 17, 95% CI 10 to 34). The adverse event profiles of laninamivir octanoate and oseltamivir were similar. Oseltamivir and zanamivir appear to have modest benefit in reducing duration of illness in children with influenza. However, our analysis was limited by small sample sizes and an inability to pool data from different studies. Oseltamivir reduces the incidence of acute otitis media in children aged one to five years but is associated with a significantly increased risk of vomiting. One study demonstrated that laninamivir octanoate was more effective than oseltamivir in shortening duration of illness in children with oseltamivir-resistant influenza A/H1N1. The benefit of oseltamivir and zanamivir in preventing the transmission of influenza in households is modest and based on weak evidence. However, the clinical efficacy of neuraminidase inhibitors in 'at risk' children is still uncertain. Larger high-quality trials are needed with sufficient power to determine the efficacy of neuraminidase inhibitors in preventing serious complications of influenza (such as pneumonia or hospital admission), particularly in 'at risk' groups.
Article
Few studies have examined the characteristics and clinical course of children hospitalized with laboratory-confirmed influenza. We sought to (1) estimate the age-specific incidence of influenza-related hospitalizations, (2) describe the characteristics and clinical course of children hospitalized with influenza, and (3) identify risk factors for prolonged hospitalization. Children < or = 21 years of age hospitalized with community-acquired laboratory-confirmed influenza at a large urban children's hospital were identified through review of laboratory records and administrative data sources. A neighborhood cohort embedded within our study population was used to estimate the incidence of community-acquired laboratory-confirmed influenza hospitalizations among children < 18 years old. Risk factors for prolonged hospitalization (> 6 days) were determined by using logistic regression. We identified 745 children hospitalized with community-acquired laboratory-confirmed influenza during the 4-year study period. In this urban cohort, the incidence of community-acquired laboratory-confirmed influenza hospitalization was 7 per 10,000 child-years of observation. The median age was 1.8 years; 25% were infants < 6 months old, and 77% were children < 5 years old. Many children (49%) had a medical condition associated with an increased risk of influenza-related complications. The incidence of influenza-related complications was higher among children with a preexisting high-risk condition than for previously healthy children (29% vs 21%). However, only cardiac and neurologic/neuromuscular diseases were found to be independent risk factors for prolonged hospitalization. Influenza is a common cause of hospitalization among both healthy and chronically ill children. Children with cardiac or neurologic/neuromuscular disease are at increased risk of prolonged hospitalization; therefore, children with these conditions and their contacts should be a high priority to receive vaccine. The impact on pediatric hospitalization of the new recommendation to vaccinate all children 6 months to < 5 years old should be assessed.
Article
We use data on confirmed cases of pandemic influenza A(H1N1), disseminated by the United States Centers for Disease Control and Prevention(US CDC), to fit the parameters of a seasonally forced Susceptible, Infective, Recovered (SIR) model. We use the resulting model to predict the course of the H1N1 influenza pandemic in autumn 2009, and we assess the efficacy of the planned CDC H1N1 vaccination campaign. The model predicts that there will be a significant wave in autumn, with 63% of the population being infected, and that this wave will peak so early that the planned CDC vaccination campaign will likely not have a large effect on the total number of people ultimately infected by the pandemic H1N1 influenza virus.
Article
Frank, A. L. (Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX 77030), L. H. Taber, W. P. Glezen, E. A. Geyer, S. Mcllwain and A. Paredes. Influenza B virus infections in the community and the family: the epidemics of 1976–1977 and 1979–1980 in Houston, Texas. Am J Epidemiol 1983; 118: 313–25. Influenza B virus epidemics occurred in Houston, Texas, in 1976–1977 and 1979–1980. Among families with young children followed longitudinally in the Houston Family Study, 112 infections were detected during 511 person-years of observation. The infection rates for the two epidemics were similar—24 per cent and 20 per cent—although the two epidemics differed greatly in the community. The first epidemic was much more intense with a mid-winter peak that produced school absentee rates above 12 per cent for four consecutive weeks. The indolent epidemic of 1979–1980 smoldered from late September to mid-April with a peak during the second week of March for which school absenteeism did not exceed 8 per cent. In the Houston Family Study population, the combined infection rate for the two outbreaks was highest at 35 per 100 person-years for school children aged 6–19 years. Preschool children aged 7 months-5 years and adults had infection rates of 31 and 16 per 100 person-years, respectively. Preexisting neutralizing antibody titers ⩾3.5 log2 protected against influenza B infection and illness. Preschool children above 6 months of age, school age children, and parents introduced infection into the family at rates of 15, 15, and 9 per 100 person-years, respectively. Three second introductions were observed. The secondary infection rate was highest among school aged children at 61 per 100 persons at risk.