Simon Winter’s research while affiliated with University of Münster and other places

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Publications (4)


Top 10 origin countries of immigrants to France in 2016. Source: Eurostat (2019a, b, c), OECD (2019), own illustration
Top 10 origin countries of immigrants to Germany in 2016. Source: OECD (2019), own illustration
“It’s the Economy, Stupid!”: On the Relative Impact of Political and Economic Determinants on Migration
  • Article
  • Publisher preview available

April 2020

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122 Reads

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11 Citations

Population Research and Policy Review

Simon Winter

The present study empirically analyzes determinants of immigration to EU member countries for the period 1998–2016. By performing PPML regression, it investigates the dynamics of different political and economic determinants. In general, there are two opposing effects: better living conditions in the origin country increase the feasibility of migration (feasibility hypothesis), but they also decrease international differentials, thus diminishing the incentive to migrate (incentive hypothesis). Indeed, better economic conditions in the origin country ease the budget constraints of potential migrants and thereby stimulate emigration to EU countries (feasibility hypothesis). At the same time, the income differential between destination and origin country is also positively related to migration, supporting the incentive hypothesis. Contrary to these findings about economic determinants, the impact of political determinants is only robust in one direction, for migration from outside the EU. Here, worse political conditions in the origin country increase the need to migrate, causing flight migration (need hypothesis). Altogether, economic determinants appear to outweigh political factors.

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The German feed-in tariff revisited - an empirical investigation on its distributional effects

September 2019

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113 Reads

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71 Citations

Energy Policy

In the context of the German energy transition, the financial burdens associated with subsidies for renewable energies have increased substantially in recent years. These costs are passed on to consumers in the form of the EEG levy as a component of the electricity price. However, some households benefit from owning photovoltaic (PV) systems because they receive the corresponding feed-in tariffs. In order to investigate how the benefits (and burdens) of this subsidization scheme are distributed, we use micro-data from SOEP for private households during the period of 2010–2017, and we employ three different inequality metrics – the Gini coefficient, the Theil index and the Atkinson index. We conclude that subsidy costs are almost evenly distributed among the population and are therefore regressive. At the same time, feed-in tariffs are increasingly flowing into higher-income households because PV systems are more prevalent in these households. We estimate the overall impact of this subsidization scheme on several measures of (income) inequality at 1.0–2.4%, most of which is due to the EEG levy. We also find regional distortions in favor of the South and especially at the expense of the East.


Figure 1: Average gross network charges (ct/kWh) in 2010 (left) and 2016 (right) for a representative household with electricity consumption of 3,500 kWh/a at the community level
Figure 2: Average monthly net equivalent household income (€, OECD-modified scale) in 2010 (left) and 2016 (right) at Raumordnungsregion level
Figure 3: Average annual network charge burden (% of net household income) in 2010 (left) and 2016 (right) on Raumordnungsregion level
Inequalities in Energy Transition: The Case of Network Charges in Germany

October 2018

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163 Reads

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15 Citations

International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy

The German energy transition and the rising share of renewable energies in electricity generation have led to an increase in network costs and to higher network charges in recent years. We use socioeconomic data in order to investigate distributional effects within the period 2010-2016, and employ three different inequality metrics – the Gini coefficient, the Theil Index and the Atkinson index – all of which unambiguously indicate regressive effects of network charges. Most recently, the three metrics show an increase of economic inequality of at least 0.67% when accounting for network charges. This finding is due to (1) the relative inferiority of electricity, (2) the regressive impact of a fixed component of network charges, (3) considerable regional disparities, and (4) the higher prevalence of prosumers within high-income households.


Citations (3)


... Moreover, the disillusionment of biogas was concerned with the unequal distribution of benefits and costs of biogas (e.g., the EEG payment [31] and environmental problems [34]) across stakeholders. In addition, public acceptance and distributional impact of the EEG have been an important driver of its policy direction [9,47]. Therefore, biogas actors may attempt to address and include diverse stakeholder groups. ...

Reference:

Institutional work after hype: The case of biogas in Germany
The German feed-in tariff revisited - an empirical investigation on its distributional effects
  • Citing Article
  • September 2019

Energy Policy

... The level of human capital embodied by each immigrant (refer to the Solow-Swan Model in the forthcoming section); political environment in the U.S. and source countries; social conflicts, etc affect the market for foreign-born labor. Shocks to the immigration laws will affect the demand for foreign-born labor, or impact demand-pull of foreign labor (Winter, 2020). ...

“It’s the Economy, Stupid!”: On the Relative Impact of Political and Economic Determinants on Migration

Population Research and Policy Review

... Both CCS as well as green hydrogen production will require considerable amounts of electricity. In the past, the increased costs of electricity that the German energy transition has been given rise to, was disproportionally pushed on households [56,57]. This high cost-burden for (poorer) households has been raised as a social justice issue [58]. ...

Inequalities in Energy Transition: The Case of Network Charges in Germany

International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy