Sara S. McLanahan’s research while affiliated with Princeton University and other places

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Publications (17)


3-D renderings of amygdala to specific pFC targets. Seed amygdala targets in dark gray. pFC targets: left sgACC BA 25 (red); right dmPFC BA 10 (plum); right OFC BA 11 (blue); right sgACC BA 25 (green); right OFC BA 47 (yellow). White matter is illustrated in light gray. White matter in figure depicts all tracts originating from seed amygdala region for illustration purposes.
Significant associations between material hardship at specific developmental stages and white matter connectivity after adjusting for other developmental stages. White matter connectivity and target on the left and zero-order plots on the right. (A) Increased material hardship at ages 5 and 9 years was related to increased right amygdala–dmPFC white matter connectivity, adjusting for other developmental stages. (B) Increased material hardship at age 15 years was related to increased left amygdala–sgACC white matter connectivity, adjusting for other developmental stages. (C) Increased material hardship at age 15 years was related to decreased right amygdala–OFC white matter connectivity, adjusting for other developmental stages.
Covariates-adjusted model using structural equation modeling including all material hardship predictors and white matter connectivity targets. Model fit statistics indicate excellent fit: χ²[45] = 47.931, p = .355; RMSEA = .019 [.000, .053], CFI = .980, TLI = .965, SRMR = .047. Consistent with regression results, there were positive associations between material hardship at age 5 years with right amygdala–BA 10 (dmPFC) and hardship at age 15 years with left amygdala–BA 25 (sgACC). Furthermore, there were trending negative associations between material hardship at ages 9 and 15 years with right amygdala–BA 11 (OFC) white matter connectivity. Covariates included in the model: ethnoracial identity, sex, pubertal age, birth city, maternal education, family structure, violence exposure, social deprivation, and annual household income at baseline. ⁺p < .10. *p < .05. **p < .01. ***p < .001.
Growth curve trajectory illustrating that material hardship increases with age. Figure shows linear estimated paths for each individual (black lines) as well as mean estimated group-level path trajectory (blue). Material hardship at age 1 year is set as point 0, where estimated mean [SE] for starting point (i.e., intercept) = 1.01 [.077], p < .001; variance [SE] = 0.91 [0.166], p < .001, and estimated mean [SE] change over time (slope) = 0.02 [0.008], p = .009; variance [SE] = 0.01 [0.002], p = .004.
Structural equation path model showing path estimates between material hardship predictors and right amygdala–BA 10, right amygdala–BA 11, and left amygdala–BA 25 white matter connectivity. Material hardship at 1, 3, 5, 9, and 15 loadings estimating latent slope were fixed at 0, 2, 4, 8, and 14, respectively. Covariates included in the model: ethnoracial identity, sex, pubertal age, birth city, maternal education, family structure, violence exposure, social deprivation, and annual household income at baseline. *p < .05. **p < .01.

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Differential Developmental Associations of Material Hardship Exposure and Adolescent Amygdala–Prefrontal Cortex White Matter Connectivity
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September 2022

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49 Reads

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14 Citations

Felicia A. Hardi

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Accumulating literature has linked poverty to brain structure and function, particularly in affective neural regions; however, few studies have examined associations with structural connections or the importance of developmental timing of exposure. Moreover, prior neuroimaging studies have not used a proximal measure of poverty (i.e., material hardship, which assesses food, housing, and medical insecurity) to capture the lived experience of growing up in harsh economic conditions. The present investigation addressed these gaps collectively by examining the associations between material hardship (ages 1, 3, 5, 9, and 15 years) and white matter connectivity of frontolimbic structures (age 15 years) in a low-income sample. We applied probabilistic tractography to diffusion imaging data collected from 194 adolescents. Results showed that material hardship related to amygdala–prefrontal, but not hippocampus–prefrontal or hippocampus–amygdala, white matter connectivity. Specifically, hardship during middle childhood (ages 5 and 9 years) was associated with greater connectivity between the amygdala and dorsomedial pFC, whereas hardship during adolescence (age 15 years) was related to reduced amygdala–orbitofrontal (OFC) and greater amygdala–subgenual ACC connectivity. Growth curve analyses showed that greater increases of hardship across time were associated with both greater (amygdala–subgenual ACC) and reduced (amygdala–OFC) white matter connectivity. Furthermore, these effects remained above and beyond other types of adversity, and greater hardship and decreased amygdala–OFC connectivity were related to increased anxiety and depressive symptoms. Results demonstrate that the associations between material hardship and white matter connections differ across key prefrontal regions and developmental periods, providing support for potential windows of plasticity for structural circuits that support emotion processing.

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Fig. 2. Collective efficacy is associated with stronger negative amygdala-prefrontal connectivity during fearful face processing. Note. N = 164; (A) Greater youth's perceptions of neighborhood collective efficacy was associated with stronger negative right amygdala-right superior medial frontal gyrus connectivity during fearful face processing versus baseline. (B) Target region centered on [x, y, z] = [−6, 46, 20]; T extent threshold = 4.43; k cluster size = 161.
Deadly Gun Violence, Neighborhood Collective Efficacy, and Adolescent Neurobehavioral Outcomes

July 2022

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57 Reads

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16 Citations

PNAS Nexus

Gun violence is a major public health problem and costs the United States {\}$280 billion annually (1). Although adolescents are disproportionately impacted (e.g. premature death), we know little about how close adolescents live to deadly gun violence incidents and whether such proximity impacts their socioemotional development (2, 3). Moreover, gun violence is likely to shape youth developmental outcomes through biological processes—including functional connectivity within regions of the brain that support emotion processing, salience detection, and physiological stress responses—though little work has examined this hypothesis. Lastly, it is unclear if strong neighborhood social ties can buffer youth from the neurobehavioral effects of gun violence. Within a nationwide birth cohort of 3,444 youth (56% Black, 24% Hispanic) born in large U.S. cities, every additional deadly gun violence incident that occurred within 500 meters of home in the prior year was associated with an increase in behavioral problems by 9.6%, even after accounting for area-level crime and socioeconomic resources. Incidents that occurred closer to a child's home exerted larger effects, and stronger neighborhood social ties offset these associations. In a neuroimaging subsample (N = 164) of the larger cohort, living near more incidents of gun violence and reporting weaker neighborhood social ties were associated with weaker amygdala-prefrontal functional connectivity during socioemotional processing, a pattern previously linked to less effective emotion regulation. Results provide spatially-sensitive evidence for gun violence effects on adolescent behavior, a potential mechanism through which risk is biologically-embedded, and ways in which positive community factors offset ecological risk.


Fig. 1. Planned structural equation modeling (SEM) analyses.
Fig. 2. Negative relation between violence exposure and right amygdala habituation to angry faces.
Fig. 3. Right amygdala habituation to angry faces in individuals with high and low violence exposure.
Fig. 4. Negative relation between social deprivation and right ventral striatum activation to happy faces. Peak t(161) = 2.97, P = 0.016, XYZ = 16, 6, −14 (coordinates in MNI space). Violence exposure, social deprivation, the interaction of violence exposure and social deprivation, and gender were entered as regressors in a multiple regression analysis in SPM12. Finding visualized in SPM with a P < 0.05 uncorrected threshold.
Social deprivation is associated with reduced bilateral ven- tral striatum activation to happy faces
Childhood Violence Exposure and Social Deprivation are Linked to Adolescent Threat and Reward Neural Function

October 2020

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139 Reads

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46 Citations

Social Cognitive and Affective Neuroscience

Background Childhood adversity is, unfortunately, highly prevalent and strongly associated with later psychopathology. Recent theories posit that two dimensions of early adversity, threat and deprivation, have distinct effects on brain development. The current study evaluated whether violence exposure (threat) and social deprivation (deprivation) were associated with adolescent amygdala and ventral striatum activation, respectively, in a prospective, well-sampled, longitudinal cohort using a pre-registered, open science approach. Methods 167 adolescents from the Fragile Families and Child Wellbeing Study completed fMRI scanning. Prospective longitudinal data from ages 3, 5 and 9 were used to create indices of childhood violence exposure and social deprivation. We evaluated whether these dimensions were associated with adolescent brain function in response to threatening and rewarding faces. Results Childhood violence exposure was associated with decreased amygdala habituation (i.e., more sustained activation) and activation to angry faces in adolescence, whereas childhood social deprivation was associated with decreased ventral striatum activation to happy faces in adolescence. These associations held when controlling for the other dimension of adversity and their interaction, gender, internalizing psychopathology, and current life stress. Conclusions Consistent with recent theories, different forms of early adversity were associated with region-specific differences in brain activation.



Figure 1. S-GIMME Connectivity Results
Association of Childhood Violence Exposure With Adolescent Neural Network Density

September 2020

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91 Reads

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44 Citations

JAMA Network Open

Importance: Adverse childhood experiences are a public health issue with negative sequelae that persist throughout life. Current theories suggest that adverse childhood experiences reflect underlying dimensions (eg, violence exposure and social deprivation) with distinct neural mechanisms; however, research findings have been inconsistent, likely owing to variability in how the environment interacts with the brain. Objective: To examine whether dimensional exposure to childhood adversity is associated with person-specific patterns in adolescent resting-state functional connectivity (rsFC), defined as synchronized activity across brain regions when not engaged in a task. Design, setting, and participants: A sparse network approach in a large sample with substantial representation of understudied, underserved African American youth was used to conduct an observational, population-based longitudinal cohort study. A total of 183 adolescents aged 15 to 17 years from Detroit, Michigan; Toledo, Ohio; and Chicago, Illinois, who participated in the Fragile Families and Child Wellbeing Study were eligible for inclusion. Environmental data from birth to adolescence were collected via telephone and in-person interviews, and neuroimaging data collected at a university lab. The study was conducted from February 1, 1998, to April 26, 2017, and data analysis was performed from January 3, 2019, to May 22, 2020. Exposures: Composite variables representing violence exposure and social deprivation created from primary caregiver reports on children at ages 3, 5, and 9 years. Main outcomes and measures: Resting-state functional connectivity person-specific network metrics (data-driven subgroup membership, density, and node degree) focused on connectivity among a priori regions of interest in 2 resting-state networks (salience network and default mode) assessed with functional magnetic resonance imaging. Results: Of the 183 eligible adolescents, 175 individuals (98 girls [56%]) were included in the analysis; mean (SD) age was 15.88 (0.53) years and 127 participants (73%) were African American. Adolescents with high violence exposure were 3.06 times more likely (95% CI, 1.17-8.92) to be in a subgroup characterized by high heterogeneity (few shared connections) and low network density (sparsity). Childhood violence exposure, but not social deprivation, was associated with reduced rsFC density (β = -0.25; 95% CI, -0.41 to -0.05; P = .005), with fewer salience network connections (β = -0.26; 95% CI, -0.43 to -0.08; P = .005) and salience network-default mode connections (β = -0.20; 95% CI, -0.38 to -0.03; P = .02). Violence exposure was associated with node degree of right anterior insula (β = -0.29; 95% CI, -0.47 to -0.12; P = .001) and left inferior parietal lobule (β = -0.26; 95% CI, -0.44 to -0.09; P = .003). Conclusions and relevance: The findings of this study suggest that childhood violence exposure is associated with adolescent neural network sparsity. A community-detection algorithm, blinded to child adversity, grouped youth exposed to heightened violence based only on patterns of rsFC. The findings may have implications for understanding how dimensions of adverse childhood experiences impact individualized neural development.


Figure 2: Image representing the average streamlines reaching each voxel with the left (top) and right (bottom) amygdalae as the seed region. This can be thought of as quantifying the connectivity from the seed region. These images are thresholded at 1000 streamlines.
Figure 3: Visual representation of the white matter tracts (gray-white) coming from the left and right amygdalae in our probabilistic tractography analysis. For illustrative purposes, the Brodmann's Area (BA) masks used as targets are superimposed on the brain in different colors: BA10 (green), BA11 (blue), BA25 (yellow), BA47 (red).
Figure 4: Plot illustrating the interaction between childhood violence exposure and social deprivation (ages 3, 5, 9) in predicting the probability of white matter connectivity between the amygdala and orbitofrontal cortex (OFC -Brodmann's Area 47) in the right hemisphere (adolescence). The continuous moderator (social deprivation) has been plotted at a +/-1 standard deviation (SD) interval. A Johnson-Neyman interval shows that violence exposure and white matter connectivity are significantly, inversely correlated when social deprivation = 0.78 and greater. The range of social deprivation values (zero-centered where 0 is the mean) in the data are [-0.76 2.67]. This figure illustrates that at relatively high values of social deprivation, violence exposure and likelihood of amygdala-OFC connectivity are negatively correlated.
Childhood violence exposure and social deprivation predict adolescent amygdala-orbitofrontal cortex white matter connectivity

August 2020

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149 Reads

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22 Citations

Developmental Cognitive Neuroscience

Childhood adversity is heterogeneous with potentially distinct dimensions of violence exposure and social deprivation. These dimensions may differentially shape emotion-based neural circuitry, such as amygdala–PFC white matter connectivity. Amygdala–orbitofrontal cortex (OFC) white matter connectivity has been linked to regulation of the amygdala’s response to emotional stimuli. Using a preregistered analysis plan, we prospectively examined the effects of childhood exposure to two dimensions of adversity, violence exposure and social deprivation, on the adolescent amygdala–PFC white matter connectivity. We also reproduced the negative correlation between amygdala–PFC white matter connectivity and amygdala activation to threat faces. 183 15-17-year-olds were recruited from the Fragile Families and Child Wellbeing Study — a longitudinal, birth cohort, sample of predominantly low-income youth. Probabilistic tractography revealed that childhood violence exposure and social deprivation interacted to predict the probability of adolescent right hemisphere amygdala–OFC white matter connectivity. High violence exposure with high social deprivation related to less amygdala–OFC white matter connectivity. Violence exposure was not associated with white matter connectivity when social deprivation was at mean or low levels (i.e., relatively socially supportive contexts). Therefore, social deprivation may exacerbate the effects of childhood violence exposure on the development of white matter connections involved in emotion processing and regulation. Conversely, social support may buffer against them.


Childhood violence exposure and social deprivation predict adolescent amygdala-orbitofrontal cortex white matter connectivity

July 2020

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109 Reads

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13 Citations

Developmental Cognitive Neuroscience

Childhood adversity is heterogeneous with potentially distinct dimensions of violence exposure and social deprivation. These dimensions may differentially shape emotion-based neural circuitry, such as amygdala–PFC white matter connectivity. Amygdala–orbitofrontal cortex (OFC) white matter connectivity has been linked to regulation of the amygdala’s response to emotional stimuli. Using a preregistered analysis plan, we prospectively examined the effects of childhood exposure to two dimensions of adversity, violence exposure and social deprivation, on the adolescent amygdala–PFC white matter connectivity. We also reproduced the negative correlation between amygdala–PFC white matter connectivity and amygdala activation to threat faces. 183 15-17-year-olds were recruited from the Fragile Families and Child Wellbeing Study — a longitudinal, birth cohort, sample of predominantly low-income youth. Probabilistic tractography revealed that childhood violence exposure and social deprivation interacted to predict the probability of adolescent right hemisphere amygdala–OFC white matter connectivity. High violence exposure with high social deprivation related to less amygdala–OFC white matter connectivity. Violence exposure was not associated with white matter connectivity when social deprivation was at mean or low levels (i.e., relatively socially supportive contexts). Therefore, social deprivation may exacerbate the effects of childhood violence exposure on the development of white matter connections involved in emotion processing and regulation. Conversely, social support may buffer against them.


Unpacking the Drivers of Racial Disparities in School Suspension and Expulsion

June 2020

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40 Reads

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144 Citations

Social Forces

School suspension and expulsion are important forms of punishment that disproportionately affect Black students, with long-term consequences for educational attainment and other indicators of wellbeing. Prior research identifies three mechanisms that help account for racial disparities in suspension and expulsion: between-school sorting, differences in student behaviors, and differences in the treatment and support of students with similar behaviors. We extend this literature by (1) comparing the contributions of these three mechanisms in a single study, (2) assessing behavior and school composition when children enter kindergarten and before most are exposed to school discipline, and (3) using both teacher and parent reports of student behaviors. Decomposition analyses reveal that differential treatment and support account for 46 percent of the Black/White gap in suspension/expulsion, while between-school sorting and differences in behavior account for 21 percent and 9 percent of the gap respectively. Results are similar for boys and girls and robust to the use of school fixed effects and measures of school composition and student behavior at ages 5 and 9. Theoretically, our findings highlight differential treatment/support after children enter school as an important but understudied mechanism in the early criminalization of Black students.


Government Assistance Protects Low‐Income Families from Eviction

June 2020

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67 Reads

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25 Citations

Journal of Policy Analysis and Management

A lack of affordable housing is a pressing issue for many low‐income American families and can lead to eviction from their homes. Housing assistance programs to address this problem include public housing and other assistance, including vouchers, through which a government agency offsets the cost of private market housing. This paper assesses whether the receipt of either category of assistance reduces the probability that a family will be evicted from their home in the subsequent six years. Because no randomized trial has assessed these effects, we use observational data and formalize the conditions under which a causal interpretation is warranted. Families living in public housing experience less eviction conditional on pre‐treatment variables. We argue that this evidence points toward a causal conclusion that assistance, particularly public housing, protects families from eviction.


Figure 2. Neighborhood disadvantage in early childhood is associated with greater amygdala reactivity to neutral faces in two independent samples Note. (a) Pit Mother & Child Project; right amygdala (x,y,z) = (26,−4,−14), extent threshold t = 3.56, cluster size k = 81. (b) Study of Adolescent Neurodevelopment; right amygdala (x,y,z) = (22,−4,−18), extent threshold t = 2.91, cluster size k = 36. In both samples, the depicted associations account for family-level adversities during the same developmental period.
Figure 3. Neighborhood disadvantage in adolescence is associated with less superior medial frontal gyrus reactivity to neutral faces in the Study of Adolescent Neurodevelopment Note. Left superior medial frontal gyrus (x,y,z) = (−10, 38, 30), extent threshold t = 3.81, cluster size k = 484. The depicted association accounts for family-level adversities during the same developmental period and neighborhood disadvantage during early childhood. Results were unchanged when the outliers shown in the top left and bottom right quadrants of the figure were removed.
Beyond family‐level adversities: Exploring the developmental timing of neighborhood disadvantage effects on the brain

May 2020

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134 Reads

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72 Citations

Developmental Science

A growing literature suggests that adversity is associated with later altered brain function, particularly within the corticolimbic system that supports emotion processing and salience detection (e.g., amygdala, prefrontal cortex). Although neighborhood socioeconomic disadvantage has been shown to predict maladaptive behavioral outcomes, particularly for boys, most of the research linking adversity to corticolimbic function has focused on family‐level adversities. Moreover, though animal models and studies of normative brain development suggest that there may be sensitive periods during which adversity exerts stronger effects on corticolimbic development, little prospective evidence exists in humans. Using two low‐income samples of boys (n = 167; n = 77), Census‐derived neighborhood disadvantage during early childhood, but not adolescence, was uniquely associated with greater amygdala, but not prefrontal cortex, reactivity to ambiguous neutral faces in adolescence and young adulthood. These associations remained after accounting for several family‐level adversities (e.g., low family income, harsh parenting), highlighting the independent and developmentally‐specific neural effects of the neighborhood context. Furthermore, in both samples, indicators measuring income and poverty status of neighbors were predictive of amygdala function, suggesting that neighborhood economic resources may be critical to brain development.


Citations (15)


... However, efforts to examine interactions across systems in research on antisocial behavior have largely taken a variable-centered approach (Estrada et al., 2020;Gard et al., 2022). Specifically, researchers typically use regression with interaction terms to examine how the combination of variables relates to antisocial behavior. ...

Reference:

Person-Centered Combinations of Individual, Familial, Neighborhood, and Structural Risk Factors Differentially Relate to Antisocial Behavior and Psychopathology
Deadly Gun Violence, Neighborhood Collective Efficacy, and Adolescent Neurobehavioral Outcomes

PNAS Nexus

... Material hardship linked to poverty may lead to different amygdala-prefrontal cortex connectivity in late infancy, and leads to reduced amygdala-orbitofrontal cortex connections in adolescents, also related to anxiety and depression, indicating some preferential windows of plasticity for targeted supporting interventions (Hardi et al., 2022). ...

Differential Developmental Associations of Material Hardship Exposure and Adolescent Amygdala–Prefrontal Cortex White Matter Connectivity

... In collaboration with the FFCWS, the Study of Adolescent Neural Development (SAND first wave; N = 237) followed up with the subsample of the cohort at age 15-17 (mean age 15.8) from 2014 to 2017 and subsequently at age 21-24 between 2019 to present (now called the Study of Adolescent to Adult Neural Development; SAND second wave; ~N = 500). The first wave of SAND (mean age 15.8) collected MRI data from a subsample of youth and parents from nearby cities (Detroit, Toledo, Chicago) (Gard et al., 2021;Goetschius et al., 2019;Hein et al., 2020). Additionally, extensive surveys, clinical interviews, discussion tasks, and biological measures (e.g., hair, saliva) were collected (Doom et al., 2022;Guzman et al., 2024;Hardi et al., 2024;Hein et al., 2020;Peckins et al., 2020). ...

Childhood Violence Exposure and Social Deprivation are Linked to Adolescent Threat and Reward Neural Function

Social Cognitive and Affective Neuroscience

... Individual-level explanations attempt to identify reasons for the disparate discipline rates of Black students compared to non-Black students. The theory of differential behavior, which suggests that Black students are more misbehaved than their non-Black peers, has been rejected by empirical evidence: Black students are not consistently and significantly more misbehaved than white students such that disparities in discipline can be explained by behavior (Owens & McLanahan, 2020;Skiba et al., 2011). Other individual-level explanations of disciplinary disparities have received more empirical support, with two of the most common being implicit bias and the cultural mismatch hypothesis. ...

Unpacking the Drivers of Racial Disparities in School Suspension and Expulsion
  • Citing Article
  • June 2020

Social Forces

... Finally, the present study indicated that the GMV of the right calcarine cortex partially mediated the relationship between childhood maltreatment and psychological resilience. Previous studies have found that stressful events, such as childhood maltreatment, may cause structural and functional changes in the brain, affecting the thinking and behavior patterns of individuals [49,50]. Psychological resilience is a dynamic and multidimensional process that varies with GMV and cortical thickness through brain development [51]. ...

Association of Childhood Violence Exposure With Adolescent Neural Network Density

JAMA Network Open

... Different dimensions of adversity may be interactively associated with neurodevelopment and psychopathology. For example, social deprivation exacerbated the effects of childhood violence exposure on the development of amygdala-orbitofrontal cortex white matter connections (Goetschius et al., 2020). To our best knowledge, however, limited studies have examined the interactive effects of unpredictability and other dimensions of adversity on psychopathology and the neural underpinnings, hindering our understanding of the conditions under which unpredictability may have an impact. ...

Childhood violence exposure and social deprivation predict adolescent amygdala-orbitofrontal cortex white matter connectivity

Developmental Cognitive Neuroscience

... A major contributor to these health conditions may be the biological cascade of high allostatic load (Rogosch et al., 2011), including cortisol production, brain development, and connectivity in various regions (Aiyer et al., 2014;Cará et al., 2019;Demir-Lira et al., 2016;Goetschius et al., 2020;Peckins et al., 2012). There is some work suggesting that allostatic load leads to chronic inflammation of the neuroimmune network which could lead to both physical and mental health outcomes (Nusslock & Miller, 2016). ...

Childhood violence exposure and social deprivation predict adolescent amygdala-orbitofrontal cortex white matter connectivity

Developmental Cognitive Neuroscience

... Marcal (2022), for example, finds that housing affordability protects against child maltreatment. Another group of studies has evaluated the effects of housing assistance policies and programmes, such as public housing and rental assistance, on various outcomes for families and communities who experience housing insecurity (Denary et al. 2023;Fenelon et al. 2023;Kim et al. 2017;Lundberg et al. 2021). Denary et al. (2023), for instance, found that low-income tenants who receive rental assistance are less likely to experience food insecurity. ...

Government Assistance Protects Low‐Income Families from Eviction
  • Citing Article
  • June 2020

Journal of Policy Analysis and Management

... A growing body of research using non-invasive MRI has revealed associations between SES with both brain structure and function [2,[9][10][11][12][13][14][15][16][17][18][19][20][21][22]. Socioeconomic backgrounds-such as family income, parental education, and neighborhood conditions-are related to hippocampal volume [9][10][11], as well as cortical volume, thickness, and surface area across broad regions of the frontal, parietal, and temporal cortices [2,9,[11][12][13][14]. ...

Beyond family‐level adversities: Exploring the developmental timing of neighborhood disadvantage effects on the brain

Developmental Science

... This limitation may be influenced by various factors, including dataset characteristics, as discussed in subsequent sections. Notably, this aligns with findings from Lundberg et al. [2024] and Salganik et al. [2020], which highlight that even advanced models may struggle to explain the variability in subjective outcomes due to irreducible error 32,33 . While our findings emphasise the need for further improvements in predictive modelling, they also underscore the fundamental limits of explainability for subjective and multidimensional outcomes due to the complex and dynamic nature of human lives. ...

Measuring the predictability of life outcomes with a scientific mass collaboration

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences