Y. Z. Wu’s research while affiliated with The Hong Kong Polytechnic University and other places

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Publications (7)


Using Bargaining-Game Theory for Negotiating Concession Period for BOT-Type Contract
  • Article

May 2007

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807 Reads

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162 Citations

Journal of Construction Engineering and Management

L. Y. Shen

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Y. Z. Wu

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This paper extends the build-operate-transfer (BOT) concession model (BOTCcM) to a new method for identifying a concession period by using bargaining-game theory. Concession period is one of the most important decision variables in arranging a BOT-type contract, and there are few methodologies available for helping to determine the value of this variable. The BOTCcM presents an alternative method by which a group of concession period solutions are produced. Nevertheless, a typical weakness in using BOTCcM is that the model cannot recommend a specific time span for concessionary. This paper introduces a new method called BOT bargaining concession model (BOTBaC) to enable the identification of a specific concession period, which takes into account the bargaining behavior of the two parties concerned in engaging a BOT contract, namely, the investor and the government concerned. The application of BOTBaC is demonstrated through using an example case.


Modeling the decision-making using game theory in monitoring land-use practice in China

September 2005

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38 Reads

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5 Citations

Xitong Gongcheng Lilun yu Shijian/System Engineering Theory and Practice

Using remote sensing technology becomes an important method for monitoring the land-use practice in China. For pursuing economic benefits, the local governments often implement various development programs by using state land illegally, thus it is essential to identify these illegal cases in using proper techniques such as remote sensing technology. The identification of those illegal cases will help government to adopt necessary punishment measures. It is believed that sufficient punishment measures will bring down the number of cases in using land illegally. In other words, increasing monitoring frequency will be able to control the land use practice. This paper is to build up a model using Game Theory for finding out an optimal monitoring frequency which enable the proper control over land use and at the same keep the monitoring costs to the minimum level. The model balances the monitoring frequency and the possibility of committing illegally land use by the local governments. A hypothetical example is presented to demonstrate the application of the model.


Planning and design for eco-sustainable farmland consolidation

June 2005

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17 Reads

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5 Citations

Pedosphere

With a view of sustainable development, different kinds of farmland consolidation are reviewed. A planning and design mode for eco-sustainable farmland consolidation, which integrated the ecotypic board, the ecotypic tunnel, the ecotypic island, and the ecotypic boundary, is proposed. Then, an actual case of farmland consolidation, a project located in Yinzhou County, Zhejiang Province, is used to demonstrate the effective application procedures of the planning and design mode.


Application of system dynamics for assessment of sustainable performance of construction projects

April 2005

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233 Reads

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100 Citations

Journal of Zhejiang University - Science A: Applied Physics & Engineering

Sustainable performance is expected to become a major factor when examining the feasibility of a construction project in terms of its life cycle performance. The study on which this paper is based developed a simulation model, using system dynamics methodology, to assess the sustainable performance of projects. Three major factors are used to examine project sustainable performance (PSP): the sustainability of economic development (E), the sustainability of social development (S), and the sustainability of environmental development (En). Sustainable development ability (SDA) was used as a prototype to evaluate the degree of sustainalbe performance. The simulation software ‘ithink’ was used to help with the application of the model to a real life case. This paper explains and demonstrates the procedures used to develop, the model and finally offers an approach for assessing the feasibility of a construction project in terms of its sustainable performance.


Application of system dynamics for assessment of sustainable performance of construction projects

April 2005

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6 Reads

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9 Citations

Journal of Zhejiang University - Science A: Applied Physics & Engineering

Sustainable performance is expected to become a major factor when examining the feasibility of a construction project in terms of its life cycle performance. The study on which this paper is based developed a simulation model, using system dynamics methodology, to assess the sustainable performance of projects. Three major factors are used to examine project sustainable performance (PSP): the sustainability of economic development (E), the sustainability of social development (S), and the sustainability of environmental development (En). Sustainable development ability (SDA) was used as a prototype to evaluate the degree of sustainalbe performance. The simulation software ‘ithink’ was used to help with the application of the model to a real life case. This paper explains and demonstrates the procedures used to develop, the model and finally offers an approach for assessing the feasibility of a construction project in terms of its sustainable performance.


Risk Concession Model for Build/Operate/Transfer Contract Projects

February 2005

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401 Reads

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159 Citations

Journal of Construction Engineering and Management

This paper extends the build-operate-transfer (BOT) concession model (BOTCcM) to establishing a risk concession model for BOT contract projects. The decision for a concession period is one of the most important decisions in determining a BOT contract. BOTCcM presents an alternative method to assist in determining a concession period that can protect the basic interests of both the investor and the government concerned. However, there is a major limitation in using the model, namely it gives no consideration to the impacts of risks on the estimation of various economic variables in the model. This study considers the risk impacts to the BOTCcM model and presents an additional risk concession model. This model provides an approach for formulating a concession period to consider the impacts of risks and, at the same time, protect the basic interests of both the investor and the government concerned. A hypothetical case is used to show the procedures of formulating the risk concession period through the assistance of the Monte Carlo simulation method.


Citations (7)


... Similar to DES, SD also has issues with interconnections between the higher and lower level of operations such as SD fares poorly at operational levels. SD modeling has been found to be lacking in cases where interconnections between the TBL agents are sought in cases where there is no homogeneity [177]. An important observation with respect to all three models is that they are capable of running only one situation at a time. ...

Reference:

Simulation of Sustainable Manufacturing Solutions: Tools for Enabling Circular Economy
Application of system dynamics for assessment of sustainable performance of construction projects
  • Citing Article
  • April 2005

Journal of Zhejiang University - Science A: Applied Physics & Engineering

... However, the complexity of the procedure of land transactions and the multitude of payoffs of different stakeholders create difficulties in conceptualizing the structure of the game (Samsura et al., 2010). Recently the methodology has been applied to land use policy to optimize the cost and regularize land use in China Tan et al., 2015;Wu et al., 2005). Jana et al. (2020) developed a multi-stakeholder utility model to create an understanding of the informal markets of the Global South, where multi-staged Nash equilibrium signifies the utilities of stakeholders in the process of LA in India. ...

Modeling the decision-making using game theory in monitoring land-use practice in China
  • Citing Article
  • September 2005

Xitong Gongcheng Lilun yu Shijian/System Engineering Theory and Practice

... However, the quality of supplementary cultivated land cannot be easily attained because farmland conversion always occurs in an area surrounded by residential and traffic lines with high-quality cultivated land (excellent irrigation and soil fertility). Supplementary farmland occurs in areas with poor water temperature, location, and topography, which are not conducive to implementing requisitioncompensation balance to increase the output capacity of the cultivated land (Xu et al., 2005;Tian, Zhou, Zhao, & Zhang, 2002;Li, 2003;Wu, 2004;. ...

Land use under PRED
  • Citing Article
  • January 2002

... However, improving farmland productivity through construc- tion of irrigation facilities as well as converting the existing sloped farmland into terraced land to conserve soil and water could compensate these decreases (Lambin and Geist, 2003). Nevertheless, successful implementation of these recommendations relies on other related measures (Bao et al., 2005). Those farmers disadvantaged by the reallocation should be compensated for their economic loss in the form of a government-sponsored grant. ...

Planning and design for eco-sustainable farmland consolidation
  • Citing Article
  • June 2005

Pedosphere

... The available literature currently suggests conducting multiple Net Present Value (NPV) analyses to determine the concession period, but these analyses neglect issues related to bankability and simply consider specific financial risks (Jin et al., 2019) and construction risks (Xu & Moon, 2014). Other approaches place emphasis on risk management and win-win negotiation approaches (Carbonara et al., 2014;Hanaoka & Palapus, 2012;Shen & Wu, 2005). However, bankability criteria are often overlooked and key financial parameters and ratios are not a major factor in such analyses, such as Debt Service Coverage Ratios (DSCR)-i.e., the multiple by which net operating income fulfills the debt service (Regan et al., 2017), which are largely used to determine leverage in PPPs. ...

Risk Concession Model for Build/Operate/Transfer Contract Projects
  • Citing Article
  • February 2005

Journal of Construction Engineering and Management

... An exploration of literature on the topic reveals predominant approaches, such as game theory (Arkin and Slastnikov 2017;Khutoretskii and Nefedkin 2020;Kokuitseva and Yudin 2015;Mertes et al. 2023;Ouenniche et al. 2016;Shen et al. 2007;Wardhana et al. 2022), mathematical modeling (Ashuri et al. 2012;Ng et al. 2007;Nguyen et al. 2020;Sodikov and Jalilov 2019;Ye and Tiong 2003), incorporating various models, and real-option valuation (ROV) (Arkin and Slastnikov 2017;Arnold et al. 2022;Ashuri et al. 2012;Chu et al. 2017), among others. These approaches have developed methodological tools that can be extensively applied for modeling and addressing diverse economic and investment challenges. ...

Using Bargaining-Game Theory for Negotiating Concession Period for BOT-Type Contract
  • Citing Article
  • May 2007

Journal of Construction Engineering and Management

... Publications of Anakotta (2004) and Mohammed et al. (2019) have identified PFS criteria, categorised into three pillars of sustainability as in Table 1. Further, the papers by Shen et al. (2005), Shen et al. (2007), and Shen et al. (2010) listed the sustainable performance criteria at the project inception stage, where Shen et al. (2010) specifically recognised 32 sustainability criteria from 87 PFS of various types of projects in China. ...

Application of system dynamics for assessment of sustainable performance of construction projects
  • Citing Article
  • April 2005

Journal of Zhejiang University - Science A: Applied Physics & Engineering