Trevor Bell’s research while affiliated with Durban University of Technology and other places

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Publications (2)


Competitiveness, International Trade and Finance in a Minerals-rich Economy: The Case of South Africa
  • Article

January 1999

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17 Reads

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17 Citations

Trevor Bell

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Rashad Cassim

The Minerals-Energy Complex and South African Industrialisation

December 1997

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259 Reads

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18 Citations

In their recent book Fine & Rustomjee argue that the minerals-energy complex (MEC) as a system of accumulation had a determining and retarding effect on South African industrialisation. The evidence on the share of the MEC sectors in the GDP does not support the contention that the MEC as a system of accumulation has effectively increased the economy's dependence on these sectors. Statistical evidence contradicts Fine & Rustomjee s view that South Africa's import-substituting industrialisation did not move from consumption goods to intermediate and then to capital goods, but in the opposite direction. There is no historical evidence to support the contention that the MEC as a system of accumulation prevented diversification of manufacturing industry and thus retarded industrialisation. Manufacturing industry did diversify both between the wars and in the postwar period. It is suggested that state-promoted developments in MEC manufacturing sectors represented important and necessary steps towards full-scale industrialisation, which began in South Africa between the wars.

Citations (2)


... Enhancing export growth is also an imperative from a macroeconomic and growth perspective. South Africa's macro-competitiveness -the ability of the economy to generate sufficient foreign exchange through trade to support the growth process (Thirlwall 1979) -has diminished (Bell et al. 2002). Whereas during the 1960s a current account deficit to GDP ratio of 2.1% was associated with a two-year average GDP growth rate of 6%, over the 2015-2018 period, a higher deficit ratio of 3.4% was associated with a growth rate of only 0.94% per annum. ...

Reference:

South Africa’s International Trade
Competitiveness, International Trade and Finance in a Minerals-rich Economy: The Case of South Africa
  • Citing Article
  • January 1999

... Downstream sectors were protected rather than developed through uncritical and unconditional import protection (Fine and Rustomjee 1996;Ashman et al. 2013a). Bell and Farrell (1997) have contested the MEC hypothesis on two main grounds. ...

The Minerals-Energy Complex and South African Industrialisation
  • Citing Article
  • December 1997