Simon Finfer’s research while affiliated with Imperial College London and other places

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Publications (354)


Corticosteroids for adult patients hospitalised with non-viral community-acquired pneumonia: a systematic review and meta-analysis
  • Literature Review

May 2025

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98 Reads

Intensive Care Medicine

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Ellen Pauley

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International clinical practice guidelines addressing corticosteroid treatment for patients hospitalised with non-viral community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) are inconsistent. We conducted a systematic review of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) evaluating the use of corticosteroids in hospitalised adult patients with suspected or probable CAP. We performed random effects pairwise, Bayesian, and dose–response meta-analyses using the restricted maximum likelihood (REML) heterogeneity estimator. We assessed certainty of evidence using GRADE methodology. We identified 30 eligible RCTs, including a total of 7519 patients. The prednisone-equivalent doses ranged between 29 mg/day and 100 mg/day. Corticosteroids probably reduced short-term (28–30 days) mortality (RR 0.82 [95% CI 0.74–0.91]; moderate certainty) while the reduction in longer term (60–90 day) mortality is less certain (RR 0.89 [95% CI 0.76–1.03]; low certainty). Corticosteroids reduced the need for invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) (RR 0.63 [95% CI 0.48–0.82]; high certainty) and may reduce duration of ICU stay (MD 1.53 days fewer [95% CI 0.31–2.75 days fewer]; low certainty), and hospital stay (MD 2.30 days fewer [95% CI 0.81–3.81 days fewer]; low certainty). Corticosteroids probably increased hyperglycaemia requiring intervention (RR 1.32 [95% CI 1.12–1.56]; moderate certainty) but probably have no effect on secondary infections (RR 0.97 [95% CI 0.85–1.11]; moderate certainty). Corticosteroids probably reduced short-term mortality and reduce the need for invasive mechanical ventilation in hospitalised patients with CAP. CRD42024521536.



Accuracy of the modified Global Burden of Disease International Classification of Diseases coding methods for identifying sepsis: A prospective multicentre cohort study
  • Preprint
  • File available

March 2025

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12 Reads

Background: This study assessed the accuracy of three International Classification of Diseases (ICD) codes methods derived from Global Burden of Disease (GBD) sepsis study (modified GBD method) in identifying sepsis, compared to the Angus method. Sources of errors in these methods were also reported. Methods: Prospective multicentre, observational, study. Emergency Department patients aged > 16 years with high sepsis risk from nine hospitals in NSW, Australia were screened for clinical sepsis using Sepsis 3 criteria and coded as having sepsis or not using the modified GBD and Angus methods. The three modified GBD methods were: Explicit – sepsis-specific ICD code recorded; Implicit – sepsis-specific code or infection as primary ICD code plus organ dysfunction code; Implicit plus – as for Implicit but infection as primary or secondary ICD code. Agreement between clinical sepsis and ICD coding methods was assessed using Cronbach alpha (α). For false positive cases (ICD-coded sepsis but not clinically diagnosed), the ICD codes leading to those errors were documented. For false negatives (clinically diagnosed sepsis but ICD-coded), uncoded sources of infection and organ dysfunction were documented. Results: Of 6869 screened patients, 450 (median age 72.4 years, 48.9% females) met inclusion criteria. Clinical sepsis was diagnosed in 215/450 (47.8%). The explicit, implicit, implicit plus and Angus methods identified sepsis in 108/450 (24.0%),175/450 (38.9%), 222/450 (49.3%) and 170/450 (37.8%), respectively. Sensitivity was 41.4%, 58.1%, 67.4% and 55.8%, and specificity 91.9%, 78.7%, 67.2% and 79.1%, respectively. Agreement between clinical sepsis and all ICD coding methods was low (α = 0.52-0.56). False positives were 19, 50, and 77, while false negatives were 126, 90, and 70 for the explicit, implicit, and implicit plus methods, respectively. For false positive cases, unspecified urinary tract infection, hypotension and acute kidney failure were commonly assigned infection and organ dysfunction codes. About half (44.3%-55.6%) of the false negative cases didn’t have a pathogen documented. Conclusion: The modified GBD method demonstrated low accuracy in identifying sepsis; with the implicit plus method being the most accurate. Errors in identifying sepsis using ICD codes arise mostly from coding for unspecified urinary infections and associated organ dysfunction. Trial Registration: The study was registered at the ANZCTR (ACTRN12621000333819) on 24 March 2021.

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Fig. 1. Study flowchart.
Fig. 2. Blinded study fluid.
Buffered salt solution versus 0.9% sodium chloride as fluid therapy for patients presenting with moderate to severe diabetic ketoacidosis: Study protocol for a Phase-3 cluster-crossover, blinded, randomised, controlled trial

March 2025

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23 Reads

Critical Care and Resuscitation

Background The optimal choice of fluid therapy for patients with diabetic ketoacidosis (DKA) is uncertain, though preliminary data suggest that buffered crystalloid solutions (Plasma-Lyte® 148) may offer some advantages over 0.9% saline. Objective To describe the study protocol for the ‘Balanced Electrolyte Solution versus Saline Trial for Diabetic Ketoacidosis’ (BEST-DKA) trial. Design, setting and participants BEST-DKA is a Phase 3 cluster-crossover, blinded, pragmatic, randomised, controlled trial comparing the effects of saline or buffered crystalloid solution in patients with moderate to severe DKA treated in the emergency department and/or intensive care unit at twenty hospitals in Australia. Each hospital will be randomised to use either saline or buffered crystalloid solution for a period of 12 months before crossing over to the alternate fluid for the next 12 months. The blinded study fluid will be used for all resuscitation and maintenance purposes for included patients. Main outcome measures This cluster-randomised, crossover randomised controlled trial (RCT) has been designed with the aim of enrolling a minimum of 400 patients, which will provide >91.4% power to detect a 2-day increase in the primary outcome, days alive and out of hospital to day 28, chosen with consumer representation. Secondary outcomes include quality of life and fatigue scores at day 28, intensive care unit and hospital lengths of stay, acute kidney injury, and time to resolution of DKA. All analyses will be conducted on an intention-to-treat basis. A prespecified statistical analysis plan will be developed prior to interim analysis. Results and conclusion The BEST-DKA trial commenced enrolment in March 2024 and should generate results that will determine whether treatment with Plasma-Lyte® 148, compared with saline, results in increased days alive, and out of hospital to day 28 for patients with moderate or severe DKA.


Serum chloride concentration and outcomes in adults receiving intravenous fluid therapy with a balanced crystalloid solution or 0.9% sodium chloride

February 2025

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28 Reads

Intensive Care Medicine

To determine whether there is an interaction between baseline serum chloride concentration and pH and treatment effects in Intensive Care Unit (ICU) patients receiving intravenous fluid therapy with balanced solution versus 0.9% sodium chloride (saline). A secondary analysis of a randomized controlled trial in which patients were divided into cohorts according to quartiles of baseline serum chloride concentration and pH. The primary outcome was day-90 mortality. From 4846 patients with outcome data available, 4823 with relevant baseline data were included in this analysis, with 1347, 1333, 993 and 1150 patients in the chloride quartiles of < 102, 102–106, 107–109 and > 109 mmol/L, respectively. Data were also analysed in pH quartiles of ≤ 7.27, 7.27–7.34, 7.34–7.39 and > 7.39. The risk-adjusted odds ratio (95% confidence interval [CI]) for day-90 mortality for patients assigned balanced solution compared to saline was 1.23 (0.95–1.58), 0.95 (0.73–1.25), 0.88 (0.64–1.21), and 0.76 (0.57–1.01) for lowest to highest chloride subgroups, respectively (P value for interaction = 0.10), and 0.89 (95% CI 0.69–1.15), 0.94 (0.70–1.27), 0.96 (0.67–1.38) and 1.15 (0.82–1.60) for pH quartiles from lowest to highest, respectively (P value for interaction = 0.63). There were no significant differences in the treatment effect of balanced solutions compared to saline according to baseline serum chloride concentration or pH.


Fig. 1 Choropleth depicting the geographical distribution of expert panellists for the Delphi study on sepsis management in resource-limited settings
Fig. 2 Clinical practice statements on timing, location and diagnostic interventions for sepsis management in resource-limited settings
Table 2 (continued)
Delphi survey results on the clinical management of sepsis in resource-limited settings
Management of adult sepsis in resource-limited settings: global expert consensus statements using a Delphi method

December 2024

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446 Reads

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5 Citations

Intensive Care Medicine

To generate consensus and provide expert clinical practice statements for the management of adult sepsis in resource-limited settings. An international multidisciplinary Steering Committee with expertise in sepsis management and including a Delphi methodologist was convened by the Asia Pacific Sepsis Alliance (APSA). The committee selected an international panel of clinicians and researchers with expertise in sepsis management. A Delphi process based on an iterative approach was used to obtain the final consensus statements. A stable consensus was achieved for 30 (94%) of the statements by 41 experts after four survey rounds. These include consensus on managing patients with sepsis outside a designated critical care area, triggers for escalating clinical management and criteria for safe transfer to another facility. The experts agreed on the following: in the absence of serum lactate, clinical parameters such as altered mental status, capillary refill time and urine output may be used to guide resuscitation; special considerations regarding the volume of fluid used for resuscitation, especially in tropical infections, including the use of simple tests to assess fluid responsiveness when facilities for advanced hemodynamic monitoring are limited; use of Ringer’s lactate or Hartmann’s solution as balanced salt solutions; epinephrine when norepinephrine or vasopressin are unavailable; and the administration of vasopressors via a peripheral vein if central venous access is unavailable or not feasible. Similarly, where facilities for investigation are unavailable, there was consensus for empirical antimicrobial administration without delay when sepsis was strongly suspected, as was the empirical use of antiparasitic agents in patients with suspicion of parasitic infections. Using a Delphi method, international experts reached consensus to generate expert clinical practice statements providing guidance to clinicians worldwide on the management of sepsis in resource-limited settings. These statements complement existing guidelines where evidence is lacking and add relevant aspects of sepsis management that are not addressed by current international guidelines. Future studies are needed to assess the effects of these practice statements and address remaining uncertainties.



Fig. 1 Cumulative incidence plot of shock resolution for groups according to dose of fludrocortisone received. The dotted line represents no fludrocortisone group, the dotted and interrupted lines-50 mcg group, the interrupted lines 100 mcg group and the continuous line 200 mcg group
Table 3 Safety outcomes
Fludrocortisone dose-response relationship in septic shock: a randomised phase II trial

September 2024

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84 Reads

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3 Citations

Intensive Care Medicine

Background The combination of intravenous hydrocortisone and enteral fludrocortisone may reduce mortality in patients with septic shock. The optimal dose and reliability of absorption of fludrocortisone in critically ill patients are unclear. Methods In a multi-centre, open label, phase II randomized clinical trial, intravenous hydrocortisone alone or in combination with one of three doses of enteral fludrocortisone (50 µg, 100 µg or 200 µg daily) for 7 days was compared in patients with septic shock. The primary outcome was time to shock resolution. We conducted pharmacokinetic studies to assess absorption. Results Out of 153 enrolled patients, 38 (25%) received hydrocortisone alone, 42 (27%) received additional 50 µg, 36 (24%) received 100 µg and 37 (24%) received 200 µg fludrocortisone. Plasma concentrations of fludrocortisone were detected in 97% of patients at 3 h-median (interquartile range [IQR]) 261 (156–334) ng/L. There was no significant difference in the time to shock resolution between groups with median (IQR) of 3 (2.5–4.5), 3 (2–4), 3 (2–6) and 3 (2–5.5) days in the hydrocortisone alone, 50 µg, 100 µg and 200 µg fludrocortisone groups, respectively. The corresponding 28-day mortality rates were 9/38 (24%), 7/42 (17%), 4/36 (11%) and 4/37 (11%), respectively. There were no significant differences between groups with respect to, recurrence of shock, indices of organ failure or other secondary outcomes. Conclusions Enteral fludrocortisone resulted in detectable plasma fludrocortisone concentrations in the majority of critically ill patients with septic shock, although they varied widely indicating differing absorption and bioavailability. Its addition to hydrocortisone was not associated with shorter time to shock resolution.



Figures
Management of Adult Sepsis in Resource-Limited Settings: Global Expert Consensus Statements Using a Delphi Method

July 2024

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296 Reads

Purpose To generate consensus and provide expert clinical practice statements for the management of adult sepsis in resource-limited settings. Methods An international multidisciplinary Steering Committee with expertise in sepsis management and including a Delphi methodologist was convened by the Asia Pacific Sepsis Alliance (APSA). The committee selected an international panel of clinicians and researchers with expertise in sepsis management. A Delphi process based on an iterative approach was used to obtain the final consensus statements. Results A stable consensus was achieved for 30 (94%) of the statements by 41 experts after four survey rounds. These include consensus on managing patients with sepsis outside a designated critical care area, triggers for escalating clinical management and criteria for safe transfer to another facility. The experts agreed on the following: in the absence of serum lactate, clinical parameters such as altered mental status, capillary refill time and urine output may be used to guide resuscitation; special considerations regarding the volume of fluid used for resuscitation, especially in tropical infections, including the use of simple tests to assess fluid responsiveness when facilities for advanced hemodynamic monitoring are limited; use of Ringer's lactate or Hartmann's solution as balanced salt solutions; epinephrine when norepinephrine or vasopressin are unavailable; and the administration of vasopressors via a peripheral vein if central venous access is unavailable or not feasible. Similarly, where facilities for investigation are unavailable, there was consensus for empirical antimicrobial administration without delay when sepsis was strongly suspected, as was the empirical use of antiparasitic agents in patients with suspicion of parasitic infections. Conclusion Using a Delphi method, international experts reached consensus to generate expert clinical practice statements providing guidance to clinicians worldwide on the management of sepsis in resource-limited settings. These statements complement existing guidelines where evidence is lacking and add relevant aspects of sepsis management that are not addressed by current international guidelines. Future studies are needed to assess the effects of these practice statements and address remaining uncertainties.


Citations (74)


... A recent expert consensus document on management of sepsis in recourse limited setting highlighted the limited access to albumin as it was not included in any recommendation. [20] Albumin versus crystalloids in critically ill with respiratory failure Acute respiratory failure is a common condition, and patients often need invasive ventilatory support. The most common etiology is infectious, which when severe can lead to acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS). ...

Reference:

Choice of resuscitation fluids in critically ill adults: key messages from the European Society of Intensive Care Medicine 2024 clinical practice guideline
Management of adult sepsis in resource-limited settings: global expert consensus statements using a Delphi method

Intensive Care Medicine

... In the context of these uncertainties, Walsham et al. report the Fludrocortisone Dose Response Relationships and Vascular Responsiveness in Septic Shock (FluDReSS) phase-2 trial [16], aiming to answer important research questions regarding fludrocortisone pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics in a septic shock population. FluDReSS was a multicentre, randomised, open-label study in 153 patients with septic shock receiving intravenous hydrocortisone (200 mg/ day) assessing three doses of fludrocortisone (50, 100 or 200 μg daily orally for 7 days), and comparing these with a group not receiving fludrocortisone. ...

Fludrocortisone dose-response relationship in septic shock: a randomised phase II trial

Intensive Care Medicine

... For example, in a systematic review of randomised controlled trials addressing the effect of gastrointestinal bleeding prophylaxis with proton pump inhibitors among critically ill patients, the authors used ROBUST-RCT to assess risk of bias. 37 Regarding the threshold of overall risk of bias in individual trials, if at least one item was rated as high risk of bias, authors considered the trial as overall high risk of bias. In contrast, the systematic review of cohort studies examining the impact of red and processed meat consumption on cardiometabolic outcomes 38 used CLARITY's modified instrument to rate risk of bias in the included cohort studies and required two or more of the seven items (authors omitted one irrelevant item) rated as high risk of bias to consider the overall risk of bias as high. ...

Proton-Pump Inhibitors to Prevent Gastrointestinal Bleeding - An Updated Meta-Analysis
  • Citing Article
  • June 2024

NEJM Evidence

... On the contrary, in a recently published RCT in critically sick adults, which included 4821 patients in 68 ICUs undergoing invasive ventilation, pantoprazole resulted in a significantly lower risk of clinically important upper GI bleeding than placebo, with no significant effect on mortality [7]. Therefore, with so much of clinical equipoise and dearth of pediatric literature on use of SUP in critically sick children, Kavilapurapu, et al. [8] have tried to answer it through an adequately powered RCT. ...

Stress Ulcer Prophylaxis during Invasive Mechanical Ventilation
  • Citing Article
  • June 2024

The New-England Medical Review and Journal

... Tight glycaemic control was also found to improve neurological outcomes in neurosurgical and neurological patients being cared for in the ICU [14]. However, a recent patient-level meta-analysis [15] of 38 eligible trials found no evidence of an effect on mortality of tight glycaemic control, including in the subgroup analysis of patients with sepsis. However, the confidence intervals were wide and may include clinically important benefits. ...

A Patient-Level Meta-Analysis of Intensive Glucose Control in Critically Ill Adults
  • Citing Article
  • June 2024

NEJM Evidence

... These findings together highlight the pharmacokinetic variability in critically ill patients and suggest the potential benefit of individualized dosing, including therapeutic drug monitoring. The largest controlled clinical trial to date comparing intermittent versus continuous antibiotic infusion in intensive care patients with sepsis and septic shock did not demonstrate a significant difference in survival between the two groups [24]. That said, a recent metaanalysis that included this study found higher survival rates with longer infusion times compared to intermittent administration. ...

Continuous vs Intermittent β-Lactam Antibiotic Infusions in Critically Ill Patients With Sepsis: The BLING III Randomized Clinical Trial
  • Citing Article
  • June 2024

JAMA The Journal of the American Medical Association

... Enrollment was paused during the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) pandemic for the shortest possible periods at each center, which allowed for the enrollment of these patients without protocol modification. 16 The trial was endorsed by the Canadian Critical Care Clinical Trials Group and the Australian and New Zealand Intensive Care Society Clinical Trials Group. The investigators at the participating sites vouch for the completeness and accuracy of the data and for the fidelity of the trial to the protocol. ...

Protocol implementation during the COVID-19 pandemic: experiences from a randomized trial of stress ulcer prophylaxis

... Distinguishing sub-phenotypes within a cohort of patients with the same clinical condition would allow a deeper understanding of specific treatment effects on outcomes and facilitate the implementation of precision medicine. 94 New tools for predictive modelling, such as machine learning, enable the integration of prognostic, clinical, and biochemical data to enhance population enrichment. 95 The remarkable work of Buell et al. 96 elegantly demonstrates that a one-size-fits-all approach is inadequate and provides an innovative approach to pragmatically aim for population enrichment strategies taking advantage of the potential of artificial intelligence. ...

From ICU Syndromes to ICU Subphenotypes: Consensus Report and Recommendations For Developing Precision Medicine in ICU

American Journal of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine

... There are many studies reporting gastrointestinal bleeding in the ICU patients [13][14][15][16]. Studies reporting gastroscopic images in the ICU patients are limited [17]. ...

Patient-important upper gastrointestinal bleeding in the ICU: A mixed-methods study of patient and family perspectives
  • Citing Article
  • March 2024

Journal of Critical Care

... Details regarding adjudication methods are provided in Table S3 and have been published previously. 18 The primary safety outcome was death from any cause at 90 days. For patients who were discharged from the hospital before 90 days, their current health status was ascertained by contact with the patients or their families at home or from medical records. ...

Adjudication of a primary trial outcome: Results of a calibration exercise and protocol for a large international trial
  • Citing Article
  • March 2024

Contemporary Clinical Trials Communications