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Climate Change Adaptation - Science topic

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Necesitamos identificar los efectos del cambio climático en la conservación del patrimonio cultural, con la intención de identificar posibles estrategias de adaptación a este y así evitar la pérdida irreversible de patrimonio tanto material como inmaterial.
No se conocen estadísticas ni indicadores a este respecto, por lo que se ha considerado interesante enviar un cuestionario a Administraciones públicas, universidades, especialistas, profesionales, empresas, organizaciones y, en general, todos los grupos de interés relacionados con la conservación y gestión del patrimonio cultural con la intención de conocer amenazas y riesgos concretos.
Se trata de un cuestionario de 20 preguntas específicas diseñado por los/as especialistas que componen nuestro Grupo de Trabajo para la Adaptación al Cambio Climático del Patrimonio Cultural Español. Esperamos que no les ocupe más de 5 minutos en contestar. Es importante que nos indiquen su afiliación profesional (institución/organismo/empresa para la que trabaja o a quien representa) en el campo habilitado para ello para poder garantizar que los datos extraídos provienen de profesionales y entidades con experiencia en el campo de la conservación y gestión patrimonial.
Publicaremos los resultados de la encuesta a través de un documento de buenas prácticas con estrategias de adaptación al cambio climático en el patrimonio español cuyo lanzamiento está previsto para finales de 2023.
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I think that this is possible through the usage of qualitative methodologies like the Loop analysis. In fact, by considering the effects of climate change on both the social and ecological spheres, it can be understood the influence of this negative phenomenon with respect to cultural heritage.
Possibly, proxies may be used, such as the native population or the number of people visiting museums and enrolling in humanities studies. However, it would be important to take into account also government incentives and plans, to avoid errors and bias.
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How can farmers measure and track their carbon footprint, and what tools and technologies are available to support this effort?
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When soil is cultivated it causes the release of carbon dioxide into the air as soil organic matter oxidizes. Reducing the amount of soil disturbance and moving towards lower-tillage systems can reduce this flow of carbon from the soil, but it will not suit all situations. Selecting energy-efficient technologies is another way to reduce direct carbon emissions. Energy efficiency is about consuming less energy to get the same amount of work with the help of innovative design and technologies. Project managers must collaborate with technology partners to explore energy efficiency options. This can be done by taking plant matter such as wood, cork, hemp and algae that has captured atmospheric carbon via photosynthesis and using it directly. Alternatively, it can be turned into other materials that store carbon more permanently. Carbon footprints can be reduced through improving energy efficiency and changing lifestyles and purchasing habits. Switching one's energy and transportation use can have an impact on primary carbon footprints. A digital carbon footprint refers to the greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions that digital technology resources, devices, tools and platforms produce. The environmental effects of the internet and digital technology tend to be out of sight, out of mind. Nevertheless, those environmental costs are real. EPA and Colorado State University have developed the Agriculture and Land Use Greenhouse Gas Inventory (ALU) Software to guide inventory compilers through the process of estimating GHG emissions and removals related to agricultural and forestry activities. Reducing your carbon footprint is important because it mitigates the effects of global climate change, improves public health, boosts the global economy, and maintains biodiversity. When we cut carbon emissions we help ensure cleaner air, water, and food for our generation and for generations yet to come.
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In many south Asian countries including India, Nepal, Bangladesh, women farmers are playing an important role in agriculture. With effects of climatic change more visible and severe than ever, women are evolving their own mechanisms to fight the after effects to mitigate the risk and uncertainty. What are your views on challenges faced by the women and strategies adopted by them to minimize the risk and uncertainty in agricultural production. Any links to studies on this topic are welcome.
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The global climate crisis has exacerbated gender inequality around the world. Women are often more vulnerable than men to climatic variability and extremes based on a variety of factors, including socially constructed roles and responsibilities, limited access to and control over resources, muted voices in decision-making, restricted rights, and limited access to education. All these factors contribute to preventing women from standing up against climate catastrophes on their own. Poor women are particularly at risk from environmental stresses caused by the increased frequency and intensity of climate-induced droughts, floods, heat waves, deforestation, and the accompanying scarcity of natural resources, given that they have access to even fewer opportunities and resources. Women are the primary gatherers of water, food, and fuel, and they dominate subsistence farming, caregiving, and cleaning. These duties are more prone to feel the effects of environmental degradation and rising global temperatures as they rely heavily upon natural resources. Women give greater priority to protection of and improving the capacity of nature, maintaining farming lands, and caring for nature and environment's future. Repeated studies have shown that women have a stake in environment, and this stake is reflected in the degree to which they care about natural resources. South Asian women proactively employ their own traditional ecological knowledge and skill set to adapt to the constant changes in their environments, lives, and livelihoods. In South Asia's rural areas, women are the primary caretakers of the households. There is a significant body of literature on gender and climate change, which shows that women and men perceive and experience climate change differently, and usually women are more vulnerable due to their dependence on natural resources and structural inequity in their access and control of such resources. The simple view of women as a homogenous group is shifting toward a more complex view of identities within gender. Multiple social, economic, and cultural characteristics interact with gender in influencing power inequities and explaining how and why people face and manage climate change and environmental stresses in different ways.
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Hi, I'm an MSc student studying Climate Change & Environmental Policy. I'm interested in doing a dissertation surrounding feasibility of deploying CDR/CCUS technologies in the UK.
I am trying to narrow down the scope of my topic as it is too broad to proceed with. Does anyone have any ideas as to what I could narrow my research focus down to? Many thanks in advance.
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Dear Muhammed Munaim,
Yes, that is correct. The issues of limiting and reducing CO2 and other greenhouse gases in the atmosphere are very broad. The issue of reducing CO2 emissions is part of the multi-faceted issue of a pro-environmental and pro-climate transformation of the energy sector, including the development of renewable and zero-carbon energy sources. In addition, the relevant issues of pro-environmental and pro-climate transformation of the economy include the development of zero-emission means of transport, zero-energy building technologies, green building, sustainable organic agriculture, etc. The transition from a classic, brown economy based, among other things, on dirty, emission-intensive combustion energy to a sustainable, zero-emission, green circular economy requires the creation and implementation of new, eco-innovative energy and green technologies in order to get to a zero-emission economy as quickly as possible. The sooner this plan is implemented, the more the progressive process of global warming will be slowed down and the negative effects of the climate crisis reduced. Therefore, taking into account the issue of narrowing down the above issues, I propose the following topic for your thesis: An analysis of the determinants limiting the industrial-scale deployment of new, eco-innovation and green energy technologies necessary to smoothly and as quickly as possible achieve a zero-carbon economy. In terms of these limiting determinants, technological, financial, economic, social and political aspects, or just a selection of them, may be included.
Best regards,
Dariusz Prokopowicz
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In my country, more than a dozen years ago or more, there were real winters with snow and frost after the autumn. Whereas last winter, during the last few years it looked like autumn, without snow and positive temperatures. I think that the greenhouse effect, ie the warming of the Earth's climate, has already begun. This is also confirmed by numerous climatic cataclysms and weather anomalies, which in the current year 2018 appear in numerous places on the Earth. In some parts of the Earth there are fires of huge forest areas such as in Scandinavia, California in the USA, Australia, the Iberian Peninsula, Africa, etc. In addition, weather anomalies, e.g. snow and floods in October and November in the south of Europe.
In addition, tornadoes in many places on Earth and so on.
Perhaps these problems will get worse. It is necessary to improve security systems and anti-crisis services, improve the prediction of these anomalies and climatic cataclysms so that people can, have managed to shelter or cope with the imminent cataclysm. One of the technologies that can help in more precise forecasting of these cataclysms is the processing of large collections of historical and current information on this subject in the cloud computing technology in Big Data database systems.
Therefore, I am asking you: Will new data processing technologies in Big Data database systems allow for accurate prediction of climate disasters?
Please, answer, comments. I invite you to the discussion.
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Despite a small amount of uncertainty, scientists find climate models of the 21st century to be pretty accurate because they are based on well-founded physical principles of earth system processes. This basis solidifies the confidence of the scientific community that human emissions are changing the climate, which will impact the entire planet.
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How Labor hour lost due to climate change can be calculated? I am interested in different equation along with description.
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Ilan Kelman
No such information exist in your suggested report "annual report for Lancet Countdown".
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The new scenario family that IPCC is using in its new reports is a combination of Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) and Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSPs). You can read more about them at these papers:
As there is no probability assigned to different scenarios, scenario users are left with a numerous scenarios projecting the future world regarding the emission (RCPs) and societal and economic conditions (SSPs).
When you are planning to adapt to climate change, the impacts differ with each scenario (SSP-RCP combination. For example, planning for adaptation when you are facing a condition like SSP1-RCP2.6 is much cheaper, easier and achievable compared to a high emission scenario like SSP5-8.5 (combined with a socio-economical condition making adaptation challenging).
The discussion that I'm trying to open here is about the approaches you use / assumption you make in your studies when working with these scenarios. As my main audience is the people who use scenarios, I'll be grateful if you could share this post with people working in these areas.
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Thanks,
Kasra
Research Assistant at University of Waterloo
PhD System Design Engineering
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thanks for your interesting discussion issue and the useful literature materials that you shared.
RCPs and SSPs are forcing scenarios, needed to implement climate projections. Indeed, consider that projections are different from forecats, from a mathematical point of view. Projections require forcing inputs, like RCPs and SSPs are. SSPs are older scenarios respect to RCPs (introduced in the AR5), and, as you said, in its last report IPCC introduced a "combination" of RCPs and SSPs.
Now I go to the detail of RCPs using. These concentration pathways were originally: 2.6, 4.5, 6, and 8.5. The RCP 2.6 is the most 'optimistic', whereas RCP 8.5 is the most 'pessimistic'. If in your work you will use an RCP 8.5 you will observe the strongest increasing of ambient air temperature, or reductions of precipitation amounts or variations in wind speed directions, whereas using RCP 2.6 you will observe the projections of a global warming much more contained than RCP 8.5. Therefore, the use of anyone of the RCPs is at your choice, depending on what the goals of your work are.
I hope I have expressed the concepts clearly
Best regards
Claudio
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At what time scale should we consider the priority measures to be implemented in order to ensure the protection of natural resources and guarantee their sustainability? (i) direct and urgent measures associated with the modes of exploitation and development of resources ; (ii) indirect and very long-term implications of Climate Change on the potential of resources. Has everything been done on (i) to decree that it is urgent to tackle (ii) head-on with all its uncertainties, particularly with regard to time scales involved, incompatible with the scales of concrete actions?
Is it absurd to assume, like for the evolution of species and their adaptations to natural changes of all kinds, that adaptations and resilience to the effects of climate change should readjust themselves, to changes in natural conditions, which by definition are very slow and loaded with uncertainties?
Moral: what are the urgent actions for scientists, decision-makers, actors, and active civil societies, and on what issues should scientific, technical, and financial resources should be concentrated?
I would be glad to exchange ideas on this important matter. To start the discussion, I will begin by giving some examples from Tunisia (ranked among the countries that suffer the most from lack of water).
Example 1- On the adaptation of Tunisian olive groves to bioclimatic conditions: The olive tree has been cultivated in Tunisia since Roman times under different bioclimatic conditions in exclusively rainfed groves: in the south with less than 250 mm of rainfall and in the north with more than 600 mm [1]. Apart from the different olive tree species in each of the regions, it is clear that the density of olive trees is strictly correlated with rainfall, ranging from 16 olive trees per hectare in the South to nearly a hundred olive trees per hectare in the North; so that it is possible to faithfully superimpose the density map of olive trees on the map of isohyets. Empirically, over millennia and outside of any protocol or procedure, the peasants have naturally adapted to the natural conditions of the environment and it is difficult to imagine that things can be otherwise.
Example 2- On floods and hydraulic disorders: Indigenous, Carthaginian, Roman, and Muslim cities were, without exception, located high up, sheltered from flooding (they were unfortunately not immune to drought). The centrifugal developments of urban agglomerations during the last century have reached flood zones. The transformation of watersheds and the artificialization of the water cycle have increased the concentration of flows so that flooding has become a national plague. What are the urgent actions: (i) to rethink territory development and planning for better resilience to flooding or (ii) tackle the impact of climate change on the frequencies of floods, admittedly real but at much larger time scales which escapes the scales of concrete actions.
Example 3- On groundwater overexploitation and aquifers depletion: Most of the groundwater is subjected to disastrous overexploitation leading to drawdowns and irreversible degradation of water quality. Some aquifers are withdrawn at more than 250% of the average recharge rate and the oases of the South draw on very weakly renewable “fossil” aquifers to produce dates sold at prices ranging between $ 1 and $ 3 (approximately 8 m3 of water are required to produce 1 kg of dates) [2]. Coastal aquifers in the Cap-Bon region are used in the production of citrus fruits sold at less than $ 1 per kg. The aquifers are stressed to such an extent that marine intrusion has, in some cases, resulted in definitive depletion of the resource. If the decision-makers and the scientific community do not put urgently all their human and material resources and all the scientific and technical means, to solve this nagging problem; well, the time needed to define and put in place measures of resilience and adaptation to the hypothetical effects of Climate Change on groundwater recharge will be more than enough for the squandering of these resources to be total and definitive as it is already the case of certain coastal aquifers.
[1](5) (PDF) Alleviating water scarcity by optimizing "Green Virtual-Water": the case of Tunisia (researchgate.net)
[2](4) National Water Security, Case Study of an Arid Country: Tunisia | Request PDF (researchgate.net).
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Investment into resilience can align with sustainable development goals, improving quality of life, stimulating the economy, and protecting the environment while safeguarding areas against the onset of climate change. Resilience is the ability of a system to absorb, withstand and bounce back after an adverse event. https://www.eesi.org/topics/adaptation-resilience/description
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In order to assess the socio-economic vulnerability of households, what data would be needed and can be obtained from the National Statistics Institute ?
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Data on illiteracy, poverty, and unemployment rates can be searched
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Dear Researchers,
These days, the implications of future socio-economic development on climate change mitigation, adaptation, and land use are explored using SSPs. How it is better than RCPs?
Regards
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Hello,
"CDO" is a LINUX based operation for evaluating climate data.
Could any one assists me by means of installing or utilizing CDO on Windows operation systems?
Best regards
Saeideh Baghanian
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You can easily use CDO in window 10 by installing Ubuntu's terminal as a window application in window 10. Kindly follow the six steps below:-
step1: Open your window 10 and go to search are and then search the word turn window features on or off as illustrated in image1 (step1) attached below.
step2: from the popup window resulting due to step1, Scroll down until you see Window Subsystem for Linux and check it (tick) then click ok and restart your computer.
AIM OF STEPS 1 & 2: Is to create an environment for using Ubuntu (Linux) in Windows 10.
Step3: After finishing to restart your computer then search for Microsoft store and then click the app store as illustrated in image 3 (step3)
step4: After opening the Microsoft store then search Ubuntu and then install the latest version as illustrated in image 4 (step4).
step5: Open the Ubuntu terminal (App) and then create your username and password and finally update the ubuntu packages by using the command sudo apt-get update as shown in image 5 (step5).
step6: then install CDO by using the command sudo apt-get install cdo
lastly:
If you will get this error after installing CDO
# error
cdo: error while loading shared libraries: libQt5Core.so.5: cannot open shared object file: No such file or directory
THEN USE THE COMMAND BELOW
sudo strip --remove-section=.note.ABI-tag /usr/lib/x86_64-linux-gnu/libQt5Core.so.5
All the best, if you will get any challenges, feel free to share them here
PLEASE SEE THE ATTACHED IMAGES BELOW FOR GUIDANCE
Thank you
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how to assess urban climate of city master plan before implementation. How urban planners can assess and evaluate the behavior of a proposed master plan for a new city (new development) before implementation to find the vulnerable zones and enhance this zones performance for climate proof cities.
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Dear All,
I look forward to her you valuable contribution.
Regard
Fikrat
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Dear Fikrat M Hassan , this is the fine upcoming event.
HOW CAN UNIVERSITIES ACCELERATE THE GLOBAL TRANSITION TO NET ZERO?
International programme of workshops and debates brings together government ministers, university leaders, innovators and students to set a new agenda for how higher education can help accelerate the global transition to net zero...
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Net zero refers to a state in which the greenhouse gases going into the atmosphere are balanced by removal out of the atmosphere. A growing number of countries, cities and companies are aiming for 'net zero' emissions to meet climate goals, and the International Energy Agency has unveiled a plan to get there.
For tree based removal of CO2 would demand between 0.4 and 1.2 billion hectares of land. That’s 25% to 80% of all the land currently under cultivation. How will that be achieved at the same time as feeding 8-10 billion people around the middle of the century or without destroying native vegetation and biodiversity?
If we add technological removal, it may be termed as investment with no return.
If we are purly dependent on plantation, growing billions of trees would consume vast amounts of water – in some places where people are already thirsty. Increasing forest cover in higher latitudes can have an overall warming effect because replacing grassland or fields with forests means the land surface becomes darker. This darker land absorbs more energy from the Sun and so temperatures rise. Focusing on developing vast plantations in poorer tropical nations comes with real risks of people being driven off their lands.
And it is often forgotten that trees and the land in general already soak up and store away vast amounts of carbon through what is called the natural terrestrial carbon sink. Interfering with it could both disrupt the sink and lead to double accounting.
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The ideas of environmentalists and the public to create a clean planet are clear in ideological terms, and of course we all strive for them.
However, the technical specifics of the plans and actions of "Net zero emission" raises many doubts.
Thus, the plans of companies to restore ecosystems and forests can lead to the purchase of land for free from poor farmers in developing countries.
Compensatory measures of enterprises (restoration of forests, land, carbon capture, etc.) may be minimal in comparison with the reduction of emissions at their own production facilities along all supply chains and in the process of consumption of released goods.
On the part of enterprises, various manipulations are possible with the withdrawal of operations with the highest level of emissions to companies and countries where there is no carbon regulation.
In this sense, "Net zero emission" is a slogan.
In order to turn the slogans of environmentalists into specifics, it is necessary to switch to clean production based on promising energy carriers. The transition to a new technological structure will completely prevent industrial emissions and there are plenty of specific technical opportunities.
One of the possibilities is to switch to electron-beam energy carriers:
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Hello Community. I need your help! I want to write Bachelorthesis in field of city research/ecosystem services/climate change and adaptation. I still have no specific research question. So if someone can advice what is better and more important to research at the moment in these fields, i would be very grateful! It will be a huge help!
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The research questions can read like this
Could there be a link between forest fires and climate change?
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According to the Global Climate Risk Index 2021, developing countries bear the brunt of risks associated with climate change. International Climate Financing has increased over the years; however, the question remains how it can be efficiently managed and assessed for its successful implementation.
Kindly provide your valuable feedbacks.
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Climate Change Performance Index is an independent monitoring tool for tracking the climate protection performance of 57 countries and the EU. It aims to enhance transparency in international climate politics and enables comparison of climate protection efforts and progress made by individual countries.
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Dear All Researchers and Engineers,
We are organizing an International Symposium on Construction Resources for Environmentally Sustainable Technologies (CREST) during 10-12 March, 2020. On behalf of the chairman Prof. Hemanta Hazarika, we would like to invite all those interested in participating in the event. Please send your abstracts and papers, which will be published by Springer.
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Hi dear Divyesh.
Today, the growing need of society for buildings and housing, the need to use new building systems and materials to increase the speed of construction, lightening, increase useful life and earthquake resistance of buildings has become more and more. In this regard, upgrading the scientific and professional level of the engineering community and familiarity with new systems and building materials in order to apply these systems, is inevitable. Solving problems such as long construction time, low useful life or high cost of construction of buildings in the housing sector requires the provision of solutions for practical use of new building systems and new building materials to reduce weight, reduce construction time, more durability and ultimately reduce costs. Is run. These measures are considered essential for sustainable development. Also, in the long run, these efforts will reduce the waste of construction materials and consequently meet environmental needs, optimize construction, increase housing production and achieve optimal operating conditions. On the other hand, such developments will lead to the expansion of infrastructure investments in the housing sector, especially by the private sector, which will help governments achieve their housing goals.
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Electric cars have been introduced world wide with the idea that there will be some decrease in carbon footprints along with decrease in air pollution. But we have to charge an electric car on regular basis. From where that energy will come, is a big question. Some countries have hydel power generation, and some have thermal energy, the other may have solar also.
Second question is about water, air and soil pollution? If we shifted from air pollution to water and/or soil pollution, we have the ability to handle such mega scale pollutions?
In the light of the above, what is your analysis and views?
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Hi. Mainly yes.
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Is there any standard method to measure the effectiveness and success rate of any adaptation measures taken at the local, national, and regional level against climate change impacts? I have found some relevant articles. But, I am looking for a standard methodology accepted by an international body like the UNFCCC.
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Draft Order of the Ministry of Economic Development of the Russian Federation "On approval of methodological recommendations and targets on adaptation to climate change"
The guidelines for assessing climate risks establish common approaches for their assessment.
Thus, for territories, a unified list of natural hazards and phenomena that occur in the atmosphere, hydrosphere, cryosphere and lithosphere is considered as a source of risk. For each of these risk sources, quantitative indicators of the intensity, prevalence, and duration of exposure are provided. In addition to the territorial reference, an approach is used based on the threshold (critical) values of climatic factors, exceeding which with a high degree of probability will lead to the loss of operability (termination of normal functioning) or the elimination of infrastructure and other objects.
Methodological recommendations for ranking adaptation measures according to their priority level are based on the need to identify adaptation needs and develop appropriate adaptation measures.
At the same time, a risk-based approach (measures that reduce the overall level of climate risks for the territory and / or industry) and a benefit-based approach (measures that allow the regional and / or industry levels to use the opportunities arising from climate change) can be used to develop adaptation measures. The ranking of adaptation measures is based on the contribution of these measures to reduce the level of risk or vulnerability of the affected objects, or the effect of using new opportunities. At the same time, the weight of each of these factors is determined by the subject of adaptation independently based on the specifics of the characteristic climate risks and the activities carried out. Examples of adaptation measures depending on climate risk and an approximate form for ranking adaptation measures according to their priority are attached.
Methodological recommendations for the formation of industry, regional and corporate plans for adaptation to climate change combine the results of the use of the above recommendations.
The main task of the prepared adaptation plans is to determine the list of priority adaptation measures that are characterized by a high effect at a relatively low cost.
It also provides targets for achieving climate change adaptation goals, which include federal, sectoral and regional indicators and are designed to analyze the effectiveness of climate change adaptation measures and monitor the implementation of climate change adaptation plans (national, sectoral and regional).
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I plan to conduct research on "Exploring the relationship between Urban Tourism and Climate Change in Developing Countries-Specifically in South Asia". Could you suggest relevant literature on the issues of Urban Tourism and Climate Change in Developing Countries.
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Within what minimum and maximum values does the (statically significant) correlation between annual growth of the rings and climatic variables (eg: temperature and / or rainfall) vary in beech (Fagus sylvatica) under the European climates?
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Really nice, interested and important question.
Keep it up !
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I would like a more focus on urban areas and urban water use. I am interested to know experiences of drought management in different cities which are faced with drought for example.
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Krishnan Umachandran I agree with him. Very good answer.
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Hi everyone,
I am looking to collaborate with any researcher(s) that is/are interested in applying the principles of cellular automaton to climate change research. Kindly reach out to me by commenting, sending a private message or an email to hemenseter@knu.ac.kr
Please share this with your colleagues so it can be widely read. Thanks
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Dear Butu,
Do you want to relate cellular automaton to climate change and sustainability research with business?
If you want to do this I can collaborate.
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Dear all,  
I am currently a guest editor for the special issue "Mediterranean Olive Trees and Olive Oil under Climate Change", which will be published by the journal Agronomy (ISSN 2073-4395, 2019 JCR impact factor = 2.259, Quartile 1).
The deadline is June 2021. Please feel free to contact me if you are interested and also feel free to disseminate this message in your groups.
Yours sincerely,
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Bon courage et bonne chance Olfa
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What are the differences in the world concerning knowledge and awareness about climate change? Which mental modes have to be overcome in order to reduce the awareness-action gap? To which extent can ESD contribute to this?
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In the sense of your question, this scientific contribution shows an interesting contribution. I hope you find it useful.
  • Embodied GHG emissions of buildings – The hidden challenge for effective climate change mitigation
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It should not be confused with strike and limit thresholds.
In this case, I am emphasizing the basis of the index, such as:
-Cumulative, accumulated, deficit and excess rainfall values.
-Average, lowest and highest temperature values.
For example, I have historical rainfall, temperature and streamflow data consisting of about 30 years, so how can I decide the value of index based on the above values such as cumulative, average, lowest and highest values?
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You can use Standard Precipitation Index, RDI, Streamflow index- All these indices will give you an idea about how these climatic and hydrologic variables influences the productivity. Both extremes such as floods and droughts can be captured, and can be linked to weather based insurance
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We already know that climate change is leading to a significant increase in sea surface are and reasons are quite obvious. But the question is, how can elevated atmospheric temperature influence underground aquifers? or does it?  
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Yes it affects the groundwater by it's negative impact on soil filtration and raising temperature degrees which reduce the amount of groundwater
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Global warming affects many processes in biological ecosystems. Different species of flora and fauna change their habitats and geographical areas according to climate change and specific geographical environments. Areas of occurrence of specific species, for example insects in terrestrial areas and fish and arthropods in the seas and oceans, change. Bird habitats change, so migrations of some bird species may also be subject to modification. In the situation when forest areas dry out and turn into steppes and deserts, changes in natural habitats and areas of occurrence of species change and concern simultaneously many species of flora and fauna.
Do you agree with me on the above matter?
In the context of the above issues, I am asking you the following question:
What changes in natural ecosystems are caused by the ongoing global warming process?
Please reply
I invite you to the discussion
Thank you very much
Best wishes
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Climate change and global warming have severe consequences for the survival of scleractinian (reef-building) corals and their associated ecosystems.... Crabbe, M. J. C. (2008). Climate change, global warming and coral reefs: Modelling the effects of temperature. Computational Biology and Chemistry, 32(5), 311-314.
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I am particularly interested in conceptual literature and pieces of research that aim at advancing the human geographic debate on (local) climate governance. Thank you very much!
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This is probably the most important problem to explore and solve in the 21st century.
Unfortunately, many people, including politicians and entrepreneurs managing large industrial corporations ignore the seriousness of this problem. It is necessary to develop research in this area, in the matter of examining the determinants of climate change, global warming, rising average temperature on the Earth, progressing greenhouse effect on Earth. These problems must be publicized in the mass media. While it is not too late, while this unfavorable process can be partially reversed. Or maybe we can not reverse this process anymore? Maybe it's too late? What then, will we be able to protect, at least partially, the biosphere, natural ecosystems due to these adverse climate changes, anomalies and climatic cataclysms, from drought in many areas currently agricultural or possessing a rich biosphere? Research on these topics needs to be developed, publicized, and published. Perhaps, finally, politicians and owners of industrial corporations will change their approach to more pro-ecological. This is probably the most important question for the 21st century: Will we be able to stop adverse climate changes, including the progressing greenhouse effect on Earth?
Please reply. I invite you to the discussion
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Possible, with law enforcements.
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Probably the future of humanity depends on the next decade. If, over the next few years, renewable energy sources replacing traditional energy based on the burning of minerals are developed on a massive scale, it might be possible for humankind to avoid a climatic catastrophe in the 21st century. The international climate agreement that currently (December 2018) concluded in Katowice in Poland may be a late and insufficient agreement, because most countries do not intend to develop high-budget projects for the construction and development of power plants based on renewable energy sources. In addition, changes in the automotive industry, changes leading to the development of motorization in the direction of electromobility are too slow. The problem is serious because it concerns the future of all humanity in the perspective of the next two to three generations, yet the necessary changes and reforms in the implementation of economic principles of sustainable pro-ecological development are too slow. With the current pace of changes, there may be a shortage of time to implement the necessary pro-ecological undertakings, and then the problem of global warming will become an irreversible process and will constantly accelerate!
In view of the above, the current question is: Probably the future of humanity in the 21st century depends probably on the next dozen or so years?
Please, answer, comments. I invite you to the discussion.
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Dear Ammar A. Oglat, Sasa Bakrac, Md. Hasanuzzaman, Marwah Firas Abdullah Al-Rawe,
Afraa Ibrahim
, Dear Colleagues and Friends from RG, Thank you for the proposed interesting issues in the field Probably the future of humanity in the 21st century depends probably on the next dozen or so years?
Thank you very much for the sent suggestions of interesting topics, research issues, etc. related to this issue.The issue is indeed developmental. You described the problem very well. I fully agree with your opinion on this topic. Thank you very much for an inspiring, interesting and substantive answer. Your statements confirm that the above-mentioned issues are current and developing. In view of the above, in my opinion, in recent years the importance of issue Implementation of The Principles of Sustainable Economy Development as a key element of Pro-ecological transformation of The Economy towards Green Economy and Circular Economy.
Thank you very much and best regards,
Dariusz Prokopowicz
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Many researchers believe that social perception has a greater impact on the actions of governments and organizations than the advice of specialists in the context of knowledge dissemination and popularization of science. I am looking to situate the importance of Social Representations of the populations from marginalized areas in the development of an education program aimed at adapting and mitigating the negative effects of climate change.
Many researchers believe that social perception has a greater impact on the actions of governments and organizations than the advice of specialists in the context of knowledge dissemination and popularization of science. I am looking to situate the importance of Social Representations of the populations from marginalized areas in the development of an education program aimed at adapting and mitigating the negative effects of climate change.
What is the importance of Social Representations in an education program for behavioral change with regard to climate change?
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Dr Juan Carlos Torrico , thank you for your comment! You argue that population should be part of the process regarding how facing its owns problems in a sustainable way.
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It is important for me that in what ways understanding of crisis leads to do some actions.
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We all know that COVID 19 became pandemic that affected over 187 countries of the world, and thus causing high morbidity and mortality. COVID-19 pandemic has a serious impact on every thing including health, and economy. Therefore, people perceived COVID-19 more different than other global crisis, such as climate change/ global warming, and other communicable and non-communicable diseases.
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Hi,
I'm embarking on research to conduct species distribution modelling in future climate scenarios but I'm unsure of which GCM to use . Is there any article/paper I could read to further understand the pros/cons of different GCMs to be able to decide on which GCM to use? I will be modelling different species which ranges across the tropics across the different continents. Any recommendation will be much appreciated. Thank you!
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The John Molson School of Business at Concordia University kindly invites contributions to the forthcoming edited book Beyond the 2ºC - Business and Policy Trajectories to Climate Change Adaptation to be published by Palgrave Macmillan and being considered for the “Palgrave Studies in Sustainable Business: In Association with Future Earth” book series.
ABOUT THE BOOK
Climate change mitigation, understood as an approach to reduce human-induced emissions, has taken centre stage in climate action debates and efforts in the last decades. Currently published reports and studies present scenarios under which we can limit the global temperature rise to a 2°C threshold. However, to stay within the 2°C threshold, we need to move towards net-negative global emissions. This would require mobilization on a global scale and improvements in our approaches to mitigating global warming. After passing the symbolic 400 parts per million (PPM) threshold of carbon dioxide equivalents (CO2-eq) in the atmosphere in 2016, recent studies have highlighted that the current emission trajectory can easily lead to concentrations of up to 1,000 PPM of CO2-eq – leading to an average global warming of up to 5.4°C by the end of this century.
While many governments, businesses and researchers like to believe that a mitigation-focused approach can keep the 2°C threshold within reach, this edited book intends to investigate the business and policy adaptation trajectories beyond what are currently understood to be some of the major tipping points in the climate system. In these scenarios, the planet will be on an accelerated path towards deforestation, biodiversity loss, erosion of inhabited and uninhabited coastal areas, and the possible disappearance of entire island states. These events will be coupled with the possible proliferation of disease, human migration, and increased conflicts over resources. This calls for academics, practitioners, and policymakers to shift their attention away from the almost exclusive focus on climate change mitigation, to also consider adaptation plans.
Beyond the 2ºC - Business and Policy Trajectories to Climate Change Adaptation is an edited collection that will review and critically analyze new and innovative business and policy approaches to climate change adaptation across different economic sectors and for different locations. The edited collection will aim to ignite an academic discussion regarding the necessary, and potentially urgent, adaption strategies that could address the risks induced by the fast-changing climate. The contributions should demonstrate how we can adapt to a world where fresh water is scarce, where extreme weather events are a daily reality, where global sea levels are up to 2.4 m higher than today, and where flooding and wildfires are no longer discrete events. The collection plans to evaluate the readiness of our businesses and policies to adapting to this “new” world and to explore strategies that move beyond the current incremental approaches.
CALL FOR CONTRIBUTIONS
Beyond the 2ºC - Business and Policy Trajectories to Climate Change Adaptation aims to explore and propose business and policy solutions for climate-induced economic, technical, and societal challenges.
The editors are accepting contributions by experts in both the academic and practitioner communities in business and policy, as well as related fields such as economics, management, development studies, finance, and entrepreneurship. The editors are inviting contributions that:
· Shed new light on our understanding of climate-related vulnerabilities and risks
· Explore innovative risk management procedures
· Present new and emerging processes for internalizing adaptation in existing business and policy approaches
· Identify new barriers to large scale and/or local climate change adaptation
· Introduce methodologies for mapping and understanding synergies and trade-offs in adaptation
· Investigate approaches to overcoming conflicts in business and policy adaptation trajectories
The editors are encouraging contributions that move beyond the current disciplinary divides and present novel interdisciplinary approaches, which use scenario building methodologies in their investigations and study the social, economic, environmental, and cultural dimensions of the complex adaptation trajectories. Moreover, the editors will also be accepting chapters that incorporate new concepts or tools beyond the academic fields of business administration and political science. These fields will include the natural and social sciences, which make connections to the business and policy. The editors also encourage contributions that move beyond carbon emissions to focus on emerging challenges and themes regarding adaptation, which includes health, wellbeing, air quality, waste, and biodiversity. In addition, chapters that use case studies or comparative studies (between different solutions, applications in different industries, or variations between regions) are strongly encouraged. Finally, considering the global nature of climate change and its multi-scale consequences, the editors invite authors to critically consider the scalar relevance – local, regional, national, and supranational levels – of their contributions.
The submissions will be reviewed with an open mind and with a particular focus on the relevance of the chapter with respect to adapting to climate change and its consequences beyond the 2ºC threshold. The edited book will serve as an academic reference for senior undergraduate, graduate, and post-graduate scholars in the fields of business, public affairs, social science, environmental studies, and law across the globe. It will also function as a practical guide and a reference for emerging best practices on the topic of climate change adaptation for industry and business leaders, regulators, and policymakers around the world. Although the book can be used as a reference book in academic courses, it will not be specifically organized as a textbook.
POTENTIAL TOPICS FOR CHAPTERS
1. CLIMATE CHANGE HAZARDS AND THEIR MANAGEMENT
a. Understanding the hazards and their management
b. Technological hazards
c. Political hazards
d. Natural hazards (cyclones, floods, storms, floods, droughts)
e. Socio-economic risks
f. Human health risks
g. Planetary health and biodiversity risks
h. Geoengineering and climate management
i. Greenhouse gas management
ii. Solar radiation management
2. THE FUTURE OF FOSSIL FUELS AND EMISSIONS
a. Fossil fuel subsidies
b. Carbon pricing/carbon taxation
c. Biofuel and other alternative fuels
d. Renewable energy (wind, solar, geothermal)
e. The future of nuclear power (challenges and opportunities)
f. Battery electric vehicles (BEVs)
g. Hydrogen fuels
3. ADAPTING CITIES, URBAN SETTLEMENTS, AND CHANGES TO HUMAN BEHAVIOUR
a. Urban planning, urban design, and cities beyond the 2ºC
b. Waterfront settlements, island states, and other high-risk human settlements
c. Buildings and construction (design, materials, codes/standards/certifications, retrofitting)
d. Local modes of transportation (cars and other private transport, public transit, collective passenger transport, human-powered transport, etc.)
e. Intra-continental travel (rail, advanced trains and emerging technologies)
f. Inter-continental travel (aviation fuel, turbofan/turboprop engines, emissions and contrails, emerging technologies, etc.)
g. Global product transport and logistics
4. ADAPTING THE PRODUCTION AND CONSUMPTION PATTERNS
a. Agriculture, soil, and forests
i. Animal and marine farming
ii. Agriculture, agroforestry, reforestation
iii. Soil and its rehabilitation
b. Demand-side management
i. Incentive and financing programs
ii. Change and development in consumption patterns
iii. Consumer behaviour beyond a 2ºC warmer climate
c. Supply-side management
i. Change and development in production patterns
ii. Recycling, upcycling, reuse, and regeneration
iii. Closed-loop production models
iv. Living and biotic natural resources
v. Non-living natural resources (metals, minerals, and stone)
vi. Renewability of resources
d. New and emerging modes of production and consumption
5. FINANCING GLOBAL CLIMATE ADAPTATION
a. Microfinance (micro-credit, micro-insurance, risk, etc.)
b. Philanthropy and venture capital
c. ESG investment (trends, renewable energy investment, partnerships, water, etc.)
d. Climate finance (private climate finance, green funds, adaptation funds, the low carbon market, divestment, etc.)
e. Evaluating and managing the financial risks of adaptation
f. Natural capital accounting (efforts, innovations, and effects)
g. Financial policies
6. LIMITATION AND THE FUTURE OF CLIMATE ADAPTATION
a. The limits to climate change mitigation
b. Political and policy limits
c. Capital limits
d. Technological limits
e. Societal and cultural limits
IMPORTANT DATES
· Abstract and CV submission deadline – June 30th, 2020
· Selection of abstracts and notification to successful contributors – July 31st, 2020
· Full chapter submission – November 30th, 2020
· Revised chapter submission – February 28th, 2021
GUIDELINES FOR CONTRIBUTORS
Submissions should be written in English using a non-technical writing style. The contributions may include diagrams/illustrations in order to present data, or photographs/figures (all in black & white) to better illustrate the topic of discussion. Submitted chapters should be original and exclusively prepared for the present book. No part of the article should be published elsewhere. Chapters must not exceed 7,000 words (including all references, appendices, biographies, etc.), must use 1.5-line spacing and 12 pt. Times New Roman font, and must use the APA 7th edition reference style.
Researchers and practitioners are invited to submit abstracts of no more than 500 words, a bibliography for their proposed chapter, and a CV. Abstract submissions are expected by June 30th, 2020. Submissions should be sent via email to climatechange.adaptation@concordia.ca
Authors will be notified about the status of their proposals and will be sent complete chapter guidelines. Full chapters are expected to be submitted by November 30th, 2020.
Please note there are no submission or acceptance fees for the manuscripts.
ABOUT THE EDITORS
Thomas Walker[1]
Dr. Walker holds an MBA and PhD degree in Finance from Washington State University. Prior to his academic career, he worked for several years in the German consulting and industrial sector at firms such as Mercedes Benz, Utility Consultants International, Lahmeyer International, Telenet, and KPMG Peat Marwick. He has taught as a visiting professor at the University of Mannheim, the University of Bamberg, the European Business School, and the WHU – Otto Beisheim School of Management. His research interests are in sustainability & climate change, corporate governance, securities regulation and litigation, and insider trading and he has published over sixty articles and book chapters in these areas. He is the lead-editor of five books on sustainable financial systems, sustainable real estate, sustainable aviation, emerging risk management, and environmental policy. Dr. Walker has held numerous administrative and research positions during his career. For instance, he served as the Laurentian Bank Professor in Integrated Risk Management (2010-2015), Chair of the Finance Department (2011-2014), Director/Co-director of the David O’Brien Centre for Sustainable Enterprise (2015-2017), and as Associate Dean, Research and Research Programs (2016-2017) at Concordia University. In addition, he has been an active member of various advisory boards and steering committees including, among others, the human resources group of Finance Montréal, the steering committee of the Montreal chapter of the Professional Risk Managers’ International Association (PRMIA), the academic advisory board of the MMI/Morningstar Sustainable Investing Initiative, and the advisory board for Palgrave Macmillan’s Future Earth book series on sustainability.
Stefan Wendt[2]
Dr. Wendt is an Associate Professor and Director of the Graduate Programs in Business at Reykjavik University’s Department of Business Administration. From March 2005 until March 2015 he was Research and Teaching Assistant at the Department of Finance at Bamberg University, Germany, where he received his doctoral degree in 2010. He has taught as a visiting lecturer at École Supérieure de Commerce Montpellier, France, and Baden-Württemberg Cooperative State University (DHBW), Mosbach, Germany. His fields of research include corporate finance and governance, risk management, financial markets and financial intermediation, small and medium-sized enterprises, and behavioural finance.
Sherif Goubran[3]
Sherif is a PhD. candidate in the Individualized Program (INDI) at Concordia University, a Vanier Scholar, and a Concordia Public Scholar. He is conducting interdisciplinary research within the fields of design, architecture, building engineering and real-estate finance. His PhD research investigates the alignment between sustainable building practices and Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). His research focus includes building sustainability and sustainability assessment, sustainability in architectural design and human approaches in design. Sherif completed a MASc in building engineering in 2016 with a focus on energy efficiency in commercial buildings. Before that, he completed a BSc in Architecture at the American University in Cairo (AUC-Egypt). Today, he is actively engaged in several research laboratories, centers, and groups where he teaches and conducts research in design, engineering, architecture, and business. He is also involved in several sustainability committees and projects at Concordia on the student as well as the administrative levels.
Tyler Schwartz[4]
Tyler is currently a research and book publication assistant in the Department of Finance at Concordia University. He recently completed his undergraduate degree at the John Molson School of Business in which he received an Honours in Finance. As part of his undergraduate degree, he completed a thesis project in which he wrote a paper focusing on the relationship between data breaches, security prices, and crisis communication. He was also presented with the CUSRA scholarship in 2017, which is awarded to undergraduate students who have an interest in pursuing research activities. His research interests include sustainable finance, machine learning, data breaches, and cognitive science.
[1] Concordia University: thomas.walker@concordia.ca
[2] Reykjavik University: stefanwendt@ru.is
[3] Concordia University: sherif.goubran@mail.concordia.ca
[4] Concordia University: tyler.schwartz@mail.concordia.ca
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Climate adaptation can also be considered a transition. In order to benchmark and report implementation of climate change adaptation measures, a transition ladder or framework is required. Various indexes, benchmarks and metrics exist, e.g. Blue Cities Index (2015), Resilient Cities Index (2015), Sustainable Cities Index (2016). None of these comes with a transition framework that makes connections between the past, present and future developments.
Like a spatial transition, urban development has a strong relationship with its water systems. Based on a historical analysis of the technical and institutional arrangement in urban water management over time, this is captured by the urban water transitions (UWT) framework (Brown et al., 2008). To benchmark and report of climate adaptation I prefer to use the " Urban water transitions framework" to the Water Sensitive City, as applied in the EU funded Interreg CATCH research project. https://www.researchgate.net/project/CATCH-Interreg-North-Sea-Region-Climate-Resilient-Cities
Do I miss any other transition framework to benchmark and report climate change adaptation, in existence or under development?
Figure: Step-by-step approach of developed cities and potential of leapfrogging of developing cities in UWT framework (Dolman et al., 2019, adapted from Brown et al., 2008).
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Thank you Nanco Dolman and sounds exciting! Excellent that disasters is a focus, so that climate change could be placed within that context. A few aspects of understanding disasters:
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How do I predict biodiversity changes under different climatic scenarios? What kind of models are applicable in southern Africa? Where can I get them? 
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It is obvious from these answers that can be a variety of approaches.
This paper way (on Research Gate too) among others as I said can be one of the such a path to be use.
All the best. Doru
Natural and anthropogenic driving forces as key elements in the Lower Danube Basin–South-Eastern Carpathians–North-Western Black Sea coast area lakes: a broken stepping stones for fish in a climatic change scenario?
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Decades of rising emissions continued to do what scientists have long warned they would: make the world hotter.
Indeed, the 2010s mark the decade when the impacts from climate change became unmistakable, at least for any objective-minded observer.
Carbon dioxide from fossil fuels, which makes up about 90% of total emissions from human activities, was relatively flat from 2013 through 2016.
However, Fossil-fuel emissions rose an estimated 0.6% to a record 37 billion metric tons in 2019, capping three straight years of growth.
Sea-level rise is accelerating!!
The planet got a lot hotter this decade!!
Most countries have done very little so far to displace the power plants, cars, factories, and buildings polluting the atmosphere with more emissions each year.
In your view, is the world doing enough on climate change?
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I do not believe it is. Many people and companies are seeing the signs and disregarding them.
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When assessing the impacts of climate change in hydro-climatological studies, researchers often compare "GCM future run with historical observed" or "GCM future run with GCM control run" ? Can somebody give some insights on a comparison of these approaches?
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If interested in mean changes and want to cover full spectrum of future projections (Cold-Dry, Cold-Wet, Warm-Dry, Warm-Wet), use envelope-based approach (four corners with combinations of 10th and 90th percentiles of precipitation and temperature)
If interested in extremes, then use GCM-history vs. GCM-future. (Based on ETCCDI, e.g., CDD, CSDI, CWD, R99pTOT, WSDI, etc.) --- Rclimdex can be used to calculate ETCCDI
If you want to see whether GCMs can represent observed climate at present and near past then you need to compare GCM-history and Observed-history. Statistical indices can be used for this purpose.
If interested in Bias Correction, CMhyd is a handy tool to do that.
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Hi,
I would like to know the difference between climate change and climate variability?
Cordially.
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Hey Faci,
I just attached a picture and hope it will help you.
Best
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Hello!
I'm a design consultant with a background in Product Design from NID-Ahmedabad, based in Bangalore. I'm doing work and am keen to grow in these three directions. Is anyone in India channeling any efforts in these fields? It's difficult to find creatives working in these fields so I'm looking to connect, collaborate, and develop a community of folks with similar interests.
Behavior Science led Design
This could be applied Behavior Economics, or Design for Behavior Change, or applying BehavSci for Social Design - anything that entails designing and for and keeping in primary consideration human behavior.
Design for Digital Humanities
This could be working towards a healthier internet, Data Awareness, Humaneness of Tech, Ethics of AIML, Psycho-sociological impact of Tech, People+AI Research
Design for Climate Action
This entails designers and creatives expressly working for climate change mitigation and adaptation.
Thanks!
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Snehal Nagarsheth thank you, will read up about it!
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Mankind's ideas of energy production must be re-thought in order to survive... The relyance on fossil fuels or nuclar energy does not help. All sources of energy should be thought about, so tidal energy is OK, but not very efficient. It has be shown to work (e.g. in the Netherlands and France in estuaries of rivers)... Wind energy is efficient in costal areas but has been depending on state funding... But do you honestly think that coal mining or the production of nuclear energy/Waste is not depending from state funding/subsidies?
An introduction can be seen by the Open University, see URL:
Do you have helpful ideas or thougths?
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All of these advances inevitably led to the assumption that new resources were not needed in the development process. This is due to the fact that based on fossil fuels - on the other hand.In reality, this contrast is far from straightforward and requires more thoughtful study. Carbon dioxide capture and storage (CCS) and methane management technologies at all stages of the increment in the cost of energy from fossil sources can help fulfill large-scale tasks to reduce CO2 emissions while fossil fuels are still part of the energy system. Thus, these measures allow fossil fuels to become part of the solution, rather than remain part of the problem. A rational economy plays an important role in the energy systems of each technology.
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What are the main impacts of climate change on agriculture ?
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First of all there are a lot of statements describing the effect of climate change on agriculture. Some of them were shown before and I will add an additional one: https://19january2017snapshot.epa.gov/climate-impacts/climate-impacts-agriculture-and-food-supply_.html
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The German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Halle-Jena-Leipzig wrote a Scientists call for action for the EU Common Agricultural Policy to address sustainability challenge. Over 1500 scientists have already signed the statement, covering most 28 EU Member States and over 30 other countries. If you want to support these scientific based demands for a contemporary European Agropolicy, you can read more about it and/or sign here:
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Science News from research organizations
Stalled weather patterns will get bigger due to climate change
Relationship between jet stream, atmospheric blocking events
Date: November 13, 2019 Source: Rice University Summary: Climate change will increase the size of stalled high-pressure systems that can cause heat waves, droughts and other extreme weather, according to a new study. Share: FULL STORY 📷 Street flooding (stock image). Credit: © rostyle / Adobe Stock
Climate change will increase the size of stalled high-pressure weather systems called "blocking events" that have already produced some of the 21st century's deadliest heat waves, according to a Rice University study.
Atmospheric blocking events are middle-latitude, high-pressure systems that stay in place for days or even weeks. Depending upon when and where they develop, blocking events can cause droughts or downpours and heat waves or cold spells. Blocking events caused deadly heat waves in France in 2003 and in Russia in 2010.
Using data from two sets of comprehensive climate model simulations, Rice fluid dynamicists Ebrahim Nabizadeh and Pedram Hassanzadeh, and colleagues found that the area of blocking events in the northern hemisphere will increase by as much as 17% due to anthropogenic climate change. The study, which is available online from Geophysical Research Letters, was co-authored by Da Yang of Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory and the University of California, Davis, and Elizabeth Barnes of Colorado State University.
Hassanzadeh, an assistant professor of mechanical engineering and of Earth, environmental and planetary sciences, uses computational, mathematical and statistical models to study atmospheric flows related to a broad range of problems from extreme weather events to wind energy. He said researchers have increasingly been interested in learning how climate change might affect blocking events, but most studies have focused on whether blocking events will become more frequent as the atmosphere warms because of greenhouse gas emissions.
"Studies in the past have looked at whether you get more or less blocking events with climate change," he said. "The question nobody had asked is whether the size of these events will change or not. And the size is very important because the blocking events are more impactful when they are larger. For example, if the high-pressure system becomes bigger, you are going to get bigger heat waves that affect more people, and you are likely going to get stronger heat waves."
Nabizadeh, a mechanical engineering graduate student in Rice's Brown School of Engineering, set out to answer the question two years ago. Using a hierarchical modeling approach, he began with experiments on a model of atmospheric turbulence that's far simpler than the real atmosphere.
The simple model, which captures the fundamental dynamics of blocking events, allowed Nabizadeh to do a great deal of exploration. Making slight changes in one parameter or another, he ran thousands of simulations. Then the data was analyzed using a powerful dimensional analysis technique called the Buckingham-Pi theorem, which is often used in designing large and complex engineering systems that involve fluid flows.
The goal was finding a scaling law, a mathematical formula that described the size of a blocking event using variables that climate scientists already study and understand. Nabizadeh started with scaling laws that have been developed to predict the size of day-to-day weather patterns, but he found that none of the variables were predictive for blocking events.
His persistence eventually paid off with a simple formula that relates the area of blocking events to the width, latitude and strength of the jet stream, all of which are well-studied and measured.
"I gave a talk about this recently, and one of the people came up after and said, 'This is magical, that these powers add up and suddenly you get the right answer.' But it took a lot of work by Ebrahim to get this elegantly simple result," he said.
At a one point, Nabizadeh had analyzed the data from many simulations and produced a comparison that included page upon page of figures, and Hassanzadeh said the scaling law discovery was encouraged by an unlikely agency: the Texas Department of Motor Vehicles (DMV).
"Ebrahim went to the DMV one weekend, and I went to the DMV the week after, and at the DMV you have to sit and you don't have anything to do," he said. "So after staring at these numbers for hours, we realized this is the right scaling."
They also compared the simple-model results with the output of increasingly complex models of the Earth's weather and climate. Nabizadeh said the scaling law predicted changes in the size of future winter blocking events in comprehensive climate model simulations with remarkable accuracy.
"It performs better for winter events than summer events for reasons we don't yet understand," Nabizadeh said. "Our results suggest future studies should focus on better understanding summer blocks and also how larger blocking events might affect the size, magnitude and persistence of extreme-weather events like heat waves."
The research was supported by NASA (80NSSC17K0266), the National Academies' Gulf Research Program, the Department of Energy (DE-AC02-05CH11231) and the National Science Foundation (NSF) (AGS-1545675). Computing resources were provided by the NSF-supported XSEDE project (ATM170020) and Rice's Center for Research Computing in partnership with Rice's Ken Kennedy Institute for Information Technology.
Story Source:
Materials provided by Rice University. Original written by Jade Boyd. Note: Content may be edited for style and length.
Journal Reference:
  1. Ebrahim Nabizadeh, Pedram Hassanzadeh, Da Yang, Elizabeth A. Barnes. Size of the atmospheric blocking events: Scaling law and response to climate change. Geophysical Research Letters, 2019; DOI: 10.1029/2019GL084863
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The 'Boy-Child' returns in 2020: This time, will it devastate us? And what do we do now, to prepare for it's return?
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is there any methods or theory to measure the level of resilience to climate change, natural hazards, and other threats to well-being in a fishing community? 
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The term resilience has been popular in multiple disciplines for several decades, and there are thousands of definitions especially from the food security perspective but it is now commonly used within the field of climate change and disaster risk management, with definitions: The ability of a social or ecological system to absorb disturbances while retaining the same basic structure and ways of functioning, the capacity for self-organization, and the capacity to adapt to stress and change (IPCC, 2014).
The capacity of a social-ecological system to anticipate, mitigate, absorb, adapt and transform withstand perturbations and other songstress such that the system remains within the same regime, essentially maintaining its structure and functions and recover from the effects of a hazard in a timely and efficient manner, including through the preservation and restoration of its essential basic structures and functions (http://www.resalliance.org/key-concepts). From this definition and other supportive literature the researcher developed five major resilience dimensions or capacities which are anticipation, mitigation, absorptive, adaptive and trans formative with multiple indicators under each resilience dimensions. And the model which will be preferable to address this object is
there for since resilience is multidimensional and system level you can develop indicators at different levels such as:
1. Anticipative
2. Mitigative
3. Absorbative
4.Adaptive and
5Transformative finally you can measure based on the resilience index method
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Dear climate change specialist, I have 225 Female Responded HH Data that I have collected during my PhD. Now, I am interested to work for "Women in Climate Change Adaptation on Rice Production: A Case of Rural Household from Mountainous Economy" based on the 225 HH dataset.
As it is a gender issue, I am searching female lead author for this study.
We can collaborate for this research. Please let me know if any of you are interested.
The lead author must have track record journal and from the same field.
Thank you.
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Thank you Wilson Truman Okaka sir. I am at least understand, from your clarification that we can speak for gender issue and not necessarily make it biased by putting female in gender issue. Definitely true and I am very much aware on that. But, I don't know why, I am not interested to lead as an author for this issue which is completely describing women in climate change process. That is the reason I am searching lead author.
Thank you Vaibhav Amarsinh Rajemahadik sir for your words. Hope we could bring some important issue in the forum.
Thank you all. Comments and suggestions are appreciable.
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Hi everybody,
I am looking for papers treating the relationships between the (paleo) climatic-oceanographic perturbations and the morphological adaptation of marine (phyto-/zoo-) plankton. Any suggestions are welcome!
Thanks in advance.
Luca
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Many thanks Mr. Mitra and Macedo!
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I am seeking for pro environmental behaviors patterns for different cultural background.
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Naushad Khan
Your mentioned factors are significantly different with each others and I think it is difficult to reach a logical theoretical model with them.
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Since Turkey is located in the Mediterranean macroclimate region in the sub-tropical zone, great rainfall variations can be seen between the years. at the north part, extreme rainfall and flood hazards and at the south and south-west part overheating are among main problems. However, the severity and of these variations is different from region to region. how can we define the most risky region, which its built heritage will be affected more in terms of future climate change?
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This is a multi-factor problem. Good question, but the answer is not so simple
You'll have to model each (sub-region) individually for future effects of rainfall and temperature ranges but also look at wind patterns and storm events.
You will then need to look at the heritage stock and assess how the building fabric responds to the new (modelled) climatic realities. You can do so by looking at the performance and response to climatic events over the past 30 years . Look at the extreme events and possibly use them as new normal.
The next issue will be the state of the heritage assets and the funding that currently goes into maintenance, both private funding for private buildings and public monies for community-owned assets. What is the trend here? That trend can be forward projected.
You will then also need to take into account the projected impact of climate change on the economic capacity of the private citizens and of the local governments. That will vary from region to region, but will have an impact on the future capacity and willingness to pay for repairs.
When you have all of this in hand, you ned to develop a set of evaluation criteria with relative weighting , which then provide you with a numeric value of future risk that incorporates environmnetal and socio-economic factors.
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Despite having the lowest per capita electricity consumption, Bihar is not doing very well in making itself energy secure. There can be broad answers to this question but I want to know that what in your perspective or understanding is the most influential reason for very low level of adoption of solar energy in Bihar.
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I agree with madam Pragya
Regards
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Hi guys,
Does someone knows on funding programs (preferentialy in Europe) that give financial support for projects in Conservation Planning, specially developed to accommodate climate change (dynamic) scenarios?
I would like to apply with a project built predominantly on the conceptual development of Spatial Conservation Models, with potential to be tested in particular real-world scenarios.
PS: if someone know on programs aside Europe I am also interested in listen about them.
Grateful by your attention on this,
Have a nice week,
Diogo Alagador
CIBIO - Univ Évora. Portugal
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Hi Diogo,
I would recommend that you consult the Terra Viva Grants directory: https://terravivagrants.org/. This directory lists many grants (both small and larger-scale) within the field of biodiversity, conservation and environmental science.
Good luck in your search for funding!
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Hello colleagues.
We are looking for examples of cities that have changed their regulations to introduce improvements in adaptive capacity. We have been able to detect that small regulatory changes, such as increasing the surface of green areas per inhabitant in new or existing urban developments or modifying other urban standards such as incorporating a certain number of trees per building area or establishing a percentage of permeable surface, are elements that increase adaptive capacity and makes our cities more resilient to climate change.
Any experience on this aspect that you can share with us will be welcome.
Thank you.
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Thank you Bryan.
I knew two of them, great! These links are very interesting.
They are very useful.
Best,
Francisco
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I am working on a comparative review of assisted migration in conservation and forestry applications. Unfortunately, I have found it difficult to unearth conservation AM examples for animals. Is anyone aware of any relevant studies or implemented management strategies that fit this bill? Note: I am not including translocation in this research, only assisted migrations where species are introduction to novel environments outside of their known historic range; and I am particularly interested in examples driven by climate change.
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Not sure if this is what you are looking for but in the Steigerwald region , Germany, the local conservation concept of Ebrach State Forest Enterprise includes active deadwood accumulation as a main pillar for habitat restoration. The beetle Bolitophagus reticulatus e.g. benefits from this strategy: it is now colonizing formerly intensively managed stands where deadwood was a scarce resource before. Maybe this management practice could be seen as a form of assisted migration too.
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What economically viable alternates, a farmer is left with, for paddy straw management, when its in-situ incorporation leads to higher emissions of Methane (CH4), a gas about 25 times more potent than Carbon-di-oxide (CO2) in causing global warming? Is it still right to advise farmers to incorporate paddy straw back into their fields, as most of the State Agricultural Universities highly emphasize on this approach without knowing its consequences in long-run?
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it is true that natural gas, when burned, emits less carbon dioxide than other fossil fuels, carbon dioxide is not the only greenhouse gas. Unfortunately, methane’s contribution to climate change is routinely misreported by the media and government agencies. Recent science has shown that methane, when released into the atmosphere, is 86 to 105 times as powerful as carbon dioxide at disrupting the climate over a 20-year period.
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Since estuaries are dynamic are environmental conditions vary on spatial and temporal scale, how we study climate change effects?
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Hi;
I guess dose-response function type of estimation might help. The impact might have reflected on some other human activities like recreation, etc. which can to captured using some non-market valuation method as well.
Resham
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The common thinking is that the globe is warming. It is very obvious that the warming would affect both the continents and oceans. In fact there is evidence that ocean waters are getting warmer. In consequence, I wonder about the following chain of possibilities.
1. If the oceans get warmer, there should be more evaporation.
2. More evaporation should lead to more vapors in the atmosphere (and also clouds and rainfall).
3. More vapors and clouds should reflect back some of the suns radiation.
(Please note I am not pleading that global warming is a bless. It is already getting too late to control the damage of the existing  and regularly added, CO2 to the atmosphere).
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1. Clouds reflect some of the incoming sunlight back into space. So, it cools the Earth.
2. Clouds warm the Earth by absorbing infrared radiation emitted from the surface and re-radiating it back down. The process traps heat like a blanket and slows the rate at which the surface can cool. So, it warms the Earth’s surface.
3. But the amount of cooling effect produced due to reflecting back of the solar radiation into space is more than the amount of heating effect produced due to blanketing effect.
4. Thus, the net effect of clouds on the climate is to cool the surface.
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Want to get a sense of the most crucial questions w.r.t. forestry and climate change that are yet to be answered. Questions which require further research, the answers to which will put us in a better place to combat climate change (If you have many questions, you may provide 3 big questions at the most)
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"Combat climate change" was the blatant bias reveal. Seriously, my research question would be: What percentage of the adult American population thinks "the nexus of forests and climate change" is an important topic (and why)?
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Dear Researchers,
I would like to request that if anybody have Budyko Frame work in excel (Macro), or MATLAB code or any other userfriendly tool for water balance study induced by climate change. Please share.
OR
Any idea how to use Budyko Framework also appriciated.
Regards
Naveed.
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Dr Maryam Hafezparast , I have been using WEAP Model sice last 5 years and also delivered many lectures on it also workshops.
Pleas let me know, how I ca use WEAP for this purpose. Can you please further elaborate me so that I can follow your suggestions.
I did not how to use ANNs but over WEAP I have well command upto expert level.
Regards
Naveed.
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Can a heavy weight wall (brick/adobe/blocks construction) that represents good thermal mass, be replaced by lightweight (wood) construction in hot climates?
Is there a way prefabricated light , cheap and mass produced solutions can replace and achieve the same results as a heavy construction and good thermal mass wall? Is it possible to use lower mass and get good results?
For climates where temperatures swings are a problem and mostly for hot dry climates (arid) such as the Saudi Arabian
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Mafalda Melo Oliveira ...... Good question..
Based on the structural design... Yes Its can.. but the applicability of achieving that is the important issue...
Please share me the best answer might you trust...
Regards…
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Information collected and processed in Big Data database systems from climate change
In my opinion, information obtained from various research centers, meteorological centers, satellites, etc., then collected and processed in Big Data database systems should help in more and more precise prediction of new, unfavorable weather phenomena, including climatic cataclysms and others. In this way, earlier and in a more planned way, crisis management systems can be organized in the situation when the predetermined flood disaster becomes real and will happen. Gradually increasing computing power of powerful computer servers managing platforms of Big Data database systems, implemented artificial intelligence, increasing number of verified historical data on the overall climate phenomena on Earth will allow in the future more precisely, more accurately determine the level of threats, risk value, predict time, place and scale adverse weather events, i.e. also cataclysms that threaten people's lives.
Therefore, the question is still valid:
Will the information collected and processed in the Big Data database systems in future be able to accurately check future climate disasters?
Please, answer, comments. I invite you to the discussion.
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Dariusz Prokopowicz In my opinion a big data database will not help scientists and researchers to predinct a flood. I believe that a big data model can predinct wheather for maybe the next 2 or 4 weeks but not for longer terms.
I'm in flood protection and flood analysis and not so familiar with athmospheric research. We are now at the point to make precipation-runoff-models more acuratly in small watersheds and we are struggeling with a deficit of data to calibrate the system. Now it is nearly impossible to forecast a runoff in larger watersheds.
The main reasons are infiltration, evaporation and the land use. E.g. it is very important to know in which direction the farmers plough their land or when a meadow at the embankment was mown. These informations are hard to collect and
they decides about a 20 year flood or a 200 year flood.
About the big global climate change flood I cannot say very much. When we working on flood protection in estuaries, we are working with 3mm per year for the next 50 years to include the sea level rise.
If a big data database can predinct this more accurate I dont believe.
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Genetic engineering of food crops can produce a whole range of positive properties from making the food more nourishing, less attractive to parasites, longer shelf life and more resistant to extremes of climate.
If climate change affects our ability to grow crops for the hugely expanding world population are we finally going to have to abandon our often irrational fears of GE foodstuffs and embrace genetic modification as a necessary adaptation to climate change?
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Barry: Since Nature jumbles genes constantly, there should be no prohibition to our adding our contribution via sound science. My only hesitation over GMO is that corporations might reduce basic foods to tasteless meals! Making the flavor better and the visuals more pleasing is a BIG OK with me!
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I need "success stories" for communication purpose. I am looking for projects in any kinds of field (urban planning/agriculture/housing/tourism/business , ...) Let me know if you are aware of an academic paper looking into a specific case study. Thanks in advance.
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This is a great question and one I recently took a stab at answering: https://works.bepress.com/daniel_aldrich/42/
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Dear all,
I am wishing to investigate on linkages between microfinance and sustainable (renewable) energy and/or climate change issue. I have found the area has limited previous studies. Thus, I am looking for suggestions, opinions, advices and sources of material, literature and data.
It would be helpful, if you put your thought about different dimensions of the linkage between mentioned issues.
Particularly, how microfinance can support to sustainable energy and/or climate change adaptation?
You can suggest me from both institution’s and borrower’s perspectives.
Thanks in advance.
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Climate change has been global issues and it is necessary to develop strategies to cope risk associated with climatic risk. Microfinance institution can protect farmers who borrow loan from them. We can see successful example of credit gurantee system in Nepal and India.