Simon Thirgood’s research while affiliated with James Hutton Institute and other places

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Publications (100)


6. Why Are Wildebeest the Most Abundant Herbivore in the Serengeti Ecosystem? / J. Grant C. Hopcraft, Ricardo M. Holdo, Ephraim Mwangomo, Simon A. R. Mduma, Simon J. Thirgood, Markus Borner, John M. Fryxell, Han Olff, and Anthony R .E. Sinclair
  • Chapter

April 2015

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85 Reads

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7 Citations

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Anthony R. E. Sinclair

Wildebeest are abundant in Serengeti. Comparisons of specific attributes of wildebeest with other sympatric herbivores are necessary. Each section builds on the results of the previous sections to form a complete story that combines biology, behavior, and the geomorphology of the Serengeti ecosystem; it explains how a single species can outnumber all other species. Specific aspects of wildebeest diet and reproduction, combined with their capacity to move long distances in an ecosystem with a predictable nutrient gradient enables migrant wildebeest to escape regulation by predation or food quality, and this combination enables wildebeest to dominate the ecosystem beyond the capacity of any other competitor species. Wildebeest are super-abundant in Serengeti because the ecosystem closely matches their requirements.


The effects of population density on the breeding performance of mountain hare Lepus timidus
  • Article
  • Full-text available

December 2013

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153 Reads

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9 Citations

Feedback between population density and demographic parameters often plays a determining role in population dynamics, and it is particularly important in managing exploited or harvested populations. The mountain hare Lepus timidus is a traditional game species, which is hunted in Scotland for sport and population control. However, information about how population parameters respond to changes in population density is lacking. To assess how reproduction and juvenile recruitment change in response to population density, we sampled 189 hares (88 females and 101 males) from 10 independent private hunting estates. We found a significant negative correlation between population density and the proportion of juveniles recruited into the breeding population, along with a significant interaction between population density and sex, which revealed that the proportion of juvenile females recruited decreases more rapidly with population density compared to the proportion of male juveniles. However, we found no evidence of density-dependent fecundity. Our results suggest density-dependent compensation in this species, acting on recruitment, not fecundity, with rates of juvenile recruitment differing between the sexes. We conclude that the significant correlation between population density and juvenile recruitment may provide harvested populations with the potential for compensatory juvenile recruitment, although harvesting rates need to be accurately estimated to avoid the risk of overharvesting.

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The strong and the hungry: Bias in capture methods for mountain hares Lepus timidus

October 2011

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129 Reads

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28 Citations

Estimating density, age and sex structure of wild populations is a key objective in wildlife management. Live trapping is frequently used to collect data on populations of small and medium-sized mammals. Ideally, sampling mammal populations by live capturing of individuals provides a random and representative sample of the target population. Trapping data may, however, be biased. We used live-capture data from mountain hares Lepus timidus in Scotland to assess sampling bias between two different capture methods. We captured hares using baited cage traps and long nets on five study areas in the Scottish Highlands. After controlling for the effects of body size, individuals caught in traps were lighter than individuals caught using long nets, suggesting that the body condition of hares differed between the capture methods. This tendency may reflect an increased risk-taking of individuals in poorer body condition and less aversion to entering traps in order to benefit from eating bait. Overall, we caught more adult hares than juveniles and more female hares than males. Our results show that estimates of density and population structure of mountain hares using live-capture data could be affected by the capture method used. We suggest that live-capture studies employ more than one capture method and test for heterogeneity in capture probability to minimise potential bias and achieve reliable estimates of population parameters.



Fig. 2. Variance of time spent foraging in Tibetan antelopes. (a) Foraging frequency, (b) foraging duration, (c) with varying proximity to the road.
Fig. 3. Variance of time spent in vigilance in Tibetan antelopes. (a) Vigilance frequency, (b) vigilance duration, and (c) with varying proximity to the road.
Fig. 4. Trade-off between foraging and vigilance in Tibetan antelopes.
Road proximity and traffic flow perceived as potential predation risks: Evidence from the Tibetan antelope in the Kekexili National Nature Reserve, China

May 2011

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241 Reads

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28 Citations

Wildlife Research

Context. The risk-disturbance hypothesis predicts that animals exhibit risk-avoidance behaviours when exposed to human disturbance because they perceive the disturbance as a predatory threat. Aims. This study aimed to examine whether Tibetan antelopes (Pantholops hodgsoni) exhibit risk-avoidance behaviour with proximity to a major highway and with increasing traffic flow consistent with the risk-disturbance hypothesis. Methods. Focal-animal sampling was used to observe the behaviour of Tibetan antelopes. The behaviours were categorised as foraging, vigilance, resting, moving, or other. The time, frequency, and duration of foraging and vigilance were calculated. Key results. As distance from the road increased, time spent foraging and foraging duration increased while foraging frequency, time spent being vigilant and vigilance frequency decreased, indicating that there is a risk perception associated with roads. Tibetan antelopes presented more risk-avoidance behaviours during high-traffic periods compared with low-traffic periods. Conclusions. Tibetan antelopes exhibited risk-avoidance behaviour towards roads that varied with proximity and traffic levels, which is consistent with the risk-disturbance hypothesis. Implications. The consequences of risk-avoidance behaviour should be reflected in wildlife management by considering human disturbance and road design.


Figure 1. Mean sex ratio (proportion of male offspring) of meadow pipits in relation to four grazing treatments. Sample sizes (number of nests) are shown below standard error bars. Treatments not sharing the same letters are significantly different from each other (p , 0.05). 
Birds bias offspring sex ratio in response to livestock grazing

May 2011

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138 Reads

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22 Citations

Livestock grazing, which has a large influence on habitat structure, is associated with the widespread decline of various bird species across the world, yet there are few experimental studies that investigate how grazing pressure influences avian reproduction. We manipulated grazing pressure using a replicated field experiment, and found that the offspring sex ratio of a common upland passerine, the meadow pipit Anthus pratensis, varied significantly between grazing treatments. The proportion of sons was lowest in the ungrazed and intensively grazed treatments and highest in treatments grazed at low intensity (by sheep, or a mixture of sheep and cattle). This response was not related to maternal body condition. These results demonstrate the sensitivity of avian reproductive biology to variation in local conditions, and support growing evidence that too much grazing, or the complete removal of livestock from upland areas, is detrimental for common breeding birds.


Dissecting the drivers of population cycles: Interactions between parasites and mountain hare demography

March 2011

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61 Reads

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8 Citations

Ecological Modelling

There is a growing awareness that cyclic population dynamics in vertebrate species are driven by a complex set of interactions rather than a single causal factor. While theory suggests that direct host–parasite interactions may destabilise population dynamics, the interaction between host and parasite may also influence population dynamics through indirect effects that result in delayed responses to either density or to life-history traits. Using empirical data on mountain hares (Lepus timidus) infected with a nematode parasite (Trichostrongylus retortaeformis), we developed an individual-based model (IBM) that incorporated direct effects and delayed life-history effects (DLHEs) of a macroparasite, alternative transmission mechanisms and seasonality in host population dynamics. The full model describes mean characteristics of observed mountain hare time series and parasite abundance, but by systematically removing model structure we dissect out dynamic influences of DLHEs. The DLHEs were weakly destabilising, increasing the propensity for cyclic dynamics and suggesting DLHEs could be important processes in host–parasite systems. Further, by modifying model structure we identify a strong influence of parasite transmission mechanism on host population stability, and discuss the implications for parasite aggregation mechanisms, host movement and natural geographical variation in host population dynamics. The effect of T. retortaeformis on mountain hares likely forms part of a complex set of interactions that lead to population cycles.




Livestock predation in the Bale Mountains, Ethiopia

November 2010

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278 Reads

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46 Citations

African Journal of Ecology

In the Web Valley of the Bale Mountains National Park, the pastoral people suffer from livestock predation by wild carnivores. A total of 704 livestock were reported to be killed by wild carnivores over a 3-year period, causing a loss of potential revenue of 12 USD per year per household. Reported annual predation rates equated to 1.4% of the livestock population of the study area. Spotted hyaenas were responsible for most livestock predation (57%), followed by leopards (18%), common jackals (16%) and servals (9%). Hyaenas killed all livestock types (horses, donkeys, mules, cattle, goats and sheep) whilst leopards, common jackals and servals killed mostly goats and sheep. A survey of 362 households revealed that the pastoral people keep dogs to protect livestock from carnivores. During 250 nights of observation in the ten settlements, pastoralists were alerted to the presence of hyaenas on 80 occasions by the barking of their dogs. Such tradition of keeping dogs presents a threat to the persistence of the endangered Ethiopian wolf through diseases transmission. Given the frequency of carnivore attacks on livestock, it is desirable to develop alternative livestock protection methods that both minimize livestock losses and reduce the risk of disease transmission to Ethiopian wolves.


Citations (92)


... The global financial crisis in 2008-2009 also slowed down tourism in Tanzania to some extent, although tourist numbers again rapidly recovered (Gereta and Røskaft, 2010;Fyumagwa et al., 2017). These past events have shown how vulnerable conservation is to sudden reductions in international tourism and the associated loss of revenue (Thirgood et al., 2009). ...

Reference:

The threat of COVID-19 to the conservation of Tanzanian national parks
Who Pays for Conservation? Current and Future Financing Scenarios for the Serengeti Ecosystem
  • Citing Chapter
  • January 2008

... They are opportunistic feeders, adapting their diet to available prey (Williford et al. 2011, Cullen andSmiddy 2012). Pellet analysis is a common method for studying their diet, though it has biases (Yom-Tov and Wool 1997, Redpath et al. 2001). Pellets over-represent smaller prey, while prey remains over-represent larger species. ...

Assessing Raptor Diet: Comparing Pellets, Prey Remains, and Observational Data at Hen Harrier Nests
  • Citing Article
  • February 2001

Ornithological Applications

... The species and number of shrub layers were investigated in the middle sample square, and the species of the ground cover layer were investigated in the small one. The stratification structure of vegetation [36] was divided according to the height of aboveground parts of plants (tree layer, h > 2.5 m; shrub layer, 0.5 m ≤ h ≤ 2.5 m; ground cover layer, h < 0.5 m), and information on 14 vegetation variables (Table S1) was collected as follows. ...

Structuring of the birds of the Bale Mountains National Park

... Population dynamics and breeding output of the striped mouse are known to vary strongly with rainfall (see Taylor and Green 1976, Meynard et al. 2012, Rymer et al. 2013. This, together with our results (relationship between PC2 and both clutch size and productivity), suggests that greater rainfall during autumn and winter could positively influence the abundance of small mammals such as Four-Striped Mouse, which may in turn influence breeding performance in Black Harriers, as found for other species (Korpimäki 1992, Salamolard et al. 2000, Redpath et al. 2002b. Future studies should investigate the relationship between Black Harrier's breeding and food availability, and how this varies in space and time. ...

Field vole Microtus agrestis abundance and Hen Harrier

... Scholars are well aware that a lack of interdisciplinarity between the natural and social sciences has had a detrimental effect on efforts to conserve wildlife species Hill, 2015;Lischka et al., 2018;Madden, 2004;Thirgood et al., 2005;Treves et al., 2006;Woodroffe et al., 2005). Over the last two decades the interest of the natural science community in social science data has increased due to the recognition that anthropogenic factors are driving species decline and that anthropological components of wildlife conservation must be understood in order to develop sustainable and effective conservation strategies (Balmford & Cowling, 2006;Chapman & Peres, 2001;Cowling, 2005;Cowlishaw & Dunbar, 2021;Lischka et al., 2018;Padmakumar & Shanthakumar, 2023;Pilgrim et al., 2009;Pooley et al., 2017Pooley et al., , 2020Setchell et al., 2017;Wolverton et al., 2014). ...

The impact of human-wildlife conflict on human lives and livelihoods
  • Citing Article
  • January 2005

... rufescens, F CT = 0.35; Khalilipour et al. 2014), and the Koslov pika (O. koslowi, F ST = 0.47; Lin et al. 2010). Paired-wise F ST comparisons between regions led us to detect small but significant genetic differentiation (F ST = 0.15) between regions that are less than 20 km apart (Table 3). ...

Genetic variation and molecular evolution of endangered kozlov's pika (ochotona koslowi büchner) based on mitochondrial cytochrome B gene
  • Citing Article
  • January 2010

... It can also extend to indirect impacts, such as affecting psychosocial well-being (Barua et al. 2013;Nyhus 2016;Blackie 2023). Historically, human responses to HWC have involved the lethal removal of "problem" or "nuisance" wildlife, sometimes leading to species extinctions or significant population declines (Woodroffe et al. 2005;Treves et al. 2006;Dalerum et al. 2009;Conover and Conover 2022). In much of the eastern United States, black bears (Ursus americanus) are implicated in HWC. ...

The impact of human-wildlife conflict on natural systems
  • Citing Article
  • January 2005

... This high rate of human-induced wildlife mortality highlights the significant impact of HWC on local biodiversity. Similar patterns have been observed globally, where habitat fragmentation and increased human-wildlife interactions lead to higher wildlife mortality rates (Woodroffe, Thirgood, & Rabinowitz, 2005). ...

People and Wildlife: Conflict Or Coexistence?
  • Citing Book
  • September 2005

... Not all hunting estates in the study area are used for rabbit hunting, as some are designated for big game, waterfowl, or other small game (Ríos-Saldaña et al. 2013). At broad spatial scales, the number of individual rabbits hunted can provide a reliable picture of species relative abundance and population trends (Cattadori et al. 2003;Ruiz-Rodriguez et al. 2020). Therefore, in this study, hunting yield (total rabbits hunted per km 2 ) was used as an estimate of rabbit abundance, a methodology very commonly employed in studies of rabbit distribution, abundance, and population trends (e.g., Virgós et al. 2007;Farfán et al. 2008;Márquez et al. 2013;Ríos Saldaña et al. 2013;Carvalho et al. 2024). ...

Are indirect measures of abundance a useful index of population density? The case of red grouse harvesting
  • Citing Article
  • March 2003

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