January 2019
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213 Reads
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5 Citations
SSRN Electronic Journal
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January 2019
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213 Reads
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5 Citations
SSRN Electronic Journal
January 2018
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73 Reads
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20 Citations
SSRN Electronic Journal
January 2018
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32 Reads
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4 Citations
Mathematical Control and Related Fields
July 2017
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53 Reads
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18 Citations
Operations Research
The regulator is interested in proposing a capital adequacy test by specifying an acceptance set for firms' capital positions at the end of a given period. This set needs to be surplus-invariant, i.e., not to depend on the surplus of firms' shareholders, because the test means to protect firms' liability holders. We prove that any surplus-invariant, law-invariant, and conic acceptance set must be the set of capital positions whose value-at-risk at a given level is less than zero. The result still holds if we replace conicity with numeraire-invariance, a property stipulating that whether a firm passes the test should not depend on the currency used to denominate its assets.
July 2017
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2 Reads
The regulator is interested in proposing a capital adequacy test by specifying an acceptance set for firms' capital positions at the end of a given period. This set needs to be surplus-invariant, i.e., not to depend on the surplus of firms' shareholders, because the test means to protect firms' liability holders. We prove that any surplus-invariant, law-invariant, and conic acceptance set must be the set of capital positions whose value-at-risk at a given level is less than zero. The result still holds if we replace conicity with numeraire-invariance, a property stipulating that whether a firm passes the test should not depend on the currency used to denominate its assets.
March 2017
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22 Reads
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2 Citations
Journal of Mathematical Economics
We propose a coherent inference model that is obtained by distorting the prior density in Bayes’ rule and replacing the likelihood with a so-called pseudo-likelihood. This model includes the existing non-Bayesian inference models as special cases and implies new models of base-rate neglect and conservatism. We prove a sufficient and necessary condition under which the coherent inference model is processing consistent, i.e., implies the same posterior density however the samples are grouped and processed retrospectively. We further show that processing consistency does not imply Bayes’ rule by proving a sufficient and necessary condition under which the coherent inference model can be obtained by applying Bayes’ rule to a false stochastic model.
January 2017
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18 Reads
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11 Citations
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
We study multi-period equilibrium asset pricing in an economy with Epstein-Zin (EZ-) agents whose preferences for consumption are represented by recursive utility and with loss averse (LA-) agents who derive additional utility of gains and losses and are averse to losses. We propose an equilibrium gain-loss ratio for stocks and show that the LA-agents are more (less) risk averse than the EZ-agents if their degree of loss aversion is higher (lower) than this ratio. When all the agents have unitary relative risk aversion degree and elasticity of intertemporal substitution, we prove the existence and uniqueness of the equilibrium and the market dominance of the EZ-agents in the long run. Finally, we extend our results to the case in which the LA-agents use probability weighting in their evaluation of gains and losses.
January 2017
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23 Reads
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5 Citations
SSRN Electronic Journal
In this paper we analyze how changes in inverse S-shaped probability weighting influence optimal portfolio choice in a rank-dependent utility model. We derive sufficient conditions for the existence of an optimal solution of the investment problem, and then define the notion of a more inverse S-shaped probability weighting function. We show that an increase in inverse S-shaped weighting typically leads to a lower allocation to the risky asset, regardless of whether the return distribution is skewed left or right, as long as it offers a non-negligible risk premium. Only for lottery stocks with poor expected returns and extremely positive skewness does an increase in inverse S-shaped probability weighting lead to larger portfolio allocations. © 2018, American Institute of Mathematical Sciences. All rights reserved.
January 2017
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32 Reads
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28 Citations
SIAM Journal on Financial Mathematics
Experimental studies show that people's risk preferences depend nonlinearly on probabilities, but relatively little is known about how probability weighting inuences investment decisions. In this paper we analyze the portfolio choice problem of investors who maximize rank-dependent utility in a single-period complete market. We prove that investors with a less risk averse preference relation in general choose a more risky final wealth distribution, receiving a risk premium in return for accepting conditional-mean-zero noise (more risk). We also propose a new scenario-based notion of less risk taking that can be applied when state probabilities are unknown or not agreed upon.
January 2017
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90 Reads
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1 Citation
SSRN Electronic Journal
... Prior literature has studied incentives in AMMs, but no prior work has simultaneously modeled and analyzed the following three properties of CLMMs: (1) LPs can only invest up to a fixed budget, (2) LPs in CLMMs can invest different amounts in different price ranges, and (3) LPs compete against each other for fees, and thus must take into account other LPs' strategies and their budgets [26]. Most existing works focus on the study of a single LP's strategy [23] or on the case where LPs are identical [10,23,24,29,30,35], and in both cases the budget is assumed to be unlimited [35]. For legacy AMMs, [35] proposes a framework using symmetric games to show the uniqueness of the symmetric Nash equilibrium. ...
January 2024
SSRN Electronic Journal
... In addition to the works mentioned above, there exists an extensive literature on equilibrium asset pricing and portfolio selection with loss aversion or time-varying risk aversion and thus we do not attempt to summarize it here (e.g., Guo and He (2017);van Bilsen et al. (2020); Strub and Li (2020); Choi et al. (2022); He and Strub (2022); Li et al. (2022), and Tse and Zheng (2023)). 1 ...
September 2022
Operations Research
... For the aspect of solving the respective DM problems, [9] appeared to be one of the first few works that establish a mathematical framework of subgame perfect equilibrium (SPE) on top of the ideas of [31,29,27]. The framework was then popularized since the seminal work of [2] on its application to MV portfolio selection, while [5,4,15,16,37,36,22] subsequently developed the analogous dynamic programming and maximum principle frameworks for characterizing the SPE; see also the review of [14]. Motivated by the significance of model uncertainty, a developing literature introduces the robust SPE that accounts for ambiguity and time inconsistency simultaneously; see [30,21,12,13]. ...
April 2022
... In this situation, the corresponding Nash equilibrium control is not considered as a strong equilibrium strategy. (He & Jiang, 2021) investigate whether some classical time-consistent control problems have strong equilibrium strategies in the closed-loop Nash equilibrium, and find that the answer relies on the range of spike deviations. For the conventional MV portfolio problem, the time-consistent strategy is not a strong equilibrium strategy, if the spike deviation is allowed to be a general feedback function. ...
October 2021
SIAM Journal on Control and Optimization
... Elicitable functionals and (strictly) consistent scoring functions are of interest due to their utility of determining (uniquely) optimal forecasts, and thus the ability to effectively backtesting predictions, see e.g., Gneiting (2011) and . The literature on elicitability in risk management is extensive, with many authors arguing for its importance (Ziegel 2016, He et al. 2022. The characterisation of elicitable convex and coherent risk measures for example has been studied in Bellini and Bignozzi (2015), while showed that Expected Shortfall (ES) is jointly elicitable with VaR. ...
Reference:
Robust Elicitable Functionals
March 2022
Annual Review of Statistics and Its Application
... There also have numerous extensions of the mean-risk portfolio optimization from the single-period setting to the dynamic, continuous-time one (e.g. Zhou and Li, 2000;Bielecki et al., 2005;Jin et al., 2005;Basak and Chabakauri, 2010;He et al., 2015;Zhou et al., 2017;Gao et al., 2017;Dai et al., 2021;He and Jiang, 2021). In particular, He et al. (2015) study a continuous-time mean-risk portfolio choice when risk is measured by the weighted Valueat-Risk (WVaR) but their results are rather pessimistic. ...
July 2021
Mathematics of Operations Research
... By similar arguments in [5], it is easy to establish the verification theorem (Sufficiency) for the Markovian setting while the non-Markovian setting was attempted in [17]. The Necessity issue is difficult and we refer the readers to its latest progress, such as [33,17,15,11] and a comprehensive literature review of the field in [16]. ...
January 2021
SSRN Electronic Journal
... 2 Other research that has addressed optimal payoff choices under symmetric distance constraints include works by Bernard et al. (2015b), Rüschendorf and Vanduffel (2020), and He and Jiang (2021). ...
March 2021
Operations Research Letters
... Various applications of forward preferences have been explored, including equilibrium models [26], relative preferences [6,64], and insurance applications [18,52]. Further investigations include risk measures [20,65], indifference pricing [5,59], optimal liquidation strategies [60], long-term yield curve dynamics [23], behavioral finance [30], and pension policy [33]. ...
January 2021
Mathematical Finance
... A follow-up study expands this model by introducing probability weighting and a convex-concave value function, providing further insights into the stock market non-participation and equity premium puzzles through the lens of narrow framing and cumulative prospect theory [10]. Another study further refined the model by assuming proportional effects of gains and losses on an agent's total utility [11]. ...
January 2021
Journal of Mathematical Economics