Sona N. Golder’s research while affiliated with Pennsylvania State University and other places

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Publications (41)


All (electoral) politics is local? Candidate's regional roots and vote choice
  • Article

March 2023

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58 Reads

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1 Citation

Journal of Elections Public Opinion and Parties

Philipp Harfst

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Karine Van Der Straeten

Many authors argue that candidates are more popular among voters from their own region. Two potential explanations have been suggested: voters’ identification with their home region, and the representation of regional interests. The information on candidates’ residence can be transmitted to voters in different ways, the most easily accessible way being information printed on the ballot paper. However, most studies on “friends and neighbour voting” use aggregate data. Studies that rely on individual level data usually put respondents in hypothetical situations and confront them with synthetic candidates, reducing their realism. To bridge this gap and to test the effect of providing information on the candidates’ residence, we use data from a survey experiment to analyze voters’ responses to ballot paper information on the regional background of real candidates in the 2014 European election in Germany. We find that voters in an open list PR election are more likely to support regional candidates if ballot paper information on the candidates’ geographic background helps them to do so. The appeal of personal ties is a stronger explanation for vote preference than the one based on regional interests.



Types of parliamentary party instability Number of switchers
Switching events with single and multiple origins
Parliamentary party switches in the Irish Dáil (1960-2021)
Parliamentary party switches in the 8 th Polish Sejm (2015-2019)
Understanding the Complexity of Party Instability in Parliaments
  • Conference Paper
  • Full-text available

June 2022

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161 Reads

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1 Citation

We propose a new typology of parliamentary party switches (switching events) that focuses on three dimensions: (1) the number of MPs and the degree of coordination, (2) the origin of switchers and (3) the destination of switchers-a parliamentary party group (PPG) or independent status. We further distinguish between switches with single and multiple destinations. Our approach sheds new light to party instability in various ways. We elucidate types of party instability to emphasize the complexity of party instability that have eluded the conceptual toolset available thus far. For example, "collective defection" (coordinated movement from one PPG to another), "collective exit" (MPs exiting their parliamentary group to become independent MPs) and "multi-PPG split" (coordinated moves from several PPGs to form a new PPG). Using preliminary data compiled for Instaparty (Party Instability in Parliaments) project from (mostly) Poland and Ireland, we find rich diversity in the forms of parliamentary party instability. While individual defections are much more common than group defections, they are clearly more dominant in Ireland than in Poland; furthermore, switches between PPGs (rather than between PPGs and independent status) have been more common in Poland. Our typology is illustrated by the analysis of the 8 th Polish Sejm that provides examples of nearly all single-origin switching events and of most multi-origin ones. The new typology presents the first step of our inquiry into the patterns, causes and consequences of party switching in eight democracies (Estonia, Ireland, Italy, Lithuania, Norway, the Netherlands, Poland and Romania) from 1960s/1990s to early 2020s.

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Figure 3. Effect of coalition treatment on voters' expectation of the likelihood of the formation of a coalition (Komeito treatment). Note: The circles show the average treatment effect of coalition signals on perceived coalition likelihoods. Sociodemographic characteristics were used as control variables. The 95% confidence intervals are indicated with bars. The dependent variable, Likelihood of coalition formation, is measured on a scale from 1 'very unlikely' to 4 'very likely.' ATEs are based on the results from models 1, 3, and 5 in Table A4.
Electoral coalition signals and voter perceptions

June 2022

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69 Reads

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1 Citation

Japanese Journal of Political Science

How do electoral coalition signals affect voters' perceptions of party positions and coalition behavior in parliamentary democracies? Scholars have found that coalition signals can influence how voters view policy positions of parties. Extending research on the impact of government coalition participation on voter perceptions, a recent study found that Spanish voters update their perceptions of party positions when they receive a signal that a party joined an electoral coalition, believing it to be farther to the left (right) if the signal was of a left- (right-)leaning coalition. That study also found, in agreement with the literature, that electoral coalition signals lead to expectations of future coalition behavior. Much of the literature on electoral coalitions focuses on parliamentary democracies in Europe that use proportional representation. Since the effects of electoral coalitions might vary across contexts, we conduct a similar survey experiment in Japan, a parliamentary democracy that uses a mixed electoral system with an important disproportional component. We find no evidence that electoral coalition signals affect how Japanese voters view the ideological positions of parties, a result that matches a similar analysis conducted in Sweden. However, some coalition signals – if they contain new information – do increase Japanese respondents' expectations that certain coalitions are more likely to form in the future.


Permissive electoral systems and descriptive representation

October 2021

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33 Reads

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8 Citations

Electoral Studies

Existing research about the effects of electoral systems on descriptive representation is mixed. In this paper, we test implications of theoretical arguments about the impact of electoral rules on voters’ propensity to vote for women candidates. We conducted a survey experiment during the 2017 provincial election in British Columbia, Canada, using actual candidates in both real and hypothetical electoral districts. We find that more permissive, or candidate-centered, forms of proportional representation do not improve descriptive representation of women; if anything, they diminish it. We interpret these results as being driven by the supply of candidates – voters tend to vote for incumbent, well-known candidates who happen to be predominantly men. Our findings provide a cautionary note about how electoral rules can interact with real-world experiences and conditions.


Legislative representation and gender (bias)

July 2019

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36 Reads

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10 Citations

Political Science

In nearly all countries, women are underrepresented and men are overrepresented in national legislatures. This distortion in representation might occur for several reasons. One set of explanations suggests that parties, voters, or both, might discriminate against women. In this analysis we examine potential discrimination by parties and ask if elected officials discriminate against women who are thinking about a career in politics. Evaluating whether discrimination occurs is notoriously difficult with observational studies, so we conduct a field experiment to examine whether elected officials in New Zealand respond differently to potential political aspirants based on their perceived gender. Our results show that elected officials are equally willing to respond to both male and female political aspirants. These findings support the results from recent work conducted in other developed democracies and suggest that parties do not discriminate against female political aspirants at this stage of the recruitment process.




Partisan Portfolio Allocation in African Democracies

June 2017

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33 Reads

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22 Citations

Comparative Political Studies

What determines partisan portfolio allocation in African democracies? Despite the vast literature on government formation in Europe and Latin America, there have been no studies of partisan portfolio allocation in Africa. Although coalition governments are increasingly common in Africa, most studies focus on national leaders, and, thus, we know little about how ministerial posts are divided among cabinet parties. Using an original dataset of coalition governments in Africa from 1990 to 2014, we show that existing theories of partisan portfolio allocation can be successfully applied to African democracies. We find that African parties receive ministerial portfolios in rough proportion to their size, that formateur parties in Africa receive more ministerial portfolios than their European counterparts, and that the “formateur bonus” is greater in Africa’s presidential democracies than in its parliamentary ones. Our analyses suggest that scholars can benefit from paying more attention to both coalition governments and legislatures in their analyses of African politics.


The British Academy Brian Barry Prize Essay: An Exit, Voice and Loyalty Model of Politics

March 2017

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97 Reads

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37 Citations

British Journal of Political Science

Political scientists typically develop different models to examine distinct political phenomena such as lobbying, protests, elections and conflict. These specific models can provide important insights into a particular event, process or outcome of interest. This article takes a different tack. Rather than focus on the specificities of a given political phenomenon, this study constructs a model that captures the key elements common to most political situations. This model represents a reformulation and extension of Albert Hirschman’s famous Exit, Voice and Loyalty framework. To highlight the value that comes from focusing on the commonalities that exist across apparently disparate political phenomena, the article applies the model to several issues in the democratization literature related to modernization theory, the political resource curse, inequality, foreign aid and economic performance.


Citations (31)


... To observe any potential moderating effects of culture at the cross-national level and government policy at the subnational level, we also introduce two-and three-way interactions among human capital (education), the entrepreneurial culture of immigrants' home country, and the mandatory E-Verify requirements at the state level in the host country. Rather than existing qualitative methods for studying intersectionality, this study adopts the best practice recommendations of Block et al. (2023), who provide an excellent description of how to use an interaction method to study intersectional effects in quantitative research. ...

Reference:

Immigrant Entrepreneurship in the US: Intersectionality as a Blessing and a Curse
Evaluating Claims of Intersectionality
  • Citing Article
  • January 2023

The Journal of Politics

... By doing so, the very same pre-electoral pacts that help the coalesced parties may impinge upon the performance of the parties who opt for not coalescing with any other organisation, as these potentially have a worse-off ratio between votes and parliamentary seats (Ibenskas, 2016). Turning to accountability, pre-electoral coalitions improve the relationship between parties and voters by what is known as "signalling", in which parties reveal to voters that they are capable of forming an upcoming government and, most importantly, with whom they intend to govern (Allern e Aylott, 2009;Christiansen et al., 2014;Falcó-Gimeno e Muñoz, 2017;Golder, 2005;Jang et al., 2022). ...

Electoral coalition signals and voter perceptions

Japanese Journal of Political Science

... Defined as an umbrella label for any registered change in party affiliation by elected politicians (Heller and Mershon 2009, 10), party switching encompasses different phenomena involving varying degrees of coordination between legislators: party mergers, splits and individual 'jumps' of MPs from one party to another (Ceron 2013;Golder et al. 2022). Building on the Müller and Strøm (1999) classification of political goals, a first strand of literature has shown that Members of Parliament (MPs) may change party affiliation to secure re-election, obtain office benefits and influence policies Mershon 2005, 2008;Desposato 2006;McMenamin and Gwiazda 2011). ...

Understanding the Complexity of Party Instability in Parliaments

... Die Wichtigkeit dieser Repräsentationsform wird dabei oft mit dem Argument begründet, dass Repräsentant:innen mit denselben Merkmalen wie diejenigen, die sie repräsentieren, gruppenspezifische Inhalte und Themen besser ansprechen und vertreten könnten (vgl. etwa Haider-Markel, 2007;Mansbridge, 1999 (Barker & Coffé, 2018;Dhima et al., 2021;John et al., 2018;Kerevel et al., 2019;Norris, 2006;Schwindt-Bayer & Mishler, 2005;Stockemer, 2015;F. C. Thames, 2017;Tremblay, 2007;Vowles & Hayward, 2021 ...

Permissive electoral systems and descriptive representation
  • Citing Article
  • October 2021

Electoral Studies

... While citizens and voters were the subjects of the first wave of field experiments, researchers quickly realised that elites could also be studied experimentally with reasonable levels of statistical precision (Grose, 2014). Successful audit studies have been conducted with legislators, which permit researchers to measure responsiveness, accountability, and discriminatory behaviours, many done in the US (Broockman, 2013;Butler and Broockman, 2011;Butler and Nickerson, 2011;Kalla et al., 2018;Nyhan and Reifler, 2015), as well as in other contexts, such as the UK House of Commons (Habel and Birch, 2019), British local government (Crawfurd and Ramli, 2021), Denmark (Dinesen et al., 2021), New Zealand (Golder et al., 2019), Canada (Dhima, 2020), the European Parliament (de Vries et al., 2016), and the Global South (for example, Grossman and Michelitch, 2018;McClendon, 2016). Recently, comparative elite experiments implement the same research design across countries (for example, Magni and de Leon, 2021). ...

Legislative representation and gender (bias)
  • Citing Article
  • July 2019

Political Science

... Dies betrifft sowohl die Frage, welche Themen in Parteiprogrammen stärker oder weniger stark betont werden, als auch die in den Landtagswahlprogrammen formulierten Politiken. Denn der Forschungsstand zu den Inhalten regionaler Parteiprogramme zeigt, dass Parteien nicht nur diejenigen Policies in ihren Programmen aufnehmen, welche tatsächlich auf Landesebene entschieden werden können, sondern strategisch absichtsvoll auch nationale Themen in Wahlprogrammen betonen (Alonso et al. 2013;Cabeza et al. 2016;Golder et al. 2017). Diese Mischungsverhältnisse wurden bisher vor allem im Kontext des Regional Manifestos Project für Spanien und Großbritannien untersucht. ...

Multi-Level Electoral Politics

... In other words, micro effects translate into macro phenomena such as polarization or fragmentation that again create follow-up dynamics. Very few studies have looked at such micro-macro, macro-micro, or macromacro interactions (see for a similar argument Golder et al. 2017). ...

Multi-Level Electoral Poltiics: Beyond the Second-Order Election Model

... Per esempio, un ampio corpus di studi femministi ha rivelato la natura intricata della rappresentanza politica delle donne, sottolineando come una combinazione di dinamiche formali e informali dia forma a questi processi (Golder et al., 2017). Queste dinamiche riguardano non solo le norme interne che regolano il reclutamento del personale politico all'interno dei partiti, ma anche le loro strategie organizzative e i loro obiettivi ideologici (Norris e Lovenduski, 1993;Lovenduski, 2016). ...

Votes forWomen: Electoral Systems and Support for Female Candidates
  • Citing Article
  • January 2017

Politics and Gender

... Extensive scholarly research answers these questions at the national (see e.g. Ariotti and Golder 2018;Bäck et al. 2009;Cox 2021;Cutler et al. 2016;Däubler et al. 2024;Ecker et al. 2015;Falcó-Gimeno and Indridason 2013) and to a lesser extent also at the regional level (see, e.g. Höhmann 2023; Raabe and Linhart 2015;Terrière 2023). ...

Partisan Portfolio Allocation in African Democracies
  • Citing Article
  • June 2017

Comparative Political Studies

... Whatever the exact solution, the hope is that once the Europarties and their EP political groups appear on the ballot paper, voters would pay more attention to them and what they stand for. Besides, this would give the voters the opportunity to vote for proper EU-level candidates coming from another member state (Bol et al., 2016;Bright et al., 2016;Van Hecke et al., 2018: 50-56). 5 However, national parties have tended to resist transnational lists as they would impact candidate selection processes through the addition of the EU-wide lists. ...

Addressing Europe’s Democratic Deficit: An Experimental Evaluation of the Pan-European District Proposal
  • Citing Article
  • February 2016

European Union Politics