Robert L. Pressey’s research while affiliated with James Cook University and other places

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Publications (82)


Exploring motives for participation in a perpetual easement program: Going beyond financial incentives
  • Article

August 2023

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25 Reads

Biological Conservation

Kaylan M. Kemink

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Robert.L. Pressey

Copy of hierarchical decision tree used by U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service and conservation partners to determine priority of wetland easement requests from 2008 to 2017 where ducks refer to breeding dabbling ducks, small, at‐risk references temporary, seasonal, or <1 acre semi‐permanent wetlands, <25 acres references all other wetlands <25 acres in size, ES stands for endangered species priority, WDP stands for wetland dependent migratory bird priority, Y stands for yes and N for No (modified from U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, 2016)
Map depicting (a) the probability of wetland drainage [P(d)] calculated using size of wetland and surrounding cropland density and (b) the cost of conservation in U.S. dollars per ha modified from Nolte, 2020. The former (map A) represents an average of all years' (2008–2017) probabilities of drainage smoothed using a moving window of 10.36 km² to facilitate viewability as displaying the over 2 million wetlands used in this analysis made mapping an example in a readable manner challenging.
Avoided loss in terms of (a) breeding waterfowl and (b) broods when prioritizing by either breeding waterfowl (black or white bars) or broods (dark gray or light gray). Results from the simulation using the highest drainage rate are shown (1.00%/year). The red line presents the avoided loss in terms of breeding waterfowl (a) and broods (b) for the scheduling strategy that was used on the landscape in the region from 2008 to 2017. This value was calculated using annual abundance layers. Results for the current strategy are not shown for averaged layers as differences between the two are not detectable on the graph
Graph of eight simulations and the remaining USD after the last year (2017). Bars represent which life history stage and strategy was used to prioritize wetlands
The study area within the Prairie Pothole Region of North Dakota, South Dakota and Montana and the wetlands selected for protection based upon a 10‐year simulation using annual layers of breeding waterfowl population abundance and targeting MinLoss of breeding waterfowl numbers (blue) and using annual brood abundance and targeting MinLoss of broods (gold)
Assessing prioritization measures for a private land conservation program in the U.S. Prairie Pothole Region
  • Article
  • Full-text available

April 2023

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62 Reads

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1 Citation

Kaylan M. Kemink

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Robert. L. Pressey

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Randy Renner

Abstract Private land conservation has become an important tool for protecting biodiversity and habitat, but methods for prioritizing and scheduling conservation on private land are still being developed. While return on investment methods have been suggested as a potential path forward, the different processes linking private landscapes to the socioeconomic systems in which they are embedded create unique challenges for scheduling conservation with this approach. We investigated a range of scheduling approaches within a return on investment framework for breeding waterfowl and broods in the Prairie Pothole Region of North Dakota, South Dakota, and Montana. Current conservation targeting for waterfowl in the region focuses mostly on the distribution and abundance of breeding waterfowl. We tested whether MaxGain approaches for waterfowl conservation differed from MinLoss approaches in terms of return on investment and which approach performed best in avoiding loss of waterfowl and broods separately. We also examined variation in results based upon the temporal scale of the abundance layers used for input and compared the region's current scheduling approach with results from our simulations. Our results suggested that MinLoss was the most efficient scheduling approach for both breeding waterfowl and broods and that using just breeding waterfowl to target areas for conservation programs might cause organizations to overlook important areas for broods, particularly over shorter timespans. The higher efficiency of MinLoss approaches in our simulations also indicated that incorporating probability of wetland drainage into decision‐making improved the overall return on investment. We recommend that future conservation scheduling for easements in the region and for private land conservation in general include some form of return on investment or cost‐effective analysis to make conservation more transparent.

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Fig. 2. Variation in value of Polynesian bonefish. (a) A bonefish caught and released by a guided recreational angler (photo by Christopher Wright), and (b) large adult bonefish for sale in South Tarawa, Republic of Kiribati (photo by Quentin Hanich). Variation in value of bonefish, between the catch-and-release recreational fishing industry and market value in areas absent of recreational fisheries represents a disconnect in transferability of incentives to conserve species and habitats.
Habitat-dependent outdoor recreation and conservation organizations can enable recreational fishers to contribute to conservation of coastal marine ecosystems

December 2020

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176 Reads

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18 Citations

Global Ecology and Conservation

Stakeholder engagement is essential to conserve ecosystems and associated biodiversity. Outdoor recreation specialists represent stakeholder groups that often rely on specific healthy ecosystems and have unique incentives to contribute to conservation and stewardship. We introduce the concept of habitat-dependent outdoor recreation conservation organizations (HDORCOs) and their potential to harness outdoor recreation enthusiasm to achieve ecosystem-scale conservation objectives. We identify potential roles for HDORCOs in nurturing pro-environmental attitudes and facilitating stewardship behavior among recreationists, focusing on examples from recreational fishing specialists and coastal marine ecosystems. While HDORCOs have achieved conservation outcomes in a range of settings, transferability across recreational specializations and ecological, cultural, socioeconomic, and governance contexts could remain challenging and potentially requires further development of the HDORCO concept. Communication with HDORCOs is one strategy to enhance engagement of recreationists, stakeholder groups not traditionally associated with pro-environmental behavior, in ecosystem-scale conservation efforts.


Motivations for refraining from contributing expert knowledge to public debate for respondents from universities, government or industry (Q14). Responses indicate the proportion of survey respondents who agreed or strongly agreed that a particular category motivated silence. Error bars indicate 95% confidence limits. Overall p from multivariate analysis <.0001. Univariate p values indicated for each category, testing for difference among workplaces. Detailed responses (from top to bottom) were (1) scientists have no role in making public commentary beyond information provision; (2) concern about how I may be represented by the media; (3) fear about being drawn to comment beyond the boundaries of my expertise; (4) uncertainty about the boundaries of my expertise; (5) I see my primary obligation as being to my organization, rather than to the public; (6) I find it stressful to discuss contentious issues; (7) fear of risk to funding opportunities; (8) fear of being made redundant; (9) fear of reduced opportunities for advancement; (10) workplace colleagues/peer pressure/work culture; (11) workplace policy; (12) middle management; (13) senior management; (14) minister's office (also see Appendix S1). N = 220 for each response
Civic and personal consequences of research suppression for respondents from universities, government, or industry (Q15). Error bars indicate 95% confidence limits. Overall p from multivariate analysis .02. Univariate p values are indicated after each category name, testing for difference among workplaces. Detailed responses (from top to bottom) were
(1) I've never been blocked or refrained from public commentary on an issue about which I am knowledgeable; (2) no consequences; (3) I avoided influencing public debate, which I think was appropriate; (4) personal suffering (e.g., I feel stressed or morally compromised); (5) policy not informed by relevant data; (6) there was insufficient public discourse and debate (e.g., public remained uniformed, public debate dominated by vested interest groups so public misled); (7) policy makers did not have access to relevant information for developing new or updated policies (also see Appendix S1). N = 220 for each response
Key processes and outcomes in suppression of science communication, derived from the literature and survey results (indicated by question number, see Appendix S1). The potential for political or financial gains frequently drives suppression of scientific communication. Science communication can be suppressed by direct or indirect motivators, and these motivators are likely to influence each other. Suppression takes the form of undue modification or complete prohibition of communications, and this leads to three broad outcomes: eroded democratic processes, the failure of science to inform policy, and personal and professional impacts. Poorly informed policy, eroded democratic processes and an unmotivated workforce all result in continuing decline of biodiversity, and biodiversity loss feeds back to further degrade personal well‐being
Consequences of information suppression in ecological and conservation sciences

September 2020

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301 Reads

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33 Citations

Suppressing expert knowledge can hide environmentally damaging practices and policies from public scrutiny. We surveyed ecologists and conservation scientists from universities, government, and industry across Australia to understand the prevalence and consequences of suppressing science communication. Government (34%) and industry (30%) respondents reported higher rates of undue interference by employers than did university respondents (5%). Internal communications (29%) and media (28%) were curtailed most, followed by journal articles (11%), and presentations (12%). When university and industry researchers avoided public commentary, this was mainly for fear of media misrepresentation, while government employees were most often constrained by senior management and workplace policy. One third of respondents reported personal suffering related to suppression, including job losses and deteriorating mental health. Substantial reforms are needed, including to codes of practice, and governance of environmental assessments and research, so that scientific advice can be reported openly, in a timely manner and free from interference.


Workflow of the methods divided into three major phases: (1) species distribution modelling, (2) systematic planning of conservation scenarios, and (3) evaluation of scenarios in 2050. See details in text
Spatial distribution of priority sites and existing protected areas (PAs) in each of the intervention scenarios across the Cerrado biome: a acting now—maximizing representation, b acting now—maximizing conservation impact, c time-step action—maximizing representation and d time-step action—maximizing conservation impact
Evaluating the impact of future actions in minimizing vegetation loss from land conversion in the Brazilian Cerrado under climate change

April 2020

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510 Reads

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28 Citations

Biodiversity and Conservation

The global network of protected areas (PAs) is systematically biased towards remote and unproductive places. Consequently, the processes threatening biodiversity are not halted and conservation impact—defined as the beneficial environmental outcomes arising from protection relative to the counterfactual of no intervention—is smaller than previously thought. Yet, many conservation plans still target species’ representation, which can fail to lead to impact by not considering the threats they face, such as land conversion and climate change. Here we aimed to identify spatial conservation priorities that minimize the risk of land conversion, while retaining sites with high value for threatened plants at risk from climate change in the Brazilian Cerrado. We compared a method of sequential implementation of conservation actions to a static strategy applied at one time-step. For both schedules of conservation actions, we applied two methods for setting priorities: (i) minimizing expected habitat conversion and prioritizing valuable sites for threatened plants (therefore maximizing conservation impact), and (ii) prioritizing sites based only on their value for threatened plants, regardless of their vulnerability to land conversion (therefore maximizing representation). We found that scenarios aimed at maximizing conservation impact reduced total vegetation loss, while still covering large proportions of species’ ranges inside PAs and priority sites. Given that planning to avoid vegetation loss provided these benefits, vegetation information could represent a reliable surrogate for overall biodiversity. Besides allowing for the achievement of two distinct goals (representation and impact), the impact strategies also present great potential for implementation, especially under current conservation policies.


Forecasting conservation impact to pinpoint spatial priorities in the Brazilian Cerrado

December 2019

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114 Reads

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21 Citations

Biological Conservation

Proper assessing the impacts of conservation interventions can create interaction spaces between researcher and implementation. For example, protected areas (PAs) are the main strategy to conserve biodiversity, but there is a widespread bias in their location towards unproductive and inaccessible lands. Thus, investments on PAs are likely to have been allocated to areas that did not need protection, at least in the short term, creating communication noise to the society. Here, we estimate the likely conservation impact of the recently established (2002–2012) PAs and indigenous lands (ILs) in a future scenario of land use projected to 2050. We selected areas that were similar to the PAs/ILs with positive conservation impact to propose spatial priorities aiming to minimize loss of Cerrado vegetation in the future. In our analyses, PAs in general and those of strict protection had significantly lower conversion rates than control areas, while sustainable use PAs and ILs showed no difference between control and protected areas. We did not find differences in impact values between PAs and ILs, but impact values were higher for strict protection than for sustainable use areas. We found a high density of potential priority areas to maximize impact in northern Cerrado. This region is the next agricultural frontier in the biome, having extensive vegetation cover that can be legally converted according to national legislation. By pinpointing conservation priorities based on impact, we can improve the benefit from land protection and increase the space of interactions between science, policymaking and society at large.


Traditional Ecological Knowledge Supports Ecosystem-Based Management in Disturbed Coastal Marine Social-Ecological Systems

September 2019

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382 Reads

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43 Citations

A growing number of studies suggest a participatory ecosystem approach to support decision-making toward resilience and sustainability in social-ecological systems. Social-ecological resilience (SER) principles and practices are recommended to manage natural crises. However, it is necessary to broaden our understanding of SER on human-induced disturbances driven by economic development projects. In this paper we present the social-ecological system of Araçá Bay (Brazil), a small-scale fishery community that has experienced successive disturbances due to development projects since the 1930s. There was a lack of studies about the impacts of development projects in this bay. As part of a major project that aimed to build an ecosystem-based management plan for Araçá Bay through a participatory planning process, we focused on investigating fishers’ traditional ecological knowledge (TEK) to understand Araçá Bay’s small-scale fisheries social-ecological system. The objectives were to: (1) investigate fishers’ TEK regarding management practices and linked social mechanisms, human-induced disturbances and their consequences for the social-ecological system, ecosystem goods and services, and future threats; and (2) provide information based on TEK to the participatory planning process and analyze its contribution to Araçá Bay’s ecosystem-based management plan. Combined methods were used during 3 years of intense research-action (2014–2017): in-depth ethno-oceanographic interviews with expert fishers; monitoring Araçá Bay participatory meetings; and participant observation. Genuine local practices and social mechanisms from traditional culture were recorded, as well as TEK about 57 target fish species and methods to protect habitats and natural resources. Fishers also reported ecosystem disturbances and recovery processes. TEK was codified through SWOT analysis to assist the participatory planning process. Ecosystem services and threats based on TEK were brought to the participatory process, acknowledged by the participants, and incorporated into the management plan. TEK analysis proved to be an important methodology to provide historical environmental data regarding the impacts of development projects and support planning in disturbed ecosystems. In order to support coastal marine ecosystem-based management strategies toward SER and sustainability, researchers and practitioners should consider traditional territories in planning, recognize local practices and social mechanisms, and consider TEK on ecosystem goods and services and on historical human-induced disturbances.


The residual nature of protected areas in Brazil

March 2019

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331 Reads

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124 Citations

Biological Conservation

In recent decades, the number and extent of protected areas (PAs) have increased, covering >10% of the Earth. However, protection tends to be residual because PAs have been consistently established on marginal lands that minimize costs and conflicts with extractive uses instead of focusing on places important to biodiversity. Here, we provide a panorama of the current network of PAs in Brazil, examine the biases of protection in relation to slope and land use intensity, and determine whether biases vary between biomes. We measured protection bias by accounting for differences between PAs and the municipalities in which they were established, indicating the direction and strength of bias. Brazil has 18% of its land under protection, but 70% of this is in the Amazon. Brazil's other biomes hardly reach 10% of their territories under protection and have strong protection bias. Generally, PAs are strongly biased towards lands with low intensity of use before they were established compared to their background landscapes. There was a small bias towards high slope, but most PAs had the same slope profile as their background landscapes. Trusting percentages of area under protection as a measure of conservation success risks misdirecting conservation actions to areas of lower biological importance and lower threat. To promote effective conservation actions more evidence-informed strategies should be used, based on appropriate ecological criteria and explicit objectives that allow us to measure the likely conservation impacts.


Modelling the spread and control of cherry guava on Lord Howe Island

November 2018

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60 Reads

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5 Citations

Biological Conservation

Effectively controlling invasive species on islands is a critical aspect of global conservation. Having the potential to outcompete or consume native species, it is particularly important to remove them from islands harbouring unique flora and fauna. Lord Howe Island, a World Heritage listed area to the east of the Australian mainland, is in the midst of a long-term weed management project, where the most prolific invasive species is cherry guava, with over 700,000 plants removed so far. In such projects, it is critical to have a good understanding of the invasion dynamics and removal process to have reliable estimates of project timeline and success, and to ensure the best removal strategies are being utilised. In this paper we model cherry guava growth, spread and removal on Lord Howe Island, fitting our model to 12 years of removal data. Our mean estimate is that there are 102,091 plants remaining on the island, which will take approximately 25 years to remove at current levels of eradication effort. Altering the strategy to search every year, rather than biennially, reduces the eradication time to 20 years, which falls within the project target, while also decreasing the total search effort. However, simply increasing search effort to finish faster actually increases the total eradication effort. This shows that the benefits of making careful adjustments to a strategy can far out-weight the benefit of simply investing more money into control. This project exemplifies how high-quality removal record-keeping can be used to generate models that provide important long-term forecasts of project success and suggest effective strategic improvements.



Citations (57)


... While settling patterns of waterfowl alone demonstrated to be an inefficient strategy for a more holistic conservation approach in this landscape, the inclusion of measures of productivity have promise for more representative conservation of upland habitats and effective strategy for waterfowl. Emerging models that take advantage of more recent data and system dynamics offer one path forward for more efficient conservation design for waterfowl (Kemink et al., 2021(Kemink et al., , 2023. Ultimately, partnerships that leverage funding across sources provide a roadmap for prioritizing future conservation actions. ...

Reference:

Grassland intactness outcompetes species as a more efficient surrogate in conservation design
Assessing prioritization measures for a private land conservation program in the U.S. Prairie Pothole Region

... In recent years, stakeholder-focused, nongovernmental conservation organizations that focus on broad-scale conservation needs have been applying an integrated stakeholder approach more frequently and effectively, which also has provided a model for scientific researchers and resource managers. One example of such boundary organizations is habitat-dependent outdoor recreationist organizations (HDORCO), which are "Organizations that engage habitat-dependent outdoor recreationists in ecosystem-scale conservation and help to set and/or achieve conservation goals" (Raynal et al. 2020). By default, this requires a long-term, interactive (i.e., multidirectional engagement) relationship. ...

Habitat-dependent outdoor recreation and conservation organizations can enable recreational fishers to contribute to conservation of coastal marine ecosystems

Global Ecology and Conservation

... Political interference in research is a growing concern internationally (Hess, 2024). In Australia, Government employees and recipients of Government funds have been shown to be under greater pressure than in any other work environment to defend policy through intellectual suppression (Driscoll et al., 2021). Those subject to political interference may be 'rewarded or penalized on the basis of complying with opinions of senior staff regardless of evidence' (Driscoll et al., 2021). ...

Consequences of information suppression in ecological and conservation sciences

... Areas of importance for conservation in South America, such as the islands of the Caribbean Sea, the Chilean forests, the coastal zone of Colombia, the Amazon rainforest and the Brazilian Cerrado are considered biodiversity hotspots and constantly suffer from threats over the years that reflect in the reduction of existing lives in these environments (Higgins 2007;Brum et al. 2019;Zabel et al. 2019;Rosa et al. 2021). The two future scenarios show that suitable biomes in Brazil for the analyzed species appear to be the most important centers for conservation. ...

Forecasting conservation impact to pinpoint spatial priorities in the Brazilian Cerrado
  • Citing Article
  • December 2019

Biological Conservation

... The traditional ecological knowledge of birds can also help to identify the reasons for and consequences of human actions that potentially harm birds populations, such as bird trade, bird hunting, and egg poaching, facilitating the creation of tools that more efficiently mitigate these threats (Iskandar et al., 2020;Putri et al., 2021). By actively involving indigenous communities in research and conservation efforts, a more comprehensive and holistic approach can be achieved that recognizes the interconnectedness of cultural practices, biodiversity, and ecosystem health, and avoiding the loss of cultural and ancestral knowledge (Biró et al., 2019;Stori et al., 2019). ...

Traditional Ecological Knowledge Supports Ecosystem-Based Management in Disturbed Coastal Marine Social-Ecological Systems

... As evidenced by many previous works (Jenkins, Pimm, and Joppa 2013;Jones et al. 2018;Loiseau et al. 2020;Maxwell et al. 2020;Murali et al. 2021;Venter et al. 2018;Watson et al. 2014Watson et al. , 2016), the PA system seems to be insufficient and Overall, these findings support the already well-established pattern of non-randomness in the location of PAs (Vieira, Pressey, and Loyola 2019;Pressey et al. 2002) and expose the weakness of the actual PA system in protecting hotspots for threatened vertebrates, a problem that has been highlighted for the past decades ). Human activities have dramatically transformed ecosystems worldwide, affecting key ecosystem functions and services, and provoking an unprecedented biodiversity crisis (Díaz et al. 2019 Figure 4). ...

The residual nature of protected areas in Brazil
  • Citing Article
  • March 2019

Biological Conservation

... The availability concept assumes that a portion of the population may not be available for detection by a surveillance approach. We equated the proportion of the area impacted by a given method to the proportion of the population that was available to be captured by that method (Equation 2; e.g., Pavlacky et al., 2012;Baker et al., 2018) ...

Modelling the spread and control of cherry guava on Lord Howe Island
  • Citing Article
  • November 2018

Biological Conservation

... highlight the urgent need to account for the dominant and highly diverse grassy component for any conservation, management, and restoration measure. Also, we support the plead for conserving the entire elevation gradient (Fernandes et al. 2018 and a large variety of habitats and landscapes (Monteiro et al. 2020;Araújo et al. 2022) to ensure proper conservation of all plant life-forms and include spatially-restrict and endemic species, which would, otherwise, be lost to multiple anthropogenic threats. ...

Evaluating the impact of future actions in minimizing vegetation loss from land conversion in the Brazilian Cerrado under climate change

Biodiversity and Conservation

... Enforcement is a notable challenge in remote protected areas such as these (11,48), and this assumption is unlikely to always be valid. This may be particularly true for the Marshall Islands and FSM, two sanctuaries that do not include outright possession bans as part of their legislation (11,49) and are associated with high rates of longline effort and estimated catch (Figs. 1B and 3A). ...

Beware silent waning of shark protection
  • Citing Article
  • May 2018

Science

... There are several anthropogenic or natural-driven challenges in semi-enclosed basin nature (Remoundou et al., 2009). Pressures on marine biodiversity, especially in MPAs, can derive from plenty of economic activities inter alia tourism, fisheries, shipping industries, and aquaculture (Griffiths et al., 2020;Magris et al., 2018). The spotlight is on the MPAs because they consist of sanctuaries for endangered species, pivotal for marine biodiversity resilience (EC, 2015). ...

Biologically representative and well-connected marine reserves enhance biodiversity persistence in conservation planning