Ryan Julien’s research while affiliated with Michigan State University and other places

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Publications (9)


Modeling water age in a full‐scale residential plumbing system
  • Article

June 2023

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53 Reads

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4 Citations

AWWA Water Science

Ryan Julien

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Maria Palmegiani

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The residence time of water in residential building water systems is a critical factor regarding water quality at end use. Published literature has highlighted the importance of water age in these systems and its relationship with pathogenic bacteria such as Legionella pneumophila . However, tools to measure water age in such plumbing systems are typically repurposed from other applications and include limitations that make them inappropriate for some plumbing systems. This work presents a novel means of estimating water age by assuming these systems operate without mixing. Data for this study was collected from a full‐scale home equipped with an extensive array of flow meters to monitor water use. Further, 408 individual water quality samples were collected to ascertain water quality changes that take place in the plumbing. Model results show weak correlation with EPANET 2.2 ( ρ = 0.666), a commonly used hydraulic modeling software. The results of the water age model were also evaluated with several variable selection tools. These analyses indicate that this method's water age results are a statistically significant ( p < .05) predictor of Legionella concentrations. Model results from this approach could be used in plumbing design and/or operation to assist in managing Legionella risks.




Figure 1 | A single iteration for the machine learning process, with metrics of amplitude (m 1 ) and duration (m 2 ). This process is repeated one time for every combination of predictors and metrics.
Figure 2 | Sample of the complete PCA hydrograph composed of all available predictors.
Figure 3 | The ReNEWW house plumbing, sensing, and data acquisition systems.
Figure 4 | Pareto optimal configurations of the machine learning problem.
Figure 5 | Training and testing error of optimal solutions.

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A machine learning framework for predicting downstream water end-use events with upstream sensors
  • Article
  • Full-text available

June 2022

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69 Reads

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2 Citations

Water Science & Technology Water Supply

Understanding the end-use of water is essential to a plethora of critical research in premise plumbing. However, direct access to end-use data through physical sensors is prohibitively expensive for most researchers, building owners, operators, and practitioners. Therefore, machine learning models can alleviate these costs by predicting downstream end-use events (e.g., sink, shower, dishwasher, and washing machine) via an affordable subset of upstream sensors. Choosing which upstream sensors, as well as data preprocessing methods, are best for machine learning has historically been a manual process. This paper proposes a novel approach to systematically configure the machine platform automatically. The optima were determined through a Pareto analysis of the exhaustive combinations of upstream predictors and preprocessing methods. The model was trained and validated with real-world data obtained from a house that has been extensively monitored for over a year. Results from the analysis suggested that downstream events can be effectively predicted with minimum overfitting error for most categories, using as few as two to four upstream sensors. This study automatically implemented highly accurate machine learning models to predict downstream features within premise plumbing systems, significantly lowering the costs of researching residential plumbing best practices such as water conservation. HIGHLIGHTS Physical end-use monitoring is prohibitively expensive for most practitioners.; Machine learning is a viable method of lowering the cost of end-use categorization.; Here we proposed a novel approach to systematically configure the machine platform automatically.; Effective end-use prediction is possible with a small subset of upstream features.;

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Identifying water quality variables most strongly influencing Legionella concentrations in building plumbing

February 2022

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33 Reads

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9 Citations

AWWA Water Science

Opportunistic pathogens, such as several species of Legionella, are a growing concern globally. This is especially true in building plumbing. Plumbing design guidance has not been updated to reflect changes in use, leading to increased hydraulic retention time and exacerbating pathogen risks. While the effects of several water quality variables on Legionella spp. concentrations are well‐studied at bench‐scale, little is known about the strength of, or interactions between, these relationships in full‐scale plumbing. The influence of water quality variables and water use metrics on Legionella spp. concentrations was evaluated with several statistical tools from a data‐driven perspective. The results add to the weight of evidence required to develop systematic risk management strategies like monitoring. Variables related to Legionella and logistically more feasible to measure in full scale buildings, such as dissolved oxygen, heterotrophic plate count, total organic carbon, and water age, were identified.


Drinking water microbiology in a water-efficient building: Stagnation, seasonality, and physiochemical effects on opportunistic pathogen and total bacteria proliferation

August 2020

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154 Reads

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66 Citations

Environmental Science: Water Research & Technology

The rising trend in water conservation awareness has given rise to the use of water-efficient appliances and fixtures for residential potable water systems. This study characterizes the microbial dynamics at a water-efficient residential building over the course of one year (58 sampling events) and examines the effects of water stagnation, season, and changes in physicochemical properties on the occurrence of opportunistic pathogen markers. Mean heterotrophic plate counts (HPC) were typically lowest upon entering the building at the service line, but increased by several orders of magnitude at the furthest location in the building plumbing. Legionella spp. and Mycobacterium spp. were detected in the plumbing, with the highest detection occurring in the summer months. Log-transformed HPC were significantly correlated with total cell counts (TCC) (rs = 0.714, p<0.01), Legionella spp. (rs = 0.534, p<0.01), and Mycobacterium spp. occurrence (rs= 0.458, p<0.01). Reduced water usage induced longer stagnation times and longer stagnation times were correlated with an increase in Legionella spp. (rs = 0.356, p<0.001), Mycobacterium spp. (rs = 0.287, p<0.001), TCC (rs = 0.216, p<0.001) and HPC (rs = 0.395 , p<0.001). Interrelationships between seasonal shifts in water chemistry and genus-level genetic markers for opportunistic pathogens were revealed. This study highlights how drinking water microbiology varies seasonally and spatially throughout a low-flow plumbing building and highlights the possible unintended consequences associated with increases in stagnation time.


Impacts of Municipal Water-Rainwater Source Transitions on Microbial and Chemical Water Quality Dynamics at the Tap

August 2020

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44 Reads

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11 Citations

Environmental Science and Technology

When rainwater harvesting is utilized as an alternative water resource in buildings, a combination of municipal water and rainwater is typically required to meet water demands. Altering source water chemistry can disrupt pipe scale and biofilm and negatively impact water quality at the distribution level. Still, it is unknown if similar reactions occur within building plumbing following a transition in source water quality. The study goal was to investigate changes in water chemistry and microbiology at a green building following a transition between municipal water and rainwater. We monitored the water chemistry (metals, alkalinity, disinfectant byproducts and microbiology (total cell counts, plate counts, and opportunistic pathogen gene markers) throughout two source water transitions. Several constituents including alkalinity and disinfectant byproducts served as indicators of municipal water remaining in the system since the rainwater source does not contain these constituents. In the treated rainwater, microbial proliferation, and Legionella spp. gene copy numbers were often three logs higher than in the municipal water. Due to differences in source water chemistry, rainwater and municipal water uniquely interacted with building plumbing and generated distinctively different drinking water chemical and microbial quality profiles.


Knowledge gaps and risks associated with premise plumbing drinking water quality

May 2020

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260 Reads

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38 Citations

American Water Works Association

Sustainability, water conservation, water efficiency, and green infrastructure have led to significant decreases in the quantity of water used in buildings. In addition, changes in water usage, building design, plumbing material selection, and high‐efficiency fixtures contribute to water age and potential chemical and microbiological contamination. Through a literature review and stakeholder workshop with representatives from the public and private sectors, this article explores the current state of the science on plumbing safety. Results indicate that links between water usage, design, and material selection and water quality must be established with data‐driven methods to support risk assessment and risk management decisions. Of particular interest is a better understanding of the contribution of water usage and piping materials to the proliferation of opportunistic pathogens. This article will help further efforts to evaluate these pathogenic risks, a critical need as drinking water regulations have primarily focused on exposure through ingestion.


An investigation of spatial and temporal drinking water quality variation in green residential plumbing

November 2019

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161 Reads

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66 Citations

Building and Environment

Drinking water chemical quality can deteriorate after water enters building plumbing. This study aimed to better understand seasonal and spatial water quality differences in a highly monitored net-zero energy residential building. Water flow rate and temperature were monitored for one year at the service line and at every fixture throughout the crosslinked polyethylene plumbing. Discrete water sampling events (58) were conducted at the service line, 1st floor kitchen sink, 2nd floor bathroom sink, the water heater, and 2nd floor shower. More than 2.4 billion online monitoring records were collected for fixture flow and temperature. In-building water stagnation time varied seasonally and across fixtures. Significant spatial and temporal water chemical quality variations were found. Average seasonal variability was found for service line temperature (15–23 °C) for the total chlorine residual (0.4–0.9 mg/L-Cl2), NH3 (<0.01–0.4 mg/L-N), NO3⁻ (0.1–0.8 mg/L-N), and Cu (32–81 μg/L) concentrations. For 10.3% of the discrete water sampling events, service line water did not contain a detectable total chlorine residual. Water pH consistently and significantly increased in the plumbing system from 7.5 to 9.4, and total trihalomethane (TTHM) levels increased up to 89%. The service line total organic carbon level (0.5–0.6 mg/L) was consistent, but much greater in-building variability was found for cold (0.4–61.0 mg/L) and hot water (0.5–4.7 mg/L). Models are needed to predict chemical water quality at the faucet using service line water quality results and plumbing design and operational information. Building water sensor technology innovations are also needed.

Citations (7)


... To facilitate efforts to return to in-person learning, routine screening was proposed to identify infected, asymptomatic individuals and, in combination with other interventions, mitigate the spread of SARS-CoV-2 6 . Many universities developed or implemented screening assays, using a variety of sample types (saliva vs nasal swabs), sample processing (minimal vs RNA extraction), efficiency strategies (pooled vs unpooled), and platforms (qPCR, RT-LAMP, antigen tests), although the majority relied on qPCR [7][8][9][10][11][12][13][14][15][16][17][18][19][20][21][22] . A recent analysis of 1,400 institutions of higher education (IHE) showed that the success of these screening efforts extended to their housed counties, as those with IHEs that conducted widespread testing had fewer hospitalizations and deaths 23 . ...

Reference:

A multiplexed, paired-pooled droplet digital PCR assay for detection of SARS-CoV-2 in saliva
Large-Scale SARS-CoV-2 Testing Utilizing Saliva and Transposition Sample Pooling
  • Citing Article
  • June 2022

Journal of Visualized Experiments

... Invasive measurement involves installing sensors on individual water-consuming devices, such as washing machines and showerheads, and is commonly used for water-consumption behavior classification. For instance, one study installed 92 flow sensors in a household to record second-by-second readings of the sensors (i.e., the temporal resolution is 1 s) (Kropp et al., 2022). Yet, invasive measurement has high costs and privacy concern (Attallah et al., 2021;Heydari et al., 2022;Kropp et al., 2022;Mazzoni et al., 2023;Meyer et al., 2021;Nguyen et al., 2015). ...

A machine learning framework for predicting downstream water end-use events with upstream sensors

Water Science & Technology Water Supply

... Seasonal increases in chlorine decay also result from elevated water temperatures, particularly during summer in northern regions (Hua et al., 1999), and the interplay between temperature and dissolved organic carbon (Absalan et al., 2024). All these factors are exacerbated in building plumbing systems with extended residence times, intermittent periods of water stagnation, elevated water temperatures (>55 • C) and larger surface-to-volume pipe ratios (Bédard et al., 2018;Julien et al., 2022). The installation of building point of entry treatments (e.g., water softeners, carbon filters, ultra-violet disinfection) can also lower or remove incoming residuals (ASHRAE, 2020). ...

Identifying water quality variables most strongly influencing Legionella concentrations in building plumbing
  • Citing Article
  • February 2022

AWWA Water Science

... Building and engineered water system complexities and variable water use patterns can lead to increased stagnation and water age, which is a contributing factor to the presence and growth of waterborne pathogens. 37,38 One of the simplest and most common methods of removing contaminants is flushing the system. Flushing for these purposes has previously been defined as running water through components to turn over water in building water systems to remove contamination. ...

Drinking water microbiology in a water-efficient building: Stagnation, seasonality, and physiochemical effects on opportunistic pathogen and total bacteria proliferation
  • Citing Article
  • August 2020

Environmental Science: Water Research & Technology

... Heterotrophic bacteria can be found in various environments, including water sources such as drinking water, ballast water, and seawater (2,3). Heterotrophic plate count (HPC) bacteria are commonly used to indicate water quality and the effectiveness of water treatment processes (4). The HPC method involves culturing bacteria on agar plates and counting the number of colonies that form, which estimates the total number of viable bacteria present in a sample. ...

Impacts of Municipal Water-Rainwater Source Transitions on Microbial and Chemical Water Quality Dynamics at the Tap
  • Citing Article
  • August 2020

Environmental Science and Technology

... Increasing water age is associated with greater deviations in water quality from the service line to the tap. As such, stagnation is often considered an indicator of poor water quality [37]. Evaluating these results, it can be said that the RDAP studied complies with the recommended times, being a small network that supplies a small area, it does not present significant problems with the age of the water. ...

Knowledge gaps and risks associated with premise plumbing drinking water quality
  • Citing Article
  • May 2020

American Water Works Association

... Contaminant reactions may be influenced by temperature (Willey, 2004), water quality (Fadel, 2022;Haupert et al., 2023;Keeley et al., 1988;Whelton et al., 2010) or by pipe properties (Fadel, 2022;Mao et al., 2015;Proctor et al., 2021;Solomon et al., 2021;Whelton et al., 2010) all of which are likely to be impacted when subject to bushfire induced thermal flux Metz et al., 2023;Schulze & Fischer, 2021). For example, temperature has been found to influence contaminant solubility, and rates of permeation, diffusion and desorption in polymeric pipes (Haupert & Magnuson, 2019;Salehi et al., 2020;Whelton et al., 2010). Water quality may influence solubility of contaminants through variation of ionic strength (Keeley et al., 1988;Willey, 2004), pH (Salehi et al., 2020;Whelton et al., 2010) or biological profile. ...

An investigation of spatial and temporal drinking water quality variation in green residential plumbing
  • Citing Article
  • November 2019

Building and Environment