Nina Mazar’s research while affiliated with Boston University and other places

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Publications (75)


CHAPTER THIRTEEN Horizontally Scaling of Planning Prompt Interventions to Help Tax Compliance in Canada
  • Chapter

December 2024

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Nina Mažar

Study objectives
Overview of the five main objectives of the current megastudy, their motivation and related hypotheses. Icons adapted from flaticon.com.
Experimental design and tax evasion game
a,b, Overview of the experimental design (a) and tax evasion game (b) employed in the main study. Icons adapted from flaticon.com.
Average marginal effects of honesty oath interventions
Overview of average marginal effects based on an ordered beta regression for oath interventions compared to the control (no oath) condition (black dashed vertical line) in percentage point increases in tax compliance. The baseline oath level is shown as a grey dashed vertical line for comparison. The dots depict the average marginal effects, and the whiskers depict 95% CIs without correction for multiple comparisons. The asterisks define statistically significant interventions (based on adjusted P values, two-tailed): *Padj < .05; **Padj < .01; ***Padj < .001. Number of participants: for the control condition, n = 953; (0) n = 955; (1) n = 999; (2) n = 939; (3) n = 993; (4) n = 994; (5) n = 980; (6) n = 1,003; (7) n = 956; (8) n = 1,032; (9) n = 944; (10) n = 1,027; (11) n = 980; (12) n = 1,027; (13) n = 984; (14) n = 993; (15) n = 918; (16) n = 975; (17) n = 963; (18) n = 1,013; (19) n = 957; (20) n = 921. The test statistics and effect sizes are presented in Supplementary Table 24.
Average marginal effects depending on the type of intervention focus and dishonesty justification
a,b, Overview of average marginal effects based on an ordered beta regression for type of intervention focus (a) or dishonesty justification (DENIAL³²) categories (b) compared to the control (no oath) intervention (black dashed vertical line). The dots depict the average marginal effects, and the whiskers depict 95% CIs without correction for multiple comparisons. The asterisks define statistically significant interventions (based on adjusted P values, two-tailed): *Padj < 0.05; **Padj < 0.01; ***Padj < 0.001. Number of participants: (a) control, n = 953; situational—definition, n = 3,004; AI, n = 921; other—social norm, n = 1,970; situational—reformulation, n = 1,938; other—harm/gain, n = 5,958; baseline, n = 955; self—self-image, n = 2,856; other—social bond, n = 2,951; (b) control, n = 953; AI (all categories), n = 921; environment/social bond, n = 1,970; environment, n = 7,798; harm, n = 1,987; harm/target, n = 1,959; baseline, n = 955; harm/social bond, n = 2,012; social bond, n = 2,951. The test statistics are reported in Supplementary Tables 44–47.
Recommendations for effective ex ante honesty oath interventions
Practical recommendations for designing effective ex ante honesty oath interventions. The recommendations are based on the current and previous meta-analyses6,7,11 and need to be evaluated systematically in future studies to ascertain their effectiveness. Icons adapted from flaticon.com.
Effectiveness of ex ante honesty oaths in reducing dishonesty depends on content
  • Article
  • Publisher preview available

October 2024

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268 Reads

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3 Citations

Nature Human Behaviour

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Karolina A. Ścigała

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[...]

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Panagiotis Mitkidis

Dishonest behaviours such as tax evasion impose significant societal costs. Ex ante honesty oaths—commitments to honesty before action—have been proposed as interventions to counteract dishonest behaviour, but the heterogeneity in findings across operationalizations calls their effectiveness into question. We tested 21 honesty oaths (including a baseline oath)—proposed, evaluated and selected by 44 expert researchers—and a no-oath condition in a megastudy involving 21,506 UK and US participants from Prolific.com who played an incentivized tax evasion game online. Of the 21 interventions, 10 significantly improved tax compliance by 4.5 to 8.5 percentage points, with the most successful nearly halving tax evasion. Limited evidence for moderators was found. Experts and laypeople failed to predict the most effective interventions, though experts’ predictions were more accurate. In conclusion, honesty oaths were effective in curbing dishonesty, but their effectiveness varied depending on content. These findings can help design impactful interventions to curb dishonesty.

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Figure 2. Overview of (A) experimental design and (B) tax evasion game employed in the main study. Icons by flaticons.com.
Figure 4. Practical recommendations for designing effective ex-ante honesty oath
I Solemnly Swear I'm Up To Good: A Megastudy Investigating the Effectiveness of Honesty Oaths on Curbing Dishonesty

June 2024

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654 Reads

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1 Citation

Dishonest behaviors such as tax evasion impose significant societal costs. Ex-ante honesty oaths—commitments to honesty before action—have been proposed as useful interventions to counteract dishonest behavior, but the heterogeneity in findings across operationalizations calls their effectiveness into question. We tested 21 honesty oaths (including a baseline oath)—proposed, evaluated, and selected by 44 expert researchers—and a no-oath condition in a megastudy in which 21,506 UK and US participants played an incentivized tax evasion game. Of the 21 interventions, 10 significantly improved tax compliance by 4.5 to 8.5 percentage points, with the most successful nearly halving tax evasion. Limited evidence for moderators was found. Experts and laypeople failed to predict the most effective interventions, but experts’ predictions were more accurate. In conclusion, honesty oaths can be effective in curbing dishonesty but their effectiveness varies depending on content. These findings can help design impactful interventions to curb dishonesty.



The socioeconomic distribution of the CBGs that changed their mobility patterns the most, colored in green, in comparison to the previous year in at least 60% of the time steps, versus the least, colored in purple
In addition to depicting the spatial distribution, the identical coloring scheme is employed to represent the demographic characteristics of both groups, showcasing their distribution by quartiles across socioeconomic traits. Note that there are only significant socioeconomic characteristics for the top quartile CBGs but not for the bottom.
The temporal change in A betweenness, B total-degree, and C self-visit ratio metrics in the top (green) and bottom (purple) income quartiles. Vertical dashed lines depict the milestones of the pandemic. The vertical line segments on the curves show a 95% confidence interval.
The spatial and demographic distributions of CBGs within the 75th and 95th frequency percentiles, identified as COVID-19 bridges, highlight Staten Island as a distinct standout
The distributions of sociodemographic attributes are displayed by their quartiles as bar charts.
A box plot demonstrating the distribution of bridge CBGs, illustrating the frequency of identification for CBGs within each borough as bridge CBGs
The y-axis shows the bridge occurrences in each borough.
Relative change in mobility trends for the workplace by borough
The x-axis displays the months-years of the focused time span while the y-axis shows the relative change in the borough-level mobility to workplaces.
Investigating neighborhood adaptability using mobility networks: a case study of the COVID-19 pandemic

March 2024

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55 Reads

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2 Citations

Humanities and Social Sciences Communications

What predicts a neighborhood’s adaptability to essential public health policies and shelter-in-place regulations that prevent the harmful spread of COVID-19? To answer this question, we present a novel application of human mobility patterns and human behavior in a network setting. We analyze 2 years of mobility data (January 2019 to December 2020) from New York City and construct weekly mobility networks between census block groups based on aggregated point-of-interest visit patterns. Our results indicate that neighborhoods’ socioeconomic and geographic characteristics play a significant role in predicting their adaptability to active shelter-in-place policies. Our simulation outcomes reveal that, alongside factors such as race, education, and income, the geographical attributes of neighborhoods, such as access to amenities that satisfy community needs are equally important factors in predicting neighborhood adaptability to public health policies. These findings offer valuable insights that can enhance urban planning strategies, thereby aiding pandemic mitigation efforts and fostering increased adaptability of urban areas in the face of exogenous shocks like the COVID-19 pandemic.



Experiment aversion does not appear to generalize

April 2023

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30 Reads

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14 Citations

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

Over the past decade, governments and organizations around the world have established behavioral insights teams advocating for randomized experiments. However, recent findings by M. N. Meyer et al., Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A. 116, 10723-10728 (2019) and P. R. Heck, C. F. Chabris, D. J. Watts, M. N. Meyer, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A. 117, 18948-18950 (2020) suggest that people often rate randomized experiments as less appropriate than the policies they contain even when approving the implementation of either policy untested and when none of the individual policies is clearly superior. The authors warn that this could cause policymakers to avoid running large-scale field experiments or being transparent about running them and might contribute to an adverse heterogeneity bias in terms of who is participating in experiments. In one direct and six conceptual preregistered replications (total N = 5,200) of the previously published larger-effect studies, using the same main dependent variable but with variations in scenario wordings, recruitment platforms, and countries, and the addition of further measures to assess people's views, we test the generalizability and robustness of these findings. Together, we find that the original results do not appear to generalize. That is, our triangulation reveals insufficient evidence to conclude that people exhibit a common pattern of behavior that would be consistent with relative experiment aversion, thereby supporting recent findings by R. Mislavsky, B. Dietvorst, U. Simonsohn, Mark. Sci. 39, 1092-1104 (2020). Thus, policymakers may not need to be concerned about employing evidence-based practices more so than about universally implementing policies.


Citations (52)


... First, we study whether the web portal was effectively used by women to reschedule appointments. This is not a trivial question, given that the uptake of digital services is rather low, and governments struggle to make citizens use these services (Castelo et al., 2015). For example, according to Eurostat, only 55% of the EU population used online interfaces for interacting with the public authorities in 2019. ...

Reference:

Pros and cons of digital access to healthcare services and healthcare utilization: a quasi-experiment
Moving citizens online: Using salience & message framing to motivate behavior change
  • Citing Article
  • October 2015

Behavioral Science & Policy

... First, considering the potential to report up to 12 successful guesses, whereas the expected number under perfect honesty is 2 and the actual mean number in the pooled sample is 5.97, 0.5 guesses is subjectively considered a reasonable SESOI. Alternatively, a recent, large-scale study of honest behavior used a SESOI of Cohen's d =.075, which in our data represents 0.2622 guesses (Zickfeld et al. 2024 To present the results of study 5 graphically, the three measures of honesty (no. there is no association between individual honest behavior and PSM in these data (controlling for experimental condition and country fixed effects) (see Supplementary Table 13 for details), nor between collaborative honest behavior and PSM (Supplementary Table 14). ...

Effectiveness of ex ante honesty oaths in reducing dishonesty depends on content

Nature Human Behaviour

... To strengthen this internal barrier, blocking the avenues of justification that reduce moral tension is essential (Ayal, 2020). Moral reminders, increased visibility, and fostering self-involvement and identification are all effective strategies for internal enforcement Peer et al., 2024). For example, Zickfeld et al. (2024) found honesty oaths-particularly those that specify unethical behavior and increase self-engagement-reduced dishonesty. ...

How pledges reduce dishonesty: The role of involvement and identification
  • Citing Article
  • July 2024

Journal of Experimental Social Psychology

... This decline can be attributed to governmental interventions that imposed limitations on consumer choices as well as self-protective mindsets marked by perceived health risks that impacted customer decision process. Nevertheless, when evaluated on an annual basis, the performance of the proposed model in this paper remains reasonably comparable, if not superior, to that of the original model, particularly when considering essential retailers in NYC [107,123]. ...

Investigating neighborhood adaptability using mobility networks: a case study of the COVID-19 pandemic

Humanities and Social Sciences Communications

... Les expériences en laboratoire permettent d'appor ter une réponse plus affirmative à cette question. Un certain nombre de travaux (Zickfeld et al., 2024 ;Jacquemet et al., 2020) confirment en effet l'efficacité d'une forme particulière d'engagement, qui prend concrètement la forme d'un serment sur l'honneur à dire la vérité. En matière de fraude fiscale, un tel serment conduit à une augmentation massive, de l'ordre de 50 %, du montant d'impôt collecté. ...

I Solemnly Swear I'm Up To Good: A Megastudy Investigating the Effectiveness of Honesty Oaths on Curbing Dishonesty

... However, we found that none of our debasing strategies mattered because we could not find the "common" EA pattern to begin with. At this point, we have run 21 A/B test conditions (6,7), 20 of which did not reveal relatively less favorable attitudes toward experimentation. Only our one direct replication-A/B test condition did. ...

Reply to Bas et al.: The difference between a genuine tendency and a context-specific response

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

... Our contributions to the literature are three-fold. First, through the survey experiment, we study the acceptance of different formats of an RCT, contributing to the small empirical literature on the acceptance of RCTs among farmers (Behaghel et al. 2019;Morawetz & Tribl 2020) and the overall literature on the acceptance of RCTs and randomization (Corduneanu-Huci et al. 2021DellaVigna et al. 2024;Dur et al. 2025;Haushofer et al. 2019;Heck et al. 2020;Mazar et al. 2023;Meyer et al. 2019;Mislavsky et al. 2020). We investigate how the eligibility to participate (full exclusion from participation vs. having either a randomly assigned high or low payment) and the respondents' outcome after randomization (being among the 'lucky' or 'unlucky' ones) affects acceptance. ...

Experiment aversion does not appear to generalize
  • Citing Article
  • April 2023

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

... In response to the calls for leveraging both marketing (e.g., Chandy et al., 2021;Madan et al., 2023;Mende & Scott, 2021) and AI for social good and sustainable development (e.g., Cowls et al., 2021;Du & Sen, 2023;Floridi et al., 2018Floridi et al., , 2020Vinuesa et al., 2020), the current paper aims to explore the role of AI in enhancing services (and outcomes) for vulnerable consumers. It also seeks to offer guidance to businesses on best practices for utilizing AI in interactions with vulnerable consumers. ...

Reaching for Rigor and Relevance: Better Marketing Research for a Better World

Marketing Letters

... Many of these abovementioned studies were conducted in the lab. Field experiments investigating factors influencing honesty and testing interventions for motivating honesty have been relatively few 16 . Building on the existing research, we intend to test and design interventions for motivating civic honesty behavior in China. ...

Toward a Taxonomy and Review of Honesty Interventions
  • Citing Article
  • July 2022

Current Opinion in Psychology

... Such projects may involve multiple labs that collect data from different sources to replicate a specific effect (e.g., Klein et al., 2014;Verschuere et al., 2018), investigate sources of heterogeneity between samples (e.g., Klein et al., 2018), or compare effects from multiple interventions on a predefined target outcome (megastudies; e.g., Milkman et al., 2021). Milkman et al. (2021Milkman et al. ( , 2022, for example, involved multiple research groups that designed 41 interventions in two megastudy field experiments that examined the effectiveness of text message-based nudges on vaccination uptake on more than 700,000 patients. Big-team science projects may also come in the form of many-analysts studies in which multiple researchers test the same model using the same data but different methods (e.g., Huntington- Klein et al., 2021;Menkveld et al., 2024;Sarstedt et al., 2024;Silberzahn et al., 2018). ...

A 680,000-person megastudy of nudges to encourage vaccination in pharmacies

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences