Zachary Joseph Roman’s research while affiliated with University of Zurich and other places

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Publications (6)


Average stringency index for Germany, Austria, and Switzerland based on the Oxford COVID-19 Government Response Tracker. Note. We plot the average stringency index (0–100) based on the Oxford COVID-19 Government Response Tracker (Hale et al., 2021). The stringency index indicates the severity of political closure and containment measures during the COVID-19 pandemic. After the COVID-19 pandemic was declared as such in March 2020 (WHO, 2021), governments all over the world placed first and stern measures to contain the virus spreading, e.g., nationwide lockdowns paired with school closures (Hale et al., 2021; Rudolph et al., 2021; Weigelt et al., 2021). Towards the summer of 2020, incidence rates of COVID-19 infections decreased (Bundesministerium für Gesundheit, n.d.) and many containment measures were then relaxed. However, in fall 2020, new virus variants increased the risks of infection and mortality again (RKI, 2023; WHO, 2023), so most governments again placed strict containment measures (Hale et al., 2021). Since then, and with the development of effective vaccinations against the virus (Mathieu et al., 2021), most political measures have been relaxed or even removed (Hale et al., 2021). Additionally, we plot our survey waves (Wave 1: June/July 2019, Wave 2: April 2020, Wave 3: December 2020, Wave 4: October/November 2021) within the graph to contextualize each survey timeframe. The starting dates of each survey wave are indicated by black dots at the bottom of each graph and a vertical gray line
Job and off-job crafting and self-rated health trajectories. Note. HO new = new in home office, FOW = Full office workers, HO exp = experienced in home office, P/F = Living with partner/family, NC = No contractual changes, CC = Contractual changes. The sample was split according to reported demographics at Wave 2. Sample sizes: N HO new/FOW/HO exp/HO new = 162 / 407 / 187, N P/F/alone = 540 / 213, N NC/CC = 588 / 187. Mean trajectories across time for job and off-job crafting as well as self-rated health. The values are generated from the latent change score models. Stars between two survey time points represent a significant mean change as indicated by a significant intercept of the respective change score. Self-rated health was modeled as an autoregressive model; no information about significant changes is available
Graphical Summary of LCSM results. Note. W = Wave. We present a graphical summary of the model results focusing on the crafting changes and their relations with health over time. Crafting changes were modeled using latent change score modelling (Geiser, 2020; Wiedemann et al., 2022); however the underlying latent variables for crafting per time point are omitted in this figure to reduce complexity. This summary considers the full sample model as well as the group comparisons to highlight similarities and differences. We omit numerical model estimates and focus on the conceptual level. Non-dotted and non-bolded lines represent significant paths within our models without differences across group comparisons. Dotted lines represent non-significant paths within our models. Bolded lines represent differences in this model estimate in different group comparisons. A detailed outline of these changes is presented in the results sections and in the electronic supplementary materials
Crafting for Health: A Longitudinal Study of Job and Off-Job Crafting Changes during the COVID-19 Pandemic
  • Article
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February 2025

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60 Reads

Occupational Health Science

Anja Isabel Morstatt

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We examined the association between changes in employee job and off-job crafting and their self-rated health during the COVID-19 pandemic. Further, we investigated how these associations differed across sample subgroups, contrasting differences in work location, living situation, and contractual changes (short-time work). We used four waves of a longitudinal dataset surveying NTotal = 783 German-speaking employees from Germany, Switzerland, and Austria from 2019 to 2021. We applied latent change score modeling and multigroup analyses to investigate our research questions. Results indicated that the mean job and off-job crafting and self-rated health trajectories remained relatively stable. However, we observed significant interindividual variance in job and off-job crafting changes. We found a consistent small positive relationship between crafting changes in both life domains over time, indicating that employees tended to change their crafting efforts similarly across domains. Additionally, job crafting increases between Waves 1 and 2 were linked to higher subsequent self-rated health at Wave 2, and similarly, off-job crafting increases between Waves 3 and 4 were linked to higher self-rated health at Wave 4. We observed only minor differences in this pattern across subgroups. Our results show how adaptive changes in crafting are linked to broader interindividual health differences and help identify groups who are not able to increase crafting during crises and thus could benefit from targeted support. Crafting can be an effective individual strategy for maintaining health, complementing organizational and public health measures. We encourage future research to incorporate temporal and contextual phenomena into crafting research.

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Identifying dynamic shifts to non-compliant behavior in questionnaire responses; A novel approach and experimental validation

February 2023

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14 Reads

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4 Citations

Content Non-Response (CNR) is situation where participants respond to survey instruments without considering the item content. This phenomena adds noise to data leading to erroneous inference. There are multiple approaches to identifying and accounting for CNR in survey settings, of these approaches the best performing are model based classification techniques. Classic approaches to accounting for CNR treat it as a person level phenomena. They first use some method to identify participants who exhibit CNR, then use list-wise deletion to remove them prior to analysis. We argue that CNR is actually a state that participants may exhibit for a portion of a survey instrument. In other words, participants start a survey with the intention to follow instructions, but at some point transition to a CNR state and no longer respond in line with item contents. Accounting for CNR at the item level, as opposed to the person level preserves data resulting in increased power. In this article we present a Bayesian Dynamic Latent Class Structural Equation Modeling (DLCSEM) approach for simultaneously accounting for CNR at the item level and estimating a model of interest. We use a simulation study to establish the approaches performance under empirically relevant conditions and to compare it to other methods. We then conducted an experimental validation in which we induce CNR like responses from human subjects and investigate the approaches ability to identify the point in which participants transition to a CNR state. We also compare the model to existing approaches.In both the simulation and experimental validation the DLCSEM outperforms the alternative approaches. We conclude that the approach should be used by applied researchers for the pragmatic benefits of the method. Conclusions, limitations, and future directions are discussed.


FIGURE 2: Multigroup comparison. Results of the multigroup analysis model depicted on separate models for (A) men (N = 125) and (B) women (N = 107). Factor loadings are the same for men and women and roughly correspond to the factor loadings in the full model (Fig 1). For a simplified representation, indicators and factor loadings were removed. Values on each path represent standardized estimates, standard error in parentheses, and p value. Abbreviation: SUVR = standardized uptake value ratio.
FIGURE 3: Summarized results of sex comparison. Solid lines indicate significant associations between the manifestation of the corresponding lifestyle-related factor and amyloid burden (A + B) and cognition (C + D). Dotted lines indicate non-significant paths. Plots are separately shown for men (A + C) and women (B + D). Abbreviations: CA = cognitive activity; LSF = lifestyle-related factor; MVR = metabolic/ vascular risk; PA = physical activity.
Indices of Fit for Confirmatory Factor Analysis and Structural Equation Models Statistical index of fit Practical indices of fit
Estimations of Model Parameters
Lifestyle Affects Amyloid Burden and Cognition Differently in Men and Women

May 2022

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164 Reads

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17 Citations

Objective: Evidence on associations of lifestyle factors with Alzheimer's pathology and cognition are ambiguous, potentially because they rarely addressed interrelationships of factors and sex effects. While considering these aspects, we examined the relationships of lifestyle factors with brain amyloid burden and cognition. Methods: We studied 178 cognitively normal individuals (women, 49%; 65.0 [7.6] years) and 54 individuals with mild cognitive impairment (women, 35%; 71.3 [8.3] years) enrolled in a prospective study of volunteers who completed 18 F-Flutemetamol amyloid positron emission tomography. Using structural equation modeling, we examined associations between latent constructs representing metabolic/vascular risk, physical activity, and cognitive activity with global amyloid burden and cognitive performance. Furthermore, we investigated the influence of sex in this model. Results: Overall, higher cognitive activity was associated with better cognitive performance and higher physical activity was associated with lower amyloid burden. The latter association was weakened to a non-significant level after excluding multivariate outliers. Examination of the moderating effect of sex in the model revealed an inverse association of metabolic/vascular risk with cognition in men whereas in women metabolic/vascular risk trended towards increased amyloid burden. Furthermore, a significant inverse association between physical activity and amyloid burden was found only in men. Inheritance of an APOE4 allele was associated with higher amyloid burden only in women. Interpretation: Sex modifies effects of certain lifestyle-related factors on amyloid burden and cognition. Notably, our results suggest that the negative impact of metabolic/vascular risk influences the risk of cognitive decline and Alzheimer's disease through distinct paths in women and men. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.


FIGURE 4 | Scatter plot of loading estimates from the LC-CFA and traditional CFA. Values above the diagonal (dashed) line indicates higher standardized loadings for the LC-CFA. The reverse coded items are in the top left part of the plot.
Average parameter bias for the LC-CFA and the CFA across conditions of sample size (N), number of factors (q), and proportion of bots.
Loading table of LC-CFA and traditional CFA. Parameter Factor(s) Item CFA LC-CFAˆRCFAˆ CFAˆR CFA ESS CFAˆRCFAˆ CFAˆR LC−CFA ESS LC-CFA Loadings RWA λ RWA1 0.91 0.97 1.00 18,000 1.00 740
Automated Bot Detection Using Bayesian Latent Class Models in Online Surveys

April 2022

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50 Reads

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10 Citations

Behavioral scientists have become increasingly reliant on online survey platforms such as Amazon's Mechanical Turk (Mturk). These platforms have many advantages, for example it provides ease of access to difficult to sample populations, a large pool of participants, and an easy to use implementation. A major drawback is the existence of bots that are used to complete online surveys for financial gain. These bots contaminate data and need to be identified in order to draw valid conclusions from data obtained with these platforms. In this article, we will provide a Bayesian latent class joint modeling approach that can be routinely applied to identify bots and simultaneously estimate a model of interest. This method can be used to separate the bots' response patterns from real human responses that were provided in line with the item content. The model has the advantage that it is very flexible and is based on plausible assumptions that are met in most empirical settings. We will provide a simulation study that investigates the performance of the model under several relevant scenarios including sample size, proportion of bots, and model complexity. We will show that ignoring bots will lead to severe parameter bias whereas the Bayesian latent class model results in unbiased estimates and thus controls this source of bias. We will illustrate the model and its capabilities with data from an empirical political ideation survey with known bots. We will discuss the implications of the findings with regard to future data collection via online platforms.


A Latent Auto-Regressive Approach for Bayesian Structural Equation Modeling of Spatially or Socially Dependent Data

August 2021

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88 Reads

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3 Citations

Spatial analytic approaches are classic models in econometric literature, but relatively new in social sciences. Spatial analysis models are synonymous with social network auto-regressive models which are also gaining popularity in the behavioral sciences. These models have two major benefits. First, dependent data, either socially or spatially, must be accounted for to acquire unbiased results. Second, analysis of the dependence provides rich additional information such as spillover effects. Structural Equation Models (SEM) are widely used in psychological research for measuring and testing multi-faceted constructs. So far, SEM that allow for spatial or social dependency are limited with regard to their flexibility, for example, when estimating nonlinear effects. Here, we provide a cohesive framework which can simultaneously estimate latent interaction/polynomial effects and account for spatial effects with both exogenous and endogenous latent variables, the Bayesian Spatial Auto-Regressive Structural Equation Model (BARDSEM). First, we briefly outline classic auto-regressive models. Next, we present the BARDSEM and introduce simulation results to exemplify its performance. Finally, we provide an empirical example using the spatially dependent extended US southern homicide data to show the rich interpretations that are possible using the BARDSEM. Finally, we discuss implications, limitations, and future research.

Citations (5)


... A related limitation of this study is that the C/IER types (i.e., scale preferences and random responding) were informed by prior studies for cross-sectional data (Meade & Craig, 2012;Roman et al., 2024;Schroeders et al., 2020;van Laar & Braeken, 2022). ...

Reference:

Accounting for Measurement Invariance Violations in Careless Responding Detection in Intensive Longitudinal Data: Exploratory vs. Partially Constrained Latent Markov Factor Analysis
Identifying Dynamic Shifts to Careless and Insufficient Effort Behavior in Questionnaire Responses; a Novel Approach and Experimental Validation
  • Citing Article
  • March 2024

... Recently developed confirmatory mixture models for identifying and investigating C/IER in ESM studies Vogelsmeier et al., 2024) overcome limitations of previously employed C/IER detection techniques (see , for a detailed discussion). In this class of models, theoretical considerations on respondent behavior are translated into two mixture component models-one representing an assumed attentive and the other an assumed inattentive data-generating process (see Arias et al., 2020;Roman et al., 2023;Ulitzsch, Pohl, et al., 2022Ulitzsch, Yildirim-Erbasli, et al., 2022;van Laar & Braeken, 2022, for models for cross-sectional data). For ESM data, model formulations for both item responses from multi-item scales (Vogelsmeier et al., 2024) and screen times from electronically administered ESM studies exist. ...

Identifying dynamic shifts to non-compliant behavior in questionnaire responses; A novel approach and experimental validation
  • Citing Preprint
  • February 2023

... Participants with different characteristics and PA measures could explain this variation across studies. Concerning our work, the study sample was made up of exclusively women and, according to the results of a recently published study, both sexes experience a modified effect of PA on Aβ load [31]. Secondly, most studies have evaluated PA via questionnaires, and only a few have assessed PA via objective measures such as an accelerometer [32]. ...

Lifestyle Affects Amyloid Burden and Cognition Differently in Men and Women

... For example, Sarracino and Mikucka (2016) conducted a Monte Carlo simulation to understand how duplicate responses affect regression analyses and found that duplicate records artificially increased statistical power while decreasing variance. On the other hand, fabricated data produced by sophisticated bots that can produce normally distributed responses increases random noise and error variance (Roman et al., 2022), producing underestimated associations among variables. With greater percentages of bots in the sample, there is considerable risk of biasing regression estimates and statistical inferences. ...

Automated Bot Detection Using Bayesian Latent Class Models in Online Surveys

... In perspective, it would be interesting to apply the multilevel approach to analyse the changes over time of people's behaviour about the "literacy on AI", as well as to introduce a bayesian structural equation modeling (Zachary and Holger, 2023), with the goal to determine the factors which influence public trust towards AI. This is consistent with the guidance of the European Commission (2021) where are listed, among others, the following targets: ...

A Latent Auto-Regressive Approach for Bayesian Structural Equation Modeling of Spatially or Socially Dependent Data