Michael C Nichols’s research while affiliated with US Forest Service and other places

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Publications (7)


Greenhouse gas emissions and removals from forest land, woodlands, urban trees, and harvested wood products in the United States, 1990-2021
  • Technical Report
  • Full-text available

April 2023

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199 Reads

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11 Citations

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Brian F. Walters

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As a signatory to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), the United States has reported an inventory of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and removals by sector, as defined by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), since the mid-1990s (U.S. EPA 2023). In 2021, United States net GHG emissions increased by more than 6.8 percent relative to 2020 net emissions, which had decreased substantially from previous years and was due, in large part, to the global pandemic. Forest land, harvested wood products (HWP), woodlands, and urban trees within the land sector collectively continue to represent the largest net carbon sink in the United States, offsetting the equivalent of more than 12.4 percent of total (i.e., gross) GHG emissions in 2021 (U.S. EPA 2023). Estimates of GHG emissions and removals are compiled by U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA), Forest Service researchers and partners and are based primarily on National Forest Inventory (NFI) data collected and maintained by the Forest Inventory and Analysis (FIA) Program within the Forest Service. This resource bulletin provides an overview of the status and trends of GHG emissions and removals from forest land, woodlands in the grassland category, HWP, and urban trees in settlements in the United States from 1990 to 2021. The estimates for the United States summarized here are based on the compilation reported in the "Land Use, Land-Use Change, and Forestry" chapter of the U.S. EPA (2023) submission to the UNFCCC. Most of the national scale estimates are also developed and reported at the individual State level (fig. 1) for the entire 1990–2021 time series and are available in a published research dataset (Walters et al. 2023). This report also includes regional carbon stock and stock change estimates by broad ownership category (i.e., private or public land) and National Forest System region.

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Figure 1.-Estimated annual C stock changes by ecosystem pool for forest land remaining forest land and land converted to forest land in each of the conterminous 48 States and Alaska in 2020 (million metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent CO 2 Eq.). Note that points and uncertainties represented by confidence intervals (95 percent) reflect net flux for all ecosystem pools in each State. Negative estimates indicate net C uptake (i.e., a net removal of C from the atmosphere or transfer of C between ecosystem pools or land use categories).
Figure 3.-Estimated annual emissions from wild and prescribed fire on forest land in the conterminous 48 States and Alaska, 1990-2020.
-Carbon stock changes (net flux) from conversions to and from forest land (MMT CO 2 Eq.) by year
Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Removals From Forest Land, Woodlands, Urban Trees, and Harvested Wood Products in the United States, 1990–2020

January 2023

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304 Reads

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2 Citations

This Resource Update provides an overview of the status and trends of GHG emissions and removals from forest land, woodlands in the grassland category, HWP, and urban trees in settlements in the United States from 1990 to 2020. The estimates for the United States summarized here are based on the compilation reported in the "Land Use, Land-Use Change, and Forestry" chapter of the U.S. EPA (2022) submission to the UNFCCC.


Greenhouse gas emissions and removals from forest land, woodlands, and urban trees in the United States, 1990–2019

April 2021

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211 Reads

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25 Citations

Figure 1.-Estimated annual emissions and removals by carbon pool for forest land remaining forest land in each of the conterminous 49 States in 2019 (MMT CO 2 Eq.). Note that points and uncertainties represented by confidence intervals (95 percent) reflect net flux for all carbon pools in each State. Negative estimates indicate net C uptake (i.e., a net removal of C from the atmosphere).


Carbon stocks and stock change on federal forest lands of the United States

March 2019

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177 Reads

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19 Citations

Forest land in the United States offsets more than 11% of total domestic greenhouse gas emissions each year through growth of live woody biomass and accumulation of carbon in trees, dead organic matter, and harvested wood products. Forest lands owned and managed by various agencies of the U.S. government cover 77 million hectares, which is 29% of U.S. forest land and an estimated 33%, or 17.2 Pg C, of forest carbon stocks. Here, we summarize forest inventory‐based estimates of forest carbon stocks and indications of carbon stock change on forest lands managed by agencies within the U.S. federal government. Within the conterminous USA, the proportion of forest land that is federally owned is higher in the West representing two‐thirds of forest carbon stocks; in the East, federal lands represent 9% of forest carbon. The majority of federal forests and forest carbon are managed by the U.S. Forest Service (13.8 Pg C), but 20% of federal forest carbon stocks, or 3.5 Pg C, are managed by other federal agencies (e.g., National Park Service, Bureau of Land Management). We also briefly review some broad characteristics of the forest inventory that affect forest carbon reported for the USA as included in greenhouse gas inventories such as for United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change reporting.




Citations (7)


... The SE US landscape comprises forests covering approximately 60 % of its total area (Wear and Greis, 2002). Most of these forests are privately owned, managed plantations (Coulston et al., 2015;Domke et al., 2023) that originate over 15 % of global wood products (Coulston et al., 2015). The Forest Inventory and Analysis (FIA) database indicates that the predominant forest types in the SE US include over 30 million hectares of upland hardwood forests, around 15 million hectares of cultivated pine forests, approximately 13 million hectares of natural pine and bottomland hardwoods, and more than 3 million hectares of oak-pine forest types . ...

Reference:

Structural diversity enhances carbon storage in mixed oak-pine forests of the Southeast United States
Greenhouse gas emissions and removals from forest land, woodlands, urban trees, and harvested wood products in the United States, 1990-2021

... In contrast, a more recent study of eastern US forests (39) reported a CO 2 fertilization-attributable increase in wood volume (0.35% y −1 ) from 1970 to 2015. US forests are currently a net carbon sink on average-offsetting ~13% of US annual greenhouse gas emissions-but there is wide regional variation in the sign and magnitude of US forest carbon fluxes (40). Beyond the uncertain effects of CO 2 fertilization, ongoing recovery from industrial logging and agricultural abandonment are widely accepted as contributing to a carbon sink in the eastern United States (27,38,41,42), whereas intensifying disturbance regimes likely contribute to negative carbon balances in some western states (28,40). ...

Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Removals From Forest Land, Woodlands, Urban Trees, and Harvested Wood Products in the United States, 1990–2020

... The major Landsat-based products for the contiguous United States (CONUS) include the Global Forest Watch (GFW) program of the World Resources Institute (Hansen et al., 2013), the forest cover fraction Vegetation Continuous Field (VCF) product from the Global Land Cover Facility (GLCF) Data Center at the University of Maryland (Sexton et al., 2013), and the National Land Cover Database (NLCD) from the United States Geological Survey (USGS) (Jin et al., 2013). In the USA, FIA and NLCD are the primary databases used by managers, researchers, and policymakers to assess land use and track land management (Hoover et al., 2020;Domke et al., 2021). FIA is a field survey of forest plots and reports information on the status and trends of forests in the USA. ...

Greenhouse gas emissions and removals from forest land, woodlands, and urban trees in the United States, 1990–2019

... Clustering was conducted in accordance with the co-authorship method, and the authors were divided into 21 different clusters, among which 4 author clusters with significant team effects and outstanding research achievements form the main body of FCS research. The first cluster (marked with a red circle) was led by Grant M. Domke, Christopher W. Woodall, and James E. Smith, all from the United States Forest Service in the USA, who have long been committed to estimating the FCS of the United States (e.g., Domke et al. [49]; Domke et al. [50]; Smith et al. [51]; Woodall et al. [52]; Woodall et al. [53]). The second cluster (marked with a purple circle) was led by Guomo Zhou and Yongjun Shi, both from Zhejiang A&F University in China, who have focused on developing remote sensing models for estimating carbon storage in various forest types, such as moso bamboo forests (e.g., Du et al. [54]; Li et al. [55]; Mao et al. [56]; Shi et al. [57]; Xu et al. [58]). ...

Carbon stocks and stock change on federal forest lands of the United States

... Stem wood biomass was derived as the product of basic density and volume. Bark volume was assumed to be 18% of stem wood volume [51] with density of 437 kg m −3 [52]. Biomass in redwood branches and foliage were estimated from diameter at breast height using allometric models [53] and roots were predicted using the IPCC default root-shoot ratio for coniferous forest of 0.23 [54]. ...

Methods and equations for estimating volume, biomass, and carbon for trees in the U.S. Forest inventory, 2010

... Estimates from Smith et al. [32], one of the most commonly cited wood product carbon studies [28,31,34,37,39,[69][70][71][72] Table 6 Sensitivity of emissions from loblolly and shortleaf pine wood products to the most influential parameters DOC f = the fraction of landfilled organic carbon that will decay over time; MSW = municipal solid waste; C&D = construction and demolition; average sawmill efficiency = sawmill efficiency for 33-47 cm saw logs, with smaller logs having − 0.05 efficiency and larger logs having + 0.1 efficiency; the magnitude of µ* indicates the influence of the parameter; the sign of µ indicates the direction of the effect; the bounds indicate the tested range of parameter values (see "Sensitivity analysis" section); the model output of which sensitivity was evaluated was the total (biogenic + fossil fuel) annual emission pulses from southwide loblolly and shortleaf pine harvested wood products produced over 120 years, discounted at 3%; a table of all parameters tested and their sensitivity indices is available in Additional file 1: situ) over 120 years (1649 tC ha −1 ) than the pulp regime (1449 tC ha −1 ) at a 3% discount rate. For high productivity sites, however, the pulp regime stored slightly more total carbon (2246 tC ha −1 ) than the sawtimber regime (2227 tC ha −1 ) (Fig. 7). ...

FORCARB2: An Updated Version of the U.S. Forest Carbon Budget Model

... Aboveground biomass (AGB) was calculated based on methods and equations available to our sites 31,78,80 . The modeled AGB per hectare for each restoration method were converted to carbon dioxide equivalent (CO 2 e) per hectare 81 . ...

US forest carbon calculation tool: forestland carbon stocks and net annual stock change