Yuancheng Si’s research while affiliated with Huzhou University and other places

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Publications (13)


Factors influencing Shanghai index opening price spread
EDA of diffrate
Static correlation plot
Rolling correlations with diffrate
Dynamic correlations with diffrate

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Statistical Modeling of Opening Price Gaps in the Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index Using Linear Methods
  • Article
  • Publisher preview available

December 2024

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17 Reads

Computational Economics

Yuancheng Si

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Saralees Nadarajah

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Zongxin Zhang

This study explores the determinants of the opening price gap rate (diffrate) in the Chinese stock market using a range of statistical models, including linear models with regularization terms, generalized linear models (GLMs), generalized additive models (GAMs), and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) models. Emphasizing predictive accuracy, interpretability, and practical applicability, the findings reveal that GAMs with regularization terms outperform other approaches in forecasting opening price gap rate. The results identify several critical factors, including domestic market indices, global liquidity conditions, and market activity measures. By providing a comprehensive framework for understanding and modeling opening price dynamics, this work lays a robust foundation for future research and practical applications in market risk management and predictive analytics.

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Fig. 2 Immunological features of T cells in ACP. A, B UMAP of CD4 + and CD8 + T cells, showing 6 and 4 subclusters in different colours, respectively. C, D Dot plots of marker genes for CD4 + T cells and CD8 + T cells coloured by expression levels. E Heatmap showing the combined correlation between the inferred cell types of CD4 + and CD8 + T cells. F Violin plot showing the exhaustion score in CD8 + T cells. The dashed line indicates the median signature score, and the rhombus point in each violin represents its own median score. G Comparison of the infiltration proportion of CD8_C3_TEX between ACP samples and normal brain samples in the GSE94349 and GSE68015 datasets. Boxes show the median ± 1 quartile, and the p value is annotated. H Representative staining of Tex cells in ACP. The yellow arrows indicate CD8 + Tex cell. CD8 (red) and TOX (green) are shown in individual channels with DAPI (blue). Scale bar: 100 μm (HE) and 20 μm (mIHC). I Comparison of NK cell infiltration proportions between ACP samples and normal brain samples. J, K Heatmaps showing the normalized TF activity of the top 10 regulons for each subcluster of CD8 + T cells and CD4 + T cells. Subclusters are coloured as in UMAP. The dotted black boxes indicate the top 10 regulons in specified subcluster, only the regulons of interest are labelled in red.
Fig. 6 Spatial colocalization and infiltration correlation of TAM_GPNMB and the E_C4 cluster. A asmFISH of ACP tissues with keratins, showing the close spatial relationship between TAM_GPNMB and the E_C4 cluster. CD163 (green), GPNMB (red) and RHCG (white) are shown in individual channels respectively. H&E-stained adjacent section to show histology. The white arrows indicate TAM_GPNMB cells. The yellow arrows indicate E_C4 cells. Scale bar: 200 μm (left one, two), 200 μm (right one, two and three). B Pie charts showing the proportion of datasets with different correlation for infiltration of paired cell subtypes (Positive in red was defined as correlation coefficient [R] > 0.3; negative in blue was defined as R < −0.3; non-significant in grey). C The correlations for the infiltration of TAM_GPNMB and the E_C4 cluster in each dataset with ACP, including GSE68015 (n = 15; R = 0.57; p = 2.7e−02) and GSE94349 (n = 24; R = 0.66; p = 4.6e−04). The error band shows the 95% confidence interval. D The characteristics of cell infiltration in datasets. High infiltration is defined as the top twenty-five percent of infiltration group. E Enriched signature of epithelial mesenchymal transition, TNFα signalling via NF-κb and inflammatory response in group with high infiltration of TAM_GPNMB and E_C4 by GSEA.
Multiomics integration-based immunological characterizations of adamantinomatous craniopharyngioma in relation to keratinization

June 2024

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18 Reads

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2 Citations

Cell Death and Disease

Chunming Xu

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Jie Wu

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Jiye Ye

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[...]

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Tao Hong

Although adamantinomatous craniopharyngioma (ACP) is a tumour with low histological malignancy, there are very few therapeutic options other than surgery. ACP has high histological complexity, and the unique features of the immunological microenvironment within ACP remain elusive. Further elucidation of the tumour microenvironment is particularly important to expand our knowledge of potential therapeutic targets. Here, we performed integrative analysis of 58,081 nuclei through single-nucleus RNA sequencing and spatial transcriptomics on ACP specimens to characterize the features and intercellular network within the microenvironment. The ACP environment is highly immunosuppressive with low levels of T-cell infiltration/cytotoxicity. Moreover, tumour-associated macrophages (TAMs), which originate from distinct sources, highly infiltrate the microenvironment. Using spatial transcriptomic data, we observed one kind of non-microglial derived TAM that highly expressed GPNMB close to the terminally differentiated epithelial cell characterized by RHCG, and this colocalization was verified by asmFISH. We also found the positive correlation of infiltration between these two cell types in datasets with larger cohort. According to intercellular communication analysis, we report a regulatory network that could facilitate the keratinization of RHCG ⁺ epithelial cells, eventually causing tumour progression. Our findings provide a comprehensive analysis of the ACP immune microenvironment and reveal a potential therapeutic strategy base on interfering with these two types of cells.


Normality Plot
Time series plots of diffrate
Performance of Strategy
Price Gap Anomaly: Empirical Study of Opening Price Gaps and Price Disparities in Chinese Stock Indices

May 2024

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80 Reads

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1 Citation

Asia-Pacific Financial Markets

In this study, we employ statistical analysis, hypothesis testing, and regression models to investigate the characteristics of opening price gap rates and price gaps in the stock market indices of Mainland China, utilizing historical data. To clarify, while both ’opening price gap rate’ and ’price gaps’ are central to our analysis, they represent distinct concepts. The opening price gap rate refers to the rate at which a stock’s opening price differs from its previous closing price, indicating initial market sentiment and potential momentum for the trading day. In contrast, price gaps, as defined in technical analysis, are specific chart patterns formed by two adjacent candlesticks on consecutive trading days. These patterns are characterized either by one candlestick’s low being higher than the following day’s high, or one candlestick’s high being lower than the following day’s low, creating a "blank" area on the price chart. This signifies a price range with no trading activity and is a crucial indicator of market sentiment and potential directional moves. Our study tested and validated thirteen related hypotheses. The findings reveal a significant correlation between the directionality of price gaps and the fluctuations in opening price gap rates, highlighting key characteristics of the market. Notably, price gaps significantly impact daily changes in trading volume and turnover. Furthermore, we validated the efficacy of the opening price gap rate as a stock-picking factor through back-testing. This research offers a new perspective for understanding stock market behaviors and has considerable implications for investment decisions and market analysis.


Figure 1: timeline of Basel Accord and the Chinese Banking Industry's Regulatory Response.
Main accounting data of Bank J.
Adapting to Change: The Evolution of the Basel Accords and the Chinese Banking Sector's Response

April 2024

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182 Reads

Advances in Economics Management and Political Sciences

This study presents a comprehensive review of the Basel regulatory framework's development, with an emphasis on the progression from the inaugural Basel I Accord to the definitive Basel III, and its integration into the regulatory practices of the Chinese banking system. It scrutinizes the impact of heightened regulatory standards on the capital adequacy and risk management strategies of Chinese banks, delving into the nuances of risk-weighted asset calibration and credit risk oversight. Through an illustrative case study, the research elucidates the strategic adaptations undertaken by Chinese financial institutions in response to these international norms.The study concludes by critically assessing the Basel reforms, contemplating their profound impact on fortifying the global banking infrastructure and supporting China's pursuit of financial stability. It considers how the reforms have reshaped risk management practices and capital adequacy standards, potentially bolstering the resilience of banks against economic shocks. The reflection extends to the Chinese financial system's adaptation to these international norms, highlighting the strategic shifts undertaken by domestic banks to align with global regulatory expectations while addressing the unique challenges of China's economic landscape. The paper emphasizes the importance of these reforms in enhancing the overall health and stability of financial markets, both internationally and within the context of China's rapidly evolving financial sector.


Real-Time Object Detection and Robotic Manipulation for Agriculture Using a YOLO-Based Learning Approach

March 2024

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53 Reads

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12 Citations

The optimization of crop harvesting processes for commonly cultivated crops is of great importance in the aim of agricultural industrialization. Nowadays, the utilization of machine vision has enabled the automated identification of crops, leading to the enhancement of harvesting efficiency, but challenges still exist. This study presents a new framework that combines two separate architectures of Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) in order to simultaneously accomplish the tasks of crop detection and harvesting (robotic manipulation) inside a simulated environment. Crop images in the simulated environment are subjected to random rotations, cropping, brightness , and contrast adjustments to create augmented images for dataset generation. The You Only Look Once(YOLO) algo-rithmic framework is employed with traditional Rectangular Bounding Boxes (R-Bbox) for crop localization. The proposed method subsequently utilises the acquired image data via a visual geometry group model in order to reveal the grasping positions for the robotic manipulation.


Figure 1. Chords Plot for Correlations of Continuous Variable
Descriptive Statistics of the Dataset for some selected variables.
Enhancing customer segmentation in Chinese city commercial banks: A machine learning approach

March 2024

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116 Reads

Applied and Computational Engineering

This paper examines the progression and implementation of customer segmentation theory in banking, focusing particularly on an improved RFM (Recency, Frequency, Monetary) model. It highlights the essential role of identifying high-value customers for the sustained growth and success of commercial banks. The study elucidates the pivotal role of Customer Relationship Management (CRM) and detailed management in the realm of retail banking as crucial for achieving success. By analyzing real-case scenarios from the Chinese banking sector, this paper illuminates the evolving nature of customer segmentation theory and its varied applications. The objective is to provide insightful and practical recommendations for commercial banks aiming to develop or enhance their customer segmentation frameworks. This research contributes both to the theoretical understanding of customer segmentation and offers a pragmatic guide for banks seeking to improve their customer management approaches in a market that is becoming increasingly competitive.


Modeling opening price spread of Shanghai Composite Index based on ARIMA-GRU/LSTM hybrid model

March 2024

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80 Reads

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10 Citations

In the dynamic landscape of financial markets, accurate forecasting of stock indices remains a pivotal yet challenging task, essential for investors and policymakers alike. This study is motivated by the need to enhance the precision of predicting the Shanghai Composite Index’s opening price spread, a critical measure reflecting market volatility and investor sentiment. Traditional time series models like ARIMA have shown limitations in capturing the complex, nonlinear patterns inherent in stock price movements, prompting the exploration of advanced methodologies. The aim of this research is to bridge the gap in forecasting accuracy by developing a hybrid model that integrates the strengths of ARIMA with deep learning techniques, specifically Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) networks. This novel approach leverages the ARIMA model’s proficiency in linear trend analysis and the deep learning models’ capability in modeling nonlinear dependencies, aiming to provide a comprehensive tool for market prediction. Utilizing a comprehensive dataset covering the period from December 20, 1990, to June 2, 2023, the study develops and assesses the efficacy of ARIMA, LSTM, GRU, ARIMA-LSTM, and ARIMA-GRU models in forecasting the Shanghai Composite Index’s opening price spread. The evaluation of these models is based on key statistical metrics, including Mean Squared Error (MSE) and Mean Absolute Error (MAE), to gauge their predictive accuracy. The findings indicate that the hybrid models, ARIMA-LSTM and ARIMA-GRU, perform better in forecasting the opening price spread of the Shanghai Composite Index than their standalone counterparts. This outcome suggests that combining traditional statistical methods with advanced deep learning algorithms can enhance stock market prediction. The research contributes to the field by providing evidence of the potential benefits of integrating different modeling approaches for financial forecasting, offering insights that could inform investment strategies and financial decision-making.



The P-P plots of the fits of the best fitting (black) and α\documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$$\alpha $$\end{document}-stable (red) distributions for daily log returns of the SSEC (top left), SZCZ (top right), CSI (bottom left) and ZSE (bottom right)
The Q-Q plots of the fits of the best fitting (black) and α\documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$$\alpha $$\end{document}-stable (red) distributions for daily log returns of the SSEC (top left), SZCZ (top right), CSI (bottom left) and ZSE (bottom right)
A Statistical Analysis of Chinese Stock Indices Returns From Approach of Parametric Distributions Fitting

June 2022

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134 Reads

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4 Citations

Annals of Data Science

The stock price process in China is full of uncertainty hence the stock indices were introduced to serve as indicators of the financial market. How to capture the statistical characteristics of Chinese stock indices returns by the method of parametric distributions fitting could be useful in the fields of econometrics and risk management. In this paper, we use a wider range of parametric distributions to model four main Chinese stock indices. We find a generalization of the Student’s t distribution is shown to provide the best fit.


A statistical analysis of Chinese stock indices returns from approach of parametric distributions fitting

February 2022

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33 Reads

How to capture the statistical characteristics of Chinese stock indices returns by the method of parametric distributions fitting could be useful in the fields of econometrics and risk management.In this paper we use a wider range of parametric distributions to model four main Chinese stock indices. We find a generalization of the Student’s t distribution is shown to provide the best fit.


Citations (6)


... Although recent studies about spatial transcriptome sequencing on ACPs have revealed new subtypes of ACP cells and potential therapeutic targets [5,[14][15][16], few of them focused on PCPs via spatial transcriptome sequencing.In this study, a special PCP patient presented with imaging-visible calcification of the tumor. To our knowledge, calcification in PCPs is very rare, and the mechanism is still unclear, therefore, we performed spatial transcriptome sequencing on these calcified PCP tumor samples to explore their biological characteristics. ...

Reference:

Anlotinib may have a therapeutic effect on papillary craniopharyngiomas without the BRAFv600e mutation
Multiomics integration-based immunological characterizations of adamantinomatous craniopharyngioma in relation to keratinization

Cell Death and Disease

... Recent YOLO series models have also been reported in applications such as crop monitoring, pest and disease control, automated harvesting, precision fertilization, and seed quality detection [13][14][15][16][17][18]. Yuheng Li et al. [19] proposed a maize pest detection method based on YOLOv9, combining PGI and GELAN modules and introducing MSPA, significantly enhancing feature extraction capabilities. ...

Real-Time Object Detection and Robotic Manipulation for Agriculture Using a YOLO-Based Learning Approach

... These findings imply that the distributions of shdiffrate and szdiffrate do not conform to a normal distribution, which also could be found in Fig 1 visually. To explore the specific distribution characteristics of shdiffrate and szdiffrate further, it would be beneficial to consult the methodology outlined in the article by Si and Nadarajah (2022), which provides a comprehensive framework for analyzing non-normal financial data distributions. ...

A Statistical Analysis of Chinese Stock Indices Returns From Approach of Parametric Distributions Fitting

Annals of Data Science

... It is important to note that the order statistics that result from a progressive type II censoring scheme are a specific example of generalized order statistics, which were introduced by Kamps (13,14). For full instructions and more details on the review, the reader is referred to the book by Balakrishnan and Aggarwala (15)(16)(17) or other studies (18,19). ...

On Optimal Progressive Censoring Schemes for Normal Distribution

Annals of Data Science

... Since language data, especially word counts [86], have a long-tailed distribution, we report minima (Min), maxima (Max), median (Mdn), mean (M), and standard deviation (SD). These descriptive statistics are used to detail the readability of the original and GPT-generated texts. ...

Word frequencies: A comparison of Pareto type distributions
  • Citing Article
  • January 2018

Physics Letters A