Qian Wang’s research while affiliated with National University of Singapore and other places

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Publications (5)


AI-powered Fraud Detection in Decentralized Finance: A Project Life Cycle Perspective
  • Article

November 2024

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19 Reads

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5 Citations

ACM Computing Surveys

Bingqiao Luo

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Zhen Zhang

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Qian Wang

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[...]

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Bingsheng He

Decentralized finance (DeFi) represents a novel financial system but faces significant fraud challenges, leading to substantial losses. Recent advancements in artificial intelligence (AI) show potential for complex fraud detection. Despite growing interest, a systematic review of these methods is lacking. This survey correlates fraud types with DeFi project stages, presenting a taxonomy based on the project life cycle. We evaluate AI techniques, revealing notable findings such as the superiority of tree-based and graph-related models. Based on these insights, we offer recommendations and outline future research directions to aid researchers, practitioners, and regulators in enhancing DeFi security.


Figure 2: Fact-Subjectivity Reasoning Agent Framework. This framework contains the following agents: Statistics Agent, Fact Agent, Subjectivity Agent, Fact Reasoning Agent, Subjectivity Agent, Trade Agent, and Reflection Agent. We provide an example of each agent's analysis displayed besides the corresponding agent.
Performance of each strategy on ETH under bull and bear market conditions.
Dataset splits. Prices are in US dollars. In each split, the transaction days include the start date and exclude the end date. We evaluate the total profit on the end date.
Performance comparison of CryptoTrade and baseline trading strategies on BTC during both Bull and Bear market conditions.
Enhancing LLM Trading Performance with Fact-Subjectivity Aware Reasoning
  • Preprint
  • File available

October 2024

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80 Reads

While many studies prove more advanced LLMs perform better on tasks such as math and trading, we notice that in cryptocurrency trading, stronger LLMs work worse than weaker LLMs often. To study how this counter-intuitive phenomenon occurs, we examine the LLM reasoning processes on making trading decisions. We find that separating the reasoning process into factual and subjective components can lead to higher profits. Building on this insight, we introduce a multi-agent framework, FS-ReasoningAgent, which enables LLMs to recognize and learn from both factual and subjective reasoning. Extensive experiments demonstrate that this framework enhances LLM trading performance in cryptocurrency markets. Additionally, an ablation study reveals that relying on subjective news tends to generate higher returns in bull markets, whereas focusing on factual information yields better results in bear markets. Our code and data are available at \url{https://anonymous.4open.science/r/FS-ReasoningAgent-B55F/}.

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Figure 2: Significant profitable periods exploited by the CryptoTrade agent. The yellow line shows the daily opening prices of Ethereum in US dollars. The blue line tracks the daily positions, indicating the amount of Ethereum possessed on each day. The blue dots denote trading decisions when the agent largely alters its position by trading Ethereum. The red dots represent the corresponding trading prices. The agent successfully forecasts price changes, securing substantial profits through low-price purchases and high-price sales.
Dataset splits. Prices are in US dollars. In each split, the transaction days include the start date and exclude the end date. We evaluate the total profit on the end date.
Performance of each strategy on BTC under Bull, Sideways, and Bear market conditions. For each market condition and each metric, the best result is highlighted in bold text and the runner-up result is underlined.
Performance of each strategy on ETH under Bull, Sideways, and Bear market conditions.
Performance of each strategy on SOL under Bull, Sideways, and Bear market conditions.
A Reflective LLM-based Agent to Guide Zero-shot Cryptocurrency Trading

June 2024

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129 Reads

The utilization of Large Language Models (LLMs) in financial trading has primarily been concentrated within the stock market, aiding in economic and financial decisions. Yet, the unique opportunities presented by the cryptocurrency market, noted for its on-chain data's transparency and the critical influence of off-chain signals like news, remain largely untapped by LLMs. This work aims to bridge the gap by developing an LLM-based trading agent, CryptoTrade, which uniquely combines the analysis of on-chain and off-chain data. This approach leverages the transparency and immutability of on-chain data, as well as the timeliness and influence of off-chain signals, providing a comprehensive overview of the cryptocurrency market. CryptoTrade incorporates a reflective mechanism specifically engineered to refine its daily trading decisions by analyzing the outcomes of prior trading decisions. This research makes two significant contributions. Firstly, it broadens the applicability of LLMs to the domain of cryptocurrency trading. Secondly, it establishes a benchmark for cryptocurrency trading strategies. Through extensive experiments, CryptoTrade has demonstrated superior performance in maximizing returns compared to traditional trading strategies and time-series baselines across various cryptocurrencies and market conditions. Our code and data are available at \url{https://anonymous.4open.science/r/CryptoTrade-Public-92FC/}.



AI-powered Fraud Detection in Decentralized Finance: A Project Life Cycle Perspective

August 2023

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1,585 Reads

In recent years, blockchain technology has introduced decentralized finance (DeFi) as an alternative to traditional financial systems. DeFi aims to create a transparent and efficient financial ecosystem using smart contracts and emerging decentralized applications. However, the growing popularity of DeFi has made it a target for fraudulent activities, resulting in losses of billions of dollars due to various types of frauds. To address these issues, researchers have explored the potential of artificial intelligence (AI) approaches to detect such fraudulent activities. Yet, there is a lack of a systematic survey to organize and summarize those existing works and to identify the future research opportunities. In this survey, we provide a systematic taxonomy of various frauds in the DeFi ecosystem, categorized by the different stages of a DeFi project's life cycle: project development, introduction, growth, maturity, and decline. This taxonomy is based on our finding: many frauds have strong correlations in the stage of the DeFi project. According to the taxonomy, we review existing AI-powered detection methods, including statistical modeling, natural language processing and other machine learning techniques, etc. We find that fraud detection in different stages employs distinct types of methods and observe the commendable performance of tree-based and graph-related models in tackling fraud detection tasks. By analyzing the challenges and trends, we present the findings to provide proactive suggestion and guide future research in DeFi fraud detection. We believe that this survey is able to support researchers, practitioners, and regulators in establishing a secure and trustworthy DeFi ecosystem.

Citations (2)


... LLMs are provided with endowments and information, and set with pre-defined preferences, allowing for an exploration of their actions in economic contexts (Bauer et al., 2023;Chen et al., 2023). These simulations particularly focus on market interactions, resource allocation, and strategic decision-making in financial Li et al., 2024f). ...

Reference:

What Limits LLM-based Human Simulation: LLMs or Our Design?
CryptoTrade: A Reflective LLM-based Agent to Guide Zero-shot Cryptocurrency Trading
  • Citing Conference Paper
  • January 2024

... LLMs have been employed in various economic simulations, from individual trading decision-making to system-level market dynamics (Li et al., 2024f;Luo et al., 2024;Wang et al., 2024a). In behavioral economics experiments, Horton (2023) demonstrated LLMs' capability as homo silicus (Kar, 2023) in replicating classic scenarios like unilateral dictator games (Kahneman et al., 1986) and hiring decisions (Horton et al., 2011). ...

AI-powered Fraud Detection in Decentralized Finance: A Project Life Cycle Perspective
  • Citing Article
  • November 2024

ACM Computing Surveys