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Dear Friends
Can you please help me where to download FAO-ICLARM Stock Assessment Tools II (FiSAT II) for my upcoming research work.
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You can download FAO-ICLARM Stock Assessment Tools II (FiSAT II) from the official FAO website or through the ICLARM (International Center for Living Aquatic Resources Management) resources.
Here’s how you can find it.....
  1. FAO Website: Visit the FAO Fisheries and Aquaculture Department's section.https://www.fao.org/fishery-divisional-structure/en/ They often have links to tools and software.
  2. ICLARM Website: Check the ICLARM (now part of WorldFish) site https://worldfishcenter.org/ for resources related to stock assessment tools.
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Evaluation of the fisheries resources of a selected project areas
Sample of collection and preparation stock assessment
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A number of recent developments have made assessment methodologies more readily accessible and less data-hungry. Rainer Froese has been spearheading some particularly successful ones with a group of international scientists. See e.g.
Assessment in support of management should be particularly alert to listening to the experiences of practitioners, particularly small-scale fishers, out on the water every day, and be in line with a few rather simple principles. See
Some initial elements can be derived even from length-weight relationships - support parameters and routines are regularly added in www.fishbase.org
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What do total, natural, fishing mortality and exploitation rate mean in stock assessment? Kindly provide the concept in simple language rather than technical jargon.
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Естественная смертность - та часть животных, которая умирает от естественных причин - старость, болезни, уничтожение хищниками.
Промысловая смертность - то часть животных, которая изъята из природы человеком в рамках промышленной добычию
Общая смертность - все виды смертности вместе взятые, т.е. посчитали сколько было рождено, допустим в прошлом году и вычесть сколько осталось в текущем году.
КОэффициент эксплуатации (промысловой) - отношение количества пойманной рыбы к количеству рыб, погибших от всех причин
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Dear ResearchGate community,
I am currently working on a research project involving the stock assessment of shrimps using monthly length frequency data. To ensure the accuracy and reliability of my analysis, I am in the process of data cleaning and handling.
I would like to inquire about the recommended steps for data cleaning and handling specifically for monthly length frequency data in shrimp stock assessment. Additionally, I am curious to know whether it is necessary to remove outliers from the dataset and if doing so would be beneficial for the analysis.
Your valuable insights and expertise on this matter would be greatly appreciated, as they will significantly contribute to the quality of my research.
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In a data limited scenario it is not advisable to ignore the outliers. But it is better come for rationale decision after analysis the probility of the catch.
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I am currently conducting research on shrimp stock assessment using the ‘TropFishR’ package to analyze a monthly carapace length frequency dataset. The package allows for the analysis of one year of data, specifically data collected from January to December of a particular year. Sample code for opening the library, working with an Excel file, and opening the dataset from the working directory is provided below:
## Open the TropFishR library
library(TropFishR)
## Open the Excel data file
library(openxlsx)
## Set the working directory where the data is located
setwd
## Open the dataset in the working directory
data <- read.xlsx("frequency.xlsx")
## To reproduce the result
set.seed(1)
## Define the date, assuming 15 as the midpoint of sampling days
## 1:12 indicates data collected from January to December
## -2022 indicates the year, with the remaining codes remaining the same
dates <- as.Date(paste0("15-",01:12,"-2022"),format="%d-%m-%Y")
However, if we have more than one year of data, how can we feed it into the ‘TropFishR’ package?
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Thank you, Dr. Jayasankar and Dr. Eldho, for your kind responses and support. The "lubridate" R package has been instrumental in facilitating my work with diverse years of length frequency data in TropFishR.
##load package
library(TropFishR)
library(lubridate)
library(openxlsx)
###set wd
setwd("C:/Users/UNUFTP/OneDrive - United Nations University, Fisheries Training Programme/Desktop/PhD/Pilot Stock assessment/Lagoon/Lagoon")
###load data
lfq3 <- read.xlsx("Moo.xlsx")
lfq3
set.seed(1)
###select dates column
dates <- colnames(lfq3)[-1]
dates
##format the dates
dates3 <- dmy(dates)
dates3
#### To create midLengths vector
midLengths = lfq3$Lengthclass
midLengths
## To create catch matrix
catch = as.matrix(lfq3[,2:ncol(lfq3)]) ## To create catch matrix
catch
## Now, we need to create a lfq object which is a list
lfq <- list(dates = dates3,midLengths = midLengths,catch = catch)
lfq
## assign lfq as the class of object lfq
class(lfq) <- "lfq"
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I am currently conducting research on shrimp stock assessment, and I am utilizing the ‘TropFishR’ Package to analyze a dataset containing monthly carapace length frequency data. The accurate calculation of natural mortality is essential for my analysis of the exploitation rate and other critical factors. In the ‘TropFishR’ package, there are several methods available for calculating shrimp mortality, including Alverson and Carney (1975), Hoenig (1983) - Joint Equation, Hoenig (1983) - Fish Equation, Pauly (1980) - Length Equation, Then (2015) – tmax, Then (2015) – growth, and other techniques.
However, the majority of these methods have been previously utilized for fish total length and standard length, which was not problematic. When I applied Then (2015) – growth and Pauly (1980) - Length Equation, two of the most widely used methods for calculating natural mortality, to the carapace length of shrimps, which is 3 to 6 times shorter than the total length, I observed abnormally high natural mortality rates.
To overcome this issue, I calculated the total length of the shrimp using a regression relationship between total length and carapace length, which allowed me to recalculate the natural mortality. Unfortunately, the calculated values still remained high (>2), with the exception of Alverson and Carney (1975) and Hoenig (1983) - Joint Equation methods, which yielded natural mortality rates of approximately 1.7.
I would greatly appreciate any suggestions or recommended articles that may assist me in addressing this issue.
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Why is the importance of analyzing and conducting research on the correlation between the stock market valuation of securities (stocks, bonds, etc.) and the economic and financial situation of business entities growing?
In recent years, the importance of examining the correlation between stock market valuation of securities (stocks, bonds, etc.) and the economic and financial situation of business entities is growing, because there are more and more anomalies and speculations on capital markets, which may reduce these correlations. The importance of studying this issue is growing particularly when in certain listed markets valuations of certain financial assets and instruments are less and less related to economic fundamentals and the significance of speculation is growing. If such a lack of correlation between the stock market valuation and the economic and financial situation of business entities is growing, then the financial and / or economic crisis may occur. Such a situation of increase in speculative factors on stock exchanges and commodity exchange commodity markets appeared in 2006-2008 and contributed to the global financial crisis in 2008.
Do you agree with me on the above matter?
In the context of the above issues, I am asking you the following question:
Why is the importance of analyzing and conducting research on the correlation between the stock market valuation of securities (stocks, bonds, etc.) and the economic and financial situation of business entities growing?
Please reply
I invite you to the discussion
Thank you very much
Best wishes
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Dear Nazir Ali,
Yes, you asked a key question in the context of the topic of this discussion. Typically, it is in the event of an exceptionally large overvaluation or undervaluation of market valuations of listed securities that these kinds of questions are asked.
Thank you very much,
Best wishes,
Dariusz Prokopowicz
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Stock assessment  and management of fishable marine resources are ultimately based on fishing mortality. If the populations of fishable marine resources appear overexploited, the solution generally recommended to policy makers is to reduce fishing effort. Wisely, many policy makers take into account the mortality of the fishermen through measures such as "loss of income" etc .. Unfortunately policymakers, pressed by the fishermen’s lobby, often excessively favour the fishermen in fear of losing support.
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Hi. I think it dhould be directly proportional and not inversely proportional.
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What kind of information in the field of financial market psychology is in your opinion the most important, which should be taken into account when conducting technical analyzes of the valuation of securities listed on the stock exchange in order to achieve the best results from investing activities?
Please reply
Best wishes
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The impact of what is known as the psychology of the financial markets was seen during the initial phase 1 of the pandemic. When in March 2020 the World Health Organization announced the state of a global epidemic, i.e. the state of the SARS-CoV-2 (Covid-19) coronavirus pandemic, then there was a strong sell-off of stocks and commodities on commodity exchanges. The stock market crash resulted from the predominance of investors' fear and uncertainty about the situation in the markets and the economy. The aforementioned crash was characterized by a large amplitude of decline in stock exchange indices, but it was relatively short-lived. The declines in indices were halted as central banks cut interest rates. At that time, the situation in the markets calmed down and the trends were reversed from downward to upward.
Regards,
Dariusz Prokopowicz
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For my thesis, I'm trying to annualize conditional volatility of past stock returns since it is the dependent variable in my research.
As an example, I ran in eViews the daily stock returns of a firm and calculated the volatility using GARCH (1,1) (as you can see in the attached picture).
My question is: Do I need to annualize the GARCH(-1) 0.738970 by multiplying it with sqrt(252)?
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Traditionally, the answer is to multiply the estimate of the conditional daily variance ht by the sqrt(250). Not the the sqrt 250 time the coefficient of the ht-1 term. eviews can generate the ht terms in the proc menu
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I'm currently doing a research for my dissertation about R&D expenditures and stock return volatility (both firm specific volatility and systematic volatility). So, volatility is the dependent variable in my study.
Most empirical research I’ve read use the annualized standard deviation of weekly returns as a measure of total volatility and annualized standard deviation of weekly errors from CAPM model to measure firm-specific volatility.
I'm planning on using GARCH (1,1) model to measure volatility since this was suggested by my professor. I’m planning on using weekly stock returns. My question is:
  • Do I have to use the conditional variance as dependent variable or the long-run volatility as the dependent variable? Also, do I need to annualize it?
  • Concerning the firm-specific risk. How can I incorporate GARCH (1,1) if I would use the CAPM model?
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you can use contract the conditional variance by using GARCH model and then use it as dependent variable in separate model, or you can use the other variables as independent variables while you are estimating the conditional variance. Trey to use monthly data at most if that possible since the yearly volatility does not make sense as the yearly conditional variance of any stock returns dose not reflect any fluctuation in stock returns.
Regarding to the second question you have to run weekly CAPM model first and then construct the error term after that use them as returns in GARCH model.
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The research focuses on the mangrove forest ecosystem. Then it will conduct biomass and carbon stock estimation at the plot scale? How to scale up forest carbon stock assessment from plot scale to the regional scale? Which factors should be considered for scaling up?
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Thank you so much Ahmad Al Khraisat .
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Does the global financial crisis of 2008 still have significant importance on capital markets attributed to behavioral psychology of the behavior of investors operating in these markets?
Are the determinants of behavioral investors' factors still strong in recent years on the largest stock exchanges in the world, including the importance of financial market psychology in interpreting changes in stock exchange trends in these markets?
Please reply
I invite you to the discussion
Thank you very much
Best wishes
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The sharp economic downturn and turmoil in the financial markets, commonly referred to as the “global financial crisis,” has spawned an impressive outpouring of blame. The efficient market hypothesis (EMH)—the idea that competitive financial markets exploit all available information when setting security prices—has been singled out for particular attention. Like all successful theories, the EMH has major limitations, even as it continues to provide the foundation for not only past accomplishment, but future advances in the field of finance.
Despite the theory's undoubted limitations, the claim that it is responsible for the current worldwide crisis seems wildly exaggerated. This essay shows the misreading of the theory and logical inconsistencies involved in popular arguments that EMH played a significant role in (1) the formation of the real estate and stock market bubbles, (2) investment practitioners' miscalculation of risks, and (3) the failure of regulators to recognize the bubbles and avert the crisis. At the same time, the author argues that the collapse of Lehman Brothers and other large financial institutions, far from resulting from excessive faith in efficient markets, reflects a failure to heed the lessons of efficient markets. In the author's words, “To me, Lehman's demise conclusively demonstrates that, in a competitive capital market, if you take massive risky positions financed with extraordinary leverage, you are bound to lose big one day—no matter how large and venerable you are.”
Finally, behavioral finance, widely considered as challenging and even supplanting efficient markets theory, is viewed in this article as complementing if not reinforcing efficient markets theory. As the author says, “it takes a theory to beat a theory.” Behavioralism, for all its important contributions to finance literature, is described as not a theory but rather “a collection of ideas and results”— one that depends for its existence on the theory of efficient markets.... Ball, R. (2009). The global financial crisis and the efficient market hypothesis: what have we learned?. Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, 21(4), 8-16.
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Do the significant revaluation of stock quotes on stock exchanges occurring every few or a dozen years is an objective specific feature of this type of financial market or rather it is imperfection of these markets resulting from too high a level of liberalization and deregulation of the mechanisms of these markets, including the reduction control functions of financial supervision institutions?
Since the 1970s, the functioning of individual segments of financial markets has been successively liberalized and deregulated, including primarily the issue of investment banking, international markets and exchange rate systems, rating agencies, financial adversity institutions and financial entities and instruments operating on the securities market. During this time, the scale of the re-valuation of valuations of securities, derivatives, commodities and other assets on the capital markets reached ever higher levels, then spectacularly transformed into a strong decline in these valuations leading to a financial and economic crisis. The last financial crisis in 2008 in many respects, including numerous negative aspects, generated the unruly records characterizing the highest level of investment risk and the scale of financial losses generated by many commercial financial institutions and industrial corporations, which then under the active, interventionist, anti-crisis monetary policy of banking were financed indirectly by public finance funds. Due to this cyclical nature of capital markets, characterized by the growing amplitude of economic fluctuations during periods of bull market and bear market at high levels of overvaluation and investment risk levels and deeper global financial and economic crises, large financial institutions, including investment banks, are becoming larger entities and costs neutralizing the negative aspects of crises is paid off by the whole society, especially by the relatively less-earning middle class.
In the light of the above, encouraging discussion, I turn to you with the following question: Has the time finally come to reform the functioning process and the system of financial markets by restoring former control functions of financial supervision institutions that have been abolished, reduced since the 1970s?
Are increasingly deep financial crises derived from the liberalization and deregulation of financial markets?
Please, answer, comments. I invite you to the discussion.
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Surely we cannot blame everthing on liberalization and deregulation. We cannot have the cake and eat it as well. Libralization and deregulation comes with strengths and weaknesses that we are well aware of. We have enjoyed the positives and the negatives is the outcome of what we went through. A volatile market is better than a flat market. Risk management is key to long-term survival and sustainability of any institution.
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I want to know how the price level of a stock index is affect by the value of the GDP in a country, That is, the daily return of a stock index will be regressed on the change of year data of GDP. However, the frequency of the stock index is daily whereas that of GDP is yearly. How to convert the yearly data of GDP to the daily data in order to be regressed by the daily return of a stock index?
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convert the daily data into quarterly, then regress it after checking the order of integration of the variables. If the order of integration of these variables is zero then regress them, but if it is not zero, then you have to check the cointegration to avoid spurious regression. If they are cointegrated, then you can regress.
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I have non-stationary time-series data for variables such as stock market returns, money supply, interest rates, exchange rate, inflation,etc. and I want to study the impact of these macroeconomic variables on stock returns.(I have taken the natural logarithms for all the variables)
I performed a linear regression which gave me spurious results (r-squared >0.9)
Now after testing these time series for unit roots using Augmented Dickey- Fuller test all of them were found to be non-stationary and hence the spurious regression. However their first differences were found to be stationary (for money supply - second difference was found to be stationary).
My question is how should I proceed now, can I apply linear regression to the first/second differences of these variables, would those results be non-spurious? If not, what is the way forward?
P.S. - I am an undergraduate student with little knowledge about econometrics.
P.P.S- I would like to apologize in advance if this is an inappropriate question for a forum like this one and if so, I would request anyone to guide me to a better forum where I can get my query resolved. 
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What should be the process if the dependent variable is stationary, but the regressors are I(1) and I(2)
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In tropical condition what sort of fisheries stock assessment models recently developed ?
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Hi Suray,
You may also want to have a look at our recently published AMSY (Abundance- MSY) method for data-poor situations where you have a reasonable index of abundance (e.g. trawl surveys, CPUE) but no or incomplete catch data.
[Estimating stock status from relative abundance and resilience](
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In forest carbon stock assessment, we usually use allometric equation to get AGB, times 0.5 to get carbon & times -44/12 to get CO2 emission (removal) value.
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Carbon sequestration is the process of capturing and storing atmospheric carbon.
Carbon stock is the amount of carbon stored in a reservoir whether it may be in the form of vegetative biomass or
in earth or sea.
Carbon emission is the amount of carbon emitted in atmosphere by naturally or human activities.
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List the three categories of information that you think are the most important in fundamental analysis for the valuation of capital companies, issuers of securities and for investing in securities listed on the stock exchange?
Please reply
Best wishes
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Warren Buffett summarises three categories of information in his latest annual report and accounts:
"Our long-held acquisition strategy is to acquire businesses that have consistent earning power, good returns on equity and able and honest management."
Berkshire Hathaway, 31 Dec 2018 annual report, Note 2, page K-77
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We work on stock assessment and our fishermen start their activity from september to march in next year. Chelon aurata and Chelon saliens were spawn from july to august and Rutius frisii kutum spawning time will start in march to may . Those species spawning time have relate to temperature .
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Dr Akbar Pourgholami Moghaddam,
I would like to draw your attention to the name of a species of Mugilidae mentioned that should be corrected, namely Chelon auratus and not Chelon aurata.
See : WoRMS - World Register of Marine Species
Chelon aurata (Risso, 1810): Status unaccepted (Misspelling)
Accepted Name: Chelon auratus (Risso, 1810)
Rank: Species
Orig. name: Mugil auratus Risso, 1810
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I have started preparing a paper on population parameters and stock assessment of Daysciaena albida from Chilika Lake, India after continuous 5 years of data collection. If any published papers is available, will be strengthen my study.
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The following papers may be of interest:
Awan, K. P., Qamar, N., Farooq, N. & Panhwar, S. K. 2017. Sex ratio, length weight relationships and condition of eight fish species collected from Narreri Lagoon, Badin, Sindh, Pakistan. Journal of Aquaculture and Marine Biology 5 (4) (0130): 1-4.
Karna, S. K. & Panda, S. 2013. Spawning seasons and grounds of Daysciaena albida (Cuvier, 1830) in India's largest brackish water lagoon, Odisha, India. Journal of Global Biosciences 2 (3): 61-66.
Karna, S. K. & Panda, S. 2014. Some biological characteristics of the Daysciaena albida (Cuvier 1830) in largest brackish water lagoon of India. Ecoprint 21: 15-21.
Madhusoodana Kurup, B. & Samuel, C. T. 1987. Length-weight relationship and relative condition factor in Daysciaena albida (Cuv.) and Gerres filamentosus (Cuv.). Fishery Technology 24: 88-92.
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In a OLS regression model, to test APT, I realize that I need to find the risk premium for macro factors such as GDP, and exchange rates, etc by subtracting the returns on 3-Months Tbills from macro factor returns. But, should I find the risk premiums for the security specific factors such as returns on sales, return on inventory (for particular company) etc. as above mentioned by subtracting the returns on bonds? Because, as I see, APT is often used to predict the return on diversified portfolios, minimizing the micro factors and thus consider only systematic risks. However, I would like to construct APT on single equity and consider macro as well as micro factors. But, I don't realize, is it necessary to, for example, subtract return on 3-Months Tbill from the return on sales for corresponding time period? Because I am not sure does it make any sense, as micro factors are not "alternative" to the investigated equity, while macro factors are some kind of "alternative" to the given equity. Thanks a lot.
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the way i understand APT in this case is that 2 comparable securities must have a comparable price, otherwise arbitrage is possible.
APT for a single security should then be to find a comparable security, or to incorporate sufficient factors, in order to be able to compare the security against another security class, like a risk-free security. But i will simply call this devising an adequate pricing model for the security
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Ventity from Ventana systems tells us how to go from Stock and Flow diagram (SFD) to Entity Relationship (ER) diagram. How to do the reverse? i.e. how to start with ER model and reach SFD. I think that is the natural way of progressing as domain knowledge is often given in the form of ER models. 
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Going from ER diagram to system dynamics modeling requires an interactive approach. It does not appear to be an one time approach wherein one can convert and ER model into an SD model. The basic reason being that all entities are not level variables and which entity is a level variable depends on the context. Consider this statement:  Student take courses in the university and stay in hostels. In this sentence 'student', 'university' and 'course' all are entities, but which of them is/are level variables depends upon where accumulation occurs. Student is the most likely candidate for being a level variable as students "flow in" and flow out of the university after completing the courses. Courses and hostels remain relatively stable though new courses are added once in while and some courses are dropped also. Hostels are also not added regularly. Hence these entities do not participate in the dynamics and hence can not be taken as level variables.
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Dears,
I need some references that have examined the topic of Stock price or stock price crash risk in the German context. I will be really grateful.
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Thank you very much
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lnTFP = LnGDP - ( α*lnK + β*lnL)
if I have data on "α" and i calculate capital stocks using perpetual inventory method, can I calculate TFP using above equation?
if yes, then why literature suggest to use more complicated functions like derivatives and trans-log functions ?
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Dear Vivake,
You can certainly calculate TFP using that simple form (this form gives you the Solow residual). The derivative of the log with respect to time gives you the growth rates. Hence you can calculate the growth rate of TFP. 
I believe there is a reason why you would prefer to have it in growth rates. If you want to compute it to compare with other countries TFP you need to be careful because you need to use PPP-adjusted series. While if you have growth rates you can compare it. 
If you want to use more complicated production functions you certainly can, or introduce additional inputs such as human capital. All you are doing is changing our measure of ignorance about production which is represented by the residual (TFP).
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When calculating returns, volatility or liquidity, I have a bunch of individual stocks that were not traded during substantial duration of exchange days in my sample observations.
How should I take care of the missing value of the stock prices?
Do I have to simply ignore them and work on the available observation only? If so, how does the uneven interval period of each individual stock affect the comparability of the results?
Instead, should I do statistical techniques to make imputation and fill in the non-traded stock days artificially? If so, should I limit the missing values that might be imputed, or is there any reasonal justification in making a limitation on how far the "missing" observations should be imputed or otherwise excluded?
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I have been a mathematics fan for a long time. However, most of what I have studied is experimental in terms of quantum sciences or the natural phenomenons. It is easier to make variables there, in terms of observing them and then assigning them values. I have been trying to take mathematics and use it in stock exchanges to be able to predict things and make actual investments since I am very keen on doing that actual investments part.
I found a book called "A Mathematician Play the Stock Exchange" and I feel like that would be a good start. Does anyone have any recommendations that could help me move forward in the practical applications of the mathematics in stock change?
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I am trying to describe stock returns of some european companies using APT model. I use 10 years of monthly data and I do not know which security should I use as risk-free rate for some Balkan countries and for Greece. Or should I use the same risk-free rate for all companies from European Union?
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if you don't want to use the US government bond then you can use a comparable European government bond (such as the German government bond) but word of caution you have to let your readers know why you are using a different country's government bond other than the Greek government bond. you can use the current crisis to make your case. 
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how can I run dummy variable regression model for January effect? is there any guide on how to use it?
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Dummy variable regression - When we have categorical predictor(s) in regression model, we use dummy (indicator) variable(s) as explained below.
Note points:
  • You can add as many as dummy (or indicator variables) in you model as you want except that as the number of predictors increase,provided you have enough observations. [generally there should be 10-15 observations for each predictor. There are more sophisticated techniques for high dimension data, beyond the scope of this answer]
  • Add k-1 dummies/indicators for each predictor with k factors/categories.
  • Add a separate dummy variable for interaction term, which is the product of interacting factor variables.
If you variable is gender (2 categories: male & female), you can make a dummy variable and code it like
xi =  1 if  the ith person is female and   0 the ith person is male,
or the reverse (order doesn't matter) and interpret the results accordingly.
If you variable is age (3 categories: 10-20; 20-30 & 30-40), you need to consider two dummy variables as follows:
xi1 =
1 if the ith person is from group 10-20
0 if the ith person is not from 10-20 group
xi2 =
1 the ith person is from group 20-30
0 if the ith person is not from 20-30 group,
Here, age group 30-40 is baseline group.
Again, the coding can be changed without affecting the final prediction. However,
the coefficients and their p-values do depend on the choice of dummy
variable coding, hence one must be careful while interpreting the results. 
We may also take other coding options like -1 and 1 or 1 and 2 but then the coefficients and their p-values  will change accordingly, but as stated final prediction will not be changed.
January Effect: It is most commonly observed calendar effect in monthly data (time series data). To examine, if there is indeed a january effect in the data, you can create a dummy variable [called 'JANDUM' for example], which takes value '1' for the month of Januray and '0' otherwise.
Refer: Introductory Econometrics for Finance by Chris Brooks for detailed example
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Please , if anyone give the relations between these variables.
Best Regards,
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Dear Sir, 
Both the commodities Gold and Crude oil have positive relation with each other and almost follow the same pattern (ups and downs). However, their is a negative correlation between gold prices and stock markets price indices. But this negative correlation dose not persist over the long-run. If you decomposed both time series (gold prices and Stock market indices) with the help of wavelets techniques at different investment horizons you can see that the this relationship is changing at various investment horizons. Overall, gold has weak correlation with stock markets prices indices. 
While, the crude oil has weak positive correlation with stock markets prices indices. on the other hand gold has strong positive correlation with dollar depreciation if dollars loosing its value it would have a positive effect on gold prices. which makes gold investment as an perfect hedge against dollar movement. 
See, Baur and Lucey, 2010; Baur and Mcdormmt, 2010, Juan C Robredo, 2014. 
Best Regards, 
Naveed Raza
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Lo and MacKinlay's (1988) proposed variance ratio tests to test for random walk behaviour of stock returns. What is the rational behind these tests?
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The random walk hypothesis, i.e., no predictability, is equivalent to the assumption that that stock (log) prices are generated by a model of the form: P_t = P_{t-1} + µ + e_t, where µ is a constant, and {e_t} are i.i.d. random variables. A key implication of this model is that the variance of (P_t - P_s) is linear in the lag between t and s (as {e_t} are i.i.d.). Therefore, the random walk hypothesis can be tested by comparing variance estimates of price increments over different observation intervals.
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Folks,
May someone please share any excel where they have computed various measures of liquidity? e.g Amihud, ILLQ, Turnover Ration etc.
I am not good to decode the mathematical notations in white papers. So, if excel has formula it will be very easy and quick for me to understand.
My data includes closing prices, volume, float-able number of shares etc
Any help please?
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hi amir
I llke to look at
1. volume/shares outstanding
2.cum volume adjusted prorata for time elapsed during trading day/ 10 or 30 day average volume or( a mav of volume of period of choice)
3. relationship of bidsize to asksize  time weighted
2.
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Folks,
I am researching on the impact of a Corporate disclosure on future abnormal returns (in short term). 
After reading few whitepapers, i realized one of the accepted way to measure the impact is removing the Normal Return portion from total return, the residual is Abnormal Return.
Theory sounds good to me, but my question is, how can i calculate the Abnormal return for a Stock? ( I am not well versed with understanding mathematical notation in whitepapers)
I have Closing Price, volume, Corporate news and its disclosure date.
Any guidance on that please?
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Hello Ankur,
The calculation of abnormal returns is simple. Firstly, you should understand that abnormal returns are the returns over the benchmark returns. In simple words, abnormal returns are stock returns minus the benchmark returns. 
The benchmark could be any market index or portfolio against which you want to measure the performance of the stocks you are studying. 
For calculation purposes, you needs to calculate the stock returns and the benchmark returns separately. Then subtract the benchmark returns from the stock returns.
Returns = (Closing price - opening price) / opening price
Abnormal returns = Stock returns - benchmark returns
The file attached by Faris would also be of help.
Please feel free to get back if you need further clarification.
Best,
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I want to get my head around corporate performance. More specifically how would I calculate the abnormal return of say 100 companies with daily data over a few months. So I can see that autocorrelation might be a problem but also factors such as economic news, industry news, firm specific news etc How would I control for those? I found some material on the Fama French Model and the granger causality test.  Is there any paper which walks though that in a less academic language?
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These might be useful
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What are the most practical data-limited approaches used to assess or manage invertebrate stocks such as lobster and conch when catch rates and age/structure are poorly known?
Thanks,
Shannon
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Estimada Shannon:
Cuando se impulsan nuevas pesquerías de invertebrados marinos frecuentemente se centran en especies para las cuales existe poca o muy limitada información tanto en los aspectos biológicos como de la explotación.
Para especies de invertebrados bentónicos de nula o escasa movilidad se recomiendan los esquemas RZP (Rotación de Zonas de Pesca), este esquema eco-sistémico trata de lograr el máximo rendimiento sustentable, dividiendo el área total de pesca en sub-áreas, preferentemente de igual abundancia, para que sean explotadas secuencialmente en el tiempo y permitir la recuperación del stock en las zonas no explotadas a través de la reproducción, crecimiento y reclutamiento. Anudado a lo anterior el manejo pesquero a través de un esquema RZP, constituye una estrategia precautoria, debido a que estos esquemas ayudan a mitigar los efectos de la sobrepesca del crecimiento y del reclutamiento.
Te recomiendo consigas el siguiente artículo: Caddy, J. F. (1993). Background concepts for a rotating harvesting strategy with particular reference to the Mediterranean red coral, Corallium rubrum. Marine Fisheries Review, 55(1), 10-18.
Espero te ayude mi respuesta. Saludos cordiales.
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Futures allocation using Shaking optimization algorithm.
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Consider online portfolio switching algorithms. Assuming you have at least two assets, then the algorithm will generate an allocation vector, ie. 40% to asset A, and 60% to asset B. 
Since American futures exchanges do not allow you to be long and short at the same time, you can use a long version of A and a short version of A, (same with asset B), giving you four inputs. Then the allocation vector will tell you long or short as well for each asset.
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Advice on (preferably non-destructive) ways to detect and monitor changes in fish and epibenthic communities after trawling is banned in an inshore tropical region (M-BACI design). The trouble is, the water is so highly turbid that video (e.g. BRUVS), more often than not, cannot be used.
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what are the options you are looking at. Are you open to use of destructive techniques and bioassay.
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I am working on the Octopus cyanea fishery in southwest Madagascar, and we are having problems obtaining accurate total production weight at a small scale from the commercial collectors. Would it be ok to run a stock assessment model using regional level total production data supplied by the Ministry of Fisheries, combined with village level CPUE as the effort measure? Any advice would be much appreciated.
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please contact Dr. Tasaduq H. Shah @ tasaduqs@gmail.com. He is an expert on stock assessment and cephalopods.
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I would like to construct a conceptual model for macroalgal standing stock which comprises production and natural losses (herbivory, fragmentation) etc.
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Ive heard that EcoPath is good.
It uses the constraints of balancing energy and production in a food web to solve for unknown values and is useful for describing important interactions and knowledge gaps. Ecosim allows for time dynamic simulations of these fluxes driven by forcing data of either fishing or environmental change.
Although the initial model development is straightforward, added capabilities allow you to address wide-ranging policy questions, from evaluating the relative impact of climate and fisheries and tracing effects of bioaccumulation, to optimisation of the placement of marine protected areas and the evaluation of social and economic consequences of management interactions.
The Ecopath software was designed to enable construction of data-rich ecosystem models that can be used in the implementation of ecosystem-based fishery management, although in data-poor systems it shows the most important knowledge gaps for future research. It incorporates the effects of micro-scale behaviour on macro-scale rates and includes biomass and size dynamics for key groups. This has successfully been undertaken in over a hundred ecosystems and can provide insight into system evolution over time in response to changes in productivity and exploitation
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Often we assume the results of a stock assessment model (SAM) represent the reality, so this results are used for management purposes. But, if a SAM is just a simple representation of reality, can we validate a SAM considering a more complex simulated reality?Or we just can validate the model ability to reproduce a simulated reality, but not the true reality?
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thanks for your comments. We can say is a good model when is useful for management and it can reproduce well the data .