Min-hyung Kim’s research while affiliated with Kyung Hee University and other places

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Publications (23)


Under What Conditions Would South Korea Go Nuclear? Seoul's Strategic Choice on Nuclear Weapons
  • Article

November 2023

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56 Reads

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3 Citations

Pacific Focus

Min‐hyung Kim

The main goal of this article is to analyze the conditions under which South Korea would decide to go nuclear. It seeks to examine the key factors that would trigger Seoul's decision for nuclear‐arming. The article contends that South Korea is likely to go nuclear under the following conditions: where South Koreans' demands for nuclear weapons continue to rise despite US security assurances; where Pyongyang's threats of its nuclear weapons attacks are increasingly directed towards Seoul as opposed to Washington; where US security assurances for South Korea become highly questionable; and where potential nearby proliferators (Japan and Taiwan, in particular) go nuclear. Any single one of these conditions might not be enough for Seoul's decision to nuclearize, but when at least any two of them are fulfilled at the same time, South Korea is highly likely to go nuclear.


North Korea’s Cyber Capabilities and Their Implications for International Security
  • Article
  • Full-text available

February 2022

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908 Reads

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19 Citations

North Korea’s economic and technological backwardness does not seem to allow Pyongyang to possess proficient cyberwarfare capabilities. Yet, North Korea’s cyber offensive capabilities are a major security threat in a new convergence space called the cyber–physical space (CPS) that connects the real world and the virtual world. How has North Korea become a formidable actor in the CPS, despite economic and technological disadvantages? Put differently, what makes North Korea a global cyber power despite its disconnect from international society? What are North Korea’s motivations behind strengthening its cyber capabilities in recent decades and what implications do these hold for international security? The primary objective of this article is to examine North Korea’s motivations for strengthening its cyber capabilities and analyze their implications for the sustainability of stability and peace on the Korean peninsula and beyond. By investigating the exemplary cases of North Korea’s recent cyberattacks, it seeks to explore the effective ways to manage the risks that North Korea’s enhanced cyber proficiencies pose in the current and future CPS.

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Hedging between the United States and China? South Korea’s ideology-driven behavior and its implications for national security

September 2021

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255 Reads

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21 Citations

International Relations of the Asia-Pacific

Given the limits of the prevailing hedging account for Seoul’s puzzling behavior that is in conformity with the interests of its adversary (i.e. North Korea) and potential threat (i.e. China) rather than those of its principal ally (i.e. the United States) and security cooperation partner (i.e. Japan), this article emphasizes the impact of the progressive ideology on Seoul’s security policy. In doing so, it calls for attention to a domestic source of ideology in explaining the security behaviors of a secondary state, which is under-researched and thus is poorly understood.



Why Nuclear? Explaining North Korea’s Strategic Choice of Going Nuclear and Its Implications for East Asian Security

November 2020

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91 Reads

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6 Citations

Journal of Asian and African Studies

This article seeks to provide a theoretically compelling account for North Korea’s strategic choice to go nuclear and explores its implications for East Asian security. Its main research question is as follows: despite the obvious risks of going nuclear, what makes North Korea so desperate in its pursuit of nuclear capabilities? Contrary to the extant accounts that only emphasize either nonsecurity variables or an “external security” factor, this article conceptualizes North Korea’s security considerations as “regime survival” and explains its strategic choice from it. The central thesis of this article is that North Korea’s decision to go nuclear is a strategic choice, of which the purpose is to achieve its goals of safeguarding independence from external powers as well as ensuring regime security. North Korea pursues nuclear weapons because they not only protect Pyongyang’s regime from foreign aggressions but also help to consolidate Kim Jong-un’s domestic power. North Korea also seeks nuclear weapons in order to safeguard its independence and autonomy from China because the removal of China’s influence is critical to ensuring its regime survival in the long run. North Korea’s strategic choice to go nuclear and its emergence as a de facto nuclear power have significant implications for East Asian security.


What kind of power is the EU? The EU’s policies toward North Korea’s WMD programs and the debate about the EU’s role in the security arena

March 2020

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121 Reads

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1 Citation

Asia Europe Journal

The main purpose of this article is to critically examine the EU’s policies toward North Korea’s weapons of mass destruction (WMD) programs. By analyzing the EU’s approach to North Korea’s nuclear and ballistic missile programs, this article contributes to the debate about what kind of an actor the EU really is—i.e., whether it is a military power, a civilian power, or a normative power—in the security arena of world politics. As an autocratic regime with fundamental problems in relation to the proliferation of WMD and human rights, North Korea presents a good test case for considering the contested concept of EU’s international identity. The central thesis explored in the present article is that the EU is, strictly speaking, neither a military, nor a civilian, nor a normative power. That said, the EU’s international identity is closest to the concept of a global civilian power.


A real driver of US–China trade conflict: The Sino–US competition for global hegemony and its implications for the future

February 2019

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919 Reads

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86 Citations

International Trade Politics and Development

Purpose According to the conventional wisdom, trade is not a zero-sum game, but a positive-sum game. By allowing countries to focus on producing the goods that they can produce relatively efficiently, free trade is largely beneficial for everyone involved. Then, why are the world’s two largest economies (i.e. the USA and China) currently engaged in a trade war, which is likely to hurt their own economies? What is the driving force for the trade war between the two economic giants? The purpose of this paper is to offer an explanation of the underlying cause of the US–China trade war. Design/methodology/approach In an effort to make sense of the trade war between the USA and China, the paper draws the insights from the two international relations theories – i.e. hegemonic stability theory and power transition theory. Findings As China continues to threaten US hegemony in the world in general and East Asia in particular, the Sino–US competition for hegemony will intensify over time. As a result, the trade war between the two countries may persist longer than many anticipate. Further, even if the trade war between the two superpowers ends soon, a similar type of conflict is likely to occur later as long as the Sino–US hegemonic rivalry continues. Originality/value The central thesis of this paper is that “US fear” about its declining hegemony and China’s rapid rise as a challenger of US hegemony is driving a US-launched trade war with China. Since the underlying cause of the trade war between the world’s two largest economies is political (i.e. the Sino–US hegemonic rivalry) rather than economic (e.g. US attempts to improve the trade balance with China by imposing tariffs on Chinese goods), the paper contends that the full understanding of the trade war requires close attention to the importance of power competition between the two superpowers.


East Asia International Relations and International Relations Theory: Where Does a Poor Fit Exist, and What to Do about It

May 2018

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151 Reads

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5 Citations

Journal of Asian and African Studies

This article seeks to critically assess the relevance of International Relations Theory (IRT) for East Asia International Relations (IR). After identifying the shortcomings of IRT in explaining East Asia IR, the article provides several ways to modify it with a goal to make it more suitable for East Asia IR. Its central claim is that the IRT’s bias toward European experiences and great power politics generates unsatisfactory accounts for and inaccurate predictions about East Asia IR. This does not mean, however, that we should treat IRT as completely irrelevant and develop an indigenous theory of East Asia IR. Given that no single theory is complete and perfectly relevant across time and space and that many core concepts and key variables of IRT are also pertinent for East Asia IR, our efforts should instead be made to refine the existing IRT and make it more suitable for East Asia IR by problematising its major assumptions and central claims on the basis of East Asian experiences. This will save IRT from being a region-specific and a country-specific theory of IR.


Avoiding Being a Crushed Prawn and Becoming a Dolphin Swimming between the Two Fighting Whales? South Korea’s Strategic Choice in the Face of the Intensifying Sino–US Competition

June 2017

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88 Reads

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10 Citations

Journal of Asian and African Studies

This article presents an analysis of South Korea’s strategic choices over the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB), the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP), and the Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) in light of the Sino–US competition in post-Cold War East Asia. South Korea’s puzzling behavior here represents Seoul’s hedging strategy against the uncertain future of the Sino–US competition in East Asia. The driving force of South Korea’s hedging behavior is Seoul’s dual concerns about being excessively dependent on the USA for its security at the time of China’s rapid rise on the one hand and being pulled into a growing China’s sphere of influence at the expense of traditional US–ROK security ties on the other. Reflecting Seoul’s prudent balancing acts between the two superpowers, South Korea’s hedging often results in apparently indecisive and underdetermined strategic choices in the face of the intensifying Sino–US competition. Nevertheless, South Korea’s hedging strategy allows Seoul to deepen extensive economic ties with Beijing while maintaining a traditional security alliance with Washington. The hedging behavior of South Korea, which is uniquely positioned as a strategic partner of rapidly rising China as well as a key security ally of the rebalancing USA, sheds important light on the behavior of middle powers in alliance politics, which has largely been neglected in the current literature.


Cracks in the Blood‐Shared Alliance? Explaining Strained PRC–DPRK Relations in the Post‐Cold War World

April 2017

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38 Reads

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12 Citations

Pacific Focus

The Sino–DPRK relationship had often been described, at least until the end of the Cold War, as one of “lips and teeth” or “blood-cemented” brothers. However, remarkable changes in the previously strong Sino–DPRK relations have been observed in recent years. Most importantly, the DPRK has ignored the People's Republic of China's repeated warnings to withhold nuclear tests, instead conducting them five times in a row since 2006. In response to those tests, China has vehemently criticized the DPRK. In addition, it voted for UN Security Council resolutions that imposed strict sanctions on Pyongyang. China even imposed its own sanctions against the DPRK. The strained relationship between China and North Korea is demonstrated by the fact that China's new president, Xi Jinping, has met South Korea's President Park Geun-hye eight times since he came to office in 2013, whereas he has never had a summit meeting with North Korea's new leader, Kim Jong-un, who succeeded his father, Kim Jong-il, in 2011. What has driven this dramatic change in the relationships of these two military allies? This paper argues that while multiple factors have pushed formerly strong Sino–DPRK relations into a new direction, the three most important factors are mistrust between two allies (historical), diverging interests (strategic), and growing Sino–ROK ties (economic and political).


Citations (19)


... The United States attributed this cyberattack to North Korea, claiming it to be the mastermind behind the incident. However, North Korea denied any involvement in this attack (Haggard and Lindsay 2015;Kim 2022). ...

Reference:

Spatiotemporal characteristics and drivers of global cyber conflicts
North Korea’s Cyber Capabilities and Their Implications for International Security

... In terms of theoretical framework, this article follows the fast-growing literature on hedging as one of the predominant patterns of small states' behaviour (Kuik 2008, Smith 2020, Kim 2023. We utilise the two-level analytical framework offered by Neoclassical Realism (NCR) to explore how domestic and external factors interact and produce policy outcomes in Georgia and Moldova. ...

Hedging between the United States and China? South Korea’s ideology-driven behavior and its implications for national security
  • Citing Article
  • September 2021

International Relations of the Asia-Pacific

... Implications for the eurozone: Germany's hegemony and smaller creditor states When applying HST to the eurozone, the first and only actor that comes to mind as a potential hegemon is Germany (see Caporaso, forthcoming 2022). 1 Not only can Germany rely on competitive advantages in production and superior economic resources (Crawford, 2007;Schoeller, 2019: 79-85), but it also enjoys an 'exorbitant privilege' in EMU which became visible during the eurozone crisis when Germany benefitted from lower interest rates on sovereign debt, better export conditions, and an influx of skilled labor (Jacoby, 2015: 200-201;Scharpf, 2018: 44-52). Nevertheless, the assessment of whether Germany is really a hegemon in the eurozone depends on the underlying definition of hegemony and thus remains controversial (see Schild, 2020;Caporaso, forthcoming 2022). ...

Power Relations and Comparative Regionalism: Europe, East Asia, and Latin America
  • Citing Book
  • July 2021

... The implications of this economic conflict extend beyond bilateral relations; they resonate across the global stage, disrupting supply chains, altering investment patterns, and straining multilateral trading systems. Countries around the world are compelled to navigate the ramifications of this rivalry, often reassessing their own trade policies and alignments in response to the shifting landscape (Kim, M. H., 2019). ...

A real driver of US–China trade conflict: The Sino–US competition for global hegemony and its implications for the future
  • Citing Article
  • February 2019

International Trade Politics and Development

... scientific universalism). In other words, IRT should be as generalizable as possible across time and across space" (Kim 2018(Kim , 1208. Moreover, "we strive to refine the existing [mainstream American] IRT and make it more suitable for East Asia IR" by "problematising its major assumptions and central claims on the basis of East Asian experiences" (Kim 2018(Kim , 1202. ...

East Asia International Relations and International Relations Theory: Where Does a Poor Fit Exist, and What to Do about It
  • Citing Article
  • May 2018

Journal of Asian and African Studies

... Instead, their motivations are mainly economic, and some countries, such as India, Japan, the Philippines, and Vietnam, have territorial and maritime disputes with China. Nevertheless, as the South Korean THAAD case shows, China can leverage its partnerships to drive a wedge between the United States and its allies, forcing the allies to choose between security cooperation with Washington and economic cooperation with Beijing (Kim, 2018). With this in mind, finding that Beijing is more likely to partner with Washington's clients will increase our confidence in the idea that China is trying to dilute the U.S.-led alliance system. ...

Avoiding Being a Crushed Prawn and Becoming a Dolphin Swimming between the Two Fighting Whales? South Korea’s Strategic Choice in the Face of the Intensifying Sino–US Competition
  • Citing Article
  • June 2017

Journal of Asian and African Studies

... Research and my preliminary qualitative discourse analysis indicated that "brother" was another label applied to North Korea to express its closeness and similarity with China [54]. The results do suggest an overall decline in the frequency that this word is used alongside North Korea in the Weibo posts, however this is less clear. ...

Cracks in the Blood‐Shared Alliance? Explaining Strained PRC–DPRK Relations in the Post‐Cold War World
  • Citing Article
  • April 2017

Pacific Focus

... As a result, South Korea has been 'hedging' between great powers -holding 'a delicate middle ground between all-out balancing and bandwagoning'. 40 However, the stance of 'strategic ambiguity' has often produced a backlash. Although understandable, the best way to ensure national security is to provide a clear commitment towards the principles of democracy and the rule of law. ...

Reference:

South Korea
South Koreas Strategy toward a Rising China, Security Dynamics in East Asia, and International Relations Theory

... -Jean-Claude Juncker A governance architecture is an effort to permanently secure certain substantive priorities. The fiscal governance architecture is supposed ex ante to prevent and ex post to punish member state policies that undermine Eurozone policy goals (Caporaso and Min-hyung 2016), namely, that national deficits are kept within 3% of gross domestic product (GDP) and national debt below 60% of GDP. The series of acts that were adopted between 2011 and 2013 commit states to a medium term objective (MTO) in their structural budgetary position, introduce an excessive deficit procedure (EDP) with sanctions for those who fail to achieve this, and establish a macroeconomic imbalance procedure (MIP) whereby economic developments that might threaten stability are subject to surveillance, recommendations, and penalties. ...

“States Choose but Not Under Circumstances of Their Own Making”
  • Citing Chapter
  • February 2016

... During President Park Geun-Hye's administration, Seoul adopted a foreign policy that put Beijing as a priority to expand the China-South Korean relations by developing a strategic cooperation partnership [27]. In 2012, around 26% of Korean students enrolled in Chinese Universities while the number of Chinese students who studied in South Korean Universities increased as well [28]. This improvement in the relationship between China and South Korea, however, suddenly ceased after the deployment of the Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) in South Korea [29]. ...

South Korea's China Policy, Evolving Sino-ROK Relations, and Their Implications for East Asian Security: South Korea, China, East Asian Security
  • Citing Article
  • April 2016

Pacific Focus