Virginia Burkett’s research while affiliated with United States Geological Survey and other places
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The articles in this special issue examine the critical nexus of electricity, water, and climate, emphasizing connections among resources; the prospect of increasing vulnerabilities of water resources and electricity generation in a changing climate; and the opportunities for research to inform integrated energy and water policy and management measures aimed at reducing vulnerability and increasing resilience. Here, we characterize several major themes emerging from this research and highlight some of the uptake of this work in both scientific and public spheres. Underpinning much of this research is the recognition that water resources are expected to undergo substantial changes based on the global warming that results primarily from fossil energy-based carbon emissions. At the same time, the production of electricity from fossil fuels, nuclear power, and some renewable technologies (biomass, geothermal and concentrating solar power) can be highly water-intensive. Energy choices now and in the near future will have a major impact not just on the global climate, but also on water supplies and the resilience of energy systems that currently depend heavily on them.
Coastal degradation has been widely reported around the world's coasts. The observed degradation can be attributed to the intensification of a wide range of drivers of coastal change, especially an expanding global population and economy. While climate change and the resulting sea level rise will have important adverse effects, it is more difficult to observe such coastal changes relative to other drivers. The best examples are related to temperature rise at low and high latitudes, as seen by the impacts on coral reefs and polar coasts, respectively. This chapter also considers methods to better attribute the role of observed degradation to climate change and how this would support coastal management.
Several recent international assessments have concluded that climate change has the potential to reverse the modest economic gains achieved in many developing countries over the past decade. The phenomenon of climate change threatens to worsen poverty or burden populations with additional hardships, especially in poor societies with weak infrastructure and economic well-being. The importance of the perceptions, experiences, and knowledge of indigenous peoples has gained prominence in discussions of climate change and adaptation in developing countries and among international development organizations. Efforts to evaluate the role of indigenous knowledge in adaptation planning, however, have largely focused on rural people and their agricultural livelihoods. This paper presents the results of a study that examines perceptions, experiences, and indigenous knowledge relating to climate change and variability in three communities of metropolitan Accra, which is the capital of Ghana. The study design is based on a three-part conceptual framework and interview process involving risk mapping, mental models, and individual stressor cognition. Most of the residents interviewed in the three communities of urban Accra attributed climate change to the combination of deforestation and the burning of firewood and rubbish. None of the residents associated climate change with fossil fuel emissions from developed countries. Numerous potential adaptation strategies were suggested by the residents, many of which have been used effectively during past drought and flood events. Results suggest that ethnic residential clustering as well as strong community bonds in metropolitan Accra have allowed various groups and long-settled communities to engage in the sharing and transmission of knowledge of weather patterns and trends. Understanding and building upon indigenous knowledge may enhance the design, acceptance, and implementation of climate change adaptation strategies in Accra and urban regions of other developing nations.
Coping is a behavioral capacity that can reduce the adverse impacts in a system that is exposed to an extreme event or a chronic natural hazard. The capacity for coping with a natural hazard is generally inversely related to vulnerability - The higher the coping capacity, the lower the vulnerability of a system, region, community, or individual. In some cases, however, even strong coping capacities do not necessarily reduce vulnerability. For example, transportation and sewage treatment facilities constructed in a geologic floodplain by a community with high institutional and financial resources may be as physically vulnerable to the impacts of flooding as facilities constructed by a community with low coping capacity. Coping behaviors that are based on a good understanding of both the hazard and its impacts can substantially increase the resilience of human settlements, infrastructure, and economies.
Impacts on coastal systems are among the most costly and most certain consequences of a warming climate (Nicholls et al., 2007). The warming atmosphere is expected to accelerate sea-level rise as a result of the decline of glaciers and ice sheets and the thermal expansion of sea water. As mean sea level rises, coastal shorelines will retreat and low-lying areas will tend to be inundated more frequently, if not permanently, by the advancing sea. As atmospheric temperature increases and rainfall patterns change, soil moisture and runoff to the coast are likely to be altered. An increase in the intensity of climatic extremes such as storms and heat spells, coupled with other impacts of climate change and the effects of human development, could affect the sustainability of many existing coastal communities and natural resources. This report examines the known effects and relationships of these and other climate change variables on coasts of the U.S. It also describes how several major sectors of the U.S. economy are likely to be affected as well as the diversity of adaptation options that are either being considered or already implemented in coastal regions.
The societal vulnerability of U.S. coasts to climate change is multifaceted, including vulnerabilities of economic sectors, cultural resources, and human well-being of a diverse concentration of people. In addition to the vulnerability and potential impacts of a changing climate on natural resources and threats to ecosystem services described in Chapter 3, homes and other human development in the coastal zone are also increasingly at risk. This expanded vulnerability has three dimensions: exposure, sensitivity, and resilience or adaptive capacity. The interactions of climate-related vulnerabilities with other stresses, such as economic downturn, environmental degradation, loss of ecosystem services, and continued pressures for development pose further analytical challenges. Current research on societal vulnerability in the coastal area does not yet fully consider or capture these multifaceted attributes of societal vulnerability.
Robert Nicholls is a Professor of coastal engineering in the School of Civil Engineering and the Environment at the University of Southampton, UK. His main technical areas of interest are long-term coastal engineering and management, especially the issues of coastal impacts and adaptation to climate change, with an emphasis on sea-level rise. Nationally, he leads the coastal research program of the Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research and has contributed to a range of projects, including the RegIS Study, the national assessment of Flood Risk and Coastal Defence, and the Stern Review of the Economics of Climate Change. Within the European Union, he was a lead investigator on the DINAS-COAST Project, which led to the development of the DIVA tool for subnational to global vulnerability assessment, and he is involved in a number of projects which are utilizing this model. Internationally, he has conducted assessments for a number of international organizations, including the Organization for Economic Co-Operation and Development (OECD) and the World Bank. He was lead author of chapters in four reports of the Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change (IPCC): Second Assessment Report (1996); the Regional Assessment (1998); the Special Report on Technology Transfer (2000); and the Third Assessment Report (2001), and was convening lead author for the ‘Coastal systems and low-lying areas’ chapter in the IPCC 4th Assessment Report. In 2008, he was awarded the Roger Revelle Medal by the Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission.
... Coastal regions are constantly affected by natural disasters such as cyclones, tsunamis, storm surges, sea-level rise, and shoreline alterations, posing an enormous risk to the human population living in coastal environments [1][2][3]. Changes in the coastline due to rising sea levels may result in permanent waterlogging in the low-lying coastal regions and have a substantial impact on the coastal ecosystem [4,5]. Indian coastal regions are frequently threatened by various climatic and weather phenomena, such as sea-level rise, extreme weather events, El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), and global teleconnection [6]. ...
... However, the majority of research papers focus primarily on identifying causes, vulnerabilities, impacts, and potential solutions. While this study does not claim to have compiled an exhaustive collection of SAS-related policy-driven coastal management initiatives have further heightened the demand for comprehensive shoreline analysis studies (Nicholls et al. 2016;Crossland et al. 2005). ...
... When temporal variations in salinity are significant, the homogenization effect on biodiversity becomes less clear. At some coastal locations, SLR and frequent tropical storms have already started to change the environment with an irreversible impact on biodiversity (Allen and Lendemer 2016; Burkett et al. 2008). These vegetation changes could also affect the socio-economics of coastal communities (Midgley 2012;Sylvain and Wall 2011). ...
... The earliest paper matching the criteria was the June 2008 "Climate Change and Water" report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). The report featured the use of resilience in reference to droughts, water service designs, and vulnerability to the effects of climate change (Bates et al., 2008). In addition to resilience, this publication briefly mentioned the idea of equity as a principle to consider when allocating water resources and developing water systems in developing countries (Bates et al., 2008). ...
... although there is no indication of acceleration [2]. Since then, it has been claimed that the estimate that best fits the facts at hand is one that is based on a 20-cm rise throughout the 20th century [19]. Consequently, the 20th century saw a notable rise in sea level, which has undoubtedly been a stressor leading to several of the current issues with the shore. ...
... Moreover, a limited number of indicators were determined and quantified in a transparent manner (Huang and Cai, 2009). Therefore, this composite index approach has overcome the aforementioned problems and been widely used in Asia to evaluate the interactions between socioeconomic and administrative challenges as well as correspondingly the coping capacity of its water resources system (Huang et al., 2008;Wahid, 2008, 2009;Burkett, 2013). ...
... The researchers found that the opportunity cost of climate change on road construction was most pronounced in the countries of Bolivia, Ethiopia, Cameroon, and the Philippines due to a higher proportion of unpaved roads in these countries [124]. Other authors have continued to build on this methodology to help determine the potential impacts of climate change on bridges and roads in northern climates [125,126]. ...
... If such changes along coasts are to occur, they will inevitably associate with significant socioeconomic consequences. This is because the Low Elevation Coastal Zone (LECZ), defined as areas within 10 m of mean sea level (Vafeidis et al., 2011), is home to~10% of the world's population, with more than a billion expected by 2050 (Merkens et al., 2016) and heavily utilized by humans for myriad activities (e.g., navigation, defence, and military, tourism, agriculture, use of various marine/ecosystem resources and services, waste disposal, development of various coastal infrastructures, research, art, and recreational activities) (McGranahan et al., 2007;Nicholls et al., 2008;Nicholls et al., 2011;Wong et al., 2014;Neumann et al., 2015;Oppenheimer et al., 2019). Substantial variations of streamflow and sediment load can be observed in many river systems worldwide. ...
... Along the nGoM (TX, LA, MS, AL), coastal surface temperature is projected to increase by 2-4 • C towards the end of the 21 st century, paralleling changes in global temperatures in response to greenhouse gases (Biasutti et al., 2012;Rhein et al., 2013). Record high temperatures and duration of heat waves are also anticipated to increase (Biasutti et al., 2012), with the number of days with temperatures above 32 • C rising from the current level of 77 days-115 days (plus or minus 16 days) per year (Keim et al., 2008). Along with general warming trends, the frequency and intensity of rainfall are expected to increase across the southeastern United States with the associated effects of decreasing estuarine salinity, and, to decrease across the southern great plains with the associated effects of increasing estuarine salinity in southwestern Texas estuaries (Powell and Keim 2015;Kloesel et al., 2018;Carter et al., 2018). ...
... Effort directed toward field verification, database integration and curation is necessary to ensure that modelling approaches are adequately contextualised and are able to yield insights that extend beyond wetland boundary mapping (Seidl 2017;Ríos-Saldaña et al. 2018;Rebelo et al. 2021). Moreover, wetland HGM types show variable levels of vulnerability to different forces of degradation (Rivers-Moore and Cowden 2012) as well as varying with respect to the supply of specific ecological functions and services (Brinson 1993;Euliss et al. 2013;Walters et al. 2021). Thus, knowing the likelihood of occurrence of HGM types across a region is beneficial for several different applications, including setting conservation targets and prioritizing wetland systems, for example, for rehabilitation (Rivers-Moore et al. 2020). ...