February 2014
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161 Reads
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12 Citations
Technological Forecasting and Social Change
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February 2014
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161 Reads
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12 Citations
Technological Forecasting and Social Change
January 2012
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26 Reads
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2 Citations
This guide for tomorrow’s urban practitioner systematically explains fifteen best practices across three continents; it explores questions of broad interest for designing and planning the future of cities and regions. Key questions addressed are: Is simulation useful to explore the effects of different design, policy and planning strategies? Which approach will help manage the uncertainties of metropolitan areas both today and tomorrow ? What are the strengths and weaknesses of the different simulation practices for city leadership, public and private partnership, and citizen involvement? The book reviews computer models and media, socio-political initiatives, professional practices which help communicating the future effects of different design, political and planning strategies with a wide range of aims: from information, through consultation, towards active participation. These world best practices are considered according to four leading issues for urban and regional development, respectively Simulation, Scenario and Visioning, Government and Governance, and Scale. The book examines the approaches adopted technically and procedurally. The selected knowledge and the innovative tools used in each case study are among the most advanced and up-to-date in the professional and research fields. This volume successfully illustrates these innovative practices and methodologies in a straightforward and accessible way.
June 2011
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627 Reads
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353 Citations
Technological Forecasting and Social Change
This paper describes recent progress in the utilization of participatory scenario-based backcasting approaches to sustainability research that blend quantitative and qualitative analyses in order to explore alternative climate change futures, as undertaken in a range of academic, government, and private sector projects in the Lower Mainland of British Columbia, Canada. These projects reveal that buy-in to policy proposals may be enhanced by participation, but there is a risk of participants being overwhelmed by the complexity of the choices they are being asked to make. Furthermore, tools are grounded in a process, which must itself be the explicit focus of attention in designing successful backcasting projects and combining participatory backcasting techniques with more interactive processes that can enhance our ability to explore highly complex and uncertain, value-laden issues. These approaches can be used to drive action and support decision-making, but for a truly consultative and consensus-oriented process to occur, it is important that a broad sample of the community be engaged in the discussion that are equipped with technical knowledge or understanding of the goals of the process in order to participate in an equitable and effective fashion.
... To reach higher levels of citizen participation, civic platforms must establish a two-way information flow between decision-makers and community members. Various platforms have improved the dissemination of information from decision-makers to the public, aiding residents in comprehending the context of complex decisions in areas such as voting patterns [11,60], budgeting [59], public transport consultations [18], policymaking [17] and urban planning [44,106]. Notable features include providing simulation capabilities [44,106], supporting multi-criteria analysis [17], creating virtual environments with game elements [42], and graphically depicting the impacts of policy choices [44]. ...
February 2014
Technological Forecasting and Social Change
... Reflection refers to giving something deep thought, whereas deliberation is the careful consideration and discussion of options to reach a decision about a course of action. Numerous approaches are available for deliberating on and selecting courses of action in group settingssuch as future visioning (Pereira et al., 2018;Cork et al., 2023), scenario-planning (Peterson et al., 2003;Brown et al., 2016), backcasting (Carlsson-Kanyama et al., 2008Robinson et al., 2011), or multi-criteria or structured decision-making (Kiker et al., 2005;Gregory et al., 2012;Schwartz et al., 2018) to visualize new possibilities, identify pathways to change and select interventions . Adequate time and resources will need to be allocated for these deliberation processes (Strand et al., 2022a). ...
June 2011
Technological Forecasting and Social Change