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Is it a colourized picture from the 1920s?
If it is a later picture, circa 1960s? then how is it possible that we have a "dead region"-- no trees, and an "alive region," within feet of each other? decades after the event?
Surely this is scientifically impossible? What could possibly be the cause?
And where is the crater?
And why did night turn to day around the world for weeks after?
And why were lights seen in the sky over Europa -before- the event according to some accounts?
And why are there genetic changes in this area?
What on earth is going on?
(Some speculate, that after much too-ing and fro-ing, this was the moment Satan was finally thrown down to earth. The "light-bringer". This would also explain the dead-patch that lingers, and also the timing-- shortly after we had two World- Wars ; the killing fields of World War I, and the inhuman happenings of World War II).
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Prof. Boris R. German has been working for a while in the Tunguska event.
His page is:
Best Regards.
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I would like to do research with someone on the topic of the following asteroid deflection technique,
Based on the size, weight, distance, speed and composition of the desired asteroid, we can build a net of strong and flexible material bind them with rocket boosters and guide the asteroid to the desired path by changing its trajectory. this technique can also be useful for asteroid mining.
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Shivam,
The idea is not knew, and the details make it a challenge.
Firstly, most asteroids rotate - and many do so with a non-trivial rotation state and rate. As the rocket will be far less massive than the asteroid, the rocket is swung around the asteroid like a hammer is swung by an olympic hammer-thrower.
Um.
Secondly, the net will, by its nature, perturb the surface. The smaller the asteroid, the more easily your net will dig in, and stir up a host of smaller clods - ejecting some on escape paths.
Have a look at non-physical tractors:
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Pierpaolo Pergola proposed a mission to Cruthnie, a well known co-orbital asteroid of Earth, using a 2U CubeSat, could sprites be used to land on the asteroid? I think any probe mission that could launch sprites on independent targets of opportunity would extend utility in missions.  https://b612foundation.org/sentinel/ The Sentinal mission proposal would be an example of a mission that could benefit from such a capacity. Planetary Resources similarly could benefit from a cheap option to explore many asteroids cheaply. Even tagging passing small asteroids would be a useful capacity to have, to know where they are, a mineralogical analysis would require a larger sprite design I am guessing to improve capacity? 
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1. Separator with a strong magnetic field can be used to separate Fe, Ni from other non-magnetic materials.
2. Pneumatic cyclone can serve as density or size separator(e.g., cyclone separator).
3. Laser mining and vacuum distillation:
First, concentrating sun light to create laser to melt the asteroid's crust into molten mass. This can help separate the relative low molten temperature metals(Fe, Ni, PGMs) with the nonmetals(Si).
Second, collect the molten mass or the fused solution into the vacuum distillation chamber.
Third, the temperature in the distillation chamber is slowly increased until a certain type of metal evaporates. The generation of "melt gas" will increase the chamber pressure and inhibits the distillation. Therefore A tube introduced to conducts the "pure gas" into a vacuum container for condensation and storage.
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Optical mining is an approach for excavating an asteroid and extracting water and other volatiles into an inflatable bag. Called Mini Bee, the mission concept aims to prove optical mining, in conjunction with other innovative spacecraft systems, can be used to obtain propellant in space
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Thus far, the international community has not reached a consensus on the legality of unilateral commercial space mining activities and the approach to carrying out such activities. The unilateral commercial space mining regime as established in the domestic laws of the USA, Luxemburg, Japan, and the United Arab Emirates generates not only legal debate but also environmental concerns. operations on the surface of the moon could exacerbate lunar dust migration and loft dust onto the lunar orbits. Debris streams arising out of asteroid mining could threaten satellites in the orbits of the Moon and Earth, and asteroid mining will change the trajectories of asteroids and could lead to an Earth impact. Large-scale space mining could result in physical or chemical changes to regolith on celestial bodies which could not only adversely influence scientific investigation but also future human settlement. The issues could also arise regarding the possible spills and contamination arising out of the use of nuclear energy on celestial bodies, changes to landscape and ice deposits, and possible microbial contamination on some celestial bodies such as Mars. In the existence of legal uncertainty regarding space mining in the international community, do we need to formulate environmental ethics to guide space mining operations in the solar system? I finish a research article on this topic, Please refer to .
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Yes, environmental ethics are important for guiding space mining operations in the solar system to ensure that they are conducted in a responsible and sustainable manner that protects the integrity of the space environment and its resources. This can include ethical considerations related to minimizing harm to the natural environment, preserving the ecological balance of the solar system, and ensuring that space mining does not compromise the ability of future generations to use and benefit from space resources.
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I found an excellent Wikipedia page titled List of Asteroid close approaches to Earth:
Looking at the table in the blue section there is identified an asteroid which will pass close to Earth on 26th June 2028. The size of the object is 610 to 1400m and it will pass within 0.65 of the distance to the moon. This table is clearly the result of an immense amount of work for which we should all be grateful.
It is important to find out the ultimate outcome of the trajectory of this asteroid. Will it ultimately hit the Earth or will it hit the moon and thus be no longer a threat? If we were to project forward the trajectory of this asteroid and the trajectory of the Earth and moon and found that in 1,000 years it will hit the Earth, is there anything we could do now to avoid this outcome? For example displacing the trajectory of the asteroid with rockets by even a tiny amount could over 1,000 years change the outcome so that it strikes the moon instead.
We would have to be sure that we had a really accurate identification of the current trajectory. Maybe precise observation from Earth and the JWST during its passage in 2028 would give an accurate enough reading.
It would also be worthwhile to make an honest assessment of the outcome of a direct impact by this object on Earth. Perhaps we should be making provision for the long term survival of the human species by preparing contingency plans for such an eventuality.
Richard
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Richard,
Looking at Wikipedia about ephemeris it seems that they could be in the form of astronomical tables or in the form of computer based models.
<nods>
The limitations are principally in the measurement of the positions of planets. Time is trivially well-measured, but position in any reference frame is inevitably a matter of resolving an angle. And that's where most of the errors arise.
This paper speaks to that:
Indeed, the locations of all of the known planets can be used to generate ephemerides - but I know of no ephemeris program that includes the motions of any asteroid when generating planetary ephemerides. Even Ceres and Vesta (which are charitably satellite-sized) are ignored.
See, the problem is that the asteroids are generally small, dark, and tumbling. Their variegated surfaces (look at Itokawa, or Bennu) means that they have an asymmetric Yarkovsky effect (heat/light is not emitted uniformly, and generates an unpredictable thrust). So smallish (km-scale) objects are inherently hard to track.
And the larger asteroids (Ceres, Vesta, etc) are so well-tracked that they pose *no* threat.
I grasp your concern, but our current ability to perturb those bodies that might (at a stretch) be considered worthy of modelling is very slight. I'd put more funding into the detection of long-period comets, personally. They (like Hyakutake and Hale-Bopp) can ruin one's day with relatively little notice.
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I would like to know how olivine is structured in asteroids.
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In some cases it looks like embedded distinctive spheroidal bodies..
For further details ;
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With an ever-increasing number of known asteroids, it becomes more and more essential to have clear guidance on which objects to study first. To this purpose, estimating an asteroid "importance weight" might be helpful. However, while easy to say, it looks pretty complex to derive such a measure. Do you think this approach is feasible, and if so, what should this index include? Only research aspect or also the relevance of an asteroid from planetary defense and exploitation points of view? Please leave your comments here. Thanks.
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What about the scientific return of an asteroid mission? Up to now, stony (Eros and Itokawa) and carbonaceous (Bennu and Ryugu) near-Earth asteroids have been studied extensively, while in the main belt Vesta and Ceres have been visited by mission Dawn. Also, in the near future, mission Psyche will visit a metallic asteroid for the first time, and mission Lucy will explore some Jupiter Trojans.
What next? Is there any other type of asteroid to prioritize in order to help answering some important question?
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I am wondering how extreme temperatures will affect asteroids whether it is a change in physical or chemical properties and possibly affecting the atomic structure?
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The scientific contributions that I offer you in this list will be of use to you. review them carefully and you will find abundant information on the effect of temperature variation on asteroids.
  • Diurnal temperature variation as the source of the preferential direction of fractures on asteroids: Theoretical model for the case of Bennu
  • Network of thermal cracks in meteorites due to temperature variations: New experimental evidence and implications for asteroid surfaces
  • Laboratory studies on the 3 μm spectral features of Mg-rich phyllosilicates with temperature variations in support of the interpretation of small asteroid surface spectra
  • Implications for Ice Stability and Particle Ejection From High-Resolution Temperature Modeling of Asteroid (101955) Bennu
  • Record of low-temperature alteration in asteroids ( Book Chapter)
  • A method to derive surface thermophysical properties of asteroid (162173) Ryugu (1999JU3) from in-situ surface brightness temperature measurements
  • Thermal evolution and sintering of chondritic planetesimals IV. Temperature dependence of heat conductivity of asteroids and meteorites
  • Predictions of depth-to-ice on asteroids based on an asynchronous model of temperature, impact stirring, and ice loss
  • Nondestructive methods to estimate rock strength at low temperature: Applications for asteroid capture technologies
  • The surface composition and temperature of asteroid 21 lutetia as observed by Rosetta/VIRTIS
  • The surface composition and temperature of asteroid 21 lutetia as observed by Rosetta/VIRTIS
  • Temperature history and dynamical evolution of (101955) 1999 RQ 36: A potential target for sample return from a primitive asteroid
  • Thermal simulation of asteroid surface temperature and Yarkowski effect
  • Record of low-temperature alteration in asteroids
  • Effects of water temperature on embryonic development in the northern pacific asteroid, asterias amurensis, from the southern coast of korea
  • A new method to estimate the size and the surface temperature distribution of asteroids
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The thought of mining asteroids have became more prominent throughout the last few years. So for the past month, I have been doing research on why water abstraction from asteroids would be helpful and how to do so. From what I know most of the asteroids near the earth, are olivine-rich. Other than its iron, (OH)- is available as well. Can't we can get water from (OH)- with my given research, through very high temperatures? This is just a thought and I am not a chemistry/physics expert but I would like to know if this is a possibility or if I am misunderstanding something that would make this impossible.
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It depends on the type of asteroid. Most near-earth asteroids are dry, but some contain clay-like minerals from which water could be obtained to supply spacecraft.
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Is the future of humanity not on planets, but on or in space stations? Why go down deep gravity wells when the necessary resources exist in asteroids? Are we looking in the wrong place for extra-terrestrial intelligence (no down gravity wells, but between stars). Instead of trying to land on planets, we should be spending our research money to examining the asteroid belt.
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The core of our Earth contains heated, molten materials ( as a proof we observe molten, heated liquid existed as lava from exploded mountain in Italy, Indonesia, etc. The material is super-heated causing the earth is still heated. Man made nuclear reactor i.e. FISSION is a active . But man made FUSION reactor is still at primary stage. For space travel we need Fusion reactor for generation of energy as well as easier to carry.
As per your idea and in my opinion definitely space ship will have to carry a fusion reactor for required energy to travel month after month , even year after year. That type of technology we don't have now but may be invented in future.
Based on observational evidences different models such as Big-bang, Steady State, other models have been developed . Bigbang model gives required answer nearly 50-60% . Rest remains as unanswered. For example---- why does Big-bang explosion occur (?), what was the situation before Big-bang (?) source of this explosion (?) that can create such super-explosion etc.
So far my knowledge fission type reactor ( radio-active type material use) mechanism is working in the interior of our Earth. But that material is limited. (NOT FUSION type that we require for space travel)
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it seems and we see most of the celstial bodies in the shape of a spherical shape ,
and also most in rotational axis and orbiting untill is slipped out like asteroids jump out
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An sphere is the most efficient geometrical form in space for baryonic matter from and energetic view point and in absence of third and stronger forces. The sort answer is, planets and stars are spherical because they are in hydrostatic equilibrium. Any solid body in pace will be spherical if have among 500-800 km diameter (will depend on density), below that range they will normally posses an amorphous form. Stars in addition are in thermodynamic equilibrium. Space-time is curved around massive bodies because the constituent tensors respond to gravity profiles around the body at any spatial point of the space-time, deforming it according to the original form of the body (spherical). I hope this help.
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I don´t have much knowledge about rockets and my short internet research didn´t gave me insights. I´m thinking often about how we could use our solarsystem to reduce environmental problems on earth, for example to dispose our rubbish or take the resources from asteroids.
The basis to any of this ideas have to be greenhouse gas free rockets. What is our current situation and what are the outlooks in the future?
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Space launch activity cannot be exempt from environmental impact. The problem is not related only to greenhouse gas emission but it is wider. Every technology has its own issue.
Solid propellants emit HCl and alumina particulate. HCl causes acid rain and, in combination with alumina and UV light, local ozone depletion is obtained. Moreover, small particles stay in the stratosphere and contribute to the radiative forcing of the Earth (balance between incoming and outgoing radiation from the outer space).
Liquid propellants (kerosene/oxygen) emit quite large amount of CO and soot. Also in this case, soot participates to radiative forcing of the Earth.
Liquid propellants (hydrogen/oxygen) emit water vapor and a huge amount of unburnt hydrogen. This H2 mixes in the plume with the atmosphere and causes post-combustion, incrementing local temperature as high as 2500 K. Locally, NOx are produced due to high temperature and, again, ozone is locally depleted.
Hybrid rockets emit soot. They are based on a diffusive flame so they are prone to carbon black formation.
Strictly speaking about greehouse gases, probably hydrogen/oxygen are less impactful. Currently, these effects are quite local but in the future we may consider them. this year we have just overcome the number of 100 launches in one year. Current forecasts are predicting a linear increment of launch rate in the next 20 years.
A clearer picture can be obtained reading the works by Marvin Ross, who is working on space launchers environmental impact since long time.
Here you can find one example.
DOI:10.1002/2013EF000160
Best
Filippo
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Let's imagine that you need to safely lower a spherical metal asteroid with a diameter of about ten meters to the surface of the Earth. What methods of braking objects of this size would be appropriate?
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Some work was being done at JPL on aerobraking when I was there in the early 1980s. If you google "aerobraking papers", you'll get a long list: https://www.google.com/search?q=aerobraking+papers&rlz=1C1CHBF_enUS881US881&oq=aerobraking+papers&aqs=chrome..69i57j0.9934j1j7&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8
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Chaos theory is a delightful contradiction - a science of predicting the behavior of "inherently unpredictable" systems. It is a mathematical toolkit that allows us to extract beautifully ordered structures from a sea of chaos - a window into the complex functioning of natural systems as diverse as the beating of the human heart and the trajectories of asteroids. So, how can this theory explain a crisis situation in general, and that of the Covid-19 pandemic in particular?
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Thank you for your contribution Aparna Sathya Murthy.
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There are millions of asteroids in the solar system,asteroids and comets often pass through the earth at close range.There are some Threatening asteroids such as Bennu(101955).The threat is real for all of us ,when it comes,a so-called Gravity Tractor could maintain a position near the threatening asteroid, exerting a gentle tug that, over time, would deflect the asteroid.But I want to know if it can be done.
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The idea is bright, the technical implementation is rather difficult. To provide sufficient gravitational pull over sufficiently long time we need to place very heavy object (spacecraft ?) to suitable controlled position or we need less heavy spacecraft and to apply its pull over very long time... Of course, each case is very specific (asteroid mass, orbit, available time to collision with Earth....)
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Hi Everyone,
I have a data set from NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory for the "Diameters of the asteroids" that has fallen till now and from that I am trying to forecast future asteroids diameter through ML algorithms.
For this research I am not able to find many published papers. Can anyone guide me with this?
Thanks
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Given that the shapes and sizes of asteroids that have been visited or imaged via radar are so varied, it is not clear that what you are trying to do is possible. Can you say more about what the inputs to your model would be and what you have found in the literature so far?
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I wanna study electric parameters in interplanetary space especially asteroid's belt for survey large scale electric structures in the solar system. I only know the Ulysses and it's data but it measured limited magnetic parameters. do you know better probes?
in other words, I must say that do you know how can understand the electrical effects of solarWinds in asteroid's belt?
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The idea is to use a large asteroid and impact it again the desert to spread some powder at upper part of the atmosphere and create some shadow to lower Earth temperature some degrees.
Of course it could be done using a small rock to test it before.
ESA could make something useful again Climate Change instead of take measurements of it.
It cost is less to use a large asteroid than shut down all petrol or coal engines and could give some time for fusion and solar and wind generation
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Any geoengineering with the planet and climate change is terrible and highly dangerous. There is no way to foresee some awful unintended consequences of any human intervention in such a delicate and highly non-linear stochastic system as the Earth climate system (be it an asteroid or missiles spreading particles in stratosphere, or anything else similarly dangerous).
Please leave the planet alone and do not destroy it by any unwise human actions, and it will adapt itself to any changes, be it an atmospheric carbon dioxide or any other factor.
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A gramophone gets music or the spoken word back from incised grooves in a disk. The grooves were made by vibrations laid down as sound in matter. Is it possible that Nature left its imprint in matter such as rock and metals (e.g. coins) that could be retrieved as sound from the past? For example, battles, impact of meteors and asteroids in the K/T boundary, 66 million years ago?
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Dear James and Louis, I know about Wikipedia's text concerning music, Stonehenge and Mexico's pyramid with contributions from 1998-2017. I was more concerned with the enormous noise of an incoming meteor or an asteroid because if this did not leave a measurable soundtrack behind, what do we expect from music and battle noises? So, the question is still up-to-date, I suppose.
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Are we nearing to climax of the Climate Change or the worst is yet to come? How fast the wind gusts could be in worst case scenario? How high the water level could be in case of strongest of the hurricanes? Do we need to revisit the hurricane categories? What could be the most disastrous for our planet Earth among the following:
1. Near-Earth Ojects (asteroids)
2. Earthquakes associated with Tsunamis
3. Climate Change
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Christian M. Appendini thanks for your thoughts. Yeah, environmetal changes will increase the number of climate refugees to seek suitable place to migrate.
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Asteroids - celestial electric power stations. What is your opinion?
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Collecting energy is trivial, with photovoltaic cells for example, the problem is sending that power anywhere it can be used without creating something that could be construed as a "beamed energy weapon" and thus encountering insurmountable political problems.
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Based upon the preponderance of evidence in recent decades, has anyone developed a new statistical model from which one could derive a return period based on the scale of the event?
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Waldemar,
At least someone around here has a sense of humor.  
Thanks,
David
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 I need some new reference about it.
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Dear Ivana ,
Here I attached the part of phd thesis published on 2015 which of categorized within spectra of Individual asteroids of  main belt
Best 
Aravinda
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Astronomy
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Thanks again Mr S. Ulamee .Our prophet Mogammed mentioned that a huge exploion will happen in future in the mid. of Ramadan month, so I,ll try to fing the true, or the rellation between Apohpis and that matter, thanks again Dr S. Ulamec.
from days some one sent this answer:
I don't work for Nasa, but the latest news- from news bulletins - is that the 2036 encounter would be safe, but there will be some effects by the close encounter of 2029. If some people know more, they will not say in public.
What do you say Dr< S. Ulamec?
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I am looking for literature on regional landscape patterns that look at the fractal quality of how rocks are broken apart in cosmic impacts, and the footprints they leave behind on the present landscape.  
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Dear David,
A lot of literature exists dealing with the topic you are interested in. Here are just a few examples:
French, B.M. (1998). Traces of Catastrophe. Lunar and Planetary Institute. Retrieved 2007-05-20.
ANN M. THERRIAULT – RICHARD A. F. GRIEVE – MARK PILKINGTON. The recognition of terrestrial impact structures. Bulletin of the Czech Geological Survey, Vol. 77, No. 4, 253–263, 2002.
B.M. French and C. Köberl. The convincing identification of terrestrial meteorite impact features: What works, what doesn’t, and why. Earth-Science Reviews 98(1):123-170 · January 2010.
and many others...
I assume, you are searching for literature on terrestrial impact structures. I recommend the following page:
On this page, you can find the most important literature available for each (confirmed) terrestrial impact crater you are interested in.
By the way, rocks hit by an asteroid are not neccessarily vaporized, These rocks can also be melted (impact mekt breccias or Impact melt rocks) or just brecciated (impact breccias).
All the best
Elmar
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Dear RGers,
We know that combination of several materials, such as metallic alloys, polymers or even some ceramics, with an aproppriate heat treatment, can provide shape memory effect.
We also know how big the Universe is. I mean, it's reaaally big.
So can we consider the possibility for a NATURAL MIXING of these "ingredients" as true?.
Can we consider as possible, the existence of such a changing shape object?
This object would need to deform to get the martensite state and would also need to get heated to get the austenite state, so...
Can we consider the gravity of other crossing by objects as a possible force to get the martensite state for this object? or the heat of a star as the trigger for the austenite state?
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If we consider a shape memory material working in space, there are  several parameters that could change drastically with respect the ground surface at Earth: Gravity, gas atmosphere, vacuum and temperature.
In open space, gravity could be tarher different than in Earth and even zero, but this will not have any influence on the shape memory material (SMM). However it will have influence on the apparent weight of the components of any mechanical device and consequently the forces to be done by the SMM must be re-designed.
Gas atmosphere could be very important on the planets surface, but we may assume that in open space basically we have ultra-high vacuum. This is not too much important for same memory alloys (SMA), which have been already tested under ultra-high vacuum (see for instance one of my recent papers), because they will not evaporate at the working temperatures. However this aspect will be very important in the case of shape memory polimers, which contain elements susceptible of evaporating under high vaccum and the material will be destroyed.
Temperature is a critical factor in open space, because due to the strong radiation of the stars the temperature undergoesrapid changes whe moving from shadow areas to sunny areas. Several hundred degrees difference could be induced in mechanical components and then this changes can modify the behaviour of the SMA. High-temperature SMA are required in many cases, and a precise knowledge of the environment temprature along the space trip is required. We know that the SMA are not stable above certain temperature and they will be destroyed (their properties will be lost) under so high temperature (tipically between 250º to 400º C).
Consequently the use of shape memory effect or SMA in open space, requires a careful design and analysis of the material to be used, and the expected environment for the working conditions.
This comment is just a short approach to the original question. I hope that it could be useful.
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which one of these diagrams is correct ? (they are showing exactly the same time)
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We contacted Both NASA JPL and Cometbase developers,
They answered that both of them are using the same parameters from the observation data spanning from 2010-2015, and they are up to date.
but after that, Cometbase answered again that they have found a bug in their software.
"The period of time from the perihelion was inverted"
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The more I read preparing that paper:
the more I realized the strange nature of D/1993 F2 (Shoemaker–Levy).
Anyone has a definite and sound answer with respect to the real nature of that object ?
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Object D/1993 F2 was realy comet. In the any case, cometary nature of the object was confirmed by observations and modelling. 
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Hello, As you can see in the picture, there is a dark ring on an asteroid, is it noise in the picture? or something else? totally it is like a ring not a burned pixel. 
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In absence of other pictures of the asteroid, I also agree with Roberto: the ring may be produced by a speck in the optical path of the camera. But there are some intriguing features:
-the ring appears to me elongated in the limb direction. But the shadows cast by specks are typically round due to the simmetry of the optical system.
-on the other hand, the picture appears to be taken from a space mission. To produce such a ring-like feature, the speck must be near the focal plane: in the CCD window, in the filter, etc... so I think it would be inside the optics. And I can not imagine how such a speck could end in the optical path given that the optics are assembled in clean rooms. Dust from space must be outside the optics.
It would be great if there were other pictures taken from other angles to confirm or discard the "dust speck" hypothesis.
Regards
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If photometric opposition effect does not exist, but the polarimetric one shows up, does it mean these two phenomena are governed by different physical mechanisms?
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Hello, Evgenij, I am not familiar with the photometric opposition effect in observations but can't admit a different physical mechanism for that and applications for polarization purposes. The genius of Stokes (1853) would be able confirming that. Wojciech
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Yes we have found small fragments, but the asteroid that hit the earth 65 million years ago was 10 kilometers... how do we not have physical evidence of this?
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When a large (>km sized) crater is formed, the impactor is usually vaporized, together with even more material from the target rock. This is why there is usually no fragments from big impactors. Recondensed impactor material can be deposited world-wide if the impact was very big, e.g., in the case of Chicxulub (65 Ma ago), a global layer of soot slightly enriched in Iridium (abundant in most meteorite but rare in the Earth's crust) has been found.
For smaller impacts, e.g., for the Barringer/Meteor crater in Arizona, or the Sikhote-Alin crater field on the island of Sachalin, it is possible to find fragments, either because they broke of the impactor before it hit the surface (Arizona) or because the impacts themselves are not energetic enough to vaporize the impactor (Sachalin). If the impactor is even smaller, no crater is formed and all the fragments that reach the surface (= have not been ablated in the atmosphere) can be recovered.
That being said, there is actually a small (2.5 mm) fragment - supposedly from the Chicxulub-Impactor -  that was found in a drill core retrieved from 65 Ma old sediments from the Pacific. See Kyte F.T. (1998) A meteorite from the Cretaceous/Tertiary boundary. Nature 396, 237-239.
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It seems that much of the data collected to date for 99942 Apophis is not present in the NASA PDS Small Bodies node. Is this impression accurate, and if so, why?
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Physical tidal breakup of comets or asteroids .
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Dear Berczi,
Thanks for paper suggestion, but I want name of Obj  /Date of outburst/ distance from Sun or Earth/ this type of Information is useful for my research work
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The other day on the History Channel, it was said that the idea that an asteroid wiped out the dinosaurs millions of years ago was only just recently being seriously considered as possible. If anyone brought this idea up 25 years ago, it would've been scoffed at. This disturbed me, because I have only ever been told that this was scientific fact. I remember it presented this way as far back as 15 years ago. Is there someone who could explain if History Channel is correct?
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This geologist also rejects the notion that we all are conservative, dogmatic and unchanging.
The idea of platetectonics (not merely continental drift, there th meteorologist Wegner was first and inspiring us) was developed by geologists and caused a major paradigm shift within a few decades and was at first based on scarse indirect evidence (before seismic tomogrphies etc.). It hard explain this to an engineer like you Michael, but its like the advent of Newton's mechanis (before there were some experiments by Gallileo about gravity and some elabote models (Kepler et al.) but now there were the tool there to exlplain a lot of the observed stuff).
As someone out of the field of geology you may have missed the point, Michael, but there was a minor paradigm shift in the last two decades or so. Now a majority of geologist acknowledge catastrophic event as scource for some depositions (tempestites, tsunamites etc.).
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Recent study performed by Wittke et al., who analyzed impact spherules, supports theory of cosmic impact 12,800 years ago. This event may be responsible for fundamental and very fast climate change, causing the extinction of most of the big animals over North America. This is an exciting theory, and, if correct, it may be very important also for our understanding of asteroid/comets impact threat. But, is there enough evidence to support this claim?
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To provide the contrasting view (Martin has given some info), most impact cratering specialists doubt the Younger Dryas impact. Most impacts are identified on the basis of two primary geochemical/mineralogical features: shocked quartz, and platinum group element (PGE) enrichment. Discovery of a crater is also quite important, and one that was 12900 years old would certainly be obvious in the geologic record.
The Younger Dryas event has none of these. In the original paper, Firestone and others (see Firestone, R. B., et al. (2007). PNAS 104(41), 16016-16021) provided a number of lines of ambiguous evidence, including iridium enrichment of magnetite (a meteoritic indicator would be iridium enrichment of the bulk soil), charcoal, soot, and fullerenes with extraterrestrial He, among others. These studies may have been replicated, but replicating ambiguous data still only gives ambiguous results. The main research group still hasn't produced the key lines of evidence for an extraterrestrial impact: notable PGEs and shocked quartz. Instead, there is an appeal to cosmic airbursts (no crater), and cometary impactors (hypothetically low in PGEs, but not really).
That said, there's still some new data coming in for the idea that have been obtained independently. I wouldn't completely discard the impact hypothesis, but also note that not all extinctions require an extraterrestrial impact.
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What evidence supports or refutes such an origin?
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Alexander Bagrov writes that a collision of two Lunar-sized bodies will not result in the release of fragments since they will be gravitationally bound. Although this is certainly true - it is not a problem for our understanding of the origin of differentiated meteorites from asteroids. Cooling rates of iron meteorites range from 1-1000 K/My. These cooling rates constrain the cooling rate of the asteroid core shortly after it crystallized. Since largfe asteroids cool slower than small asteroids they may be used to infer sizes of asteroids. Diameters were genererally less than 50 km - much smaller than the Moon - and sufficiently small that it is not a problem to catastrophically destroy them.
We know that fragments of asteroids escape our Solar System and it thus follows that fragments must also escape other Solar System provided they include minor bodies. It should therefore be possible to find an extrasolar rock in our Solar System. Unfortunately, it is unlikely that it will heat our atmosphere slowly enough to survive. Also, the frequency of such a fall makes it unlikely that we will ever observe it or even find an old extrasolar meteorite fall here on Earth. I have seen an estimate concluding that we should expect a extrasolar meteorite fall here on Earth every 10 billion years.
In other words, extrasolar meteorites are not impossible but the exceedingly low fall rates makes it less than likely that we will ever come across one.
If we were ever to find one there is no doubt that we be able to tell that it is extraolar - it would be different in terms of bulk chemistry, isotope chemistry and its ages would be way off anything we have seen before.
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A new paper in press in MNRAS by C. de la Fuente Marcos and R. de la Fuente Marcos provides evidence on the existence of the Chelyabinsk cluster: http://arxiv.org/abs/1307.7918 . This cluster is just a complex of small asteroids and two relatively large members: 2007 BD7 and 2011 EO40. They conclude that the most probable parent body for the Chelyabinsk superbolide is the Near Earth Asteroid (NEA) 2011 EO40 and a close approach with a planet might have been producing the Chelyabinsk progenitor. In fact, the orbits of these NEOs are perturbed as they experience close encounters not only with the Earth-Moon system but also with Venus, Mars and Ceres. This dynamic mechanism that we previously envisioned is particularly efficient for rubble piles and explains the existence of meteoroid complexes (see e.g.: http://www.spmn.uji.es/ESP/articulo/2002NY40_MNRAS.pdf). Obviously this could produce spikes in the rate of impacts of small asteroids on Earth. Let's see if we have a good debate on this interesting issue.
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Well put! We have one of the Pan-Terra wall-charts here in the USGS Cascades Volcano Observatory.
I published an analysis of the Wabar impact site*, calculating the impact kinetic energy (12-20 ktons of TNT equivalent). Gene Shoemaker thought the probable kinetic energy at arrival in the upper atmosphere could have been up to 100 ktons of TNT equivalent). Arrival velocity is estimated at about 7-10 km/sec.
I also did some research as I was writing this article on other reported similar events, and came up with at least SIX "city buster" events in 127 years:
Wabar, 1863
Tunguska, 1908
Rio Curaca (Cuyuni), 1930
Rupununi, 1935
Sikhote-Alin, 1947
"Second Sun" event, SW Pacific, Oct 1, 1990 (Beatty, 1994).
We can also add Chelyabinsk, 2013.
This is a startling number of impact events - substantially higher than the asteroid impact flux estimates of Shoemaker (1983) and Bottke et al (2000). There may have been as many as 30-40 such events in the past century (see Beatty, 1994). Tunguska is estimated to have been ~80 meters in diameter, and Wabar was calculated to be only about 35 meters in diameter. It doesn't take much mass to destroy a city with just gravity-well velocities (11 km/sec or higher). Moreover, about 80% of the human population resides right now within 100 km of an ocean. A tsunami caused by an impact event in an ocean will have a substantially wider range of destruction.
==Jeff Wynn
US Geological Survey
* Wynn, J.C., 2002, Mapping an Iron-Meteorite Impact Site with a Magnetometer, and Implications for the Probability of a Catastrophic Impact on Earth: Journal of Environmental & Engineering Geophysics, vol. 7, no. 4, p. 143-150.
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I read a minute ago that companies plan to mine asteroids. This sounds great. I wonder, though, if somebody from those companies calculates by how much each asteroid's trajectory will change as a result of removing mass.
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Depending on how the mass is removed, the trajectory can change substantially or not at all. It all depends on whether the removal process applies any kind of force to the asteroid. So if a mass driver sitting on the asteroid surface is used to throw mined material off the asteroid in one direction, then conservation of momentum (mass x velocity) requires a net force on the asteroid in the opposite direction (3rd law of motion). if the mass driver is on the surface and pointing perpendicular to the radius vector to the center of mass of the asteroid,, it will actually provide a torque = mass x velocity x radius that will change the angular momentum of the asteroid causing it to spin either fast or slower (or in a slightly different direction). On the other hand if the material is mined and then brought to a rocket ship that takes off from the surface, there is no net force on the asteroid, except for some gas pressure from the rocket exhaust while it is still close to the asteroid.