Seppo Koskinen’s research while affiliated with University of Turku and other places

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Publications (393)


NCD-RisC Worldwide trends in diabetes prevalence and treatment coverage paper press release.docx
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November 2024

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Majid Ezzati
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Worldwide trends in diabetes prevalence and treatment from 1990 to 2022: a pooled analysis of 1108 population-representative studies with 141 million participants

November 2024

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369 Reads

The Lancet

Background Diabetes can be detected at the primary health-care level, and effective treatments lower the risk of complications. There are insufficient data on the coverage of treatment for diabetes and how it has changed. We estimated trends from 1990 to 2022 in diabetes prevalence and treatment for 200 countries and territories. Methods We used data from 1108 population-representative studies with 141 million participants aged 18 years and older with measurements of fasting glucose and glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c), and information on diabetes treatment. We defined diabetes as having a fasting plasma glucose (FPG) of 7·0 mmol/L or higher, having an HbA1c of 6·5% or higher, or taking medication for diabetes. We defined diabetes treatment as the proportion of people with diabetes who were taking medication for diabetes. We analysed the data in a Bayesian hierarchical meta-regression model to estimate diabetes prevalence and treatment. Findings In 2022, an estimated 828 million (95% credible interval [CrI] 757–908) adults (those aged 18 years and older) had diabetes, an increase of 630 million (554–713) from 1990. From 1990 to 2022, the age-standardised prevalence of diabetes increased in 131 countries for women and in 155 countries for men with a posterior probability of more than 0·80. The largest increases were in low-income and middle-income countries in southeast Asia (eg, Malaysia), south Asia (eg, Pakistan), the Middle East and north Africa (eg, Egypt), and Latin America and the Caribbean (eg, Jamaica, Trinidad and Tobago, and Costa Rica). Age-standardised prevalence neither increased nor decreased with a posterior probability of more than 0·80 in some countries in western and central Europe, sub-Saharan Africa, east Asia and the Pacific, Canada, and some Pacific island nations where prevalence was already high in 1990; it decreased with a posterior probability of more than 0·80 in women in Japan, Spain, and France, and in men in Nauru. The lowest prevalence in the world in 2022 was in western Europe and east Africa for both sexes, and in Japan and Canada for women, and the highest prevalence in the world in 2022 was in countries in Polynesia and Micronesia, some countries in the Caribbean and the Middle East and north Africa, as well as Pakistan and Malaysia. In 2022, 445 million (95% CrI 401–496) adults aged 30 years or older with diabetes did not receive treatment (59% of adults aged 30 years or older with diabetes), 3·5 times the number in 1990. From 1990 to 2022, diabetes treatment coverage increased in 118 countries for women and 98 countries for men with a posterior probability of more than 0·80. The largest improvement in treatment coverage was in some countries from central and western Europe and Latin America (Mexico, Colombia, Chile, and Costa Rica), Canada, South Korea, Russia, Seychelles, and Jordan. There was no increase in treatment coverage in most countries in sub-Saharan Africa; the Caribbean; Pacific island nations; and south, southeast, and central Asia. In 2022, age-standardised treatment coverage was lowest in countries in sub-Saharan Africa and south Asia, and treatment coverage was less than 10% in some African countries. Treatment coverage was 55% or higher in South Korea, many high-income western countries, and some countries in central and eastern Europe (eg, Poland, Czechia, and Russia), Latin America (eg, Costa Rica, Chile, and Mexico), and the Middle East and north Africa (eg, Jordan, Qatar, and Kuwait). Interpretation In most countries, especially in low-income and middle-income countries, diabetes treatment has not increased at all or has not increased sufficiently in comparison with the rise in prevalence. The burden of diabetes and untreated diabetes is increasingly borne by low-income and middle-income countries. The expansion of health insurance and primary health care should be accompanied with diabetes programmes that realign and resource health services to enhance the early detection and effective treatment of diabetes.


Functioning in Older Adults: Prevalence and Implications for Policy and Digital Services

October 2024

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2 Reads

The European Journal of Public Health

Background Actions maintaining and promoting functioning, and proactively preparing for the surge in demand for services in near future, are needed as the population is aging. Policy actions need to base on up-to-date picture of the situation. We examined the prevalence of limitations in different dimensions of functioning in the older population. Methods Data consisted of participants aged 75 years or older (n = 9,686) in the nationally representative Healthy Finland Survey in 2022. The questionnaire included questions on various aspects of functioning (physical, cognitive, psychosocial, need and use of help), quality of life, internet use and digital competence. Weighted prevalence of functional limitations by age (75-79, 80-84, 85-89, ≥90 years) was analyzed for men and women using logistic regression, sampling design and non-response acknowledged. Results Difficulties in most aspects of functioning increased rapidly with age. In ≥ 90-year-olds, one third experienced major difficulties in activities of daily living (vs. 4% in 75-79-year-olds), and 30% of men and 45% women aged 90 or over experienced major difficulties in getting out of their home (vs. 4% in 75-79-year-olds). The prevalence of loneliness doubled by age, from 9% in the youngest to 21% in oldest age group. The corresponding increase in psychological distress was from 9% to 15%. Need for help increased dramatically with age, but the unmet need among those needing help did not, being around 20% in all age groups. In ≥ 90-year-olds, 83% of men 92% of women reported little or no internet skills (vs. 40% in 75-79-year-olds), and 55% of men and 75% women did not use digital services at all, i.e. neither independently nor with help from others (vs. 25-28% in 75-79-year-olds). Conclusions Difficulties in functioning and need of help were common among the oldest age groups which underlines the urgency to ensure sufficient resources for elderly care. Key messages • While developing health and social care services, equal access to services must be ensured even for those not able to use digital services. • Functioning must be supported not only by measures aimed at the individual, but also by improving the environment so that people with a lower level of functioning can cope with their everyday lives.


Means (SD) of alexithymia (Toronto Alexithymia Scale, TAS-20) scores in 2000 and 2011 by background information and correlations of adverse childhood experiences (ACEs) with alexithymia scores in 2000 and 2011 and with depression and anxiety in 2011.
Alexithymia (TAS-20) scores in 2000 and in 2011 by adverse childhood experiences (ACEs).
Repeated ANOVA for the effect of number and dimensions of adverse childhood experiences (ACE) on alexithymia and its subdomains in males and females separately. Confidence intervals of parameter estimates. Significant associations only.
Effects of childhood adversities on alexithymia features vary between sexes. Results of a prospective population study

October 2024

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10 Reads

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1 Citation

Introduction: Adverse childhood experiences (ACEs) associate with various mental disorders, including personality features. Our understanding of how ACEs influence alexithymia features in the general population is limited. In a prospective population setting, we studied whether ACEs associate with alexithymia, and the role of sex and emotional symptoms in this association. Methods: In a Finnish population-based prospective study, 3,142 individuals aged between 30 and 64 years completed eleven ACE questions and the Toronto Alexithymia Scale in 2000 and 2011, and the Hopkins Symptoms Checklist in 2011. The effect of ACEs on alexithymia and its subdomains – difficulty identifying feelings (DIF), difficulty describing feelings (DDF), and externally oriented thinking (EOT) in 2000 and 2011 – was analysed using repeated measures ANOVA. Results: The number of ACEs and their main component, childhood social disadvantage, associated positively with total alexithymia scores and its subdomains DIF and DDF, and negatively with EOT. After controlling for the effect of depression and anxiety, the strength of these associations was reduced, but the effect of social disadvantage on DIF and EOT remained significant in females. Childhood family conflicts associated positively with DIF in males and negatively with EOT in females. Additionally, maternal mental problems associated positively with DIF and DDF in females. Discussion: In the general population, ACEs, particularly social disadvantage, are associated with adult alexithymia features. Alexithymia features, detectable from youth, may predispose individuals to emotional disturbances caused by childhood adversities. The effect of family conflicts and maternal mental problems on alexithymia features varies between sexes.


Figure 1: Distributions of BMI and waist-to-height ratio, by region The black lines below each distribution show the 2·5%, 25·0%, 75·0%, and 97·5% quantiles of the distributions and the points show the median. The dashed lines show medians across all participants. Regions are ordered by their sex-specific median BMI. See appendix (p 55) for numerical summaries.
Figure 3: Regional BMI adjustment The BMI adjustment shows how much lower BMI in each region should be to achieve an equivalent waist-toheight ratio. The adjustment is shown relative to the population of the high-income western region where most current epidemiological studies have been done; regional ordering and differences across regions would be unchanged if a different reference were used. The bars show 95% CIs of the BMI adjustments. See appendix (pp 90-91) for results using waist circumference.
General and abdominal adiposity and hypertension in eight world regions: a pooled analysis of 837 population-based studies with 7·5 million participants

August 2024

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1,290 Reads

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3 Citations

The Lancet

Background Adiposity can be measured using BMI (which is based on weight and height) as well as indices of abdominal adiposity. We examined the association between BMI and waist-to-height ratio (WHtR) within and across populations of different world regions and quantified how well these two metrics discriminate between people with and without hypertension.


Table 2 (continued)
Table 3 (continued)
Descriptive characteristics of the study sample by osteosarcopenia group
The association of sociodemographic and lifestyle factors, and physical and mental conditions with osteosarcopenia group
Osteosarcopenia in Finland: prevalence and associated factors

August 2024

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12 Reads

Archives of Osteoporosis

This cross-sectional study investigated osteosarcopenia prevalence and its correlates among 2142 adults aged 55 and older in Finland. Findings show 3.9% had osteosarcopenia, while 13.8% and 11.1% had probable sarcopenia only or osteoporosis only, respectively. Osteosarcopenia was associated with low BMI, impaired mobility, ADL limitations and depression. Sarcopenia appeared to drive these associations more than osteoporosis. Osteosarcopenia may be a risk factor for functional decline, hospitalization, and institutionalization, warranting further research. Purpose Osteosarcopenia is a disorder consisting of concurrent osteoporosis and sarcopenia. This cross-sectional study using nationally representative data from Finland in 2000 aimed to determine the prevalence of osteosarcopenia in Finland. In addition, associations of sociodemographic, lifestyle, anthropometric, physical and mental function indicators, chronic conditions and various biomarkers with osteosarcopenia were examined. Methods The study included 2142 subjects aged 55 and over (mean age 68.0 years, SD 9.0). Probable sarcopenia was defined as grip strength < 27 kg for men and < 16 kg for women. Osteoporosis was defined as either ultrasound-based bone density measurement of T < -2.5, or self-reported, pre-existing diagnosis of osteoporosis. Participants were categorized into 4 groups: no sarcopenia and no osteoporosis, probable sarcopenia only, osteoporosis only, and osteosarcopenia. Information on sociodemographic, lifestyle, anthropometric, physical and mental function indicators, chronic conditions and various biomarkers were collected via structured interview, questionnaires, clinical examination, and blood and urine samples. Results The prevalence of probable sarcopenia, osteoporosis and osteosarcopenia was 13.8%, 11.1%, and 3.9%, respectively. Osteosarcopenia was associated with low BMI, slow gait speed, impaired mobility, impaired ability in the activities of daily living and depression. Of the two components, probable sarcopenia appeared to contribute to these associations more than osteoporosis. Conclusion According to representative population-based study, about every fifth person with probable sarcopenia also has osteoporosis. Mobility and ADL limitations were more common among people with osteosarcopenia than those with osteoporosis or probable sarcopenia alone. Future studies are needed to examine osteosarcopenia as an independent risk factor for functional decline, hospitalization, and institutionalization. Supplementary Information The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11657-024-01439-7.


Stimulating leisure-time activities and the risk of dementia: a multi-cohort study

July 2024

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26 Reads

Age and Ageing

Background Stimulating activities are associated with a decreased risk of dementia. However, the extent to which this reflects a protective effect of activity or non-participation resulting from dementia is debated. We investigated the association of stimulating leisure-time activity in late adulthood with the risk of dementia across up to two decades’ follow-up. Methods We used data from five prospective cohort studies from Finland and Sweden. Mental, social, outdoor, consumptive and physical leisure-time activities were self-reported. Incident dementia was ascertained from clinical diagnoses or healthcare and death registers. Cox regression was used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Results Of the 33 263 dementia-free individuals aged ≥50 years at baseline, 1408 had dementia during a mean follow-up of 7.0 years. Active participation in mental (HR: 0.52, 95% CI: 0.41 to 0.65), social (HR: 0.56 95% CI: 0.46 to 0.72), outdoor (HR: 0.70, 95% CI: 0.58 to 0.85), consumptive (HR: 0.67, 95% CI: 0.53 to 0.94) and physical (HR: 0.62, 95% CI: 0.51 to 0.75) activity, as well as variety (HR: 0.54, 95% CI: 0.43 to 0.68) and the overall frequency of activity (HR: 0.41, 95% CI: 0.34 to 0.49) were associated with a reduced risk of dementia in <10 years’ follow-up. In ≥10 years’ follow-up all associations attenuated toward the null. Conclusion Stimulating leisure-time activities are associated with a reduced risk of dementia in short-term but not long-term follow-up. These findings may reflect a reduction in leisure-time activity following preclinical dementia or dilution of the association over time.





Citations (63)


... The etiology of alexithymia remains incompletely understood, with its development likely influenced by a complex interplay of factors, including early life experiences, sociodemographic characteristics, and health-related conditions [8][9][10][11]. Negative childhood experiences-such as abuse, neglect, or parental separation-are strongly associated with the development of alexithymia [8]. Moreover, research indicates that certain sociodemographic factors, such as lower educational levels, lower income, older age, and single marital status, are associated with alexithymia [9][10][11]. ...

Reference:

Prevalence of Alexithymia and Associated Factors Among Dental Students in Saudi Arabia: A Cross-Sectional Study
Effects of childhood adversities on alexithymia features vary between sexes. Results of a prospective population study

... Obesity is a major public health concern affecting 1 billion adults and children worldwide. 1 In parallel, there is a growing burden of cancer globally; in 2020 more than 19 million people were diagnosed with cancer, and this figure is projected to increase to more than 30 million new cases per year by 2040. 2 Obesity is now recognised as an important cause of some cancers. Based on a 2016 evaluation by the International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC), obesity was established as a cause of cancers of the breast (postmenopausal), colorectum, endometrium, ovary, kidney, liver, gallbladder, gastric cardia, oesophagus (adenocarcinoma), thyroid and pancreas as well as for multiple myeloma and meningioma. ...

General and abdominal adiposity and hypertension in eight world regions: a pooled analysis of 837 population-based studies with 7·5 million participants

The Lancet

... Mandibular molars are essential teeth to support the occlusal load of chewing (1). Both teeth frequently suffer the consequences of caries, and develop irreversible pulpitis, pulp necrosis and/or apical periodontitis, which implies the need of root canal treatment (RCT). ...

Association of tooth location, occlusal support and chewing ability with cognitive decline and incident dementia
  • Citing Article
  • March 2024

Journal Of Clinical Periodontology

... Rather, things just tend to happen; your culture, environment, and habits are allimportant. [151][152][153][154] For example, if you have access to easy to eat, high-calorie, non-satiating food, you tend to get overweight or obese, regardless of your intentions; [156][157][158][159][160] 17 if you have access to only lowcalorie, nutrient-rich, satiating food, with a small environmental cost, you tend to eat healthy and have a small environmental impact, and live longer [161]; the increased food supply is enough to explain all the weight gain, and the increased waste [156,157]. 8 Other areas work the same as the food case, with greater supply or access leading to greater prevalence (cf. ...

Worldwide trends in underweight and obesity from 1990 to 2022: a pooled analysis of 3663 population-representative studies with 222 million children, adolescents, and adults

The Lancet

... Many papers in the literature have been based on the replacement of red meat with leafy vegetables [31], but no studies based on the combination of vegetables with red meat have previously been conducted in a specific cohort from Southern Italy. The benefits were probably due to changes in the intake of nutrients, such as fatty acids, proteins, heme iron, sodium, dietary fiber, minerals, phytochemicals, and other bioactive components [31] typical of plants. ...

Partial substitution of red meat or processed meat with plant-based foods and the risk of colorectal cancer

European Journal of Epidemiology

... Data We collect promoter indel variants from gnomAD (Chen et al., 2024) release V4.0, categorizing variants into low-frequency variants and common variants using a mean allele frequency (MAF) threshold of 0.05 (Consortium, 2015), yielding 578,495 low frequency indel variants and 15,137 common indel variants. ...

Author Correction: A genomic mutational constraint map using variation in 76,156 human genomes
  • Citing Article
  • January 2024

Nature

... Previous prospective cohort studies have found that obesity-related markers are significantly related to the incidence of various cancers (Parra-Soto et al., 2021;Perez-Cornago et al., 2022;Recalde et al., 2021;Roos et al., 2024). In 2016 and 2020, according to the data in the European prospective investigation into cancer and nutrition study, researchers found that obesity has a significant impact on the incidence of colorectal cancer, esophageal cancer, and gastric cancer (Murphy et al., 2016;Sanikini et al., 2020). ...

Pairwise association of key lifestyle factors and risk of solid cancers A prospective pooled multi-cohort register study

Preventive Medicine Reports

... It allows the assessment of multiple research questions without the time-and cost-intensive process of prospective data collection. For example, in the Prospective Meta-Cohort Study of Cancer Burden in Finland (METCA project), the Finnish Institute for Health and Welfare and Finnish Cancer Registry (FCR) have combined large national health studies to evaluate population attributable fractions for cancer risk factors [7,8]. In Sweden, the associations of blood group antigens and 1,217 disease endpoints were studied in a sample of 5.1 million individuals by linking a blood donation and transfusion database to national health registries [9]. ...

Every tenth malignant solid tumor attributed to overweight and alcohol consumption: A population-based cohort study
  • Citing Article
  • December 2023

European Journal of Cancer

... The G47D mutation was found as homozygous or as compound heterozygous together with either the 1379delTT, 580delA, or S184X mutations of the same TYR admixture resulting from the Spanish colonization of Colombia may have led to multiple OCA mutations of distinct ancestries segregating in individuals from the Andean region. We refer to this phenomenon as the admixture-derived compound heterozygote hypothesis [24,25]. In support of this idea, the G47D mutation was suggested to have a Sephardic Jewish origin based on its high prevalence among Moroccan Jews living in Israel [26]. ...

Inferring compound heterozygosity from large-scale exome sequencing data
  • Citing Article
  • December 2023

Nature Genetics

... As the name suggests, the main function of the gene product is its involvement in anaphase in mitosis and meiosis. ANAPC4 is relatively intolerant of loss-of-function and missense, with a probability of being loss-of-function intolerant (pLI) score of 0.001 and a missense constraint Z-score of 2.5 27 . However, given that rs34811474 is common in the non-Finnish European population (MAF = 0.2194) 27 , the missense caused by this variant is likely benign. ...

A genomic mutational constraint map using variation in 76,156 human genomes

Nature