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I am trying to perform a series of regressions that Teo (2012, The Impact of More Frequent Portfolio Disclosure on Mutual Fund Performance, 101-2) did.
For a sample of about 300 funds, I'm trying to rank them according to their 12-month abnormal return (alpha, for CAPM, Fama-French, Carhart) for one particular month.
How would I do this, especially since the alpha is often statistically insignificant?
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Not that hard, put them in a Excel file and do a standard deviation test and a regression analysis. You can easily see the outlier. Since you comparing mutual funds, you would have to view which one acted different on unusual trading days.
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Some economists, bankers, investment hedge funds, corporations are expecting a financial crisis by 2020, what do you think? Please elaborate the reasoning behind your answer.
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Dear Md Iltemas Amin Adee,
In a sense, this is a prophetic question, because it was asked in 2018 on this Research Gate discussion forum, while in 2020 there was a severe global economic crisis with a deep economic recession in Q2 2020. This crisis, however, did not lead to another financial crisis, because the economic crisis of 2020 was caused not by economic sources but by the SARS-CoV-2 (Covid-19) coronavirus pandemic. In addition, public aid programs for enterprises were applied as part of anti-crisis, interventionist instruments for activating economic activity and counteracting the development of unemployment and the decline in consumption. Thanks to these anti-crisis state aid programs, additional, significant amounts of money were introduced into the economy, which to a large extent limited the scale of the development of the economic recession, reduced the level of destabilization of the situation on the financial markets and significantly reduced the likelihood of a financial crisis.
Best regards,
Dariusz Prokopowicz
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In developed countries, where technology and information are included in significant production factors, innovative startups are created, inter alia, in the technology sectors.
Some of the big start-ups created big online technology companies.
During the dynamic development and expansion on the market, they carried out investment and development projects, usually on the basis of partially borrowed capital as part of external financing.
In some countries, traditional borrowing instruments for borrowing financial capital, which include bank loans, dominate in the field of external financing.
In other countries, innovative startups raise financial capital from loan funds, venture capital funds, and investment funds. In addition, some innovative startups raise capital for development from government programs of targeted subsidies or from business angels, etc.
Some startups have gained financial capital for development purposes from new sources of external financing developing in new online media, such as crowdfunding. After several years of development and strengthening of their position on the markets, then the growing companies raise financial capital for development purposes, inter alia, from financial instruments of the capital market, from issuing securities, from issuing corporate bonds and shares.
However, in individual countries, financial systems and dominant financial instruments in the offer of financial institutions may differ significantly. In view of the above, the current question is:
What forms of external financing dominate your country in the area of ​​financing the development of innovative startups?
Please reply,
Please comments,
I invite everyone to the discussion,
Thank you very much,
Best regards,
Dariusz Prokopowicz
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In the country in which I operate, various forms of external financing for the establishment and development of innovative startups are used, depending on the type of business, type of innovation, industry and business specificity, own participation of entrepreneurs, etc.
Greetings,
Dariusz Prokopowicz
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Dear all,
currently I work on hedge funds. Therefore, I need some single hedge fund data (single time series of a hedge fund). Does someone know how I can get (purchase) these data?
Kind regards,
Sven Thies
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BarclayHedge would be your best choice.
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SEC Form ADV is filed by hedge funds and is used to disclose basic information about the hedge fund and highlight legal issues and conflicts of interest.
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Richard, In order to do so you will have to file a petition with the SEC. Like Omar mentioned, most reported forms are removed after 10 years old, and even sooner in some cases.
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In the context of the development of large capital markets, the development of stock exchanges, increasingly globalized and related, the importance of globalization of financial markets, including capital markets and stock exchanges, is increasing.
On these capital markets, there are also increasingly larger, more nationally operating investment banks and investment funds, whose profits are increasingly generated from speculative transactions of securities issued by companies and the public sector, including Treasury bonds of other countries.
In addition, there are growing currency markets, which are also speculatively operated by interneconegally operating banks and investment funds, hedge funds.
The recent global financial crisis that appeared in autumn 2008 was an example of the increase in potential systemic credit risk in many countries in which the governments of these countries through the issue of government bonds and their sale to foreign investors led to a significant increase in the risk of a liquidity crisis in the state finances and in many smaller economies, they generated major crises in the debt of state finances.
In view of the above, I am asking you the following question:
Does the globalization of financial markets and the development of growing global banks and investment funds increase the level of potential systemic credit risk, increases the risk of destablization on many capital markets and thus increases the likelihood of generating another global financial crisis?
Do you agree with my opinion?
In view of the above, I am asking you the following question:
Does the globalization of financial markets and the development of growing global banks and investment funds increase the level of potential systemic credit risk, increases the risk of destablization on many capital markets and thus increases the likelihood of generating another global financial crisis?
Please reply
This issue is described in the following publication:
I invite you to discussion and scientific cooperation
Best wishes
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The contagion effect has little resistance between countries and national capital markets with globalization thereby magnifying the systemic risk. Prior to globalization each country and its capital market was somewhat self-contained with essentially a fire wall at the national boundary. This impeded and in some cases stopped the spread from country to country resulting in much reduced systemic risk.
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In my research I try to find to most effective method of estimating Hedge Ratio using Futures and Forwards in commodities market using different methods of estimation. The question is: " How can I explain a negative hedge ratio?"
Is it short selling or something?
I look forward to listen to your opinions.
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The sign of hedging ratio shows the position in your portfolio. For instance, negative hedging ratio means that you should take a short position.
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Need Micro Data of the Volume of Derivative Instruments  used by Chinese companies for hedging exchange rate and interest rate exposure.
Right now I look at every annual report but unfortunately some reports are only in Chinese. Is there any data already collected for the years 2010-2013 or any faster way to collect the data?
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I am now engaging in a yield curve estimation project.
I met very strange market data and I would like to ask how I should understand this paradox to practitioners and/or researchers in R.G. who have experiences with the derivative valuation. If there are other proper forums to post this theme, please teach me those forums’ names.
The problem is an inconsistency between 6month Libor, 12-month Libor and 1year swap rate.
I got the following rate as on 2/23/2017 from Bromberg.
USD 6-month Libor USD: 1.36239%
USD 12-month Libor: 1.74428%
USD 1-year swap rate: 1.2965%
Apparently, 6 month Libor and 12-month Libor higher than 1-year swap rate mean an arbitrage opportunity and it can be verified as follows.
We can get the discount rates with 6-month maturity and 12-month maturity from 6-month Libor and 12-month Libor as follows.
6 month discount rate=1/(1+0.5*1.36239/100)=0.993234139
12 month discount rate=1/(1+1.74428/100)=0.982856235
Applying these to 1-year swap cash flow leads to its present value as
0.5*1.2965/100*0.993234139+(1+0.5*1.2965/100)*0.982856235=0.995666241.
The present value should be 1 to satisfy the no-arbitrage condition.
The difference between  1 and 0.995666241 is not negligible since implied 12-month Libor consistent with the swap present value 1 is 1.299427122% which is very lower than the actual rate.
The explanation such as a swap contract is a bilateral contract cancelling out counterparties' credit risks each other partially and the Libor deposit is one-sided transaction seems inappropriate to me.
Suppose a bank A enters into 1-year swap agreement as a fix-payer with a bank B and at the same time bank A borrow a 6-month loan and make it 12-month deposit with another bank C.
6 month later, bank A will pass through 6-month Libor from bank B to bank C and roll over the loan with 6 moths Libor.
12 month later, bank A will pass through 6-month Libor again and redemptions of the initial 12-month deposit and 6 months later bellowing cancel out.
Receipt 12-month Libor from bank C and payment the lower fix rate to bank B shows an arbitrage opportunity.
Best regards
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Dear Thomas,
Thanks for your helpful comment.
1, We should not use the cash-Libor rates to get the forward Libor rates since cash-Libor rates are expensive and illiquid. They are not good data. We should Eurodollar futures and/or the FRA data.
2, We should not use the cash-Libor rates to get the default free discount rates since cash-Libor rates reflect the credit risk of the good bank. We should use the ois rates.
As for my original question, the first point is most relevant and this is a new issue I have not been aware fully so far.
I have another two question.
In USD case, there are the ois with long maturity( probably 10 years).
But in GBP case which my current project involves, for example, the longest maturity of ois is 2-year and not enough to get the default-free discount curve up to 10-year.
How to handle this problem?
Possible solution might be 
1, we get the spread between the implied forward Libor and implied SONIA at the longest end from Libor-fix swap rates and ois rates up to 2 -year maturity.
2, Then subtracting that spread from Libor-fix swap rates with the maturity longer than 2-year to get the synthetic ois rates.
Is this solution legitimate?Are the discount rate of USD/GBP forex  
The second question is do the discount rate of USD/GBP in the forex market reflect the difference of Libor(synthetic  Libor rates as "clean rates") or default-free rates derived from ois rates?
Best regards
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Please suggest theory behind the phenomenon 
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See the following article:
Dirk G. Baur and Brian M. Lucey (2010). Is Gold a Hedge or a Safe Haven? An Analysis of Stocks, Bonds and Gold, Financial Review,Volume 45, Issue 2, pages 217–229.
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Brian M. Lucey suggest that gold is a hedge and safe heaven, he has a lot of work on this topic. Now, Perry Sadorsky (well know name in oil related topics, see Basher, S. A., & Sadorsky, P. (2016). Hedging emerging market stock prices with oil, gold, VIX, and bonds: A comparison between DCC, ADCC and GO-GARCH. Energy Economics, 54, 235-247) recently show that oil is better hedge than gold and even better than VIX, isn't it counter intuitive? Or is there some problem with their framework?
VIX is the volatility index and has the highest negative correlation with S&P 500 so is it logical to hedge S&P 500 investment by VIX?
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Yes, exactly. As long as there is strong correlation (whether positive or negative), it can be used for hedging. Btw, agree with you that those definitions are confusing.
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We know in the literature that in a market extended to contain swap contracts whose payoffs depend on the realized higher moments of the state variable process, a perfect hedge can be achieved. Are there any other conditions that lead to a perfect hedge in a market characterized by random jumps and stochastic volatility?
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Dear Prof. Doffou,
                               If you are willing to go even more into technical and technological details then I would like to draw your attention to my published research on the String Theory of Stock Market systems listed on my RG page and you will see that under discontinuos stochastic volatility of the environment from which the fundamentals of asset pricing and management and engineering potentials are drawn some additional physical structural engineering is required to the stock market system which includes laws on no arbitrage, short and medium range planning and managerial coordination of individual plans so as to engineer a econophysically consistent asset pricing system. But once that has been constructed as i have shown with experiments over various levels of aggregation that the system can achieve rational expectations Arrow-Debreu equilibrium in genetic meanfield systems. The system can be shown to be conserving Matter and Energy fairly efficiently in a dynamic equilibrium sense. It is efficient in all senses. Earl Prof. (University Institute Chair) Dr. (D. Phil.) SKM QC EPS Fellow (Indirect) MES MRES MAICTE
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I'm staying away from quadratic utility function from Markowitz's modern portfolio theory for now since the goal is to have a robust corporate risk measure other than mean and variance.
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Agradecia o acesso ao texto completo.