Theodore R. Levin’s research while affiliated with Kaiser Permanente and other places

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Publications (281)


Rebound in Fecal Testing, Colonoscopy Utilization, and Colorectal Neoplasia Detection During the COVID-19 Pandemic
  • Article

January 2025

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1 Read

The American Journal of Gastroenterology

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Christopher D. Jensen

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Amy R. Marks

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[...]

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Theodore R. Levin

Objectives The COVID-19 pandemic reduced colorectal cancer (CRC) screening, but the rebound in testing and outcomes following the pandemic has not been widely reported. We evaluated CRC test utilization and colorectal neoplasia detection among screening eligible patients in a large health system in 2020 and 2021, compared to 2019 (pre-pandemic). Methods Using a retrospective cohort study design, fecal immunochemical test (FIT) and colonoscopy utilization, FIT positivity, and neoplasia detection were evaluated annually in 2019-2021 among Kaiser Permanente Northern California patients aged 50-75 years overall and by sex, age, race and ethnicity, and spoken language preference. Results Compared to 2019, reductions in FIT, colonoscopy, FIT positivity, and neoplasia detection in 2020 were followed by a strong rebound in 2021 and no subgroups by age and sex or minority subgroups by race and ethnicity or spoken language preference demonstrably lagged in their recovery in 2021. Among White persons and those with an English language preference, there was a small lag in recovery to baseline levels. The overall decline in CRC testing by colonoscopy in 2020 was offset by a lesser decrease in FIT utilization in 2020, and a strong rebound in FIT utilization in 2021 helped to offset the small lag in the rebound in colonoscopies completed in 2021. Conclusions Findings may help guide organizations looking to improve CRC screening and minimize healthcare disparities related to national emergencies such as pandemics. Long-term studies are needed to evaluate how pandemic-related changes in CRC screening practices will impact future CRC outcomes.



Incidence of serious complications following screening colonoscopy in adults aged 76 to 85 years old

November 2024

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3 Reads

Cancer Epidemiology Biomarkers & Prevention

Background Screening colonoscopy harm data are limited for adults ages 76 to 85 years. Methods We conducted a retrospective cohort study of screening colonoscopies versus fecal immunochemical tests (FIT) and general population matched comparators ages 76 to 85 years within three integrated healthcare systems (2010–2019). The primary outcome was death or overnight hospitalization within 30 days. A secondary outcome also included nine harm diagnoses. Adjusted risk estimates and risk differences (RD) were obtained using Poisson regression. Narrow analyses excluded outcomes after the next lower endoscopy or colorectal procedure, whereas broad analyses included them. Results Patients undergoing screening colonoscopy (N = 4,435) had a higher 10-day cumulative incidence of gastrointestinal bleeding {0.18% [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.09%–0.35%]} and perforation [0.09% (95% CI, 0.03%–0.23%)] than those with FIT (N = 17,740) and the general population (N = 44,350) in the narrow analysis. Screening colonoscopy patients had a 1.04% (95% CI, 0.74%–1.34%) risk of death or hospitalization within 30 days in the narrow analysis, similar to those with FIT [RD = 0% (95% CI, −0.36% to 0.35%)] and the general population [RD = −0.07% (95% CI, −0.39% to 0.25%)]. In the broad analysis, risk following colonoscopy was 2.30% (95% CI, 1.85%–2.75%) with RD = 1.13% (95% CI, 0.67%–1.60%) versus general population [ages 76–80 years: RD = 0.93% (95% CI, 0.45%–1.41%) and ages 81–85 years: RD = 2.14% (95% CI, 0.74%–3.54%)]. Secondary outcomes followed a similar pattern by age. Conclusion At ages 76 to 85 years, screening colonoscopies including downstream procedures are associated with an increased short-term risk of death or hospitalization. Impact Harm data can be combined with benefit data to guide screening colonoscopy decisions among older adults.


Colorectal Cancer Screening Completion and Yield in Patients Aged 45 to 50 Years: An Observational Study

October 2024

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15 Reads

Annals of Internal Medicine

Background: Guidelines now recommend initiating colorectal cancer (CRC) screening at age 45 years rather than 50 years, but little is known about screening completion and yield among people aged 45 to 49 years. Objective: To evaluate fecal immunochemical test (FIT) completion and yield in patients aged 45 to 49 versus 50 years. Design: Retrospective cohort study. Setting: Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Washington, and Colorado. Patients: Those distributed a FIT kit during January to September 2022. Measurements: FIT completion within 3 months, FIT positivity, receipt of colonoscopy within 3 months after a positive FIT result, and colonoscopy yield. Results: A total of 267 732 FIT kits were distributed: 213 928 (79.9%) to patients aged 45 to 49 years, and 53 804 (20.1%) to those aged 50 years. Overall, FIT completion was slightly higher in patients aged 45 to 49 years (38.9% vs. 37.5%; adjusted risk ratio [aRR], 1.05 [95% CI, 1.04 to 1.06]), although at Colorado, those aged 45 to 49 years were substantially less likely to complete a FIT (30.7% vs. 40.2%; aRR, 0.77 [CI, 0.73 to 0.80]). Overall, FIT positivity was lower in patients aged 45 to 49 years (3.6% vs. 4.0%; aRR, 0.91 [CI, 0.84 to 0.98]), and receipt of colonoscopy after a positive FIT result was similar between groups (64.9% vs. 67.4%; aRR, 1.00 [CI, 0.94 to 1.05]). Adenoma detection was lower in the younger group (58.8% vs. 67.7%; aRR, 0.88 [CI, 0.83 to 0.95]). Yields were similar for adenoma with advanced histology (13.2% vs. 15.9%; aRR, 0.86 [CI, 0.69 to 1.07]), polyp with high-grade dysplasia (3.4% vs. 5.1%; aRR, 0.68 [CI, 0.44 to 1.04]), sessile serrated lesion (10.3% vs. 11.7%; aRR, 0.92 [CI, 0.71 to 1.21]), and CRC (2.8% vs. 2.7%; aRR, 1.10 [CI, 0.62 to 1.96]). Limitation: The small number of neoplasia events contributed to wide CIs. Conclusion: Similar FIT completion and yield rates in people aged 45 to 50 years support initiation of CRC screening at age 45 years. Primary funding source: Kaiser Permanente Sidney R. Garfield Memorial Fund.








Citations (53)


... Special attention should be given to individuals at risk of inadequate bowel preparation, such as the elderly, patients with diabetes or cerebrovascular disease, and hospitalized individuals [57,58]. Both the U.S. Multi-Society Task Force guidelines and the ESGE recommend maintaining adequate bowel preparation in at least 90% of all procedures [59,60] Cecal intubation serves as an indicator not only for observing the right colon but also as a measure of the endoscopist's technical ability to achieve complete insertion. Failure to intubate the cecum indicates an incomplete examination of the entire colon, increasing the likelihood of missed lesions and thus correlating with PCCRC risk. ...

Reference:

Post-colonoscopy Colorectal Cancer: Causes and Prevention
Quality indicators for colonoscopy
  • Citing Article
  • August 2024

Gastrointestinal Endoscopy

... Improving colonoscopy performance is vital to mitigate the threat of CRC and its associated costs. Colonoscopy performance is assessed through multiple quality indicators, among which the adenoma detection rate (ADR) is the most relevant as it is directly associated with the morbidity and mortality of interval CRC [5]. This parameter measures the rate of precancerous lesions that are identified and removed during a colonoscopy procedure. ...

Quality Indicators for Colonoscopy
  • Citing Article
  • August 2024

The American Journal of Gastroenterology

... Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) have shown screening with guaiac-based fecal occult blood test (gFOBT), sigmoidoscopy, or colonoscopy to be effective at reducing CRC risk and mortality [3][4][5][6]. There is now observational study evidence that fecal immunochemical test (FIT) is effective at reducing mortality risk [7][8][9][10]. Analysis of the results of population-based screening programs report reductions of CRC incidence, mortality, and surgery rates [10,11]. ...

Fecal Immunochemical Test Screening and Risk of Colorectal Cancer Death
  • Citing Article
  • July 2024

JAMA Network Open

... Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) represents the most common primary liver tumor and is the third leading cause of cancer-related deaths worldwide [1] . It is expected that the number of new cases of HCC will increase by 55% in the next two decades, representing a major public health issue [2] . The majority of HCC arises from a background of chronic liver disease and cirrhosis, and it is associated with risk factors such as viral hepatitis, alcohol consumption, and metabolic syndrome. ...

Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease
  • Citing Article
  • July 2024

JAMA Network Open

... Despite the solid evidence that screening can decrease colorectal cancer (CRC) incidence and CRC mortality [1,2] and the availability of multiple screening test options with a range of attributes [3], screening for CRC and its precursors remains underutilized around the world among persons who are eligible for screening. Research and development of novel tests to screen for CRC and its precursors is a dynamic field [4][5][6][7][8], fueled by the goals to improve the sensitivity and specificity of available tests, and to address patient concerns over the attributes of existing tests (e.g., the stool handling that is required by fecal test-based strategies or the invasive nature of colonoscopy and the required colon cleansing before colonoscopy) and by the commercial opportunities for industry in the large CRC screening market. From the public health perspective, novel tests should ideally deliver improved outcomes at acceptable incremental costs and ease of use. ...

CLINICAL EVALUATION OF A BLOOD-BASED SCREENING TEST FOR THE EARLY DETECTION OF COLORECTAL CANCER
  • Citing Article
  • May 2024

Gastroenterology

... This refers to the provision of necessary health services and information to communities that might not otherwise have access. An organized, population-based outreach has been shown to increase CRC screening participation rates and adherence in diverse and underserved patient populations (129,130). This entails large-scale cooperation and multicomponent interventions at the level of the government, the health system, the provider, and the patient population. ...

Colorectal Cancer Screening After Sequential Outreach Components in a Demographically Diverse Cohort
  • Citing Article
  • April 2024

JAMA Network Open

... Colonoscopy, the most common screening test for colorectal cancer (CRC), is associated with reduced CRC incidence and mortality through early detection and treatment of cancer [1]. Adenomas are found in nearly 40% of screening colonoscopies in the US, and after their removal, patients undergo future surveillance. ...

Surveillance Colonoscopy Findings in Older Adults With a History of Colorectal Adenomas
  • Citing Article
  • April 2024

JAMA Network Open

... "Development and external validation of a prediction model for colorectal cancer among patients awaiting surveillance colonoscopy following polypectomy", where adenoma detection rate (ADR) was a seminal performance measure. 1 Incidentally, another recent paper Su-Ying Liang et al, 2 showed seminal findings that both ADR and sessile serrated lesion detection rate were initially reduced in older (surmised by: "years in practice") male endoscopists, the differences lessening over time. Although improvements were noted in this group, other factors may affect older endoscopists as the brief case report below shows, in the sensitive interval between 2 cataract surgeries, performed serially. ...

Development and External Validation of a Prediction Model for Colorectal Cancer Among Patients Awaiting Surveillance Colonoscopy Following Polypectomy
  • Citing Article
  • Full-text available
  • March 2024

Gastro Hep Advances

... These blood-based tests often have relatively high-cost and are unlikely to be cost-effective as first line screening tests in their initial iterations [37]. Nevertheless, as non-invasive fecal and bloodbased tests continue to emerge and improve performance, it's reasonable to ask whether screening colonoscopy, which is invasive and risky compared to fecal and blood tests, has a future for CRC screening in the US [38]. The answer to this question will always depend on the details of specific non-invasive tests, including sensitivity for cancer, advanced adenomas, serrated lesions, test cost, and test specificity [39]. ...

Does Screening Colonoscopy Have a Future in the U.S.?
  • Citing Article
  • August 2023

Clinical Gastroenterology and Hepatology

... The recently published update to the World Endoscopy Organization (WEO) CRC Screening Committee Expert Working Group (EWG) guiding principles on the evaluation of novel non-invasive screening tests proposes a four-phased approach and considers where decision analytic modeling may be useful [9]. Phases I and II consist, respectively, of small studies assessing the test's ability to discriminate between CRC and non-cancer states and the test's accuracy across the continuum of neoplastic lesions in neoplasiaenriched populations. ...

An efficient strategy for evaluating new non-invasive screening tests for colorectal cancer: the guiding principles

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