Tom (Tom D.) O'Grady’s scientific contributions

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Publications (1)


New labor's politicians and the transformation of British welfare provision
  • Thesis

January 2017

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1 Citation

Tom (Tom D.) O'Grady

In the 1960s, the UK had some of the most generous welfare provision in the world, assisting people 'from the cradle to the grave', in the words of its designer William Beveridge. Widely supported by voters and politicians of all stripes, it remained largely intact into the early 1980s. Yet since then, the benefits system has been radically transformed into one of the developed world's least generous, with major implications for poverty and social cohesion. Public opinion has also turned against it to a degree that is unmatched anywhere else. Until recently, both major parties largely embraced the new settlement, using increasingly harsh rhetoric to describe welfare - and its users. Looking at welfare programs that provide relief from unemployment, poverty, and disability, I ask why this transformation occurred. I offer an explicitly political and top-down explanation, focusing on the role of party competition and a large change in the composition of the UK's Labour party, which originally set up the welfare state. As it increasingly recruited legislators from outside of the working-class, both its stance and rhetoric on welfare reform shifted dramatically. I show that this rhetoric ultimately turned the British public into welfare skeptics who are willing to endorse far-reaching retrenchment. Hence this case study offers a cautionary tale of how the political coalitions underpinning social policy can quickly unravel. Political and popular support for welfare provision is by no means guaranteed, even in an era of rising insecurity and inequality, particularly as social democratic parties become increasingly unrecognizable compared to their working-class roots, and welfare is subjected to means-testing, drawing lines between recipients and taxpayers. This thesis includes six chapters, and uses a database I have assembled of every speech made about welfare issues in the British Parliament from 1987-2015, together with a wealth of public opinion data. It combines historical accounts, computational and qualitative text analysis, and quantitative observational and experimental evidence to explain how British welfare provision, rhetoric and public opinion were all transformed in the space of a single generation.

Citations (1)


... Most workers are unlikely to have a full understanding of how changes in wages translate into macroeconomic outcomes such as inflation, levels of unemployment, or growth. In the absence of a full understanding of such complex economic interrelationships, workers may react to cues provided by political elites, transmitted via the media (e. g., Zaller 1992; Lenz 2009; Barnes and Hicks 2018;O'Grady 2017). They may also respond to persuasive communication by union leaders. ...

Reference:

Determinants of Wage (Dis-)Satisfaction: Trade Exposure, Export-Led Growth, and the Irrelevance of Bargaining Structure
New labor's politicians and the transformation of British welfare provision
  • Citing Thesis
  • January 2017