Pablo Cabrera-Álvarez’s research while affiliated with Fundación Española para la Ciencia y la Tecnología and other places

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Publications (15)


Weighted means for trust in scientists across countries and regions (1 = very low, 3 = neither high nor low, 5 = very high)
Total n = 69,527. Country ns range between 312 and 8,014 (see Supplementary Information for a detailed overview). The vertical line denotes the weighted grand mean. The horizontal lines indicate means ± standard errors. Country-level standard errors range between 0.008 and 0.133.
Standardized estimates of weighted blockwise multilevel regression models testing the association of trust in scientists with demographic characteristics, ideological views, attitudes towards science and country-level indicators (random intercepts across countries)
The dots indicate point estimates of fixed effects, and the horizontal lines indicate 95% CIs based on two-sided t-tests. Estimates for gender (male) indicate the association of identifying as male and trust in scientists, where 0 = female and 1 = male. Estimates for education (tertiary) indicate the association of having tertiary education and trust in scientists, where 0 = no tertiary education and 1 = tertiary education. Estimates for residence place (urban) indicate the association of living in an urban vs rural place of residence, where 0 = rural and 1 = urban. Estimates for political orientation (right) indicate the association of right-leaning vs left-leaning political orientation and trust in scientists, where 1 = strongly left-leaning and 5 = strongly right-leaning. Estimates for political orientation (conservative) indicate the association of conservative vs liberal political orientation and trust in scientists, where 1 = strongly liberal and 5 = strongly conservative. Bold indicates effects significant at P < 0.05. Block 1 uses data from all 68 countries, block 2 uses data from 67 countries (all except Malaysia, where SDO was not measured), block 3 uses data from 66 countries (all except Malaysia and Mexico, where willingness to be vulnerable to science was not measured) and block 4 uses data from 51 countries (all except those where PISA’s literacy scores were not available; Supplementary Information). The full regression results are reported in Supplementary Table 2. The results of exploratory analyses with individual trust dimensions are reported in Supplementary Figs. 4–7. GDP, gross domestic product; Govt, government.
Relationship of political orientation measures and trust in scientists
a,b, Standardized country-level effects of political orientation (in a, 1 = strongly left-leaning to 5 = strongly right-leaning; in b, 1 = strongly liberal to 5 = strongly conservative) on trust in scientists (1 = very low, 3 = neither high nor low, 5 = very high). These effects are sums of the grand effect for political orientation across all countries and the random effect within each country; they were estimated with weighted linear multilevel regressions that contained random intercepts and random slopes for political orientation (left–right in a and liberal–conservative in b) across countries. These models control for demographic characteristics. Two-sided t-tests of the estimates used percentile bootstrapping. Countries with significant country-level effects (P < 0.05) are displayed in colours. Countries coloured in shades of blue show a positive country-level association of left-leaning (a) or liberal (b) orientation and trust in scientists (that is, right-leaning people or conservatives have lower trust). Countries coloured in shades of red show a positive country-level association of right-leaning (a) or conservative (b) orientation and trust in scientists (that is, left-leaning people or liberals have lower trust). Countries with non-significant effects are shaded in dark grey. Countries with no available data are shaded in light grey.
Normative perceptions of scientists in society and policymaking
Normative perceptions of scientists in society and policymaking using weighted response probabilities.
Perceived research priorities for four goals of scientific research and desired research priorities
The grey horizontal lines indicate the discrepancy between perceived research priorities (“Science aims to tackle this goal”; blue) and desired priorities (“Scientists should prioritize this goal”; red). The P values indicate the results of weighted paired-samples, two-sided t-tests for significant differences between perceived priorities and desired priorities.
Trust in scientists and their role in society across 68 countries
  • Article
  • Full-text available

January 2025

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1,170 Reads

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29 Citations

Nature Human Behaviour

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Sebastian Berger

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Rolf A. Zwaan

Science is crucial for evidence-based decision-making. Public trust in scientists can help decision makers act on the basis of the best available evidence, especially during crises. However, in recent years the epistemic authority of science has been challenged, causing concerns about low public trust in scientists. We interrogated these concerns with a preregistered 68-country survey of 71,922 respondents and found that in most countries, most people trust scientists and agree that scientists should engage more in society and policymaking. We found variations between and within countries, which we explain with individual- and country-level variables, including political orientation. While there is no widespread lack of trust in scientists, we cannot discount the concern that lack of trust in scientists by even a small minority may affect considerations of scientific evidence in policymaking. These findings have implications for scientists and policymakers seeking to maintain and increase trust in scientists.

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Valid sample size across countries.
Overview of constructs included in the TISP core questionnaire.
Data collection periods across countries.
Flow chart of data pre-processing steps.
Perceptions of science, science communication, and climate change attitudes in 68 countries – the TISP dataset

January 2025

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1,054 Reads

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12 Citations

Scientific Data

Science is integral to society because it can inform individual, government, corporate, and civil society decision-making on issues such as public health, new technologies or climate change. Yet, public distrust and populist sentiment challenge the relationship between science and society. To help researchers analyse the science-society nexus across different geographical and cultural contexts, we undertook a cross-sectional population survey resulting in a dataset of 71,922 participants in 68 countries. The data were collected between November 2022 and August 2023 as part of the global Many Labs study “Trust in Science and Science-Related Populism” (TISP). The questionnaire contained comprehensive measures for individuals’ trust in scientists, science-related populist attitudes, perceptions of the role of science in society, science media use and communication behaviour, attitudes to climate change and support for environmental policies, personality traits, political and religious views and demographic characteristics. Here, we describe the dataset, survey materials and psychometric properties of key variables. We encourage researchers to use this unique dataset for global comparative analyses on public perceptions of science and its role in society and policy-making.


Benefits of increasing the value of respondent incentives during the course of a longitudinal mixed-mode survey

January 2025

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8 Reads


Text Messages to Incentivise Response in a Web-First Sequential Mixed-Mode Survey

June 2024

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15 Reads

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1 Citation

This article reports research exploring the benefits of adding text messages to the contact strategy in the context of a sequential mixed-mode design where telephone interviewer administration follows a web phase. In a web-first mixed-mode survey, supplementing the contact strategy with text messages can help increase the response rate at the web phase and, consequently, reduce fieldwork efforts at the interviewer-administered phase. We present results from a survey experiment embedded in wave 11 of Understanding Society in which the usual contact strategy of emails and letters was supplemented with text messages. Effects of the text messages on survey response and fieldwork efforts were assessed. In addition, we also investigated the impact of SMS on the device selected to complete the survey, time to response, and sample balance. The results show a weak effect of the SMS reminders on response during the web fieldwork. However, this positive effect did not significantly reduce fieldwork effort.


Text Messages to Facilitate the Transition to Web-First Sequential Mixed-Mode Designs in Longitudinal Surveys

March 2024

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8 Reads

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3 Citations

Journal of Survey Statistics and Methodology

This article is concerned with the transition of a longitudinal survey from a single-mode design to a web-first mixed-mode design and the role that text messages to sample members can play in smoothing that transition. We present the results of an experiment that investigates the effects of augmenting the contact strategy of letters and emails with text messages, inviting the sample members to complete a web questionnaire and reminding them of the invite. The experiment was conducted in a subsample of Understanding Society, a household panel survey in the United Kingdom, in the wave that transitioned from a CAPI-only design to a sequential design combining web and CATI. In the experiment, a quarter of the sample received letters and emails, while the rest received between one and three text messages with a personalized link to the questionnaire. We examine the effect of the text messages on response rates, both at the web phase of a sequential design and at the end of the fieldwork after a CATI follow-up phase, and explore various mechanisms that might drive the increase in response rates. We also look at the effects on the device used to complete the survey and field efforts needed at the CATI stage. The findings indicate that text messages did not help to significantly increase response rates overall, although some subgroups benefited from them, such as panel members who had not provided an email or postal address before. Likewise, the text messages increased web completion among younger panel members and those with an irregular response pattern. We only found a slight and nonsignificant effect on smartphone use and no effect on the web household response rate, a proxy for fieldwork efforts.


Trust in scientists and their role in society across 68 countries

February 2024

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1,545 Reads

Scientific information is crucial for evidence-based decision-making. Public trust in science can help decision-makers act based on the best available evidence, especially during crises such as climate change or the COVID-19 pandemic. However, in recent years the epistemic authority of science has been challenged, causing concerns about low public trust in scientists. Here we interrogated these concerns with a pre-registered 67-country survey of 71,417 respondents on all inhabited continents and find that in most countries, a majority of the public trust scientists and think that scientists should be more engaged in policymaking. We further show that there is a discrepancy between the public's perceived and desired priorities of scientific research. Moreover, we find variations between and within countries, which we explain with individual-and country-level variables, including political orientation. While these results do not show widespread lack of trust in scientists, we cannot discount the concern that lack of trust in scientists by even a small minority may affect considerations of scientific evidence in policymaking. These findings have implications for scientists and policymakers seeking to maintain and increase trust in scientists.


Trust in scientists and their role in society across 67 countries

February 2024

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1,340 Reads

Scientific information is crucial for evidence-based decision-making. Public trust in science can help decision-makers act based on the best available evidence, especially during crises such as climate change or the COVID-19 pandemic 1,2. However, in recent years the epistemic authority of science has been challenged, causing concerns about low public trust in scientists 3. Here we interrogated these concerns with a pre-registered 67-country survey of 71,417 respondents on all inhabited continents and find that in most countries, a majority of the public trust scientists and think that scientists should be more engaged in policymaking. We further show that there is a discrepancy between the public's perceived and desired priorities of scientific research. Moreover, we find variations between and within countries, which we explain with individual-and country-level variables, including political orientation. While these results do not show widespread lack of trust in scientists, we cannot discount the concern that lack of trust in scientists by even a small minority may affect considerations of scientific evidence in policymaking. These findings have implications for scientists and policymakers seeking to maintain and increase trust in scientists.


Sample composition and representativeness on Understanding Society

December 2023

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11 Reads

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6 Citations

Fiscal Studies

In this paper, we provide an overview of the sample design of Understanding Society and the consequent nature of design weights as well as a description of procedures that are implemented in order to maximise participation by sample members and procedures that are implemented to produce non‐response adjustments to the design weights. We then present some indicators of sample representativeness at the initial wave and of the impact that subsequent sample attrition has on this before concluding with some reflections on the nature of representativeness and estimation methods in the context of a highly complex sample design and complex patterns of missing data arising from non‐response.


Determinants of self-reported adherence to COVID-19 regulations in Spain: social norms, trust and risk perception

October 2022

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27 Reads

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15 Citations

Health Promotion International

Failure of individuals to voluntarily observe regulations and recommendations around mitigating COVID-19 (e.g. social distancing; frequent handwashing) is often cited as a reason why some countries struggled to curtail the spread of the virus. Understanding the factors that are associated with people’s willingness to comply with COVID-19 regulations and recommendations is an important step in helping policy makers and health officials reduce the impact of this (and future) pandemics. In the current study we examined this question in one of the countries hardest hit by the pandemic: Spain. A large, representative survey (N = 2100) revealed that several factors were positively associated with willingness to comply to COVID-19 regulations and recommendations. In decreasing order of predictive value, these were: (i) perceptions of whether friends and family were complying (i.e. norms), (ii) trust in science as a basis for lawmaking, (iii) perceived effectiveness of regulations and (iv) perception of risk of infection. These results point to the importance of influencing social norms as the primary way to improve adherence to the health regulations of COVID-19; more important than intrapsychic considerations such as efficacy and risk.


Cohort study on educational well-being of children of Chinese origin adopted into transracial and international families in the Spanish education system

February 2022

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18 Reads

The following dataset focuses on the educational well-being of adopted girls of Chinese origin in Spanish schools. Due to its characteristics, the presence of this group may generate complex interaction dynamics in school; particularly regarding bullying in school linked to factors such as the acceptance of others. These are dynamics, which may indeed condition the educational experience of this social group. Therefore, the aim of creating this dataset is to measure the educational well-being of children of Chinese origin adopted into transracial families in Spain. Although this research was justified by the lack of studies on this social group, we aimed to go one-step further, we also studied the correlation between this social group’s educational experience, and to what extent they show an interest in Chinese culture. As we have written before, we incorporated the concept of Well-Being and we worked with the following indicators: Satisfaction with Life, Social Life, and Bullying in School, Racial Bullying, Personal Identity and Interest in Chinese Culture. To achieve the objective set forth, we conducted a questionnaire. The final sample consisted of 268 individuals. The creation of this dataset provided us with information that can shed light on the relationship between adoption, race/ethnicity and the educational experience of adopted children of Chinese origin.


Citations (5)


... Hence, we analysed data from the Trust in Science and Science-Related Populism (TISP) Many labs study [19,20], which provides the largest snapshot to date of public trust in scientists. Participants (N = 69,534) from 68 countries indicated their trust in scientists in their country and trust in scientists working on climate change in their country. ...

Reference:

Gaps in public trust between scientists and climate scientists: a 68 country study
Perceptions of science, science communication, and climate change attitudes in 68 countries – the TISP dataset

Scientific Data

... Research has revealed food neophobia generally tends to decrease as people age but increase once they become elderly [4], while social elements such Department of Agriculture and the Food and Drug Administration [13][14][15]. Therefore, understanding public trust in science is a matter of global importance [17], as is understanding trust in the food system [14]. Investigating the nuances of consumer trust can not only shape communication with consumers but influence policy decisions in the broader food system [14]. ...

Trust in scientists and their role in society across 68 countries

Nature Human Behaviour

... Other strategies that have been shown to improve response rates in surveys have included the use of SMS text message reminders to enhance the contact method of letters and emails [14,15], using alternative motivational statements in invitation letters [16], and changing the font color of text [17]. In a United Kingdom-based study investigating the effects of augmenting the contact strategy of letters and emails with SMS text messages for a web questionnaire, the findings indicated that SMS text messages did not help to significantly increase response rates overall, although some subgroups benefited from them, such as younger panel members and those with an irregular response pattern [15]. ...

Text Messages to Facilitate the Transition to Web-First Sequential Mixed-Mode Designs in Longitudinal Surveys
  • Citing Article
  • March 2024

Journal of Survey Statistics and Methodology

... Moreover, people often align their behavior with the norms and expectations of their social groups. If heightened risk perception aligns with strong social norms promoting preventive behaviors (e.g., vaccination and hand hygiene), individuals are more likely to follow these practices (38). A significant positive correlation was observed between risk perception and informational subjective norms (25), exemplified by Chinese parents who, perceiving higher risks regarding vaccine safety, feel a greater expectation of staying informed about vaccinerelated issues. ...

Determinants of self-reported adherence to COVID-19 regulations in Spain: social norms, trust and risk perception

Health Promotion International

... Un tercer grupo de trabajos se han concentrado en identificar el valor de los algoritmos para el desarrollo de simulaciones, y han recalcado cómo estos han contribuido en el Modelamiento y Simulación Basado en Agentes (ABMS) para la comprensión y explicación de los fenómenos sociales, su emergencia, evolución y adaptación más que la predicción típica de los demás tipos de simulación (Díaz & Domínguez, 2013). También se ha destacado la utilidad que tiene el Big Data y el uso de algoritmos en los estudios de opinión pública, destacándose su aporte tanto en el proceso de recolección de información en redes o plataformas digitales, hasta sus aportes en los análisis de información y en la identificación de patrones de opinión (Cabrera-Álvarez, 2022;González, 2019;Gualda, 2022;Mamaqi et al., 2021;Porter et al., 2020;Tu et al., 2021). ...

Survey Research in Times of Big Data

Empiria Revista de metodología de ciencias sociales