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Insurance Economics
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How should credit risk management systems and procedures be improved at investment banks investing clients' money in securities so as to significantly reduce the levels of potential systemic credit risk generated and reduce the frequency and scale of financial crises developing?
The bankruptcy of Silicon Valey Bank and Signatire Bank, i.e. banks operating within the framework of investment banking based on equity investments in securities has resulted in investor anxiety, increased levels of uncertainty in financial markets, including equity markets, securities markets. Once again, the question of the possibility of a repetition of the situation of the global financial crisis of 2007-2009 has resurfaced, with central banks intervening swiftly and efficiently to fully guarantee all deposits and bank deposits above the statutory limits set for deposit guarantee institutions. This raises the debatable question of why, 15 years after the global financial crisis of 2007-2009, there are still cases of large investment banks failing when, moments afterwards, the central bank announces the full guarantee of all bank deposits and bank deposits and without quota limits in each of the remaining functioning banks. And this is what happened moments after Silicon Valey Bank and Signatire Bank declared bankruptcy. In addition to this, another debatable issue arises regarding the potential for an increase in the scale of moral hazard in both the commercial and investment banking community as well as in bank customers, which could lead to a significant increase in the level of acceptable investment, credit, liquidity, debt, etc. risks for many businesses. If this were to happen, the result could be an increase in systemic credit risk in the banking sector, which is hardly the purpose of central banking, but rather the opposite. But, on the other hand, some central banks also carry out financial operations on international financial markets, often making substantial revenues and profits. This raises a third debatable issue, which is to consider the key priorities of central banks' activities in addition to looking after the value of money and the stability of the banking system. The central bank's participation in the process of injecting additional money into the economy through the purchase of treasury bonds and carrying out financial operations in the international financial markets, including the foreign exchange markets and with the use of securities to a significant extent can influence the formation of the national currency exchange rate on the one hand and can be a way to generate profits for the central bank on the other. Obviously, the issue of the stability of financial markets, the security of the banking system, the formation of the value of the currency within a certain range, not allowing too high a level of overcredit for investment processes carried out by various economic entities also operating in non-financial sectors of the economy and not allowing too high a level of systemic credit risk in banking are key priorities. These priorities are legally anchored both in the Constitution, i.e. the Basic Law, and in the legal norms defining the functioning of the central bank. Of course, the high-security banking system thus built does not exempt commercial banks and investment banks from the need to continually improve their credit risk management systems. New information technologies and Industry 4.0 are emerging and are also being implemented into banking. New risk factors that are difficult to predict are emerging, such as the occurrence of the SARS-CoV-2 (Covid-19) coronavirus pandemic in 2020. Situations continue to arise where the optimum levels of credit risk are exceeded with regard to the investment banks' equity investments in securities. Consequently, there is still a high degree of possibility that investment banks operating in the capital markets may permanently lose liquidity as a result of certain investment decisions and the quality of the credit risk management improvement process carried out. Also, the banking supervisory institutions, the institutions supervising the financial system should review the issue of the adequacy of the prudential instruments applied by banks, instruments for controlling credit risk, liquidity risk, debt risk, operational risk, market risk, foreign exchange risk, interest rate risk, cyber risk, etc. in view of the changing reality in which banks and the whole banking system operate. It is therefore necessary, in this regard, for banking supervisory institutions, institutions overseeing the financial system, to carry out a kind of ongoing monitoring of the adequacy of the credit risk management systems applied in banks and other risk categories, in order to continually answer the question of whether these systems have become obsolete in the context of the technological progress taking place and the emergence of new risk factors not previously known or not previously present on a large scale in the banks' environment or occurring in their customers. Therefore, both the financial supervisory institutions and the risk management departments of commercial banks, deposit and credit banks and investment banks are once again reviewing the adequacy of the applied prudential and risk control instruments, procedures and credit risk management systems in relation to the situation of the growth of investment and other risks, the possibility of a deepening of the downturn in the economy, in the reality of high inflation, high interest rates, the possibility of stagflation.
In view of the above, I address the following question to the esteemed community of scientists and researchers:
How should credit risk management systems and procedures be improved at investment banks investing investor clients' money in securities so as to significantly reduce the levels of potential systemic credit risk generated and reduce the frequency and scale of the development of financial crises?
What do you think about this subject?
What is your opinion on this subject?
Please respond,
I invite you all to discuss,
Thank you very much,
Warm regards,
Dariusz Prokopowicz
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Please suggest me a nice topic for PhD thesis in Finance. I am just in the introductory stage of PhD.
I am interested in Financial Economics but you can suggest me otherwise (In finance) as well.
Thanks
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Just to help you, it may useful to examine for which branch of finance your knowledge, skills, and aptitudes match. Broadly the areas are:
  1. Corporate Finance (Dividend Policy, Capital Structure Decisions, and Working Capital Management)
  2. Financial Markets (Capital Markets, Asset Pricing, Risk/ Return, Market Microstructures)
  3. Behavioural Finance
  4. Financial Risk Management (Options, Futures, Hedging, Risk Mitigation Strategies, Foreign Exchange Risks)
  5. Quantitative Finance
Once you create a focus on can explore further.
Best
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I need a place to send the product of this project for publication.
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Hi Ikechukwu
The journals below all accept articles in the area of banking and finance. If you are very confident that your article/manuscript is of high quality, then you should send your manuscript to these journals:
Journal of Financial Stability (Elsevier)
Borsa Istanbul Review (Elsevier)
Research in International Business and Finance (Elsevier)
Managerial Finance (Emerald)
Journal of Economic and Administrative Sciences (Emerald)
Journal of African Business(Taylor and Francis)
Journal of Financial Economic Policy (Emerald)
Afro-asian Journal of Accounting and Finance (Inderscience)
Future Business Journal (Elsevier)
Review of Accounting and Finance (Emerald)
Journal of Economic Studies (Emerald)
Hope this helps!
Regards
PK Ozili
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i want to look at contemporary issues in development finance 
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You may also look at "Financial Sector Development, Market driven or institution driven".  look at a 2015 Working paper by IMF, "Rethinking financial Sector Development" for clearer direction.
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Actually, I am interested to study the effects of various factors on purchasing intention of residential real estate. Finance and price are considered as main factors that purchaser needs to take into considerations. 
Is there any one can help me to recommend articles that used the price and finance as IV factor
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Are you looking at short term and/or long term effect of real estate financing/Investment? If you have price and finance as two IVs, how will you measure finance? Your answers will guide my further contributions. 
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How can we determine the aggressive earnings management? also, the discretionary accruals model is it refer just for the aggressive earnings management or not?
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Discretionary accruals measures the earnings management. high levels (negative or positive) of earnings management among the sample firms can be taken as aggressive earnings management.
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Respected All,
I need the papers as above questions. Kindly share if you have.
Regards
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Thanks a lot!!!!!!!!!!!!
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Most of the studies in the literature cover seasonal crops when it comes to index-based insurance.  Index-based insurance is also being tested for permanent crops (or non-seasonal crops) such as tea (for instance iin Sri Lanka).  Any research based evidence in regard to index-based insurance for permanent crops?
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Thanks for the responses. If there are any publications on this please share.
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I am looking for a bank specific transparency index that would measure the level of transparency at the individual bank level.  I defined banks here as SIC 6020 - commercial banks.  I understand there are country specific transparency indices which would not work for me.  My scope includes banks in the EU between 2012 and 2015.
Would appreciate any guidance you can offer.
Thank you.
Henry
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Gentlemen, appreciate the guidance.  I was able to find useful measures from the articles you recommended.  Thanks!
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Suppose the amount is paid in earlier to the contractor before the actual payment date. For this at what interest rate should be considered to the amount which is paid earlier up to the return of money back to the owner?
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From a cash-flow shortage perspective, an early payment can be encouraged and the interest rate vary, and also the reasons. Such practice can be observed for those firms that have a restricted access to the banks' money facilities. Some countries stated specific legislation in regards of early of late payments and recommended limitation of these interest rates from 1.5 to maximum 3-5 % per year.
As Yuri mentioned, the banks have different commercial behaviors and it is not commonly seen that they are accepting early debt payments without penalties.
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Insurance companies have their contribution in GDP. how to measure their performance? I am working in a paper of how the insurance affect GDP?
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Dear Muawya,
You should consider different types of insurance to find different multipliers of insurance premium to GDP. Please, look at insurance premium, not at insurers' net profits. In most cases you will find the negative multipliers -- the lower the insurance premium, the higher is the growth of GDP. This is applicable to social insurance premium, marine insurance etc. Thus, do not use DEA and other similar methods, look how insurance makes cheaper the inputs, not how profits increase outputs.
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what is the main effect of tax amnesty to real estate business, also what condition that will be created after this tax amnesty program already effective and efficient?
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I covered amnesties in my thesis, 'Miners' Motivation', as a subset of socio-psychological factors influencing tax compliance.  As Adrian Sawyer has suggested they become part of audit rates (likelihood of being caught); and penalties (what happens when caught).  I found that audit rates could lead to non-compliance in some cases. Some of that might be helpful. 
From an industry point of view Real Estate is very heavily controlled and regulated.  I doubt the industry itself would be in a position to conduct transactions outside the legal framework - but the same might not be said for private transactions, or from the individual taxpayer's position particularly as to CGT on property gains. 
I was in the Real Estate Industry as a licensed principal for about 15 years and hold an Associateship of the Real Estate Institute of Australia.
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I am interested in examining whether there is an earning management in insurance industry and whether more transparency in financial reporting would have any relation with such behavior. Thanks 
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Look at CY results and the component due to prior year development (PYD).   Under the theory results are managed to smooth CY income, you would expect to see PYD being declared to have a counter-cyclical tempering effect.    Also check articles such as  The Impact of the Insurance Economic Cycle on Insurance Pricing by J Boor.
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Hi Everyone,
I'm in the process of designing a study to assess the impact of a credit-risk insurance scheme being implemented by a NGO in Uganda. There are a number of schemes currently running across the country, however I'm having a difficult time coming up with credible literature on the topic. Can anyone suggest any lit/sources that I can look up on the topic (especially for East Africa, notably Uganda)? Any resource suggestions would be helpful!
Thanks,
Wameq
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Dear Wameq,
although I'm not clear about the nature of your research but here is some recommended literature in APA Style, may be help you:
Meyer, B. S., & Chatfield, W. D. (1999). U.S. Patent No. 5,907,828. Washington, DC: U.S. Patent and Trademark Office.
Saunders, A., Cornett, M. M., & McGraw, P. A. (2006). Financial institutions management: A risk management approach (Vol. 8). McGraw-Hill/Irwin.
Baronowski, W., Feldstein, M., Meenan, R., Simone, V., Weil, D., & Young, A. (1999). U.S.
Patent No. 5,926,800. Washington, DC: U.S. Patent and Trademark Office.
Budnitz, M. (1983). Sale of Credit Life Insurance: The Bank as Fiduciary, The. NCL Rev., 62, 295.
Black, K., Skipper, H. D., & Huebner, S. S. (1994). Life insurance (pp. 565-69). Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Prentice Hall.
Outreville, J. F. (1990). Whole-life insurance lapse rates and the emergency fund hypothesis. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 9(4), 249-255.
Cowley, A., & Cummins, J. D. (2005). Securitization of life insurance assets and liabilities. Journal of Risk and Insurance, 72(2), 193-226.
Peters, P. H. (1958). How Should Credit Life Insurance be Regulated. Ins. LJ, 529.
Grosen, A., & Jørgensen, P. L. (2000). Fair valuation of life insurance liabilities: the impact of interest rate guarantees, surrender options, and bonus policies. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 26(1), 37-57.
Grosen, A., & Jørgensen, P. L. (2002). Life insurance liabilities at market value: an analysis of insolvency risk, bonus policy, and regulatory intervention rules in a barrier option framework. Journal of risk and insurance, 69(1), 63-91.
Clarke, D., & Dercon, S. (2009). Insurance, credit and safety nets for the poor in a world of risk.
Morduch, J. (1999). Between the state and the market: Can informal insurance patch the safety net?. The World Bank Research Observer, 14(2), 187-207.
Giesbert, L., Steiner, S., & Bendig, M. (2011). Participation in micro life insurance and the use of other financial services in Ghana. Journal of Risk and Insurance, 78(1), 7-35.
Giesbert, L., Steiner, S., & Bendig, M. (2011). Participation in micro life insurance and the use of other financial services in Ghana. Journal of Risk and Insurance, 78(1), 7-35.
Reinke, J. (1998). How to lend like mad and make a profit: A micro‐credit paradigm versus the start‐up fund in South Africa. The Journal of Development Studies, 34(3), 44-61.
Ranson, M. K. (2002). Reduction of catastrophic health care expenditures by a community-based health insurance scheme in Gujarat, India: current experiences and challenges. Bulletin of the World Health Organization, 80(8), 613-621.
Gore, A., Mayers, H., & Rabson, K. (2005). U.S. Patent Application No. 11/074,453.
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Hello, I am working on Predictive Analytical model on Usage Based Insurance using Telematics based data.  Any help will be very helpful. does anybody have any sample data set ? 
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In many rural areas of "developing countries" small scale agriculturalists (farmers/fishers/herders/...) see the necessity for (financial) investments, they have the capacities (social & human capital like social networks or (traditional) local knowledge) but often not the access to the financial sector to maintain or adapt their practices & lifestyle to changes. I am interested in ways how this gap has been bridged successfully in terms of improving the life of the people (as they desired) while keeping/improving the "natural capital" as well, so increasing the resilience in several dimensions.
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Thank you very much already for the answers! maybe we can keep filling this thread if we find something new. I came across this "database of financial and technical support for inclusive businesses" and thought  it might also be useful to some of you:) http://www.inclusivebusinesshub.org/page/data-of-financial-and-technical-support-for-inclusive-businesses
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I'm looking for excellent articles or books on the history of insurance, especially property insurance. I am most interested in the U.S. and Britain in the 19th and 20th century but sources pertaining to other countries are welcome too.
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Krohm, G. (1996). A survey of insurance industry and regulatory applications on the internet. Journal of Insurance Regulation, 14(4), 518.
Ujunwa, A., & Modebe, N. J. (2011). Repositioning insurance industry for operational efficiency: The nigerian case. Journal of Applied Finance and Banking, 1(3), 15-32.
Bartlett,Dwight K., I.,II, & McGill, D. M. (1997). History of the development of preliminary term methods of valuation of life insurance policies in the united states. Journal of Insurance Regulation, 15(3), 382-401.
Lehrman, W. G. (1994). Diversity in decline: Institutional environment and organizational failure in the american life insurance industry. Social Forces, 73(2), 605.
Abraham, K. S. (2010). Guest editorial--lessons learned from the history of corporate liability insurance in the united states. Geneva Papers on Risk & Insurance, 35(3), 364-368.
Cook, E. D. (1999). Genetics and the british insurance industry. Journal of Medical Ethics, 25(2), 157.
Baranoff, D. (1998). Principals, agents, and control in the american fire insurance industry, 1799-1872. Business and Economic History, 27(1), 91-101.
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Many counties adopted the explicit insurance deposit system, and some think it works well because it may decrease the tendency of high risk activity taken by banks. however, it seems some guys don't agree with that and they mentioned it may trigger more risks, like moral hazard. Can anyone share your opinions or recommmend some materials?
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I think this discussion is confusing, and the term "Risk" is not used consistently. As in many discussions.
Firstly you have to fix the perspective on risk. Are you discussing the situation from a national perspective or from the perspective of the banks.
Secondly you have to discuss if you are looking on the "Financial Risk" or the "Behavioral risk". These are two different risk perspectives.
Then we can have a discussion.
As an example, from the perspective of the state, does deposit insurance increase risk taking (behavioral)  in banks.
The answer is probably. A guarantee for deposits is primarily of benefit to the customers. But also does allow more risky actions of the bank in some ways.But it should be more than balanced out by the positive effect of the credit insurance on the reduced financial risk of the banks. Also measures (BASEL) have been taken to limit/moderate the behavior of the banks.
Besides the effect of credit insurance on the financial risk of the banks/customers, the uncertainty is often forgot in these discussions. Credit insurance also have a major value contribution by protecting banks/customers against the fundamental uncertainty of the world. Uncertainty is actually disregarded, when stating "Risk" in the question. And i do not believe uncertainty can be disregarded in this discussion.
From the perspective of the state undoubtedly the largest benefit is in saving the customers of banks in case of a bank failing.
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hello friends, I am looking for number of employees in 2 indian insurance companies (ICICI prudential life and ICICI lombard co.), how i can find out? this informanction is not in Annual reports.
I want to calculate the productivity of employees.
I want to do ; premium/ number of employees.
I have data on Premium, market share, advertisement, training expenses.
(because I want to check is training is improving productivity anyway?)
help me to find out any other  easy to method to calculate this?
thankyou
surbhi
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@ Chris kelly
Thankyou for answer, and if I took EBIT/EBT/EAT on numerator, what I should take in denominator ( I am thinking to take employees remuneration)??
thankyou
surbhi
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Independent research has exposed the influence of notorious corporate American insurance giant with successive UK Governments to plan the destruction of the welfare state and the enforced move to healthcare funded by private insurance.
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Yes. Colin Leys.
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I am interesting in measuring the degree of the adoption of risk management mechanisms by smallholder farmers. Does anyone have an idea how to go about it? Note that in this case I want to measure the degree of both the formal (insurance, derivatives,...) and informal (like community grouping)
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very helpful comments colleagues....thanks
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I have a problem in my research. Right now I am doing my research about premiums for non-life insurance. I have bond price from catastrophe bond. There is a big question in my head. Could I count the premium for non-life insurance based on pricing of CAT bond? And how would you combine the price with the premium formula? Tthanks
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Here is one approach. An agent who wants to issue CAT bond to investors will have to factor in two variables. The normal rate of return an investor would require for a similar instrument and the interest differential he may need in exchange of the funds he provides on the occurrence of a disaster. we can use Sharpe ratio for assessing the excess return an investor may need for the excess risk he takes.
The sharpe ratio for CAT bonds hover around 0.6 . Also , the bond designers consider other metrics like spread as a multiple of expected losses.
However, be warned that the current CAT modelling has a flaw as tail end risks are worked out based on the distribution curve, which presupposes smoothness. In reality it is volatile infinitesimally continuous variable.
To find the price of non life insurance from bond pricing , the excess return paid to the investors is to be aggregated  to present value across the bond life and that is assumed to be equal to the expected loss  . That  should be calculated for single unit of risk. That is the price of non life insurance. The formula is messy but can be worked out in R or SAS.
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Hi,
In order to build a regression model to derive auto insurance premium risk table, do I need to divide the claim amount for cities with cubic capacity to normalise the claims for each city or can I directly create the dummy variables for the city and run the regression? 
I am totally new to these techniques and not sure what shud be the best approach.
Regards
RJ
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Thanks Paul n Raveendran..
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see above
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"The relationship between underwriting profit margin and investment income:changes in competitiveness in property and liability insurance." Journal of Insurance and risk management, volume III issue 5 , 2004
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I wonder whether there is any theory apart from the expected utility theory, which is subject to several criticisms and the prospect theory, that can be used to explain the individual's motivation for buying insurance?
I also wonder whether it is possible to use the expected utility theory to arrive at a demand function for buying insurance, considering coverage as the quantity?
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Thank you Steven! Your point is very interesting. I am somewhat inclined towards prospect theory, which predicts non - expected - utility - theory - complying behaviours in extreme events, which in turn bring the case of insurance closer. However, indeed initial wealth does play a role.
Yet, is not it the fact that initial wealth is already incorporated in risk aversion coefficient?