Sara Kazemian’s research while affiliated with University of California, Berkeley and other places

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Publications (6)


Social Status and Gendered Pathways to Citizenship
  • Article

January 2023

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55 Reads

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2 Citations

International Migration Review

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Sara Kazemian

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Audie Klotz

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Marisella Rodriguez

Despite decades of research on naturalization, the relationship between gender and the decision to naturalize is under-theorized. Given that women's lived experiences of migration are distinctive from those of men, we ask whether and how gender plays into immigrants’ naturalization decisions. We explore gendered migration trajectories by incorporating Michael Piore's concept of social status as an additional rationale for naturalization. To better understand immigrants’ naturalization decisions, our research leverages semi-structured interviews conducted in 2018 with immigrants residing in California to illuminate gendered decision-making processes that underpin naturalization choices. We find that naturalization is conditioned by gender when women's status in the origin country differs from their status in the destination country. Where women's rights are less extensive in origin countries, we find that both genders value citizenship in the destination country but for different reasons. Women respondents who enjoyed enhanced status in the destination country valued citizenship because it secured their ability to remain in the destination country, while retaining their ability to visit friends and care for family in their origin country. By contrast, men respondents who lost status in the destination country planned return to their origin country to regain their societal position but valued the destination-country passport as a status symbol in their origin country and because the passport provided enhanced mobility and economic opportunities in the global economy. Where status differences between the origin and destination countries were minimal, gender was not a significant factor in naturalization decisions. We point to a fruitful extension of the research agenda on naturalization by incorporating a theoretical framework that acknowledges gendered migration and naturalization trajectories.


Correction: Nail in the Coffin or Lifeline? Evaluating the Electoral Impact of COVID-19 on President Trump in the 2020 Election
  • Article
  • Publisher preview available

December 2022

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9 Reads

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2 Citations

Political Behavior

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Sharif Amlani

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Samuel Collitt

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[...]

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Sara Kazemian

[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1007/s11109-022-09826-x.].

View access options

Δ\documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$$\Delta $$\end{document} Change in county-level support for president trump during the 2020 election
COVID-19 severity across U.S. counties
County COVID-19 severity & change in GOP presidential electoral support. Estimates articulating the relationship between county COVID-19 severity and change in electoral support for President Trump in Fig. 3 are derived from full models specified with demographic and partisan control covariates. Coefficients significant at the 95% confidence level labelled
Relationship between public health concern & political support for president Trump. The discrete marginal effects articulated in Fig. 4 specified with 90% and 95% confidence intervals from district-clustered robust standard errors. Darker shaded point estimates significant at ρ<0.10\documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$$\rho < 0.10$$\end{document}. Models control for local COVID-19 context, education, race, gender, ideology, economic evaluations, COVID-19 infection proximity, and age. Δ\documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$$\Delta $$\end{document} change in electoral choice models also control for change in partisanship and 2016 Republican presidential vote. Fig. 4 articulates N = 8 unified baseline additive models (one for each panel wave-outcome variable interest articulated in the panel) 8 unified interactive models (one for each panel wave-outcome variable interest articulated in the panel) for a total of N = 16 models. Heterogeneous effects of attitudes across partisanship estimated from multiplicative model interacting context and partisanship. All models fitted with wave-specific survey weights
Relationship Between Local Severity Context & COVID-19 Attitudes. The minimum-maximum first difference marginal effects articulated in Fig. 5 specified with 90% and 95% confidence intervals from district-clustered robust standard errors. Darker shaded point estimates significant at ρ<0.10\documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$$\rho < 0.10$$\end{document}. Models control for education, race, gender, ideology, economic evaluations, COVID-19 infection proximity, and age. Figure articulates N = 4 unified baseline additive models (two per panel wave x two outcome variables of interest) 4 unified interactive models (two per panel wave x two outcome variables of interest) for a total of N = 8 models. Heterogeneous effects of local context on attitudes estimated from multiplicative model interacting context and partisanship. All models fitted with wave-specific survey weights

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Nail in the Coffin or Lifeline? Evaluating the Electoral Impact of COVID-19 on President Trump in the 2020 Election

October 2022

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70 Reads

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11 Citations

Political Behavior

From the onset of the first confirmed case of COVID-19 in January 2020 to Election Day in November, the United States experienced over 9,400,000 cases and 232,000 deaths. This crisis largely defined the campaign between former Vice President Joe Biden and President Donald Trump, centering on the Trump administration's efforts in mitigating the number of cases and deaths. While conventional wisdom suggested that Trump and his party would lose support due to the severity of COVID-19 across the country, such an effect is hotly debated empirically and theoretically. In this research, we evaluate the extent to which the severity of the COVID-19 pandemic influenced support for President Trump in the 2020 election. Across differing modeling strategies and a variety of data sources, we find evidence that President Trump gained support in counties with higher COVID-19 deaths. We provide an explanation for this finding by showing that voters concerned about the economic impacts of pandemic-related restrictions on activity were more likely to support Trump and that local COVID-19 severity was predictive of these economic concerns. While COVID-19 likely contributed to Trump's loss in 2020, our analysis demonstrates that he gained support among voters in localities worst affected by the pandemic. Supplementary information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11109-022-09826-x.


Map and table of states that conducted COVID-19 lotteries
Selected observed and synthetic vaccination rate trend lines by state
A: California (May 27th) B: Michigan (June 30th) C: Maine (June 16th) D: Washington (June 3rd) E: Ohio (May 12th) F: New Mexico (June 1st).
TADD estimated effects of lotteries on vaccination rates by state and 2020 Biden vote-share
A: First-Dose B: Complete.
TADD explanatory regression results (first-dose)
TADD explanatory regression results (complete)
Assessing the effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccine lotteries: A cross-state synthetic control methods approach

September 2022

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73 Reads

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6 Citations

Vaccines are the most effective means at combating sickness and death caused by COVID-19. Yet, there are significant populations within the United States who are vaccine-hesitant, some due to ideological or pseudo-scientific motivations, others due to significant perceived and real costs from vaccination. Given this vaccine hesitancy, twenty state governors from May 12th to July 21st 2021 implemented some form of vaccination lottery aiming to increase low vaccination rates. In the aftermath of these programs, however, the critical question of whether these lotteries had a direct effect on vaccination remains. Previous literature on financial incentives for public health behaviors is consistent: Financial incentives significantly increase incentivized behaviors. Yet, work done specifically on state vaccine lotteries is both limited in scope and mixed in its conclusions. To help fill this gap in the literature, we use synthetic control methods to analyze all 20 states and causally identify, for eighteen states, the effects of their lotteries on both first-dose and complete vaccination rates. Within those eighteen states, we find strong evidence that all but three states’ lotteries had positive effects on first-dose vaccination. We find for complete vaccinations, however, over half the states analyzed had negative or null effects. We explore possibilities related to these mixed results including the states’ overall partisanship, vaccine hesitancy, and the size of their lotteries finding null effects for each of these explanations. Therefore, we conclude that the design of these programs is likely to blame: Every state lottery only incentivized first-doses with no additional or contingent incentive based on a second dose. Our findings suggest that the design of financial incentives is critical to their success, or failure, but generally, these programs can induce an uptake in vaccination across diverse demographic, ideological, and geographic contexts in the United States.


The role of race and scientific trust on support for COVID-19 social distancing measures in the United States

July 2021

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63 Reads

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36 Citations

Pundits and academics across disciplines note that the human toll brought forth by the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic in the United States (U.S.) is fundamentally unequal for communities of color. Standing literature on public health posits that one of the chief predictors of racial disparity in health outcomes is a lack of institutional trust among minority communities. Furthermore, in our own county-level analysis from the U.S., we find that counties with higher percentages of Black and Hispanic residents have had vastly higher cumulative deaths from COVID-19. In light of this standing literature and our own analysis, it is critical to better understand how to mitigate or prevent these unequal outcomes for any future pandemic or public health emergency. Therefore, we assess the claim that raising institutional trust, primarily scientific trust, is key to mitigating these racial inequities. Leveraging a new, pre-pandemic measure of scientific trust, we find that trust in science, unlike trust in politicians or the media, significantly raises support for COVID-19 social distancing policies across racial lines. Our findings suggest that increasing scientific trust is essential to garnering support for public health policies that lessen the severity of the current, and potentially a future, pandemic.


The Interactive Effects of Scientific Knowledge and Gender on COVID‐19 Social Distancing Compliance

December 2020

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26 Reads

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27 Citations

Social Science Quarterly

Objective In this research note, we examine the role scientific knowledge and gender plays in citizen responses to governmental social distancing recommendations. Methods Using two waves of the American Trends Panel Survey and a measure of latent scientific knowledge, we test whether scientific knowledge is associated with comfort in participating in social activities during the COVID‐19 pandemic within both the full U.S. population and the two major political parties. Results In both the general population and within the Democratic Party, we find that women are generally more likely to use their scientific knowledge to inform their level of comfort with social activities during the COVID‐19 pandemic. Conclusion These findings shed light on how knowledge and gender intersect to drive compliance with government recommendations and policies during a public health crisis in a deeply partisan America.

Citations (6)


... As several scholars showed, there is no straightforward correspondence between formal citizenship and perceived position in the national hierarchy of belonging. The latter is rather shaped by factors, such as race and gender, that extend well beyond the new legal status of citizens (Bivand Erdal, Doeland, and Tellander 2018;Money et al. 2023). Emotional attachment and subjective meanings turned into a key perspective for research on migrants' integration (Boccagni and Baldassar 2015;Godin and Sigona 2022). ...

Reference:

The citizenship-integration nexus from below: migrants’ understanding of citizenship acquisition as a pathway to integration in Italy and Spain
Social Status and Gendered Pathways to Citizenship
  • Citing Article
  • January 2023

International Migration Review

... In addition to the pandemic, other elements such as the economic impact of COVID-19, social unrest, and Trump's overall governance style also contributed to the election's outcome. Algara et al. (2022) and Mendoza Aviña and Sevi (2021) highlight that these factors, combined with the public health crisis, created a unique electoral environment where traditional incumbent advantages were overshadowed. ...

Correction: Nail in the Coffin or Lifeline? Evaluating the Electoral Impact of COVID-19 on President Trump in the 2020 Election

Political Behavior

... No conclusion is made concerning whether this effect cost Trump the election. Algara et al. (2022) find, perhaps counterintuitively, that Trump gained support in counties with higher rates of COVID deaths. The authors believe this result shows that in these counties, the voters were concerned their locale would suffer from a greater economic loss from COVID and that this concern translated into support for Trump as the candidate who was more likely to keep markets open and the economy growing. ...

Nail in the Coffin or Lifeline? Evaluating the Electoral Impact of COVID-19 on President Trump in the 2020 Election

Political Behavior

... In the case of the COVID-19 vaccine, this type of incentive was shown to backfire, particularly if the offered compensation was too low (Serra-Garcia & Szech, 2023). In contrast, the small chance of a large real-world financial gain, such as the vaccine lotteries carried out in many US states in 2021, did boost first-dose uptake, but had no or even negative effects on complete vaccinations, as the incentive applied only to getting the first dose (Fuller et al., 2022). ...

Assessing the effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccine lotteries: A cross-state synthetic control methods approach

... Within these communities, prevalent miscommunication during the COVID-19 pandemic has been largely attributed to a decline in trust and credibility towards government authorities [18]. Such a deficiency in institutional trust has been notably prevalent and has contributed to racial disparities in health outcomes [19]. ...

The role of race and scientific trust on support for COVID-19 social distancing measures in the United States

... Previous relevant studies also indicate that responses are influenced by the respondent's gender. For example, research conducted by Algara, Fuller, Hare, and Kazemian (2021) showed that knowledge is significantly related to gender. Moreover, confidence and aspirations in science learning are significantly influenced by gender (Kang, Keinonen, & Salonen, 2021). ...

The Interactive Effects of Scientific Knowledge and Gender on COVID‐19 Social Distancing Compliance
  • Citing Article
  • December 2020

Social Science Quarterly