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Climate Change Policies - Science topic

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In the situation of failure within the framework of human efforts to stop the increase in the temperature of the planet's atmosphere and, therefore, in the perspective of the next few decades of the increasing scale of the global climate catastrophe, are humans able to adapt to these climate changes, will they find ways to survive the ever-increasing scale of the negative effects of the increasingly rapid process of global warming?
In recent years, from the many studies conducted in the problem of the sources and effects of climate change, it has become clear that the process of global warming continues to accelerate, that industrial and energy global greenhouse gas emissions remain high, that the scale of the negative effects of progressive climate change continues to expand, that the risk of permanently exceeding the level of 2 deg. C of average atmospheric temperature relative to the level before the first industrial (technological) revolution, and that the ever-accelerating process of global warming may irreversibly spiral out of control, may irreversibly become an irreversible process, and will do so within the next few decades. A new report by the humanitarian organization Oxfam shows that in 2019 the richest part of the world's population. accounting for 1 percent of humanity, emitted as much carbon dioxide as two-thirds of the Earth's population. According to the aforementioned Oxfam report, the richest 1 percent of people accounted for 16 percent of the world's total CO2 emissions in 2019. According to the humanitarian organization Oxfam, additional, appropriate and adequate taxation of the super-rich would help reduce both climate change and inequality. According to Oxfam's projections, increased CO2 emissions will lead to up to 1.3 million deaths from excessive heat. Most of these will occur between 2020 and 30. Oxfam Executive Director Amitabh Behar said that "the super-rich are plundering and polluting the planet, causing humanity to suffocate from extreme heat, floods and drought." In addition to this, Oxfam Executive Director Amitabh Behar also stated that "For years we have been fighting to end the fossil fuel era to save millions of lives and our planet. (It is now) clearer than ever that this will be impossible until we also end the era of extreme wealth." "Not taxing the rich allows the richest to steal from us, ruin our planet and deviate from democracy. Taxing extreme wealth changes our chances of fighting both inequality and the climate crisis. Trillions of dollars are at stake to invest in dynamic, green 21st century governments, but also to strengthen our democracies." In view of the above, it is essential to impose additional taxes on the richest who own industrial corporations that emit greenhouse gases, and with the money raised, renewable and emission-free energy sources should be developed, and those regions of the world that are most threatened by permanent heat, water shortages, floods and other negative effects of ongoing climate change, including, above all, the accelerating process of global warming, should be secured. In recent days there has been another very disturbing development for the future of humanity, the future of the biosphere, biodiversity and the planet's climate. More data has emerged to support the thesis that continued high greenhouse gas emissions generated by unsustainable economies, including mainly power generation through the burning of fossil fuels, are accelerating the progressive process of global warming. On 17.11.2023, for the first time, the average temp. of the planet's atmosphere reached 2 degrees C more compared to the state before the 1st industrial (technological) revolution. In view of the above, saving biodiversity, the biosphere and the planet for future generations of people should be implemented according to at least two strategies. One strategy for saving the biosphere and the planet's climate is the need to accelerate the processes of green transformation of the economy, including, first and foremost, the green transformation of the energy sector, including the development of renewable and emission-free energy sources. The second parallel strategy for saving the planet's biosphere and climate is the creation of new technological solutions, green technologies, eco-innovations, security systems, which will reduce the scale of the negative effects of the progressive process of global warming and reduce the negative impact on communities of such negative effects of climate change as increasingly severe heat, longer and longer drought periods, drinking water shortages, violent storms and floods, soil barrenness and such serious problems that can be associated with the aforementioned negative effects as epidemics and high levels of environmental pollution.
In view of the above, I address the following question to the esteemed community of scientists and researchers:
In the situation of failure within the framework of the measures taken by humans to stop the increase in the temperature of the planet's atmosphere and, therefore, in the perspective of the next few decades of the increasing scale of global climate catastrophe, are humans able to adapt to these climate changes, will they find ways to survive the ever-increasing scale of the negative effects of the increasingly rapid process of global warming?
Can people adapt to the climate crisis that is progressing faster and faster and the ever-increasing scale of the negative effects of this process?
I am conducting research on this issue. I have included the conclusions of my research in the following article:
And what is your opinion on this topic?
What is your opinion on this issue?
Please answer,
I invite everyone to join the discussion,
Thank you very much,
Best wishes,
Dariusz Prokopowicz
The above text is entirely my own work written by me on the basis of my research.
In writing this text I did not use other sources or automatic text generation systems.
Copyright by Dariusz Prokopowicz
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This does not really answer your question, but I was wanting to be able to add this interesting topic and there were no questions that I could answer with it.
Two important threats in my mind are climate change and antibiotic resistance.
I found this article from Nature that unites them:
'Antibiotic resistance is a growing threat — is climate change making it worse?'
Researchers are studying how extreme weather and rising temperatures can encourage the spread of drug-resistant infections.
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I am looking to understand how the UK government's climate change policies have affected OPEC and the oil industry since the 2008 climate change act.
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The UK government has announced its strategy to meet its promise to cut emissions to net-zero by 2050. The aim is to meet the global climate emergency but not with panicked, short-term or self-destructive measures. The plan adopted by the UK government will be driven forward by bringing down the costs of going green so we can make net-zero a net win for people, industry, the UK, and for the planet.
Undoubtedly the implementation of the plan adopted by the UK government will impact the consumption of oil and will reduce to zero the need to import oil in the future.
According to the political reporter Alix Culbertson, the key pledges and policies are the following:
Power
The government confirmed a target for all electricity to come from low carbon sources by 2035 - subject to security of supply - which brings the plan forward by 15 years.
That includes:
• 40 GW from offshore wind, including 1 GW of floating offshore wind by 2030
• Deploying a carbon capture, utilization, and storage power plant
• By the end of May 2024, the government wants to secure a final investment decision on a large-scale nuclear power plant and make decisions after that for more nuclear projects.
• Providing £380 million for the offshore wind sector
• Fixed minimum annual installation targets of smart meters for energy suppliers from 1 January 2022 so everyone has one by 2026
• Ensuring energy prices are fair and affordable and consumers can use services that will support net-zero
Fuel supply and hydrogen
The government wants to deliver 5 GW of hydrogen production capacity by 2030 while halving oil and gas emissions.
It plans to do that by:
• Providing up to £140 million to establish a scheme that will fund new hydrogen and industrial carbon capture business models
• Implementing a £240 million Net Zero Hydrogen Fund in 2022
• Working with the transport sector to develop a low carbon fuel strategy in 2022
• Working with companies to get rid of anything preventing the electrification of oil and gas production by October 2022
• Establishing a climate compatibility check for future licensing on the UK Continental Shelf - the water around the UK to which the country has mineral rights, including large resources of oil and gas
Industry
The ambition is to deliver 6 metric tons of carbon dioxide (MtCO2) per year of industrial carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS) by 2030, and 9 MtCO2 per year by 2035.
The government wants to set up four CCUS "clusters" by 2030.
To achieve this, it wants to:
• Set up a £1 billion carbon capture and storage infrastructure fund
• Give £315 million to the Industrial Energy Transformation Fund to support the installation of energy efficiency and on-site decarbonization measures - £289 million for England, Wales, and Northern Ireland, and £26 million for Scotland
• Support switching from fuel to low carbon alternatives, with the aim of replacing around 50 TWh of fossil fuels per year by 2035
• Consider the business and financial implications of setting targets for ore-based steelmaking to reach near-zero emissions by 2035
• Incentivize a cost-effective way of ending the reliance on carbon-emitting fuels in the industry
Heat and buildings
The government wants to wean UK homes and all buildings off a reliance on fossil fuels by 2035 by making it affordable and achievable for everyone.
It has published the Heat and Buildings Strategy, which aims to:
• Support 175,000 green-skilled jobs by 2030 and 240,000 by 2035
• Phase out the installation of new gas boilers by 2035
• Introduce a £450 million Boiler Upgrade Scheme so grants of £5,000 will be available from April 2022 for people to replace gas boilers with low carbon heat pumps (currently around £10,000) at the same cost - with the aim of making heat pumps as cheap to buy and run as gas boilers by 2030
• Invest £60 million in heat pump innovation to make them more aesthetically pleasing, smaller, and easier to install
• Insulate and upgrade poor homes and social housing so they are more efficient by 2030 with a £1.75 billion investment
• Set standards for privately rented homes so they are more energy-efficient by 2028 (and will consider doing this for social housing)
• Invest £1.425 billion to reduce direct emissions from public sector buildings by 75% by 2037
• Set a minimum energy efficiency standard of EPC Band B (the second most efficient) by 2030 for privately rented commercial buildings in England and Wales
• Trial hydrogen heating on a large scale to make a decision by 2026 on its future role
Transport
The government has pledged to end the sale of new petrol and diesel cars and vans from 2030 and from 2035 all new cars and vans must be zero-emission.
To achieve that it wants to:
• Set targets for a percentage of new vehicle sales to be zero-emission each year from 2024
• End the sale of all new, non-zero emission road vehicles by 2040 - including motorcycles, buses, and HGVs
• Ensure the UK's vehicle charging network is reliable
• Commit an additional £620 million on top of the £1.9 billion already pledged for zero-emission vehicle grants and electric vehicle infrastructure
• Have 25% of the government's car fleet ultra-low emission by December 2022 and all zero-emission by 2027
• Invest £12 billion in local transport systems by May 2024
• Invest £2 billion in cycle lanes and low-traffic neighborhoods so half of all town and city journeys can be walked or cycled by 2030
• Invest £3 billion in buses, including 4,000 new zero-emission buses, more bus lanes, and more frequent services
• Electrify all railway lines by 2050 and remove all diesel-only trains by 2040
• Phase out the sale of new non-zero emission domestic shipping vessels
• Use £180 million of funding so 10% of commercial flights use sustainable aviation fuels by 2030
The government wants 75% of farmers in England to be using low carbon practices by 2030 and 85% by 2035.
It aims to do this by:
• Increasing research and development funding into how to deliver net zero in agriculture and horticulture
• Trebling tree growing to meet the target of 30,000 hectares of planting per year by May 2024 and maintain that from 2025 onwards
• Adding £124 million to the existing £640 million Nature for Climate Fund to restore at least 35,000 hectares of peatland in England, and create and manage woodlands by 2025 - helping farmers to change land use
• Restoring about 280,000 hectares of peat in England by 2050
• Supporting private investment in tree planting and peat restoration
• Increasing the use of timber in construction in England
• Putting £295 million into English local authorities to implement free separate food waste collections for all households from 2025 to eliminate biodegradable municipal waste going to landfills from 2028
• Completing a review of F-gas regulations and seeing if they can go further
The plan is to engineer the removal of at least 5 MtCO2 per year of greenhouse gases by 2030.
The government says it will do this by:
• Putting £100 million of investment into GGR innovation and developing incentives to remove greenhouse gases
• Trying to amend the Climate Change Act to enable engineered GGR to contribute to UK carbon budgets
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I am doing a research related to the link of biodiversity conservation and climate change policies. I wonder if you can share your experience on how an economic instrument help link biodiversity conservation and climate change policies?
Many thanks
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We did projects on Planetary boundaries, socioeconomic factors and biodiversity. We found high correlation between resource use and biodiversity losses. The papers are under development.
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Dear All,
I look forward to her you valuable contribution.
Regard
Fikrat
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Dear Fikrat M Hassan , this is the fine upcoming event.
HOW CAN UNIVERSITIES ACCELERATE THE GLOBAL TRANSITION TO NET ZERO?
International programme of workshops and debates brings together government ministers, university leaders, innovators and students to set a new agenda for how higher education can help accelerate the global transition to net zero...
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According to the Global Climate Risk Index 2021, developing countries bear the brunt of risks associated with climate change. International Climate Financing has increased over the years; however, the question remains how it can be efficiently managed and assessed for its successful implementation.
Kindly provide your valuable feedbacks.
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Climate Change Performance Index is an independent monitoring tool for tracking the climate protection performance of 57 countries and the EU. It aims to enhance transparency in international climate politics and enables comparison of climate protection efforts and progress made by individual countries.
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The UN has recommended three broad policy actions to mitigate the global mental health impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic. What sources of evidence, available pre-pandemic, may be particularly relevant to guiding the implementation of these recommendations in low-resource settings?
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Dear Ms. Tam!
You pointed to a very important case. I hereby searched articles that might be relevant in this regard:
Keynejad, R.C., Bentley, A., Bhatia, U. et al. Research, education and capacity building priorities for violence, abuse and mental health in low- and middle-income countries: an international qualitative survey. Soc Psychiatry Psychiatr Epidemiol (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00127-021-02061-5 Open access:
A case-study: Dana Alonzo et al. (2021). Mental health impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on parents in high-risk, low income communities, International Journal of Social Psychiatry 00(0), Early View, Open access:
A case-study: Markosian, C., Khachadourian, V. & Kennedy, C.A. Frozen conflict in the midst of a global pandemic: potential impact on mental health in Armenian border communities. Soc Psychiatry Psychiatr Epidemiol 56, 513–517 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00127-020-01996-5 Open access:
Yours sincerely, Bulcsu Szekely
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What is the future of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) and the Paris Agreement? Since we, as humanity, are struggling to reduce significantly the emission gap, how the future of interstate climate change negotiations looks like?
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I htink all these agreements make sense and will need a bit more time to become effective. 200 years of industrial development cannot be corrected within a decade, weather extremes will increase, so will the related restrictions and money spent on respective counter measures. Renewable energy never made more sense - economically (!) - than today. New technologies and many little progresses are on their way,. However they still need to (and will) take up momentum. It is scary how minimal the impact - globally - of the Covid related travel reductions is on carbon emissions!
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Habitat suitability is the initial step during plantation and reforestation drives throughout the globe. In certain developing countries this is not a common practice. Government organizations as well as NGOs must consult expert ecologist of their respective region to get succssful and sustainable results as they conduct a lot of such studies. As an example I would like to mention here that we are doing such studies over the last decade in our regions and these can be found in our research articles. e.g.!
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This is what we have been doing it ,unfortunately such case studies have gone out of context due to climate related changes . And warrant for newer concepts to be roped in imparting afforestation a great success over time...
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In the context of policy analysis and designing a feasible carbon taxation policy, most studies have been applying some sort of general equilibrium models. I am not from an economics background and these models seem to be very complicated. Also I don't exactly know what data is needed for such modelling approaches. I was wondering if there are any other types of methods that can substitute general equilibrium models in the process of designing a feasible carbon taxation policy.
I would really appreciate any comments and insights.
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he literature on optimal carbon pricing often abstracts from other taxes. However, when governments raise revenues with distortionary taxes, carbon levies have fiscal impacts. While they raise revenues directly, they may shrink the bases of other taxes (e.g. by decreasing employment). This article theoretically characterizes and then quantifies optimal carbon taxes in a dynamic general equilibrium climate–economy model with distortionary fiscal policy. First, this article establishes a novel theoretical relationship between the optimal taxation of carbon and of capital income. This link arises because carbon emissions destroy natural capital: they accumulate in the atmosphere and decrease future output. Consequently, this article shows how the standard logic against capital income taxes extends to distortions on environmental capital investments. Second, this article characterizes optimal climate policy in sub-optimal fiscal settings where income taxes are constrained to remain at their observed levels. Third, this article presents a detailed calibration that builds on the seminal DICE approach but adds features essential for a setting with distortionary taxes, such as a differentiation between climate change production impacts (e.g. on agriculture) and direct utility impacts (e.g. on biodiversity existence value). The central quantitative finding is that optimal carbon tax schedules are 8–24% lower when there are distortionary taxes, compared to the setting with lump-sum taxes considered in the literature.
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How to apply the quantitative methodology and which data to collect?
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Basically asking how governmental regulation related to climate change affects economic development?
The big challenge here is how do you know what would have happened if those policies did not take effect. The results could also depend greatly on what part of the economy one looks at. Coal mining and coal use would decline under climate change policies while wind, solar, hydroelectric, and similar sectors will benefit. While individuals will win or lose, the net effect on society is unclear.
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Hello everyone,
Recently, I was looking for some basic article regarding climate modeling, I found some interesting fact that some of the authors considered paleoclimate modeling is a very difficult task as compared to the modern climate modeling. 
I do not understand their argument. I thought paleoclimate modeling is relatively easier because of a single parameter (i.e. natural variability) is involved. However, in modern climate modeling, two components (ie natural as well as anthropogenic) are involved.
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To have a realistic simulation, you need to have surface boundary layer data to initialize the model. For example Sea Surface Temperature (SST), Topography, Ice coverage, Vegetation, Surface Temperature and wind velocity, etc. For the moment, PMIP3, CMIP5 reconstructed data for the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) and Holocene period give a big picture of some environmental variables for GCM models.
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Since estuaries are dynamic are environmental conditions vary on spatial and temporal scale, how we study climate change effects?
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Hi;
I guess dose-response function type of estimation might help. The impact might have reflected on some other human activities like recreation, etc. which can to captured using some non-market valuation method as well.
Resham
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I need to use these data of RCP. But, I am not sure which one I should use. The link to data portal is http://www.cccma.ec.gc.ca/data/cgcm4/CanESM2/rcp26/day/atmos/clt/index.shtml
Can anyone tell me the difference between these files?
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rN, N is the number of ensemble members
iN, N is the number of different initialization states
pN, N is the number of used physical parameterizations.
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As we know, some island countries like Tuvalu, Kiribati and the Maldives risk disappearing because of the climatic changes. Do you know of any solution adopted by island countries to avoid their disappearance caused by climate change?
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In case of such situation, the affect countries should have plan to accommodate citizens in friend countries.
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What does it mean to be a "steward"?
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Kirk, it really doesn't matter. In geological time, our existance is just one tiny flash, and then its gone. While we live, we fuss around with all manner of trivialities, including ownership of property, and all manner of other "brownian motion," that is here and gone, and then soon forgotten. Our property and ourselves soon decomposed, back to the original elements.
I think that if one must put everything in a religious context, the only sensible way to think about life on earth is as a test of character. Ownership of property is just one of the many aspects of that test.
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We are interested to know the fullest background to this study since just ten dys ago the Russian Federation and the Chinese Peoples Republic seemingl;y have agreed to fund a procedure for transfering water from Lake Baikal to the North Erstern Provinces in China. Whilst this may not be the same question as you have raised here, we have acrually raised the more important one about the wishes to refill the Aral Sea in this argument as it would - we feel - be comparable to your premised arguments. Do you see the analogy? Why we ask is very relevant since there are signs that by rehabilitating this sea you will have the answers you are seeking.
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We also see the issues of Lake Chad being the result of extraction of Fossil Water from the Sahara Artesian Basin.
A similar approach might be taken.
There is so much oil and gas in North Africa that local desalination to substitute for the Great Man Made River is dare we say ""obviously"" better than the current system where 60% to 85% of the water extracted is lost by evaporation before it reaches the end-users.
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Research Questions or Hypotheses:
·         Are there any change in climatic variable, if yes what are and how?
·         Which are the area under flood or waterlogging or both, what are the causes of it.
·         Who are vulnerable to climate change, flood and waterlogging and how they are vulnerable.
·         What are the copping mechanism of the community?
·         What are the mitigation measure undertaken by the community?
·         What ate the adaptive strategy at individual, Household and community level.at the  
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I do not know specifics or exact intent of research, but it takes a long term record to correlate wIth climate change, unless you have nearby studies.  So I would steer away from climate change term, even if you try to interface with it, unless you have substantial data or intent for comprehensive study through time.
Within a watershed or basin, land use changes as well as hydrologic modifications and soil disturbances when too wet can contribute to flooding, loss of soil structure than can contribute to waterlogging or puddling of soils.  You might consider something like Ecohydrological Effects of Natural and Anthropogenic Change to Rural Life in Mahanadi Delta, or simpler Ecohydrological Changes That Influence Rural Livelihood within Mahanadi Delta.
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hello scholars,
what method; be it statistics, mathematical or modeling approach can I use to determine the part of a basin/watershed that is most affected by the combined impact of climate and land use change or their individual impact
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@Rajiv Pandey, thank you so much for your suggestions and article. i shall go through this article but i will also need a more physical approach because most of my data are physically based even though i know that social impacts should not be neglected. an approach that can use models (statistical, distributed or semi-distributed models etc.)
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This is one of the concerns foreseen by Nemade about the probable disadvantages of nativism in India. 
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Yes, house construction for instance duplex with boys quarters,  other religions such as Christianity (although it has been practiced in Ethiopia before the advent of the colonial masters) and food varieties such apple farming, Irish potatoes, adornment etc.
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Based on observed data 1976-2011, I got a model to estimate crop productivity like: Y= 0.18*time - 0.005*time^2 + 0.15*temp + 2.33. and then I want to estimate the impacts of climate change (high temperature) by 2100. Please note that [0.18*time - 0.005*time^2] is called technological trend/progress.
The issue for me is [0.19*time - 0.005*time^2] will be negative when time=39. if I set time = since 1976, time=38 corresponds with 2015. Any suggestion to prevent negative values of [0.18*time - 0.005*time^2] ?
Please list any related papers
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Muhamad -
I just glanced at that (apparently/hopefully open access??) article noted by Purushottam, and I think you should give it another look.  At the end of page 146 they give a 'formula,' and then in the first column of page 147, they explain the terms.  The full 'formula' may be more complex than you need or can justify with data available to you, and is rather nebulous, but the explanation in that first column of page 147 may give you some ideas. 
Cheers - Jim
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Im trying to develop a tool-kit for the courts for adjudicating climate change justice.
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Good morning - Here's a link to a recent judgment in the Netherlands (June 24 2015) where the court found that the State must do more to protect its citizens against the risks that accompany climate change.
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The International Community has adopted a commendable Agreement on tackling climate change in Paris last December. While the deal has a number of ambiguous provisions and non-binding provisions, the document is very progressive and has galvanized the consensus of all the UN member states, perhaps for the first time ever when such concurrence is achieved at this scale. 
The question is how can Africa, with virtually no contribution to global warming in terms of GHG emission and given its very limited capacity to implement the Intended Nationally Determined Commitments (INDCs) benefit from the Agreement and take active role in its realization of the Paris Agreement in the coming 15 years.
Kebede Kassa Tsegaye, PhD
Team Leader for the Formulation of the IGAD Regional 
Climate Change Strategy (IRCCS)
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Do not the plains of the US ( as well India´s ) suffer from drought ?
Are not the arctic and antarctic and mountain regions getting warmer more than in average, did not eastafrican countries suffer from inundations ?
Apart from the world meteorogists material the evidence is strong . .
If the house is burning, should we listen to somebody explaining that he found a little corner with less hot temperature ?
Why should the oil and other industries act worldwide, but the more cautious people stay apart or be content with hindsight ?
Instead, start self-thinking,do not follow anymore and "Divest" ( see that website)
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Climate experts, Environmentalists, Ecologists, Foresters
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Dear V.P. 
A few comments in good faith:
Before there was a concensus on whether climate change was a problem, interest groups had to work hard to justify climate change funding for research and for implementing projects.  
Now that there is a global consensus that climate change is a problem, interest groups looking for funding do not have to work as hard or should be expected not to work as hard to justify it as before, and I see your concern...some groups see risk as opportunity and if there is no follow up you can not guarantee that money they raise goes to implementing global warming friendly research or programs as expected and you may not know where the money goes or if it goes mostly to administration costs,,,something similar to what is known as green washing,,,,
But beyond the possibility of opportunistic behaviour there is a real problem in front of us, my only take is that any global warming friendly program should be socially friendly too to ensure over all system sustainability.
Have a nice day.
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Governments worldwide choose their concrete developer friends over long-term, beneficial alternatives. How can we, as planners and scientists, approach this problem? What are some of the tools we have at our disposal? In effect - how can we battle such strong opponents? Please tell me your stories and thoughts. Thank you.
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I think we are missing a key tool.
Land Development, as it is done today (and really, this may apply to all forms of development), is a process where community wealth is converted to individual wealth.  We trust market forces to maximize the gain in individual wealth, and we trust good planning to minimize the loss in community wealth.  But there is no calculus (well, that I've heard of and I'm eager to be told I'm wrong) that can compare the two.
If we had a tool that could be used before the fact to show that the development leads to net wealth production (eg, change in individual wealth minus change in community wealth is positive), then we would know that 'growth can be good', even if it screws over a portion of the population.  Otherwise, it's a crap shoot, and any misguided or corrupt government (individual, agency, or the whole structure) can sell off community wealth to their friends and family for the promise of economic benefits, and be able to say with a straight face that they were doing it to create growth.  The masses are left with the debts, while the few are enjoying the profits.
Note that the 80 richest people on the planet control more wealth than the poorest 50%.  I suggest that even if it is just poorly thought out policies (rather than active corruption), it can still lead to poverty for the masses.
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All the country focus on Climate Change and have action plan. Referring to India NAPCC have sub components in Mission Mode. Some developing countries are refining their Action Plan. Share your comments on NAPCC achievements and your suggestion for refinement.
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Needs your comments, which country have the better plan and achievements? 
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I am aware of country level deep decarbonisation pathways. For this body of work looking explicitly at business level decarbonisation. Thankyou.
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Dear Mark, perhaps this book could be of interest to you as it covers corporate climate strategies, and responses to the EU emissions trading scheme, in sectors such as: electricity generation, oil, cement, steel and pulp and paper.
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Simulation of costs of climate policies into the future (2100) turns a -ve Mean value for a particular policy, out of four, what would be the best explanation for this -ve Cost?
Also, for this policy, the standard deviation is much higher with respect to the Mean, how do you explain this considering all the policies are run under the same simulation condition and the source data are secondary from a very reputable repository?
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Thank you both for the attempts at answering my question. I am however happy to inform you that I may have resolved the riddle, and this is by running my test based on a Monte Carlo simulation that ensured I could have a full spectrum of all the available outcomes. Thus, making it possible to choose based on confidence levels, neglecting the negative costs, which after all, are just some occurrences on a probability density.
Regards, Ayodele.
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In my opinion, not all the adaptations are a response to climate change. For example, late sowing, attributed always as a response to changing climate, may be, most of the time, an outcome of crop intensification. When we are cropping multiple crops the sowing of these crops may shift early or late which actually is not a response to climate change. Similar to this, what other adaptation you think are not a response to climate change
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1998 is loved by the denier community. Although that community is vanishingly small, funny how one always pops up whenever climate change is discussed.
I live in a part of the world where seasonal weather variations (and hence agricultural production) are strongly affected by El Nino/La Nina (aka ENSO - El Nino Southern Oscillation). People may argue about temperature variations until the cows come home but one thing that is much less arguable is rainfall statistics. Basic meteorology: when it's wet it's warm, when it's dry it's cooler. The status of ENSO is in turn strongly influenced by the state of the North Pacific Interdecadal Oscillation (IPO) which is basically due to warm water sloshing backwards and forwards across the North Pacific over decadal time scales. Interdecadal rainfall and river flow data in New Zealand match IPO swings quite nicely but in the North Pacific it's much more pronounced. In its current state (since about 2000) the warm water has spent most of its time on the western side, hence we see floods in China, nasty typhoons to the south and droughts in California. This probably also accounts for the observed small decline in average land temperatures in North America, likely due to reduced cloud cover at night. Once the IPO flicks back (sometime in the next 5 - 15 years) watch out - droughts in China are likely to significantly compromise crop production and large quantities of California wash into the sea (in between the heat waves). The role of climate change in all this? Warming ocean temperatures intensify the effect. The arctic is isolated from the IPO by circumpolar winds and being virtually surrounded by land, hence steady ocean warming continues to further reduce sea ice and the Greenland ice cap year after year.
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I am interested in comparing the learning process and adaptive cycle in the context of cities working together in transnational city networks for climate action. Lee and van de Meene (2012) conceptualized the learning process into three phases (information gathering, adoption, policy change) in their network analysis study. I would like to look further into urban policy change and whether TCNs are a necessary condition to catalyze cities building resilience against sea-level rise. I think a better understanding of the phases of the adaptive cycle would be useful. I would appreciate any assistance.
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Frankly, TCNs are fairly irrelevant, at least in the US.  We're lucky if we can get cities across a state boundary to work together!  I think you can find literature describing how they could work, I have seen very little on them actually working.  Perhaps more fruitful would be an investigation of barriers to them working:  $, language, culture, laws and regulatory regimes...one of the biggest barriers is actually our lack of knowledge about the translation of data to action.  I've tried to provide some thoughts in my recent blogs at www.resilientus.org but these are certainly not validated by experience and are simply my attempt to synthesize both my own experiences and what I've read in the literature. 
The crux of the problem is that we haven't adequately understood community action.  Academia has focused on some inchoate collaborative processes that are poor representations (IMO) of what actually happens.  They pay too much attention to the "horizontal" gathering of information and defining of goals and too little to how (and even if!) these goals are achieved through the "vertical" hierarchies that actually act.
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I have accessed the one for Norway and know other nordic countries have their own plans. I am also interested in other European countries.
I would be grateful if you could send the link to the plan(s) on SLCP or information on who to contact for the request.
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Dear Cristina,
sorry for the late reply! However, I am not aware of any specific plans (and I guess as you work at NILU there is no need to refer you to AMAP :) ), that's why I did not respond earlier. Best regards,
Christian
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Traditional EIA application used for project level probably not include climate change aspects. Nowadays; it is important to include climate change and mitigation aspects in the EIA application. So I want to know the space of climate change aspect broadly in EIA cycle and applicability of climate change within environmental management tool. Any research and practices conducted worldwide!
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In the field of ecology, that I know better, you can find some studies about the synergetic effects between climate change and habitat fragmentation.
The persistence of a particular species lies in its ability to adapt to the new ecological regime. The easiest way for a species to adapt is to shift its geographic range to a new area that has the appropriate climate.
However, this may not be as easy as in the geologic past for two reasons:
(1) current populations of native species are already stressed by competition with exotic species, mortality from pesticides and pollution, and the effects of over-exploitation - because stressed populations tend to be small and produce few offspring, they have a reduced ability of dispersal into a new habitat.
(2) human alteration of landscapes has reduced the total amount of suitable habitat for many species and fragmented these landscapes with roads, dams, croplands, and urban areas.
Some literature:
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As distinct from State/local council policy & guidelines & theoretical modelling  for climate change and coastal recession,I am interested in looking at adaptive or barrier based models specific to identified "at risk" locations on the Western Victorian Coastline. Sandy beach front communities in particular with minimal land area for urban expansion.  
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Hi David, - Risk models and vulnerability assessments and work on the Western Victorian coastline is quite limited, perhaps considering looking at the latest Victorian Coastal Strategy 2014, and the Victorian Coastal Hazard Assessment 2012 for relative citations on coastal process modelling. Hydrology and geomorphology models could assist. 
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Consider also maternal mortality.
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Thank you Gideon for that valuable contribution, I largely agree with with you on your second quick note. 
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The trend of the anomaly of global land surface temperature (GLST) had been numerically simulated perfectly by me with a group of simple periodic mathematics functions, which is obtained  with a numerical-functional-analysis-modelling technique in a computer. The result means the modern climate change may be not dominated by human influences due to  the function which perfectly fits the actuate anomaly of GLST from 1880 to 2013, is periodic rather than an irreversible function.
  Do you agree my view?
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Curve-fitting and statistical modelling are a useful tool, but science moves forward by the understanding of processes: scientists try to understand "how things work".
Let me draw up an analogy. Imagine that intelligent insects arrive in a field in spring, and observe that flowers are growing at an accelerating pace. During three months (twenty generations of insects) they measure the growth of flowers per meter square and the curve looks like an exponential. Some insects believe that the growth will continue, others find that a group of simple periodic mathematical functions fits the observations better and predict a reversal of the growing trend.
The only way to decide the right solution is to understand the process: why do flowers grow? Because it is warmer, sunnier and still moist in spring. Knowing what flowers need for growth, and knowing the earth movement around the sun and the seasons, scientists can predict that the growth will stop in summer when the field gets dry.
The same is true for the earth warming. To understand climate, there is the need to bring together physicists, chemists, biologists, geologists, etc to understand the underlying processes. Scientists examine the whole realm of climate science together in the IPCC (reports available freely on the web). The reason why we know that the warming trend cannot be reversed quickly and that the warming trend is related to anthropogenic emission of greenhouse gases, is because we understand the physics/chemistry of the radiative balance of the earth and we understand - albeit imperfectly- major aspects of the carbon cycle. It is not because scientists have found that an exponential curve fits better the observations of global temperature than a group of simple periodic mathematical functions.
If you are curious, I suggest you download and read the IPCC reports. They are really great and full of wonderful science.
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Recent reviews on climate change adaptation have indicated that there are many cases where strategies and plans have been developed, but not yet implemented. 
In the IPCC 5th Assessment Report, Working Group II - Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability, some common barriers are identified from the research literature, including institutional barriers, unclear technical and policy guidance, and weak coordination among various interests in management and governance. 
How important is scientific uncertainty?  Is implementation cost a significant barrier? Some studies discuss the idea of strengthening response capacity or resilience, but what does this mean in practice?  Is direct linkage with sustainable development plans important? Do we need more research on planning processes, or should the focus be on the study of adaptation goals themselves, the trade-offs between goals, or the comparative assessment of effectiveness of adaptation strategies within future scenarios of climate change?  
Or, is the real concern more about barriers in communication with local stakeholders, including practitioners, knowledge holders and decision makers? Is this more important than research gaps themselves? How could a collaborative research approach with stakeholders better enable science-based decision making on climate change adaptation? 
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I see a lot of interest and desire to adapt and some good examples of adaption in BC. Barriers may be institutional - no framework to facilitate change (status quo protected, penalized if try something new), limited funding to implement studies, or not enough information about the current situation. A good example for us of the last barrier would be water use from small streams and from groundwater. Thus adapting for the future is difficult if you don't know where you are now. Also, need to convey information from research in a form that people can use. Managers look at the world in a different way than researchers. Finally, it may be sufficient at present to get people to at least think about adapting to climate change in their planning. Not every management decision has long-term implications. 
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I am especially interested in non-state options such as micro finance and crowd funding of climate change adaptation projects.
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Check IPCC document
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As per my information about the carbon credits, they are usually given to industries or corporates which are saving it by growing trees or by adopting method which will reduce release of carbon in the environment. Please tell me can these be given to farmers engaged in growing crops which sequester maximum carbon from the environment.
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Of course a farmer can get carbon credits depending on the GHG reduction activities. But in countries like Nepal, large scale agriculture is not practiced for the farmer to actually get substantial amount from the carbon credits alone. Nepal has prepared CDM projects for biogas, REDD project for community forestry, but in either case, the actual amount if distributed to the community will be very low. So, development practitioners usually spend the income from carbon credits to strengthen the management in community or for expansion of such projects in other areas.
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What is the IPCC estimate of radiative effect of natural aerosols? I have found their estimate for anthropogenic, but not for natural aerosols.
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"Based on a combination of global aerosol models and observation-based methods, the best radiative effect estimate of the aerosol–radiation interaction in Assessment Report 5 (AR5) is –0.35 (–0.85 to +0.15) W.m–2 (global annual mean between 1750 and 2011 http://www.climatechange2013.org/images/report/WG1AR5_Chapter08_FINAL.pdf page 24). As far as I understand, this is an estimate for all 7 aerosols conisdered in AR5 without distinction between natural and anthropogenic.
For the major natural global aerosol, Mineral Dust, the global mean radiative forcing in AR5 is -0.10 (-0.30 +0.10) W.m-2. The RE of other natural aerosols such as sea-salt was not provided as such in AR5 as far as I know.
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I would like to know if there are differences between the IPCC 2001 and IPCC 2007 characterization factors for global warming. I would also appreciate if you could recommend me some document to justify these differences.
Thanks in advance!
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If you are referring to global warming potentials, GWP, then you shoul dbe aware that countries are still required to use the 2001 (IPCC SAR) GWP: CH4=21 and N2O=310.
From 2015, annex 1 countries will need to use IPCC 2007 AR4 vvalues: CH4=25 and N2O=298.
IPCC AR5 has proposed additional changes to these values, but these wil not be required to use in national GHG inventories for some time.
Best,
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In recent years, the term resilience has gained importance in the literature on climate change replacing the concept of vulnerability which, for several decades, allowed to reveal the social origin of disasters but, How can the participation of society can be addressed in each of them? Or are they just antonyms?
En los últimos años, el término resiliencia ha cobrado importancia en la literatura sobre cambio climático, reemplazando al concepto de vulnerabilidad el cual, desde hace algunas décadas permitió revelar el origen social de los desastres, pero ¿cómo se puede abordar la participación de la sociedad en cada uno de ellos? O ¿simplemente son antónimos?
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I agree with Fabiola. Resilience and vulnerability are not opposites. One can be vulnerability yet resilient at the same time. For example it's well known that social cohesion in informal settlements are much higher than in well off areas. This cohesion contributes greatly to resilience. In the same vain someone which we might perceive to be not vulnerable at all (e.g. rich urban dwellers) might not be able to cope at all if they are faced by a significant event (i.e. losing everything). Although I am not an ecologist I also believe we should be looking at socio-ecological resilience because these two domains are so inextricably linked. Resilience is thus not only a human attribute but rather a collective characteristic. Some interesting reading on the subject:
 Frerks, G., Warner, J., & Weijs, B. 2011. The politics of vulnerability and resilience. Ambiente & Sociedade. SciELO Brasil. 14(2):105–122.
Cannon, T. & Müller-Mahn, D. 2010. Vulnerability, resilience and development discourses in context of climate change. Nat Hazards. 55(3):621–635.
Folke, C., Carpenter, S.R., Walker, B., Scheffer, M., Chapin, T., & Rockström, J. 2010. Resilience thinking: integrating resilience, adaptability and transformability. E&S. HarperCollins Publishers. 15(4):20.
O'Brien, G., O'Keefe, P., Rose, J., & Wisner, B. 2006. Climate change and disaster management. Disasters. Blackwell Science Ltd. 30(1):64–80.
Klein, R.J.T., Nicholls, R.J., & Thomalla, F. 2003. Resilience to natural hazards: How useful is this concept? Environmental Hazards. 5(1):35–45.
Keck, M. & Sakdapolrak, P. 2013. What is social resilience? Lessons learned and ways forward. Erdkunde. 67(1):5–19.
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Dear colleagues, good morning
I would like to conduct a research on the differences between environmental policies in different countries. I am a professor of environmental policy and legislation in Brazil and I'm interested in checking out the environmental legislation somehow affects economic development. The goal is to develop a scientific article.
kind regards,
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Dear colleagues, good afternoon
Thanks for the replies, I hope to answer all individually. I'm starting to use ResearchGATE and I believe it has a tool for this.
As many have reported this is just an initiative of a subject that interests me. The type of research that I imagine would result in a collaborative scientific article, as so many others have already been published on the subject. Environmental Laws to which I refer are those that directly affect agricultural production. In the year 2012 here in Brazil great changes took place in one of our major laws that directly affect the agricultural, forestry and livestock production. In general, the law became more permissive. One of the reasons for this was the placement in the press that our law was very restrictive when compared to other countries. However, for most countries I found no article that effectively could suport it. I am interested in analyzing it. For this it is necessary to interpret the laws in a political and socioeconomic context of each country. I can do this in the case of Brazil, but it certainly would not be able to other countries even if I read them.
Thanks
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In many south Asian countries including India, Nepal, Bangladesh, women farmers are playing an important role in agriculture. With effects of climatic change more visible and severe than ever, women are evolving their own mechanisms to fight the after effects to mitigate the risk and uncertainty. What are your views on challenges faced by the women and strategies adopted by them to minimize the risk and uncertainty in agricultural production. Any links to studies on this topic are welcome.
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Dear K.M. Singh,
This is a question of good education opportunities. Where the daughters of farmers can get good agricultural education, they can use environmentally friendly methods if they can afford them. Equal rights and democracy help to imprease the number of well trained woman farmers.
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I am trying to figure out whether a CO2 (GHG) emission reduction goal of -60% by 2030 is feasible for Switzerland and am happy to have any inputs, reading advice etc. Thanks!
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Dear Eleonora,
you can try this link: http://www.ch2014-impacts.ch/
Kind regards
Thorsten
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I need to know how adaptable a community to climate change, so I need to understand how to measure values of vulnerability, risks, hazard, CDF and exposures.
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I would like to add that you have to define the domain and scale before entering into the subject. you have to see the process, the actor and the entity and accordingly you have to define these all.
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Climate change adaptation.
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Climate change is a product of over industrialisation of developed and developing countries, not the result of the subsistence-livelihood based actions of poor communities which are largely close-to-nature..
But unfortunately these poor communities face the brunt of climate change, due to their proximity to natural living. Their lifestyle itself is a mix of innovation and ingenuity for survival. The best help is self-help.
Innovative ways to adapt to climate change in poor communities of developing countries could be:
1. Food: First increase food security by investing in long term measures; Kitchen Garden, Backyard fishponds, Bee culture, Domestic animals, Horticulture, Olericulture, barter instead of currency exchange-Getting back to basics. When food supply is assured thus, wider and bigger things can be considered.
2. Water: Check dams to recharge ground water, desilting ponds, rain water harvesting measures,
3. Flora: Raising water friendly tree species, Raising high-demand crops on small land holdings for urban markets.
4. Fauna: Encourage mini-ecosystems with wider range of species to ensure resilience through richness in biodiversity. Creating conditions for various species to breed and propagate, which can than be harvested at sustainable rates.
5. Education: Attitude change is the single most effective factor which can make or break a community's will to survive. Therefore education should be a high priority goal,even in times of hardship. Education means the capacity and maturity to put responsibilities over rights, differentiate between short and long term investments, needs over luxuries, putting the community before the "I".
6. Co-operatives: Pooling resources with similar communities and individuals can alleviate hardship in times of scarce resources.
7. Political: Good leaders are to be encouraged to lead by personal example. This will also safeguard the community against exploitation by middle men and outsiders who have no stake in the community's well being. Ordinary community members should be informed of their rights and resist urban-centred mega projects which do not give much back to the community except for grabbing their land and other resources in the name of 'development'.
8. Understand the negative effects of consumerism, urbanism, mindless entertainment
9. Take measures to keep the community together by promoting Culture, Language, Religion and nature friendly way of life.
Hope this helps.
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Climate change has a multidimensional impact on human and natural environment. Since its effect is widespread in terms of geographical area and victims, it is challenging to specifically measure and investigate its linkage with intended outcome variables.
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I think this paper can help you too!
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I am interested in how local culture, indigenous knowledge (IK) and 'traditional perspectives' can influence community adaptation pathways in the face of climate change. I believe that culture and IK can both be an enabling factor and a constraint to effective and appropriate adaptation to climate change. I believe that communities should be enabled to plan for their own self-driven development, and that in addition to being appropriate to current and future climate change projections, adaptation strategies should be appropriate and sensitive to the local culture, socio-economic circumstances and geographic environment. I am interested in the community-based adaptation (CBA) approach, and how this can effectively account for local cultural considerations through appropriate policy. I will be exploring these questions through ethnographic fieldwork with an indigenous community in coastal Bangladesh.
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Dear Patrick, it is an interesting question to what extent adaptation differs locally on the basis of local preferences. We did research on the Dutch situation and are now involved in a comparison between the Netherlands and the UK.
You might be interested in the article in Ecology & Society on the meaning of resilience (Keessen et 2013)
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I am looking for approaches and perspectives that challenge the mainstream understanding of climate change adaptation promoted by the UNFCCC, IPCC, most international organizations and national governments.
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Adopting a state-centric perspec- tive, Geoff Cockfield investigates the controversy around the merits of adaptation to, or mitigation of, climate change. He predicts that liberal- democratic states will struggle to accommodate the demands of those who want climate change policy to be focused on mitigation. As a result, state responses will include non-decision-making, compromised mitiga- tion programmes, weak implementation and a lack of accountability in pursuing outcomes and targets. Recognising these problems, he explores the limits and possible costs of relying more on adaptation as a response to climate change.
The next three chapters lo
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Whether there is any climate change for a certain specific area. This can be question in the mind of a water resources engineer like me, or even in the mind of a common man. Is it better to search for the answer by analyzing local data or to use some statistical downscaling methodologies applied to regional climate change parameters?
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It is obvious that the newly released summary of the IPCC report pinpointed (now with clear remarks on uncertainties) several important challenges with respect to global climate change. Several COP meetings are ahead of us. Do we really expect that the global authorities will be able to cope with these challenges ?
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It seems to me this report showed solid evidences that scientific community did very good job and improved the uncertainties. I would expect positive consequences meaning may be more governmental/political commitments and people awareness of climate change is becoming important.
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I went to some websites such as NOAA / PCMDI and other similar websites, but I don't know how to find relevant data and download it.
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You can try the IRI website where some of the CMIP5 data are stored
Otherwise the official web site needs an account but it's free
Vincent
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Basic carbon cycle research is needed to better understand what the impact of human activities is on our Earth’s ecosystem and climate functioning. While that research is going on, critical decisions are being made at all levels of society, from international organizations and national governments down to individual businesses and households. We cannot afford to wait until all necessary research is done to begin to provide usable science that meets the needs of these decision makers. Producing usable science requires choices about the management of science and the kinds of questions asked right from the start of the research program.
Does anyone know of social science approaches that provide analysis of policy needs across the diverse community of climate decision makers? At the moment, it seems that the policy community is vast and diverse, while the carbon cycle research community is focused on very specific questions that are cannot address the immediate needs of the decision makers.
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I feel that scientists should try to keep away from politics, and politicians should not need to delve too deeply into science. The fact of the matter is that there is plenty of incontrovertible scientific evidence of anthropogenic atmospheric tampering eg: the CO2 concentration will double this century. Given that this is (still) the only known habitable world in the universe, and science cannot deal with anthropic questions that are best handled by philosophers and theologians. The political question should therefore be one based on ethics, not science.
Regarding the atmospheric sciences, unfortunately there are plenty of uncertainties. Water vapor, for example, produces 60% of the greenhouse effect [1], while the conditions for the initiation of condensation (cooling) is not understood [2]. We only have a couple of (very crude) tools and techniques for measuring the concentration and state of water and aerosols in the atmosphere. If scientists must get political, it is to win funding for the development of atmospheric observation technologies to change this embarrassing state of affairs.
[1] Kiehl, J. T. and Trenberth, K. E. (1997). Earths annual global mean energy budget. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc, pages 197–208.
[2] Girolamo, P. D., Behrendt, A., Kiemle, C., Wulfmeyer, V., Bauer, H., Summa, D., Drnbrack, A.,and Ehret, G. (2008). Simulation of satellite water vapour lidar measurements: Performance assessment under real atmospheric conditions. Remote Sensing Data Assimilation Special Issue. Remote Sensing of Environment, 112(4):1552 – 1568.
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Climate Change Mitigation
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We, in the grassroot areas, are hoping this trading scheme would come into fruition. Of course as Clement said, this does not ensure total mitigation of climate change as these rich industries are just like buying their way out from their immense emissions. However, this scheme could encourage the grassroot communities to maintain or enhance forest protection or reforestations as they would receive incentives with these activities. These grassroot communities are usually farming communities and in protecting the forests, their livelihood became limited. And if they can't provide for their families because of limited livelihood, it's inevitable that they would turn into cutting the trees in exchange for food. Some of these communities are protecting the forests for a very long time without incentives, making them mostly the poorest of the poor communities.