Robert D. Holt’s research while affiliated with University of Florida and other places

As the Anthropocene proceeds, the matrix in which remaining habitats are embedded is an increasingly dominant component of altered landscapes. The matrix appears to have diverse and far-reaching effects, yet our understanding of the causes and consequences of these effects remains limited. We first synthesize the broad range of perspectives on the matrix, provide a generalized framing that captures these perspectives, and propose hypotheses for how and why the matrix matters for ecological and evolutionary processes. We then summarize evidence for these hypotheses from experiments in which the matrix was manipulated. Nearly all experiments revealed matrix effects, including changes in local spillover, individual movement and dispersal, and use of resources in the matrix. Finally, we discuss how the matrix has been, and should be, incorporated into conservation and management and suggest future issues to advance research on and applications of the matrix in ecology, evolution, and conservation.

After environmental change, the trait evolution needed to rescue a population depends on the functional form of the plastic change (reaction norm) of that trait. Nearly all previous models of plasticity evolution for continuous traits have assumed that the functional form is linear, i.e., no limits on the range of plasticity. This paper examines the effect of developmental limits, modeled as a sigmoidal reaction norm, on evolutionary rescue after an abrupt environmental change and the subsequent evolution of plasticity, including genetic assimilation. We examined four different scenarios: (1) developmental limits only, (2) developmental limits plus a cost of plasticity, (3) developmental limits with developmental noise, and (4) developmental limits plus environmental variation. The probability of evolutionary rescue increased with an increase in phenotypic variation allowed by plastic development. With a smaller limit to the range of the plastic phenotype, the evolution of adaptive plasticity was limited, meaning the evolution of non-plastic genes was necessary. The addition of developmental constraints to the model did not speed up genetic assimilation, suggesting new theory is needed to understand empirical observations. The modeling framework presented here could be extended to different ecological and evolutionary conditions, alternative reaction norm shapes, the evolution of additional reaction norm parameters such as the range or the location of the inflection point on the environmental axis, or other function-valued traits.

To predict the potential success of an invading non-native species, it is important to understand its dynamics and interactions with native species in the early stages of its invasion. In spatially implicit models, mathematical stability criteria are commonly used to predict whether an invading population grows in number in an early time period. But spatial context is important for real invasions as an invading population may first occur as a small number of individuals scatter spatially. The invasion dynamics are therefore not describable in terms of population level state variables. A better approach is spatially explicit individual-based modeling (IBM). We use an established spatially explicit IBM to predict the invasion of the non-native tree, Melaleuca quinquenervia (Cav.) Blake, to a native community in southern Florida. We show that the initial spatial distribution, both the spatial density of individuals and the area they cover, affects its success in growing numerically and spreading. The formation of a cluster of a sufficient number and density of individuals may be needed for the invader to locally outcompete the native species and become established. Different initial densities, identical in number and density but differing in random positions of individuals, can produce very different trajectories of the invading population through time, even affecting invasion success and failure.

Dispersal among local communities is fundamental to the metacommunity concept but is only important to the metacommunity structure if dispersal causes distortions of species abundances away from what local ecological conditions favour. We know from much previous work that dispersal can cause such abundance distortions. However, almost all previous theoretical studies have only considered one species alone or two interacting species (e.g. competitors or predator and prey). Moreover, a systematic analysis is needed of whether different dispersal strategies (e.g. passive dispersal versus demographic habitat selection) result in different abundance distortion patterns, how these distortion patterns change with local food web structure, and how the dispersal propensities of the interacting species might evolve in response to one another. In this article, we show using computer simulations and analytical models that abundance distortions occur in simple food webs with both passive dispersal and habitat selection, but habitat selection causes larger distortions. Additionally, patterns in the evolution of dispersal propensity in interacting species are very different for these two dispersal strategies. This study identifies that the dispersal strategies employed by interacting species critically shape how dispersal will influence metacommunity structure. This article is part of the theme issue ‘Diversity-dependence of dispersal: interspecific interactions determine spatial dynamics’.

Humans greatly influence the ecosystems they live in and the lives of a wide range of taxa they share space with. Specifically, human hunting and harvesting has resulted in many species acclimating via diverse behavioral responses, often quite rapidly. This review provides insights into how hunting and harvesting can elicit behavioral changes. These responses emerge from a species’ previous and evolving ability to assess risk imposed by hunters and respond accordingly; a predator–prey game thus ensues, where both players may change tactics over time. If hunting is persistent, and does not result in the taxa’s extirpation, species are expected to develop adaptations to cope with hunting via natural selection by undergoing shifts in morphology and behavior. This review summarizes the various ways that human hunting intentionally and incidentally alters such evolutionary changes. These changes in turn can influence other species interactions and whole ecosystems. Additionally, alterations in behaviors can provide useful indicators for conservation and evolutionarily enlightened management strategies, and humans should use them to gain insights into our own socio-economic circumstances.

The metapopulation perspective is an important conceptual framework in ecology, biogeography, and evolutionary ecology. Metapopulations are spatially distributed populations linked by dispersal. Both metapopulation models and their community and ecosystem level analogues, metacommunity and meta-ecosystem models, tend to be more stable regionally than locally and display an enhancement in abundance because of the interplay of spatio-temporal heterogeneity and dispersal (an effect that has been called the "inflationary effect"). We highlight the essential role of spatio-temporal heterogeneity in metapopulation biology, sketch empirical demonstrations of the inflationary effect, and provide a mechanistic interpretation of how the inflationary effect arises and impacts population growth and abundance. The spread of infectious disease is used to illustrate how this effect, emerging from the interplay of spatiotemporal variability and dispersal, can have serious real-world consequences. Namely, failure to recognize the full possible effects of spatio-temporal heterogeneity likely enhanced the spread of COVID-19, and a comparable lack of understanding of emergent population processes at large scales may hamper the control and eradication of other infectious diseases. We finish by noting how the effects of spatio-temporal heterogeneity, including the inflationary effect, have implicitly played roles in many traditional themes in the history of ecology. The inflationary effect is implicit in processes explored in subdisciplines as far ranging as natural enemy-victim dynamics, species coexistence, and conservation biology. Seriously confronting the complexity of spatiotemporal heterogeneity has the potential to push many of these subdisciplines forward.

The importance of dispersal rates and distances has long been appreciated by ecologists and evolutionary biologists. An emerging field of research is revealing how temporal variation in dispersal can substantially influence ecological and evolutionary outcomes. We review how dispersal rates can temporally vary substantially in many ecosystems, a pattern that is particularly well‐documented for aquatic organisms but is likely pervasive in terrestrial ecosystems as well. We then synthesize the effects of temporal variation in dispersal on five key ecological and evolutionary processes: 1) metapopulation dynamics, 2) local adaptation, 3) range limits and range expansions, 4) species coexistence and 5) metacommunity dynamics. Our review demonstrates that temporal variation in dispersal is more than just statistical ‘noise' but can in fact lead to different outcomes than expected were dispersal temporally constant. For example, increasing the magnitude of temporal variation in dispersal can lead to lower metapopulation growth rates, permit greater local adaptation, facilitate and accelerate range expansion, increase regional coexistence, and alter local and regional species diversity. These effects of temporal variation in dispersal can inform conservation and natural resource management decisions such as prioritization in spatial planning, management of spillover from domesticated or captive populations into native populations, and the design of effective control strategies for invasive species.

Food has long been known to perform dual functions of nutrition and medicine, but mounting evidence suggests that complex host-pathogen dynamics can emerge along continuous resource gradients. Empirical examples of nonmonotonic responses of infection with increasing host resources (e.g., low prevalence at low and high resource supply but high prevalence at intermediate resources) have been documented across the tree of life, but these dynamics, when observed, often are interpreted as nonintuitive, idiosyncratic features of pathogen and host biology. Here, by developing generalized versions of existing models of resource dependence for within- and among-host infection dynamics, we provide a synthetic view of nonmonotonic infection dynamics. We demonstrate that where resources jointly impact two (or more) processes (e.g., growth, defense, transmission, mortality, predation), nonmonotonic infection dynamics, including alternative states, can emerge across a continuous resource supply gradient. We review the few empirical examples that concurrently measured resource effects on multiple rates and pair this with a wide range of examples in which resource dependence of multiple rates could generate nonmonotonic infection outcomes under realistic conditions. This review and generalized framework highlight the likely generality of such resource effects in natural systems and point to opportunities ripe for future empirical and theoretical work.