Michael A. Shields’s research while affiliated with Monash University (Australia) and other places

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Publications (152)


Association between mental healthcare use (t + 1) and mental health (t). Circles represent mean healthcare use for a specific value of self‐reported mental health. Circle size is representative of number of observations.
Mental healthcare use by income and education, for those with poor mental health.
Log household income coefficient estimated separately using 10 subgroups. Plotted points are estimated coefficients on log household income variable, based on the specification in Col 3 of Table 2. 95% confidence intervals expressed with horizontal lines.
University degree coefficient estimated separately using 10 subgroups. Note: Plotted points are estimated coefficients on university education variable, based on the specification in Col 3 of Table 2. 95% confidence intervals expressed with horizontal lines.
Coefficient estimates allowing for nonlinear associations with household income. Plotted points are estimated associations based on a version of the specification in Col 3 of Table 2, with log income replaced with quintile dummy variables (lowest quintile omitted/comparison category). 95% confidence intervals expressed with horizontal lines.
Horizontal inequity in the use of mental healthcare in Australia
  • Article
  • Publisher preview available

November 2024

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16 Reads

Health Economics

Nicole Black

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David W. Johnston

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Martin Knapp

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[...]

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For people experiencing mental health problems, timely access to high‐quality healthcare is imperative for improving outcomes. However, limited availability of services, high out‐of‐pocket costs, insufficient health literacy and stigmatizing attitudes may mean people do not receive the necessary treatment. We analyze Australian longitudinal data to document the extent and predictors of horizontal inequity in mental healthcare use among people with a newly developed mild or moderate mental disorder. Importantly, we compare people with similar health, residing in the same area, thus controlling for differences in healthcare needs and availability of services. Results suggest that mental healthcare use is not significantly associated with household income or financial hardship. In contrast, we find significant inequities by educational attainment, with university graduates around 50% more likely to receive mental healthcare than high‐school dropouts. These findings are robust across subsamples and alternative modeling approaches, including panel data models with individual fixed‐effects. Additional explorations of the education gradient suggest a potential pathway through mental health‐specific knowledge and attitudes.

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Effect of In utero Exposure to Air Pollution on Adulthood Hospitalizations

December 2023

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30 Reads

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2 Citations

Journal of Urban Health

Empirical analyses have demonstrated that individuals exposed to severe air pollution in utero have worse health outcomes during childhood. However, there is little evidence on the long-term health impacts of air pollution exposure. The objective of this paper is to estimate the effect of in utero exposure to the Great London Smog of 1952 (GLS) on five health outcomes identified through a scoping review to be those most likely affected: respiratory, circulatory, neoplasms, mental health, and nervous system conditions. We use the GLS, an extreme air pollution event in December 1952, as a quasi-natural experiment to estimate the effect of exposure to air pollution in utero on adulthood health. Data from the UK Biobank is analysed for a cohort of participants born from December 1952 to July 1956. Differences in health outcomes between adults exposed and not exposed to the GLS due to their birth dates, born inside and outside London, were explored. Our primary focus is hospitalization events between 1997 and 2020 (corresponding to ages 40 to 69), as recorded in linked administrative data from the National Health Service (NHS). Specifically, the five primary outcomes are binary variables indicating that the individual had at least one hospitalization where the main cause of hospitalization is related to respiratory, circulatory, neoplasms, mental health, or nervous system conditions. The analytical sample comprised 36,281 individuals. A positive effect on adulthood hospitalizations due to respiratory conditions was observed. If exposed to the GLS in utero, the probability of at least one respiratory health-related hospitalization between 1997 and 2020 increased by 2.58 percentage points (95% CI 0.08, 4.30, p = 0.03), a 23% increase relative to the sample mean. Small effects were found for all other outcomes, suggesting that these conditions were not affected by the GLS. We do not find heterogeneous effects by sex or childhood socioeconomic status. This study found that a 5-day pollution exposure event while in utero significantly increased respiratory-related hospitalizations at ages 40 to 69 but had no impact on hospitalizations due to circulatory, neoplasms, mental health, and nervous system conditions.



Figure 1: Effects of the Great London Smog on hospitalizations
Effects of the Great London Smog at different times of exposure
Effect of In-Utero Exposure to Air Pollution on Adulthood Hospitalizations

June 2023

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18 Reads

Empirical analyses have demonstrated that individuals exposed to severe air pollution in-utero have worse health outcomes during childhood. However, there is little evidence on the long-term health impacts of air pollution exposure. The objective of this paper is to estimate the effect of in-utero exposure to the Great London Smog of 1952 (GLS) on five health outcomes identified through a scoping review to be those most likely affected: respiratory, circulatory, neoplasms, mental health, and nervous system conditions. We use the GLS, an extreme air pollution event in December 1952, as a quasi-natural experiment to estimate the effect of exposure to air pollution in-utero on adulthood health. Data from the UK Biobank is analyzed for a cohort of participants born from December 1952 to July 1956. Differences in health outcomes between adults exposed and not exposed to the GLS due to their birth dates, born inside and outside London, were explored. Our primary focus is hospitalization events between 1997 and 2020 (corresponding to ages 40 to 69), as recorded in linked administrative data from the National Health Service (NHS). Specifically, the five primary outcomes are binary variables indicating that the individual had at least one hospitalization where the main cause of hospitalization is related to respiratory, circulatory, neoplasms, mental health, or nervous system conditions. The analytical sample comprised 36,281 individuals. A positive effect on adulthood hospitalizations due to respiratory conditions was observed. If exposed to the GLS in-utero, the probability of at least one respiratory health-related hospitalization between 1997 to 2020 increased by 2.58 percentage points (95% CI 0.08, 4.30, p=0.03), a 23% increase relative to the sample mean. Small effects were found for all other outcomes, suggesting that these conditions were not affected by the GLS. We do not find heterogeneous effects by sex or childhood socioeconomic status.


Percentage of health and retirement study Male Sample with (Predicted) Dementia by Age and Occupation. Sample restricted to males aged 60–85. The outcome is predicted dementia (binary). Collar color differentiates between blue‐collar occupations involving agriculture, production, craft and repair, operators, fabricators and laborers, and white‐collar occupations involving managers, professionals, technicians, or office and administration workers.
Histogram of Episodic Memory Test Score. Sample restricted to males aged 60–85. The vertical dotted line defines a threshold for predicted dementia and the left lower tail presents the proportion of individuals with dementia.
Cognitive activity at work and the risk of dementia

March 2023

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63 Reads

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3 Citations

Health Economics

Dementia prevalence is projected to rise steeply in coming decades, producing tremendous burdens on families, and health and social services. Motivated by the need for further robust evidence on modifiable risk factors, we investigate the relationship between cognitive activity at work and later‐life dementia. Using data from the US Health and Retirement Study matched to the O*NET occupational database, we find that a one standard deviation increase in the cognitive activity associated with one's longest held occupation is associated with a 0.9 percentage point reduction in (predicted) dementia, or a 24% reduction relative to the mean. This relationship is consistently found across model specifications and robustness tests. When controlling for individual fixed‐effects we find that the association between dementia and work cognitive activity increases with age. Overall, our results provide some evidence in support of the inclusion of cognitive activity at work as a recognized modifiable risk factor for dementia.


Citations (80)


... This suggests that childhood adversity has a direct effect on the health of middle-aged and older adults, persisting even after controlling for factors such as socioeconomic status and lifestyle. The impact of malnutrition on the long-term health and mental well-being of fetuses, infants, and children is widely acknowledged [4,[12][13][14][15][16]. Childhood adversity can indirectly affect the health of middle-aged and older adults through psychological and social resources in addition to its direct physical effects. ...

Reference:

Does famine during the fetal period increase the degree of disability of the elderly?—An empirical study based on data from China
Effect of In utero Exposure to Air Pollution on Adulthood Hospitalizations

Journal of Urban Health

... 2 A systematic review and meta-analysis reported that the prevalence of dementia in populations who had a stroke was 30.8%, with a greater prevalence in people over 65. 3 Additionally, studies found that the prevalence of dementia was higher in females than males, and the prevalence increased with age. 4 In contrast, a higher income level and a healthier lifestyle can help to reduce its prevalence. [5][6][7] With the high prevalence, dementia's mortality rate has also been a research focus. Researchers have paid keen attention to the relationships between dementia mortality and its influencing factors. ...

Cognitive activity at work and the risk of dementia

Health Economics

... Adolescence, as a critical period of social development, is particularly sensitive to the effects of public panic and social restrictions introduced in response to the COVID-19 crisis. [31][32][33] The trends in inactivity among adolescents were worsened due to the absence of routine, social distancing measures, and limited access to gymnasium and equipment. 34 Many students found the adaptation to major changes in study routines difficult. ...

COVID-19 lockdowns and changes in loneliness among young people in the U.K

Social Science & Medicine

... Loneliness was measured using a binary indicator by a single question widely used in UK Biobank studies [45,46]: "Do you often feel lonely?", to which answers were "Yes" and "No". The correlation between the direct measure of loneliness and the threeitem UCLA Loneliness Scale was high (around 0.88) [47], indicating the reliability of this question. (2) Job demands variables. ...

Economic gradients in loneliness, social isolation and social support: Evidence from the UK Biobank

Social Science & Medicine

... It is also important to acknowledge that these factors might cancel each other out if acting in different directions. Studies have shown, for example, that older people can change their coping mechanisms and reorganise their social relationships, adapting to events such as widowhood by increasing support and contact with their friends, children, or other relatives (Freak-Poli et al., 2022). ...

Social Isolation, Social Support, and Loneliness Profiles Before and After Spousal Death and the Buffering Role of Financial Resources

The Journals of Gerontology Series B Psychological Sciences and Social Sciences

... The home damage variable is available beginning in Wave 9, whereas the life satisfaction variables are available in all survey waves. 31 Our finding of no significant effect of cyclone exposure on income aligns with the evidence reported by Johar et al. (2022), which found no statistically significant association between natural disaster exposure, measured through home damage, and Australians' earnings. However, our finding contrasts with the mixed international evidence. ...

The economic impacts of direct natural disaster exposure
  • Citing Article
  • April 2022

Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization

... General Health was self-reported by participants. It may be difficult to accurately compare health rates of different demographics, since there is a tendency to underreport information related to worse health (David W. Johnston, 2009). ...

Comparing Subjective and Objective Measures of Health: Evidence from Hypertension for the Income/Health Gradient

SSRN Electronic Journal

... The latter relation does not apply for physical conditions. Ermisch and Francesconi (2000), Frijters et al. (2010), Leight (2014)] and health investments [Ayalew (2005), Datar et al. (2010), Yi et al. (2015)]. The evidence is also inconclusive on whether children with worse health receive more nonhuman capital transfers, including inter-vivos transfers unrelated with health and education [McGarry and Schoeni (1997), Dunn and Phillips (1997), Hochguertel andOhlsson (2009), Rosales-Rueda (2014)]. ...

Intra-Household Resource Allocation: Do Parents Reduce or Reinforce Child Cognitive Ability Gaps?
  • Citing Article
  • January 2010

SSRN Electronic Journal

... 2 From a policy perspective, childhood mental health is an area of significant interest as interventions targeting child development may have a high impact on human capital accumulation through child behavior. 3 Consequently, the correct identification of children at risk of psychopathology is fundamental to the delivery of appropriate psychological and pharmacological treatment. 4 Complexity, time, and cost are barriers to the wide use of gold-standard diagnostic measures for mental disorders in childhood. ...

Child Mental Health and Educational Attainment: Multiple Observers and the Measurement Error Problem
  • Citing Article
  • January 2011

SSRN Electronic Journal

... Research on the effects of Covid-19 has shown that personality traits can predict behavioral responses such as hoarding or compliance with guidelines (Zettler et al. (2021)), as well as with coping responses to the pandemic (Volk et al. (2021)). Johnston et al. (2020) show that Covid-19 has led to declines in mental health, and this decline is not predicted by financial resources but by the non-cognitive skill of self-efficacy. ...

Who is Resilient in a Time of Crisis? The Importance of Financial and Non-Financial Resources
  • Citing Article
  • January 2020

SSRN Electronic Journal