Sarah C. Elmendorf’s research while affiliated with University of Colorado Boulder and other places

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Publications (103)


Dornelas et al. 2025 - BioTIME 2.0 - Supplement 1_geb70003-sup-0001-files1.pdf
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May 2025

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4 Reads

Maria Dornelas

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Laura Antão

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Assaf Zvuloni


Dornelas et al. 2025 - BioTIME 2.0 - Supplement 3_geb70003-sup-0003-files3.docx
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  • File available

May 2025

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20 Reads

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BioTIME 2.0: Expanding and Improving a Database of Biodiversity Time Series

May 2025

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1,247 Reads

Motivation Here, we make available a second version of the BioTIME database, which compiles records of abundance estimates for species in sample events of ecological assemblages through time. The updated version expands version 1.0 of the database by doubling the number of studies and includes substantial additional curation to the taxonomic accuracy of the records, as well as the metadata. Moreover, we now provide an R package (BioTIMEr) to facilitate use of the database. Main Types of Variables Included The database is composed of one main data table containing the abundance records and 11 metadata tables. The data are organised in a hierarchy of scales where 11,989,233 records are nested in 1,603,067 sample events, from 553,253 sampling locations, which are nested in 708 studies. A study is defined as a sampling methodology applied to an assemblage for a minimum of 2 years. Spatial Location and Grain Sampling locations in BioTIME are distributed across the planet, including marine, terrestrial and freshwater realms. Spatial grain size and extent vary across studies depending on sampling methodology. We recommend gridding of sampling locations into areas of consistent size. Time Period and Grain The earliest time series in BioTIME start in 1874, and the most recent records are from 2023. Temporal grain and duration vary across studies. We recommend doing sample-level rarefaction to ensure consistent sampling effort through time before calculating any diversity metric. Major Taxa and Level of Measurement The database includes any eukaryotic taxa, with a combined total of 56,400 taxa. Software Format csv and. SQL.


Representation of our dataset in geographical, climatic and biotic space and its temporal resolution
a, Distribution of study areas, coloured according to mean plot-level plant richness per study area (n = 45). This mean calculation is for visualization purposes only, with all analyses and estimates presented elsewhere using individual plot-level richness, unless stated otherwise. A few study areas are labelled for reference. Polar projection with a southern limit of 57° N. Map created in R with the ggOceanMapsData⁶⁹ package v.1.4, which uses base layers from Natural Earth (https://www.naturalearthdata.com/). b, Subsites included in this study as a function of their climatic space, coloured according to their mean plot-level richness (n = 115). Background grey points represent a selection of 1,189 randomly extracted geographical coordinates from the Circumpolar Arctic Vegetation Map³³. Subsites included in our study cover an extensive gradient of Arctic climatic conditions (Extended Data Fig. 4). c, Relationship between mean cover (calculated as average cover over the entire monitoring period) of the different functional groups per plot (n = 2,174). Species-rich plots had greater forb cover, whereas greater graminoid cover was associated with species-poor plots. Cover of all three functional groups were negatively correlated. Points represent plots and are coloured according to mean plot richness. Black points indicate mean plot cover for each functional group on each axis and the black point inside the ternary plot indicates the mean cover overall. d, Duration of monitoring for all plots in our dataset (n = 2,174). Only plots that were monitored for more than 5 years (in dark grey) were included in temporal analyses (n = 1,266 plots), while those monitored shorter than 5 years (in light grey) were included only in the spatial analyses (n = 908 plots). The dotted line indicates the 5-year duration boundary. For a survey timeline, see Extended Data Fig. 3.
There was no directional change in Arctic species richness on average
a, There was no clear relationship between species richness change and latitude (Supplementary Table 3, model 51). Richness change values were calculated as the slope estimate of the linear models of richness change over time per plot and then averaged to the study area level (n = 25) for visualization purposes. Points are coloured and sized according to their richness change value. Polar projection map created in R with the ggOceanMapsData⁶⁹ package v.1.4, which uses base layers from Natural Earth (https://www.naturalearthdata.com/). b, Richness did not change directionally over time. Points represent richness per plot and per year, coloured according to latitude. The dashed line and grey band represent the output from the high-level model in Supplementary Table 1. c, Mean richness change (n = 1,266 plots) as the slope of richness over time per plot. The dashed blue line represents mean richness change. Histogram bin width is 0.1. Model structure and output are from the high-level model in Supplementary Table 1. d, Richness did not increase at subsites with stronger long-term warming trends. Points represent richness change as slope subsite-level estimates (n = 90), extracted from the high-level model in Supplementary Table 1 and coloured according to climatology. MTWQ, mean temperature of the warmest quarter. e, Richness decreased where erect shrubs (but not dwarf shrubs) increased over time (Supplementary Table 3, models 52 and 52b). Points are coloured according to mean shrub cover. f, Richness increased where forbs increased over time (Supplementary Table 3, model 53). Points are coloured according to mean forb cover per plot. Richness change estimates per plot in e and f are extracted from the richness-over-time linear model. Dashed lines indicate a model in which the CIs on the slope overlapped with zero, solid lines indicate CIs that did not overlap with zero and bands show the 95% CIs of the models.
Local climate, climate change and shrubification influenced temporal turnover and species trajectories
a, Relationships between MTWQ and two temporal turnover metrics: Jaccard (presence–absence turnover) and Bray–Curtis (presence–absence and abundance turnover). Model outputs are in Supplementary Table 3, models 12 and 20; note that the significance of the Bray–Curtis models differed between the univariate and multivariate models (Supplementary Table 4). b, Relationships between temperature change over time (slopes from linear models) and the two turnover metrics (n = 1,266). Model outputs are in Supplementary Table 3, models 16–18 and 24–26; note that the significance of the Bray–Curtis models differed between the univariate and multivariate models (Supplementary Table 4). The univariate model is presented here for visualization purposes. Nearly half of the plots (526 plots, 41.5%) did not change in terms of presence–absence turnover (Jaccard) whereas only six (0.4%) plots did not change when considering both presence–absence and abundance turnover (Bray–Curtis); these are indicated by a turnover value of 0 in a–c. c, Turnover metrics were not directly associated with shrub cover change over time (Supplementary Table 3, models 16 and 21). d, Relationships between MTWQ and the proportion of species lost or gained for each trajectory. Model outputs are in Supplementary Table 3, models 36 and 44. e, Relationships between MTWQ and the proportion of species lost and gained. Model outputs are in Supplementary Table 3, models 40–42 and 48–50. f, Increases in shrub cover over time were associated with decreased species gains (although this effect was not significant) and increased species losses (Supplementary Tables 2, 3 (models 40 and 48) and 4). Lines and bands represent predicted model fits and the 95% CIs, respectively. Dashed lines indicate CIs that overlapped with zero and solid lines indicate CIs that did not overlap with zero. All analyses are Bayesian hierarchical models.
Subsites showed no homogenization or differentiation over time across the Arctic
a,b, Jaccard and Bray–Curtis β-diversity metrics. We calculated temporal change in spatial turnover (β diversity) between the start (baseline) and end (final) time period for all subsites. PCoAs are shown with the Jaccard (a) and Bray–Curtis (b) β-diversity metrics. Triangles represent the start time point and circles represent the end time points for all subsites, joined by an arrow for each subsite, indicating the direction of change over time. Points are coloured according to latitude. Enclosing convex hulls are drawn around subsites. c,d, Jaccard and Bray–Curtis scores derived from PCoAs. Box plots show the mean distance to centroid for all subsites at the start versus the end for Jaccard (c) and Bray–Curtis (d) scores derived from PCoAs (n = 90 for each time point). e, Mean distances in ordination space between time points (start versus end) for all subsites, calculated as Cartesian coordinates (n = 90 for each metric). These values show how much plant communities have changed in composition and abundance. Additional β-diversity metrics are presented in Extended Data Fig. 10. In c–e data are represented as box plots in which the middle line is the median, the lower and upper hinges are the first and third quartiles, the upper whisker extends from the hinge to the largest value within 1.5 × the interquartile range (IQR) from the hinge and the lower whisker extends from the hinge to the lowest value within 1.5 × IQR of the hinge. Data beyond the end of the whiskers are outliers and plotted as points.
Plant diversity dynamics over space and time in a warming Arctic

April 2025

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1,477 Reads

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1 Citation

Nature

The Arctic is warming four times faster than the global average¹ and plant communities are responding through shifts in species abundance, composition and distribution2, 3–4. However, the direction and magnitude of local changes in plant diversity in the Arctic have not been quantified. Using a compilation of 42,234 records of 490 vascular plant species from 2,174 plots across the Arctic, here we quantified temporal changes in species richness and composition through repeat surveys between 1981 and 2022. We also identified the geographical, climatic and biotic drivers behind these changes. We found greater species richness at lower latitudes and warmer sites, but no indication that, on average, species richness had changed directionally over time. However, species turnover was widespread, with 59% of plots gaining and/or losing species. Proportions of species gains and losses were greater where temperatures had increased the most. Shrub expansion, particularly of erect shrubs, was associated with greater species losses and decreasing species richness. Despite changes in plant composition, Arctic plant communities did not become more similar to each other, suggesting no biotic homogenization so far. Overall, Arctic plant communities changed in richness and composition in different directions, with temperature and plant–plant interactions emerging as the main drivers of change. Our findings demonstrate how climate and biotic drivers can act in concert to alter plant composition, which could precede future biodiversity changes that are likely to affect ecosystem function, wildlife habitats and the livelihoods of Arctic peoples5,6.


Tundra Plant Canopies Gradually Close Over Three Decades While Cryptogams Persist

April 2025

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83 Reads

Global climate change phenomena are amplified in Arctic regions, driving rapid changes in the biota. Here, we examine changes in plant community structure over more than 30 years at two sites in arctic Alaska, USA, Imnavait Creek and Toolik Lake, to understand long‐term trends in tundra response to changing climate. Vegetation cover was sampled every 4–7 years on permanent 1 m² plots spanning a 1 km² grid using a point‐frame. The vascular plant canopies progressively closed at both locations. Canopy cover, defined here as an encounter of a vascular plant above the ground surface, increased from 63% to 91% at Imnavait Creek and from 63% to 89% at Toolik Lake. Both sites showed steady increases in maximum canopy height, increasing by approximately 50% (8 cm). While cover and height increased to some extent for all vascular plant growth forms, deciduous shrubs and graminoids changed the most. For example, at Imnavait Creek the cover of graminoids more than tripled (particularly in wet meadow plots), increasing by 237%. At Toolik Lake the cover of deciduous shrubs more than doubled (particularly in moist acidic plots), increasing by 145%. Despite the steady closing of the plant canopy, cryptogams (lichens and mosses) persisted; in fact, the cover of lichens increased. These results call into question the dominant dogma that cryptogams will decline with increases in vascular plant abundance and demonstrate the resilience of these understory plants. In addition to overall cover, the diversity of vascular plants increased at one site (Imnavait Creek). In contrast to much of the Arctic, summer air temperatures in the Toolik Lake region have not significantly increased over the 30+ year sampling period; however, winter temperatures increased substantially. Changes in vegetation community structure at Imnavait Creek and Toolik Lake are likely the result of winter warming.


Our study included five sites, each with between 5 and 12 plots which contained paired phenocams and in‐growth cores. (a) Polar projection map of the five Arctic, subarctic and alpine tundra sites included in this study. Map lines delineate study areas and do not necessarily depict accepted national boundaries. (b) Birds‐eye‐view schematic of the subplots, showing the location of in‐growth cores P1, P2 and P3 in relation to the phenocam and the TOMST microclimate logger. (c) Cross‐section schematic of the differential in‐growth core depths in the soil profile at sites with permafrost (sites without a shallow thaw depth in the first half of the season and permafrost had the same depth for all cores). Photograph of a P3 core removed from Toolik in 2022 (Image Credit: Ruby An). (d) Photograph of Kluane Subplot 8 with a phenocam pointed northwards, alongside three buried in‐growth cores in summer 2021 (Image Credit: Madelaine Anderson).
Root growth continued after above‐ground plant tissues began to senesce across all but one site. For each site, the top panel represents phenocam‐derived greening curves, with each green point representing the date after 100% snowmelt per plot that a recorded phenophase occurred (bud burst, 50% green leaves, 100% green leaves, first yellow leaf, 50% yellow leaves, and 100% yellow leaves). Green trend lines were generated using the loess smoothing feature in ggplot2. For each site, brown points in the bottom panel represent the root biomass per g cm⁻³ of soil volume averaged across each in‐growth core corresponding to their extraction from the experiment and the timing of that extraction in relation to the date of 100% snowmelt per plot. For each site, both green and brown points were assigned shapes to represent the corresponding phenocam for each soil core. Brown trend lines were generated using linear regression. Blue‐green vertical lines represent the site‐averaged dates of peak above‐ground growth, or the mean ‘day after snowmelt’ that plots reached 100% green leaves. Sites are ordered here by time taken to achieve full green‐up, from fastest (Kluane) to slowest (Cairngorms). Purple numeric labels on the bottom panel indicate the number of days of observed root growth beyond the date of peak above‐ground productivity (date of P3 extraction minus the date of peak aboveground greenness), excluded for Kluane because there was no observed root biomass increase over time at this site. See Table S1 for 2022 core removal dates.
(a) Root biomass accumulation was greater for graminoid‐dominated relative to shrub‐dominated and mixed‐species plots. Error bars represent the distributions of the root biomass per soil volume (g cm⁻³) for each stage of removal (P1, P2 or P3) across the three community types: Graminoid‐dominated, mixture of graminoid and shrub, and shrub‐dominated. Points represent the root biomass per g cm⁻³ of soil volume averaged across each in‐growth core Annotations in the box plot denote the difference estimates of root biomass between the removal stages (g cm⁻³) with 95% credible intervals provided in parentheses. Annotations on the photography panel denote the difference estimates of root biomass among the vegetation community groups (g cm⁻³) with 95% credible intervals provided in parentheses. (b) Root growth rates were generally faster in the graminoid‐dominated plots than the shrub‐dominated or mixed‐species plots. Error bars represent the distributions of the daily root biomass accumulation (g cm⁻³) across the summer among the three community types. Points represent the daily root biomass accumulation per g cm⁻³ of soil volume averaged across each in‐growth core plot. Annotations on the photography panel denote the difference estimates of root growth rate among the vegetation community groups (g cm⁻³) with 95% credible intervals provided in parentheses. Photos are select screenshots from 9 July 2021 across three Toolik plots representing the corresponding community types (Image Credits: Ruby An). See Table S2 for full statistical output.
Root biomass allocation and root growth rates did not correspond with local soil surface temperatures. Error bars in (a) represent the modelled distributions (Table S2a) of the root biomass/soil volume (g cm⁻³) for the final stage of removal (P3), plotted across summer surface temperature microclimate quantile groups. Error bars in (b) represent the modelled distributions (Table S2b) of the daily root growth rates between P3 and P1, plotted across summer surface temperature microclimate quantile groups. Points represent the root biomass per g cm⁻³ of soil volume averaged across each in‐growth core. Annotations denote the difference estimates of root biomass (a) and root growth rate (b) (g cm⁻³) with 95% credible intervals provided in parentheses. See Tables S2 and S3 for full statistical output.
Tundra Vegetation Community Type, Not Microclimate, Controls Asynchrony of Above‐ and Below‐Ground Phenology

April 2025

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89 Reads

The below‐ground growing season often extends beyond the above‐ground growing season in tundra ecosystems and as the climate warms, shifts in growing seasons are expected. However, we do not yet know to what extent, when and where asynchrony in above‐ and below‐ground phenology occurs and whether variation is driven by local vegetation communities or spatial variation in microclimate. Here, we combined above‐ and below‐ground plant phenology metrics to compare the relative timings and magnitudes of leaf and fine‐root growth and senescence across microclimates and plant communities at five sites across the Arctic and alpine tundra biome. We observed asynchronous growth between above‐ and below‐ground plant tissue, with the below‐ground season extending up to 74% (~56 days) beyond the onset of above‐ground leaf senescence. Plant community type, rather than microclimate, was a key factor controlling the timing, productivity, and growth rates of fine roots, with graminoid roots exhibiting a distinct ‘pulse’ of growth later into the growing season than shrub roots. Our findings indicate the potential of vegetation change to influence below‐ground carbon storage as the climate warms and roots remain active in unfrozen soils for longer. Taken together, our findings of increased root growth in soils that remain thawed later into the growing season, in combination with ongoing tundra vegetation change including increased shrub and graminoid abundance, indicate increased below‐ground productivity and altered carbon cycling in the tundra biome.


Figure 1. The magnitude of boreal plant community colonisations (BCI) and plot abundance 455 increases (BAI) varied across the tundra. a) BCI estimated as the average of the plots within 456 a study area that experienced colonisations of boreal species (BCI > 0), b) BCI index of those 457 plots within each study area, c) BAI estimated as the average of the plots within a study area 458 that experienced an increase in the abundance of boreal species (BAI > 0), d) BAI index for 459 those plots within each study area. Points in a) and c) are coloured according to the 460 magnitude of increase (as BAI and BCI) as a study area average. Crosses in b) and d) indicate 461 the mean value of the plot borealization index at the study area level, which represent the 462 same value as coloured points in a) and c). Study areas in b) and d) are arranged by longitude. 463 Darker grey colours indicate overlap of multiple points. Note that these data show the 464 magnitude for plots that experienced increases in boreal species; for an analysis that includes 465 plots where boreal increases did not occur (BCI = 0 and BAI <= 0), see Figure S4. 466
Figure 3. Model estimates at the species level, with a) total number of times colonising plots 521 (model sample size = 220), and b) mean annual abundance increases across all plots (model 522 sample size = 129), as a function of class. Points indicate the mean model estimate for each 523 class, and error bars the 95% credible intervals. Sample sizes for categories in a) are: Boreal 524 specialist = 9, Boreal-tundra boundary = 113, Arctic specialist = 9, Ubiquitous = 89 species. 525 Sample sizes for categories in b) are: Boreal specialist = 5, Boreal-tundra boundary = 77, 526 Arctic specialist = 7, Ubiquitous = 40 species. 527
Figure 4. Colonising boreal species were shorter and more likely to be shrubs or graminoids, 544 though shrub species spanned the full range of height values. a) Boreal species that were 545 shorter colonised plots more often than taller species. Each point represents a plot, coloured 546 according to the functional group. The line and ribbon represent the model estimate and 95% 547 credible intervals of the univariate model (to allow for illustration of all the available height 548 values). b) Boreal shrubs and graminoids colonised more often than forbs. Model outputs are 549 represented as the mean estimate (points) and the 95% credible intervals (error bars). 550 Sample sizes for each category in the model are: forb = 62, graminoid = 32, shrub = 28 551 species. 552
Plant community borealization in the Arctic is driven by boreal-tundra boundary species

February 2025

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381 Reads

Following rapid climate change across the Arctic, tundra plant communities are experiencing extensive compositional shifts. One of the most prevalent changes is the encroachment of boreal species into the tundra (‘borealization’). Borealization has been reported at individual sites, but has not been systematically quantified across the tundra biome. Here, we use a dataset of 1,137 plots at 113 subsites across 32 study areas resurveyed at least once between 1981 and 2023 and encompassing 287 vascular plant species. We i) quantified the borealization of tundra ecosystems as the colonisation and the increase in abundance of boreal specialist and boreal-tundra boundary species, ii) assessed biogeographical, climatic and local drivers of borealization, and iii) identified species contributing most to borealization and their associated traits. Around half of the plots experienced borealization, especially at sites closer to the treeline, at higher elevations (mountains), in warmer and wetter regions, and at sites that had undergone the lowest magnitude of climate change. Boreal species were more likely to expand in Eurasia, and at sites with lower initial abundances of boreal species. Boreal species that colonised more plots were generally short, and more likely to be shrubs and graminoids than forbs. Boreal specialist species colonised three times less frequently than boreal-tundra boundary species, yet abundance changes were similar across groups. These findings indicate that borealization is mainly driven by the spread of already established species in the tundra, and suggest that future changes to Arctic ecosystems might not involve rapid, widespread replacement of Arctic species by boreal species. These observed and future plant community composition changes could affect land-atmosphere interactions, trophic dynamics and local and Indigenous livelihoods.


Fig. 1. Study locations on Niwot Ridge. The location o the 78 1 × 1 m 2 assessed plots distributed across the Saddle grid between the East and West Knolls o Niwot Ridge, their corresponding vegetation classes (see legend) and the location o the Niwot Ridge LTER within the Colorado Front Range (see inset). Background imagery is sourced rom NEON's high-resolution orthorectied camera imagery mosaic (RGB, 0.1 × 0.1 m resolution) (NEON, 2023c) whilst the inset map is sourced rom ESRI © 2014 National Geographic Society, i-cubed.
Evaluating the utility of hyperspectral data to monitor local-scale β-diversity across space and time

January 2025

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99 Reads

Remote Sensing of Environment

Plant functional traits are key drivers of ecosystem processes. However, plot-based monitoring of functional composition across both large spatial and temporal extents is a time-consuming and expensive undertaking. Airborne and satellite remote sensing platforms collect data across large spatial expanses, often repeatedly over time, raising the tantalising prospect of detection of biodiversity change over space and time through remotely sensed methods. Here, we test the degree to which in situ measurements of taxonomic and functional β-diversity, defined as pairwise dissimilarity either between sites, or between years within individual sites, is detectable in airborne hyperspectral imagery across both space and time in an alpine vascular plant community in the Front Range, Colorado, USA. Functional and taxonomic dissimilarity were signicantly related to spectral dissimilarity across space, but lacked robust relationships with spectral dissimilarity over time. Biomass showed stronger relationships with spectral dissimilarity than either taxonomic or functional dissimilarity over space, but exhibited no significant associations with spectral dissimilarity over time. Comparative analyses using NDVI revealed that NDVI alone explains much of the variation explained by the full-range spectra. Our results support the use of hyperspectral data to detect fine-scale changes in vascular plant β-diversity over space, but suggest that methodological limitations still preclude the use of this technology for long-term monitoring and change detection.


Citations (55)


... We found that extreme warming increased the investment in defensive traits of plant leaves, but this came at the expense of plant growth. However, our shortterm findings may not fully reflect the longterm adaptive responses of plants [ 42 ]. For example, a 40year longterm experiment in Colorado showed that warming treatments do not significantly affect plant traits, which could be related to changes in limiting factors over the course of the longterm experiment [ 42 ]. ...

Reference:

Extreme Warming Coordinately Shifts Root and Leaf Traits of Alpine Plants toward Conservatism
Long‐Term Alpine Plant Responses to Global Change Drivers Depend on Functional Traits

... The magnitude of phenological responses to shifts in the current environment was impressive: flowering time differed across sites by almost a month and across temperature (gravel) treatments by over a week (Figure 3). This result agrees with those of other studies that found B. tectorum flowered earlier under experimentally manipulated, warmer conditions (Howell et al., 2020;Maxwell et al., 2023) and agree with a broader swath of literature that has shown this shift across other taxa (e.g., Anderson et al., 2012;Collins et al., 2024;Ehrlén & Valdés, 2020;Richardson et al., 2017;Wadgymar et al., 2018). ...

Flowering time responses to warming drive reproductive fitness in a changing Arctic
  • Citing Article
  • January 2024

Annals of Botany

... This permits species that tolerate desiccating winds early in the growing season to coexist with species that benefit from being snow covered for extended periods, thus resulting in higher local diversity Callaghan 1991, Rissanen et al. 2023). Such topographically mediated variations in snow cover can have strong impacts on how climate change influences the vegetation (Niittynen et al. 2020, Oldfather et al. 2023, and can to some extent be self-amplifying due to tall shrubs' tendency to accumulate snow (von Oppen et al. 2022). ...

Divergent community trajectories with climate change across a fine‐scale gradient in snow depth

... Variations in microtopography complicate the sources of MSW (Jay et al., 2023;Yin et al., 2023). For instance, the SOI was highest in the north and lowest in the south (Fig. S14), with the south showing greater sensitivity to precipitation than the north and valley areas (Fig. S8). ...

Topographic Heterogeneity and Aspect Moderate Exposure to Climate Change Across an Alpine Tundra Hillslope

... In some cases, experimental warming decreases species diversity (Chapin III et al. 1995;Hollister et al. 2015). In a global synthesis of species diversity change over the arctic tundra, García Criado et al. (2023) found species diversity was not changing over time. They did, however, detect declines in vascular species richness in response to shrubification. ...

Plant diversity dynamics over space and time in a warming Arctic

... Other studies have utilized small footprint photography, such as Sellers et al. (2023) [19], in which plot-level, handheld, or stationary photography was investigated as a surrogate for traditional field surveys to assess vegetation cover in an extreme Arctic climate. Traditional remote sensing analysis (e.g., supervised image classification) and five machine learning models were tested on the photos to classify tundra vegetation types. ...

Can Plot-Level Photographs Accurately Estimate Tundra Vegetation Cover in Northern Alaska?

... This is essential for activating root metabolic activity, which in turn supports aboveground growth processes (Inouye 2008;Nagelmüller et al. 2017). Spring temperatures after melt-out directly influence the rate of shoot growth and flowering by regulating physiological processes through temperature accumulation (Rauschkolb et al. 2025;Elmendorf & Hollister 2023;Oberbauer et al 2013;Körner 2021), while the process of snowmelt offers vital water and nutrient supply during early plant growth. Photoperiodic and thermal sensitivity can inhibit alpine plant species from initiating growth too early to avoid potential late frost events in early meltout years (Keller and Körner 2003). ...

Limits on phenological response to high temperature in the Arctic

... Experiments to test the sensitivity of alpine plants to warming in situ are necessary to understand the need for climate change adaptation in management plans (Capers et al., 2013;Nadeau et al., 2024). Artificial warming experiments involving in situ chambers (Sandvik et al., 2004;Wahren et al., 2005;Hollister et al., 2022), movement of plants to common gardens under different temperature, snow persistence, and plant diversity and composition regimes (Berend et al., 2019), and snow removal and addition studies (see Wipf & Rixen, 2010) are all potential approaches to assess plant sensitivity. We find that results from such experiments could be incorporated into biophysical models that integrate climate change scenarios and information from our other goals, such as snowmelt rates, and in situ micro-scale temperature. ...

A review of open top chamber (OTC) performance across the ITEX Network

... There have also been widespread changes in local species alpha and beta diversity (Gritsch et al., 2016;Lodetti et al., 2024;Matteodo et al., 2016;Steinbauer et al., 2018) and the loss of total area available for alpine communities due to the upward migration and encroachment of trees (Tourville et al., 2023). Further, the arrival of novel plant competitors that are better able to take advantage of altered environmental conditions may threaten less competitive species (Collins et al., 2022;Matteodo et al., 2016;Pellissier et al., 2018). ...

Global change re‐structures alpine plant communities through interacting abiotic and biotic effects

... This study has shown a clear trend towards earlier FSFD in the period 2000-2023 over the study area, and two of the recent years (2020 and 2022) had by far the earliest FSFD for the entire period. Changes in snow cover dynamics is a key factor in transforming terrestrial ecosystems, as it influences the timing of onset of vegetation growth, primary production, reproductive success, and wildlife Mallik et al., 2011;Rixen et al., 2022;Rumpf et al., 2014;Semenchuk et al., 2013;Vickers et al., 2020;Vorkauf et al., 2021), although identifying the drivers are complex and depends on the scale it is observed on. Recently, record high plant productivity was found in the study area in the years 2020 and 2022 using MODIS satellite data , showing that the early snowmelt those years led to early onset of growth and thereby record high plant productivity observed on a MODIS scale. ...

Winters are changing: snow effects on Arctic and alpine tundra ecosystems