Oscar Patterson-Lomba’s research while affiliated with Analysis Group and other places

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Publications (27)


Systematic review and network meta-analysis comparing the efficacy of fezolinetant with hormone and nonhormone therapies for treatment of vasomotor symptoms due to menopause
  • Literature Review
  • Full-text available

November 2023

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81 Reads

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19 Citations

Menopause (New York, N.Y.)

Antonia Morga

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Mayank Ajmera

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Emily Gao

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[...]

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Risa Kagan

Importance The neurokinin 3 receptor antagonist fezolinetant 45 mg/d significantly reduced frequency/severity of moderate to severe vasomotor symptoms (VMS) of menopause compared with placebo in two phase 3 randomized controlled trials. Its efficacy relative to available therapies is unknown. Objective We conducted a systematic review and Bayesian network meta-analysis to compare efficacy with fezolinetant 45 mg and hormone therapy (HT) and non-HT for VMS in postmenopausal women. Evidence Review Using OvidSP, we systematically searched multiple databases for phase 3 or 4 randomized controlled trials in postmenopausal women with ≥7 moderate to severe VMS per day or ≥50 VMS per week published/presented in English through June 25, 2021. Mean change in frequency and severity of moderate to severe VMS from baseline to week 12 and proportion of women with ≥75% reduction in VMS frequency at week 12 were assessed using fixed-effect models. Findings The network meta-analysis included data from the pooled phase 3 fezolinetant trials plus 23 comparator publications across the outcomes analyzed (frequency, 19 [34 regimens]; severity, 6 [7 regimens]; ≥75% response, 9 [15 regimens]). Changes in VMS frequency did not differ significantly between fezolinetant 45 mg and any of the 27 HT regimens studied. Fezolinetant 45 mg reduced the frequency of moderate to severe VMS events per day significantly more than all non-HTs evaluated: paroxetine 7.5 mg (mean difference [95% credible interval {CrI}], 1.66 [0.63-2.71]), desvenlafaxine 50 to 200 mg (mean differences [95% CrI], 1.12 [0.10-2.13] to 2.16 [0.90-3.40]), and gabapentin ER 1800 mg (mean difference [95% CrI], 1.63 [0.48-2.81]), and significantly more than placebo (mean difference, 2.78 [95% CrI], 1.93-3.62]). Tibolone 2.5 mg (the only HT regimen evaluable for severity) significantly reduced VMS severity compared with fezolinetant 45 mg. Fezolinetant 45 mg significantly reduced VMS severity compared with desvenlafaxine 50 mg and placebo and did not differ significantly from higher desvenlafaxine doses or gabapentin ER 1800 mg. For ≥75% responder rates, fezolinetant 45 mg was less effective than tibolone 2.5 mg (not available in the United States) and conjugated estrogens 0.625 mg/bazedoxifene 20 mg (available only as 0.45 mg/20 mg in the United States), did not differ significantly from other non-HT regimens studied and was superior to desvenlafaxine 50 mg and placebo. Conclusions The only HT regimens that showed significantly greater efficacy than fezolinetant 45 mg on any of the outcomes analyzed are not available in the United States. Fezolinetant 45 mg once daily was statistically significantly more effective than other non-HTs in reducing the frequency of moderate to severe VMS. Relevance These findings may inform decision making with regard to the individualized management of bothersome VMS due to menopause.

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Study design and dosing for patients with migraine. EM, episodic migraine; CM, chronic migraine; MMD, monthly migraine days; MHD, monthly headache days; HIT-6, 6-item Headache Impact Test; MIDAS, Migraine Disability Assessment. aMigraine diagnosis could have been established before 12 months pre-index, but data were extracted as close to fremanezumab initiation as possible. bBaseline patient information (eg, comorbidities, prior treatments) were collected over 12 months pre-index, while baseline clinical outcomes (eg, MMD, MHD, HIT-6, MIDAS) were collected during the 3 months pre-index
Effectiveness outcomes by change from baseline in MMD: A) total population; B) dosing schedule subgroups; C) prior treatment failures subgroups. BL, baseline; MMD, monthly migraine days; Q, quarterly; M, monthly. aNumber of patients with available assessment at each time point
Effectiveness outcomes by proportion of patients with a ≥ 50% reduction from baseline in MMD: A) total population; B) dosing schedule subgroups; C) prior treatment failures subgroups. BL, baseline; MMD, monthly migraine days; Q, quarterly; M, monthly. aNumber of patients with available assessment at each time point
Effectiveness outcomes by change from baseline in MHD: A) total population; B) dosing schedule subgroups; C) prior treatment failures subgroups. BL, baseline; MHD, monthly headache days; Q, quarterly; M, monthly. aNumber of patients with available assessment at each time point
Effectiveness outcomes by change from baseline in HIT-6 scores: A) total population; B) dosing schedule subgroups; C) prior treatment failures subgroups. BL, baseline; HIT-6, 6-item Headache Impact Test; Q, quarterly; M, monthly. aNumber of patients with available assessment at each time point

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Real-world effectiveness of fremanezumab in migraine patients initiating treatment in the United States: results from a retrospective chart study

December 2022

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122 Reads

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16 Citations

The Journal of Headache and Pain

Background The efficacy and tolerability of fremanezumab, a fully humanized monoclonal antibody (IgG2Δa) that selectively targets calcitonin gene-related peptide (CGRP) and is approved for the preventive treatment of migraine in adults, have been demonstrated in randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trials. Real-world data can further support those clinical trial data and demonstrate the full clinical benefits of fremanezumab. This chart review assessed the effectiveness of fremanezumab for improving clinical outcomes in adult patients with migraine treated according to real-world clinical practice. Methods This retrospective, panel-based, online physician chart review study used electronic case report forms with US physicians. Patient inclusion criteria were a physician diagnosis of migraine, fremanezumab treatment initiation at ≥ 18 years of age after US Food and Drug Administration approval, ≥ 1 dose of fremanezumab treatment, and ≥ 2 assessments of monthly migraine days (MMD; 1 within 30 days before treatment initiation and ≥ 1 after initiation). Changes from baseline in MMD, monthly headache days (MHD), and Migraine Disability Assessment (MIDAS) and 6-item Headache Impact Test (HIT-6) scores were assessed over 6 months. These endpoints were evaluated in the overall population and subgroups divided by dosing schedule and number of prior migraine preventive treatment failures. Results This study included data from 421 clinicians and 1003 patients. Mean age at fremanezumab initiation was 39.7 years, and most patients were female (75.8%). In the overall population, mean baseline MMD and MHD were 12.7 and 14.0, respectively. Mean (percent) reductions from baseline in MMD and MHD, respectively, were − 4.6 (36.2%) and − 4.7 (33.6%) at Month 1, − 6.7 (52.8%) and − 6.8 (48.6%) at Month 3, and − 9.2 (72.4%) and − 9.8 (70.0%) at Month 6. Mean (percent) reductions from baseline in MIDAS and HIT-6 scores also increased over the 6-month study period, from − 6.2 (21.6%) and − 8.4 (14.0%) at Month 1 to − 18.1 (63.1%) and − 16.2 (27.0%) at Month 6, respectively. Improvements in these outcomes over 6 months were observed across all evaluated subgroups. Conclusions This real-world study demonstrated effectiveness of fremanezumab treatment for up to 6 months, irrespective of dosing regimen or number of prior migraine preventive treatment failures, reflecting ongoing, clinically meaningful improvements in patient outcomes.


Change from baseline in MMD across patient subgroups. BL, baseline; CGRP, calcitonin gene-related peptide; CM, chronic migraine; EM, episodic migraine; GAD, generalized anxiety disorder; mAb, monoclonal antibody; MDD, major depressive disorder; MMD, monthly migraine days; MO, medication overuse. aNumber of patients with available assessment at each time point
Proportion of patients with ≥ 50% reduction from baseline in MMD across patient subgroups. CGRP, calcitonin gene-related peptide; CM, chronic migraine; EM, episodic migraine; GAD, generalized anxiety disorder; mAb, monoclonal antibody; MDD, major depressive disorder; MMD, monthly migraine days; MO, medication overuse. aNumber of patients with available assessment at each time point
Change in MDD and GAD severity. GAD, generalized anxiety disorder; MDD, major depressive disorder
Change from baseline in MHD across patient subgroups. BL, baseline; CGRP, calcitonin gene-related peptide; CM, chronic migraine; EM, episodic migraine; GAD, generalized anxiety disorder; mAb, monoclonal antibody; MDD, major depressive disorder; MHD, monthly headache days; MO, medication overuse. aNumber of patients with available assessment at each time point
Real-world effectiveness after initiating fremanezumab treatment in US patients with episodic and chronic migraine or difficult-to-treat migraine

December 2022

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114 Reads

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36 Citations

The Journal of Headache and Pain

Background Fremanezumab, a fully humanized monoclonal antibody (mAb; IgG2Δa) that selectively targets calcitonin gene-related peptide (CGRP), is approved for the preventive treatment of migraine in adults. The efficacy and safety of fremanezumab for migraine prevention have been demonstrated in randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trials. Real-world effectiveness data are needed to complement clinical trial data. This study assessed the effectiveness of fremanezumab across different subgroups of adult patients with episodic migraine (EM), chronic migraine (CM), or difficult-to-treat (DTT) migraine in real-world clinical settings. Methods This retrospective, panel-based online chart review used electronic case report forms. Patient inclusion criteria were a physician diagnosis of EM or CM; age ≥ 18 years at the time of first fremanezumab initiation; ≥ 1 dose of fremanezumab treatment; ≥ 1 follow-up visit since first initiation; and ≥ 2 measurements of monthly migraine days (MMD; with 1 within a month before or at first initiation and ≥ 1 after first initiation). Changes in MMD and monthly headache days were assessed during the follow-up period. These endpoints were evaluated in subgroups of patients by migraine type (EM/CM) and in subgroups with DTT migraine (diagnosis of medication overuse [MO], major depressive disorder [MDD], generalized anxiety disorder [GAD], or prior exposure to a different CGRP pathway–targeted mAb [CGRP mAb]). Results Data were collected from 421 clinicians and 1003 patients. Mean (percent) reductions from baseline in MMD at Month 6 were − 7.7 (77.0%) in EM patients, − 10.1 (68.7%) in CM patients, − 10.8 (80.6%) in the MO subgroup, − 9.9 (68.3%) in the MDD subgroup, − 9.5 (66.4%) in the GAD subgroup, and − 9.0 (68.7%) in the prior CGRP mAb exposure subgroup. Improvements in MDD or GAD severity were reported by 45.5% and 45.8% of patients with comorbid MDD or GAD, respectively. Conclusions In this real-world study, fremanezumab demonstrated effectiveness for migraine regardless of migraine type or the presence of factors contributing to DTT migraine (MO, GAD, MDD, or prior exposure to a different CGRP mAb).


Figure 1. Inclusion flowchart.
Figure 2. Kaplan Meier probability of death for PREDS individual parameters in the training sample (N = 279).
Figure 3. Estimated risk of death and survival probability for a low (Score 0−5), Medium (Score 6−9), or High (Score 10−13) PREDS score.
Baseline characteristics (N=711).
Care, treatment and outcome (N=711).
Development of the PREDS score to predict in-hospital mortality of patients with Ebola virus disease under advanced supportive care: Results from the EVISTA cohort in the Democratic Republic of the Congo

October 2022

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110 Reads

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9 Citations

EClinicalMedicine

Background: As mortality remains high for patients with Ebola virus disease (EVD) despite new treatment options, the ability to level up the provided supportive care and to predict the risk of death is of major importance. This analysis of the EVISTA cohort aims to describe advanced supportive care provided to EVD patients in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) and to develop a simple risk score for predicting in-hospital death, called PREDS. Methods: In this prospective cohort (NCT04815175), patients were recruited during the 10th EVD outbreak in the DRC across three Ebola Treatment Centers (ETCs). Demographic, clinical, biological, virological and treatment data were collected. We evaluated factors known to affect the risk of in-hospital death and applied univariate and multivariate Cox proportional-hazards analyses to derive the risk score in a training dataset. We validated the score in an internal-validation dataset, applying C-statistics as a measure of discrimination. Findings: Between August 1st 2018 and December 31th 2019, 711 patients were enrolled in the study. Regarding supportive care, patients received vasopressive drug (n = 111), blood transfusion (n = 101), oxygen therapy (n = 250) and cardio-pulmonary ultrasound (n = 15). Overall, 323 (45%) patients died before day 28. Six independent prognostic factors were identified (ALT, creatinine, modified NEWS2 score, viral load, age and symptom duration). The final score range from 0 to 13 points, with a good concordance (C = 86.24%) and calibration with the Hosmer-Lemeshow test (p = 0.12). Interpretation: The implementation of advanced supportive care is possible for EVD patients in emergency settings. PREDS is a simple, accurate tool that could help in orienting early advanced care for at-risk patients after external validation. Funding: This study was funded by ALIMA.





Prevalence of post-traumatic stress disorder in the United States: a systematic literature review

September 2021

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437 Reads

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145 Citations

Objective This study synthesized evidence regarding the prevalence of post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) in the United States (US). Methods A systematic literature review (SLR) identified recently published (2015-2019) observational studies of PTSD prevalence in the US via the MEDLINE, EMBASE, and PsycINFO databases. Eligible studies’ most recent data were collected no earlier than 2013. Data elements extracted included study design, sample size, location, data source/year(s), study population(s), traumatic event type, prevalance estimates with corresponding lookback periods, and clinical metrics. Results Data from 38 identified articles were categorized by population, diagnostic criteria, and lookback period. Among civilians, point prevalence ranged from 8.0% to 56.7%, one-year prevalence from 2.3% to 9.1%, and lifetime prevalence from 3.4% to 26.9%. In military populations, point prevalence ranged from 1.2% to 87.5%, one-year prevalence from 6.7% to 50.2%, and lifetime prevalence from 7.7% to 17.0%. Within these ranges, several estimates were derived from relatively high quality data; these articles are highlighted in the review. Prevalence was elevated in subpopulations including emergency responders, refugees, American Indian/Alaska Natives, individuals with heavy substance use, individuals with a past suicide attempt, trans-masculine individuals, and women with prior military sexual trauma. Female sex, lower income, younger age, and behavioral health conditions were identified as risk factors for PTSD. Conclusions PTSD prevalence estimates varied widely, partly due to different study designs, populations, and methodologies, and recent nationally representative estimates were lacking. Efforts to increase PTSD screening and improve disease awareness may allow for a better detection and management of PTSD.




Citations (19)


... The anti-calcitonin gene-related peptide monoclonal antibodies (anti-CGRP-mAb) represent one of the newest developments in the field of migraine therapies. Their benefit has been clearly demonstrated in placebo-controlled trials, [1][2][3][4][5][6][7][8] and multiple centres have reported benefit in patients with severe migraine phenotypes with prior failure of multiple conventional therapies including onabotulinum-toxinA. [9][10][11][12][13][14][15] As highly targeted therapies, modulating CGRP or its receptor, they also demonstrate good tolerability, especially when compared with standard preventive migraine therapies such as topiramate. [16][17][18] Despite this, those treated not infrequently fail to respond or derive limited benefit from an anti-CGRP-mAb drug or develop intolerable side effects necessitating discontinuation. ...

Reference:

Switching anti-CGRP monoclonal antibodies in chronic migraine: real-world observations of erenumab, fremanezumab and galcanezumab Original research
Real-world Reductions in Migraine and Headache Days for Patients With Chronic and Episodic Migraine Initiating Fremanezumab in the US (4171)
  • Citing Article
  • April 2021

Neurology

... Currently, medication is the primary symptom management measure for hot flashes, and hormone replacement therapy (HRT) is the most widely used. Although HRT has achieved some positive results in improving hot flashes, there are side effects such as headache, nausea, palpitations and other uncomfortable symptoms, and even increase the risk of recurrence of hormonereceptor-positive breast cancer (5). In addition to hormone replacement therapy, non-hormonal drugs also have certain clinical applications, including antidepressants, such as venlafaxine and paroxetine; anticonvulsants, such as gabapentin and pregabalin; as well as other medications, such as clonidine and oxybutynin, etc. ...

Systematic review and network meta-analysis comparing the efficacy of fezolinetant with hormone and nonhormone therapies for treatment of vasomotor symptoms due to menopause

Menopause (New York, N.Y.)

... rapid stabilisation of vital organ functions, while considering characteristics of EVD. 3,4,10,19,20,50 In this series, at least four of the 13 EVD patients needed O 2 therapy early during ETC admission and may have benefited from noninvasive respiratory support. Over 70% of Ebola patients treated in Europe or the United States required supplemental O 2 , noninvasive or invasive respiratory support during their illness. ...

Development of the PREDS score to predict in-hospital mortality of patients with Ebola virus disease under advanced supportive care: Results from the EVISTA cohort in the Democratic Republic of the Congo

EClinicalMedicine

... Post-matching for documented prognostic/predictive factors, these populations were even more similar. ITCs and external comparisons are considered useful tools for treatment decision-making and are used by regulatory agencies and reimbursement authorities in SMA and other neuromuscular diseases [27,40,[54][55][56][57][58][59][60][61]. We acknowledge that ITCs carry their own strengths and limitations and are not a replacement for high-quality, randomized clinical trials. ...

P59 Comparative Efficacy and Safety of Ozanimod and Ponesimod for Relapsing Multiple Sclerosis: A Matching-Adjusted Indirect Comparison
  • Citing Article
  • July 2022

Value in Health

... Finally, the response was also negatively influenced by the two main comorbidities suffered by our patients, anxiety-depression and/or fibromyalgia, though only the presence of anxiety-depression was actually associated with a poorer response after the multivariate analysis. Again, our results concur with those found in previous work [36], though the efficacy of fremanezumab in patients with anxiety-depression has been demonstrated in controlled [37] and real-life studies [38]. ...

Real-world effectiveness after initiating fremanezumab treatment in US patients with episodic and chronic migraine or difficult-to-treat migraine

The Journal of Headache and Pain

... Fremanezumab, a humanized mAb that selectively targets both isoforms of CGRP, is US Food and Drug Administration (FDA)-approved for both quarterly and monthly subcutaneous dosing in adults [8]. Fremanezumab has demonstrated effectiveness over 6-12 months in the reduction of monthly migraine days (MMD) and monthly headache days (MHD) of at least moderate severity, along with improvements in disability outcomes, in Phase 3 extension studies and real-world studies in patients with migraine [6,[9][10][11][12][13]. These improvements in clinical symptoms have been observed with both monthly and quarterly fremanezumab dosing regimens in patients with episodic migraine (EM) and chronic migraine (CM), including those with multiple prior migraine preventive treatment failures, psychiatric comorbidities, and acute medication overuse in a real-world setting [10,11]. ...

Real-world effectiveness of fremanezumab in migraine patients initiating treatment in the United States: results from a retrospective chart study

The Journal of Headache and Pain

... -En EE.UU. se analizaron 98 pacientes tratados con fremanezumab que ya habían probado otro anti-CGRP, observándose una reducción del 58,9% en los días de migraña al mes 18 . -Otro estudio estadounidense incluyó a 121 pacientes que realizaron switching: 37 pacientes de erenumab a galcanezumab, 40 pacientes de erenumab a fremanezumab y 19 pacientes de galcanezumab a erenumab. ...

POSA28 Reductions in Migraine and Headache Days After Initiating Fremanezumab for Patients with Migraine and Prior Use of Another Monoclonal Antibody Targeting the CGRP Pathway in a US Real-World Setting
  • Citing Article
  • January 2022

Value in Health

... Accordingly, a recent clinical trial involving children in Sierra Leone demonstrated that a booster dose of Ad26.ZEBOV administered to those who had undergone the two-dose Ad26.ZEBOV and MVA-BN-Filo vaccine regimen over three years earlier was well tolerated and induced a rapid and robust increase in binding antibodies against Ebola virus 34 . Our data may also provide information about low responders to the vaccines 14 and/or potential breakthrough infections despite EBOV vaccination 35,36 . There is still a lack of definitive evidence concerning the protective efficacy of the natural immune response following EVD. ...

Development of the PREDS Score to Predict In-Hospital Mortality of Patients With Ebola Virus Disease Under Advanced Supportive Care: Results From the EVISTA Cohort in the Democratic Republic of the Congo
  • Citing Article
  • January 2021

SSRN Electronic Journal

... The condition is characterized by intrusive memories, avoidance behaviors, and alterations in cognitive and emotional processes (DSM 5-TR, 2022). A systematic review of recently published observational studies (2015-2019) on PTSD in the US revealed significant variation in prevalence estimates due to differences in study designs (Schein et al., 2021). The 1-year prevalence ranged from a minimum of 2.3% to a maximum of 9.1%, and the lifetime prevalence from 3.4 to 26.9%. ...

Prevalence of post-traumatic stress disorder in the United States: a systematic literature review

... 67 Furthermore, uncertainty and sensitivity analyses could account for, for example, body weight or the limited representation of PD populations with specific demographic and clinical parameters resulting from inclusion criteria of clinical trials. 68,69 Closely connected to this issue, particularly in the absence of RCTs directly comparing the efficacy of drugs, network analyses can provide a useful tool for indirect comparisons, 70 but only if they are methodologically conducted well, namely if they account for heterogeneity of study populations and use individual patient data, 71 include reference arm adjustments, 72 or identify populations-of-interest in addition to conducting rigorous sensitivity analyses. 73 To date, network analyses of treatments of PD have not implemented these best practice measures, which may explain why their main result that as monotherapy selegiline was found to be to be more effective than levodopa in a study by Zhuo et al. 74 44,75 and all dopamine agonists. ...

Causal inference and adjustment for reference-arm risk in indirect treatment comparison meta-analysis
  • Citing Article
  • June 2020

Journal of Comparative Effectiveness Research