Foresight - Science topic

Okay, that information wasn't in the original post. And I have a few posts about pirated journals, scientific misconduct, and even impersonation in RG. The post about pirated journals (on my profile) is from a journal that was in Clarivate and Scopus; I worked with both of them and they ended up being retired.

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De acuerdo, esa información no estaba en el post original. Y tengo un algunas publicaciones sobre revistas pirata, mala conducta científica e incluso suplantaciones de identidad en RG. La publicación sobre revistas pirata (en mi perfil) es de una revista que estaba en Clarivate y en Scopus; trabajo con ambas terminaron en su retiro.

What connection do you assume between project management and foresight?

From a different angle, what definition of foresight are you using? Are you aware of the definition coined by an expert group commissioned by the EU? (see: )

To search for postdoc opportunities in France, check academic job boards like Euraxess, Academic Positions, and university websites. You can also use LinkedIn and ResearchGate for networking and job listings

Natural Foresight® is a Registered Trademark coined by Frank W. Spencer IV and Yvette Montero Salvatico at the Kedge Strategic Foresight and Futures Studies consultancy now doing business as TFSX <https://tfsx.com>.

Their Natural Foresight® Framework is freely available under the Creative Commons license Attribution 4.0 International at <https://tfsx.com/nff/> where you can download a book length treatment of their model which divides foresight into four component processes:

There is a massive wealth of resources on. their website and their mailing lists is well worth subscribing to!

I would rather say that there are several schools of prospective analyses, foresight is one of those.

For a brief characterisation of the various approaches and methods of prospective analyses, as well as a more detailed introduction to foresight, see, e.g.,

and

Why are you asking your question? What is the context, in which you seek an answer?

Alwielland Q. Bello Alwielland -- Figuring out what the question really is. After that do some background work in the problem or subject.

To create innovative and future-proof solutions, it's valuable to integrate design thinking and foresight methodologies. Here's how you can effectively combine these approaches: 1. Understanding User Needs and Trends: For instance, imagine you are designing a new smartphone. Apply design thinking to conduct in-depth interviews with potential users. Understand their pain points, desires, and how they envision using the device in the future. Simultaneously, use foresight to identify emerging technology trends, such as advancements in augmented reality and artificial intelligence, to anticipate what features might be essential for users in the coming years. 2. Embrace Human-Centric Approach: Consider a scenario where you are working on a smart home project. Use design thinking to empathize with users and explore how technology can improve their daily lives. At the same time, apply foresight to anticipate changes in home automation, energy efficiency, and user behavior to ensure your design remains relevant and desirable in the future. 3. Divergent and Convergent Thinking: Suppose you are developing a transportation solution. Engage in divergent thinking through design thinking workshops to generate a wide array of transportation concepts, ranging from electric cars to autonomous drones. Then, leverage foresight to assess how global trends, such as population growth and environmental concerns, might influence the future of transportation. Converge on the ideas that align with both user needs and plausible future scenarios. 4. Scenario Planning: Let's say you are designing a sustainable packaging solution for a food company. Use foresight to create different scenarios around environmental regulations and consumer attitudes towards sustainability. Then, apply design thinking to ideate and prototype packaging designs that cater to each scenario, ensuring your solution remains adaptable to changing market dynamics. 5. Prototyping Futures: In the field of healthcare, consider designing a telemedicine platform. Create prototypes of potential future scenarios where advanced artificial intelligence plays a significant role in diagnosis and personalized treatments. Test the platform's functionality and user experience within these simulated futures, allowing stakeholders to interact with the technology and provide feedback for further improvements. 6. Iterative Approach: Suppose you are part of a team developing wearable health devices. Continuously gather feedback from users and use design thinking iterations to enhance the devices' usability and comfort. Additionally, apply foresight to stay updated on medical research and technological advancements to integrate novel features and functionalities in future versions. 7. Collaboration and Interdisciplinarity: Imagine you are part of a research initiative focused on sustainable urban planning. Collaborate with urban planners, architects, and environmental experts, employing design thinking to understand the needs and desires of future city dwellers. Concurrently, utilize foresight to explore various scenarios for population growth, resource availability, and climate change, enabling the team to develop urban designs that are resilient and adaptable to diverse future possibilities. Combining design thinking and foresight methodologies is a potent recipe for driving innovation and crafting future-proof solutions. By empathizing with users, anticipating trends, and prototyping future scenarios, designers can create impactful products and services that address present challenges while staying adaptable to emerging needs. This collaborative and human-centric approach, blending creativity with forward-looking analysis, paves the way for a more inclusive, sustainable, and promising future.

These are few good papers I believe.

There is no need to comment on the statements of a clearly schizoid individual.

Hi Miljenko,

To discuss your research interest, we have to agree that futurology in education is a wide topic (i.e., Cloud futurology, cyber security futurology, project management futurology, AI futurology and a wide range of education futurology affecting all the sectors of education). Hence, we will need to first, research the perspective of futurology in education, secondly, we will need to research which educational institutions are implementing this strategy globally, I understanding throughout your writing that the research scope of your question is worldwide, which is a challenge in itself, a narrow research scope would have been better to get more focused answers. I am posting at the bottom four excellent papers the first one is titled " Perspective of Futurology and its Implication in Education, the second one which is a PhD paper is titled" Futurology in the College Classroom". the third one is titled" “Futurology and Higher Education in the Post-COVID-19 Environment"., the fourth one titled "Futurology: A New Possibility in Education" comprising an excellent literature review. Additionally, I am posting another a link to shed the light on the core of your research interest regarding educational organizations implementing futurology the article covers six Australian universities more information is found in link 5 The Australian Technology Network of Universities(ATN). Also, I am including another a great link published by the Australian Council of Engineering Deans, titled " ENGINEERING FUTURES 2035: A scoping study" link 6, hope this helps. All the best with your research work.

Best wishes,

Sofiane

1.

2.

3. https://ejournals.bc.edu/index.php/ihe/article/view/14369

4.https://www.ijschooling.com/article_94149_577cba74474a555952c7fb0d6fa8031c.pdf

5. https://treasury.gov.au/sites/default/files/2021-05/171663_australian_technology_network_of_universities.pdf

6. https://mckellinstitute.org.au/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/McKell_Education_A4_WEB.pdf

Hello, please take a look at this research. These statistical coefficients are used for determining the conformity or reliability of experts' evaluations, and the Kendall coefficient with a value greater than or equal to 0.7 was considered as the stopping index for the procedure of the Delphi method.

Many tools, approaches, and techniques underpin foresight and futures studies and responses to this query will be a function of the case-by-case relevance of each to the five phases of a particular SMART foresight process (i.e., Scoping, Mobilizing, Anticipating, Recommending, Transforming). Not to forget, decision-making is not a monolithic enterprise and several decision-making styles exist: the options range from autocratic to unanimity-based decision making, each with its raison d'être and related pros and cons.

Corporate foresight cuts across three main lines of research: strategic management, innovation management, and futures studies. Responses to this query will depend on what application is desired.

Also check kindly the following useful link: https://www.google.com/amp/s/sloanreview.mit.edu/article/why-forecasts-fail-what-to-do-instead/amp

About one year of online learning is a disaster for this generation. I wish we would return back to face-to-face education. online learning is a disaster for poor or average income families, especially on these days of COVID-19.

Furthermore, this disaster also increases the black market of education. Look around you and count how many black offices for solving the exams and assignments are there. These offices made online learning a trading stock that resembles the slave-market.

From another perspective, the gap between rich and poor has increased dramatically by this disease (COVID-19).

Another dramatic issue, vaccines, especially for COVID, are one of the "big business". However, transforming science into business is fully incompatible with human values and, in turn, opens the blackmail doors.

Human speech does indeed urge the mind to foresight and aftersight, but only up to a point, and in my world that is not very far compared with information taken into the brain visually. The latter is the main channel for creation of memory and thought, by conversion of images in the form of stored holographic structures which are capable of being reinvoked given sufficient stimulus by later experience. Apologies for my somewhat technical approach to this interesintg statement by Elliot, but I wrote a paper in November 2019 (attached) which seems to be a little relevant to his statement. It is a bone of conetention with me how language is inadequate to convey undersanding of the way in which the minds of tohers's work in the accurate transmission of information. Unfortunately, this is one of the most convenient means we have currently at our disposal for transmission of understanding, one to another, but this will change when we know more about the operation of mind and memory, on which subject I have been toiling for far too long.

Nick

Dragos will read the reference, thank you very much

Having commanded a police academy before and currently being a university professor, there are certain similarities and many differences in the two types of learning. The police academy is charged with developing qualified rookie police officers. While there are many academic subjects involved, there are also certain physical, mental and mechanical skills that a competency must be demonstrated in for the student to successfully graduate. The curriculum is mandated by the state as are the specific competencies that must be demonstrated by the student. These are measured by state mandated exams and standards in order to get your license as a police officer. In a university setting, the student has some choice in their classes (an academy student does not). While a student is required to demonstrate academic competency in their given course of study, they generally only have to satisfy the requirements of their professor rather than a standardized state mandated test. (However, in some professions: i.e. medical or legal there may be mandated state or guild exams). The university curriculum is more open and less rigid than the academy. These are just a few examples.

I also believe that AWE is a promising concept which deserves investigation. According to the state-of-the-art knowledge and models it has breakthrough potential (low capex due to materials and installation savings, high capacity factor thanks to winds at higher altitude), however these claims need to be supported by extensive experimentation. I've been doing research on the topic since about 10 years now and I can clearly see that there is an evolution in the field, both in terms of built knowledge and number and size of startups and research groups. In specific operating modes, like power generation, the technology has been demonstrated. In other modes, like take-off and landing, there is still R&D to be done and the TRL is relatively low. Overall, fully autonomous operation over long periods is still a challenge for which more investments and activities are required. Also the number of different concepts is still rather broad and all have advantages and limitations, which probably make them more or less suitable for different markets.

Just like any organization, they use methods or should use methods beginning with environmental scanning - for chapters on 27 methods see Global Futures Research Methodology 3.0  http://millennium-project.org/millennium/FRM-V3.html

First of all you should make a chart or table for the comparison regarding 40-applicable methods that are applying in future studies through interpretative phenomenological approach.  Through this method you can easily find out the deficiencies and similarities  within applicable methods. On the basis of comparison, you should construct a questionnaire over your topic and survey over it.  A lot of your queries will be solved in this project. Mixed-Method analysis is suitable for your study.

We argue that strategic/corporate foresight is a set of practices that enable firms to prepare to attain superior positions in markets of the future. Futures Research is concerned with exploring different, consistent and plausible futures. Other related terms are also 'peripheral vision' and 'environmental scanning'. See also:

I agree on Professor Roncali's idear. Indeed, OPV researchers shold find a good balance among cost, PCE, processing availability and stability. 

I recommend Jaffe & Trajtenberg's book "Patents, Citations, and Innovations" for a few ideas on how to approach the matter.

Best.

Yes, it can be, if the foresight research is done well and has a robust research design. There is a book Foresight in Action which describes how foresight is used by (from memory) the Dutch government. Link below.

Governments, in my experience, tend to find quantitative modelling of scenarios more comfortable to use in policy making, but well done scenario work that is based on a significant scanning process, combined with the views of experts about how the future might evolve, usually produces high quality outputs that can inform the strategic thinking that shapes policy making.