Michael G Kay’s research while affiliated with North Central State College and other places

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Publications (12)


Figure 1. Fixed time heuristic concept
Figure 2. Air movement operations planning heuristic parameter tuning DOE procedure
Figure 4. (Color online) HLZ network for the scenario set in Baghdad, Iraq
Air movement operations planning heuristic improvement
  • Article
  • Full-text available

January 2025

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17 Reads

Journal of Defense Analytics and Logistics

Russell Nelson

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Jack Werner

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[...]

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Purpose The purpose of this paper is to improve the air movement operations planning heuristic in the literature to generate better solutions in a shorter time period. Design/methodology/approach Through a rigorous design of experiments (DOEs), we make significant heuristic improvements by evaluating alternative modular methodologies and tuning heuristic parameters for two scenarios. This includes a new approach to considering refueling operations. Findings We find the fine-tuned heuristic averages a 33% objective improvement and 70% reduction in computation time over the heuristic with original parameters for one of the scenarios. Additionally, we analyze the heuristic's quality of solution over time. Research limitations/implications Further analysis is required to generalize heuristic settings, which would require significant access to operational data or a portfolio of scenarios of interest. Practical implications Tuned heuristic parameters reduce the computation time from hours to minutes. This also makes it practically feasible to adjust parameters in the objective function to generate multiple courses of action (COAs) for a given instance. Originality/value This research provides novel vehicle assignment and routing heuristic improvement alternatives and demonstrates a DOEs-based heuristic tuning procedure.

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Identifying Best Performance Scenarios For Micro Nuclear Reactors During Grid Disruption

November 2024

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21 Reads

Micro Nuclear Reactors (MNRs) are an emerging innovation in nuclear technology as small, portable, and self-sufficient reactor units in the size of a standard 40-foot shipping container. An MNR functions as a "nuclear battery," where each unit can power load capacities from 500 kilowatts (kW) to 5 megawatts (MW) over the lifetime of 1–10 years. This technology may deploy by the end of the 2020 decade, so private and government organizations have prepared for potential operational use for energy resilience. This research develops an emergency grid disruption timeline with MNR deployments to respond and recover grids after severe weather events. This response integrates a series of models for transportation networks, power distribution, and decision strategies that utilize MNR capabilities while using real-world disruption events within the past decade for scenarios. The study then seeks to analyze the performance of MNRs when using different deployment strategies for emergency grid disruption response. First, this research investigates the trade-offs between time and cost in the emergency grid disruption timeline when integrating MNRs. This research also explores the conditions of disruption scenarios that contribute to the best MNR performance in grid recovery.


Mechanisms for Dealing With the Unexpected in Small-Scale Contracting Using Smart Contracts

October 2024

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13 Reads

Purpose - Demonstrate proof-of-concept for an expanded blockchain smart contract based small-scale contracting process that includes an internally managed arbitration service to manage disputes. Design/Methodology/Approach - Using Ethereum smart contracts, we model a small-scale general contracting scenario with disruptions. Execution is demonstrated with the Remix Integrated Development Environment (IDE). Findings - We show the feasibility of managing general contracting disputes with an internal arbitration service, completely encompassed within blockchain smart contracts. Originality/value - This research continues an original effort to model the small-scale general contracting scenario on a blockchain network. Research limitations/implications - Further work is required to expand the scope of dispute management and account for additional external factors. Also, full-scale decentralized application is not explored here. Practical implications - This process expands the scope of current practices and tools, such as Angi, in a decentralized manner with blockchain. Social Implications - Full-scale adoption at the small scale is likely difficult due to disbelief in technology, cost, and resistance to change.


Implementing A Letter Of Credit Style Business Process For Small-Scale Contracting Using Smart Contracts

August 2024

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39 Reads

Purpose - Demonstrate proof-of-concept for negotiating and executing a small-scale contracting job based on letter of credit within a blockchain network using smart contracts. Design/Methodology/Approach - Using Ethereum smart contracts, we model a small-scale general contracting scenario under perfect conditions. Execution is demonstrated with the Remix Integrated Development Environment (IDE). Findings - We show the feasibility of conducting a small-scale contracting job using smart contracts. The entire process, including job details, payment, and verification, can be conducted digitally. Originality/value - This research continues the efforts of previous research on letters of credit on blockchain but applies it to the general contracting scenario at small scale. Research limitations/implications - Further work is required to investigate variations in the assumptions, such as dishonesty and incompetence. Also, full-scale decentralized application is not explored here. Practical implications - This process expands the scope of current practices and tools, such as Angi, in a decentralized manner with blockchain. Social Implications - Full-scale adoption at the small scale is likely difficult due to disbelief in technology, cost, and resistance to change.


Implementing trades of the National Football League Draft on blockchain smart contracts

January 2024

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66 Reads

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3 Citations

International Journal of Sports Marketing and Sponsorship

Purpose Demonstrate proof-of-concept for conducting NFL Draft trades on a blockchain network using smart contracts. Design/methodology/approach Using Ethereum smart contracts, the authors model several types of draft trades between teams. An example scenario is used to demonstrate contract interaction and draft results. Findings The authors show the feasibility of conducting draft-day trades using smart contracts. The entire negotiation process, including side deals, can be conducted digitally. Research limitations/implications Further work is required to incorporate the full-scale depth required to integrate the draft trading process into a decentralized user platform and experience. Practical implications Cutting time for the trade negotiation process buys decision time for team decision-makers. Gains are also made with accuracy and cost. Social implications Full-scale adoption may find resistance due to the level of fan involvement; the draft has evolved into an interactive experience for both fans and teams. Originality/value This research demonstrates the new application of smart contracts in the inter-section of sports management and blockchain technology.



Two-stage stochastic programming model of US Army aviation allocation of utility helicopters to task forces

November 2023

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21 Reads

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3 Citations

The Journal of Defense Modeling and Simulation Applications Methodology Technology

US Army aviation units often organize into task forces to meet mission requirements. The manner in which they allocate assets affects their long-term capabilities to provide aviation support. We propose a model to allocate utility helicopters across geographically separated task forces to minimize the total time of flight and unsupported air movement air mission requests (AMRs) by priority level. We model the allocation problem with a two-stage stochastic program, with the first-stage problem allocating a fleet’s helicopter teams to task forces. The stochastic demand for each task force is then revealed. The second-stage US Army aviation air movement operations planning problem is modeled as a stochastic mixed integer linear program (MILP). A practical application uses the air movement operations planning heuristic to solve the second-stage problem at scale and generate an optimal stochastic solution task force allocation. This paper provides evidence for the practical use of the proposed two-stage stochastic programming model for US Army aviation asset allocation by military decision-makers. Furthermore, this research provides a novel first formulation of a stochastic programming dial-a-ride problem with multinode refuel and a sound framework for military aviation asset allocation decision-making.


Air Movement Operations Planning Heuristic Improvement

November 2023

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36 Reads

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1 Citation

Purpose - Improve the air movement operations planning heuristic in the literature to generate better solutions in a shorter time period. Design/Methodology/Approach - Through a rigorous design of experiments, we make significant heuristic improvements by evaluating alternative modular methodologies and tuning heuristic parameters for two scenarios. This includes a new approach to considering refueling operations. Findings - We find the fine-tuned heuristic averages a 33% objective improvement and 70% reduction in computation time over the heuristic with original parameters for one of the scenarios. Additionally, we analyze the heuristic's quality of solution over time. Research limitations/implications - Further analysis is required to generalize heuristic settings, which would require significant access to operational data or a portfolio of scenarios of interest. Originality/value - This research provides novel vehicle assignment and routing heuristic improvement alternatives and demonstrates a design of experiments-based heuristic tuning procedure. Practical implications - Tuned heuristic parameters reduce the computation time from hours to minutes. This also makes it practically feasible to adjust parameters in the objective function to generate multiple courses of action for a given instance.


Modeling and transportation planning for US noncombatant evacuation operations in South Korea

November 2021

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33 Reads

Purpose: The purpose of this paper is to investigate US noncombatant evacuation operations (NEO) in South Korea and devise planning and management procedures that improve the efficiency of those missions. Design/methodology/approach: It formulates a time-staged network model of the South Korean noncombatant evacuation system as a mixed integer linear program to determine an optimal flow configuration that minimizes the time required to complete an evacuation. This solution considers the capacity and resource constraints of multiple transportation modes and effectively allocates the limited assets across a time-staged network to create a feasible evacuation plan. That solution is post-processed and a vehicle routing procedure then produces a high resolution schedule for each individual asset throughout the entire duration of the NEO. Findings: This work makes a clear improvement in the decision-making and resource allocation methodology currently used in a NEO on the Korea peninsula. It immediately provides previously unidentifiable information regarding the scope and requirements of a particular evacuation scenario and then produces an executable schedule for assets to facilitate mission accomplishment. Originality/value: The significance of this work is not relegated only to evacuation operations on the Korean peninsula; there are numerous other NEO and natural disaster related scenarios that can benefit from this approach.


Assessing uncertainty and risk in an expeditionary military logistics network

November 2021

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320 Reads

Uncertainty is rampant in military expeditionary operations spanning high-intensity combat to humanitarian operations. These missions require rapid planning and decision-support tools to address the logistical challenges involved in providing support in often austere environments. The US Army’s adoption of an enterprise resource planning system provides an opportunity to develop automated decision-support tools and other analytical models designed to take advantage of newly available logistical data. This research presents a tool that runs in near-real time to assess risk while conducting capacity planning and performance analysis designed for inclusion in a suite of applications dubbed the Military Logistics Network Planning System, which previously only evaluated the mean sample path. Logistical data from combat operations during Operation Iraqi Freedom drive supply requisition forecasts for a contingency scenario in a similar geographic environment. A nonstationary queueing network model is linked with a heuristic logistics scheduling methodology to provide a stochastic framework to account for uncertainty and assess risk.


Citations (4)


... kchain technology makes bureaucratic steps faster and easier for parties to letters of credit by eliminating the need for physical presentation of documents. It can help complete all letters of credit transactions in just one day. It also ensures that all parties have visibility into the process and can check the documents presented by the seller. Fukuzawa et. al (2024) discussed preparing a L/C-based contract within a blockchain network using smart contracts. In this context, they modeled a small-scale general contract scenario under perfect conditions using Ethereum smart contracts. They stated that blockchain research is needed in other application areas to explore the potential use of distributed l ...

Reference:

The Blockchain Technology Solution to the Pain Points of Letter of Credit
Implementing a Letter of Credit Style Business Process for Small-Scale Contracting Using Smart Contracts
  • Citing Preprint
  • January 2024

... Blockchain technology is adopted in the sports industry for several reasons, including its ability to enhance transparency, security, and efficiency in various processes. One significant application is the use of smart contracts for the automated management of athlete transfers and contracts, which ensures transparency and reduces reliance on intermediaries (Fukuzawa et al., 2024). Furthermore, blockchain enables secure data management and traceability, allowing the collection of health and performance data, which can be utilized to monitor athletes' physical conditions and improve their training regimes (Yu, 2021). ...

Implementing trades of the National Football League Draft on blockchain smart contracts
  • Citing Article
  • January 2024

International Journal of Sports Marketing and Sponsorship

... Finally, beyond solving the Army aviation air movement mission assignment, utilization, and routing problem, this heuristic has the potential to be integrated into additional decision support or planning models where estimating aviation demands or utilization is an important consideration. For example, the heuristic could assist in determining the best allocation of aviation resources to task forces (Nelson et al., 2023b). More generally, future efforts could apply similar types of refueling constraints to problems related to routing battery-powered vehicles that require regular recharging. ...

Two-stage stochastic programming model of US Army aviation allocation of utility helicopters to task forces
  • Citing Article
  • November 2023

The Journal of Defense Modeling and Simulation Applications Methodology Technology

... The size of the second stage problem is too large, both in the number of helicopter teams and in the AMRs, to solve with the mixed integer linear program (MILP) proposed in Section 3.4. We instead use the air movement operations planning heuristic introduced in the work by Nelson et al. 8 and improved in the work by Nelson et al. 25 to generate quality feasible assignment and routing solutions. The heuristic consists of sequenced modular functions with decision modules, as seen in Figure 2. The heuristic takes in model inputs, determines which AMRs are compatible with aircraft teams, and generates initial potential AMR assignments. ...

Air Movement Operations Planning Heuristic Improvement