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Increasing Genetic Variance of Body Mass Index during the Swedish Obesity Epidemic

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There is no doubt that the dramatic worldwide increase in obesity prevalence is due to changes in environmental factors. However, twin and family studies suggest that genetic differences are responsible for the major part of the variation in adiposity within populations. Recent studies show that the genetic effects on body mass index (BMI) may be stronger when combined with presumed risk factors for obesity. We tested the hypothesis that the genetic variance of BMI has increased during the obesity epidemic. The data comprised height and weight measurements of 1,474,065 Swedish conscripts at age 18-19 y born between 1951 and 1983. The data were linked to the Swedish Multi-Generation Register and the Swedish Twin Register from which 264,796 full-brother pairs, 1,736 monozygotic (MZ) and 1,961 dizygotic (DZ) twin pairs were identified. The twin pairs were analysed to identify the most parsimonious model for the genetic and environmental contribution to BMI variance. The full-brother pairs were subsequently divided into subgroups by year of birth to investigate trends in the genetic variance of BMI. The twin analysis showed that BMI variation could be explained by additive genetic and environmental factors not shared by co-twins. On the basis of the analyses of the full-siblings, the additive genetic variance of BMI increased from 4.3 [95% CI 4.04-4.53] to 7.9 [95% CI 7.28-8.54] within the study period, as did the unique environmental variance, which increased from 1.4 [95% CI 1.32-1.48] to 2.0 [95% CI 1.89-2.22]. The BMI heritability increased from 75% to 78.8%. The results confirm the hypothesis that the additive genetic variance of BMI has increased strongly during the obesity epidemic. This suggests that the obesogenic environment has enhanced the influence of adiposity related genes.
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Increasing Genetic Variance of Body Mass Index during
the Swedish Obesity Epidemic
Benjamin Rokholm
1
*, Karri Silventoinen
2
, Per Tynelius
3
, Michael Gamborg
1
, Thorkild I. A. Sørensen
1
,
Finn Rasmussen
3
1Institute of Preventive Medicine, Copenhagen University Hospital, Centre for Health and Society, Copenhagen, Denmark, 2Population Research Unit, Department of
Social Research, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland, 3Department of Public Health Sciences, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden
Abstract
Background and Objectives:
There is no doubt that the dramatic worldwide increase in obesity prevalence is due to
changes in environmental factors. However, twin and family studies suggest that genetic differences are responsible for the
major part of the variation in adiposity within populations. Recent studies show that the genetic effects on body mass index
(BMI) may be stronger when combined with presumed risk factors for obesity. We tested the hypothesis that the genetic
variance of BMI has increased during the obesity epidemic.
Methods:
The data comprised height and weight measurements of 1,474,065 Swedish conscripts at age 18–19 y born
between 1951 and 1983. The data were linked to the Swedish Multi-Generation Register and the Swedish Twin Register
from which 264,796 full-brother pairs, 1,736 monozygotic (MZ) and 1,961 dizygotic (DZ) twin pairs were identified. The twin
pairs were analysed to identify the most parsimonious model for the genetic and environmental contribution to BMI
variance. The full-brother pairs were subsequently divided into subgroups by year of birth to investigate trends in the
genetic variance of BMI.
Results:
The twin analysis showed that BMI variation could be explained by additive genetic and environmental factors not
shared by co-twins. On the basis of the analyses of the full-siblings, the additive genetic variance of BMI increased from 4.3
[95% CI 4.04–4.53] to 7.9 [95% CI 7.28–8.54] within the study period, as did the unique environmental variance, which
increased from 1.4 [95% CI 1.32–1.48] to 2.0 [95% CI 1.89–2.22]. The BMI heritability increased from 75% to 78.8%.
Conclusion:
The results confirm the hypothesis that the additive genetic variance of BMI has increased strongly during the
obesity epidemic. This suggests that the obesogenic environment has enhanced the influence of adiposity related genes.
Citation: Rokholm B, Silventoinen K, Tynelius P, Gamborg M, Sørensen TIA, et al. (2011) Increasing Genetic Variance of Body Mass Index during the Swedish
Obesity Epidemic. PLoS ONE 6(11): e27135. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0027135
Editor: Amanda Ewart Toland, Ohio State University Medical Center, United States of America
Received August 8, 2011; Accepted October 11, 2011; Published November 7, 2011
Copyright: ß2011 Rokholm et al. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits
unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.
Funding: Funding was provided by the Danish Research Counsil (the Ministry of Science, Technology and Innovation; http://www.fi.dk/raad-og-udvalg/det-frie-
forskningsraad). The funder had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.
Competing Interests: The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.
* E-mail: br@ipm.regionh.dk
Introduction
The prevalence of obesity has increased strongly in Sweden
during the last decades, and 10% of all Swedish men and women
are now obese [1,2] In the USA the prevalence of obesity has
reached epidemic proportions and recent data show that more
than a third of all men and women are obese [3,4].
There is no doubt that environmental factors have initiated the
epidemic, since the gene pool in the population changes at a rate
that is much too slow to explain the observed pattern. Nevertheless
with heritability (the proportion of phenotypic variation attribut-
able to genetic differences among individuals) of body mass index
(BMI) in the range of 50–80%, twin studies suggest that genetic
differences account for the majority of variation in body fatness
within populations [5,6]. Furthermore, there is evidence for a
continuously high, and possibly increasing, heritability of BMI
despite the increasing effect of environmental factors, which gave
rise to the obesity epidemic [7]. This seems paradoxical since
environmental changes have resulted in an increase in the total
BMI variation [8]. An explanation could be that the genetic
influence on BMI has increased because of the influence from the
obesogenic environment, responsible for the increase in the
prevalence of obesity. Such an association suggests that the effect
of genes depends upon the environmental exposure, which implies
gene-environment interaction (GxE).
So far various presumed environmental risk factors for obesity
have been investigated as potential effect modifiers of genetic
effects on adiposity. Twin studies conducted in several populations
have found lower heritability of obesity in physically more active
individuals [9–11]. Similarly on a molecular genetic level, several
studies have recently found that physical activity attenuates the
effect of the fat mass and obesity associated (FTO) gene and other
genetic loci that are associated with body fatness [12–15]. In
addition, fat and carbohydrate intake has been found to interact
with the FTO gene on BMI [16].
These results all suggest that genetic effects on adiposity are
modifiable by environmental influences, which are related to the
obesogenic environment. However, the research is still at an early
PLoS ONE | www.plosone.org 1 November 2011 | Volume 6 | Issue 11 | e27135
stage and it is possible that the discovered interactions apply to
other genetic loci and to other environmental factors than physical
activity and fat and carbohydrate intake. On this background we
tested the more general hypothesis that the genetic variance of
BMI has increased during the obesity epidemic among Swedish
young men. If the hypothesis is confirmed it may imply that the
obesogenic environment reinforces the effect of genes related to
adiposity. Although a similar hypothesis has been investigated
previously on Danish twin data [17] the current study is the first to
investigate an actual secular trend in the genetic variance of BMI.
Methods
Ethics statement
This study has been ethically approved by the Swedish ethical
approval system (Centrala etikpro¨vningsna¨mnden, Vetenskapsra˚-
det i Stockholm). Informed consent was not considered necessary
by the Swedish ethical approval system since the study relies
purely on non-identifiable register-based data.
Study population
The data comprises height and weight measurements of all
Swedish men born between 1951 and 1983 who underwent
military conscription examination. Height was measured using a
wall-mounted stadiometer and weight using an analogue or digital
scale. BMI was calculated as weight (kg)/height
2
(m
2
). Extreme
BMI values (15 kg/m
2
.BMI.50 kg/m
2
) were excluded to
reduce the risk of misclassification due to measurement or data
entry errors. During the years covered by this study, conscription
examination was compulsory by law for all young men with
Swedish citizenship. Only men with severe diseases and disabilities
were exempted based on a certificate issued by a physician with
information on diagnosis.
Information on sibling status was acquired by linking the
conscript data with the Swedish Multi-Generation Register and
the Swedish Twin Register using the Swedish personal identifica-
tion number (ID) unique to each subject. The ID numbers of the
biological parents were included in the record of their offspring
and on this background 264,796 pairs of full-brothers and 1,736
MZ and 1,961 DZ twin pairs were identified among the
conscripts. Data on zygosity were obtained from the Swedish
Twin Register and from the Swedish Young Male Twins Study
[18,19]. Due to lack of information on zygosity 2,452 twin pairs
were excluded. To limit the possible change in childhood family
environment, brothers born more than 3 years apart were
excluded resulting in a total of 116,478 brother pairs for analysis
(Table 1).
Statistical analyses
The sibling pairs were analysed through quantitative genetic
modelling, in which the total phenotypic variance of a trait is
partitioned into environmental and genetic components. The
disentangling of genetic and environmental variance is made
possible through structural equation modelling of covariance
within pairs of different types of family relations. The relations
included in the modelling are genetically informative if they differ
in the degree of genetic or environmental similarity [20]. In the
case of MZ and DZ twin pairs, the genetic variance can be
estimated since MZ twins have the same gene sequence, while DZ
twins share, on average, 50% of their segregating genes. This,
however, rests on the assumptions that the common environmen-
tal influences are the same for MZ and DZ pairs. Furthermore,
this study design requires equal phenotype means and variances
for MZ and DZ pairs.
The genetic variance can further be decomposed into parts due
to additive genetic effects (A) and dominance genetic effects, i.e.
interaction between alleles on the same locus, (D) over all relevant
loci. Epistatic effects refer to interaction between different loci. If
the loci are unlinked, e.g. by being on different chromosomes,
these effects are modelled as part of dominance genetic effects. In
the case of linked loci, epistatic effects will be modelled as additive
genetic effects since the loci segregate together and form a unit.
The environmental variance can be divided into factors shared by
co-twins (C) and factors that are unique to each twin individual
including also any measurement error (E). Hence, the total
phenotypic variance can be decomposed into four components:
the additive genetic (A), dominant genetic (D), common environ-
mental (C), and unique environmental (E) variance component.
BMI was used as a measure of body fatness. Two sets of
statistical analyses were conducted to calculate the variance
components in BMI. The first is a classical twin analysis using
MZ and DZ twin pairs [20] from which we identified the most
parsimonious variance components model for BMI. The twin
analyses in the current study were conducted using the Mx
statistical software, version 1.7.03 [21]. Mx derives structural
equation models from twin and family data and calculates the
variance components through maximum likelihood estimation.
Since we only have data on twins reared together, the D and C
components could not be estimated simultaneously, and thus the
model fit of the ACE and ADE models were compared.
Subsequently, the significance of each variance component was
tested and the most parsimonious model was selected.
Assuming that the AE model adequately explains BMI variance,
the second set of analyses investigated the secular trends in the A
and E components using only full-brother pairs. The twin study
complements the full-brother pair analysis by testing whether this
assumption is reasonable. The advantage of using full brother pairs
in this second phase is that this data set is considerably larger
which improves the statistical power to detect possible secular
changes. The brother pairs were divided into birth cohorts defined
by the birth year of a randomly selected brother in a pair. The
BMI variance and brother pair covariance was then calculated for
each birth cohort. Assuming the absence of common environ-
mental and dominant genetic influences, or assuming that these
influences are very small, the covariance multiplied by two is an
estimate of the additive genetic variance in BMI since brothers
Table 1. Summary statistics for BMI in twins and full-brothers.
N Mean Variance Covariance [95%CI] Correlation [95%CI]
Full-brothers 116,478 21.69 7.88 2.96 [2.94–2.98] 0.37 [0.37–0.38]
DZ twins 1,961 21.05 5.65 2.33 [2.19–2.48] 0.43 [0.39–0.47]
MZ twins 1,736 21.04 5.61 4.72 [4.42–5.05] 0.83 [0.82–0.85]
doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0027135.t001
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share, on average, half of their segregating genes such as DZ
twins. The remaining variance can be attributed to the non-
shared environmental influences. A sensitivity analysis approach
was used to investigate whether the same results could be
obtained when normalising the BMI distribution with the
logarithmic transformation.
To compare the development in the variance components with
the general course of the Swedish obesity epidemic, we calculated
obesity prevalence for each birth year using the WHO defined cut-
point of BMI$30 [22]. Pearson correlation coefficients for the
relationship between prevalence of obesity and the A and E
variance components were calculated. The purpose was to explore
the hypothesis that changes in the variance components are
related to the influence of the obesogenic environment. For higher
accuracy of the estimates, we used the whole sample of conscripts
in the calculation of prevalence estimates.
Results
The prevalence of obesity increased more than five-fold from
0.8% to 4.4% from the 1951 to the 1983 birth cohort (Figure 1).
Less strong increase over time in prevalence of overweight and
even stronger increase in prevalence of severe obesity has been
reported previously [1]. Two phases can be identified from the
development. The first phase includes the birth cohorts from 1951
to around 1973 where the increase in prevalence was moderate. In
the second phase the increase became significantly stronger with
the birth cohorts from around 1973 and onward.
Table 1 shows summary statistics for full-brother pairs and MZ
and DZ twin pairs. The difference in BMI means and variances
between MZ and DZ twin pairs were not statistically significant,
thus the equal means and variances assumption was not violated.
It is noteworthy that both the BMI mean and variance was higher
for singletons than for twins. This discrepancy has also been found
for phenotypes such as body size and muscle strength and has
previously been thoroughly discussed [23].
When analysing the twin data, the ACE model provided at
marginally better fit of the data than the ADE model. The
standardized A, C and E components were estimated at 0.80 [95%
CI 0.73–0.84], 0.02 [95% CI 0.02–0.03] and 0.18 [95% CI 0.18–
0.19], respectively. The ACE model was compared to the AE
model. With a chi-square difference of 0.385 and a difference in
degrees of freedom of 1, the p-value was 0.535 indicating that the
ACE model did not fit the data better than the more parsimonious
AE model. Hence, evidence for the contribution of common
environmental influences to BMI variation was not found in the
current data. The standardized A and E components were
estimated at 0.82 [95% CI 0.82–0.84] and 0.18 [95% CI 0.18–
0.19], respectively, under the AE model. Since the AE model will
be used, we will, from now on, simply refer to the additive genetic
variance as genetic variance.
Among full-brothers the total BMI variance increased from 5.7
in the 1951 birth cohort to 9.9 in the 1983 birth cohort. The BMI
covariance increased in a similar proportion from 2.1 to 3.9 within
the period studied. The correlation coefficients for BMI within the
brother pairs increased slightly from around .375 [95% CI .340–
.410] to .394 [95% CI .345–441], which translates into an increase
in BMI heritability from 75% to 78.8%, although not statistically
significant.
Since we can assume an AE model the genetic variance is twice
the covariance within full-brother pairs. Hence, the genetic
variance increased from 4.3 [95% CI 4.04–4.53] to 7.9 [95% CI
7.28–8.54] over the period studied (Figure 2). The increase was
moderate from 1951–73 where after the genetic variance
increased strongly. The unique environmental variance is
responsible for the remainder of phenotypic variance and hence
increased from 1.4 [95% CI 1.32–1.48] to 2.0 [95% CI 1.89–2.22]
within the period (Figure 2).
In Figure 3 the prevalence of obesity is plotted against the
genetic and environmental variance for each birth cohort and
regression lines are shown for both sources of variance. The slopes
of both regressions were statistically significant (p,0.001 for both
Figure 1. The prevalence of obesity in the full sample of conscripts by year of birth with 95% CI.
doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0027135.g001
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genetic and environmental variance). The Pearson correlation
coefficient for the relationship between the genetic variance and
prevalence of obesity showed a very high positive correlation of
.921 [95% CI .844–.960], while the correlation between the
environmental variance and prevalence of obesity was .572 [95%
CI .285–.765].
Figure 2. The additive genetic variance (95% confidence intervals) and unique environmental variance of BMI plotted against year
of birth.
doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0027135.g002
Figure 3. The prevalence of obesity plotted against the additive genetic and the unique environmental variance of BMI for each
birth cohort. The regression lines are shown for the genetic and environmental variance vs. prevalence of obesity.
doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0027135.g003
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The analyses were also conducted with the logarithm of BMI to
test whether the same results would be obtained when the slight
right skewness of the BMI distribution were taken into account.
This transformation did not lead to different results and to ease the
interpretation only the untransformed results are presented.
Discussion
The results of structural equation modelling of MZ and DZ
twins showed that a model including additive genetic and non-
shared environmental factors adequately explains variance in
BMI. These findings are also consistent with results from most
adoption studies of non-biological siblings [24]. The analyses on
birth cohort strata of full-brothers showed a statistically significant
increase in BMI variance and covariance. The additive genetic
variance of BMI increased strongly from 4.3 to 7.9 while the
heritability of BMI increased slightly from 75% to 78.8%. The
unique environmental variance of BMI showed a moderate
increase from 1.4 to 2.0.
The results support the hypothesis that the genetic variance has
increased in Sweden between 1969 and 2001. In parallel with the
increasing prevalence of obesity, the increase in the genetic
variance was moderate from the first observations in birth cohorts
from 1951 until around 1973. From around birth cohort 1973 and
onward the increase became stronger. The trend in the genetic
variance was highly correlated (.921) with the trend for the
prevalence of obesity in the same population, supporting the
notion that it may be the obesogenic environment that drives the
upward trend in the genetic variance (Figure 3). The close
relationship points to a dose-response relationship between the
exposure to the obesogenic environment and the genetic variance.
Hence, the findings suggest GxE between the obesogenic
environment and adiposity related genes in the direction of
stronger genetic influences on adiposity in a more obesogenic
environment.
The results show that the strong increase in BMI variance
primarily is driven by the increase in genetic variance and only to
a small extent by an increase in the environmental variance. This
implies, that although the influence from the obesogenic
environment has increased during the last decades [25], it is
primarily the genetic background that creates the considerable
variation in body fatness within populations and as the force of the
obesogenic environment has become stronger the genetic
differences have become more pronounced.
The increase in the genetic variance can be decomposed on
basis of the mathematical formula for the contribution from one
genetic locus which equals p(1-p)a
2
, where ‘‘p’’ denotes the
population prevalence of an arbitrary obesity-related allele and
‘‘a’’ is the effect of that allele [26]. In the current study the
population strata was defined by year of birth. This will most likely
imply that the gene pool between strata is comparable, since,
except for possible changes in genetic variation due to immigra-
tion, the gene pool does not change noteworthy within a few
decades. This allows us to assume that ‘‘p’’ is constant across the
birth cohorts. Hence, there are two main explanations to the
increase in additive genetic variance in the more recent birth
cohorts. Either the effect of loci already contributing to adiposity
increases over time or new genes not previously expressed are
activated as the influence from the obesogenic environment
increases. Naturally, a combination of the two explanations is
possible as well. Thus, the results indicate that the obesogenic
environment modifies the expression of genes related to body
fatness in the direction of stronger genetic influences in a more
obesogenic environment.
The influence of the obesogenic environment on the genetic
variance of BMI is possibly the result of GxE, which could occur in
several ways. The genetic effects could be modified if the strength
of an association in a biological pathway from genotype to
phenotype is influenced by environmental circumstances. Fur-
thermore, it can be argued that the causal pathway from genotype
to phenotype goes beyond the limits of our physical organism. If a
behavioural pattern mediating the genetic influence on obesity is
either suppressed or facilitated under certain environmental
conditions, it is reasonable to assume that the strength of an
association between genotype and phenotype will change. Other
types of mediating phenotypes under genetic influence could play
a role, e.g. that an individual’s perceived level of stress is under
genetic influence and that, in turn, stress is a predictor of body
fatness. If the environment changes and becomes more stressful it
will have the strongest impact on individuals with a genetic
susceptibility to stress. The association between genotype and BMI
would then increase and thereby contribute to genetic variation in
BMI. Finally, the GxE may involve a combination of different
mechanisms.
This study is primarily exploratory and currently we have very
limited knowledge concerning which mechanisms and environ-
mental factors are actually underlying the findings. Considering
the magnitude of change in genetic variance in a more obesogenic
environment, the findings strongly encourage research in how the
environmental influences alter the genetic contribution to
differences in BMI, which would possibly allow a better targeting
of preventive efforts in the future.
The results align with a recent study using quintile regression of
genetic associations with BMI in children [27]. The authors
calculated a genetic score based on five previously confirmed
genetic markers of obesity. The genetic markers showed stronger
associations with BMI in the higher BMI quintiles. Although the
genetic profile may not be similar between the quintiles it
complements the current findings by showing stronger genetic
effects on adiposity among subgroups, which may be more
exposed to the obesogenic environment. These results may be a
consequence of GxE and/or gene-gene interaction, and the latter
may be the case if the gene pool differs between the quintiles.
Several studies have examined whether putative risk factors for
obesity modify the genetic variation in BMI. Although the
direction of causation between obesity and physical activity is
unclear, the level of physical activity may still be an indicator of
the exposure to the obesogenic environment. Hence, the consistent
evidence for an interaction between physical activity and the
additive genetic variance in BMI, where higher genetic variance
and stronger candidate gene effects are found in groups with a
lower physical activity, points in the same direction as the current
results [9–15]. The same argument applies to a recent study on
Danish twins where a lower genetic variance in BMI was found
with a higher level of education, which is known to be inversely
associated with obesity [28]. In addition, it is worth noting that
common variation in the CHRNA5-CHRNA3-CHRNB4 gene
region (chromosome 15q25) is associated with BMI in ever
smokers, but not in non-smokers, which implies that also smoking
modifies the genetic variation in BMI [29]. However, an
important strength in the current study is that the population
strata are defined by birth year, rendering the gene pool
comparable across strata. Hence, the changes in genetic variation
can be attributed to environmental modification of genetic effects
rather than differences in the gene pool between strata.
In addition to possible confounding from the C and D
components, assortative mating may play a role as well. The
assumption of equality of gene frequencies across birth cohorts
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relies on the assumption that mating occurs at random [20]. If, on
the other hand, mating occurs more frequently among individuals
with genetic similarity, the genotype frequency could change
across birth cohorts. This would undermine our interpretation that
the increase in genetic variance could only be the result of changes
in the genotypic effects. However, assortative mating is unlikely to
account for the strong increase in genetic variance. It occurs
primarily in the highest percentiles of the BMI distribution and
thereby presumably contributes only little to the general variation
in BMI [30]. Furthermore, assortative mating would increase the
similarity of DZ twins and thereby mimic common environmental
influences. Thus, the non-significant C component in the twin
study supports the assumption of no assortative mating.
An important strength of the current study is that all
participants were measured at approximately the same age, i.e.
around 18–19 y and through the use of standardized measure-
ment techniques. The genetic influence on adiposity may be age-
dependent and measurement error is modelled as unique
environmental variance, which attenuates the estimate of herita-
bility. Hence, keeping these factors nearly constant allows a more
accurate calculation of the genetic contribution to BMI.
Furthermore, the collection of data from mandatory conscription
examinations implies that the cohort is not self-selected, but is
highly representative of the general population.
Another strength is that this study utilizes the impressive size of
the Swedish conscript database. The classical twin design would
tend to suffer from statistical power problems in addressing the
secular trend in variance components. For example, the current
population of nearly 1.5 million conscripts included merely 3,699
twin pairs eligible for analysis. Since the AE model proves to be
the most parsimonious model for decomposing BMI variance, the
analysis of covariance in full-brother pairs is by far the most
statistically powerful approach to study secular changes in the
variance components of BMI.
The study is subject to various limitations. Using full-brothers
instead of twins comes at a price. While twin pairs are born at the
same time full-brother pairs can be years apart. Although we limit
our analyses to pairs with a maximum age difference of 3 years, the
obesogenic environment may still change slightly between the births
of two brothers. In periods with rapid secular changes in the
obesogenic environment, this may influence the correlation and
covariance estimates and hence bias the results. However, it seems
unlikely that such biases could alone produce the relatively uniform
secular trends and would probably rather tend to dilute the results.
Likewise the twin analyses may have produced biased estimates of
heritability. Perhaps the most critical assumption is the ‘equal
environments assumption’, implying that MZ twins do not share a
more similar environment than DZ twins [20]. This assumption
may however not always be valid, e.g. MZ twins may be treated
more similarly by their surroundings than DZ twins [31]. This could
potentially increase their phenotypic similarity later on and in turn
generate inflated estimates of heritability. Similarly, if MZ twins are
more similar than DZ twins in terms of epigenetic characteristics
[32] the heritability will also tend to be inflated. However, this
problem is not of serious concern in the current analyses since the
twin pairs are used primarily to test the significance of the common
environmental influence. Furthermore, our primary interest is not
in the absolute size of genetic influence but rather in investigating
secular changes herein. Another limitation is that some DZ twins
may falsely be classified as MZ twins and vice versa. However, with
a relatively low misclassification rate (less than 4%) studies have
confirmed that questionnaires are a valid method of zygosity
determination [33]. Hence, this issue should not bias our results
considerably. Finally it should be noted that the analyses only
include males. Corresponding analyses would have to be carried out
in female sibling pairs before we can determine whether the findings
are representative of the entire population.
The findings may have both theoretical and practical
perspectives. Firstly, they may elucidate the mechanisms of GxE
during the last decades and thereby improve our general
understanding of the role of adiposity-related genes in the obesity
epidemic. It may also nuance our understanding of genetic factors
as, rather than being fixed from conception, are quite flexible units
in terms of their influence on phenotypes. Secondly, the findings
may have a practical relevance if they are used instrumentally in
genome wide association studies (GWAS). Since the total genetic
variation is much higher in populations under a strong influence
from the obesogenic environment, the GWAS samples may be
selected to yield the highest genetic variance thereby improving
the chances of finding statistically significant genetic effects.
Furthermore, since the increase in genetic variance could be
explained both by an increase in the influence from genes as well
as by the activation of novel gene effects, this approach may also
allow the discovery of new adiposity related genes.
In summary, the twin analyses showed that a model including
additive genetic and unique environmental variance adequately
explains BMI variance. On basis of the AE model the variance and
covariance of BMI within Swedish brother pairs confirmed the
hypothesis that the genetic variance in BMI has increased strongly
throughout the obesity epidemic, suggesting GxE. The influence of
genes can potentially be modified by the environment in any part
in the causal pathway linking genotype to phenotype, including the
restriction of facilitation of behavioural patterns related to obesity.
The findings may have both theoretical and practical perspectives.
Firstly, they may be a step towards a better understanding of the
general role of genes during the obesity epidemic. Secondly, the
findings could be used instrumentally in GWAS studies. It is
plausible that if study population with the highest genetic variance
is selected the chance of finding new genetic variants is improved.
Thirdly, the results strongly encourage research in how the
environmental influences alter the genetic contribution to
differences in BMI, which would possibly facilitate development
of better targeted preventive efforts in the future.
Author Contributions
Conceived and designed the experiments: BR TIAS FR KS. Performed the
experiments: BR. Analyzed the data: BR. Contributed reagents/materials/
analysis tools: TIAS FR KS MG PT. Wrote the paper: BR. Reviewing and
editing of the text: BR KS PT MG TIAS FR.
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... With this understanding, multiple studies examining obesity genetics reveal evidence supporting that a rapid change in the gene pool has occurred along with the timing expected by the microevolutionary hypothesis. Twin studies comparing obesity genetic variance by birth cohort consistently identify the additive genetic variance of BMI is increasing in those born after the introduction of modern obstetrics with limited changes in environmental variance (30)(31)(32). Without considering the microevolutionary hypothesis, these consistent findings appeared counter-intuitive given most proposed causes of the obesity epidemic have been believed to be environmental changes, well explained by Reddon et al. (32). ...
... Counter intuitively, the proportion of variability in BMI attributable to genetic variation is increased among people born after the establishment of a modern 'obesogenic' environment." This finding is well demonstrated by a Swedish twin study, in which they found additive genetic variance of BMI increased significantly between Swedish twin cohorts born in 1951 versus 1981 from 4.3 to 7.9 (31). This increasing genetic variance in those born in later birth cohorts was significantly correlated with the increasing obesity rate of the population, while the environmental variance of BMI showed no association with the population obesity rate. ...
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The obesity epidemic represents potentially the largest phenotypic change in Homo sapiens since the origin of the species. Despite obesity’s high heritability, a change in the gene pool has not generally been presumed as a potential cause of the obesity epidemic. Here we advance the hypothesis that a rapid change in the obesogenic gene pool has occurred second to the introduction of modern obstetrics dramatically altering evolutionary pressures on obesity - the microevolutionary hypothesis of the obesity epidemic. Obesity is known to increase childbirth related mortality several fold. Prior to modern obstetrics, childbirth related mortality occurred in over 10% of women. After modern obstetrics, this mortality reduced to a fraction of a percent, thereby lifting a strong negative selection pressure. Regression analysis of data for ∼ 190 countries was carried out to examine associations between 1990 maternal death rates (MDR) and current obesity rates. Multivariate regression showed MDR correlated more strongly with national obesity rates than GDP, calorie intake and physical inactivity. Analyses controlling for confounders via partial correlation show that MDR explains approximately 11% of the variability of obesity rate between nations. For nations with MDR above the median (>0.45%), MDR explains over 20% of obesity variance, while calorie intake, and physical inactivity show no association with obesity in these nations. The microevolutionary hypothesis offers a parsimonious explanation of the global nature of the obesity epidemic. Significance Statement Humans underwent a rapid increase in obesity in the 20 th century, and existing explanations for this trend are unsatisfactory. Here we present evidence that increases in obesity may be in large part attributable to microevolutionary changes brought about by dramatic reduction of childbirth mortality with the introduction of modern obstetrics. Given the higher relative risk of childbirth in women with obesity, obstetrics removed a strong negative selection pressure against obesity. This alteration would result in a rapid population-wide rise in obesity-promoting alleles. A cross-country analysis of earlier maternal death rates and obesity rate today found strong evidence supporting this hypothesis. These findings suggest recent medical intervention influenced the course of human evolution more profoundly than previously realized.
... Environmental variances were dependent on shared and additive genetic variances so that e 1 was specified as √ 1 − a 2 1 − c 2 1 and e 2 as √ 1 − a 2 2 − c 2 2 . Additive and shared variances were considered as follows: (A) alcohol use (a 2 49%, c 2 10%) (Verhulst et al. 2015) and heart disease (a 2 22%, c 2 0%) (Wu et al. 2014); (B) BMI (a 2 72%, c 2 3%) (Rokholm et al. 2011) and major depression (a 2 37%, c 2 1%) (Scherrer et al. 2003); (C) cannabis use (a 2 51%, c 2 20%) (Verweij et al. 2010) and schizophrenia (a 2 81%, c 2 11%) (Sullivan et al. 2003); (D) dyslipidemia (LDL) (a 2 60%, c 2 28%) (Zhang et al. 2010) and again heart disease (a 2 22%, c 2 0%) (Wu et al. 2014) (Fig. 3). Figure 3 shows that the power to reject g1 = 0 is quite reasonable Fig. 3 Power curve across R² values for PS1. Parameters set for all groups b 3 = g 1 = g 2 = √ 0.05 , ra = 0.3; rc = 0.25; re = 0.3; rf = 0.25; Environmental variances were dependent on shared and additive genetic variances: e 1 was specified as √ 1 − a 2 1 − c 2 1 and e 2 as √ 1 − a 2 2 − c 2 2 . ...
... Parameters set for all groups b 3 = g 1 = g 2 = √ 0.05 , ra = 0.3; rc = 0.25; re = 0.3; rf = 0.25; Environmental variances were dependent on shared and additive genetic variances: e 1 was specified as √ 1 − a 2 1 − c 2 1 and e 2 as √ 1 − a 2 2 − c 2 2 . Additive and shared variances for the groups: (A) cannabis use (a 2 51%, c 2 20%) (Verweij et al. 2010) and schizophrenia (a 2 81%, c 2 11%) (Sullivan et al. 2003); (B) BMI (a 2 72%, c 2 3%) (Rokholm et al. 2011) and major depression (a 2 37%, c 2 1%) (Scherrer et al. 2003); (C) alcohol use (a 2 49%, c 2 10%) (Verhulst et al. 2015) and heart disease (a 2 22%, c 2 0%) (Wu et al. 2014); (D) dyslipidemia (LDL) (a 2 60%, c 2 28%) (Zhang et al. 2010) and heart disease (a 2 22%, c 2 0%) (Wu et al. 2014). Vertical lines were added to represent R 2 for four PSs reported in recent papers: a, smoking (Pasman et al. 2022); b, BMI (Furlong and Klimentidis 2020); c, LDL (Kuchenbaecker et al. 2019); d, attention deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) (Demontis et al. 2019) and well within values that appeared in recent publications. ...
Article
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Establishing causality is an essential step towards developing interventions for psychiatric disorders, substance use and many other conditions. While randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are considered the gold standard for causal inference, they are unethical in many scenarios. Mendelian randomization (MR) can be used in such cases, but importantly both RCTs and MR assume unidirectional causality. In this paper, we developed a new model, MRDoC2, that can be used to identify bidirectional causation in the presence of confounding due to both familial and non-familial sources. Our model extends the MRDoC model (Minică et al. in Behav Genet 48:337–349, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10519-018-9904-4, 2018), by simultaneously including risk scores for each trait. Furthermore, the power to detect causal effects in MRDoC2 does not require the phenotypes to have different additive genetic or shared environmental sources of variance, as is the case in the direction of causation twin model (Heath et al. in Behav Genet 23:29–50, https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01067552, 1993).
... Intriguingly, the observed small change in the proportion of variance explained by SEP as group-level BMI differences have increased is consistent with a model in which the effects of risk factors for high BMI have uniformly increased in strength over the obesity epidemic [40] -one study in Sweden found that genetic effects have similarly increased, while heritability has remained almost stable [41]. However, there are reasons to expect changes in the variation explained by education, including the changing distribution of education itself as the population has become more highly educated (see Fig. 1) and variation in the returns to education (i.e. through period and cohort effects in the effect of education on earnings) which could lead to differences in effect size, e.g. from changes in relative access to healthy foodstuffs. ...
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Background The widening of group-level socioeconomic differences in body mass index (BMI) has received considerable research attention. However, the predictive power of socioeconomic position (SEP) indicators at the individual level remains uncertain, as does the potential temporal variation in their predictive value. Examining this is important given the increasing incorporation of SEP indicators into predictive algorithms and calls to reduce social inequality to tackle the obesity epidemic. We thus investigated SEP differences in BMI over three decades of the obesity epidemic in England, comparing population-wide (SEP group differences in mean BMI) and individual-level (out-of-sample prediction of individuals’ BMI) approaches to understanding social inequalities. Methods We used repeated cross-sectional data from the Health Survey for England, 1991–2019. BMI (kg/m²) was measured objectively, and SEP was measured via educational attainment, occupational class, and neighbourhood index of deprivation. We ran random forest models for each survey year and measure of SEP adjusting for age and sex. Results The mean and variance of BMI increased within each SEP group over the study period. Mean differences in BMI by SEP group also increased: differences between lowest and highest education groups were 1.0 kg/m² (0.4, 1.6) in 1991 and 1.3 kg/m² (0.7, 1.8) in 2019. At the individual level, the predictive capacity of SEP was low, though increased in later years: including education in models improved predictive accuracy (mean absolute error) by 0.14% (− 0.9, 1.08) in 1991 and 1.05% (0.18, 1.82) in 2019. Similar patterns were obtained for occupational class and neighbourhood deprivation and when analysing obesity as an outcome. Conclusions SEP has become increasingly important at the population (group difference) and individual (prediction) levels. However, predictive ability remains low, suggesting limited utility of including SEP in prediction algorithms. Assuming links are causal, abolishing SEP differences in BMI could have a large effect on population health but would neither reverse the obesity epidemic nor reduce much of the variation in BMI.
... However, their analysis also included several variables directly related to health, such as healthcare utilization. Intriguingly, the observed small change in the proportion of variance explained by SEP as group level BMI differences have increased is consistent with a model in which the effects of risk factors for high BMI have uniformly increased in strength over the obesity epidemic [47] -genetic effects have similarly increased, while heritability has remained almost stable [22,48,49]. ...
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Background: Socioeconomic differences in body mass index (BMI) have widened alongside the obesity epidemic. However, the utility of socioeconomic position (SEP) indicators at the individual level remains uncertain, as does the potential temporal variation in their predictive value. Examining this is important in light of the increasing incorporation of SEP indicators into predictive algorithms and the possibility that SEP has become a more important predictor of BMI over time. We thus investigated SEP differences in BMI over three decades of the obesity epidemic in England and compared population-wide (SEP group differences in mean BMI) and individual-level (out-of-sample prediction of individuals' BMI) approaches. Methods: We used repeated cross-sectional data from the Health Survey for England, 1991-2019. BMI (kg/m2) was measured objectively, and SEP was measured via educational attainment and neighborhood index of deprivation (IMD). We ran random forest models for each survey year and measure of SEP adjusting for age and sex. Results: The mean and variance of BMI increased within each SEP group over the study period. Mean differences in BMI by SEP group also increased across time: differences between lowest and highest education groups were 1.0 kg/m2 (0.4, 1.6) in 1991 and 1.5 kg/m2 (0.9, 1.8) in 2019. At the individual level, the predictive capacity of SEP was low, though increased in later years: including education in models improved predictive accuracy (mean absolute error) by 0.14% (-0.9, 1.08) in 1991 and 1.06% (0.17, 1.84) in 2019. Similar patterns were obtained when analyzing obesity, specifically. Conclusion: SEP has become increasingly important at the population (group difference) and individual (prediction) levels. However, predictive ability remains low, suggesting limited utility of including SEP in prediction algorithms. Assuming links are causal, abolishing SEP differences in BMI could have a large effect on population health but would neither reverse the obesity epidemic nor explain the vast majority of individual differences in BMI.
... Individual differences in obesity may be partially explained by an interplay between genetic vulnerability and discrimination exposure. The diathesis-stress model proposes that genetic vulnerability and environmental exposure interact (GxE) to increase the risk of disease [32][33][34][35][36][37]. Thus, it is plausible that individuals genetically predisposed to obesity are susceptible to the obesogenic effects of discriminatory experiences (see Fig. 1). ...
Article
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Introduction: Exposure to discrimination has emerged as a risk factor for obesity. It remains unclear, however, whether the genotype of the individual can modulate the sensitivity or response to discrimination exposure (gene x environment interaction) or increase the likelihood of experiencing discrimination (gene-environment correlation). Methods: This was an observational study of 4,102 White/European Americans in the Health and Retirement Study with self-reported, biological assessments, and genotyped data from 2006 to 2014. Discrimination was operationalized using the average of nine Everyday Discrimination scale items. Polygenic risk scores (PRS) for body mass index (BMI) and waist circumference (WC) were calculated using the weighted sum of risk alleles based on studies conducted by the Genetic Investigation of Anthropometric Traits (GIANT) consortium. Results: We found that greater PRS-BMI were significantly associated with more reports of discrimination (β= 0.04 ± 0.02; p= 0.037). Further analysis showed that measured BMI partially mediated the association between PRS-BMI and discrimination. There was no evidence that the association between discrimination and BMI, or the association between discrimination and WC, differed by PRS-BMI or PRS-WC, respectively. Discussion/conclusion: Our findings suggest that individuals with genetic liability for obesity may experience greater discrimination in their lifetime, consistent with a gene-environment correlation hypothesis. There was no evidence of a gene-environment interaction. More genome-wide association studies in diverse populations are needed to improve generalizability of study findings. In the meantime, prevention and clinical intervention efforts that seek to reduce exposure to all forms of discrimination may help reduce obesity at the population-level.
... All parameters in the simulator, i.e., α ij , w ij , w i , are Gaussian distributed. We consider three different S/N: {0.1, 0.5, 1.0}, which cover realistic GWAS cases, e.g., the S/N of BMI 25 We compare the NN framework with six baselines, which are composed by two ways of representing genes (top-SNP and PCA) and three ways of modeling interactions between gene representations i.e., linear regression (LR), Lasso with multiplicative interaction terms, and boosting tree (XGB). We first compare different permutation methods for each baseline (Fig. 2). ...
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The extent to which genetic interactions affect observed phenotypes is generally unknown because current interaction detection approaches only consider simple interactions between top SNPs of genes. We introduce an open-source framework for increasing the power of interaction detection by considering all SNPs within a selected set of genes and complex interactions between them, beyond only the currently considered multiplicative relationships. In brief, the relation between SNPs and a phenotype is captured by a neural network, and the interactions are quantified by Shapley scores between hidden nodes, which are gene representations that optimally combine information from the corresponding SNPs. Additionally, we design a permutation procedure tailored for neural networks to assess the significance of interactions, which outperformed existing alternatives on simulated datasets with complex interactions, and in a cholesterol study on the UK Biobank it detected nine interactions which replicated on an independent FINRISK dataset. An open-source framework combines deep learning and permutations of gene interaction neural networks to detect complex gene–gene interactions and their significance in contributions to phenotypes.
... BMI between 7 and 17 years of age is highly heritable and there will not have been any change in the gene pool during the studied time period, perhaps except for that due to an increase in ethnic diversity [51,52]. We do, however, know that genetic variants for obesity have stronger effects in obesogenic environments [53,54]. Such gene-by-environment interactions may partly underlie the strong reported associations of parental obesity with membership of the, predominately 2001 cohort, "overweight increasing to obesity" class. ...
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Objective We aimed to 1) describe how the UK obesity epidemic reflects a change over time in the proportion of the population demonstrating adverse latent patterns of BMI development and 2) investigate the potential roles of maternal and paternal BMI in this secular process. Methods We used serial BMI data between 7 and 17 years of age from 13220 boys and 12711 girls. Half the sample was born in 1958 and half in 2001. Sex-specific growth mixture models were developed. The relationships of maternal and paternal BMI and weight status with class membership were estimated using the 3-step BCH approach, with covariate adjustment. Results The selected models had five classes. For each sex, in addition to the two largest normal weight classes, there were “normal weight increasing to overweight” (17% of boys and 20% of girls), “overweight increasing to obesity” (8% and 6%), and “overweight decreasing to normal weight” (3% and 6%) classes. More than 1-in-10 children from the 2001 birth cohort were in the “overweight increasing to obesity” class, compared to less than 1-in-30 from the 1958 birth cohort. Approximately 75% of the mothers and fathers of this class had overweight or obesity. When considered together, both maternal and paternal BMI were associated with latent class membership, with evidence of negative departure from additivity (i.e., the combined effect of maternal and paternal BMI was smaller than the sum of the individual effects). The odds of a girl belonging to the “overweight increasing to obesity” class (compared to the largest normal weight class) was 13.11 (8.74, 19.66) times higher if both parents had overweight or obesity (compared to both parents having normal weight); the equivalent estimate for boys was 9.01 (6.37, 12.75). Conclusions The increase in obesity rates in the UK over more than 40 years has been partly driven by the growth of a sub-population demonstrating excess BMI gain during adolescence. Our results implicate both maternal and paternal BMI as correlates of this secular process.
... This is important because cohorts can have different BMI heritability, different environmental influences on BMI, or differences in the genetic control of sensitivity to the environment, which can bias the covariance estimates. Danish and Swedish twin studies have illustrated differential heritability by showing how increases in mean BMI in successively younger cohorts has been accompanied by increasing genetic variance [90,91]. Therefore, to determine if cohort effects existed, we inspected the LDSR genetic correlations between the youngest and oldest age tranches i.e., two maximally age-discrepant samples of unrelated individuals. ...
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Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have successfully identified common variants associated with BMI. However, the stability of aggregate genetic variation influencing BMI from midlife and beyond is unknown. By analysing 165,717 men and 193,073 women from the UKBiobank, we performed BMI GWAS on six independent five-year age intervals between 40 and 72 years. We then applied genomic structural equation modeling to test competing hypotheses regarding the stability of genetic effects for BMI. LDSR genetic correlations between BMI assessed between ages 40 to 73 were all very high and ranged 0.89 to 1.00. Genomic structural equation modeling revealed that molecular genetic variance in BMI at each age interval could not be explained by the accumulation of any age-specific genetic influences or autoregressive processes. Instead, a common set of stable genetic influences appears to underpin genome-wide variation in BMI from middle to early old age in men and women alike.
Article
Objective: To explore the patterns and predictors of body mass index (BMI) change among undergraduate students from Ontario (Canada). Participants: 68 undergraduate students were followed longitudinally for 3 years with anthropometric data collected bi-annually. Methods: BMI measurements were plotted to generate individual BMI trajectory curves, which were categorized, based on the observed trajectory pattern. Within and between group comparisons of BMI were conducted via nonparametric paired tests. The association of baseline BMI, sex, and ethnicity with BMI trajectory type was assessed using multinomial logistic regression. Results: Four BMI trajectory types were observed: "stable weight" (n = 15, 22.1%), "weight gain" (n = 30, 44.1%), "weight loss" (n = 12, 17.6%), and "weight cycling" (n = 11, 16.2%) trajectories. Higher baseline BMI was significantly associated with the "weight gain," "weight loss," and the "weight cycling" trajectories as compared to the "stable weight" trajectory type. Conclusions: Our findings demonstrate an association between high baseline BMI and "nonstable" subsequent BMI change patterns among Canadian students.
Chapter
Obesity is in theory defined on the basis of the excess health risk caused by adiposity exceeding the size normally found in the population, but for practical reasons, the World Health Organization (WHO) has defined obesity as a body mass index (weight (kg)/height (m)2) of 30 or above for adults. WHO considers the steep increases in prevalence of obesity in all age groups, especially since the 1970s as a global obesity epidemic. Today, approximately 650 million adult people and approximately 340 million children and adolescence (5–19 years) suffer from obesity. It is generally more prevalent among women and older age groups than among men and younger age groups. Beyond the necessity of availability of food, evidence about causes of obesity is still very limited. However, studies have shown that obesity ‘runs in families’, where both genetics and environmental, and especially social, factors play important roles. Obesity is associated with an increased risk of many adverse medical, mental and social consequences, including a strong relation to type 2 diabetes. Type 2 diabetes and related metabolic syndrome and diseases are major contributors to the excess morbidity and mortality associated with obesity.
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There is no doubt that the dramatic worldwide increase in obesity prevalence is due to changes in environmental factors. However, twin studies suggest that genetic differences are responsible for the major part of the variation in body mass index (BMI) and other measures of body fatness within populations. Several recent studies suggest that the genetic effects on adiposity may be stronger when combined with presumed risk factors for obesity. We tested the hypothesis that a higher prevalence of obesity and overweight and a higher BMI mean is associated with a larger genetic variation in BMI. The data consisted of self-reported height and weight from two Danish twin surveys in 1994 and 2002. A total of 15,017 monozygotic and dizygotic twin pairs were divided into subgroups by year of birth (from 1931 through 1982) and sex. The genetic and environmental variance components of BMI were calculated for each subgroup using the classical twin design. Likewise, the prevalence of obesity, prevalence of overweight and the mean of the BMI distribution was calculated for each subgroup and tested as explanatory variables in a random effects meta-regression model with the square root of the additive genetic variance (equal to the standard deviation) as the dependent variable. The size of additive genetic variation was positively and significantly associated with obesity prevalence (p = 0.001) and the mean of the BMI distribution (p = 0.015). The association with prevalence of overweight was positive but not statistically significant (p = 0.177). The results suggest that the genetic variation in BMI increases as the prevalence of obesity, prevalence of overweight and the BMI mean increases. The findings suggest that the genes related to body fatness are expressed more aggressively under the influence of an obesity-promoting environment.
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Cigarette smoking is associated with lower body mass index (BMI), and a commonly cited reason for unwillingness to quit smoking is a concern about weight gain. Common variation in the CHRNA5-CHRNA3-CHRNB4 gene region (chromosome 15q25) is robustly associated with smoking quantity in smokers, but its association with BMI is unknown. We hypothesized that genotype would accurately reflect smoking exposure and that, if smoking were causally related to weight, it would be associated with BMI in smokers, but not in never smokers. We stratified nine European study samples by smoking status and, in each stratum, analysed the association between genotype of the 15q25 SNP, rs1051730, and BMI. We meta-analysed the results (n = 24,198) and then tested for a genotype × smoking status interaction. There was no evidence of association between BMI and genotype in the never smokers {difference per T-allele: 0.05 kg/m(2) [95% confidence interval (95% CI): -0.05 to 0.18]; P = 0.25}. However, in ever smokers, each additional smoking-related T-allele was associated with a 0.23 kg/m(2) (95% CI: 0.13-0.31) lower BMI (P = 8 × 10(-6)). The effect size was larger in current [0.33 kg/m(2) lower BMI per T-allele (95% CI: 0.18-0.48); P = 6 × 10(-5)], than in former smokers [0.16 kg/m(2) (95% CI: 0.03-0.29); P = 0.01]. There was strong evidence of genotype × smoking interaction (P = 0.0001). Smoking status modifies the association between the 15q25 variant and BMI, which strengthens evidence that smoking exposure is causally associated with reduced BMI. Smoking cessation initiatives might be more successful if they include support to maintain a healthy BMI.
Book
This book comprehensively accounts the current understanding of genetic mechanisms of obesity by analyzing obesity phenotypes and genotypes and, gene polymorphisms and mutations, and current results from animal model research and genetic studies in human models. By presenting the impact of genetic factors in the development of obesity and key molecules related to the pathophysiology of the disease, this source hopes to pinpoint new pathways for the prevention and management of obesity in various populations.
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In the United States, obesity among adults and overweight among children and adolescents have increased markedly since 1980. Among adults, obesity is defined as a body mass index of 30 or greater. Among children and adolescents, overweight is defined as a body mass index for age at or above the 95th percentile of a specified reference population. In 2003-2004, 32.9% of adults 20-74 years old were obese and more than 17% of teenagers (age, 12-19 y) were overweight. Obesity varies by age and sex, and by race-ethnic group among adult women. A higher body weight is associated with an increased incidence of a number of conditions, including diabetes mellitus, cardiovascular disease, and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease, and with an increased risk of disability. Obesity is associated with a modestly increased risk of all-cause mortality. However, the net effect of overweight and obesity on morbidity and mortality is difficult to quantify. It is likely that a gene-environment interaction, in which genetically susceptible individuals respond to an environment with increased availability of palatable energy-dense foods and reduced opportunities for energy expenditure, contributes to the current high prevalence of obesity. Evidence suggests that even without reaching an ideal weight, a moderate amount of weight loss can be beneficial in terms of reducing levels of some risk factors, such as blood pressure. Many studies of dietary and behavioral treatments, however, have shown that maintenance of weight loss is difficult. The social and economic costs of obesity and of attempts to prevent or to treat obesity are high
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Obesity has emerged as a global public health challenge. The objective of this review was to examine epidemiological aspects of obesity in the Western Hemisphere. Using PubMed, we searched for publications about obesity (prevalence, trends, correlates, economic costs) in countries in North America, Central America, South America, and the Caribbean. To the extent possible, we focused on studies that were primarily population based in design and on four countries in the Western Hemisphere: Brazil, Canada, Mexico, and the United States. Data compiled by the International Obesity Task Force show a substantial level of obesity in all of or selected areas of the Bahamas, Barbados, Canada, Chile, Guyana, Mexico, Panama, Paraguay, Peru, St. Lucia, Trinidad and Tobago, the United States, and Venezuela. Furthermore, countries such as Brazil, Canada, Mexico, and the United States have experienced increases in the prevalence of obesity. In many countries, the prevalence of obesity is higher among women than men and in urban areas than in rural areas. The relationship between socioeconomic status and obesity depends on the stage of economic transition. Early in the transition, the prevalence of obesity is positively related to income whereas at some point during the transition the prevalence becomes inversely related to income. Like other countries in the Western Hemisphere, the four countries that we focused on have experienced a rising tide of obesity. The high and increasing prevalence of obesity and its attendant comorbidities are likely to pose a serious challenge to the public health and medical care systems in these countries.