Natalie Masuoka’s research while affiliated with University of California, Los Angeles and other places

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Publications (26)


Leadership in a Pandemic: State Legislator Constituent Outreach in Response to COVID-19
  • Article

December 2024

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5 Reads

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2 Citations

Political Research Quarterly

Michael Strawbridge

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Natalie Masuoka

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Nadia Brown

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Erik Hanson

This study builds on the existing literature by considering the extent to which minority legislators offer different forms of constituency outreach during times of emergency. This case study of state legislator constituent outreach during the COVID-19 pandemic uses an analysis of Facebook posts in 2020 to track how state legislators provided outreach and communicated resources to their constituents during a public health crisis. We ask, in times of emergency, do women and minority legislators offer unique attention toward the needs of those constituencies that they descriptively represent, or do urgent issues push these legislators to focus more broadly on general concerns expressed by their entire district? We argue that legislators’ social media activity during the COVID-19 pandemic offers an important measure of their practice of constituency outreach due to the nation’s reliance on virtual communication during this period. This study finds there to be important variation by partisanship, but within party, we find important differences depending on both the race and gender of the legislator. Democratic women of all races were those legislators most actively providing information and outreach related to COVID-19 to their constituents in 2020.


Women Voters: Race, Gender, and Dynamism in American Elections

September 2024

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27 Reads

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3 Citations

Women Voters documents and explains three important phenomena implicating gender, race, and immigration. The Element contributes to a better understanding of partisan candidate choice in US presidential elections. First, women are diverse and politically heterogenous, where white women are more likely to vote Republican and women of color are majority Democratic voters. Second, due to the unequal privileges and constraints associated with race, white women have greater agency to sort by partisan preference, whereas women of color have more limited choice in their partisan support. Finally, the authors emphasize compositional change in the electorate as an important explanation of electoral outcomes.


How Crises Shape Interest in Elected Officials of Color: Social Media Activity, Race and Responsiveness to Members of Congress on Twitter

July 2024

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14 Reads



Does Color Matter: Review Article of Skin Color, Power, and Politics in America

July 2023

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21 Reads

Political Science Quarterly

This is a review article of Skin Color, Protest, and Politics in America by Mara Cecilia Ostfeld and Nicole Yadon, published by Russell Sage Foundation in 2022. The core premise of the book argues that skin color is another important dimension of the construction of race in America and that it can also provide insight into how individuals experience the world. This article provides an overview of the book and offers reflections on its interventions into the fields of race, ethnicity and politics, public opinion, and political psychology.


Voter turnout rates for Asian Americans, CMPS 2020
Predicted probabilities of perceived discrimination on voter turnout among Asian American immigrants
Biden vote share among Asian Americans, CMPS 2020
Predicted probabilities of linked fate on vote choice for Biden among Asian American immigrants
The Asian American Vote in 2020: Indicators of Turnout and Vote Choice
  • Article
  • Publisher preview available

December 2022

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108 Reads

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16 Citations

Political Behavior

What were the indicators of voter turnout and presidential vote choice among Asian Americans in 2020? We argue that 2020 was a unique year in which race was salient for Asian Americans due to the rise of anti-Asian attitudes attributed to the COVID-19 pandemic and the opportunity to elect a vice presidential candidate of Asian descent. Because of this, racial considerations played a unique role that informed Asian American political participation and attitudes in this election. Using data from the 2020 Collaborative Multiracial Post-Election Survey, we identify the individual-level factors associated with turnout and presidential vote choice among Asian Americans. We find that stronger perceptions of racial discrimination were related to a higher likelihood of turnout and voting in support of the Democratic Party, especially among Asian immigrants relative to the native-born. This study offers new insight for when we can expect racial considerations to inform the politics of Asian Americans, who are the fastest growing racial group in the United States and therefore an increasingly important bloc of the electorate.

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Mean feeling thermometer and vote intention ratings of hypothetical candidates. All six treatments are represented here and grouped by each identity cue (e.g., “White” denotes candidates from both the Asian and White heritage and Black and White heritage treatment conditions who identified as “European American”. Sample includes only mixed-race participants who indicated two or more racial heritages among their parents. X-axis denotes different treatment groups based on the identity cued by our hypothetical candidates. Note: error bars denote 95% confidence intervals.
Mean feeling thermometer and vote intention ratings of hypothetical candidates from the Asian and White heritage treatment conditions. Sample includes only mixed-race participants who indicated two or more racial heritages among their parents. X-axis denotes different treatment groups based on the identity cued by our hypothetical candidates. Note: error bars denote 95% confidence intervals.
Mean feeling thermometer and vote intention ratings of hypothetical candidates from the Asian and White heritage treatment conditions. Sample includes Asian-White-identified participants (i.e., those who self-identified as Multiracial and used the words “Asian” and “White” to describe their racial identity) and Black-White-identified participants. X-axis denotes different treatment groups based on the identity cued by our hypothetical candidates. Note: error bars denote 95% confidence intervals.
Mean feeling thermometer and vote intention ratings of hypothetical candidates. All six treatments are represented here and grouped by each identity cue (e.g., “White” denotes candidates from both the Asian and White heritage and the Black and White heritage treatment conditions who identified as “European American”. Sample includes only single-race participants who indicated having two parents who share the same race (i.e., either two White parents or two single-race-identified minority parents). X-axis denotes different treatment groups based on the identity cued by our hypothetical candidates. Note: error bars denote 95% confidence intervals.
Mean feeling thermometer and vote intention ratings of hypothetical candidates from the Asian and White heritage treatment conditions. Sample includes only single-race participants who indicated having two parents who share the same race (i.e., either two White parents or two single-race-identified minority parents). X-axis denotes different treatment groups based on the identity cued by our hypothetical candidates. Note: error bars denote 95% confidence intervals.
Voter Evaluations of Biracial-Identified Political Candidates

April 2022

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67 Reads

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3 Citations

Gregory John Leslie

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Natalie Masuoka

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[...]

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A. Chyei Vinluan

Today, identity expression and acceptance represent an important area of political advocacy and representation. Yet, how responsive are voters to new racial identity cues promoted by political leaders? Using candidates with interracial backgrounds as a case study, we assess whether voters are responsive to candidates who assert a mixed-race identity or if voters primarily rely on other traits, such as the candidate’s family background, in determining their support of that candidate. Using an experimental design, this study presents participants with various hypothetical candidates who vary both in their racial heritages (i.e., candidates with Asian and White interracial parents or Black and White interracial parents) and identity choices (i.e., as single-race minority, single-race White, or biracial). We then compare how the mixed-race, single-race minority, and White participants evaluate the candidate. We expect that the mixed-race participants will be most supportive of candidates who signal a common in-group identity by identifying specifically as “biracial”. On the other hand, the single-race minority and White participants should be more likely to adhere to the one-drop rule or hypodescent in their evaluations, meaning they will provide more positive evaluations of interracial candidates who identify as a single-race minority. Our study finds that the single-race minority and White participants completely overlook racial identity cues and instead focus on the description of the candidate’s family heritage along with their own assumptions about hypodescent. The mixed-race participants, on the other hand, show strong support for biracial-identified, in-group political candidates This study adds to a burgeoning literature on racial perception and on political representation.


Visualizing the effect of the harassment treatment on vote likelihood, by candidate party in experiment 1
Visualizing the effect of the harassment treatment on vote likelihood, by voter party-gender group in experiment 1
Effect of harassment treatment versus control condition by party-gender group in experiment 1, opposite-party and same-party candidates
Sexual Harassment and Candidate Evaluation: Gender and Partisanship Interact to Affect Voter Responses to Candidates Accused of Harassment

December 2021

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72 Reads

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9 Citations

Political Behavior

Public airing of incidents of sexual harassment have moved abuse from the shadows to the light, spurring mass response in the form of #MeToo and “Time’s Up.” While sexual harassment holds negative valence, election outcomes suggest that not all voters punish leaders accused of harassment. We argue there is systematic variation in how voters respond to candidates accused of harassment because evaluations are made within the context of both partisanship and the gendered issue of sexual harassment. As a result, we expect to find distinct responses across four voter groups—Democratic women and men, and Republican women and men on the specific issue of harassment. We present supporting evidence from two survey experiments and a third associational study to show that Democratic women are most likely to electorally punish sexual harassers. Experimental evidence also shows that Republican men are least likely to electorally punish candidates accused of harassment.



The Gender Gap Is a Race Gap: Women Voters in US Presidential Elections

December 2019

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385 Reads

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42 Citations

Perspectives on Politics

Scholarship on women voters in the United States has focused on the gender gap, showing that, since the 1980s, women are more likely to vote for Democratic Party candidates than men. The persistence of the gender gap has nurtured the conclusion that women are Democrats. This article presents evidence upending that conventional wisdom. It analyzes data from the American National Election Study to demonstrate that white women are the only group of female voters who support Republican Party candidates for president. They have done so by a majority in all but 2 of the last 18 elections. The relevance of race for partisan choice among women voters is estimated with data collected in 2008, 2012, and 2016, and the significance of being white is identified after accounting for political party identification and other predictors.


Citations (19)


... In this context, the use of bill cosponsorship is not merely instrumental for reelection or influence; it also reflects an adaptive response to the visible marginalization that limits more direct forms of legislative leadership. Similar strategies have been documented in other contexts, where minority legislators, faced with systemic barriers to successfully passing legislation, rely on alternative mechanisms to deliver resources and provide effective representation (e.g., Strawbridge et al. 2024). I argue that these approaches highlight the creative and strategic efforts of minority legislators to navigate an environment often resistant to their proposals. ...

Reference:

Minority Legislators Sponsor and Cosponsor Differently from White Legislators: Causal Evidence from U.S. Congress
Leadership in a Pandemic: State Legislator Constituent Outreach in Response to COVID-19
  • Citing Article
  • December 2024

Political Research Quarterly

... In the context of the 2024 election cycle and beyond, these cross-pressures play a key role in explaining how, and for whom, right-wing authoritarianism drives voter support for the MAGA agenda. White women voters are advantaged by racially motivated policy positions within the MAGA agenda while simultaneously disadvantaged by the Republican Party's embrace of patriarchal traditions (Junn and Masuoka 2024;Masuoka, Grose, and Junn 2021). Conversely, men voters of color are disadvantaged by the white supremacist sympathies of the MAGA agenda while nonetheless structurally advantaged under patriarchy. ...

Women Voters: Race, Gender, and Dynamism in American Elections
  • Citing Book
  • September 2024

... In a pilot survey conducted in South Korea, over 70 per cent of respondents indicated that racial hate crimes in the USA influence their perceptions of the country or are personally relevant to them. Previous studies on Asian Americans indicate that many adopt a 'pan-Asian identity' or share some understanding of 'linked fate' (Lien, Margaret Conway and Wong 2003;Chan, Nguy and Masuoka 2022;Wu 2022). As such, in this article, we treat Asians as a single group notwithstanding the diversity within the Asian population. ...

The Asian American Vote in 2020: Indicators of Turnout and Vote Choice

Political Behavior

... While some insights into how multiracial candidates are evaluated have emerged, such as the work by Leslie et al. (2022), which utilizes an experiment to demonstrate that white participants often overlook a candidate's mixed-race heritage and instead focus on the candidate's family background, there remain unanswered questions in this area. This study focuses solely on White respondents, and it remains unclear how a respondent can look past a candidate's race and instead focus on their family background when the two are intertwined so deeply. ...

Voter Evaluations of Biracial-Identified Political Candidates

... In the context of the 2024 election cycle and beyond, these cross-pressures play a key role in explaining how, and for whom, right-wing authoritarianism drives voter support for the MAGA agenda. White women voters are advantaged by racially motivated policy positions within the MAGA agenda while simultaneously disadvantaged by the Republican Party's embrace of patriarchal traditions (Junn and Masuoka 2024;Masuoka, Grose, and Junn 2021). Conversely, men voters of color are disadvantaged by the white supremacist sympathies of the MAGA agenda while nonetheless structurally advantaged under patriarchy. ...

Sexual Harassment and Candidate Evaluation: Gender and Partisanship Interact to Affect Voter Responses to Candidates Accused of Harassment

Political Behavior

... This is a partisan trend that has strengthened over past election cycles (Bowler & Segura, 2011;Masuoka et al., 2018). The systematic sorting along racial lines of whites into the Republican Party and voters of color into the Democratic Party that has increased over the second half of the twentieth century is one explanation for Asian American voters' increased support of Democratic candidates over time (Frymer, 1999;Hajnal & Lee, 2011;Junn & Masuoka, 2020). Other research has shown that factors such as feelings of social exclusion, peer socialization, and intergroup solidarity with other minority groups increase support for the Democratic Party among Asian Americans (Kuo, Malhotra and Mo 2017;Chan, Kim and Leung, 2021;Raychaudhuri, 2018;Raychaudhuri, 2020). ...

The Gender Gap Is a Race Gap: Women Voters in US Presidential Elections — Erratum
  • Citing Article
  • December 2020

Perspectives on Politics

... Black women also hold more progressive attitudes than their white women and Black male counterparts (Junn and Masuoka 2020;Philpot and Walton 2007). According to Robnett and Tate (2023), among Black American women, feelings of disenfranchisement and mistrust for the government influence their sense of "Black woman linked fate" and "woman linked fate." ...

The Gender Gap Is a Race Gap: Women Voters in US Presidential Elections
  • Citing Article
  • December 2019

Perspectives on Politics

... If this is indeed the case, it portends considerable shifts for American politics writ large. We argue that minority groups are more politically diverse than often argued (Gurin et al. 1989;Dawson 1994;Cohen 1999;Chong and Rogers 2005;Martinez 2008;Frasure-Yokley et al. 2019;Shaw et al. 2019). For reasons we expound in great detail in the chapters of this book, minority voters increasingly cast a ballot for the Republican Party. ...

Introduction to Dialogues: Linked fate and the politics of groups and identities

Politics Groups and Identities

... Since Asian Americans were increasingly likely to perceive discrimination against their own group, what are the implications of this perceived discrimination for intra-Asian American solidarity? We examine feelings of linked fate, a longstanding measure of minority group cohesion (Dawson 1994;Gay, Hochschild, and White 2016;Masuoka 2006;Sanchez and Masuoka 2010;Sanchez, Masuoka, and Abrams 2019). In the 2016 CMPS, respondents who identified as Asian American were asked "Do you think what happens generally to Asian American people in this country will have something to do with what happens in your life?" with a follow up question which asked the degree to which the respondent would be affected if they answered "Yes." ...

Revisiting the brown-utility heuristic: a comparison of Latino linked fate in 2006 and 2016
  • Citing Article
  • July 2019

Politics Groups and Identities

... While originating in the Black politics literature, linked fate has been transported to other groups like Latino and Asian Americans, who "vary more extensively in regard to comparative histories and internal differences … but whom in particular contexts, share similar experiences of exclusion and marginalization" (Gershon et al. 2019, p. 644). Linked fate tends to be less influential in the politics of these groups; individuals may be more likely to feel linked fate toward those whom they share national origin with rather those in their pan-ethnic group (Masuoka, Ramanathan, and Junn 2019). Support for linked fate is not unanimous-in the wake of increasing intragroup diversity and lower barriers to political information, some argue that the dominance of linked fate in Black politics is waning (Gay, Hochschild, and White 2016;Smith, Bunyasi, and Smith 2019;White and Laird 2020). ...

New Asian American Voters: Political Incorporation and Participation in 2016
  • Citing Article
  • April 2019

Political Research Quarterly