Shivani K. Kiran’s research while affiliated with Directorate of Health & Family Welfare Services, Government of Puducherry and other places

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Publications (12)


A simplified illustration of the sectors and the politico-administrative actors of the KFD management in India including actors from each sector that are impinging on the system or are impacted by KFD in each sector
Graphical representation of the retrospective theory of change on researcher expectations and the system-level outcomes of the co-production process adopted in the MonkeyFeverRisk project
The key components of the theory of change framework were as follows: (i) planned activities which included joint problem-framing with cross-sectoral actors to better understand the contextual risk factors and knowledge gaps, (ii) intermediate outputs comprising the social and ecological fieldwork, design and experimentation of a decision-support tool, and (iii) anticipated outcomes which ultimately contributes to fostering inter-sectoral collaboration and increased disease preparedness.
Snapshot of the KFDExplorer Tool showing south India overlaid with the human cases reported in 2019 to the Department of Health and Family Welfare Services, Karnataka
The areas predicted to be highly suitable for spill-over of KFD to humans are highlighted in red versus areas predicted to be unsuitable for spill-over in blue. The right hand menus in green indicate how data on environmental risk factors, on KFDV-positive dead monkeys and KFDV-positive ticks, can be visualised alongside human case locations, whilst the use of a detailed base map depicts landscape contextual features that guide management such as villages and roads. Source data: Map base layer is from the OpenStreetMap (https://wiki.openstreetmap.org/wiki/Standard_tile_layer). This dataset is available under a CC0 1.0 Universal (CC0 1.0) Public Domain Dedication license (https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/) and any copy of or work based on this dataset requires the following attribution: This dataset is based on the dataset produced by the OpenStreetMap Foundation (https://osmfoundation.org/). The administrative boundary dataset used in this figure is from HindudstanTimesLabs (https://github.com/HindustanTimesLabs/shapefiles/), reproduced under the MIT License. Human case data are from the Department of Health and Family Welfare Services, Government of Karnataka.
Risk factors identified and ranked by participants of the framing workshop, and how these were integrated in the MonkeyFeverRisk project
Key needs identified by participants of the framing workshop–and how these needs were addressed in the project

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Co-production of knowledge as part of a OneHealth approach to better control zoonotic diseases
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March 2022

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There is increased global and national attention on the need for effective strategies to control zoonotic diseases. Quick, effective action is, however, hampered by poor evidence-bases and limited coordination between stakeholders from relevant sectors such as public and animal health, wildlife and forestry sectors at different scales, who may not usually work together. The OneHealth approach recognises the value of cross-sectoral evaluation of human, animal and environmental health questions in an integrated, holistic and transdisciplinary manner to reduce disease impacts and/or mitigate risks. Co-production of knowledge is also widely advocated to improve the quality and acceptability of decision-making across sectors and may be particularly important when it comes to zoonoses. This paper brings together OneHealth and knowledge co-production and reflects on lessons learned for future OneHealth co-production processes by describing a process implemented to understand spill-over and identify disease control and mitigation strategies for a zoonotic disease in Southern India (Kyasanur Forest Disease). The co-production process aimed to develop a joint decision-support tool with stakeholders, and we complemented our approach with a simple retrospective theory of change on researcher expectations of the system-level outcomes of the co-production process. Our results highlight that while co-production in OneHealth is a difficult and resource intensive process, requiring regular iterative adjustments and flexibility, the beneficial outcomes justify its adoption. A key future aim should be to improve and evaluate the degree of inter-sectoral collaboration required to achieve the aims of OneHealth. We conclude by providing guidelines based on our experience to help funders and decision-makers support future co-production processes.

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A schematic of the hierarchical barriers to spillover of vector-borne zoonotic diseases to humans, extending the framework set out in [10,14]
Management interventions may reduce or prevent spillover by targeting these barriers, with green layers representing reservoir hosts, blue representing the environment and vectors, and yellow the spillover hosts. Current KFD management shown on the right-hand side mainly targets the final 2 barriers associated with the spillover hosts, aiming to reduce human exposure and susceptibility to infection. The dotted outlines of boxes indicate where the empirical evidence for impacts of management interventions is particularly incomplete. Surveillance activity, currently conducted for KFDV in people, ticks, and monkeys informs these interventions, with dotted outlines indicating where strategies could be refined to better target interventions. KFD, Kyasanur Forest Disease; KFDV, Kyasanur Forest Disease Virus.
Search terms used to identify literature in Web of Science and PubMed providing empirical evidence for disease ecology and transmission of KFD and for the effectiveness of current management recommendations
Overall assessment of the validity of current management practices for KFD
Key research priorities under each of the barriers that could be targeted to prevent KFD spillover to humans (Fig 1) and how these would inform and improve existing management strategies (a) and facilitate the development and future implementation of integrated, ecological interventions in the long term (b)
Reviewing the ecological evidence base for management of emerging tropical zoonoses: Kyasanur Forest Disease in India as a case study

April 2021

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189 Reads

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23 Citations

Zoonoses disproportionately affect tropical communities and are associated with human modification and use of ecosystems. Effective management is hampered by poor ecological understanding of disease transmission and often focuses on human vaccination or treatment. Better ecological understanding of multi-vector and multi-host transmission, social and environmental factors altering human exposure, might enable a broader suite of management options. Options may include “ecological interventions” that target vectors or hosts and require good knowledge of underlying transmission processes, which may be more effective, economical, and long lasting than conventional approaches. New frameworks identify the hierarchical series of barriers that a pathogen needs to overcome before human spillover occurs and demonstrate how ecological interventions may strengthen these barriers and complement human-focused disease control. We extend these frameworks for vector-borne zoonoses, focusing on Kyasanur Forest Disease Virus (KFDV), a tick-borne, neglected zoonosis affecting poor forest communities in India, involving complex communities of tick and host species. We identify the hierarchical barriers to pathogen transmission targeted by existing management. We show that existing interventions mainly focus on human barriers (via personal protection and vaccination) or at barriers relating to Kyasanur Forest Disease (KFD) vectors (tick control on cattle and at the sites of host (monkey) deaths). We review the validity of existing management guidance for KFD through literature review and interviews with disease managers. Efficacy of interventions was difficult to quantify due to poor empirical understanding of KFDV–vector–host ecology, particularly the role of cattle and monkeys in the disease transmission cycle. Cattle are hypothesised to amplify tick populations. Monkeys may act as sentinels of human infection or are hypothesised to act as amplifying hosts for KFDV, but the spatial scale of risk arising from ticks infected via monkeys versus small mammal reservoirs is unclear. We identified 19 urgent research priorities for refinement of current management strategies or development of ecological interventions targeting vectors and host barriers to prevent disease spillover in the future.


‘None of my ancestors ever discussed this disease before!’ How disease information shapes adaptive capacity of marginalised rural populations in India

March 2021

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271 Reads

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27 Citations

Smallholder farmer and tribal communities are often characterised as marginalised and highly vulnerable to emerging zoonotic diseases due to their relatively poor access to healthcare, worse-off health outcomes, proximity to sources of disease risks, and their social and livelihood organisation. Yet, access to relevant and timely disease information that could strengthen their adaptive capacity remain challenging and poorly characterised in the empirical literature. This paper addresses this gap by exploring the role of disease information in shaping the adaptive capacity of smallholder farmer and tribal groups to Kyasanur Forest Disease (KFD), a tick-borne viral haemorrhagic fever. We carried out household surveys (n = 229) and in-depth interviews (n = 25) in two affected districts–Shimoga and Wayanad–in the Western Ghats region. Our findings suggest that, despite the generally limited awareness about KFD, access to disease information improved households’ propensity to implement adaptation strategies relative to households that had no access to it. Of the variety of adaptation strategies implemented, vaccination, avoiding forest visits, wearing of protective clothing and footwear, application of dimethyl phthalate (DMP) oil and income diversification were identified by respondents as important adaptive measures during the outbreak seasons. Even so, we identified significant differences between individuals in exposure to disease information and its contribution to substantive adaptive action. Households reported several barriers to implement adaptation strategies including, lack of disease information, low efficacy of existing vaccine, distrust, religio-cultural sentiments, and livelihood concerns. We also found that informal information sharing presented a promising avenue from a health extension perspective albeit with trade-offs with potential distortion of the messages through misinformation and/or reporting bias. Altogether, our findings stress the importance of contextualising disease information and implementing interventions in a participatory way that sufficiently addresses the social determinants of health in order to bolster households’ adaptive capacity to KFD and other neglected endemic zoonoses.


‘None of My Ancestors Ever Discussed this Disease Before!’ How Disease Information Shapes Adaptive Capacity of Marginalised Rural Populations in India

September 2020

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138 Reads

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2 Citations

Background: Smallholder farmer and tribal communities are often characterised as marginalised and highly vulnerable to emerging zoonotic diseases due to their relatively poor access to healthcare, worse-off health outcomes, proximity to sources of disease risks, and their social and livelihood organisation. Yet, access to relevant and timely disease information that could strengthen their adaptive capacity remain challenging and poorly characterised in the empirical literature. This paper addresses this gap by exploring the role of disease information in shaping the adaptive capacity of smallholder farmer and tribal groups to Kyasanur Forest Disease (KFD), a tick-borne viral haemorrhagic fever. Though reported from the late 1950s onwards, there has been an accelerated spread in human cases of this disease since 2014 to new states in southern India. Methods: We carried out household surveys (n=227) and in-depth interviews (n=25) in two affected districts – Shimoga and Wayanad – in the Western Ghats region. Results: Our findings broadly suggest that, despite the generally limited awareness about KFD, access to disease information improved households’ propensity to implement adaptation strategies relative to households that had no access to it. Of the variety of adaptation strategies implemented, vaccination, avoiding forest visits, wearing of protective clothing and footwear, application of dimethyl phthalate (DMP) oil and income diversification were identified by respondents as important adaptive measures during the outbreak seasons. Even so, we identified significant differences between individuals in exposure to disease information and its contribution to substantive adaptive action. Households reported several barriers to implement adaptation strategies including, lack of disease information, low efficacy of existing vaccine, distrust, religio-cultural sentiments, and livelihood concerns. We also found that informal information sharing presented a promising avenue from a health extension perspective albeit with trade-offs with potential distortion of the messages through misinformation and/or reporting bias. Conclusions: Altogether, our findings stress the importance of contextualising disease information (tailored to risk factors, coping strategies and alternative livelihood options) and implementing interventions in a participatory way that sufficiently addresses the social determinants of health in order to bolster households’ adaptive capacity to KFD and other neglected endemic zoonotic diseases.


Reviewing the Ecological Evidence-Base for Management of Emerging Tropical Zoonoses: Kyasanur Forest Disease in India as A Case Study

June 2020

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Background Zoonotic diseases disproportionately affect poor tropical communities. Transmission dynamics of zoonoses are complex, involving communities of vector and animal hosts, with human behaviour and ecosystem use altering exposure to infected vectors and hosts. This complexity means that efforts to manage and prevent human spillover are often hampered by a poor ecological evidence base and intervention strategies tend to focus on humans (e.g. vaccination, preventative drug treatment). However, integrating ecological and evolutionary understanding of multi-vector and host transmission, human and environmental factors into disease control policy is essential. Recent frameworks have been developed to guide appropriate design of “ecological interventions” which have the potential for being more long-term, effective and economical approaches to managing human disease. Results We extended new frameworks to identify the hierarchical series of barriers that need to be overcome by a vector-borne pathogen to facilitate human spillover, focusing on an emerging, tick-borne zoonotic pathogen in India, Kyasanur Forest Disease Virus (KFDV). Current management recommendations focus on human barriers, through personal protection and vaccination, as well as targeting vector control on cattle and at the sites of monkey deaths. Assessment of the validity of current management practices for KFD through literature review and interviews with disease managers found the efficacy of interventions difficult to quantify, due to poor empirical evidence and a lack of understanding of KFDV-vector-host ecology, particularly regarding the role of cattle in amplifying tick populations and the spatial scale of risk arising from ticks infected via monkeys, which are considered to be amplifying hosts for KFDV. The spraying of malathion around dead monkeys and the burning of vegetation to reduce tick abundance were particularly unfounded interventions. The need for community guidance and education in best practice for tick-prevention and improved vaccine efficacy and surveillance were also identified. We highlight 18 urgent research priorities and identify those which could refine current management strategies or facilitate ecological interventions targeting vectors and host barriers to spillover in the future. Conclusions We emphasise that inter-disciplinary One Health approaches involving collaboration across diverse disciplines including ecology, epidemiology, animal and public health, health systems and social sciences, and with meaningful involvement of local communities, are necessary to refine predictive models of spillover, develop new interventions and target vaccination strategies and surveillance more effectively. Applying such approaches to understand the complex ecological systems involved in zoonotic spillover, and refine and develop appropriate management interventions, including ecological interventions targeting non-human barriers, will ultimately lead to more sustainable and long-term reductions in human cases of neglected zoonoses in the future.


Predicting disease risk areas through co-production of spatial models: The example of Kyasanur Forest Disease in India’s forest landscapes

April 2020

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180 Reads

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50 Citations

Zoonotic diseases affect resource-poor tropical communities disproportionately, and are linked to human use and modification of ecosystems. Disentangling the socio-ecological mechanisms by which ecosystem change precipitates impacts of pathogens is critical for predicting disease risk and designing effective intervention strategies. Despite the global “One Health” initiative, predictive models for tropical zoonotic diseases often focus on narrow ranges of risk factors and are rarely scaled to intervention programs and ecosystem use. This study uses a participatory, co-production approach to address this disconnect between science, policy and implementation, by developing more informative disease models for a fatal tick-borne viral haemorrhagic disease, Kyasanur Forest Disease (KFD), that is spreading across degraded forest ecosystems in India. We integrated knowledge across disciplines to identify key risk factors and needs with actors and beneficiaries across the relevant policy sectors, to understand disease patterns and develop decision support tools. Human case locations (2014–2018) and spatial machine learning quantified the relative role of risk factors, including forest cover and loss, host densities and public health access, in driving landscape-scale disease patterns in a long-affected district (Shivamogga, Karnataka State). Models combining forest metrics, livestock densities and elevation accurately predicted spatial patterns in human KFD cases (2014–2018). Consistent with suggestions that KFD is an “ecotonal” disease, landscapes at higher risk for human KFD contained diverse forest-plantation mosaics with high coverage of moist evergreen forest and plantation, high indigenous cattle density, and low coverage of dry deciduous forest. Models predicted new hotspots of outbreaks in 2019, indicating their value for spatial targeting of intervention. Co-production was vital for: gathering outbreak data that reflected locations of exposure in the landscape; better understanding contextual socio-ecological risk factors; and tailoring the spatial grain and outputs to the scale of forest use, and public health interventions. We argue this inter-disciplinary approach to risk prediction is applicable across zoonotic diseases in tropical settings.


Figure 2. Distribution of 106 laboratory-confirmed Kyasanur Forest disease cases by date of symptom onset, Shimoga District, Karnataka State, India, December 2013-April 2014. 
Kyasanur Forest Disease Outbreak and Vaccination Strategy, Shimoga District, India, 2013–2014

January 2015

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987 Reads

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58 Citations

Emerging Infectious Diseases

We investigated a Kyasanur Forest disease outbreak in Karnataka, India during December 2013-April 2014. Surveillance and retrospective study indicated low vaccine coverage, low vaccine effectiveness, and spread of disease to areas beyond those selected for vaccination and to age groups not targeted for vaccination. To control disease, vaccination strategies need to be reviewed. http://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/21/1/14-1227_article




Table 1 . Incidence of KFD by number of doses of vaccine, Karnataka, 2005-10. 
Kyasanur Forest Disease, India, 2011–2012

February 2013

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171 Reads

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73 Citations

Emerging Infectious Diseases

To determine the cause of the recent upsurge in Kyasanur Forest disease, we investigated the outbreak that occurred during December 2011-March 2012 in India. Male patients >14 years of age were most commonly affected. Although vaccination is the key strategy for preventing disease, vaccine for boosters was unavailable during 2011, which might be a reason for the increased cases.


Citations (10)


... One Health has recently been defined as 'an integrated, unifying approach that aims to sustainably balance and optimize the health of people, animals, and ecosystems' [4]. Zoonoses are a particular threat in under-resourced countries such as Nepal where much of the population, especially in rural areas, may have little access to functioning health facilities [5], and depend on livestock-keeping for their livelihood, necessitating close human-animal contact that could present disease risks [6,7]. As a lower-middle income country with an annual spend of around US$53 per capita on healthcare [8,9] there is little scope for Nepal to develop advanced surveillance systems to identify potential infectious disease threats, and there is little research detailing burden from these diseases in the country. ...

Reference:

‘Community people are the most powerful resources’: qualitative critical realist analysis and framework to support co-produced responses to zoonotic disease threats with(in) Nepali communities
Co-production of knowledge as part of a OneHealth approach to better control zoonotic diseases

... Moreover, in some regions, the emergence, spatial distribution and prevalence of tickborne diseases are increasing under climate and land-use change [1][2][3]. The design and implementation of effective control against tick-borne diseases are often limited by a poor ecological evidence base, notably by a lack of knowledge about the vectors, host species and processes that underpin transmission and lead to spillover into human populations [4,5]. This is particularly so for tick-borne infections affecting poor and marginalised populations in low resource settings, where such diseases receive less attention and funding for research and mitigation [6,7]. ...

Reviewing the ecological evidence base for management of emerging tropical zoonoses: Kyasanur Forest Disease in India as a case study

... For instance, sub-Saharan Africa bears the highest burden of malaria, accounting for over 90% of global cases, primarily affecting children under five years of age (2). Similarly, displaced populations in conflict zones often lack access to routine vaccinations, increasing their susceptibility to preventable diseases (3). ...

‘None of my ancestors ever discussed this disease before!’ How disease information shapes adaptive capacity of marginalised rural populations in India

... The disease primarily affects low-income rural forest communities such as small-holder farmers, plantation and forestry workers, and tribal groups reliant on harvesting of non-timber forest products [33][34][35]. Household surveys of smallholder farmers and tribal groups within KFD-affected areas found that 69% of respondents (n = 227) were perturbed by the impact of KFD on their livelihoods, highlighting KFD as a major health issue in the region [36]. ...

‘None of My Ancestors Ever Discussed this Disease Before!’ How Disease Information Shapes Adaptive Capacity of Marginalised Rural Populations in India

... In the last decade, there was an emergence or re-emergence of tick-borne encephalitis virus that jeopardized public and animal health. There have been reports of TBVs in new geographical locations, a rise in several specific diseases, e.g., Possowan virus in America, and the occurrence of novel viruses, such as the Alkhurma virus, (a subtype of Kyasanur forest disease virus) (Burthe et al., 2020;Madani and Abuelzein, 2021;Yang et al., 2022), and deer tick virus (a subtype of POWV) (Hermance and Thangamani, 2018). These new viruses are placed in different families based on the latest molecular diagnostic techniques, resulting in major changes made in the families Bunyaviridae and Rhabdoviridae (Kazimírová et al., 2017) (Figure 1). ...

Reviewing the Ecological Evidence-Base for Management of Emerging Tropical Zoonoses: Kyasanur Forest Disease in India as A Case Study

... Further, data from tick surveillance can also be used in building predictive models on tick habitat suitability, as is being done for ticks of the Ixodes genus for mapping the risk of Lyme disease [24]. Climate variability, diversity of forest type and possession of indigenous cattle are important factors influencing the distribution and life-cycle of ticks [25]. We recommend including tick pool infectivity data along with these parameters to map potential KFD hot spots and direct vector control measures. ...

Predicting disease risk areas through co-production of spatial models: The example of Kyasanur Forest Disease in India’s forest landscapes

... The emergence of HIV is believed to have arisen from hunting of nonhuman primates for food in central African forests, and outbreaks of Ebola hemorrhagic fever have been associated with hunting in Gabon and the Republic of Congo (9,15,17). Transmission of rabies by vampire bats to cattle and humans was associated with forest activities in South America (18), and Kyasanur Forest disease outbreaks followed encroachment of agriculture and cattle into Indian forests (19,20). The early human cases of severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) were associated with captive wildlife contact. ...

Kyasanur Forest Disease Outbreak

... A number of vaccines were tested to combat the disease in addition to the presently in use formalininactivated CEF KFD vaccine [16]. Studies carried out in KFD affected districts of Karnataka during 1990-92 reported an efficacy of 79.3% for one dose of the vaccine, and 93.5% for two doses and in 2005-10, effectiveness was found to be 62.4% in subjects who took two doses and 82.9% in those who took a booster dose after 2 doses [17], [18]. Some researchers have speculated that the lower efficacy of the vaccine may be due to drifts and diversification from KFDV strains currently circulating compared to the strain originally used to make the vaccine. ...

Kyasanur Forest Disease Outbreak and Vaccination Strategy, Shimoga District, India, 2013–2014

Emerging Infectious Diseases

... A number of vaccines were tested to combat the disease in addition to the presently in use formalininactivated CEF KFD vaccine [16]. Studies carried out in KFD affected districts of Karnataka during 1990-92 reported an efficacy of 79.3% for one dose of the vaccine, and 93.5% for two doses and in 2005-10, effectiveness was found to be 62.4% in subjects who took two doses and 82.9% in those who took a booster dose after 2 doses [17], [18]. Some researchers have speculated that the lower efficacy of the vaccine may be due to drifts and diversification from KFDV strains currently circulating compared to the strain originally used to make the vaccine. ...

Coverage and Effectiveness of Kyasanur Forest Disease (KFD) Vaccine in Karnataka, South India, 2005–10

... All KFDV-positive ticks belonged to the nymphal stage of the Haemaphysalis genus and the occurrence of human cases was moderately correlated with presence of tick pool positivity. The predominance of cases in adults of specific age groups in our study is similar to that reported in the literature and may be associated with occupational or behavioural factors that increase exposure to forest or farming activities and subsequently increase exposure to tick bites [13][14][15]. Emerging zoonotic diseases are known to disproportionately affect smallholder farmers from marginalised communities whose residence and occupation is closely linked to the forest [16]. We recommend targeted awareness campaigns and preventive interventions in these age groups engaging in occupation that puts them at increased risk of acquiring the disease. ...

Kyasanur Forest Disease, India, 2011–2012

Emerging Infectious Diseases