Science topic
Geopolitics - Science topic
The purpose of this discussion group is to share ideas about the field of geopolitics and related disciplines such as intelligence analysis and strategy.
Questions related to Geopolitics
Given the ongoing geopolitical and economic developments, especially over the past decade, the term "Rise of China" has frequently been used to describe China's growing influence. However, with China's established role as a global power across various sectors, does the term "rise" still accurately reflect China's current position in the international system? Or is it time to adopt new terminology or perspectives to describe this increasing influence?
Thank you for your insights
Dear Researchers, Scientists, Friends,
Do trade wars that restrict international trade based on high tariffs help or rather harm the domestic economy and how does it affect economic globalisation?
In my opinion, trade wars, which involve the imposition of tariffs and other restrictions, have a complex impact on the economy. On the one hand, they can have short-term benefits, such as protecting domestic production and creating jobs. The increased competitiveness of domestic products and the relocation of production back to the country generate new jobs and increase employment. On the other hand, in the long term, they lead to price increases, a weakening of the purchasing power of money and an economic slowdown. Prohibitive tariffs increase the prices of imported goods, which translates into higher costs for consumers and companies. The increase in the prices of goods and services reduces the purchasing power of money, lowering the standard of living of citizens. Retaliatory measures by other countries lead to a reduction in exports and have a negative impact on the economy. Rising prices, reduced trade and the uncertainty associated with trade wars have a negative impact on investment and economic growth. In conclusion, trade wars are a double-edged sword, bringing short-term benefits but leading to negative consequences in the long term. The final outcome depends on many factors, such as the size of the economy, its integration into the global economy and the reaction of other countries. The decision to implement a policy of trade wars should be carefully considered, and it is more beneficial in the long term to strive for open international trade.
In the context of globalisation, prohibitive tariffs can weaken global supply chains, leading to increased production costs and reduced efficiency. Trade wars can also lead to the fragmentation of the global market and its division into smaller, isolated trading blocs, which limits the possibilities for the development of international trade. The uncertainty associated with trade wars has a negative impact on the flow of foreign investment, hindering economic development. In addition, trade wars can exacerbate geopolitical tensions between countries and lead to conflict. In conclusion, protectionism based on high tariffs has a negative impact on economic globalisation. In the short term, it may bring some benefits, but in the long term it leads to negative consequences such as rising prices, reduced purchasing power, slower economic growth and a weakening of global supply chains. The pursuit of free and rules-based international trade is key to ensuring stable and sustainable economic development in the era of globalisation. International cooperation, dialogue and negotiations are essential to resolve trade issues and avoid the negative consequences of trade wars.
My articles below are related to the above issues in some aspects:
I have described the main issues of the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on the economy and financial markets in my article below:
IMPACT OF THE SARS-COV-2 CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIC (COVID-19) ON GLOBALISATION PROCESSES
I have described the key issues of the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on the economy and financial markets in my article below:
IMPACT OF THE CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIC (COVID-19) ON FINANCIAL MARKETS AND THE ECONOMY
I have described the issue of economic globalisation as an important factor in the systemic transformation of banking in Poland in the following article:
GLOBALISATIONAL AND NORMATIVE DETERMINANTS OF THE IMPROVEMENT OF THE BANKING CREDIT RISK MANAGEMENT IN POLAND
Globalisation and the process of the systemic and normative adaptation of the financial system in Poland to the European Union standards
And what is your opinion on this topic?
What is your opinion on this issue?
Please reply,
I invite everyone to the discussion,
Thank you very much,
Best regards,
I invite you to scientific cooperation,
Dariusz Prokopowicz

There're two outstanding facts in the history of the Russian higher education in the 21st Century: joining the Bologna process in 2003 and an expulsion in 2022. But inspite of geopolitical reasons of both events, no doubt we may observe now a somewhat exhausting the ideological backgrounds for such globalization processes and "democratic prospects" for today's world. Surely, we may attribute this new political agenda to occasionalities, but in fact, one it's necessary to recognize, that the war conflicts in the Post-Soviet space, "US conservative revolution" etc. are parts of a general trend, which is definitely influence higher education at a global scale. Some problems of this transformation have been treated here but it remains more general questions, what values, concepts, strategies and resources will determine the new era in the world-wide higher education in the near 10 - 15 years?
Central Asia - a region rich in natural resources, stands at a pivotal moment in its development. With vast reserves of critical minerals and energy resources, these countries have the potential to harness their natural wealth through strategic partnerships on the global stage. This approach can catalyse economic growth and strengthen their geopolitical leverage, offering a pathway to enhanced regional influence and prosperity.
However, the critical question remains: Can Central Asia truly set its own rules in the international arena, or are its resources a double-edged sword that entrenches deeper geopolitical dependencies?
Despite the abundance of natural assets, the region of the finds itself at the nexus of larger powers' strategic interests, which can limit its autonomy in utilising these resources for self-determined development.
A poignant example of this dynamic is the recent sale of Russian stakes in Kazakhstan's Kazatom uranium deposits to Chinese companies. This transaction underscores the complex interplay of regional power shifts and resource control. It highlights how Central Asian countries, while rich in resources like uranium, must navigate the intricate and sometimes perilous waters of global power politics, where their sovereign decisions can be heavily influenced by larger state actors like Russia and China.
This situation poses a vital discussion point: Is Central Asia moving toward greater autonomy, or is it increasingly becoming a pawn in the strategic games of global dominance?
1. World Order has shown changes, especially after 2020 in almost all major fields of Politics, Economics, Social, Geopolitical etc.
2. Where the world order in real is diverting?
3. What will be the ultimate outcomes?
4. The alteration & changes of systems on Earth will change anything in Space?
5. Which systems will lose centuries-long grounds and what new will rise?
6. Is the current scenario being same as the Rise/Fall of Nations, Games of Thrones etc. or there is something significantly different this time?
7. Ultimately what impact will the Next World Order make on the entire human race and especially on the Bio-sphere?
8. How much was any World Order got impacted/formed/shaped through/by religious education directly/indirectly and why did such neuroplasticity/mind exercises base practices remain an integral part of World Orders in past? Can humans afford to continue past practices to build any new future?
9. What changes do you suggest in Next World Order, and Why?
10. Are Human going to accept defeat & surrender in front of Alien powers like gods, AIs, energy, any other life forms etc.?
11. How long more humans have the current status of rapidly shrinking freedom?
12. Will the current form of human life exist after such surrenders and what will be the expected shape of any of such life?
13. Its understood that human have to sacrifice current systems and life forms for existence, but, Is it necessary? Any workable solutions ?
Dear colleagues! Could you recommend English-language university textbooks (manuals) on geopolitics which are the best in your opinion? Such textbooks must include historiography - the presentation of the main ideas of major thinkers beginning with Ratzel and Mahan.
It has been a quite long time since the Russia and Ukraine war has been going on and if we see the context of Geopolitics and International Relations we don't see a mediation between the two parties and ultimately the people of the two countries are facing the circumstances that arise by the governments.
Thanks.
I am conducting a thesis on the impact of the 7th October attack and the BDS (Boycott, Divestment, Sanctions) Movement on consumer preferences, specifically examining the boycott of brands affiliated with Israel, such as Domino's, Pizza Hut, and McDonald's. My research aims to understand how these geopolitical events influence consumer behavior towards these brands. The variables I am considering include brand loyalty, to measure consumer allegiance before and after the events; purchase frequency, to track changes in buying habits; consumer awareness, to assess knowledge of the brands' affiliations; political affiliation, to understand the influence of political views on purchasing decisions; and media influence, to evaluate how media coverage affects consumer perceptions and behaviors. I would appreciate insights on any additional variables that could be relevant or suggestions to refine the variables mentioned to better capture changes in consumer behavior. Thank you for your assistance.
Maritime economics focuses on the economic principles and dynamics governing the maritime industry. This field encompasses various aspects, such as the functioning of shipping markets, port operations, and the global supply chain. Here are some key areas within maritime economics:
1. Shipping Markets: Maritime economics examines different shipping markets, including dry bulk, tanker, and container markets. It analyzes supply and demand dynamics, freight rates, and the impact of global economic trends on shipping activities.
2. Port Economics: This area studies the economic aspects of port operations, including port efficiency, infrastructure investments, and competition between ports. It also explores the role of ports in regional and global trade.
3. Maritime Trade Patterns: Maritime economists analyze trade routes, the flow of goods, and the economic factors influencing global maritime trade. This includes the study of trade imbalances, the impact of tariffs, and the effects of geopolitical events on shipping.
4. Fleet Management and Shipbuilding: This involves the economic decision-making processes related to fleet expansion, maintenance, and shipbuilding. It considers factors such as ship financing, depreciation, and technological advancements.
5. Freight Rate Determination: Maritime economics explores how freight rates are determined by market forces, including supply and demand, competition, and operational costs. It also examines the impact of external factors such as fuel prices and regulatory changes.
6. Risk Management: The maritime industry faces various risks, including market volatility, environmental regulations, and geopolitical tensions. Maritime economics addresses strategies for managing these risks, such as hedging and insurance.
7. Environmental Economics: This area focuses on the economic implications of environmental regulations and sustainability practices in the maritime industry. It includes the study of emissions reduction, ballast water management, and the adoption of green technologies.
I'm looking for studies on geopolitics/territories of tech standards, any suggestions? not just on the institutional approach, how about situated agency of firms when they encounter geopolitics of tech standards?
CALL FOR PAPERS | ESC Special issue Transatlantic Mobility in the New Geopolitics of Knowledge: (Inter)Dependencies in Higher Education Brazil/Portugal
2024-02-07
ESC – Educação, Sociedade & Culturas | Call for papers
Transatlantic Mobility in the New Geopolitics of Knowledge: (Inter)Dependencies in Higher Education Brazil/Portugal
Extended abstracts (of up to 700 words, excluding references) due on May 31, 2024
Guest Editors
Professor Marcelo Parreira do Amaral, University of Münster, Germany
Professor Wivian Weller, University of Brasília, Brazil
Professor Tiago Neves, University of Porto, Portugal
--> see more on: https://ojs.up.pt/index.php/esc-ciie/announcement/view/34
Hello, tech community!
We're preparing an upcoming book that examines the strategies of leading tech companies. "Strategic Insights into Tech Giants" promises to be a must-read for anyone interested in understanding how these companies navigate innovation, geopolitical risks, and ethical standards on the global stage.
What can you expect from this book? A blend of case studies, insights, and expert analysis that will shed light on:
- The innovative strategies behind success.
- Competitive edge in e-commerce and cloud computing.
- The geopolitical challenges and supply chain resilience.
- The importance of ethical standards in forming global partnerships.
We'd love to hear your thoughts! What questions do you have about the global impact of tech companies? Share your insights and join the discussion.
Stay tuned for more updates on this compelling read!
Me encuentro realizando una investigación sobre La Historia del Comercio Internacional de Colombia, En el Primer capítulo me encuentro abordando los imperios Latinoamericanos precoloniales como el Azteca, Inca y Maya; busco información relacionada en temas Geopolíticos, Económicos y similares de Latinoamerica Precolonial.

Me encuentro realizando una investigación sobre La Historia del Comercio Internacional Colombiano, Estoy analizando las dinamicas precoloniales de los imperios latinoamericanos; Aztecas, Incas y Mayas, busco info sobre Geopolítica, Comercio, Economía y similares.

Based on current global issues, the main threats at the international level can be summarized as follows:
1. Particularly, global pandemics can pose serious health threats on an international scale and impact the entire world.
2. Effects of climate change, such as rising temperatures, extreme weather events, and sea-level rise, may be significant threats affecting global security and the economy.
3. Cyber attacks can threaten the security of states, organizations, and individuals on an international scale. Cyber espionage and cybercrime are among significant risks.
4. International terrorist organizations can threaten global stability by organizing violent actions for ideological or political reasons.
5. The proliferation of nuclear weapons can significantly impact international security and lead to regional conflicts.
6. International economic instability can strain relationships between countries and affect the balance of global trade.
Geopolitical factors influence intelligence operations to address these threats. For instance, geographical locations, access to energy resources, geopolitical conflicts, and international relations can be effective in determining the priorities and strategies of intelligence agencies. Understanding the changing dynamics in international relations is crucial in shaping the processes of intelligence collection and analysis.
To WW3 or Not To WW3, That is The Question!... to Ask Scholars, in light of the devastating Wars currently shaking the World and threatening its Security. What Work of Pedagogy, Explanation, Teaching, and Analysis the Scholars of the World must undertake, to generate Peaceful Narratives likely to promote the Defusing of Current or Potential Conflicts in all Areas under tension. Twelve Paramount Red Spots have been inventoried [1]: (i) Europe vs. Russia (C1); (ii ) China vs. Taiwan (C2); (iii) South Korea vs. North Korea (C3); (iv) Pakistan vs. India (C4); (v) Japan vs. China (C5); (vi) Japan vs. North Korea (C6); (vii) Greece vs. Turkey (C7); (viii) Israel vs. Middle East (C8); (ix) U.S. vs. China (C9); (x) U.S. vs. Russia (C10); (xi) U.S. vs. Russia Allies in Latin America (Cuba, Nicaragua, and Venezuela) (C11); (xii) U.S. vs. Iran (C12). What are the Historical Facts that support these Conflicts? The Ins and Outs that drive them? the Global Security Issues they Involve? Possible and Impossible Solutions to Imagine? What Conciliation Steps should be put in place to Avoid Possible Escalations and Encourage Their Defusing? This Discussion, intended to be Academic, aims to Stimulate Reflections, Analyses, and Opinions, to constitute a Platform for Exchange between Scholars likely to bring about Prospects for Peace in the World.
[1] Ruiz Estrada & Mario Arturo, 2022 "Welcome to the World War 3 (WWIII), Available at SSRN
Preprint WELCOME TO THE WORLD WAR 3 (WWIII)
Illustration from: Explore Ww3. DeviantArt Galery on: https://www.deviantart.com/tag/ww3

Geopolitical determinants are an important factor of escalation.
But wars also arise from a struggle of dominance of one's way of life i.e. social organization and norms.
Ukraine vs Russia war has an element of progressive/EU values vs conservative ones. Russia considers the rights of LGBt /gays a mental decease, while science accepts the right to associate with traits that society typically associates with one orr the other sex.
This I consider a main issue on the arena of norms which can be a catalyst for escalation although it might not be the main one but I eleborated for references.
🌍🔍 Explore the Ripple Effect of Climate Change on World Affairs 🔍🌍
1. How will climate change impact global alliances?
2. Are resource wars on the horizon? Discuss the geopolitical tensions arising from the changing distribution of vital resources.
3. What's the link between climate-induced shifts and global migration patterns?
4. Can AI ease or heighten geopolitical tensions amidst climate challenges?
🌐 Calling All Minds!
Whether you're a climate scientist, geopolitics enthusiast, or AI expert, your voice matters! Let's unravel the complexities and brainstorm innovative solutions.

I am just GUESSING, NOT ADVOCATING
I have avoid addressing this topic for the obvious reasons that it´s highly sensitive and explosive. But having written about One Country, Two Systems 30 years ago...
what I would say should be treated as simply a time capsule for thinking about this mega-issue 30 years (i.e. 2053, when One Country, Two Systems have already expired in HK) from now...
Since there´s so much at stake for EVERY SIDES, my own perspectiveS are highly tinged by being IndoChinese (where Former South Vietnam does not exist within the Communists´conquest of US Imperialism), plus a decade in HK (1994 to 2003), and now having lived in Germany for many years (where Former Eastern Germany exists within the Triumph of the West).
I have tried to address an inter-related issue here obliquely in a way that confounds ResearchGate´s algorithms and other search engines. This entry is purely for HUMAN EYES:
My own SPECulation is buried here:
Mirror Mirror on the Wall, What Would It Take for China to Take Back Taiwan?
- The PRC would need to go beyond it´s CCP versus KMT Origin Story based on THE LONG MARCH.
- The TAIWAN QUESTION requires a Meta-Narrative that goes beyond the conquest of the PRC over the ROC.
- The TAIWAN QUESTION is really a residue from the COLD WAR, much in the same way that Germany, Vietnam, and Korea were/ are broken into two systems.
- Such a New Meta-Narrative would need to start with Zhou En Lai...
- But better yet, is to overcome the REVULSION/ SELF-HATRED for anything imperial and revisit the narrative(s) of the Middle Kingdom...
What are the REPUBLIC NARRATIVES, be that THE PEOPLE´s REPUBLIC or REPUBLIC of CHINA?
The concept of a "republic" generally refers to a form of government in which the country is considered a "public matter," and political power is derived from the people or their elected representatives. In the context of ancient China, the term "republic" may not be the most accurate descriptor, as the political structures of ancient China were more diverse and often centered around monarchies, dynasties, and imperial rule.
However, if we broaden the scope to include later periods in Chinese history, particularly the 20th century, the idea of a republic becomes more relevant. The Republic of China (ROC) was established in 1912, following the overthrow of the Qing Dynasty and the end of imperial rule. The ROC marked a transition from dynastic monarchy to a more republican form of government. Sun Yat-sen, a key figure in the Xinhai Revolution, played a significant role in advocating for the establishment of a republic in China.
The meta-narrative of the Chinese Republic, particularly during its early years, could include:
- Nationalism: The overthrow of the Qing Dynasty and the establishment of the Republic of China were driven by a strong sense of nationalism. There was a desire to modernize and strengthen the country to counter external threats and regain its standing in the world.
- Modernization: The early leaders of the Republic of China, particularly Sun Yat-sen, sought to modernize the country. This included political, economic, and social reforms to bring China in line with Western powers and other modern nations.
- Struggles for Stability: The early decades of the 20th century in China were marked by internal strife, regional conflicts, and power struggles among different factions. The meta-narrative might involve the challenges of establishing a stable and unified government in the face of internal and external pressures.
- Ideological Shifts: The Republic of China witnessed ideological shifts, including the influence of different political ideologies such as nationalism, democracy, and socialism. These ideological dynamics contributed to the political landscape and struggles for governance.
It's important to note that the history of the Republic of China is complex and includes periods of war, foreign invasions, and internal conflicts, leading eventually to the establishment of the People's Republic of China in 1949. The narrative of the Chinese Republic is multifaceted and reflects the challenges and aspirations of a nation in transition from traditional to modern forms of governance.
What are the IMPERIAL NARRATIVES of the MIDDLE KINGDOM?
The term "Middle Kingdom" is often used to refer to ancient China, specifically during the period of the Zhou Dynasty (1046–256 BCE). However, it's crucial to note that the concept of a "meta-narrative" is a modern analytical framework, and applying it to ancient cultures requires some abstraction.
In the context of ancient China, the idea of a meta-narrative could be approached through the lens of historical and philosophical texts, such as the "Mandate of Heaven." The Mandate of Heaven was a political and religious concept used to legitimize the rule of the kings or emperors in ancient China. According to this idea, a ruler was granted the right to rule by divine approval, but this mandate could be withdrawn if the ruler failed to govern justly and in the best interests of the people.
Confucianism, Daoism, and Legalism are three major philosophical traditions that shaped the meta-narrative of ancient China:
- Confucianism: Emphasizing social harmony, ethical conduct, and filial piety, Confucianism had a profound impact on the political and social structure of ancient China. The meta-narrative here would involve the pursuit of a just and harmonious society through proper governance and moral behavior.
- Daoism (Taoism): Daoism, with its emphasis on the natural order (Dao) and the concept of Wu Wei (non-action), offered an alternative perspective. The meta-narrative could involve living in harmony with the Dao, advocating a more laissez-faire approach to governance and life.
- Legalism: Legalism, on the other hand, focused on strict laws and centralized control to maintain social order. The meta-narrative might revolve around the need for a strong, authoritarian government to prevent chaos and ensure stability.
The meta-narrative of the Middle Kingdom, therefore, could be seen as a complex interplay between these philosophical traditions, the dynamic relationship between rulers and the divine, and the ongoing quest for a balanced and just society.
It's important to approach these concepts with an understanding of the nuances and diversity of thought within ancient Chinese philosophy and not oversimplify the rich tapestry of ideas present in the historical and philosophical texts of the time.
What are MY LINEAGES/ ALLIGANCES?
I AM BOTH MICHAEL HALLIDAY & PIERRE RYCKMANS
Sydney University was their battle ground in terms of how Chinese should be taught. Halliday decamped to Macquarie University but his disciplines REMAINED in Sydney University.
What did Pierre Ryckmans think of June Fourth? Banal. I thought he was callous at the time. But now, I realised he was expressing a world weariness.
I now regret I didnot interview Michael Halliday on the matter.

According to the following points, describe your opinion:
- Economic Impact: Productivity
- Social Impact: Healthcare
- Ethical and Moral Considerations
- Legal and Governance Issues: Regulation
- Technological Advancements: Innovation
- Cybersecurity
- Environmental Impact: Sustainability
- Cultural and Creative Fields
- Global Dynamics: Geopolitics
- Digital Divide
This is a methodological discussion on Lithium, which I pose in form of three open questions:
1) Who to trust when it comes to lithium reserves? Usually It is assumed that there are still no International certification processes but rather evaluations by some National Geological Agencies. Considering that we could be talking about a real sensitive issue, is it possible to imagine other reliable sources?
2) How to determine, rigorously, the commercial value of lithium and its evolution over time? Some apps and/or specialized webs calculate the price of lithium carbonate, even in a clic, although it is difficult to determine where there is exactly negotiated. Are there reliable alternatives?
3) How to calculate, prospectively, the strategic value of lithium? I'm afraid that some forward-looking calculations are excessively linear. Considering the uncertain environment,, is itn't possible to think in a some kind of a correction factor?
I have some ideas but I would like to hear your qualified voices
Thank you very much
Why Read War and Peace? explained in: https://tableau.uchicago.edu/articles/2013/04/why-read-war-and-peace "...Tolstoy himself explained: “It is not a novel, still less an epic poem, still less a historical chronicle. War and Peace is what the author wanted and was able to express, in the form in which it is expressed.” Readers will be surprised by the book's modern devices: stream of consciousness, cinematic point of view, shifting narrative voices. The great twentieth-century Russian author Isaac Babel said that when he read Tolstoy, he felt as if the world was writing itself...".
War & Peace is available in PDF on: https://www.academia.edu/download/46302346/War_and_Peace.pdf
And in audio on:
See also the movie on YouTube: https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=2ahUKEwjOiebQ0KSAAxXxSvEDHQRkCTYQtwJ6BAhdEAI&url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.youtube.com%2Fwatch%3Fv%3DbIij-KQ0jYU&usg=AOvVaw1I5fnXI-6KDwl8AfgytUTd&opi=89978449
And if we discussed? "War & Peace" in a debate, which to be enriching for all, must be totally dispassionate and fundamentally responsible.
Illustration: "Costume designer Edward Gibbon said he tried to capture the “essence and feelings” of Leo Tolstoy’s “War and Peace” when creating the wardrobe for the BBC TV drama, which is airing in the U.S. Like the book, Andrew Davies’ adaptation of Tolstoy’s masterpiece unfurls in Russia during Napoleon’s 1812 invasion and focuses on five aristocratic families and all the drama that the Napoleonic Wars drum into their lives.."
Read more and see the Gallery on:

What are the bad aspects of geopolitics in international relations? Is it strengthening the spectra of globalization? Or blowing up national borders? Or expanding the concept of nationalism?
Is the geopolitical theorizing of power in international relations in development or is it in stagnation? Especially what is happening in the international arena and the new variables in global politics such as artificial intelligence?
Does the Chinese geopolitical ring seek to tighten soft control over Africa? What are the most important pillars? Is it the Silk Road? Or is it the multipolar economic diplomacy?
The Indo-Pacific is one of the modern concepts circulating in strategic and geopolitical studies, and it reflects important developments in contemporary geostrategic interactions in international relations.
China's rise to ‘great-power status’ in the 21st century, together with the growing
influence of the EU as a ‘normative power’2 has ushered in a period of significant geopolitical reorientations of the Central Asian states and of major external players. Specifically, over the past decade, the emergence of the Shanghai Co-operation Organization (SCO) appears to have relatively altered the existing ‘balance of power’ in the CA region. By inventing the SCO— an inter-governmental security cooperation organization China has markedly increased its presence throughout the region politically, culturally, economically and militarily.At the beginning of the 21st century, however, the EU’s foreign policy toward the CA states underwent radical changes. On the basis of empirical observation, it can be argued that the events of 9/11 accompanied by the rise in ‘global discourse on terrorism’ made EU policy makers more aware of the rising political profile and strategic importance of the CA countries and encouraged them to carve out a differentiated, meaningful and value-oriented strategy vis-à-vis the region. How do the EU's norms differ from the ones promulgated by the Chinese and Russians within the SCO club?
What are the scenarios of the Russian-Ukrainian war and its repercussions on the patterns of geopolitical power relations?
Not so long ago, the impact of the pandemic on scientific research was widely discussed in the scientific society. Currently, the Russian-Ukrainian war also has a significant impact on the activities of scientists around the world. Please share to what extent this event affected your research.
According to Risk.net (a Risk magazine that provides news and analysis covering the financial industry, with a particular focus on risk management, derivatives and complex finance), the Top 10 Operational Risk for 2022 are: IT disruption, Theft and fraud, Talent risk, Geopolitical risk, Information security, Resilience risk, Third-party risk, Conduct risk, Climate risk, Regulatory risk. In my opinion, the key risks today are geopolitical risk, cyber risk and climate risk. Do you think that these key risks will be as crucial in the world of tomorrow?
Recently, my proposal "Enclave Dolarization: the case of the Triple Frontier of Paraná" was selected to participate in the project "Dollarizations in a global world: Socio-Anthropological Perspectives", promoted by the Latin American Council of Social Sciences (CLACSO) -> https://www.linkedin.com/posts/juan-agullo_dollarization-clacso-latinamerica-activity-6899724464477859840-9_ur
My hypothesis is that there are some "Enclave Dollarizations" that coexist with the most obvious "National Dollarizations" (Panama, Ecuador or, de facto, in Venezuela). These dollarizations usually take place in "exception" territories (such as free trade zones, tourist areas or borders, among others).
I'm working on a Tri-Border Area and I'm confronted with the classic methodological issues: absence of data; different statistical criteria (depending on the countries); lack of officials who speak openly about the question (dollarization, i.e., is related to smuggling; tax evasion, etc...).
I'm receptive to any methodological suggestion related with approaches, strategies and tools.
Thank you very much
I would like to get some research works and knowledge on the strategies of geopolitics and capacity resources management.
How India will respond to potential violent reactions at home, and manage regional diplomatic fallout. What can be the future and results of this decision in context of South Asian regional cooperation. Can we say that, in coming year, the move would see the Kashmirization of South Asia regional cooperation.
The Duke and Duchess of Sussex announced their plans to keep their castle in England, and, in addition, to live in Canada and also to stay for part of the year in California. Further, they love Africa and they frequently make trips to Australia, New Zealand, and enjoy visiting the Orient.
There is evidence of early interaction between European types and Chinese civilisations and European types may have originated in Siberia. Any thoughts?
ttps://www.academia.edu/44985404/Climate_Change_Geopolitics_and_Human_Settlements_in_the_Hexi_Corridor_over_the_last_5_000_Years
This is a theoretical question that endeavors to address contemporary issues. My frame of reference is that world peace is the ideal. In conflict situations, what form of geopolitical combat might be the best or the most effective pathway to peace and national and international security?
In the scenario of changing climate, increasing population, Post COVID scenario, Geopolitical conflicts, it's the time for all the stake holders especially farmers to meet, discuss, plan and revisit the existing strategies related to the future of agricultural practices and plantation drives. Climate Smart Plantation could be one of the best solution to all the above mentioned and other challenges.
Ethiopia spent over $4.8 Billion over the last 9 years for the construction of the GERD with 6,000 Meggawatts of hydroelectric power.
If the global average price of electricity is about $0.20 per meggawatthours, how long is it going to take Ethiopia to get the $4.8 billion return? (hint: there are 8760 hours in one year). Is projects like GERD a viable and promising investiment? How?
I really need a detailed analysis by professionals in the area. Thanks!
At fiften minutes past eight in the morning, on August 6, 1945, Japanese time, an atomic bomb was detonated above Hiroshima. Most of the city was destroyed, and by the end of that year 90,000–166,000 inhabitants had died as a result of the blast and its short-term effects. Epidemiological studies have documented increased disease burdens for malignant conditions among survivors including those exposed in utero, as well as risks for some noncancer diseases The psychosocial effects and consequences are less well studied, but remain substantial to this day. August 6, 2020 will be an opportunity for global remembrance of this human catastrophe.
DISCUSSION TOPIC: What as human beings and as scientists have we learned?
I understand:
- Probs of '(Seriese2-Serise3)/Serise3', 'Serise4', and C are significant enough since they are less than 5%.
- R-squared and Adjusted r square are good enough for my model in predicting 'Serise1': about 89% of 'Serise1' can be predicted.
But I'm not sure:
- Why 'Sum squared resid' is differ from 'Sum squared resid', and how should I interpret this?
- What exactly 'Log-likelihood' means, and if it is ok for 'Log-likelihood' to be this small (-130).
- Is it ok for F-statistics to be so high, even though Prob(F-statistic) is 0.000005?
In general, I'm not certain of my model... Maybe because I'm not that familiar with econometrics but international relations. I tried to express one of the opinions from international relation into econometrics with a simple regression model. I would be really grateful if I can get some help.

I worked in the procurement profession for > 10 years. Recently I have read nearly 1/2 dozen trade articles which described of cancelled thousands fashion/textile orders. Is this caused by geopolitics events, healthcare activities and/or potential recession? I am interested in global opinions.
I need literature (monographs, articles, strategic documents, etc), rather basic, to receive understanding about geopolitical developments in Latin America.
I need literature (monographs, articles, strategic documents, etc), rather basic, to receive understanding about geopolitical developments in Africa.
From a recent world-wide study, that I was part of, that was the conclusion, putting it perhaps too bluntly. It was fascinating to be part of this expert commission but now the question is: what is to be done?
As a student, I have always read that the probability of getting a job in the oil industry is related to its value in the international market. Please enlighten me with some political reasons associated with unstabilized, always changing oil prices which reaches $ 147 sometimes and sometimes only $30.
It is said that fossil fuels, particularly oil & gas, comsuption is the main cause of carbon dioxide production that leads to global warming in the last 40 years or so....
If these fuels were not blamed, could any research on cleaner (greener) energies had been easily justified, being so costly? Does anyone have the idea of how much just exponential population increase impacts global temperature? It is clear that the northern hemisphere is the more affected one by this actual temperature increase. Should we start thinking of controlling expansion of human beings on Earth for the sake of the planet (pollution & contamination reduction) and our own survival? Just out loud thinking!!!!
The clouds are gathering - news from the global stock markets, gyration of oil prices, several hot spots in global geopolitical tensions autarky/rising nationalism, worsening climate change and the the trade wars, particularly between the US and China, among others - and these don't potend good news for the global economy. Are we headed to a recesion? If yes, when do we expect this and what are the survival options?
I am studying the impact of Geopolitical risk (independent variable) on WTI crude oil prices (dependent variable) over the monthly period 1985-2019. Since, i am studying how much GPR causes oil prices changes, i was wondering what kind of statistical test or method can I deploy to study whether the relationship between the two is deteriorating or not.
So, I'd like to find out whether the impact of GPR on oil prices is stronger in the period 2000-2019 compared to 1985-2000. or even small time periods.
The British periodical "Truth" published in its 1890 Christmas edition a cartoon entitled "The Kaiser's Dream" [1]. In the cartoon, the Kaiser imagines a transformed Europe. Most of the nations which in 1890 were led by crowned heads had been replaced by republics. Some republics lay within familiar borders (e.g. "British Republic"). Others were fragmented (e.g. the "German Republics"). But Russia had been transformed into a "desert" ("Russian Desert"). Was the 1917 Russian Revolution the first stage in the roll-out of a long-planned Western regime-change project? If so, was the project's aim to use communism as a means of impeding Russian industrialization?
More proximate is the circumstance that in April 1917 Germany facilitated the transit across Germany in a sealed railway carriage of Lenin and other Bolsheviks. From Germany's wartime perspective, they were enemy aliens. Upon Lenin's arrival in Petrograd, he called for Russia's immediate withdrawal from the war. Russian withdrawal would have the strategic effect of enabling Germany to concentrate its efforts on the Western Front. The related Treaty of Brest-Litovsk followed in March 1918. By its terms, Russia not only withdrew from the war but also ceded industrialized regions to Germany. Was Lenin a German agent?
It is arguable that the Britain and France fomented the First World War with the intention of using Germany as a sword with which to strike at Russia, their nominal ally in the Triple Entente. Did Germany, having been lured into war, then opportunistically exploit the Bolsheviks as a means of closing the onerous Eastern Front?
Thanks in advance for shedding light on these and related matters.
How Geopolitics of Indian Ocean Region is affected by growing Indian Navy and her presence at strategic located Duqm Port, increasing activity of China in IOR and CPEC at Gwadar. How this all going to shape the region and going to affect role of Pakistan Navy.
Preprint About China and OBOR
China's economic and technological growth has made it a global power with geopolitical impact across Eurasia. The country borders on 14 states and has a direct maritime border with three others (Japan, Philippines, South Korea and Taiwan - not recognized as an independent state).
In this sense, the Belt and Road Initiative is not only a plan for building infrastructure but a broad vision for the future of Eurasia integration. This strategic vision comprises geo-economic elements and is based on geopolitical factors. The ability to move forward with the values and ideals that surround the initiative will be essential for its consolidation.
Lately many countries across the world is shifting towards protectionism where they are extensively controlling free trade, commerce and immigrations. Climate change on the other hand globally has been driving force from Syria's armed conflict (To read more go to: https://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2015/03/150302-syria-war-climate-change-drought/) to all the way Cape Town's Day Zero. Climate change laid the path to syrian conflict thereby changing the geopolitical landscape of European countries where countries like UK went through Brexit, Sweden is on verge of deciding to be part of EU.
There is some kind of faint correlation (hypothesis) that climate change is driving the geopolitical situations of many countries towards protectionism. And many countries are voting for protectionist ideologies because they know resources would be one of the key survival element for their country. Since climate change is going to get severe as per recent IPCC's report countries shift towards protectionism is largely because of the future prediction of global temperatures which can bring droughts, failed crops and many other extensive issues. Is there anyway this hypothesis holds true? Has anyone come across any paper or report that talks about this kind of situations or in similar lines? Please share if you know about it. The question is a hypothesis which I would really like to explore in details. Thanks for responding.
Keywords: Climate Change, Politics & International Relation, Protectionism, Geopolitics
In geopolitics and international trade policies, developing nations are treated as if they were just a trivial appendage. Yet, the rest of the world is inseparably interconnected with them. The surviving WWII veterans still living across Africa, for example, are evidence of the extent to which global events can affect developing nations. The recent recession also provides another reminder.
- What are the implications of the US-China, US-EU trade wars for developing economies?
- Which proactive measures should governments in developing economies take before any nasty awakening?
Intra-African trade, BRICS power...anyone? Your thoughts are more than welcome.
I am interested in geopolitical aspects of the First and Second World Wars, particularly in the Anglo-Saxon attempts to re-create these conflicts as Russo-German wars.
These are in my view very interesting and relevant questions recently posed by Claudio Minca in a recent special issue of Geographische Zeitschrift. (see also Jöns 2018)
Minca, C. (2018) The cosmopolitan geographer’s dilemma. Geographische Zeitschrift, 106, 4-15,
Jöns, H. (2018). The international transfer of human geographical knowledge in the context of shifting academic hegemonies. Geographische Zeitschrift, 106, 27-37
see attachments
To illustrate his main point, here one quote from his paper (Minca 2018, p. 10)
“is there anything specifically Italian/German/Austrian in the work of Italian/German/Austrian geographers that enjoys a demonstrable readership? When an international debate, say, on climate change or Middle East geopolitics is already largely available on the web and represents a site where major work and perspectives are discussed globally, is there anything specific that German or Italian or Austrian geography has to say about that topic? These questions are even more important when theory is concerned: how do you manage, produce, and circulate theory coming from non-Anglophone universities? For example, is geographical theory produced in Germany, Italy, or Austria adopted elsewhere? Is its specificity suitable to contribute, from a German/ Italian/Austrian perspective, to international debates? How? And if not, why?“
In Central Asia region some countries had joined to Euroasia custon union but others still weiting for finding best ways of integration. For example Uzbekistan postponed its joining to Euroasia custom union taking into count Geopolitical situation in the region.
I am doing my doctoral research in business and management and was wondering to ask if you have any suggested readings that covers the research methods in geopolitics in specific . Many thanks
I am a student of Manipal University, India and currently pursuing my Masters in Geopolitics and International Relations. I am in my last semester and have to submit a dissertation. My topic for dissertation is "Advances in ICT and the likely nature of warfare." Since you are an expert in the field of cybersecurity, could you answer few of my Questions, which I can use for my dissertation, with your due permission.
PFA the Research Proposal that has been approved by the university and the submission deadline is 10 March 2018
Other Questions
- Is the nature of warfare changing? If yes, then do you attribute this change to advances in ICT technology or are there other factors? Or you consider it as a cyclic process i.e. The form of warfare is ever changing even traditionally nation-states tend to gain superiority against their adversaries by innovating new means to deter and in the process are changing the ways wars were fought?
- Can we build a safer world?
- What are the emerging and future technologies that we will have to worry the most about from a security perspective?
- How should an organization think about cyber defense? What are the limits of a ‘perimeter-oriented’ security posture?
Third party access concerns users of energy infrastructure. It is established under european guidelines in order to enhance competition and energy security in Europe.
Its clear for everyone that follows the ascension of BRICS, that South Africa has joined to sum. On the other hand, the characteristics that were present in other economies that convinced Jim O`Neill to present the initial acronym are not in SA. Strategically seems to be good. Geopolitically, geographically and the technical cooperation seems to be promising. So, is SA another BRIC or in fact, the mortar? Or it has another role not clearly understood?
I would like to work on a research paper related to the benefits of Regional Power Integration in the Eastern Africa Region, this might include the Geopolitics, the social aspect etc of 8 to 10 countries. Any idea? Anyone who can support me with ideas? how to go about it? or any related idea?
Thanks.
the Feminization of Migration Which is the recent tendency of Mexican Migration to the United States?
Puerto Rico's GDP growth rate has been negative or stagnant since 2006, a recession that will continue in the near future. Does anyone know of any country or state with a recorded recession of more than 11 years?
the term micro finds mention wrt to border problems in Central Asian States.
Since the first world war, Russia, or USSR, and most recently The Russian federation appears to be a region that certainly presents unique features in terms of conflict, tension, resources, hegemony and ideology. Recent events with the Ukraine testify to a specific political agenda that aims to build a barrier that distinguishes the region with clear demarcation lines from Westernn Europe.Little is known about the geopolitical schools of thought of the region, especially with geopolitics more and more taught in Business schools and other university courses. Are there any reasons in your opinion why this is so?
I am looking for long-term time series on intra-EEC/intra-EU trade. I want to see how trade within the common market has developed since the 1950s and how the share of intra-community trade on total EEC/EU trade has evolved.
EUROSTAT only provides recent data (EU15 since 1990, EU28 since 2002, other small variations) and with a fixed EEC/EU composition. The WTO, in turn, provides longer time series (total trade since the 1940s, intra-EEC/EU trade since the 1980s), but still with a fixed EEC/EU composition. Do you know of any source which allows to quantify the evolution of trade within the European common market (evolving composition of the EEC/EU, current prices, euro or dollars, exports & imports of goods or current account)?
Thanks a lot for your assistance.
Best regards,
Dr Paolo Chiocchetti
Research Associate, University of Luxembourg
I am looking for info on turkish labor camps for jews and other minorities during world war two.
Is there any evidence for construction of extermination facilities (that weren't used) i.e gas chambers and/or crematoria by Turkey during 1941-1943 for the possibility of german victory against the USSR?
I am interested in studying narratives from Latin America (esp. Mexico) focusing on topics such as money, precarity, debt, esp. from the years from the external debt crisis to present. I am very familiar with recent literature and film from Spain, but not so much from Latin America. I know novels such as Piglia’s Plata quemada, Gumucio’s La deuda, Ortuño’s Recursos Humanos and films such as Amores perros, El baño del Papa, 7 cajas, La deuda (Oliver's Deal)...
Positive and negative impacts of colonialism in Africa.
Liberation movement in Africa
I am working on an empirical analysis of the post-cold war international order from a multidimensional perspective, and I would like to capture the possible evolution of the "global system" and how countries fit into it. Some proxies would be i.e. Military expenditure, CO2 emissions, global inequality.
Introduction.
A. The Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) will “provide financing to any entity or enterprise operating in the territory of a AIIB’s member, as well as to international or regional agencies or entities concerned with economic development of the Asia region.”
The AIIB’s strategic goals are:
1. sustainable infrastructure development
2. cross country connectivity
3. catalyzing private finance .
B. “One Belt – One Road” (OBOR) Project is within frames of the AIIB’s mission. Therefore the investments outside Asia could also be financed by AIIB, especially railway tracks, logistic centres alongside the OBOR’s paths, general cross-continental road infrastructure.
C. I take as assumption necessity of cooperation between EU and South-East Asia region in long-term perspective (increasing PPP, number of inhabitants, regional advanced technology investments, alternative in market diversification strategy, FDI opportunities as a base for TNC expansion).
D. This is a fact that Chinese FDI placed in EU are focused on:
1. exploration of various industries know-how
2. advantages of access to the European resources within domestic market (EU market)
3. and advantages of gained specialization within a value chain.
Questions:
1. Do European companies perceive OBOR as opportunity for their development? If yes, in what categories:
a/ expansion through FDI’s,
b/ participation in foreign investment projects?
2. Where geographically could they expend? Which sectors are preferred?
3. Do the strategies of companies development very between various EU countries? Different expectations of advanced technologies countries and those where lower labour cost factor is their main competitive advantage?
4. How GDP structure impacts on interests in the OBOR development within EU? Are export orientated countries (e.g. produced in Germany goods and exported, have a significant share in German GDP) more interested in cross-country connectivity improvements, than countries utilizing this paths mainly for import?
5. Does the train road change a lot in the course of maritime cargo well-being? Could one notice other determinants refocusing the transportation means towards inland areas?
6. And finally, are the AIIB’s funds expected by EU countries as co-financial means of such infrastructure projects on the territory of EU (Poland, Slovakia, Hungry, Czech Republic, Austria, Germany or even further towards West)?
Kind regards,
Karol
I am doing a project on "geopolitical impact on international trade between SAARC countries" , so I need some model by which I can measure the relationship between these countries.
Hi everyone, I'm going to graduate in one month. Among three topics, I chose the one about "Sovereignty and regionalisms". Could you please advise me on papers, books, articles about this topic? Thank you very much.
What is the influence of geopolitical crisis' on tourism of the country, on tourism of neighboard countries and on international tourism in general.
The impact of mastery of the seas and establish military bases on national security .
National security threats and vulnerabilities in countries that have maritime border.
Presencing, taken by Heidegger relate to the very act of happening, pulsating of the world, above and beyond human subjectivity. How could we deal with this issue of subjectivity in migration and temporary mobility?
Any application or existing publication or any research/idea you aware of ?
I am currently researching for a university project which could potentially turn into my dissertation, the title of the essay is:
Horsepower: Impact of motorised transport on military logistics
You are required to produce an essay that identifies and evaluates the employment of motorised transport in support of military logistics. You can draw examples from any military campaign or war between 1861 AD and 2014 AD.
Motorised transport is defined as any means of transport that propelled by an engine.
For this i am specifically looking into the withdrawal of the military from Afghanistan and how the use of the the Internal combustion engine has effected this, (this includes the use of rail, road, air and maritime logistics).
Any information would be much appreciated,
Many Thanks
I am interested in the role the US government and the US O&G industry played during the 1970s in Norway. Can anyone recommend literature on this subject? Thank you.
Historians and political scientists have often talked about great powers without ever really defining them. Waltz (1979) believes that the question is "an empirical one, and common sense can answer it" (131). But is it common sense? Is Russia today a great power? Is India?
Other scholars claim that great power status can be determined by consensus. But, is there such consensus today? Can we rely on the observation of Organski and Kugler that elite nations "are few enough to stand out clearly from the rest of the members of the international system" (1980, 42)?
Similarly, how does the concept relate to the definition of power itself, and if there is a threshold, where should it be?
Such problems make it difficult to talk about great powers, yet the term is omnipresent in literature. Is this a problem?
Most fragility indices measures state weakness based on domestic factors. But states in international system do not operate in isolation. Powerful global factors are at play that often affects state's performance. Global factors like terms of trade, colonialism, legacy of cold war, geopolitics are often cited or discussed. But is there any quantitative research that account for the global factors on state performance? Is there any possible data source for measuring such global factors on states?
I am intresting what is the current trend in the media which report it (especially iranian media), and how you see it. Is it possible to estimate how the failure of talks in november 2014 affected in the iranian public perception of this topic.
In general, can the increased natural gas usage along with implementation of advanced technology for gas production slow the growth of greenhouse gas emissions by 2050?
Can natural gas be considered as an effective alternative to mitigate climate change?
The following factors had a strong influence on development of the competitive natural gas market: economic crisis an recession, Russia-Ukraine gas crises in 2008/2009 and 2014... as well as tight connection between oil and natural gas markets in determining natural gas prices.
Previous low prices and possibility of natural gas supply from the abundant sources located relatively close to the consumption area are no longer available. Due to more difficult conditions in force during the last years, the security of natural gas supply has become the central issue of the energy politics ...
At this point due to the problems in EU gas supplies (developments between Russia and Ukraine) and the fact that these developments enhance the orientation of EU countries on the increasing security of supply LNG again becomes one of the important factors. Specifically, three gas market (the EU market, North American and Far East) have totally different gas prices. For example, USA gas consumers pay about 25-30% of the EU price and the Far East pay about 9 times higher price than USA customers. American gas exports, after export terminals in the United States become operational, as well as after loosening export controls oil and gas from the time of "oil shock" in 1971), for which the price competitiveness of LNG, to me it would depend on the source of supply and changes in the global oil market and the three regional markets natural gas under the influence of new players in the market LNG. American LNG will be competitive to current suppliers to the EU, Australia have a cost advantage in the markets of the Far East, India, Japan. Some market analysis show that importing LNG from the USA could have a beneficial effect for importing countries in EU and Asia. At the moment, Europe is buying the USA LNG on the old continent's spot markets, where the prices are hovering now in the range of 320-340 USD per 1000 m3 of liquefied natural gas, and the price past summer was even lower, around 240-270 USD.
Eurasian Economic Community (EurAsEC) is a relatively new entity that appeared in the post-Soviet region, which tries to join the neighboring countries into a strong and structured union. But what are its economic prospects and how are the newly established geostrategic conditions going to affect the balances of the region?
Do you consider geopolitics as a part or related field of political geography, or perhaps a doctrine instead of scientific discipline?
I make research on the powers that control the international system, so I have some
data as to indicators of great forces such as military expenditure, GDP and number of films as indicators of cultural force.
The fifth summit of the BRICS, held in Durban last month, might go down in history as the birthplace of a multipolar world order in place of US “imperfect unipolarism.” In an interview to the ITAR-TASS news agency ahead of the summit, Russian President Vladimir Putin had already described the group as “a key element of the emerging multipolar world,” explaining that its members “advocate the creation of a more balanced and just system of global economic relations.” Although the decision to establish a BRICS-led development bank was certainly the brightest outcome of the summit, its main political note was the rise of Sinorussia as a new regional bloc decided to challenge the global status quo.
Beijing and Moscow are by far the geopolitically strongest powers of the club’s five members. With a combined population of almost one billion and half people over an area of 26,805,203 km2, equal to roughly 18% of the world’s land area, the People’s Republic of China and the Russian Federation form together a formidable regional actor capable of dominating Eurasia and projecting its influence over the entire globe. Hence the interest in improving bilateral relations already expressed before Durban by both Putin and his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping, during this latter’s visit to Moscow as new head of state of the Asian giant. ...