Nathan Clisby’s research while affiliated with Swinburne University of Technology and other places

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Publications (47)


Metrics for greenhouse gas emission equivalence
  • Chapter

January 2024

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2 Reads

I.G. Enting

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N. Clisby


Concatenation of two walks on the square lattice. On the left the indicator function B(ω1,ω2)=1 , while on the right B(ω1,ω2)=0 .
Hierarchical nature of bounding boxes for a particular SAW of 15 steps on the square lattice, with standard orientation on the left, and rotated orientation on the right.
Estimates of γ from fits of the fcc and bcc data, biased with Δ1=0.528 and plotted against Nmin−1 .
Estimates of Afcc and Abcc plotted against N −0.528, with lines of best fit shown.
The growth constant for self-avoiding walks on the fcc and bcc lattices
  • Article
  • Publisher preview available

November 2022

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14 Reads

We extend a binary tree implementation of the pivot algorithm to the face-centered cubic and body-centered cubic lattices, and use it to calculate the growth constant, μ\mu, for self-avoiding walks on these lattices. We find that \mufcc =10.037\, 057\, 85 \pm 0.000\, 000\, 14 and \mubcc = 6.530\, 511\, 501 \pm 0.000\, 000\, 084. In addition, we estimate the amplitudes \Afcc = 1.17119 \pm 0.00003 and \Abcc = 1.17637 \pm 0.00003, and provide convincing numerical evidence in support of the hypothesis that the critical exponent γ\gamma is a universal quantity.

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Classical Length-5 Pattern-Avoiding Permutations

July 2022

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8 Reads

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5 Citations

The Electronic Journal of Combinatorics

We have made a systematic numerical study of the 16 Wilf classes of length-5 classical pattern-avoiding permutations from their generating function coefficients. We have extended the number of known coefficients in fourteen of the sixteen classes. Careful analysis, including sequence extension, has allowed us to estimate the growth constant of all classes, and in some cases to estimate the sub-dominant power-law term associated with the exponential growth. In six of the sixteen classes we find the familiar power-law behaviour, so that the coefficients behave like snCμnng,s_n \sim C \cdot \mu^n \cdot n^g, while in the remaining ten cases we find a stretched exponential as the most likely sub-dominant term, so that the coefficients behave like snCμnμ1nσng,s_n \sim C \cdot \mu^n \cdot \mu_1^{n^\sigma} \cdot n^g, where 0<σ<1.0 < \sigma < 1. We have also classified the 120 possible permutations into the 16 distinct classes. We give compelling numerical evidence, and in one case a proof, that all 16 Wilf-class generating function coefficients can be represented as moments of a non-negative measure on [0,)[0,\infty). Such sequences are known as Stieltjes moment sequences. They have a number of nice properties, such as log-convexity, which can be used to provide quite strong rigorous lower bounds. Stronger bounds still can be established under plausible monotonicity assumptions about the terms in the continued-fraction expansion of the generating functions implied by the Stieltjes property. In this way we provide strong (non-rigorous) lower bounds to the growth constants, which are sometimes within a few percent of the exact value.


Figure 1. Typical bead-necklace configuration with 50 monomers in R 2 .
Figure 2. Merging bounding circles for two sub-chains to form the bounding circle for the concatenated chain in R 2 .
Figure 3. CPU time per pivot move attempt for the bead-necklace model in R 2 , in comparison to SAWs in Z 2 , plotted against the number of monomers N .
Off-lattice and parallel implementations of the pivot algorithm

November 2021

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28 Reads

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1 Citation

Journal of Physics Conference Series

The pivot algorithm is the most efficient known method for sampling polymer configurations for self-avoiding walks and related models. Here we introduce two recent improvements to an efficient binary tree implementation of the pivot algorithm: an extension to an off-lattice model, and a parallel implementation.


Individualized summative assessments as used during COVID-19

October 2021

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74 Reads

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9 Citations

In this classroom note, we outline a system of assessment used by the authors since 2020 to deliver individualized summative assessments to students from first- and second-year mathematics courses. Our system comprises three modular components allowing a mix-and-match of different technological approaches and mathematical question types. First is a question generation module that generates appropriate variables and question syntax, second is a delivery module to send out the individualized assessment to students, and third is a marking module to generate worked solutions and final answers for markers. The key benefits of these assessments are an ability to incorporate individualized authentic elements into assessments, to allow access to technology that would be impractical for an invigilated exam setting, whilst overall reducing the likelihood – but increasing the ease of detection – of academic misconduct and contract cheating, compared with other non-invigilated assessment protocols.


Classical length-5 pattern-avoiding permutations

September 2021

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41 Reads

We have made a systematic numerical study of the 16 Wilf classes of length-5 classical pattern-avoiding permutations from their generating function coefficients. We have extended the number of known coefficients in fourteen of the sixteen classes. Careful analysis, including sequence extension, has allowed us to estimate the growth constant of all classes, and in some cases to estimate the sub-dominant power-law term associated with the exponential growth. In six of the sixteen classes we find the familiar power-law behaviour, so that the coefficients behave like snCμnng,s_n \sim C \cdot \mu^n \cdot n^g, while in the remaining ten cases we find a stretched exponential as the most likely sub-dominant term, so that the coefficients behave like snCμnμ1nσng,s_n \sim C \cdot \mu^n \cdot \mu_1^{n^\sigma} \cdot n^g, where 0<σ<1.0 < \sigma < 1. We have also classified the 120 possible permutations into the 16 distinct classes. We give compelling numerical evidence, and in one case a proof, that all 16 Wilf-class generating function coefficients can be represented as moments of a non-negative measure on [0,).[0,\infty). Such sequences are known as {\em Stieltjes moment sequences}. They have a number of nice properties, such as log-convexity, which can be used to provide quite strong rigorous lower bounds. Stronger bounds still can be established under plausible monotonicity assumptions about the terms in the continued-fraction expansion of the generating functions implied by the Stieltjes property. In this way we provide strong (non-rigorous) lower bounds to the growth constants, which are sometimes within a few percent of the exact value.



Ratio of airborne fractions for CH4 relative to CO2 as defined or assumed for various metrics. The solid curve shows the forcing equivalent index (FEI), which acts as a reference. The global warming potential (GWP) treats this ratio as independent of timescale (Eq. ); the chain line for the “Deriv” case treats the timescale dependence as proportional to the inverse timescale (Eq. ); the shorter dashes of the “Diff” curve (Eq. ) more closely approximate FEI. The dotted line is an empirical reduced model (RM) approximation (Eq. ) to FEI. These curves can also be interpreted as the Laplace transforms of the operations that define the equivalence in the time domain.
(a) A CH4 source representing an increase over 15 years from zero to a constant (solid line) and the CO2-equivalent sources as defined by the various metrics described in Sect. 3. The relative scaling of the CH4 and CO2 axes is aCH4/aCO2. (b) CH4 concentrations from the source shown in panel (a) (solid line) and the CO2 concentrations resulting from the CO2 concentrations resulting from the equivalent CO2 sources, as shown in panel (a). The relative scaling of the axes is aCH4/aCO2 so that the radiative forcing can be compared directly.
Technical note: On comparing greenhouse gas emission metrics

March 2021

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39 Reads

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5 Citations

Many metrics for comparing greenhouse gas emissions can be expressed as an instantaneous global warming potential multiplied by the ratio of airborne fractions calculated in various ways. The forcing equivalent index (FEI) provides a specification for equal radiative forcing at all times at the expense of generally precluding point-by-point equivalence over time. The FEI can be expressed in terms of asymptotic airborne fractions for exponentially growing emissions. This provides a reference against which other metrics can be compared. Four other equivalence metrics are evaluated in terms of how closely they match the timescale dependence of FEI, with methane referenced to carbon dioxide used as an example. The 100-year global warming potential overestimates the long-term role of methane, while metrics based on rates of change overestimate the short-term contribution. A recently proposed metric based on differences between methane emissions 20 years apart provides a good compromise. Analysis of the timescale dependence of metrics expressed as Laplace transforms leads to an alternative metric that gives closer agreement with FEI at the expense of considering methane over longer time periods. The short-term behaviour, which is important when metrics are used for emissions trading, is illustrated with simple examples for the four metrics.


The phase space distribution of confined fluids under shear is not fractal

March 2021

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35 Reads

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1 Citation

We analyze the phase-space compression, characteristic of all deterministic, dissipative systems for an inhomogeneous boundary-driven shear fluid via nonequilibrium molecular dynamics simulations. We find that, although the full system undergoes a phase space contraction, the marginal distribution of the fluid particles is described by a smooth, volume preserving probability density function. This is the case for most thermodynamic states of physical interest. Hence, we show that the models currently employed to investigate inhomogeneous fluids in a nonequilibrium steady state, in which only walls are thermostatted, generate a non-singular distribution for the fluid.


Citations (31)


... Many believe that the class of 1324-avoiding permutations does not have a D-finite generating function because it is suspected to have the wrong asymptotics for such a generating function [18,19]. The same type of analysis applies to several other classes avoiding a single permutation of length five, as shown by Clisby, Conway, Guttmann, and Inoue [17]. That said, for the sake of providing a concrete counterexample to the Noonan-Zeilberger conjecture, it may be preferable to consider classes with more basis elements, and thus more structure. ...

Reference:

Uncountably many enumerations of well-quasi-ordered permutation classes
Classical Length-5 Pattern-Avoiding Permutations
  • Citing Article
  • July 2022

The Electronic Journal of Combinatorics

... The method involves generating a correlated sequence of SAWs by performing rotations and reflections on part of the walk. Recent development of fast implementations [15,[19][20][21] have increased the speed, and hence utility, of the method still further. ...

Off-lattice and parallel implementations of the pivot algorithm

Journal of Physics Conference Series

... There have been many other studies of the effects of the closures on mathematics education at university 30 O'SHEA level internationally; for example on lecturers and students in Norwegain universities [30], on graduate student programmes in the US ( [15]), and on adapting courses for pre-service mathematics teachers in Australia [18]. Researchers have also written about the issue of assessment ( [2], [14] ). The situation in Ireland was studied extensively by various researchers in 2020. ...

Individualized summative assessments as used during COVID-19
  • Citing Article
  • October 2021

... For example, Iwan Jensen used it to calculate the statistics of self-avoiding polygons on the square lattice [52]. Very recently, Nathan Clisby wrote an expository article concerning the method's relevance to the enumerative combinatorics of lattice polymers [53]. It is arguably the most powerful algorithmic technique for obtaining exact series expansions to high order of models whose exact solution is not known, including, of course, the 3D Ising model. ...

Enumerative Combinatorics of Lattice Polymers
  • Citing Article
  • April 2021

Notices of the American Mathematical Society

... 5 The GWP equation obscures differences in the impacts of short-lived climate forcers (SLCFs) and long-lived, well-mixed GHGs. [26][27][28][29] As SLCFs do not persist in the atmosphere for extended periods of time, their longterm impact on climate stabilization could potentially be misrepresented or misinterpreted when expressed as CO2eq using the GWP equation. The fact that the warming potential of SLCFs like methane depends on the rate of emissions means that, theoretically, temperatures can be stabilized without reaching net-zero methane, as opposed to the cumulative effect of carbon dioxide, which must reach net-zero emissions in order to halt warming. ...

Technical note: On comparing greenhouse gas emission metrics

... There are other ways to achieve incompressible NESS phase space. For example, in a recent work, Maffioli et al. 88 found that, if a deterministic thermostat acts only on the walls, phase space of the confined subsystem is incompressible. In closing, we emphasize that these concrete counterexamples present a strong evidence that it is the misconception of unceasing phase-space compression should be disregarded. ...

The phase space distribution of confined fluids under shear is not fractal
  • Citing Article
  • March 2021

... In this scaling, the direct effect of CH 4 has been scaled to include indirect effects, from tropospheric ozone and stratospheric water vapour, using values taken from Myhre et al. (2013). Note that the indirect effects are not included in the corresponding graphs given by Enting and Clisby (2020). ...

Technical note: On comparing greenhouse gas emission metrics

... Another fruitful area of further inquiry pertains to the two-particle-correlation approximation in eq 4. Our work suggests that for simple fluids, computing the excess entropy at the level of the two-particle-correlation approximation is sufficient for the purposes of rapid estimation. This story is likely to be more complicated for systems where the approximation misses a considerable amount of the total excess entropy, 36,48 given that the computational cost of approximating higher-body correlations in the first place may be incompatible with the goal of rapid estimation. It is worth noting, however, that the dominance of the two-particlecorrelation term relative to higher-order terms is sufficient, but not necessary, for EES to work well as a rapid estimation scheme, since the fitting of the parameter c 2 naturally absorbs some of the error introduced by the two-particle-correlation approximation. ...

Computation of the equilibrium three-particle entropy for dense atomic fluids by molecular dynamics simulation
  • Citing Article
  • October 2019

... 2), so results from this framework are specific to the considered perturbation scenario (Gregory et al., 2009;Torres Mendonça et al., 2021b). This limitation is overcome by the recently proposed generalization of the α-β-γ framework (Heimann, 2014;Rubino et al., 2016;Enting and Clisby, 2019;Enting, 2022) that instead explicitly quantifies the timescale dependence of the climatecarbon-cycle feedbacks independently of the scenario. Here generalized sensitivities α, β, and γ are introduced as timedependent linear response functions, where the term "linear" indicates that they specify the response only to linear order in a Volterra expansion of the response into the perturbation (see Torres Mendonça et al., 2021b); practically this means that this approach applies only as long as the perturbations are sufficiently weak. ...

Estimates of climatic influence on the carbon cycle

Earth System Dynamics Discussions

... Thus DP and the tent phase are more robust, but for the very same reason they are also more difficult to analyze numerically. Unless the control parameters are carefully chosen to minimize cross-over effects (which would be analogous to the use of improved Hamiltonians in equilibrium [30,31], and which would be beyond the scope of this article), the simulations are hampered by very slow convergence due to the presence of nearby clipped EW fixed point. ...

High resolution Monte Carlo study of the Domb-Joyce model

Journal of Physics Conference Series