Regina S. Baker’s research while affiliated with University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill and other places

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Publications (14)


The Role of Single Motherhood in America's High Child Poverty
  • Article

July 2024

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28 Reads

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1 Citation

Demography

David Brady

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Regina S Baker

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Ryan Finnigan

Many claim a high prevalence of single motherhood plays a significant role in America's high child poverty. Using the Luxembourg Income Study, we compare the “prevalences and penalties” for child poverty across 30 rich democracies and within the United States over time (1979–2019). Several descriptive patterns contradict the importance of single motherhood. The U.S. prevalence of single motherhood is cross-nationally moderate and typical and is historically stable. Also, child poverty and the prevalence of single motherhood have trended in opposite directions in recent decades in the United States. More important than the prevalence of single motherhood, the United States stands out for having the highest penalty across 30 rich democracies. Counterfactual simulations demonstrate that reducing single motherhood would not substantially reduce child poverty. Even if there was zero single motherhood, (1) the United States would not change from having the fourth-highest child poverty rate, (2) the 41-year trend in child poverty would be very similar, and (3) the extreme racial inequalities in child poverty would not decline. Rather than the prevalence of single motherhood, the high penalty for single motherhood and extremely high Black and Latino child poverty rates, which exist regardless of single motherhood, are far more important to America's high child poverty.


The uneven impact of Medicaid expansion on rural and urban Black, Latino/a, and White mortality
  • Article
  • Full-text available

July 2024

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5 Reads

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2 Citations

The Journal of Rural Health

Purpose To determine the differential impact of Medicaid expansion on all‐cause mortality between Black, Latino/a, and White populations in rural and urban areas, and assess how expansion impacted mortality disparities between these groups. Methods We employ a county‐level time‐varying heterogenous treatment effects difference‐in‐difference analysis of Medicaid expansion on all‐cause age‐adjusted mortality for those 64 years of age or younger from 2009 to 2019. For all counties within the 50 US States and the District of Columbia, we use restricted‐access vital statistics data to estimate Average Treatment Effect on the Treated (ATET) for all combinations of racial and ethnic group (Black, Latino/a, White), rurality (rural, urban), and sex. We then assess aggregate ATET, as well as how the ATET changed as time from expansion increased. Findings Medicaid expansion led to a reduction in all‐cause age‐adjusted mortality for urban Black populations, but not rural Black populations. Urban White populations experienced mixed effects dependent on years after expansion. Latino/a populations saw no appreciable impact. While no effect was observed for rural Black and Latino/a populations, rural White all‐cause age‐adjusted mortality unexpectedly increased due to Medicaid expansion. These effects reduced rural‐ and urban‐specific Black‐White mortality disparities but did not shrink the rural‐urban mortality gap. Conclusions The mortality‐reducing impact of Medicaid expansion has been uneven across racial and ethnic groups and rural‐urban status; suggesting that many populations—particularly rural individuals—are not seeing the same benefits as others. It is imperative that states work to ensure Medicaid expansion is being appropriately implemented in rural areas.

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Histogram of diurnal poverty variation at the census tract‐level. Data Source: Census Transportation Planning Products (CTPP) & American Community Survey (ACS), 2012−2016.
Poverty concentration in the United States between daytime and nighttime poverty at the census tract‐level. Data Source: Census Transportation Planning Products (CTPP) & American Community Survey (ACS), 2012‐2016.
Census Tracts’ Poverty Status for Four Metropolitan Areas. Data Source: Census Transportation Planning Products (CTPP) & American Community Survey (ACS), 2012‐2016.
Diurnal Variation in Poverty in Four Metropolitan Areas. Data Source: Census Transportation Planning Products (CTPP) & American Community Survey (ACS), 2012‐2016.
Estimated Effects of Suburbanization Category on Diurnal Variation in Poverty Rates Note: Reference Group = Principal City Census Tracts. N = 59,693 Census Tracts in urban counties (RUCC = 1−3) of 48 states and D.C. Analysis excludes Puerto Rico, Alaska, and Hawaii due to data limtations. Data Source: Census Transportation Planning Products (CTPP) & American Community Survey (ACS), 2012−2016. Models include MSA fixed‐effects and MSA cluster corrected standard errors.

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Further complications to poverty of place: daily poverty dynamics across space

It is well established that living in a high‐poverty area often leads to lower levels of well‐being for residents. While these deleterious effects of place‐based poverty are well‐documented, the conceptual mechanisms linking poverty of place to negative outcomes remain debated, and the our understanding of the spatial patterning of poverty remains underdeveloped. In this paper, we problematize simple conceptualizations of the negative impacts of poverty exposure by illustrating the dynamic patterns poverty displays across cities on a daily basis. The vast majority of prior research on poverty of place has relied upon data anchored to place of residence. Thus, poverty rates broadly reflect poverty as it exists at night. This bias toward nighttime statistics leaves us with an incomplete understanding of spatial inequalities because daytime poverty rates can differ markedly from nighttime poverty rates due to work‐related commuting patterns. Here, we use novel data from the Census Transportation Planning Products to fully illustrate diurnal patterns in poverty at the census tract level in metropolitan America. Through a combination of descriptive, spatial, and statistical analyses, we show that the majority of census tracts experience changes in poverty throughout the day. Through a series of regression models, we also show that diurnal patterns in poverty are unevenly distributed along the lines of suburbanization, race, economic status, age composition, and industrial structure. Overall, our findings provide analytic insights into properly documenting poverty across space, while further problematizing lingering culture of poverty frameworks.


The Role of Structural Racism for Inequality in Family Poverty: Why Context Matters

November 2023

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22 Reads

The socio-historical context surrounding racism in the United States is integral to understanding the state of contemporary families. Yet the scholarship seeking to explain socioeconomic racial disparities across families has primarily focused attention on individual-level factors, particularly family structure. The late sociologist, C. Wright Mills emphasized the importance of macro- and micro-level phenomena in shaping individual lives. Drawing on Mill’s notion of “the sociological imagination,” I argue that it is critical to consider the role of broader historical and social contexts, such as structural racism, in producing and maintaining racial inequalities across families in the United States. Through examining the socio-historical context of race and structural racism, prior research on racial inequality in poverty across families, and empirical and theoretical developments in this area, I underline that more research on structural racism is necessary to effectively address enduring racial gaps.


Intergenerational mobility and racial inequality: The case for a more holistic approach

August 2023

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45 Reads

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1 Citation

Intergenerational social mobility studies have largely explored the relationship between one aspect of parent background (e.g., education, income, occupational status, wealth, or neighborhood context) and the corresponding aspect of that parent's child once they reach adulthood. Studies examining these various measures have provided differing conclusions about the extent that social origins constrain attainment in the U.S. In contrast, the persistence of racial inequality in intergenerational mobility is one consistent finding. For instance, across various measures, research demonstrates Black individuals are more likely than White individuals to experience downward mobility, and less likely to exceed the socioeconomic standings of their parents. In this article, we argue that a more holistic measure of both origin and destination, one that combines the above‐mentioned indicators, is necessary to advance our understanding of the extent that origin constrains future attainment. We summarize lessons gleaned from one‐dimensional estimates, and from other approaches that either combine some dimensions of socioeconomic background or attempt to capture a more holistic background in other ways. We then make a recommendation for methodological interventions to accomplish this more holistic approach and conclude with research and policy implications.


Ethno-Racial Variation in Single Motherhood Prevalences and Penalties for Child Poverty in the United States, 1995–2018

November 2022

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17 Reads

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8 Citations

The Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science

Empirical studies link high racial inequality in U.S. child poverty to the higher prevalence of single motherhood among certain racial groups. But a growing literature is demonstrating how the impact of single parenthood and family structure on children varies by racial group, including evidence that Black children experience smaller single motherhood “penalties” for some outcomes, like education. I use Luxembourg Income Study data for the United States from 1995 to 2018 to further investigations of ethno-racial variation in single motherhood penalties for child poverty. I provide a descriptive portrait of the levels and trends of children living in single-mother households and of the poverty penalties associated with children living in such households. I also show that, on average, Black children experience smaller penalties from single motherhood and Latino children experience larger penalties, both compared to White children. I conclude with discussion of potential reasons for this variation and future directions for research.


Binary relationship between Black–White inequality in poverty and total population enslaved in 1860 by family structure across southern states (2015–2019)
Binary relationship between county‐level Black–White poverty inequality and the legacy of slavery, ACS 5‐year period estimates 2015–2019
Black–White inequality in poverty among single mother households in the South, 2015–2019
Black–White inequality in poverty among married with children households in southern states, 2015–2019
Structural racism, family structure, and Black–White inequality: The differential impact of the legacy of slavery on poverty among single mother and married parent households

May 2022

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119 Reads

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33 Citations

Objective To assess whether an indicator of structural racism—the legacy of slavery—impacts racial inequality in poverty among individuals within the same family structure. Background Family structure is a dominant explanation for racial inequality in poverty. This overemphasis on an “individual‐level” variable results in relatively less attention to the role of structural factors. Yet, structural factors, like the legacy of slavery, may be key to understanding how race and family structure intersect in the context of poverty. Method The authors use data from the Luxembourg Income Study, the American Community Survey, and the Historical 1860 Census. Multilevel models link individual‐ and state‐level data and separate models focus on counties. The authors assess whether a proxy of the legacy of slavery (i.e., the historical concentration of enslaved people in 1860) relates to Black–White inequality in poverty among single mother households and among married with children households in the US South. Results There is an impact of the legacy of slavery on Black–White inequality in poverty even within‐family type, but the legacy of slavery appears to be more consequential for married with children households than single mother households. Among married parent households, the racial gap in poverty is more pronounced where the legacy of slavery is stronger. Conclusion Results suggest the link between family structure and racial inequality in poverty is overstated and more indirect, operating—at least partially—through structural racism. Implications This study challenges the perception of marriage as an anti‐poverty mechanism. It also underscores the limitations of viewing family structure from an individual‐level perspective when explaining racial inequality. Local manifestations of structural racism are part of how family structure matters for inequality in poverty.



Poverty rates by race/ethnicity relative to White individuals by year (50% median). These poverty estimates include the Transfer Income Model, version 3 (TRIM3)
Poverty rates by race/ethnicity relative to White individuals by year (SPM w/TRIM3). These poverty estimates include the Transfer Income Model, version 3 (TRIM3)
The Enduring Significance of Ethno-Racial Inequalities in Poverty in the U.S., 1993–2017

September 2021

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164 Reads

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38 Citations

Population Research and Policy Review

Ethno-racial inequality in poverty is an enduring but misunderstood problem. Most prior research relies on the flawed official poverty measure, data with underreported income, and models omitting essential predictors. Using the Current Population Survey, we adjust for benefit underreporting and estimate levels and trends in both relative and Supplemental Poverty Measure poverty rates for ethno-racial groups relative to White individuals in the U.S. from 1993 to 2017. We then focus on the five most recent years (2013–2017) and decompose Black–White, Latino–White, and Asian–White poverty gaps. We expand prior decomposition analyses by better incorporating employment and geographic context and better measuring immigration. Our findings show ethno-racial inequalities in poverty declined from 1993 to 2017 but remained large. Our estimates of relative poverty reveal that millions more Black and Latino individuals are poor than with the official measure—even after adjusting for benefit underreporting. By 2013–2017, Black and Latino individuals remain about twice as likely to be poor as White individuals. By contrast, the evidence is mixed on Asian–White differences. Decomposition results show employment explains the largest share of the Black–White gap, whereas immigration matters most for the Latino–White and Asian–White gaps. Geographical context also explains a significant portion of each racial gap and is particularly central to Asian–White gaps. Compared to prior decompositions, which would explain roughly half of the Black–White gap in poverty, our models explain more than three quarters. Beyond the novel empirical description, this study encourages structural, political, and critical race theories of poverty over behavioral explanations.


Family Structure, Risks, and Racial Stratification in Poverty

July 2021

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1,647 Reads

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75 Citations

Social Problems

Family structure remains a dominant explanation for understanding racial inequality in poverty. Yet, empirical studies show family structure does not fully account for this association. We present racial stratification as an alternative perspective emphasizing the social construction of race and how race contributes to the unequal distribution of resources. To illustrate the link between racial stratification and poverty, we rely on risk research and conceptualize risk in terms of prevalences (the percentage of people with risks) and penalties (the probability of poverty associated with risks). We assess whether family structure and risks intersect by racialized groups, and if so, whether the penalties for risks among Black and Latinx mothers, relative to white mothers, converge (i.e., smaller gap in penalties) or diverge (i.e., larger gap in penalties). Using panel data, our results revealed Black mothers had higher risk prevalence than both Latinx and white mothers. Moreover, a dramatic divergence in the penalties for risks emerged between racialized groups whereby Black and Latinx mothers experience greater disadvantage from risks than white mothers, regardless of family structure. We conclude family structure is not only an oversimplified explanation but also contributes to obscuring structural and systemic sources of racial inequality in poverty.


Citations (10)


... However, work on these influences has remained mostly separated from one another, and this has prompted calls for a multilevel-multidimensional analysis of rural health in the US (Jensen et al., 2020). A recent study approached the rural-urban context and the effect of Medicaid expansion and found that the latter did not benefit urban and rural areas similarly concerning mortality rates (Mueller et al., 2024). These findings, particularly the study by Mueller and colleagues (2024), accentuate the need for analyses that consider how the residence-policy overlap is shaping health status across the nation. ...

Reference:

Double Vulnerability? Examining the Effect of Living in Nonmetropolitan Areas within Non-Expansion Medicaid States on Health Status Among Working-Age Adults in the United States, 2022-2024
The uneven impact of Medicaid expansion on rural and urban Black, Latino/a, and White mortality

The Journal of Rural Health

... Recent research suggests that Black-White poverty is due to racial variations in single-mother households, unemployment, lower levels of education, adverse neighborhoods, and government policies (Iceland, 2019). Scholars continue to debate whether these factors cause poverty or reflect more extensive structural conditions rooted in American racism (Baker, 2022;Baker et al., 2022;Parolin, 2021;Williams & Baker, 2021). ...

The Historical Racial Regime and Racial Inequality in Poverty in the American South
  • Citing Article
  • May 2022

American Journal of Sociology

... Other research has likewise suggested that single-parent families are not a homogenous group with respect to race, gender, and socioeconomic status (Baker, 2022;Yorks, 2022). Several population-level trends in family formation and structure may be linked to potential variation in risk of CPS contact among single-parent families, including overall declines in birth rates, later age at marriage and childbirth, and legally recognized same-sex marriage (Martin et al., 2021;Smock & Schwartz, 2020). ...

Ethno-Racial Variation in Single Motherhood Prevalences and Penalties for Child Poverty in the United States, 1995–2018
  • Citing Article
  • November 2022

The Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science

... In examining how family institutions and transitions shape wealth inequalities, it is essential to situate them in their social, cultural and political contexts. As a number of authors have recently written in reference to the US, failure to do so can result in exaggerating the role of the family as a driver of inequality, and in obscuring the contributions of other social forces, including racism (Parolin, 2021;Baker and O'Connell, 2022;Cross et al. , 2022). Ultimately, this facilitates the development of a conservative rhetoric that advocates a return to traditional family values as a vehicle for shared prosperity (Kearney, 2023). ...

Structural racism, family structure, and Black–White inequality: The differential impact of the legacy of slavery on poverty among single mother and married parent households

... Recent research suggests that Black-White poverty is due to racial variations in single-mother households, unemployment, lower levels of education, adverse neighborhoods, and government policies (Iceland, 2019). Scholars continue to debate whether these factors cause poverty or reflect more extensive structural conditions rooted in American racism (Baker, 2022;Baker et al., 2022;Parolin, 2021;Williams & Baker, 2021). ...

The Enduring Significance of Ethno-Racial Inequalities in Poverty in the U.S., 1993–2017

Population Research and Policy Review

... Recent research suggests that Black-White poverty is due to racial variations in single-mother households, unemployment, lower levels of education, adverse neighborhoods, and government policies (Iceland, 2019). Scholars continue to debate whether these factors cause poverty or reflect more extensive structural conditions rooted in American racism (Baker, 2022;Baker et al., 2022;Parolin, 2021;Williams & Baker, 2021). ...

Family Structure, Risks, and Racial Stratification in Poverty

Social Problems

... 2023). Researchers have found that places themselves have causal effects on the likelihood of upward mobility (Chetty and Hendren 2015;cf., Galster and Sharkey 2017), and that spatially-patterned inequalities in power resources seem to intersect with race and economic resources to help explain persistently higher rates of poverty in the US South (Baker 2020). Just as a disproportionate concentration of resources in some places over others funnels inequality, so too does a disparate concentration of social and environmental hardship perpetuate disadvantage. ...

Why is the American South Poorer?
  • Citing Article
  • August 2020

Social Forces

... In addition, the paper's findings have provided insight into how family multi-institutional involvement exacerbates health disparities in more nuanced ways than found in previous work looking at the relationship between social class and health through fundamental cause theory [30,31], the effect of stress on family life [32], and co-morbidity [33][34][35][36][37][38][39]. Poor and minority families are often forced to engage with these institutions which offer lower quality services as compared to private institutions to which middle class and white parents have the ability and resources to access. ...

Chapter 4 Between a Rock and a Hard Place: SocioEconomic (IM)Mobility Among Low-Income Mothers of Children with Disabilities
  • Citing Chapter
  • November 2018

Advances in Gender Research

... There is a wide consensus among scholars that the power of working class is central to explaining variation in the levels of distributive outcomes (Kalleberg et al., 1981;Esping-Andersen, 1990;Kenworthy and Pontusson, 2005;Rogers and Streeck, 2009;Western and Rosenfeld, 2011;Brady et al., 2013;Jacobs and Myers, 2014;Kerrissey, 2015). Class-based collective bargaining power is an important factor that shapes how economic resources are distributed through market and nonmarket forces, both within and between countries. ...

When Unionization Disappears: State-Level Unionization and Working Poverty in the United States
  • Citing Article
  • September 2013

American Sociological Review

... areas. Rural families face well-documented disadvantages in family outcomes (Burton et al., 2013) that are not reflected in this study. Future research should examine how economic stress, social support, and religious attendance influence the mother-child relationship in rural Black families. ...

Inequality, Family Processes, and Health in the 'New' Rural America
  • Citing Article
  • July 2013

American Behavioral Scientist