Serge Hoogendoorn’s research while affiliated with Delft University of Technology and other places

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Publications (81)


Table 1 (continued )
Fig. 2. Responses to the statements on the perception of indispensability of digital technologies in transport, sorted according to the EFA results and differentiated between car users (N = 972) and PT users (N = 685).
Fig. 4. Responses to the statements on skills and experience, sorted according to the EFA results (N = 1,657).
Pattern matrix of the Exploratory Factor Analysis (N = 1657).
OLS regression analysis for factor 'Perception of indispensability of digital technologies'. Coefficients statistically significant at 95 % level (p < 0.05) in bold font.
Digital engagement for travel information among car and public transport users in the Netherlands
  • Article
  • Full-text available

November 2024

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8 Reads

Transportation Research Interdisciplinary Perspectives

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Serge Hoogendoorn
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Map‐matching for cycling travel data in urban area

September 2024

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73 Reads

To promote urban sustainability, many cities are adopting bicycle‐friendly policies, leveraging GPS trajectories as a vital data source. However, the inherent errors in GPS data necessitate a critical preprocessing step known as map‐matching. Due to GPS device malfunction, road network ambiguity for cyclists, and inaccuracies in publicly accessible streetmaps, existing map‐matching methods face challenges in accurately selecting the best‐mapped route. In urban settings, these challenges are exacerbated by high buildings, which tend to attenuate GPS accuracy, and by the increased complexity of the road network. To resolve this issue, this work introduces a map‐matching method tailored for cycling travel data in urban areas. The approach introduces two main innovations: a reliable classification of road availability for cyclists, with a particular focus on the main road network, and an extended multi‐objective map‐matching scoring system. This system integrates penalty, geometric, topology, and temporal scores to optimize the selection of mapped road segments, collectively forming a complete route. Rotterdam, the second‐largest city in the Netherlands, is selected as the case study city, and real‐world data is used for method implementation and evaluation. Hundred trajectories were manually labelled to assess the model performance and its sensitivity to parameter settings, GPS sampling interval, and travel time. The method is able to unveil variations in cyclist travel behavior, providing municipalities with insights to optimize cycling infrastructure and improve traffic management, such as by identifying high‐traffic areas for targeted infrastructure upgrades and optimizing traffic light settings based on cyclist waiting times.


Macroscopic Fundamental Diagram for Airplane Traffic: Empirical Findings

August 2024

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26 Reads

Transportation Research Record Journal of the Transportation Research Board

For car traffic it was found that a more crowded area leads to a lower speed and a lower arrival rate. The relation between crowdedness and speed (or arrival rate) can be expressed in a network fundamental diagram, or macroscopic fundamental diagram (MFD). Similar concepts have been shown for pedestrian and train traffic. In this paper, we extend the concept to three spatial dimensions. While simulations have explored some concepts, we present for the first time empirical results of the relation between the crowdedness in the air and the performance of the “network.” We base our results on several months of data of airplanes around Amsterdam Schiphol Airport. Similar to car traffic, we observe a reduction in speeds as the number of airplanes in the area increases. However, even at the highest observed densities, we do not see a reduction in flows. This is because of active and intensive management (based on departure/landing possibilities), comparable to perimeter control in traffic, as well as a minimum airplane speed. This paper introduces an interesting concept of applying a MFD to three-dimensional (3D) spaces. We also show to what extent the performance reduction is caused by speed reduction and to what extent it is caused by less efficient routes. The MFD concept can eventually be used to also manage 3D airspaces for applications with less strict microscopic air traffic management than the current management around airports.






Bicycle Data-Driven Application Framework: A Dutch Case Study on Machine Learning-Based Bicycle Delay Estimation at Signalized Intersections Using Nationwide Sparse GPS Data

December 2023

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92 Reads

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2 Citations

Data-driven approaches are helpful for quantitative justification and performance evaluation. The Netherlands has made notable strides in establishing a national protocol for bicycle traffic counting and collecting GPS cycling data through initiatives such as the Talking Bikes program. This article addresses the need for a generic framework to harness cycling data and extract relevant insights. Specifically, it focuses on the application of estimating average bicycle delays at signalized intersections, as this is an essential variable in assessing the performance of the transportation system. This study evaluates machine learning (ML)-based approaches using GPS cycling data. The dataset provides comprehensive yet incomplete information regarding one million bicycle rides annually across The Netherlands. These ML models, including random forest, k-nearest neighbor, support vector regression, extreme gradient boosting, and neural networks, are developed to estimate bicycle delays. The study demonstrates the feasibility of estimating bicycle delays using sparse GPS cycling data combined with publicly accessible information, such as weather information and intersection complexity, leveraging the burden of understanding local traffic conditions. It emphasizes the potential of data-driven approaches to inform traffic management, bicycle policy, and infrastructure development.


Conceptual model of the latent transition analysis
Share of respondents who are identified as a possible soft refuser based on the binary logit out-of-home activity model by cut-off value (MPN 2013–2019)
Relation between speeding in the questionnaire and reported immobility in the travel diary (MPN 2013–2019)
Venn diagram of MPN respondents who are identified as a possible soft refuser (MPN 2013–2019, n = 16,018)
Didn’t travel or just being lazy? An empirical study of soft-refusal in mobility diaries

December 2023

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50 Reads

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6 Citations

Transportation

In mobility panels, respondents may use a strategy of soft-refusal to lower their response burden, e.g. by claiming they did not leave their house even though they actually did. Soft-refusal leads to poor data quality and may complicate research, e.g. focused on people with actual low mobility. In this study we develop three methods to detect the presence of soft-refusal in mobility panels, based on respectively (observed and predicted) out-of-home activity, straightlining and speeding. For each indicator, we explore the relation with reported immobility and panel attrition. The results show that speeding and straightlining in a questionnaire is strongly related to reported immobility in a (self-reported) travel diary. Using a binary logit model, respondents who are predicted to leave their home but report no trips are identified as possible soft refusers. To reveal different patterns of soft-refusal and assess how these patterns influence the probability to drop out of the panel, a latent transition model is estimated. The results show four behavioral patterns with respect to soft-refusal ranging from a large class of reliable respondents who score positive on all three soft-refusal indicators, to a small ‘high-risk’ class of respondents who score poorly on all indicators. This ‘high-risk’ group also reports the highest immobility and has the highest attrition rate. The model also shows that respondents who do not drop out of the panel, tend to stay in the same behavioral pattern over time. The amount of soft-refusal expressed by a respondent therefore seems to be a stable behavioral trait.



Citations (54)


... Our ambition is to develop a range of AI and (e)x(plainable)-AI methods [10] that results in accurate estimates, predictions, and forecast of network conditions, including indications of the confidence levels. Distributed graph neural networks with federated learning seem a promising method [11], since it respects the physical laws of network traffic dynamics, and we can control the complexity of the model and thereby the calibration effort. The distributed training enables keeping data localised if needed, improving data security. ...

Reference:

Crowd Safety Manager: Towards Data-Driven Active Decision Support for Planning and Control of Crowd Events
A Data Protection Method for Short-Term Traffic Prediction with Applications to Network Active Mode Operations
  • Citing Conference Paper
  • September 2023

... Post-crisis, health safety, and distancing have become vital for individual protection [53]. Van Schaik et al. [54] differentiated between observing distancing behaviors (an aspect found in most studies) and understanding the motivations behind them. Hedayati et al. [55] found that perceptions of disease severity and personal vulnerability significantly influenced the adoption of preventive behaviors. ...

Understanding physical distancing compliance behaviour using proximity and survey data: A case study in the Netherlands during the COVID-19 pandemic
  • Citing Article
  • January 2024

Transportation Research Procedia

... As the country with the highest number of bicycles per capita, the Netherlands maintains its dedication to evidence-based traffic policy-making, leveraging extensive data collection. Notably, between 2020 and 2022, the Dutch government launched the Talking Bike Program to collect bicycle GPS trajectory data throughout the entire country [2,3]. Urban planners invest efforts in understanding bicycle traffic patterns not only to enhance cycling infrastructures but also to improve traffic performance from a multi-modal perspective [4,5]. ...

Bicycle Data-Driven Application Framework: A Dutch Case Study on Machine Learning-Based Bicycle Delay Estimation at Signalized Intersections Using Nationwide Sparse GPS Data

... The proportion of mobile persons (that is, the percentage of trip-makers) is a key output in travel surveys. Several studies have indicated that respondents for travel surveys may report that they are not going out to avoid the response burden; this is referred to as soft refusal (de Haas et al., 2023;Madre et al., 2007). In time-use surveys, respondents do not have incentives to make soft refusals; thus, the proportion of mobile persons in travel and time-use surveys has been compared for validation (Aschauer et al., 2018a(Aschauer et al., , 2018bHubert et al., 2008). ...

Didn’t travel or just being lazy? An empirical study of soft-refusal in mobility diaries

Transportation

... Note that the initial allocation can also be zero, e.g., when all required credits have to be acquired on the market or obtained from an associated reward scheme (Ding et al., 2023). Considering the potential impact of ICA on trading activity, market liquidity, price volatility, and hence presumably on the entire market performance (Servatius et al., 2023b), this design choice is relevant. We present in Section 2.3 a review on different allocation schemes, while in the following we focus on the overall impact of this design choice. ...

Trading activity and market liquidity in tradable mobility credit schemes
  • Citing Article
  • November 2023

Transportation Research Interdisciplinary Perspectives

... Di tingkat internasional, banyak negara telah berhasil mengatasi tantangan serupa melalui penerapan teknologi digital dan inovasi pelayanan yang lebih modern dan efisien (Androutsopoulou et al., 2017;Durand et al., 2023). Teknologi digital memungkinkan pelayanan publik menjadi lebih transparan, cepat, dan mudah diakses, yang pada akhirnya dapat meningkatkan akuntabilitas dan kualitas layanan (Papavasiliou et al., 2019). ...

Fostering an inclusive public transport system in the digital era: An interdisciplinary approach

Transportation Research Interdisciplinary Perspectives

... Li and Chen (2022) developed a novel stochastic user equilibrium model considering travel time and capacity constraints, reformulating it as a VI problem for solution. Brederode et al. (2023) presented a straightforward extension of a static capacity-constrained traffic assignment model into a semi-dynamic version, which improves the accuracy of large-scale strategic transport models in congested conditions. In practice, urban transportation systems often involve multiple modes (e.g., cars and buses), and traffic flows of different modes can interact with each other. ...

Extension of a static into a semi-dynamic traffic assignment model with strict capacity constraints
  • Citing Article
  • August 2023

Transportmetrica A: Transport Science

... In the context of crowd management, introduce a technology that integrates innovative data collection, a 3D Digital Twin, and AI tools for risk identification (Krishnakumari et al., 2023). The Bowtie model, a framework for assessing and predicting risk levels, combines objective estimations with various factors, such as weather conditions and visitor sentiments, to evaluate incident risks. ...

Crowd Safety Manager: Towards Data-Driven Active Decision Support for Planning and Control of Crowd Events

... Habits are typically modeled in two different ways: based on a habit-persistence model (Heckman, 1981), or inertia (e.g. Bansal et al., 2022;Cantillo et al., 2007;Cherchi and Manca, 2011;Gao, 2020;Valeri and Cherchi, 2016;Geržinic et al., 2023), with the latest being the most common. Inertia captures the frequency of past behavior. ...

An instance-based learning approach for evaluating the perception of ride-hailing waiting time variability

Travel Behaviour and Society

... The Active + Train class is the most sustainable among all classes, so their travel contexts should support them to retain this modality style. As we found this group of people are more likely to be (e-)bike-sharing members and subscribe to public transport, offering tailor-made mobility products such as bundles of shared mobility and public transport (Montes et al. 2023). We found that most people in the Active + Train group live in Utrecht, a city known for its excellent cycling environment. ...

Shared micromobility and public transport integration - A mode choice study using stated preference data
  • Citing Article
  • June 2023

Research in Transportation Economics