Valery Lazarev’s research while affiliated with Stanford University and other places

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Publications (6)


Structural convergence in Russia’s economic transition, 1990–2002
  • Article

February 2007

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20 Reads

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10 Citations

Economic Change and Restructuring

Valery Lazarev

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Paul Gregory

This paper examines structural change in Russia’s transition in 1990–2002 as measured by the changing composition of output, employment, and end use of GDP. Using an international panel data sets as a frame of reference, it calculates a series of indexes to determine the extent to which the Russian economy is converging towards market economies in the course of market transformation. Our methodology lets us analyze the changes in the structural profile of the economy using the entirety of the available data rather than individual performance indicators. We find that Russia has become structurally similar to the benchmark market economies in the upper-middle income group and the lower tier of high-income countries. At the same time, the extent of labor reallocation remains inadequate and Russia’s pattern of consumption remains distorted due to the incomplete price liberalization.



Structural Change in Russian Transition

November 2004

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22 Reads

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6 Citations

This paper examines structural change in the Russian economy in 1990-2001, as measured by the changing composition of output and consumption, using international panel data sets as a frame of reference. It calculates a series of indexes to determine the extent to which the Russian economy is converging towards market economies. Although the Russian structure of output is becoming increasingly similar to that of upper-middle and the lower tier of high-income countries, the structure of Russian manufacturing is inconsistent with its income level and the extent of labor reallocation remains inadequate. Russia's pattern of consumption remains distorted due to the incomplete price liberalization.


The Economics of Forced Labor: The Soviet Gulag

October 2004

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542 Reads

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34 Citations

Slavic Review

Until now, there has been little scholarly analysis of the Soviet Gulag as an economic, social, and political institution, primarily owing to a lack of data. This collection presents the results of years of research by Western and Russian scholars. The authors provide both broad overviews and specific case studies as they examine:* The various forms of coercion and the channels through which coerced labor was distributed under Stalinism's heyday, from the late 1930s to the early 1950s* Why the Gulag emerged and its perceived economic rationale* The chronology of the Gulag from the first major projects—such as the White Sea–Baltic Canal—to the unfinished plans of the 1950s* The day-to-day costs of maintaining the Gulag and the great hidden cost of coercion—the loss of productivity* How the Soviet leadership desperately sought to find the right balance between extreme coercion and extreme material incentives for the labor force—and how material incentives played an increasingly greater role in later years* How Stalin's death provided the excuse for radical reform and the end of the Gulag. Seen together, these contributions present an extraordinary portrait of a major aspect of the Soviet approach to economic achievement whose results should provide an invaluable lesson to future generations.


Commissars and Cars: A Case Study in the Political Economy of Dictatorship

March 2003

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81 Reads

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33 Citations

Journal of Comparative Economics

We use unique archival data on the allocation of vehicles, i.e. cars and trucks, in the 1930s by a three-person commission of top Soviet officials for an empirical investigation of resource allocation by a dictatorship. Two distinct models of dictatorial allocative behavior, namely, an economic planning model and a political gift exchange model, are considered. We use censored regression and ordered probit to show that the political gift exchange model is supported strongly by the data, but the economic model is rejected. Moreover, the political model explains better the rejection of petitions rather than their success, suggesting that the dictator preferred unconstrained decision-making discretion. We argue that the dictator used gift exchange to purchase loyalty against uncontrolled market exchanges and that political bias in resource allocation was undermining the dictator's power in the long run.


The wheels of a command economy: Allocating Soviet vehicles

November 2001

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47 Reads

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33 Citations

The Economic History Review

Using original archival sources, this article traces the allocation of vehicles by the Soviet economy and shows the complicated reality of the system’s operation. ‘Planned’ distribution was anything but orderly as decrees overturned quarterly plans, wholesalers ignored planning instructions by keeping vehicles for themselves or redirecting them to others, and the producer intervened through its control of the planning ‘aftermarket’. Existing stocks of vehicles were redistributed by administrative mobilizations that were resisted and thwarted by those losing vehicles. Behind the scenes, ‘grey’ markets reallocated used vehicles.

Citations (6)


... Ukraine had politicized the issue of Soviet famine to redefine it as "Stalin's genocidal policies against the Ukraine in the 1930s, [where] famine conditions were deliberately constructed by the state" (Devereux, 2007: 4). However, other regions of the Soviet periphery consider this unfortunate period of collectivization, peasant rebellion (Viola, 1996) and famine (Ivnitskiy, 2009) as a start of Stalinism as a whole, in which socio-economic system of repression (Gregory, 2004) and labour camps (Gregory & Lazarev, 2003) became the norm. ...

Reference:

Biopolitics of Knowledgeable Neglect: The Case of Famine in Kazakhstan in 1931-1933
The Economics of Forced Labor: The Soviet Gulag
  • Citing Article
  • November 2006

Slavic Review

... At the same time, the planned economy mixed up organizational goals and tasks because it was based on an exaggeration of results and irrational feedback, where the ideological criteria often dominated economic aspects. One specific feature can be outlined here-the organizational goals had to be in accordance with the state's goals ( Lazarev and Gregory, 2002, for example). The transitional society created several issues and there were forceful pressures on Estonian companies from the external environment. ...

The wheels of a command economy: Allocating Soviet vehicles
  • Citing Article
  • November 2001

The Economic History Review

... That is, sharing the rents with the military does reduce the probability of a military revolt. Using unique archival data on the allocation of cars for mid-level bureaucrats, Lazarev and Gregory (2003) analyze the microlevel of the dictator's distribution of rents. Their evidence strongly suggests that the allocation of cars, a prized commodity in the Soviet Union, was primarily a purchase of the bureaucrat's political loyalty. ...

Commissars and Cars: A Case Study in the Political Economy of Dictatorship
  • Citing Article
  • March 2003

Journal of Comparative Economics

... We add to several distinct literatures. First, we add to the literature on the economics of forced labor and coercive labor contracts (Acemoglu and Wolitzky, 2011;Bobonis and Morrow, 2014;Dell, 2010;Gregory and Lazarev, 2013;Juif and Frankema, 2018;Lowes and 5 Source: Author estimates from archival data and World Prison Brief. 6 Colonial Nigeria at a rate of between 0.2-0.4% on average compared to the US Black incarceration rate of around 0.4% over the same period. ...

The Economics of Forced Labor: The Soviet Gulag
  • Citing Article
  • October 2004

Slavic Review

... However, in the early 2000s, as some analyses suggested, Russian enterprises were leaving the virtual economy and, increasingly, were behaving in accordance with institutions' governing behaviour in a market economy. 24 24 See, for example, Hanson (2003), Lazarev and Gregory (2007), Olsson (2008a), Kvintradze (2010). ...

Structural convergence in Russia’s economic transition, 1990–2002
  • Citing Article
  • February 2007

Economic Change and Restructuring

... First and foremost, a group of oligarchs, under the guise of privatisation, took hold of the country's most valuable assets, especially natural resources. Th is led to huge income inequality, discouraged investments by foreign capital and slowed down desirable changes in competitiveness and transformation of production structure, making the economy heavily dependent on exporting oil and gas (Gregory/Lazarev, 2004). Th e rapid decline of oil prices revealed the weakness of Russian fi nances and led to the 1998 crisis (Orłowski, 2020). ...

Structural Change in Russian Transition
  • Citing Article
  • November 2004