Patrick J. Jackson’s research while affiliated with Nevada Department of Wildlife and other places

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Publications (6)


The first of three camera trap photographs in a sequence that captured a gray wolf (Canis lupus) in northwest Nevada in February 2023. This photo represents the 2nd verified gray wolf sighting in Nevada since the 1920s.
Map showing the location of the gray wolf (Canis lupus) we detected with a camera trap in February 2023 on Petersen Mountain (back oval), in northwest Nevada near the border with California. This region coincides with the ecotone between the Sierra Nevada and Great Basin Desert, with the green area coarsely representing the distribution of forest cover and white indicating open habitats, primarily sagebrush steppe.
First Camera Trap Detection of a Gray Wolf Movement Into Nevada
  • Article
  • Full-text available

May 2025

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48 Reads

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Patrick J. Jackson

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Joshua J. Millspaugh

Following gray wolf (Canis lupus) reintroduction to Yellowstone National Park and central Idaho, USA, in the mid‐1990s, the species range has expanded into western Montana, eastern Oregon, and eastern Washington. By 2011, wolves reached northern California and formed multiple packs within a decade of their arrival in the state. Gray wolf observations have been sporadic, however, in the comparatively open and nonforested ecosystems such as the nearby northern Great Basin. During a broad‐scale, camera‐trapping study, we detected a gray wolf on an unbaited camera trap in northwest Nevada. This observation represents the 2nd confirmed sighting of a gray wolf in the state of Nevada since the 1920s and the first documented camera trap detection for the species in the state. We discuss this observation in the context of historical gray wolf presence in Nevada and the potential for the species to establish in the northern Great Basin.

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Fig. 3. Estimated response curves for the effect of average annual precipitation (A) and average annual minimum temperature (B) on Western Gray Squirrel climatic suitability during the historical period (pre-1950) across 5 SDM runs (shading). For each run, 20% of the presence and background data were withheld for model evaluation. Tick marks represent values of climate variables at gray squirrel presence (top) and background locations (bottom).
Evaluation criteria for our GAM SDM across the 5-fold cross-validation. Sensitivity is the true positive rate; specificity is the true negative rate.
Range expansion of a declining forest species, the Western Gray Squirrel ( Sciurus griseus ), into semiarid woodland

February 2024

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52 Reads

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2 Citations

Journal of Mammalogy

Globally, animals that are range-restricted are frequently becoming species of conservation concern, in part due to competitive exclusion by phylogenetically and ecologically similar species that are more tolerant of human disturbance. However, climate and land use changes to natural landscapes can create pockets of refugia for range-restricted species. Western gray squirrels (Sciurus griseus) are native to the west coast of North America, principally California and western Oregon. Over the past several decades, Western Gray Squirrel populations have declined in human-dominated areas, with increased competition from introduced congeneric species native to eastern North America cited as a primary driver. Despite declines in their established range west of the Pacific Crest in western North America, western gray squirrels are extending their range into the Great Basin, where they were not historically found. Using a network of remote camera traps deployed across the Sierra Nevada–Great Basin ecotone in northwestern Nevada, we detected western gray squirrels across 16 of 100 camera-trapping sites. The majority of detections were located in piñon–juniper woodland, a land cover type not previously occupied by this species. Occupancy modeling revealed that western gray squirrels were equally likely to occur in piñon–juniper woodland compared to mature pine forest that they occupy elsewhere in their range. A species distribution model parameterized with historical gray squirrel observations (pre-1950), indicated increased climatic suitability for the species on the eastern side of the Sierra Nevada in recent decades, which may have facilitated this range expansion. Our findings reveal the potential for species declining in their historical range to colonize novel habitats that become increasingly suitable as a result of human-driven changes to ecosystems.


Spatial patterns of reproduction suggest marginal habitat limits continued range expansion of black bears at a forest‐desert ecotone

October 2023

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91 Reads

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1 Citation

Investigating spatial patterns of animal occupancy and reproduction in peripheral populations can provide insight into factors that form species range boundaries. Following historical extirpation, American black bears ( Ursus americanus ) recolonized the western Great Basin in Nevada from the Sierra Nevada during the late 1900s. This range expansion, however, has not continued further into the Great Basin despite the presence of additional habitat. We aimed to quantify whether reduced reproduction toward the range edge contributes to this range boundary. We analyzed black bear detections from 100 camera traps deployed across black bear distribution in western Nevada using a multistate occupancy model that quantified the probability of occupancy and reproduction (i.e., female bears with cubs occupancy) in relation to changes in habitat type and habitat amount toward the range boundary. We detected a strong effect of habitat amount and habitat type on the probability of black bear occupancy and reproduction. At similar levels of landscape‐scale habitat amount (e.g., 50%), estimated probability of occupancy for adult bears in piñon‐juniper woodlands near the range boundary was 0.39, compared to ~1.0 in Sierra Nevada mixed‐conifer forest (i.e., core habitat). Furthermore, estimated probability of cub occupancy, conditional on adult bear occupancy, in landscapes with 50% habitat was 0.32 in Great Basin piñon‐juniper woodlands, compared to 0.92 in Sierra Nevada mixed‐conifer forest. Black bear range in the western Great Basin conforms to the center–periphery hypothesis, with piñon‐juniper woodland at the range edge supporting ecologically marginal habitat for the species compared to habitat in the Sierra Nevada. Further geographic expansion of black bears in the Great Basin may be limited by lower occupancy of reproducing females in piñon‐juniper woodland. Center–periphery range dynamics may be common in large carnivore species, as their dispersal ability allows them to colonize low‐quality habitat near range edges.


Black bear density and habitat use variation at the Sierra Nevada‐Great Basin Desert transition

January 2023

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113 Reads

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3 Citations

Journal of Wildlife Management

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Ashley Kimmel

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[...]

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In the first 2 decades of the twenty‐first century, American black bear ( Ursus americanus ) populations rebounded with range expansions into areas where the species was previously extirpated. While there are a number of factors that limit range expansion, habitat quality and availability are among the most important. Such factors may be particularly important in western Nevada, USA, at the transition zone of the Sierra Nevada and the Great Basin Desert. We deployed a multi‐faceted data collection system including motion‐sensitive cameras, noninvasive hair sampling and genotyping, and global positioning system (GPS) tracking. We analyzed data using spatial capture‐recapture to estimate population density and dynamic occupancy models to estimate habitat use. Black bear habitat use and density were substantially higher in the Sierra Nevada than the Great Basin Desert and had strong positive relationships with the presence of conifer land cover in the transition zone. The average black bear density was >4 times higher in the mixed‐conifer forests of the Sierra Nevada (12.4 bears/100 km ² ) than in desert mountain ranges with piñon ( Pinus monophylla )‐juniper ( Juniperus spp.) woodland (2.7 bears/100 km ² ). The low‐elevation shrub and grassland portions of the study area had even lower estimated black bear density (0.6 bears/100 km ² ) and probability of use (0.03, 95% CI = 0.00–0.09). Across these spatially variable configurations in black bear density, we estimated the population size to be 418 individuals (95% CI = 239–740). Declining density towards the range edge, coupled with a relatively stable range of black bears in Nevada observed since 2000, suggests that further species range expansion into the western Great Basin may be limited by habitat quality and availability.


Study area map showing the location of 100 camera trap sites (circles) within a 49 km² resolution grid (white squares) along the Sierra Nevada – Great Basin Desert ecotone in western Nevada, USA, June 2018–August 2020. Circles are color coded by the terrain slope values and sized by topographic position at each location, with darker and larger circles indicating sites with steeper slopes and higher topographic positions, respectively. Gaps within the grid corresponded to urban, agricultural and wilderness areas where access to deploy cameras could not be obtained. Black line indicates the border between the U.S. states of Nevada and California.
Predicted relationship between terrain slope and weekly detection probability for (a) coyote, (b) mule deer, (c) gray fox, (d) bobcat, (e) pronghorn and (f) black bear, (g) striped skunk, (h) spotted skunk and (i) cottontail rabbit from a multispecies occupancy model. Black lines represent prediction means and shaded regions represent 95% credible intervals for the predicted relationship. These species comprise all species with detection probabilities that varied significantly in response to terrain slope (either linear or quadratic; Table 3). For predictions, the value of TPI was held at the mean and lure was set to 0 (no luring). Tick marks on x‐axes represent values of slope at all sites where the species was detected in western Nevada 2018–2020.
Predicted relationships between TPI and detection (black line) for (a) gray fox, (b) black‐tailed jackrabbit and (c) cottontail rabbit from a community occupancy model. Black lines represent prediction means and shaded regions represent 95% credible intervals for the predicted relationship. These species comprise three of the four species with detection probabilities that varied significantly in response to TPI (either linear or quadratic; Table 2). For predictions, the value of slope was held at the mean and lure was set to 0 (no luring). Tick marks on x‐axes represent values of TPI at all sites where the species was detected in western Nevada 2018–2020.
Predicted weekly detection probability for coyote (a, e), mule deer (b, f), black bear (c, g) and gray fox (d, h) within a 500 m buffer of two sampling sites in western Nevada that differ in topographic complexity. The landscape in panels (a)–(f) has a topographic roughness (elevmax–elevmin) of 135 m and the landscape in panels (e–h) has a topographic roughness of 335 m, roughness values near the first and third quartiles across all sampling sites, respectively.
Summary statistics of topographic variables at 100 camera trap sites used in MSOM to quantify the effect of fine-scale topography mammal detection at camera traps. RandMean and RandRange are mean and range of each variable at 10 000 random locations in western Nevada, 100 in each 49 km 2 grid cell.
The influence of fine‐scale topography on detection of a mammal assemblage at camera traps in a mountainous landscape

December 2022

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325 Reads

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11 Citations

Changes in topography, such as terrain elevation and slope, are an important source of landscape complexity influencing the ecology of animals, particularly in mountainous landscapes. In such landscapes animals navigate changes in elevation and slope in their daily movement. Despite the importance of topographic variation, studies of animal ecology in mountainous landscapes tend not to explicitly consider those effects on species detection. We deployed a broad‐extent, coarse resolution camera‐trapping system across a landscape with considerable complexity and quantified the influence of topographic variables on detection probability conditional on occurrence for multiple mammal species. Specifically, we examined the fine‐scale effects of terrain steepness and topographic position (i.e. ridges, mid‐slopes or valleys) on detection probability for 14 mammal species at camera‐traps. We found that detection probability increased on gently sloping terrain for six species and decreased on the steepest slopes sampled for three of these species and three additional species. Among four other mammal species, detection probability changed according to local topographic position though the directionality of these responses varied among these species. Several species, primarily meso‐carnivores as well as larger‐bodied species, like mule deer and black bears, were more detectable on gentle slopes than flat terrain. This pattern suggests that many species may use moderately steep terrain for the resources or heterogeneity they provide. Topographic position had comparatively less effect on species detection probabilities, suggesting that this variable does not have a strong effect on fine‐scale space use of animal species in mountainous regions. These relationships suggest that researchers should consider local terrain when siting camera traps in mountainous landscapes and analyzing survey data from such landscapes. Studies that compare the detection of mammal species at cameras deployed in close proximity will improve our understanding of fine‐scale topographic effects on mammal movement and detection.


A map of the study area. The right panel depicts May–October locations of GPS-collared black bears (Ursus americanus; N = 22; blue circles) and camera traps (N = 100; white stars near the centroid of black 49 km² grid squares) deployed in 2018 in western Nevada, USA. The left inset depicts an example of a core area (white polygon) enveloping a camera trap site (red star). Note that only a representative subset of the ~ 17,000 black bear GPS locations are depicted for clarity.
Basemap source: Esri, DigitalGlobe, GeoEye, Earthstar Geographics, CNES/Airbus DS, USDA, USGS, AeroGRID, IGN, and the GIS User Community
Posterior means (circles) and 95% credible intervals (lines) of parameters from an occupancy and site visit frequency model fit to data collected from 100 camera traps deployed in 2018–2019 in western Nevada, USA. The color depicts period (bears active: May–October; bears hibernating: December–April) and the line width indicates the value of inclusion parameters, which quantify the probability that a given covariate is in the best model. The bear covariate indicates the effect of being within a black bear core area, while the prey covariate quantifies the effect of prey (rodent and lagomorph) availability
Predicted mesocarnivore occurrence probability and site visit frequency at locations inside (red) and outside (blue) black bear (Ursus americanus) core areas. Circles are mean predictions and lines are 95% credible intervals from a model fit to data collected from 100 camera traps deployed from May 2018 to April 2019 in western Nevada, USA. The color depicts period (bears active: May–October; bears hibernating: December–April)
Temporal activity patterns of mesocarnivores captured on camera traps inside (red; N = 20 sites) and outside (blue; N = 80 sites) black bear (Ursus americanus) core areas during periods where bears were active (May–October 2018) or hibernating (December 2018–April 2019) in western Nevada, USA. Values indicate the proportion of activity overlap inside vs. outside black bear core areas for each mesocarnivore species (gray shaded regions), with 95% bootstrapped confidence intervals in parentheses
An apex carnivore’s life history mediates a predator cascade

May 2021

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454 Reads

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18 Citations

Oecologia

Apex predators can shape communities via cascading top–down effects, but the degree to which such effects depend on predator life history traits is largely unknown. Within carnivore guilds, complex hierarchies of dominance facilitate coexistence, whereby subordinate species avoid dominant counterparts by partitioning space, time, or both. We investigated whether a major life history trait (hibernation) in an apex carnivore (black bears Ursus americanus) mediated its top–down effects on the spatio-temporal dynamics of three sympatric mesocarnivore species (coyotes Canis latrans, bobcats Lynx rufus, and gray foxes Urocyon cinereoargenteus) across a 15,000 km² landscape in the western USA. We compared top–down, bottom–up, and environmental effects on these mesocarnivores using an integrated modeling approach. Black bears exerted top–down effects that varied as a function of hibernation and were stronger than bottom–up or environmental impacts. High black bear activity in summer and fall appeared to buffer the most subordinate mesocarnivore (gray foxes) from competition with dominant mesocarnivores (coyotes and bobcats), which were in turn released by black bear hibernation in winter and early spring. The mesocarnivore responses occurred in space (i.e., altered occupancy and site visitation intensity) rather than time (i.e., diel activity patterns unaffected). These results suggest that the spatio-temporal dynamics of mesocarnivores in this system were principally shaped by a spatial predator cascade of interference competition mediated by black bear hibernation. Thus, certain life history traits of apex predators might facilitate coexistence among competing species over broad time scales, with complex implications for lower trophic levels.

Citations (5)


... Several squirrel species (eastern gray squirrel, eastern chipmunk, and 13-lined ground squirrel), in particular, clearly had the majority of their extra-range observations beyond the northern limits of their range, suggesting that the ranges of these species may be expanding into regions that were previously too cold. Indeed, although this pattern was not apparent for western gray squirrel using our data, Sultaire et al. (2024) suggest that this species is shifting its range as expected in response to climate change. Perhaps sciurids are particularly well adapted to respond to climate compared to other mammalian taxa. ...

Reference:

Mammals on the Margins: Identifying the Drivers and Limitations of Range Expansion
Range expansion of a declining forest species, the Western Gray Squirrel ( Sciurus griseus ), into semiarid woodland

Journal of Mammalogy

... However, species richness is a fairly coarse metric of carnivore diversity, and our results do not account for differences in abundance or population performance of species across the ecotone. Pi ñon-juniper could represent a habitat sink for forest species such as black bears (Sultaire et al. 2023 ) or species characteristic of open habitats such as kit foxes, and not support positive growth rates for all species in the community. ...

Spatial patterns of reproduction suggest marginal habitat limits continued range expansion of black bears at a forest‐desert ecotone

... Although American black bears are the most closely related species to the grizzly bear in present-day California, they are morphologically and behaviorally different from grizzly bears and can live in greater numbers in human-dominated landscapes (Penteriani and Melletti, 2021). At the time of our analysis, data on black bear habitat use and population numbers in our study region was based on analyses over a decade old (California Department of Fish and Wildlife, 2024;Fusaro et al., 2017;Sultaire et al., 2023) and credible statewide estimates ranged widely from 25,000 to 75,000 (California Department of Fish and Wildlife, 2024). ...

Black bear density and habitat use variation at the Sierra Nevada‐Great Basin Desert transition
  • Citing Article
  • January 2023

Journal of Wildlife Management

... Wildlife behavior influences vegetation and complex terrain of the environment (Barry et al., 2021;Sultaire et al., 2023; F I G U R E 2 Camera-captured sample image (a) along wind farm management road and (b) in the forest. Photo credit: Seong-Hyeon Kim. ...

The influence of fine‐scale topography on detection of a mammal assemblage at camera traps in a mountainous landscape

... Black bears are generally assumed to be dominant over mountain lions because bears usurp mountain lion kills, although research suggests mountain lions kill more black bears than the reverse, making their dominance hierarchy ambiguous (Elbroch & Kusler, 2018;Ruprecht et al., 2021). However, we expected black bears and mountain lions were dominant over bobcats and coyotes because both larger predators are much bigger than either mesopredator, mountain lions frequently kill coyotes (Brunet et al., 2022;Ruprecht et al., 2021), and coyote visitation rate increased in black bear core areas when bears were hibernating (i.e., temporarily absent; Moll et al., 2021). Finally, we expected coyotes were dominant over bobcats because of their larger size, more social behavior, and have been documented killing bobcats (Kamler & Gipson, 2004). ...

An apex carnivore’s life history mediates a predator cascade

Oecologia