Michael D Abràmoff’s research while affiliated with University of Iowa and other places

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Publications (325)


Fig. 1 | Analyzing ICER trends: Impact of patient volume and number of pediatric endocrine sites within a health system. This graph illustrates the necessary annual screening volume (x-axis) and health system size (indicated by line color) for the autonomous AI screening strategy to be cost-effective compared to the ECP strategy. ICER values falling below the willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of $413 (dashed line) indicate that the autonomous AI strategy is cost-effective.
Incremental cost of increased patient follow-up adherence through AI screening strategy versus standard ECP screening strategy
Thresholds for cost-effectiveness of AI strategy for follow-up adherence within the health system based on health system size
Thresholds for cost-effectiveness of AI strategy for follow-up adherence outside the health system based on health system size
Cost-effectiveness of AI for pediatric diabetic eye exams from a health system perspective
  • Article
  • Full-text available

January 2025

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28 Reads

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1 Citation

npj Digital Medicine

Mahnoor Ahmed

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Tinglong Dai

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[...]

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Autonomous artificial intelligence (AI) for pediatric diabetic retinal disease (DRD) screening has demonstrated safety, effectiveness, and the potential to enhance health equity and clinician productivity. We examined the cost-effectiveness of an autonomous AI strategy versus a traditional eye care provider (ECP) strategy during the initial year of implementation from a health system perspective. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was the main outcome measure. Compared to the ECP strategy, the base-case analysis shows that the AI strategy results in an additional cost of 242perpatientscreenedtoacostsavingof242 per patient screened to a cost saving of 140 per patient screened, depending on health system size and patient volume. Notably, the AI screening strategy breaks even and demonstrates cost savings when a pediatric endocrine site screens 241 or more patients annually. Autonomous AI-based screening consistently results in more patients screened with greater cost savings in most health system scenarios.

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Fig. 1 | Waterfall diagram. Waterfall (STARD) diagram showing the final disposition of each participant in the enrolled, intention to screen (ITS), and fully analyzable populations.
Demographics of participants and non-participants
ETDRS level prevalence in the analyzable subset
Mitigation of AI adoption bias through an improved autonomous AI system for diabetic retinal disease

December 2024

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33 Reads

npj Digital Medicine

Where adopted, Autonomous artificial Intelligence (AI) for Diabetic Retinal Disease (DRD) resolves longstanding racial, ethnic, and socioeconomic disparities, but AI adoption bias persists. This preregistered trial determined sensitivity and specificity of a previously FDA authorized AI, improved to compensate for lower contrast and smaller imaged area of a widely adopted, lower cost, handheld fundus camera (RetinaVue700, Baxter Healthcare, Deerfield, IL) to identify DRD in participants with diabetes without known DRD, in primary care. In 626 participants (1252 eyes) 50.8% male, 45.7% Hispanic, 17.3% Black, DRD prevalence was 29.0%, all prespecified non-inferiority endpoints were met and no racial, ethnic or sex bias was identified, against a Wisconsin Reading Center level I prognostic standard using widefield stereoscopic photography and macular Optical Coherence Tomography. Results suggest this improved autonomous AI system can mitigate AI adoption bias, while preserving safety and efficacy, potentially contributing to rapid scaling of health access equity. ClinicalTrials.gov NCT05808699 (3/29/2023).


Figure 1. Box plot showing the immediate postinjection intraocular pressure after injection in the control arm versus the intervention arm.
Figure 2. Box plots showing the immediate postinjection intraocular pressure after injection in the control arm versus the intervention arm stratified based on lens status.
Figure 3. Bar graphs showing the percentage of eyes with change in intraocular pressure >5 mm Hg, >15 mm Hg and >25 mm Hg after injection in the control arm versus intervention arm.
Sterile Caliper Anterior Chamber Decompression Mitigates Intraocular Pressure Spikes in Intravitreal Injections

December 2024

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8 Reads

Translational Vision Science & Technology

Purpose To investigate the efficacy of a novel approach using a sterile caliper for anterior chamber (AC) decompression in reducing post-intravitreal injection (IVI) intraocular pressure (IOP) spikes. Methods A prospective interventional case series conducted at the Iowa City Veterans Affairs Medical Center (VAMC) with Institutional Review Board approval. Patients were randomized to receive conventional IVI or IVI with sterile caliper decompression. Fifty eyes from 47 patients underwent IVI for various retinal pathologies. Subjects were randomly assigned to the intervention or control arm. Two resident physician providers performed injections, with one applying sterile caliper decompression (intervention) and the other following the standard technique (control). Baseline and postinjection IOP were measured using Tonopen (Reichert, Depew, NY). Results In both groups there was a significant IOP rise following IVI (P < 0.0001). There was no significant difference in baseline IOP between groups (P = 0.082), but postinjection IOP was significantly lower in the intervention group (23.52 ± 5.98 mm Hg) compared to the control group (44.08 ± 8.48 mm Hg). There were no patients with an IOP spike >25 mm Hg in the intervention arm. The technique was effective regardless of lens status. Conclusions Sterile caliper AC decompression significantly reduced post-IVI IOP spikes presenting an efficient and cost-effective alternative to previously proposed methods of IOP reduction. Further studies are warranted to validate these findings and explore broader applications in ophthalmic interventions. Translational Relevance The caliper decompression technique presents potential benefit in preventing short-term morbidity associated with IOP spikes after IVI and addressing long-term concerns in patients with pre-existing glaucoma.


Figure 1. Representative example of an INSPIRE-stereo image successfully processed in this study. (A) A 768 × 1019 pixel image from one of the stereo pairs. (B) Accompanying 768 × 1019 pixel OCT-based depth reference. (C) 251 × 251 pixel crop of (B) centered on the optic disc. (D) 251 × 251 pixel crop of (A) centered on the optic disc. (E) MiDaS-generated depth map of (D). (F) Depth map in (E) registered onto reference (C) with RMSE of 0.032. (G) 502 × 502 pixel crop of (A) centered on the optic disc. (H) MiDaSgenerated depth map of image in (G). (I) Depth map in (H) registered onto reference (C) with RMSE of 0.014. (J) 251 × 251 pixel crop centered on optic disc of (H). (K) Cropped depth map (J) registered onto reference (C) with RMSE of 0.020
Figure 3. Boxplots of RSME by depth map methods and by stereo pairs. (A)-(C): Boxplots showing 3 pairwise combinations of depth map methods, where images for analysis are common to methods being compared. (D)-(F): Boxplots showing comparisons between first and second images from stereo pairs by depth map method, where images are from cases where both stereo pairs were successfully processed. No comparisons in (A)-(F) reached statistical significance. Each box indicates the median and first and third quartiles. The whiskers show the 10th and 90th percentiles. Circles: outliers
Figure 4. Examples of images that failed processing. (A) Example image with (B) adequate quality generated depth map that failed registration to the OCT reference. (C) Example image with (D) inadequate quality generated depth map. (E) Example image with (F) generated depth map that is sensitive to retinal vasculature and could not be successfully registered to the OCT reference
Summary statistics
A Pilot Study of Deep Learning-Based Monocular Depth Estimation from Fundus Photographs

October 2024

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18 Reads

Medinformatics

The purpose of this study was to evaluate the feasibility of a generalizable deep-learning (DL) based system with no a priori knowledge of fundus photographs to generate monocular depth map information about optic disc structures from this imaging modality. Images of 30 stereo pairs of fundus photographs centered on the optic disc of 30 subjects were analyzed with this DL system to generate monocular depth maps using zero-shot cross-dataset transfer. These maps were registered onto reference standard depth maps derived from Optical Coherence Tomography. Accuracy of the DL system was assessed by the root of mean squared error (RMSE) between the estimate and reference standard. 47% of the total images from the dataset were successfully processed, with mean RMSE of 0.081. Our findings demonstrate that single image, monocular depth estimation with a generalizable DL system using zero-shot cross-dataset transfer applied to retinal color fundus photographs is feasible and has potential.


Progressive inner retinal neurodegeneration in non-proliferative macular telangiectasia type 2

September 2024

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26 Reads

The British journal of ophthalmology

Purpose Patients with non-proliferative macular telangiectasia type 2 (MacTel) have ganglion cell layer (GCL) and nerve fibre layer (NFL) loss, but it is unclear whether the thinning is progressive. We quantified the change in retinal layer thickness over time in MacTel with and without diabetes. Methods In this retrospective, multicentre, comparative case series, subjects with MacTel with at least two optical coherence tomographic (OCT) scans separated by >9 months OCTs were segmented using the Iowa Reference Algorithms. Mean NFL and GCL thickness was computed across the total area of the early treatment diabetic retinopathy study grid and for the inner temporal region to determine the rate of thinning over time. Mixed effects models were fit to each layer and region to determine retinal thinning for each sublayer over time. Results 115 patients with MacTel were included; 57 patients (50%) had diabetes and 21 (18%) had a history of carbonic anhydrase inhibitor (CAI) treatment. MacTel patients with and without diabetes had similar rates of thinning. In patients without diabetes and untreated with CAIs, the temporal parafoveal NFL thinned at a rate of −0.25±0.09 µm/year (95% CI [−0.42 to –0.09]; p=0.003). The GCL in subfield 4 thinned faster in the eyes treated with CAI (−1.23±0.21 µm/year; 95% CI [−1.64 to –0.82]) than in untreated eyes (−0.19±0.16; 95% CI [−0.50, 0.11]; p<0.001), an effect also seen for the inner nuclear layer. Progressive outer retinal thinning was observed. Conclusions Patients with MacTel sustain progressive inner retinal neurodegeneration similar to those with diabetes without diabetic retinopathy. Further research is needed to understand the consequences of retinal thinning in MacTel.


What Do We Do with Physicians When Autonomous AI-Enabled Workflow is Better for Patient Outcomes?

September 2024

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5 Reads

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1 Citation


Ethical Considerations in the Design and Conduct of Clinical Trials of Artificial Intelligence

September 2024

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22 Reads

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11 Citations

JAMA Network Open

Importance Safe integration of artificial intelligence (AI) into clinical settings often requires randomized clinical trials (RCT) to compare AI efficacy with conventional care. Diabetic retinopathy (DR) screening is at the forefront of clinical AI applications, marked by the first US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) De Novo authorization for an autonomous AI for such use. Objective To determine the generalizability of the 7 ethical research principles for clinical trials endorsed by the National Institute of Health (NIH), and identify ethical concerns unique to clinical trials of AI. Design, Setting, and Participants This qualitative study included semistructured interviews conducted with 11 investigators engaged in the design and implementation of clinical trials of AI for DR screening from November 11, 2022, to February 20, 2023. The study was a collaboration with the ACCESS (AI for Children’s Diabetic Eye Exams) trial, the first clinical trial of autonomous AI in pediatrics. Participant recruitment initially utilized purposeful sampling, and later expanded with snowball sampling. Study methodology for analysis combined a deductive approach to explore investigators’ perspectives of the 7 ethical principles for clinical research endorsed by the NIH and an inductive approach to uncover the broader ethical considerations implementing clinical trials of AI within care delivery. Results A total of 11 participants (mean [SD] age, 47.5 [12.0] years; 7 male [64%], 4 female [36%]; 3 Asian [27%], 8 White [73%]) were included, with diverse expertise in ethics, ophthalmology, translational medicine, biostatistics, and AI development. Key themes revealed several ethical challenges unique to clinical trials of AI. These themes included difficulties in measuring social value, establishing scientific validity, ensuring fair participant selection, evaluating risk-benefit ratios across various patient subgroups, and addressing the complexities inherent in the data use terms of informed consent. Conclusions and Relevance This qualitative study identified practical ethical challenges that investigators need to consider and negotiate when conducting AI clinical trials, exemplified by the DR screening use-case. These considerations call for further guidance on where to focus empirical and normative ethical efforts to best support conduct clinical trials of AI and minimize unintended harm to trial participants.



Demographic Characteristics of Subjects by Referral Pathway
Systemic Risk Factors and Visual Acuity Characteristics of Subjects by Referral Pathway
Autonomous AI for diabetic eye disease at primary care improves ophthalmic access for at-risk patients

August 2024

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39 Reads

We examined which subgroups of patients benefit the most from deployment of autonomous artificial intelligence (AI) for diabetic eye disease (DED) testing at primary care clinics through improved patient access to ophthalmic care. Patients (n = 3,745) were referred to ophthalmology either via standard of care (primary care provider placed a referral) or AI (referral was made after a positive or non-diagnostic autonomous AI result). Both groups presented with good vision (median best-corrected visual acuity BCVA of worse-seeing eye was Snellen 20/25), without significant difference in the presenting BCVA between both groups. BCVA was not associated with the referral pathway in multivariable regression analysis. However, patients from the AI referral pathway were more likely to be Black (p < 0.001) and have hypertension (p = 0.001), suggesting that deployment of autonomous AI is associated with improved ophthalmic access for patients with a higher baseline risk for poor DED outcome before vision loss has occurred.


Baseline patient demographics of AI-switched sites and non-AI sites in 2019 and 2021
Change in patient adherence rate from 2019 to 2021 by demographic subgroups
Autonomous artificial intelligence for diabetic eye disease increases access and health equity in underserved populations

July 2024

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25 Reads

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10 Citations

npj Digital Medicine

Diabetic eye disease (DED) is a leading cause of blindness in the world. Annual DED testing is recommended for adults with diabetes, but adherence to this guideline has historically been low. In 2020, Johns Hopkins Medicine (JHM) began deploying autonomous AI for DED testing. In this study, we aimed to determine whether autonomous AI implementation was associated with increased adherence to annual DED testing, and how this differed across patient populations. JHM primary care sites were categorized as “non-AI” (no autonomous AI deployment) or “AI-switched” (autonomous AI deployment by 2021). We conducted a propensity score weighting analysis to compare change in adherence rates from 2019 to 2021 between non-AI and AI-switched sites. Our study included all adult patients with diabetes (>17,000) managed within JHM and has three major findings. First, AI-switched sites experienced a 7.6 percentage point greater increase in DED testing than non-AI sites from 2019 to 2021 ( p < 0.001). Second, the adherence rate for Black/African Americans increased by 12.2 percentage points within AI-switched sites but decreased by 0.6% points within non-AI sites ( p < 0.001), suggesting that autonomous AI deployment improved access to retinal evaluation for historically disadvantaged populations. Third, autonomous AI is associated with improved health equity, e.g. the adherence rate gap between Asian Americans and Black/African Americans shrank from 15.6% in 2019 to 3.5% in 2021. In summary, our results from real-world deployment in a large integrated healthcare system suggest that autonomous AI is associated with improvement in overall DED testing adherence, patient access, and health equity.


Citations (79)


... Xie et al. (2020) conduct a data-driven economic analysis demonstrating semi-automated AI screening for DR is the most cost-effective compared to fully automated AI or physician-only screening. Similarly, Wolf et al. (2020) and Ahmed et al. (2024) demonstrate autonomous AI systems for DR screening can be both cost-saving and cost-effective for children with diabetes at the individual patient and system levels. In a more recent randomized controlled trial in Bangladesh, Abràmoff et al. (2023) show using an autonomous AI system as a triaging tool at an eye hospital increases physician productivity by 40%. ...

Reference:

Using AI as Gatekeeper or Second Opinion: Designing Patient Pathways for AI-Augmented Healthcare
Cost-effectiveness of AI for pediatric diabetic eye exams from a health system perspective

npj Digital Medicine

... These issues necessitate further guidance on where to focus empirical and normative ethical efforts to minimize unintended harm to trial participants and ensure that AI interventions are safe and effective especially if the decision are impacting multiple participants of clinical trials, notably in areas with high unmet clinical needs. 27 Addressing these issues requires close collaboration between healthcare providers, data scientists, and regulatory bodies to develop ethical AI solutions that prioritize patient privacy, ensure fairness in algorithmic decision-making, and adhere to stringent regulatory standards. Such efforts are essential to fully leverage the transformative potential of AI in CDM. ...

Ethical Considerations in the Design and Conduct of Clinical Trials of Artificial Intelligence
  • Citing Article
  • September 2024

JAMA Network Open

... If the reading center based Level II is used instead of the most rigorous, Level I prognostic standard, the sensitivity of the AI seemingly improves from 79.6 to 97.3%, at the eye level. Obviously, its true performance did not change -these apparent differences are caused by the difference in reference standard: where the Level II standard uses the same images as the AI system, the Level I standard is based on a much larger retinal area imaged at high contrast in stereo as well as OCT performed by highly experienced WRC certified ophthalmic photographers, Fig. 2. The Level I prognostic standard is directly tied to what patients and their providers care aboutclinical (visual) outcome 28,33 . Still, most image based medical AIin any specialtycontinues to be validated against Level II or even Level III (derived from multiple clinical experts, not part of a formal reading center) reference standards, and rarely are they compared against a prognostic standard as in the case of the autonomous AI for the diabetic eye exam, making valid comparisons challenging. ...

What Do We Do with Physicians When Autonomous AI-Enabled Workflow is Better for Patient Outcomes?
  • Citing Article
  • September 2024

... The integration of artificial intelligence (AI) with ophthalmic imaging technologies transforms diagnostics, particularly in marginalized or rural settings [105]. Generalizability across diverse populations remains critical [106]. ...

Autonomous artificial intelligence for diabetic eye disease increases access and health equity in underserved populations

npj Digital Medicine

... The economics of AI, and particularly LLMs, is a crucial consideration for health systems when considering long-term sustainability and reimbursement 13 . Developing and deploying generative AI systems in healthcare involves significant investments in data collection, model development, computational resources, software tools, and ongoing maintenance. ...

Scaling Adoption of Medical AI — Reimbursement from Value-Based Care and Fee-for-Service Perspectives
  • Citing Article
  • April 2024

NEJM AI

... 22 Additionally, its effectiveness has been assessed in patient follow-ups within both well-resourced 23,24 and underserved areas in the United States and achieved US FDA clearance in 2018. 25 Despite its current approval for adults aged 22 and older, the device has also been investigated for use in younger patients with diabetes. 24 However, there is a notable gap in assessing the efficacy of this device in diverse populations different form the US, especially in underserved areas that face a shortage of ophthalmologists and other essential resources. ...

Autonomous Artificial Intelligence Increases Access and Health Equity in Underserved Populations with Diabetes

... This study compared AI-assisted examinations with traditional eye care provider referrals and found that the completion rate was significantly higher in the AI group (100%) than in the control group (22%). This study showed that AI could significantly improve DR follow-up adherence in a diverse youth population [81]. ...

Autonomous artificial intelligence increases screening and follow-up for diabetic retinopathy in youth: the ACCESS randomized control trial

... Moreover, due to the small number of patients that enroll in these trials, the results of long-term studies are use-case-specific and often not generalizable [59]. The adoption of AI also involves unclear legal liabilities and privacy violation regulations around device failures and decision-making errors by AI systems [60]. ...

Autonomous AI systems in the face of liability, regulations and costs

npj Digital Medicine

... 4 Conventionally, "DR" focuses on the clinical manifestations of retinal vascular complications and diabetic macular edema (DME). There is ongoing effort to update the classification of diabetic retinal disease (DRD) to consider both the vascular and neuronal aspects of DRD, based on advances in retinal imaging, microperimetry, and electroretinography. 5,6 In fact, DRD is now defined as a highly specific neurovascular disease involving the retina by the American Diabetes Association. 7 Diabetic retinal neurodegeneration (DRN) features neural apoptosis and glial activation secondary to DM. 8 It is an important clinical manifestation of DRD, as DRN development can precede vascular lesions on structural, functional, and molecular levels, suggesting it may allow early diagnosis of DRD development and progression. ...

A New Approach to Staging Diabetic Eye Disease: Staging of Diabetic Retinal Neurodegeneration and Diabetic Macular Edema
  • Citing Article
  • October 2023

Ophthalmology Science

... The introduction of new technologies, including autonomous AI, into routine health care delivery can be challenging due to changing practice patterns and the financial and human resources required to integrate new technologies into clinical practice 15,16 . Consideration of the financial expenditures, particularly in terms of the cost of technology integration and maintenance and total cost of care, as well as screening effectiveness, patient care benefits, and operational value, even without considering reimbursement, are important in determining whether and how to implement these systems. ...

Incorporating Artificial Intelligence into Healthcare Workflows: Models and Insights
  • Citing Chapter
  • October 2023