Michael Gurven’s research while affiliated with University of California, Santa Barbara and other places

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Publications (389)


Misreporting in relation to age, BMI and sex
a, Comparison of the difference between predicted TEE and self-reported energy intake (EI) in the NDNS (n = 12,694) and NHANES (n = 5,873) datasets in relation to age for children (≤16 yr) and adults (>16 yr). b, Comparison of the difference between predicted TEE and self-reported energy intake in the same datasets in relation to BMI for children (≤16 yr) and adults (>16 yr). Negative values show observations lower than prediction and positive values show prediction higher than observation.
Misreporting and macronutrient intake
a–c, The discrepancy between the predicted TEE and the reported energy intake in the NHANES and NDNS surveys plotted against the self-reported intakes of fat (a), protein (b) and carbohydrates (c) as a percentage of the total energy. For each macronutrient, the top two plots show data from the whole sample (full data) and the bottom two plots show the data from the sample screened to include only those individuals within the predictive interval of the equation (screened). Significant effects in the whole sample were severely attenuated in the screened sample (see Table 3 for regression details).
Relationships between the reported dietary intakes of macronutrients and BMI
a–f, Relationships between BMI and the intakes of fat (a,b), protein (c,d) and carbohydrate (e,f) for the NHANES and NDNS surveys. Panels a, c and e show the data for the whole sample and panels b, d and f show the data for those individuals whose total energy intake was within the predictive interval (that is, excluding under- and over-reporters).
Predictive equation derived from 6,497 doubly labelled water measurements enables the detection of erroneous self-reported energy intake
  • Article
  • Full-text available

January 2025

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596 Reads

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2 Citations

Nature Food

Rania Bajunaid

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Chaoqun Niu

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Nutritional epidemiology aims to link dietary exposures to chronic disease, but the instruments for evaluating dietary intake are inaccurate. One way to identify unreliable data and the sources of errors is to compare estimated intakes with the total energy expenditure (TEE). In this study, we used the International Atomic Energy Agency Doubly Labeled Water Database to derive a predictive equation for TEE using 6,497 measures of TEE in individuals aged 4 to 96 years. The resultant regression equation predicts expected TEE from easily acquired variables, such as body weight, age and sex, with 95% predictive limits that can be used to screen for misreporting by participants in dietary studies. We applied the equation to two large datasets (National Diet and Nutrition Survey and National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey) and found that the level of misreporting was >50%. The macronutrient composition from dietary reports in these studies was systematically biased as the level of misreporting increased, leading to potentially spurious associations between diet components and body mass index.

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Figure 3. Sex differences in probability of play (A) and object play (B). Bayesian analyses of play 261 (A) and object play (B) probability, considering the interaction of age and sex. Green lines represent
Figure S1. Conditional effects plot from a categorical Bayesian model showing the estimated
Object play in Tsimane children: Implications for tool use development and division of labour

December 2024

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49 Reads

Sex-specific division of labour and sophisticated tool use are important features of human societies. Play may serve as a developmental mechanism to practise gender-specific object-related skills. Object play in immatures is believed to foster object-related competencies, potentially laying the foundation for tool use later in life. Here, we investigated sex differences in the ontogeny of object play in Tsimane children in Bolivia to understand its potential role in shaping gender-specific adult roles. We used observational data (>80,000 scan samples) from nine Tsimane communities collected between 2002 and 2007. We employed Bayesian multilevel models to analyse age and sex differences in object play and object types. Our results show that both overall play and object play peaked in early to middle childhood (3.5-7.5 years old), with boys spending more time playing. Moreover, boys engaged more with objects related to male-specific roles (e.g., hunting tools), while girls played more with objects related to female-specific roles (e.g., cooking utensils). Our findings suggest that object play serves as an adaptive, culturally embedded pathway to develop gender-specific adult skills. Studying developmental patterns of object play across human cultures enriches our understanding of the evolutionary contexts shaping divisions of labour.


Evolution of Human Reproduction, Ageing and Longevity

November 2024

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12 Reads

Why and how we age are probably two of science's oldest questions, echoing personal beliefs and concerns about our own finitude. From the earliest musings of ancient philosophers to recent pharmacological trials aimed at slowing ageing and prolonging longevity, these questions have fascinated scientists across time and fields of research. Taking advantage of the natural diversity of ageing trajectories, within and across species, this interdisciplinary volume provides a comprehensive view of the recent advances in ageing and longevity through a biodemographic approach. It includes the key facts, theories, ongoing fields of investigation, big questions, and new avenues for research in ageing and longevity, as well as considerations on how extending longevity integrates into the social and environmental challenges that our society faces. This is a useful resource for students and researchers curious to unravel the mysteries of longevity and ageing, from their origins to their consequences, across species, space and time.


Lifespan and Mortality in Hunter-Gatherer and Other Subsistence Populations

November 2024

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22 Reads

Why and how we age are probably two of science's oldest questions, echoing personal beliefs and concerns about our own finitude. From the earliest musings of ancient philosophers to recent pharmacological trials aimed at slowing ageing and prolonging longevity, these questions have fascinated scientists across time and fields of research. Taking advantage of the natural diversity of ageing trajectories, within and across species, this interdisciplinary volume provides a comprehensive view of the recent advances in ageing and longevity through a biodemographic approach. It includes the key facts, theories, ongoing fields of investigation, big questions, and new avenues for research in ageing and longevity, as well as considerations on how extending longevity integrates into the social and environmental challenges that our society faces. This is a useful resource for students and researchers curious to unravel the mysteries of longevity and ageing, from their origins to their consequences, across species, space and time.


Wild capuchin monkeys as a model system for investigating the social and ecological determinants of ageing

October 2024

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62 Reads

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4 Citations

Studying biological ageing in animal models can circumvent some of the confounds exhibited by studies of human ageing. Ageing research in non-human primates has provided invaluable insights into human lifespan and healthspan. Yet data on patterns of ageing from wild primates remain relatively scarce, centred around a few populations of catarrhine species. Here, we introduce the white-faced capuchin, a long-lived platyrrhine primate, as a promising new model system for ageing research. Like humans, capuchins are highly social, omnivorous generalists, whose healthspan and lifespan relative to body size exceed that of other non-human primate model species. We review recent insights from capuchin ageing biology and outline our expanding, integrative research programme that combines metrics of the social and physical environments with physical, physiological and molecular hallmarks of ageing across the natural life courses of multiple longitudinally tracked individuals. By increasing the taxonomic breadth of well-studied primate ageing models, we generate new insights, increase the comparative value of existing datasets to geroscience and work towards the collective goal of developing accurate, non-invasive and reliable biomarkers with high potential for standardization across field sites and species, enhancing the translatability of primate studies. This article is part of the discussion meeting issue ‘Understanding age and society using natural populations’.


Subjective well-being across the life course among non-industrialized populations

October 2024

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70 Reads

Science Advances

Subjective well-being (SWB) is often described as being U-shaped over adulthood, declining to a midlife slump and then improving thereafter. Improved SWB in later adulthood has been considered a paradox given age-related declines in health and social losses. While SWB has mostly been studied in high-income countries, it remains largely unexplored in rural subsistence populations lacking formal institutions that reliably promote social welfare. Here, we evaluate the age profile of SWB among three small-scale subsistence societies ( n = 468; study 1), forest users from 23 low-income countries ( n = 6987; study 2), and Tsimane’ horticulturalists ( n = 1872; study 3). Across multiple specifications, we find variability in SWB age profiles. In some cases, we find no age-related differences in SWB or even inverted U-shapes. Adjusting for confounders reduces observed age effects. Our findings highlight variability in average well-being trajectories over the life course. Ensuring successful aging will require a greater focus on cultural and socioecological determinants of individual trajectories.


Cost-effective solutions for high-throughput enzymatic DNA methylation sequencing

September 2024

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26 Reads

Characterizing DNA methylation patterns is important for addressing key questions in evolutionary biology, geroscience, and medical genomics. While costs are decreasing, whole-genome DNA methylation profiling remains prohibitively expensive for most population-scale studies, creating a need for cost-effective, reduced representation approaches (i.e., assays that rely on microarrays, enzyme digests, or sequence capture to target a subset of the genome). Most common whole genome and reduced representation techniques rely on bisulfite conversion, which can damage DNA resulting in DNA loss and sequencing biases. Enzymatic methyl sequencing (EM-seq) was recently proposed to overcome these issues, but thorough benchmarking of EM-seq combined with cost-effective, reduced representation strategies has not yet been performed. To do so, we optimized Targeted Methylation Sequencing protocol (TMS)—which profiles ∼4 million CpG sites—for miniaturization, flexibility, and multispecies use at a cost of ∼$80. First, we tested modifications to increase throughput and reduce cost, including increasing multiplexing, decreasing DNA input, and using enzymatic rather than mechanical fragmentation to prepare DNA. Second, we compared our optimized TMS protocol to commonly used techniques, specifically the Infinium MethylationEPIC BeadChip (n=55 paired samples) and whole genome bisulfite sequencing (n=6 paired samples). In both cases, we found strong agreement between technologies (R² = 0.97 and 0.99, respectively). Third, we tested the optimized TMS protocol in three non-human primate species (rhesus macaques, geladas, and capuchins). We captured a high percentage (mean=77.1%) of targeted CpG sites and produced methylation level estimates that agreed with those generated from reduced representation bisulfite sequencing (R² = 0.98). Finally, we applied our protocol to profile age-associated DNA methylation variation in two subsistence-level populations—the Tsimane of lowland Bolivia and the Orang Asli of Peninsular Malaysia—and found age-methylation patterns that were strikingly similar to those reported in high income cohorts, despite known differences in age-health relationships between lifestyle contexts. Altogether, our optimized TMS protocol will enable cost-effective, population-scale studies of genome-wide DNA methylation levels across human and non-human primate species.


The built environment is more predictive of cardiometabolic health than other aspects of lifestyle in two rapidly transitioning Indigenous populations

August 2024

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56 Reads

Background Many subsistence-level and Indigenous societies around the world are rapidly experiencing urbanization, nutrition transition, and integration into market-economies, resulting in marked increases in cardiometabolic diseases. Determining the most potent and generalized drivers of changing health is essential for identifying vulnerable communities and creating effective policies to combat increased chronic disease risk across socio-environmental contexts. However, comparative tests of how different lifestyle features affect the health of populations undergoing lifestyle transitions remain rare, and require comparable, integrated anthropological and health data collected in diverse contexts. Methods We developed nine scales to quantify different facets of lifestyle (e.g., urban infrastructure, market-integration, acculturation) in two Indigenous, transitioning subsistence populations currently undergoing rapid change in very different ecological and sociopolitical contexts: Turkana pastoralists of northwest Kenya (n = 3,692) and Orang Asli mixed subsistence groups of Peninsular Malaysia (n = 688). We tested the extent to which these lifestyle scales predicted 16 measures of cardiometabolic health and compared the generalizability of each scale across the two populations. We used factor analysis to decompose comprehensive lifestyle data into salient axes without supervision, sensitivity analyses to understand which components of the multidimensional scales were most important, and sex-stratified analyses to understand how facets of lifestyle variation differentially impacted cardiometabolic health among males and females. Findings Cardiometabolic health was best predicted by measures that quantified urban infrastructure and market-derived material wealth compared to metrics encompassing diet, mobility, or acculturation, and these results were highly consistent across both populations and sexes. Factor analysis results were also highly consistent between the Turkana and Orang Asli and revealed that lifestyle variation decomposes into two distinct axes–the built environment and diet–which change at different paces and have different relationships with health. Interpretation Our analysis of comparable data from Indigenous peoples in East Africa and Southeast Asia revealed a surprising amount of generalizability: in both contexts, measures of local infrastructure and built environment are consistently more predictive of cardiometabolic health than other facets of lifestyle that are seemingly more proximate to health, such as diet. We hypothesize that this is because the built environment impacts unmeasured proximate drivers like physical activity, increased stress, and broader access to market goods, and serves as a proxy for the duration of time that communities have been market-integrated.


Health Disparities Among Indigenous Peoples: Exploring the Roles of Evolutionary and Developmental Mismatch on Cardiometabolic Health

July 2024

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35 Reads

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1 Citation

Annual Review of Anthropology

The health of Indigenous populations suffers compared with that of non-Indigenous neighbors in every country. Although health deficits have long been recognized, remedies are confounded by multifactorial causes, stemming from persistent social and epidemiological circumstances, including inequality, racism, and marginalization. In light of the global morbidity and mortality burden from heart disease, stroke, and diabetes, cardiometabolic health needs to be a target for building scientific understanding and designing health outreach and interventions among Indigenous populations. We first describe health disparities in cardiometabolic diseases and risk factors, focusing on Indigenous populations outside of high-income contexts that are experiencing rapid but heterogeneous lifestyle change. We then evaluate two evolutionary frameworks that can help improve our understanding of health disparities in these populations: ( a ) evolutionary mismatch, which emphasizes the role of recent lifestyle changes in light of past genetic adaptations, and ( b ) developmental mismatch, which emphasizes the long-term contribution of early-life environments to adult health and the role of within-lifetime environmental change.


Who helps Tsimane children and adults?

June 2024

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377 Reads

We examine various forms of helping behavior among Tsimane Amerindians of Bolivia, focusing on the provision of shelter, childcare, food, sickcare, cultural influence, and traditional story knowledge. Kin selection theory traditionally explains nepotistic nurturing of youth by closely related kin. However, less attention has been given to understanding the help provided by individuals without close genetic relatedness. To explain who provides various forms of help, we evaluate support for several predictions derived from kin selection theory. Our results show that helpers who are most often closely related and from an older generation tend to provide more costly forms of help to youth at early ages. In contrast, alloparents who are not blood-related tend to provide lower-cost forms of help to older youth. Since older youth are more capable of reciprocity, we propose that some alloparental aid acts as an investment in future reciprocal relationships or as indirect investment in a relationship with the beneficiary’s relatives. Our results support kin selection and relationship effort explanations for who helps Tsimane youth.


Citations (73)


... Additionally, there was no difference in the predicted satiety of the consumed diets between the HU group and normal-weight group (p = 0.2008) ( Figure S5). We predicted the energy expenditure for each individual using an equation based on DLW measurements (Bajunaid et al. [13]). There was a strong correlation between the estimated daily energy intake of the participants and the predicted expenditure by DLW (r 2 = 0.2939, p < 0.001) ( Figure S6). ...

Reference:

Dietary Patterns of Healthy Underweight Individuals Compared to Normal-BMI Individuals Using Photographic Food Diaries
Predictive equation derived from 6,497 doubly labelled water measurements enables the detection of erroneous self-reported energy intake

Nature Food

... We were able to show that the form of adversity, socio-sexual context and other biological factors interact to shape the timing and severity of consequences. Natural populations of non-human animals can prove valuable not only for improving our understanding of the evolutionary pressures that shape developmental plasticity, life history strategies, ageing and early life sensitivities but also for better contextualizing findings in humans and informing future research in humans [115,116]. ...

Wild capuchin monkeys as a model system for investigating the social and ecological determinants of ageing

... These lifestyle changes are multifaceted and include integration into cash-dependent market-economies (i.e., market-integration), acculturation and assimilation with neighboring cultures, and increased access to built infrastructure (i.e., urbanization), resulting in drastic dietary, nutritional, economic, infrastructural, and social changes [1][2][3] . Importantly, many rapidly transitioning populations are Indigenous and/or marginalized, with transitions precipitated by structural and systemic processes such as colonialism, loss of land rights, and environmental degradation [3][4][5][6] . Urbanization and acculturation of subsistence-level and Indigenous groups has been justified and promoted because such changes often accompany increased access to modern healthcare and reductions in certain types of infectious disease, extreme poverty, and food insecurity, yet lifestyle change has simultaneously created an epidemic of cardiometabolic diseases in these populations around the world 3,6-11 . ...

Health Disparities Among Indigenous Peoples: Exploring the Roles of Evolutionary and Developmental Mismatch on Cardiometabolic Health
  • Citing Article
  • July 2024

Annual Review of Anthropology

... This finding corresponds with that of Cai et al. (2019) who found that sIgA was broadly unrelated to female facial appearance. Unlike other sexually dimorphic features that have been linked to sIgA, such as male voice pitch (Arnocky et al., 2018;Hodges-Simeon et al., 2024) and female breast symmetry (Locke and Arnocky, 2021), this null finding could mean that links between health and facial attractiveness are weaker than with other attractive secondary sex characteristics, or perhaps are more strongly driven by lifestyle influences. Future work involving a broader range of immunological markers in relation to facial appearance is therefore encouraged. ...

Masculine voice is associated with better mucosal immune defense in adolescent and adult males
  • Citing Article
  • June 2024

Evolution and Human Behavior

... Challenges in the state of the art & challenge. Generative models have synthesized T 1 -weighted MRIs that are typical of participants at a chronological age (CA) specified by the user [9], while neglecting individual variability in aging [10], [11]. Enabling the prediction of individualized age-related anatomical changes can be beneficial for clinicians, since it would allow them to establish a baseline for typically aging brains and to track deviations from this baseline in patients with AD. ...

Increases in regional brain volume across two native South American male populations

GeroScience

... Factor analysis of the scales was crucial and sheds light on the need for religious scales to be context-dependent. Concurrent to this study, the Developmental Belief Network (Weisman et al. 2024) is studying religious development focusing on cognitive and cultural specific processes. Their research involves 39 cultural-religious settings. ...

The development and diversity of religious cognition and behavior: Protocol for Wave 1 data collection with children and parents by the Developing Belief Network

... Pastoralism is labour-heavy, and productivity is dependent on human labour which is provided by women and children. Therefore, more wives and children are an asset to increase productivity and wealth (cattle and land) which is positively associated with reproductive success (Borgerhoff Mulder et al., 2011;Page et al., 2024). In contrast, while polygyny is permitted among the Tsamine, it is not preferred because men have far less economic control and horticulture requires extensive male labour, reducing men's ability to support multiple wives. ...

Reference:

Marriage types
Women's subsistence strategies predict fertility across cultures, but context matters

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

... Various possible mechanisms linking the association of periodontal disease with dementia have been investigated [24,25]. Bacterial endotoxins as lipopolysaccharides (LPS) and pro-inflammatory products such as C-reactive protein (CRP), tumor necrosis factoralpha (TNF-alpha), and interleukin-1 and -6 (IL-1, -6) resulting from periodontal disease have been suggested to increase the risk of nervous system inflammation entering via the oral cavity [17]. ...

Poor Oral Health Is Associated With Inflammation, Aortic Valve Calcification, and Brain Volume Among Forager-Farmers

The Journals of Gerontology Series A Biological Sciences and Medical Sciences

... This eventually leads to aortic stiffening, which increases vascular impedance, increases pulse pressure (the difference between systolic and diastolic blood pressure) [26], and increases turbulence in the proximal aorta [27], a consequence of higher peak systolic blood velocity. A recent abstract reported that minimal and delayed age-related increases of arterial stiffness might contribute to the very low observed levels of coronary atherosclerosis and dementia in the Tsimane [28], a population that has been called the "healthiest in the world". 6 Loss of aortic compliance contributes to hypertension, which then accelerates the loss of compliance, resulting in a vicious cycle [29]. ...

Abstract 13719: Minimal and Delayed Age-Related Increase of Arterial Stiffness Among Tsimane Forager-Horticulturalists
  • Citing Article
  • November 2023

Circulation

... Women typically had objectively better measures of sleep quality than men, but women tended to report subjectively poorer sleep-sex hormones and sex-specific mechanisms in sleep regulation may underlie these differences (Mong and Cusmano 2016). With regard to sex differences in PA, most studies found PA to be higher in males than in females (Troiano et al. 2008) during adolescence and adulthood (Caldwell et al. 2023;Caspersen, Pereira, and Curran 2000) and among older adults (Lee 2005). It is important to note that differences between men and women in sleep and PA are strongly subject to cultural variations in sex-and gender-specific labor demands and nighttime activities (Prall et al. 2018). ...

Adolescence is characterized by more sedentary behaviour and less physical activity even among highly active forager-farmers