Microsoft Outlook - Science topic

Economic Outlook Under a Second Trump Presidency: Key Policies, Challenges, and Potential Impacts on Growth

Thank you for your valuable advice. Your mentioned strategies can play an important role in developing an optimistic outlook toward life, cultivating emotional flexibility, as well as fostering mental strength to overcome various challenges, and turning them into great opportunities. As Walt Whitman said, 'Keep your face always toward the sunshine—and shadows will fall behind you.'

Israel is a UN recognised state with no internationally agreed borders. It’s quite unique and the status of Jerusalem embodies the unhelpful contradictions for both Israelis and Palestinians

In my opinion, the online way.

Hai Doc, I saw your question and let me try to answer, but really appreciate if you could click the RECOMMEND button for my research papers under my AUTHORSHIP ya. The answers to your questions as below :

While both optimistic and pessimistic factors will influence the long-term macroeconomic outlook, I believe optimistic factors may dominate if the right policies are put in place globally. Some of the key points:

Optimistic factors:

Continued innovation in technology which has long been a driver of productivity gains and new industries. Emerging fields like AI, robotics, biotech could revolutionize economies if responsibly guided.

Growing populations in certain regions requiring more jobs, infrastructure, resources to meet demand which provides opportunities. An increasing global middle class also expands consumer markets.

Transition to renewable energy and more sustainable systems may open new sectors and make economies more resilient long-term by addressing environmental challenges. Cost competitiveness of 'green' solutions is rising.

Connectivity between people and markets via internet/social media allowing sharing of ideas globally and coordination on issues in real-time. Can help generate grassroots momentum for positive reforms.

Pessimistic factors:

Inequality may rise further if economic growth benefits few while many struggle, weakening aggregate demand. Political instability can emerge from such divisions.

Environmental degradation causing more extreme weather, resource conflicts if not mitigated. Climate change impacts likely to damage certain regions' production over time.

Debt levels remained elevated in many countries leaving less capacity to adequately respond to sudden downturns.

Geopolitical risks like conflicts, refugees flows, pandemics can significantly disrupt trade/investment networks which economies increasingly rely on.

On balance, I believe the optimistic factors will dominate if coordinated global efforts are made towards sustainable development, greater social cohesion, and geopolitical cooperation. The potential rewards of emerging technologies are enormous but must circumvent pitfalls to optimize benefit for humanity. With prudent long-term planning, many risks could be successfully mitigated to safeguard prosperity.

Many special thanks Professor Stefan Bernhard Rüster!

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Dear Nadir Bouslah,

in View of the many Challenges, the Organization of Sporting Events will in Future be based on the Use of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and the Internet of Things (IoT). The System Solutions for this will use the Idea of Digital Twins (DTs).The Sources of Information added here are intended to support my Statement.

My Presentation at the Address shows the general Idea of Digital Twins and their Importance in the IoT:

Best regards

Anatol Badach

NTTs most exciting innovations of 2022

Scott Stonehever: TWINNING IS WINNING Stadia https://stadia.mydigitalpublication.co.uk/articles/twinning-is-winning

NTT to create world’s largest connected stadium, generating a ‘digital twin’ of the Tour de France https://services.global.ntt/fr-fr/newsroom/ntt-to-create-worlds-largest-connected-stadium

New SoFi Stadium and Hollywood Park to sport digital twin technology https://sportsvenuebusiness.com/2020/10/27/new-sofi-stadium-and-hollywood-park-to-sport-digital-twin-technology/

Edge computing, IoT and a revolutionary fan experience for the Tour de France

Telefónica opens a new era for sport with the application of 5G, artificial intelligence and augmented reality https://www.telefonica.com/en/wp-content/uploads/sites/5/2021/09/pr-tef-sport-4.0.pdf

OnePlan named Official Supporter of the Olympic and Paralympic Games Paris 2024: a solution to plan events and venues in a real-time and interactive way https://www.eventindustrynews.com/news/oneplan-named-official-supporter-of-the-olympic-and-paralympic-games-paris-2024-a-solution-to-plan-events-and-venues-in-a-real-time-and-interactive-way

Along with the mangroves, as India as a member of the "Middle East Initiative", a lot of deserts are going to need to be replanted from western India to Pakistan, Arabia and central Africa, to keep the monsoon moisture moving across and producing even rainfall instead of droughts and floods.

What is happening now, is when the moisture goes over forests and native cover, then rain clouds can form. Then when it goes over barren deserts, two things can happen--the cloud stall and create floods or pass over the deserts and disappear because the hotter barren soil changes the dew point, so precipitation cannot occur. Image above of the areas that need to have native plant cover, to insulate the soil surface to keep the rainfall moving at an even track.

Okay... Thanks r ur reply.

A pandemic perspective to the debate by Dr Pranav Ish is indeed noteworthy.

Demand increase day by day.. many franchise of fast food companies work in south asia and get revenue

Pandemic has really changed the outlook of teaching and learning process. Now it is more technology driven. Students and teachers need to be more and more techno savvy now.

Higher education has a sole correlation to regionalism and political systems in education sector and that is, the rationalization and speculations of these two factors. Regions are built platforms to connect individuals with similarities and protect them, thus, regionalism‘ influences and studies becomes prevalent into any education sector that wants to enhance its living standards, both global and local developments, and maintain its civilization realms. On the other hand, politics have a big role in functionality of education sector itself, thus it cannot be avoided nor fabricated to maintain such systematics functions. Politics also comes into any hierarchies of growth in political, equality and morality, economic, social, environmental, metaphysics, and independence individualism. With higher education, both regionalism and politics becomes synergically sensitive and, practical. However with lack of education and poor control of educational sectors, these two factors are diminished, misinterpreted, discredited, and corrupted specifically in educational sectors and political pentagons.

thank you, this looks promissing, I will have a read.

God is a matter of experience and faith; if you have no faith or have not experienced anything does not mean it does not exist. The onus to prove that God exists is same on the believer as it is on non believer that He does not exist. Scientist are exploring and creating and they have done well from antibiotics to Mars landing to nuclear bombs to IA controlling the humankind. Yet many dimensions and realities remain unexplored. Let us wait and see.

For Spain you can write to https://sede.aemet.gob.es/AEMET/es/GestionPeticiones/nuevaSolicitud

Dear Adel,

As I know, both cognitive and emotional factors work in risk perception. In organizational context, Project managers take risks based on the values of the organization, their personal values, threat to their survival and success, rewards, capability to transfer the blame in case of failure, venerability of peers/superiors/subordinates, etc. In personal level, people take risk based on social norms, their value system, benefits and losses, wants and needs, chances of failure, etc. I have gone through many good and experiences of risk perception and risk management in my 34 years of professional career.

Well, it seems clear that “liberal” and “conservative” cannot be “absolutely” differentiated in terms of their respective positions on any specific issue. A position that is considered liberal in one culture may be considered conservative in another; and within any particular society, what was once considered liberal can become accepted in a conservative ethos at a later time (e.g. no conservative in the West today would question women’s right to own property or to vote, but in the 19th century, these were very liberal positions). This suggests that “liberal” and “conservative” are not defined in absolute terms, but rather in relation to each other. So If we “extract ourselves from our contemporary problems” and go back to the ancients, or to other scholars, as Jean-Philippe Terreaux suggests, then we are simply “re-contextualizing” ourselves in another geographical space and another period in history, and there is no reason to believe that “their” perspectives would be any more “objective” than ours. We wouldn’t want to claim, however, that the distinction is arbitrary simply because we cannot pinpoint specific issues that consistently divide the two sides at all times and in all places. The distinction must reside in the overall goals or underlying values that each side is committed to, which do not change, although how they are applied or "realized" may vary according to the conditions and circumstances of the culture/society in question.

Working environment

For further inputs - http://www.oshc.org.hk/oshc_data/files/HotTopic/workstress_e.pdf

The interest in DG methods for LES has experienced a dramatic growth over the last 5-10 years. I would argue this was originally due to the fact that the numerical results were surprisingly accurate, but now there is a much better understanding of why this is the case. Roughly speaking, the numerical dissipation properties in wavenumber space of DG methods are very well-suited for transition prediction and for LES of moderately-high-Reynolds number turbulence [1] (*). Not surprisingly, it has been acknowledged that the Riemann solver in DG methods (which is responsible for the numerical dissipation) plays the role of an implicit subgrid-scale model (see e.g. [2,3,4]) and this implicit model somehow behaves like a dynamic model (it vanishes for laminar flows, etc.)

Regarding implementation, theoretically, the potential of DG methods for the incoming computing architectures such as GPUs is huge (**), but one needs to be clever and think out of the box. For example, state-of-the-art algorithms that are great for CPUs (pseudo-time marching, Jacobi-Newton-GMRES, etc.) can be extremely inefficient for GPUs. With the right choice of algorithms (some of them perhaps need to be new), and for some applications, however, the speedup in terms of "accuracy vs. time-to-solution" and "accuracy vs. energy consumption" with DG methods could be massive (as massive as the uncertainty on whether this potential will ever be realized in practice).

(*) The numerical dissipation properties of DG methods are arguably beneficial for LES but not for RANS-type simulations. Since DG methods are more expensive than 2nd-order FV, and there is little or no benefit in the RANS setting, that's probably why the use of DG methods in CFD was so marginal in the past.

(**) This is true not only for DG but also for the majority of high-order methods.

[1] P. Fernandez, R. Moura, G. Mengaldo, J. Peraire, Non-modal analysis of spectral element methods: Towards accurate and robust large-eddy simulations, arXiv preprint arXiv:1804.09712

[2] A.D. Beck, D. Flad, C. Tonhäuser, G. Gassner, C.-D. Munz, On the Influence of Polynomial De-aliasing on Subgrid Scale Models, Flow Turbul. Combust. 97 (2) (2016) 475–511.

[3] P. Fernandez, N.C. Nguyen, J. Peraire, On the ability of discontinuous Galerkin methods to simulate under-resolved turbulent flows, arXiv preprint arXiv:1810.09435

[4] J. Manzanero, E. Ferrer, G. Rubio, E. Valero, On the role of numerical dissipation in stabilising under-resolved turbulent simulations using discontinuous Galerkin methods, arXiv preprint arXiv:1805.10519

I am sure it does. I don't know about the evidence in this field. The evidence in health care is that clinician presentation, communication and attitude is a key component of outcomes, typically perhaps contributing one third of the variation in outcomes. I would suspect teaching as a similar human process to delivering healthcare would show a similar effect. Most interesting is exactly what teacher characteristics enhance engagment and outcomes the most. I suspect not so much appearance as enthusiasm, clear communication, relevance and engagement skills as well as personal authority, knowledge of the subject and flexibility. Forgive me for speculating outside my subject but the practitioner effect generally is an interesting and important one - and relevant to AI and assistive technology (which of course can be programmed to demonstrate some of the positive characteristics I have set out above, if not all).

Following

We are so conversent with the salinity in arid and semiarid areas , and to a lesser extent salinity of humid areas. Literature is flooded with genesis and management of such salt affected soils. Lets have some discussion on genesis of salinity in cold deserts...

I do not claim expertise on this topic, but I may be able to shed some light on your question. Dr. Pyron appears to be talking in general about how life and evolution work to both adapt and fill in available supply of resources. That is, extinctions have happened a lot in the past due to a range of causes: changes to the environment, rapid changes such as catastrophies (volcanoes, meteors), predation to extinction (which may also result in extinction of the predator if no alternative food available), and even just standard evolution in which a species changes over eons, perhaps into multiple child species that are better adapted or are participating in genetic arms race with other organisms.

One of the species that has caused the extinction of some other species, whether by predation or changing their environments, is humans. When the cause is humans, we tend to cause that "artificial", meaning that we abstract our own cognitively controlled actions out of "nature", meaning that we have the capacity to make conscious decisions that can lead to extinction of another species or not, depending on what we decide. This is somewhat different from other causes as none of them are generally consciously aware that they are causing the extinction and don't have the capacity or luxury to make decisions based on what they predict will happen to another species by certain actions they take. We humans are alone in that capacity.

His main point appears to be that there isn't a way life is supposed to exist on Earth, so there is no "ought" premise by which we should be acting to make our decisions. He argues that the only real "ought" that matters is the effect our decisions have on humans in the long run, as genes that select for their own continuation will necessarily be the ones that survive and reproduce, so that is a feature built into living beings for the survival of their genes. He criticizes the idea that we "ought" to keep things the way they are by minimizing environmental impacts, maintaining biodiversity, and saving endangered species, and even seems to suggest ignoring climate change since things have changed even significantly more in the past and life just adapts and rebounds to fit the new environment.

In my opinion, while his basic principles seem sound about the idea that "ought" statements require justification, and that things change over time regardless of humans and there's nothing wrong with that, he leaps over the important parts of the discussion to reach invalid conclusions. For one, he misses that the rate of change is an important factor, particularly if we're even talking just about the survival and success of the human species. Yes, the sea level changed a lot in the past. But that doesn't mean it is irrelevant to us now, today. If the sea level rises 1 meter over the next 10,000 years (0.1 mm/year), that will have little impact on our civilization or the human species. Our lifetimes are on the order of 100 years, and our buildings and infrastructure have lifetimes of a similar order, from decades to centuries. A change in sea level of 1 cm over 100 years will have little effect. The shallowest coastlines might see the sea move inward a few meters over that time, but most coastlines won't change much. The buildings will fall apart and be replace, perhaps moved back a few meters. Over hundreds of years, we can move whole cities inland piece by piece through attrition of aging infrastructure.

If the sea level rises 1 meter in 100 years (10 mm/year), that is a serious problem. In 100 years, that could mean the water comes inland hundreds of meters to kilometers further. A new house near the coastline might have to be torn down or moved over a few decades. Property will be lost. Storm surges will decimate coastlines. Some areas, like Miami, will have water come up through the ground and much of the city will be under shallow water year round. Some shallow nations like Bangladesh or islands like the Maldives will require mass migration over the short term.

Now I'm not claiming that it is increasing 1 meter in 100 years. Rather, I'm suggesting that the rate of change matters, and the ability and cost to adapt to those changes, not just the absolute sea level at different times.

That's just sea level. Other rapid changes to climate and weather patterns means significant changes in agriculture, storm destruction, heat waves, and to phenomena such as the gulf stream that provide stable and long-term predictable climate patterns that we are well adapted and prepared for. Rapid changes means our infrastructure, settlements, food supply, and ill-prepared for what will come, and we will see economic disaster.

Sure, if we have global economic collapse, mass migration, spreading disease, famine, increased disasters in our settlement locations, and resulting wars over location and resources, then life will still continue and evolve. But, it may be a massive loss to human civilization at great cost. The question is really about the benefit we gain vs the cost in the relatively near future. Is saving $1 today worth a debt costing $100 next year?

That is what Pyron is missing in his article, even if we limit the discussion to the effects on humans and human civilization, and in terms of what we "ought" to do in our own best interests. Getting into biodiversity discussions and the effects on other life can go a variety of ways, but isn't even necessary just to address problems in Pyron's article.

Hi Marwa, Please check our study where we used an interesting scale that was developed by Hoogan. Their reliability and validity indicators are good enough.

Regards,

following line may be informative 

Hi Kumar,

access:

There's so much more on scholar google

Thanks so much Kaleel.

Dear Amir,

With some energy and persistence, it is not difficult to observe and to measure innovations at firms' level. You can use a multi-dimensional measure of the area(s) and the degree of novelty of an innovation (see enclosed). Creativity is deviation from the existing practices, patterns and beliefs. Not always it leads to a successful innovation. You should measure separately the degree of deviation from the common practices, industry's patterns and the common beliefs. For the common beliefs, you can use de Wit. B., Meyer R. "Strategy Synthesis" (various editions) as a starting point.  

Bests,

Igor

http://www.proqolid.org/ 

What about the task technology fit based models?

Perhaps you might want to check this page: http://istheory.byu.edu/wiki/Main_Page

I usually find it quite useful when looking for theoretical approaches.

I believe that you would have to operationally define "bottomline" before proceeding to search for standardized scales. If you are chiefly concerned with  net earnings, then correlating net earnings with an appropriate sample of employees who have completed job satisfaction scales may be an avenue for you to pursue emotional regulation. Could you define "bottomline" with more veracity? 

There are several 'tools' to measure employability including My Vocational Situation and the CareerEDGE Profile.  However these can be costly to get hold of and not all parts of the method are available.  In my work on employability we developed our own method for 'measuring' employability, specifically the students perception of their own employability and confidence in gaining graduate employment.  The results of this are in review for publication but preliminary findings can be found in my publication 'A Crisis of Confidence: Seven perceived Barriers to Graduate Employment' available to download through researchgate.