Olaf Dalkey Norman; Helmer’s research while affiliated with RAND Corporation and other places

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Publications (1)


An Experimental Application of the DELPHI Method to the Use of Experts
  • Article

April 1963

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555 Reads

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5,841 Citations

Management Science

Olaf Dalkey Norman; Helmer

This paper gives an account of an experiment in the use of the so-called DELPHI method, which was devised in order to obtain the most reliable opinion consensus of a group of experts by subjecting them to a series of questionnaires in depth interspersed with controlled opinion feedback.

Citations (1)


... Consequently, OEMs often prioritize a more static representation of expert domain knowledge, relying heavily on specialists and practitioners of a certain field (Spyns, Meersman & Jarrar, 2002), rather than the experiences of those impacted by policies. This approach is closer to group-based expert elicitation and consensus-building methods like DELPHI (Dalkey & Helmer, 1963;Khodyakov et al., 2023). In contrast, our framework has a broader public policy foundation, considering those affected by AI decision-making as primary stakeholders, and is in particular designed to be dynamic and responsive to evolving social, political, and technical contexts. ...

Reference:

Shaping an adaptive approach to address the ambiguity of fairness in AI: Theory, framework, and illustrations
An Experimental Application of the DELPHI Method to the Use of Experts
  • Citing Article
  • April 1963

Management Science